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Tian Q, Zweibaum DA, Qian Y, Oppong RF, Pilling LC, Casanova F, Atkins JL, Melzer D, Ding J, Ferrucci L. Mitochondrial DNA copy number associated dementia risk by somatic mutations and frailty. GeroScience 2024:10.1007/s11357-024-01355-1. [PMID: 39313624 DOI: 10.1007/s11357-024-01355-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/06/2024] [Accepted: 09/13/2024] [Indexed: 09/25/2024] Open
Abstract
Mitochondrial dysfunction is linked to physical impairment and dementia. Mitochondrial DNA copy number (mtDNAcn) from blood may predict cognitive decline and dementia risk, but the effect of somatic mutations or frailty is unknown. We estimated mtDNAcn using fastMitoCalc and microheteroplasmies using mitoCaller, from Whole Genome Sequencing (WGS) data. In 189,566 participants free of dementia at study entry (mean age = 56 ± 8), we examined the association between mtDNAcn and subsequent dementia diagnosis using Cox regression. Cognition was assessed in a subset on average 8.9 years later. We examined the associations between mtDNAcn and cognitive measures using multivariable linear regression, adjusted for demographic factors, mtDNAcn-related parameters, and apolipoprotein E ε4 status. We further stratified by frailty and microheteroplasmies. Over an average follow-up of 13.2 years, 3533 participants developed dementia. Each SD higher mtDNAcn (16) was associated with 4.2% lower all-cause dementia hazard (HR = 0.958, p = 0.030), 6% lower non-AD dementia hazard (HR = 0.933, p = 0.022), and not-AD dementia hazard. The associations between mtDNAcn and all-cause dementia and non-AD dementia were stronger among those who were pre-frail or frail or with higher microheteroplasmies. Higher mtDNAcn was associated with higher DSST scores (p = 0.036) and significant only among those with higher microheteroplasmies or frailty (p = 0.029 and 0.048, respectively). mtDNAcn was also associated with delta TMT and paired associate learning only in pre-frail/frail participants (p = 0.007 and 0.045, respectively). Higher WGS-based mtDNAcn in human blood is associated with lower dementia risk, specifically non-AD dementia, and specific cognitive function. The relationships appear stronger in high somatic mutations or frailty. Future studies are warranted to investigate biological underpinnings.
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Lucas MR, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Melzer D. Incidence of liver complications with hemochromatosis associated HFE p.C282Y homozygosity: The role of central adiposity. Hepatology 2024:01515467-990000000-01000. [PMID: 39178373 DOI: 10.1097/hep.0000000000001056] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/28/2024] [Accepted: 07/30/2024] [Indexed: 08/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AIMS The HFE p.C282Y+/+ (homozygous) genotype and central adiposity both increase liver disease and diabetes risks, but combined effects are unclear. We estimated waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) associations with incident clinical outcomes in routine care in p.C282Y+/+ participants in the UK Biobank community cohort. APPROACH RESULTS Baseline WHR in 1,297 male and 1,602 female p.C282Y+/+ with 13.3-year mean follow-up for diagnoses. Spline regressions and Cox proportional hazard models were adjusted for age and genetic principal components. Cumulative incidence was from age 40 to 80 years. In p.C282Y+/+ males, there were positive linear WHR relationships for hospital inpatient diagnosed liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (p=2.4*10-5), liver cancer (p=0.007), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) (p=7.7*10-11), and type 2 diabetes (T2D) (p=5.1*10-16). The Hazard Ratio (HR) for high WHR in p.C282Y+/+ males (≥0.96; 33.9%) was HR=4.13 for liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (95%CI: 2.04-8.39, p=8.4*10-5 vs. normal WHR); cumulative age 80 incidence 15.0% (95%CI: 9.8%-22.6%) versus 3.9% (95%CI: 1.9%-7.6%); for liver cancer, cumulative incidence was 9.2% (95%CI: 5.7%-14.6%) versus 3.6% (95%CI: 1.9%-6.6%). Hemochromatosis was diagnosed in 23 (96%) of the 24 high WHR p.C282Y+/+ males with incident fibrosis/cirrhosis. High WHR (≥0.85; 30.0%) p.C282Y+/+ females had raised hazards for liver fibrosis/cirrhosis (HR=9.17, 95%CI: 2.51-33.50, p=3.8*10-7) and NAFLD (HR=5.17, 95%CI: 2.48-10.78, p=1.2*10-5). Fibrosis/cirrhosis associations were similar in the subset with additional primary care diagnoses. CONCLUSION In p.C282Y+/+ males and females, increasing WHR is associated with substantially higher risks of liver complications. Interventions to reduce central adiposity to improve these outcomes should be tested.
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Kuo C, Chen Z, Liu P, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Fortinsky RH, Kuchel GA, Diniz BS. Proteomic aging clock (PAC) predicts age-related outcomes in middle-aged and older adults. Aging Cell 2024; 23:e14195. [PMID: 38747160 PMCID: PMC11320350 DOI: 10.1111/acel.14195] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/20/2024] [Revised: 04/19/2024] [Accepted: 04/23/2024] [Indexed: 05/28/2024] Open
Abstract
Beyond mere prognostication, optimal biomarkers of aging provide insights into qualitative and quantitative features of biological aging and might, therefore, offer useful information for the testing and, ultimately, clinical use of gerotherapeutics. We aimed to develop a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a proxy of biological age. Data were from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, including 53,021 participants aged between 39 and 70 years and 2923 plasma proteins assessed using the Olink Explore 3072 assay®. 10.9% of the participants died during a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, with the mean age at death of 70.1 years. The Spearman correlation between PAC proteomic age and chronological age was 0.77. PAC showed robust age-adjusted associations and predictions for all-cause mortality and the onset of various diseases in general and disease-free participants. The proteins associated with PAC proteomic age deviation were enriched in several processes related to the hallmarks of biological aging. Our results expand previous findings by showing that biological age acceleration, based on PAC, strongly predicts all-cause mortality and several incident disease outcomes. Particularly, it facilitates the evaluation of risk for multiple conditions in a disease-free population, thereby, contributing to the prevention of initial diseases, which vary among individuals and may subsequently lead to additional comorbidities.
