Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: exploring clinicopathological trends and racial disparities in a comprehensive U.S. population-based study

INTRODUCTION

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is a highly aggressive malignancy about 50% of PDAC are metastatic at presentation. In this study, we evaluated PDAC demographics, annual trend analysis, racial disparities, survival rate, and the role of different treatment modalities in localized and metastatic disease.

METHODS

A total of 144,824 cases of PDAC were obtained from the SEER database from 2000 to 2018.

RESULTS

The median age was 69 years, with a slightly higher incidence in males (52%) and 80% of all cases were white. Among cases with available data, 43% were grade III tumors and 57% were metastatic. The most common site of metastasis was the liver (15.7%). The annual incidence has increased steadily from 2000 to 2018. The overall observed (OS) 5-year survival rate was 4.4% (95% CI 4.3-4.6%), and 5 years cause-specific survival (CSS) was 5% (95% CI 5.1-5.4%). The 5-year survival with multimodal therapy (chemotherapy, surgery, and radiation) was 22% (95% CI 20.5-22.8%). 5-year CSS for the blacks was lower at 4.7% (95% CI 4.2-5.1%) compared to the whites at 5.3% (95% CI 5.1-5.4%). Multivariate analysis found male gender and black race associated with worse prognosis. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis found multimodal therapy to have the best outcomes in all three stages.

CONCLUSION

PDAC is an aggressive malignancy with male gender and black race are associated with a poor prognosis. Surgery with chemoradiation was associated with the best overall survival. With steadily increasing rates of PDAC, improved treatment modalities are paramount to improving survival in these patients.

Surveillance for Distant Metastasis in Breast Cancer Patients Who Underwent Contemporary Management: A Report from the Korean Breast Cancer Society Survivor Research Group

BACKGROUND

Current guidelines recommend against the use of routine imaging tests to detect distant metastasis in asymptomatic breast cancer patients. However, recent advancements in effective therapeutics and diagnostic accuracy have raised the need to reassess the clinical efficacy of intensive metastasis surveillance. We report the results of a multicenter retrospective study to investigate the association between intensive imaging studies and survival outcomes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data of 4130 patients who underwent surgery from 11 hospitals in Korea between January 2010 and December 2011. Patients were divided into two groups on the basis of the intensity of metastasis imaging studies during their disease-free period. The types and intervals of the imaging studies were based on each physician's decisions.

RESULTS

High-intensive screening showed a shorter distant metastasis-free survival [p < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) 1.62; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.29-2.04], especially for patients in whom bone or lung was the first site of metastasis. With a median follow-up period of 110.0 months, the 5-year breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) rate was 96.5%. The high-intensity screening group showed significantly poorer BCSS compared with the low-intensity screening group (p < 0.001, HR 3.13; 95% CI 2.32-4.21). However, both multivariable analysis and propensity score matching analysis showed no significant association between the screening intensity and BCSS.

CONCLUSIONS

Frequent imaging studies to detect distant metastasis were associated with earlier detection of distant metastasis, especially for lung and bone metastasis. However, intensive surveillance showed no apparent association with BCSS despite the use of currently available treatments.

Safety and Efficacy of Conversion Therapy After Systemic Chemotherapy in Advanced Esophageal Cancer with Distant Metastases: A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) with distant metastasis were treated with systemic chemotherapy. Recent advances in multimodal treatments have made conversion therapy a viable option for patients with incurable ESCC.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to assess the safety and efficacy of conversion therapy for ESCC with distant metastases.

METHODS

Conversion therapy was defined as surgery or chemoradiotherapy (CRT) used to cure tumors that were previously considered incurable because of distant metastasis. We conducted a retrospective review of patients who underwent ESCC conversion therapy and assessed the treatment outcomes, including adverse events and survival rates.

RESULTS

A total of 147 patients from 22 institutions were included. Systemic chemotherapy was initially administered to all patients. The most common M1 factor was the para-aortic lymph node, accounting for 55% of cases. Following the initial treatment, 116 patients underwent surgery, with 31 receiving CRT as conversion therapy. Postoperative complications in surgery patients included pneumonia (16%), anastomotic leakage (7%), and recurrent laryngeal nerve palsy (6%). During CRT, 18% of patients developed grade 3 or higher non-hematological toxicities. The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 31.7%. Pathological responders had significantly longer OS than non-responders (hazard ratio 0.493, p = 0.012). The distribution of distant metastasis, regimen type, clinical response, and conversion therapy modality did not have a significant impact on OS.

CONCLUSIONS

Conversion therapy can be safely performed for ESCC with distant metastasis and has a favorable prognosis.

Colorectal Adenosquamous Carcinoma: Demographics, Tumor Characteristics, and Survival Benefits of Surgery with Chemoradiation

BACKGROUND

Colorectal adenosquamous carcinoma (ASC) is a rare subtype of colorectal carcinoma. This study presents findings from a large database query to highlight the demographic, clinical, and pathological factors, prognosis, and survival of colorectal ASC.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database was used to identify patients with colorectal ASC diagnosed between 2000 and 2020 and assess factors associated with overall survival (OS) and cause-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Among 284 identified cases, the median age of diagnosis was 64 years. The majority of patients were White (69.0%), with income ≤ $70,000 ( 62.3%), and lived in metropolitan areas (85.6%). Regarding tumor characteristics, the majority of tumors were poorly differentiated (49.6%), regional stage (39.8%), size of > 4.0 cm ( 41.5%), and had a negative lymph node status (47.2%). Primary sites were the rectum (35.2%) and colon ( 64.8%). In patients with primary site to the rectum, the majority of treatment modality was multimodal therapy (40.0%). The main treatment modality for the primary site to the colon was surgery only (46.2%), followed by surgery + chemotherapy (34.2%). The overall 5-year survival was 31.3 (95% C.I. 28.4-34.2) and the 5-year cause-specific survival (CSS) was 40.1% (95% C.I. 36.9-43