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Casanova F, Tian Q, Williamson DS, Qian Y, Zweibaum D, Ding J, Atkins JL, Melzer D, Ferrucci L, Pilling LC. MRI-derived brain iron, grey matter volume, and risk of dementia and Parkinson's disease: Observational and genetic analysis in the UK Biobank cohort. Neurobiol Dis 2024; 197:106539. [PMID: 38789058 DOI: 10.1016/j.nbd.2024.106539] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2024] [Revised: 05/08/2024] [Accepted: 05/21/2024] [Indexed: 05/26/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Iron overload is observed in neurodegenerative diseases, especially Alzheimer's disease (AD) and Parkinson's disease (PD). Homozygotes for the iron-overload (haemochromatosis) causing HFE p.C282Y variant have increased risk of dementia and PD. Whether brain iron deposition is causal or secondary to the neurodegenerative processes in the general population is unclear. METHODS We analysed 39,533 UK Biobank participants of European genetic ancestry with brain MRI data. We studied brain iron estimated by R2* and quantitative susceptibility mapping (QSM) in 8 subcortical regions: accumbens, amygdala, caudate, hippocampus, pallidum, putamen, substantia nigra, and thalamus. We performed genome-wide associations studies (GWAS) and used Mendelian Randomization (MR) methods to estimate the causal effect of brain iron on grey matter volume, and risk of AD, non-AD and PD. We also used MR to test whether genetic liability to AD or PD causally increased brain iron (R2* and QSM). FINDINGS In GWAS of R2* and QSM we replicated 83% of previously reported genetic loci and identified 174 further loci across all eight brain regions. Higher genetically predicted brain iron, using both R2* and QSM, was associated with lower grey matter volumes in the caudate, putamen and thalamus (e.g., Beta-putamenQSM: -0.37, p = 2*10-46). Higher genetically predicted thalamus R2* was associated with increased risk of non-AD dementia (OR 1.36(1.16;1.60), p = 2*10-4) but not AD (p > 0.05). In males, genetically predicted putamen R2* increased non-AD dementia risk, but not in females. Higher genetically predicted iron in the caudate, putamen, and substantia nigra was associated with an increased risk of PD (Odds Ratio QSM ∼ substantia-nigra 1.21(1.07;1.37), p = 0.003). Genetic liability to AD or PD was not associated with R2* or QSM in the dementia or PD-associated regions. INTERPRETATION Our genetic analysis supports a causal effect of higher iron deposition in specific subcortical brain regions for Parkinson's disease, grey matter volume, and non-Alzheimer's dementia.
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Kuo CL, Liu P, Chen Z, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Fortinsky RH, Kuchel GA, Diniz BS. A proteomic signature of healthspan. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2024:2024.06.26.24309530. [PMID: 38978645 PMCID: PMC11230312 DOI: 10.1101/2024.06.26.24309530] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/10/2024]
Abstract
The focus of aging research has shifted from increasing lifespan to enhancing healthspan to reduce the time spent living with disability. Despite significant efforts to develop biomarkers of aging, few studies have focused on biomarkers of healthspan. We developed a proteomics-based signature of healthspan (healthspan proteomic score (HPS)) using data from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project (53,018 individuals and 2920 proteins). A lower HPS was associated with higher mortality risk and several age-related conditions, such as COPD, diabetes, heart failure, cancer, myocardial infarction, dementia, and stroke. HPS showed superior predictive accuracy for these outcomes compared to chronological age and biological age measures. Proteins associated with HPS were enriched in hallmark pathways such as immune response, inflammation, cellular signaling, and metabolic regulation. Our findings demonstrate the validity of HPS, making it a valuable tool for assessing healthspan and as a potential surrogate marker in geroscience-guided studies.
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Tian Q, Zweibaum DA, Pilling LC, Casanova F, Qian Y, Atkins JL, Melzer D, Ding J, Ferrucci L. Is Mitochondrial DNA Copy Number from Human Blood Associated with Iron Deposits in the Brain? Antioxid Redox Signal 2024; 40:990-997. [PMID: 38251633 DOI: 10.1089/ars.2023.0529] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/23/2024]
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Kuo CL, Chen Z, Liu P, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Fortinsky RH, Kuchel GA, Diniz BS. Proteomic aging clock (PAC) predicts age-related outcomes in middle-aged and older adults. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2024:2023.12.19.23300228. [PMID: 38196645 PMCID: PMC10775323 DOI: 10.1101/2023.12.19.23300228] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/11/2024]
Abstract
Beyond mere prognostication, optimal biomarkers of aging provide insights into qualitative and quantitative features of biological aging and might, therefore, offer useful information for the testing and, ultimately, clinical use of gerotherapeutics. We aimed to develop a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a proxy of biological age. Data were from the UK Biobank Pharma Proteomics Project, including 53,021 participants aged between 39 and 70 years and 2,923 plasma proteins assessed using the Olink Explore 3072 assay®. The Spearman correlation between PAC proteomic age and chronological age was 0.77. A total of 10.9% of the participants died during a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, with the mean age at death 70.1 years. We developed a proteomic aging clock (PAC) for all-cause mortality risk as a surrogate of BA using a combination of least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) penalized Cox regression and Gompertz proportional hazards models. PAC showed robust age-adjusted associations and predictions for all-cause mortality and the onset of various diseases in general and disease-free participants. The proteins associated with PAC were enriched in several processes related to the hallmarks of biological aging. Our results expand previous findings by showing that age acceleration, based on PAC, strongly predicts all-cause mortality and several incident disease outcomes. Particularly, it facilitates the evaluation of risk for multiple conditions in a disease-free population, thereby, contributing to the prevention of initial diseases, which vary among individuals and may subsequently lead to additional comorbidities.
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Casanova F, Tian Q, Atkins JL, Wood AR, Williamson D, Qian Y, Zweibaum D, Ding J, Melzer D, Ferrucci L, Pilling LC. Iron and risk of dementia: Mendelian randomisation analysis in UK Biobank. J Med Genet 2024; 61:435-442. [PMID: 38191510 DOI: 10.1136/jmg-2023-109295] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Accepted: 11/28/2023] [Indexed: 01/10/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Brain iron deposition is common in dementia, but whether serum iron is a causal risk factor is unknown. We aimed to determine whether genetic predisposition to higher serum iron status biomarkers increased risk of dementia and atrophy of grey matter. METHODS We analysed UK Biobank participants clustered into European (N=451284), African (N=7477) and South Asian (N=9570) groups by genetic similarity to the 1000 genomes project. Using Mendelian randomisation methods, we estimated the association between genetically predicted serum iron (transferrin saturation [TSAT] and ferritin), grey matter volume and genetic liability to clinically defined dementia (including Alzheimer's disease [AD], non-AD dementia, and vascular dementia) from hospital and primary care records. We also performed time-to-event (competing risks) analysis of the TSAT polygenic score on risk of clinically defined non-AD dementia. RESULTS In Europeans, higher genetically predicted TSAT increased genetic liability to dementia (Odds Ratio [OR]: 1.15, 95% Confidence Intervals [CI] 1.04 to 1.26, p=0.0051), non-AD dementia (OR: 1.27, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.45, p=0.00018) and vascular dementia (OR: 1.37, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.69, p=0.0023), but not AD (OR: 1.00, 95% CI 0.86 to 1.15, p=0.97). Higher TSAT was also associated with increased risk of non-AD dementia in participants of African, but not South Asian groups. In survival analysis using a TSAT polygenic score, the effect was independent of apolipoprotein-E ε4 genotype (with adjustment subdistribution Hazard Ratio: 1.74, 95% CI 1.33 to 2.28, p=0.00006). Genetically predicted TSAT was associated with lower grey matter volume in caudate, putamen and thalamus, and not in other areas of interest. DISCUSSION Genetic evidence supports a causal relationship between higher TSAT and risk of clinically defined non-AD and vascular dementia, in European and African groups. This association appears to be independent of apolipoprotein-E ε4.
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Wannamethee SG, Atkins JL. Sarcopenic Obesity and Cardiometabolic Health and Mortality in Older Adults: a Growing Health Concern in an Ageing Population. Curr Diab Rep 2023; 23:307-314. [PMID: 37566368 PMCID: PMC10640508 DOI: 10.1007/s11892-023-01522-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 07/31/2023] [Indexed: 08/12/2023]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW Sarcopenic obesity (SO) is a growing public health problem in older adults. Whether SO confers higher risk of cardiometabolic disease and mortality than obesity or sarcopenia alone is still a matter of debate. We focus on recent findings on SO and cardiometabolic health and mortality in older adults. RECENT FINDINGS SO is associated with increased mortality compared to non-sarcopenic obesity, but similar mortality risk compared to sarcopenia without obesity. SO is associated with a higher risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD), diabetes, and physical disability than obesity or sarcopenia alone. SO, in the presence of diabetes, is associated with the highest risk of CVD and chronic kidney disease. A definition and diagnostic criteria for SO has recently been proposed (ESPEN and EASO). SO is associated with more adverse outcomes overall than sarcopenia or obesity alone. Future research is required to assess the impact of the new SO definition on health outcomes.
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Banfield LR, Knapp KM, Pilling LC, Melzer D, Atkins JL. Hemochromatosis Genetic Variants and Musculoskeletal Outcomes: 11.5-Year Follow-Up in the UK Biobank Cohort Study. JBMR Plus 2023; 7:e10794. [PMID: 37808392 PMCID: PMC10556271 DOI: 10.1002/jbm4.10794] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/16/2022] [Revised: 06/02/2023] [Accepted: 06/16/2023] [Indexed: 10/10/2023] Open
Abstract
The iron overload disorder hemochromatosis is primarily caused by the homozygous HFE p.C282Y variant, but the scale of excess related musculoskeletal morbidity is uncertain. We estimated hemochromatosis-genotype associations with clinically diagnosed musculoskeletal outcomes and joint replacement surgeries in the UK Biobank community cohort. A total of 451,143 European ancestry participants (40 to 70 years at baseline) were followed in hospital records (mean 11.5-years). Cox proportional hazards models estimated HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D associations with incident outcomes. Male p.C282Y homozygotes (n = 1294) had increased incidence of osteoarthritis (n = 52, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.12 [95% confidence interval, CI: 1.61 to 2.80]; p = 8.8 × 10-8), hip replacement (n = 88, HR: 1.84 [95% CI: 1.49 to 2.27]; p = 1.6 × 10-8), knee replacement (n = 61, HR: 1.54 [95% CI: 1.20 to 1.98]; p = 8.4 × 10-4), and ankle and shoulder replacement, compared to males with no HFE mutations. Cumulative incidence analysis, using Kaplan-Meier lifetable probabilities demonstrated 10.4% of male homozygotes were projected to develop osteoarthritis and 15.5% to have hip replacements by age 75, versus 5.0% and 8.7% respectively without mutations. Male p.C282Y homozygotes also had increased incidence of femoral fractures (n = 15, HR: 1.72 [95% CI: 1.03 to 2.87]; p = 0.04) and osteoporosis (n = 21, HR: 1.71 [95% CI: 1.11 to 2.64]; p = 0.02), although the latter association was limited to those with liver fibrosis/cirrhosis diagnoses. Female p.C282Y homozygotes had increased incidence of osteoarthritis only (n = 57, HR: 1.46, [95% CI: 1.12 to 1.89]; p = 0.01). Male p.C282Y/p.H63D compound heterozygotes experienced a modest increased risk of hip replacements (n = 234, HR: 1.17 [95% CI: 1.02 to 1.33], p = 0.02), but this did not pass multiple testing corrections. In this large community cohort, the p.C282Y homozygote genotype was associated with substantial excess musculoskeletal morbidity in males. Wider HFE genotype testing may be justified, including in orthopedic clinics serving higher HFE variant prevalence populations. © 2023 The Authors. JBMR Plus published by Wiley Periodicals LLC. on behalf of American Society for Bone and Mineral Research.
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Atkins JL, Lucas MR, Pilling LC, Melzer D. Letter to the editor regarding: "A haemochromatosis-causing HFE mutation is associated with SARS-CoV-2 susceptibility in the Czech population" clinica chimica acta 538 (2023) 211-215. Clin Chim Acta 2023; 542:117271. [PMID: 36921681 PMCID: PMC10009995 DOI: 10.1016/j.cca.2023.117271] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2023] [Revised: 02/23/2023] [Accepted: 02/23/2023] [Indexed: 03/14/2023]
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Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Melzer D. Genetic modifiers of penetrance to liver endpoints in HFE hemochromatosis: Associations in a large community cohort. Hepatology 2022; 76:1735-1745. [PMID: 35567766 PMCID: PMC9796074 DOI: 10.1002/hep.32575] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2022] [Revised: 05/11/2022] [Accepted: 05/11/2022] [Indexed: 12/30/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The iron overload condition hereditary hemochromatosis (HH) can cause liver cirrhosis and cancer, diabetes, and arthritis. Males homozygous for the p.C282Y missense mutation in the Homeostatin Iron Regulator (HFE) gene have greatest risk; yet, only a minority develop these conditions. We aimed to determine whether common genetic variants influencing iron levels or liver disease risk in the general population also modify clinical penetrance in HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D carriers. METHODS We studied 1294 male and 1596 female UK Biobank HFE p.C282Y homozygous participants of European ancestry with medical records up to 14 years after baseline assessment. Polygenic scores quantified genetic effects of blood iron biomarkers and relevant diseases (identified in the general population). Analyses were also performed in other HFE p.C282Y/p.H63D genotype groups. RESULTS In male p.C282Y homozygotes, a higher iron polygenic score increased the risk of liver fibrosis or cirrhosis diagnoses (odds ratio for the top 20% of iron polygenic score vs. the bottom 20% = 4.90: 95% confidence intervals, 1.63-14.73; p = 0.005), liver cancer, and osteoarthritis but not diabetes. A liver cirrhosis polygenic score was associated with liver cancer diagnoses. In female p.C282Y homozygotes, the osteoarthritis polygenic score was associated with increased osteoarthritis diagnoses and type-2 diabetes polygenic score with diabetes. However, the iron polygenic score was not robustly associated with diagnoses in p.C282Y female homozygotes or in other p.C282Y/p.H63D genotypes. CONCLUSIONS HFE p.C282Y homozygote penetrance to clinical disease in a large community cohort was partly explained by common genetic variants that influence iron and risks of related diagnoses in the general population, including polygenic scores in HH screening and diagnosis, may help in estimating prognosis and treatment planning.
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Atkins JL, Pilling LC, Torti SV, Torti FM, Kuchel GA, Melzer D. Hereditary Hemochromatosis Variant Associations with Incident Nonliver Malignancies: 11-Year Follow-up in UK Biobank. Cancer Epidemiol Biomarkers Prev 2022; 31:1780-1787. [PMID: 35709753 PMCID: PMC9444929 DOI: 10.1158/1055-9965.epi-22-0284] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/14/2022] [Revised: 05/13/2022] [Accepted: 06/14/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In European ancestry populations, iron overload disorder hereditary hemochromatosis is predominantly caused by HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D mutations. Male p.C282Y homozygotes have markedly increased hepatic malignancy incidence, but risks for other cancers in male and female homozygotes are unclear. METHODS 451,143 UK Biobank European ancestry participants (aged 40-70 years; 54.3% female) were followed (mean 11.6 years) via hospital admissions and national cancer registries. We estimated risks of any incident cancer (other than nonmelanoma and liver cancer) and common incident cancers [bladder, blood (with subanalyses of leukemia and lymphoma), bone, brain, breast, colorectal, kidney, lung, melanoma, esophageal, ovarian, pancreatic, prostate and stomach] in those with p.C282Y and p.H63D genotypes, compared with participants without HFE mutations. RESULTS Male p.C282Y homozygotes (n = 2,890, 12.1% with baseline diagnosed hereditary hemochromatosis) had increased incidence of prostate cancer [6.8% vs. 5.4% without mutations; HR = 1.32; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.07-1.63; P = 0.01; Bonferroni adjusted P = 0.17] during follow-up. In life table estimates from ages 40 to 75 years, 14.4% of male p.C282Y homozygotes are projected to develop prostate cancer (versus 10.7% without mutations, excess 3.8%; 95% CI, 1.3-6.8). No increases in risks were found for other studied cancers in male or female p.C282Y homozygotes, or in any other p.C282Y/p.H63D genotype groups of either sex. CONCLUSIONS In a large community sample of male p.C282Y homozygotes, there is suggestive evidence of increased prostate cancer incidence, with no evidence of excess of other studied (nonliver) cancers. IMPACT Replication of results in other large community genotyped cohorts are needed to confirm if clinical monitoring for prostate cancer is necessary in p.C282Y homozygous males.
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Pilling LC, Türkmen D, Fullalove H, Atkins JL, Delgado J, Kuo CL, Kuchel GA, Ferrucci L, Bowden J, Masoli JAH, Melzer D. Analysis of CYP2C19 genetic variants with ischaemic events in UK patients prescribed clopidogrel in primary care: a retrospective cohort study. BMJ Open 2021; 11:e053905. [PMID: 34903548 PMCID: PMC8671970 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2021-053905] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/01/2021] [Accepted: 11/18/2021] [Indexed: 01/01/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To determine whether CYP2C19 loss-of-function (LoF) alleles increase risk of ischaemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) in UK primary care patients prescribed clopidogrel. DESIGN Retrospective cohort analysis. SETTING Primary care practices in the UK from January 1999 to September 2017. PARTICIPANTS 7483 European-ancestry adults from the UK Biobank study with genetic and linked primary care data, aged 36-79 years at time of first clopidogrel prescription. INTERVENTIONS Clopidogrel prescription in primary care, mean duration 2.6 years (range 2 months to 18 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE Hospital inpatient-diagnosed ischaemic stroke, MI or angina while treated with clopidogrel. RESULTS 28.7% of participants carried at least one CYP2C19 LoF variant. LoF carriers had higher rates of incident ischaemic stroke while treated with clopidogrel compared with those without the variants (8 per 1000 person-years vs 5.2 per 1000 person-years; HR 1.53, 95% CIs 1.04 to 2.26, p=0.031). LoF carriers also had increased risk of MI (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.26, p=0.008). In combined analysis LoF carriers had increased risk of any ischaemic event (stroke or MI) (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.29, p=0.002). Adjustment for aspirin coprescription produced similar estimates. In lifetables using observed incidence rates, 22.5% (95% CI 14.4% to 34.0%) of CYP2C19 LoF carriers on clopidogrel were projected to develop an ischaemic stroke by age 79 (oldest age in the study), compared with 15.4% (95% CI 11.4% to 20.5%) in non-carriers, that is, 7.1% excess stroke incidence in LoF carriers by age 79. CONCLUSIONS A substantial proportion of the UK population carry genetic variants that reduce metabolism of clopidogrel to its active form. In family practice patients on clopidogrel, CYP2C19 LoF variants are associated with substantially higher incidence of ischaemic events. Genotype-guided selection of antiplatelet medications may improve outcomes in patients carrying CYP2C19 genetic variants.
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Atkins JL, Pilling LC, Heales CJ, Savage S, Kuo CL, Kuchel GA, Steffens DC, Melzer D. Hemochromatosis Mutations, Brain Iron Imaging, and Dementia in the UK Biobank Cohort. J Alzheimers Dis 2021; 79:1203-1211. [PMID: 33427739 PMCID: PMC7990419 DOI: 10.3233/jad-201080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/04/2023]
Abstract
Background:
Brain iron deposition occurs in dementia. In European ancestry populations, the HFE p.C282Y variant can cause iron overload and hemochromatosis, mostly in homozygous males.
Objective: To estimate p.C282Y associations with brain MRI features plus incident dementia diagnoses during follow-up in a large community cohort. Methods:
UK Biobank participants with follow-up hospitalization records (mean 10.5 years). MRI in 206 p.C282Y homozygotes versus 23,349 without variants, including T2* measures (lower values indicating more iron).
Results:
European ancestry participants included 2,890 p.C282Y homozygotes. Male p.C282Y homozygotes had lower T2* measures in areas including the putamen, thalamus, and hippocampus, compared to no HFE mutations. Incident dementia was more common in p.C282Y homozygous men (Hazard Ratio HR = 1.83; 95% CI 1.23 to 2.72, p = 0.003), as was delirium. There were no associations in homozygote women or in heterozygotes.
Conclusion:
Studies are needed of whether early iron reduction prevents or slows related brain pathologies in male HFE p.C282Y homozygotes.
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Atkins JL, Jylhävä J, Pedersen NL, Magnusson PK, Lu Y, Wang Y, Hägg S, Melzer D, Williams DM, Pilling LC. A genome-wide association study of the frailty index highlights brain pathways in ageing. Aging Cell 2021; 20:e13459. [PMID: 34431594 PMCID: PMC8441299 DOI: 10.1111/acel.13459] [Citation(s) in RCA: 93] [Impact Index Per Article: 31.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2019] [Revised: 07/14/2021] [Accepted: 08/06/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
Frailty is a common geriatric syndrome and strongly associated with disability, mortality and hospitalization. Frailty is commonly measured using the frailty index (FI), based on the accumulation of a number of health deficits during the life course. The mechanisms underlying FI are multifactorial and not well understood, but a genetic basis has been suggested with heritability estimates between 30 and 45%. Understanding the genetic determinants and biological mechanisms underpinning FI may help to delay or even prevent frailty. We performed a genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analysis of a frailty index in European descent UK Biobank participants (n = 164,610, 60-70 years) and Swedish TwinGene participants (n = 10,616, 41-87 years). FI calculation was based on 49 or 44 self-reported items on symptoms, disabilities and diagnosed diseases for UK Biobank and TwinGene, respectively. 14 loci were associated with the FI (p < 5*10-8 ). Many FI-associated loci have established associations with traits such as body mass index, cardiovascular disease, smoking, HLA proteins, depression and neuroticism; however, one appears to be novel. The estimated single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) heritability of the FI was 11% (0.11, SE 0.005). In enrichment analysis, genes expressed in the frontal cortex and hippocampus were significantly downregulated (adjusted p < 0.05). We also used Mendelian randomization to identify modifiable traits and exposures that may affect frailty risk, with a higher educational attainment genetic risk score being associated with a lower degree of frailty. Risk of frailty is influenced by many genetic factors, including well-known disease risk factors and mental health, with particular emphasis on pathways in the brain.
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Kuo CL, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Masoli JAH, Delgado J, Tignanelli C, Kuchel GA, Melzer D, Beckman KB, Levine ME. Biological Aging Predicts Vulnerability to COVID-19 Severity in UK Biobank Participants. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2021; 76:e133-e141. [PMID: 33684206 PMCID: PMC7989601 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glab060] [Citation(s) in RCA: 25] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/25/2020] [Indexed: 12/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Age and disease prevalence are the 2 biggest risk factors for Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) symptom severity and death. We therefore hypothesized that increased biological age, beyond chronological age, may be driving disease-related trends in COVID-19 severity. Methods Using the UK Biobank England data, we tested whether a biological age estimate (PhenoAge) measured more than a decade prior to the COVID-19 pandemic was predictive of 2 COVID-19 severity outcomes (inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality with inpatient test-confirmed COVID-19). Logistic regression models were used with adjustment for age at the pandemic, sex, ethnicity, baseline assessment centers, and preexisting diseases/conditions. Results Six hundred and thirteen participants tested positive at inpatient settings between March 16 and April 27, 2020, 154 of whom succumbed to COVID-19. PhenoAge was associated with increased risks of inpatient test positivity and COVID-19-related mortality (ORMortality = 1.63 per 5 years, 95% CI: 1.43–1.86, p = 4.7 × 10−13) adjusting for demographics including age at the pandemic. Further adjustment for preexisting diseases/conditions at baseline (ORM = 1.50, 95% CI: 1.30–1.73 per 5 years, p = 3.1 × 10−8) and at the early pandemic (ORM = 1.21, 95% CI: 1.04–1.40 per 5 years, p = .011) decreased the association. Conclusions PhenoAge measured in 2006–2010 was associated with COVID-19 severity outcomes more than 10 years later. These associations were partly accounted for by prevalent chronic diseases proximate to COVID-19 infection. Overall, our results suggest that aging biomarkers, like PhenoAge may capture long-term vulnerability to diseases like COVID-19, even before the accumulation of age-related comorbid conditions.
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Ni Lochlainn M, Cox NJ, Wilson T, Hayhoe RPG, Ramsay SE, Granic A, Isanejad M, Roberts HC, Wilson D, Welch C, Hurst C, Atkins JL, Mendonça N, Horner K, Tuttiett ER, Morgan Y, Heslop P, Williams EA, Steves CJ, Greig C, Draper J, Corish CA, Welch A, Witham MD, Sayer AA, Robinson S. Nutrition and Frailty: Opportunities for Prevention and Treatment. Nutrients 2021; 13:2349. [PMID: 34371858 PMCID: PMC8308545 DOI: 10.3390/nu13072349] [Citation(s) in RCA: 89] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/27/2021] [Revised: 06/28/2021] [Accepted: 07/07/2021] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Frailty is a syndrome of growing importance given the global ageing population. While frailty is a multifactorial process, poor nutritional status is considered a key contributor to its pathophysiology. As nutrition is a modifiable risk factor for frailty, strategies to prevent and treat frailty should consider dietary change. Observational evidence linking nutrition with frailty appears most robust for dietary quality: for example, dietary patterns such as the Mediterranean diet appear to be protective. In addition, research on specific foods, such as a higher consumption of fruit and vegetables and lower consumption of ultra-processed foods are consistent, with healthier profiles linked to lower frailty risk. Few dietary intervention studies have been conducted to date, although a growing number of trials that combine supplementation with exercise training suggest a multi-domain approach may be more effective. This review is based on an interdisciplinary workshop, held in November 2020, and synthesises current understanding of dietary influences on frailty, focusing on opportunities for prevention and treatment. Longer term prospective studies and well-designed trials are needed to determine the causal effects of nutrition on frailty risk and progression and how dietary change can be used to prevent and/or treat frailty in the future.
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Kuo CL, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Fortinsky RH, Kuchel GA, Melzer D. APOE e4 genotypes increase risk of delirium during COVID-19 related hospitalizations: evidence from a large United Kingdom cohort. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2021; 77:879-880. [PMID: 34171089 PMCID: PMC8344705 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glab184] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/10/2021] [Indexed: 11/29/2022] Open
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Kuo C, Pilling LC, Liu Z, Atkins JL, Levine ME. Genetic associations for two biological age measures point to distinct aging phenotypes. Aging Cell 2021; 20:e13376. [PMID: 34038024 PMCID: PMC8208797 DOI: 10.1111/acel.13376] [Citation(s) in RCA: 45] [Impact Index Per Article: 15.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2020] [Revised: 03/16/2021] [Accepted: 04/04/2021] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Biological age measures outperform chronological age in predicting various aging outcomes, yet little is known regarding genetic predisposition. We performed genome-wide association scans of two age-adjusted biological age measures (PhenoAgeAcceleration and BioAgeAcceleration), estimated from clinical biochemistry markers (Levine et al., 2018; Levine, 2013) in European-descent participants from UK Biobank. The strongest signals were found in the APOE gene, tagged by the two major protein-coding SNPs, PhenoAgeAccel-rs429358 (APOE e4 determinant) (p = 1.50 × 10-72 ); BioAgeAccel-rs7412 (APOE e2 determinant) (p = 3.16 × 10-60 ). Interestingly, we observed inverse APOE e2 and e4 associations and unique pathway enrichments when comparing the two biological age measures. Genes associated with BioAgeAccel were enriched in lipid related pathways, while genes associated with PhenoAgeAccel showed enrichment for immune system, cell function, and carbohydrate homeostasis pathways, suggesting the two measures capture different aging domains. Our study reaffirms that aging patterns are heterogeneous across individuals, and the manner in which a person ages may be partly attributed to genetic predisposition.
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Jones G, Trajanoska K, Santanasto AJ, Stringa N, Kuo CL, Atkins JL, Lewis JR, Duong T, Hong S, Biggs ML, Luan J, Sarnowski C, Lunetta KL, Tanaka T, Wojczynski MK, Cvejkus R, Nethander M, Ghasemi S, Yang J, Zillikens MC, Walter S, Sicinski K, Kague E, Ackert-Bicknell CL, Arking DE, Windham BG, Boerwinkle E, Grove ML, Graff M, Spira D, Demuth I, van der Velde N, de Groot LCPGM, Psaty BM, Odden MC, Fohner AE, Langenberg C, Wareham NJ, Bandinelli S, van Schoor NM, Huisman M, Tan Q, Zmuda J, Mellström D, Karlsson M, Bennett DA, Buchman AS, De Jager PL, Uitterlinden AG, Völker U, Kocher T, Teumer A, Rodriguéz-Mañas L, García FJ, Carnicero JA, Herd P, Bertram L, Ohlsson C, Murabito JM, Melzer D, Kuchel GA, Ferrucci L, Karasik D, Rivadeneira F, Kiel DP, Pilling LC. Genome-wide meta-analysis of muscle weakness identifies 15 susceptibility loci in older men and women. Nat Commun 2021; 12:654. [PMID: 33510174 PMCID: PMC7844411 DOI: 10.1038/s41467-021-20918-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 87] [Impact Index Per Article: 29.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/13/2020] [Accepted: 12/22/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Low muscle strength is an important heritable indicator of poor health linked to morbidity and mortality in older people. In a genome-wide association study meta-analysis of 256,523 Europeans aged 60 years and over from 22 cohorts we identify 15 loci associated with muscle weakness (European Working Group on Sarcopenia in Older People definition: n = 48,596 cases, 18.9% of total), including 12 loci not implicated in previous analyses of continuous measures of grip strength. Loci include genes reportedly involved in autoimmune disease (HLA-DQA1 p = 4 × 10-17), arthritis (GDF5 p = 4 × 10-13), cell cycle control and cancer protection, regulation of transcription, and others involved in the development and maintenance of the musculoskeletal system. Using Mendelian randomization we report possible overlapping causal pathways, including diabetes susceptibility, haematological parameters, and the immune system. We conclude that muscle weakness in older adults has distinct mechanisms from continuous strength, including several pathways considered to be hallmarks of ageing.
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Atkins JL, Pilling LC, Masoli JAH, Kuo CL, Shearman JD, Adams PC, Melzer D. Association of Hemochromatosis HFE p.C282Y Homozygosity With Hepatic Malignancy. JAMA 2020; 324:2048-2057. [PMID: 33231665 PMCID: PMC7686863 DOI: 10.1001/jama.2020.21566] [Citation(s) in RCA: 31] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
IMPORTANCE Hereditary hemochromatosis is predominantly caused by the HFE p.C282Y homozygous pathogenic variant. Liver carcinoma and mortality risks are increased in individuals with clinically diagnosed hereditary hemochromatosis, but risks are unclear in mostly undiagnosed p.C282Y homozygotes identified in community genotyping. OBJECTIVE To estimate the incidence of primary hepatic carcinoma and death by HFE variant status. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS Cohort study of 451 186 UK Biobank participants of European ancestry (aged 40-70 years), followed up from baseline assessment (2006-2010) until January 2018. EXPOSURES Men and women with HFE p.C282Y and p.H63D genotypes compared with those with neither HFE variants. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Two linked co-primary outcomes (incident primary liver carcinoma and death from any cause) were ascertained from follow-up via hospital inpatient records, national cancer registry, and death certificate records, and from primary care data among a subset of participants for whom data were available. Associations between genotype and outcomes were tested using Cox regression adjusted for age, assessment center, genotyping array, and population genetics substructure. Kaplan-Meier lifetable probabilities of incident diagnoses were estimated from age 40 to 75 years by HFE genotype and sex. RESULTS A total of 451 186 participants (mean [SD] age, 56.8 [8.0] years; 54.3% women) were followed up for a median (interquartile range) of 8.9 (8.3-9.5) years. Among the 1294 male p.C282Y homozygotes, there were 21 incident hepatic malignancies, 10 of which were in participants without a diagnosis of hemochromatosis at baseline. p.C282Y homozygous men had a higher risk of hepatic malignancies (hazard ratio [HR], 10.5 [95% CI, 6.6-16.7]; P < .001) and all-cause mortality (n = 88; HR, 1.2 [95% CI, 1.0-1.5]; P = .046) compared with men with neither HFE variant. In lifetables projections for male p.C282Y homozygotes to age 75 years, the risk of primary hepatic malignancy was 7.2% (95% CI, 3.9%-13.1%), compared with 0.6% (95% CI, 0.4%-0.7%) for men with neither variant, and the risk of death was 19.5% (95% CI, 15.8%-24.0%), compared with 15.1% (95% CI, 14.7%-15.5%) among men with neither variant. Among female p.C282Y homozygotes (n = 1596), there were 3 incident hepatic malignancies and 60 deaths, but the associations between homozygosity and hepatic malignancy (HR, 2.1 [95% CI, 0.7-6.5]; P = .22) and death (HR, 1.2 [95% CI, 0.9-1.5]; P = .20) were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Among men with HFE p.C282Y homozygosity, there was a significantly increased risk of incident primary hepatic malignancy and death compared with men without p.C282Y or p.H63D variants; there was not a significant association for women. Further research is needed to understand the effects of early diagnosis and treatment.
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Atkins JL, Masoli JAH, Delgado J, Pilling LC, Kuo CL, Kuchel GA, Melzer D. Preexisting Comorbidities Predicting COVID-19 and Mortality in the UK Biobank Community Cohort. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2020; 75:2224-2230. [PMID: 32687551 PMCID: PMC7454409 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glaa183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 311] [Impact Index Per Article: 77.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/30/2020] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Hospitalized COVID-19 patients tend to be older and frequently have hypertension, diabetes, or coronary heart disease, but whether these comorbidities are true risk factors (ie, more common than in the general older population) is unclear. We estimated associations between preexisting diagnoses and hospitalized COVID-19 alone or with mortality, in a large community cohort. METHODS UK Biobank (England) participants with baseline assessment 2006-2010, followed in hospital discharge records to 2017 and death records to 2020. Demographic and preexisting common diagnoses association tested with hospitalized laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 (March 16 to April 26, 2020), alone or with mortality, in logistic models. RESULTS Of 269 070 participants aged older than 65, 507 (0.2%) became COVID-19 hospital inpatients, of which 141 (27.8%) died. Common comorbidities in hospitalized inpatients were hypertension (59.6%), history of fall or fragility fractures (29.4%), coronary heart disease (21.5%), type 2 diabetes (type 2, 19. 9%), and asthma (17.6%). However, in models adjusted for comorbidities, age group, sex, ethnicity, and education, preexisting diagnoses of dementia, type 2 diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, pneumonia, depression, atrial fibrillation, and hypertension emerged as independent risk factors for COVID-19 hospitalization, the first 5 remaining statistically significant for related mortality. Chronic kidney disease and asthma were risk factors for COVID-19 hospitalization in women but not men. CONCLUSIONS There are specific high-risk preexisting comorbidities for COVID-19 hospitalization and related deaths in community-based older men and women. These results do not support simple age-based targeting of the older population to prevent severe COVID-19 infections.
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Kuo CL, Pilling LC, Atkins JL, Masoli JAH, Delgado J, Kuchel GA, Melzer D. APOE e4 Genotype Predicts Severe COVID-19 in the UK Biobank Community Cohort. J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci 2020; 75:2231-2232. [PMID: 32451547 PMCID: PMC7314139 DOI: 10.1093/gerona/glaa131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 256] [Impact Index Per Article: 64.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
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Pilling LC, Jones LC, Masoli JAH, Delgado J, Atkins JL, Bowden J, Fortinsky RH, Kuchel GA, Melzer D. Low Vitamin D Levels and Risk of Incident Delirium in 351,000 Older UK Biobank Participants. J Am Geriatr Soc 2020; 69:365-372. [PMID: 33017050 DOI: 10.1111/jgs.16853] [Citation(s) in RCA: 19] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2020] [Revised: 08/27/2020] [Accepted: 08/27/2020] [Indexed: 01/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES Delirium is common in older adults, especially following hospitalization. Because low vitamin D levels may be associated with increased delirium risk, we aimed to determine the prognostic value of blood vitamin D levels, extending our previous genetic analyses of this relationship. DESIGN Prospective cohort analysis. SETTING Community-based cohort study of adults from 22 cities across the United Kingdom (the UK Biobank). PARTICIPANTS Adults aged 60 and older by the end of follow-up in the linked hospital inpatient admissions data, up to 14 years after baseline (n = 351,320). MEASUREMENTS At baseline, serum vitamin D (25-OH-D) levels were measured. We used time-to-event models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the association between vitamin D deficiency and incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, adjusted for age, sex, assessment month, assessment center, and ethnicity. We performed Mendelian randomization genetic analysis in European participants to further investigate vitamin D and delirium risk. RESULTS A total of 3,634 (1.03%) participants had at least one incident hospital-diagnosed delirium episode. Vitamin D deficiency (<25 nmol/L) predicted a large incidence in delirium (HR = 2.49; 95% CI = 2.24-2.76; P = 3*10-68 , compared with >50 nmol/L). Increased risk was not limited to the deficient group: insufficient levels (25-50 nmol/L) were also at increased risk (HR = 1.38; 95% CI = 1.28-1.49; P = 4*10-18 ). The association was independent of calcium levels, hospital-diagnosed fractures, dementia, and other relevant cofactors. In genetic analysis, participants carrying more vitamin D-increasing variants had a reduced likelihood of incident delirium diagnosis (HR = .80 per standard deviation increase in genetically instrumented vitamin D: .73-.87; P = 2*10-7 ). CONCLUSION Progressively lower vitamin D levels predicted increased risks of incident hospital-diagnosed delirium, and genetic evidence supports a shared causal pathway. Because low vitamin D levels are simple to detect and inexpensive and safe to correct, an intervention trial to confirm these results is urgently needed.
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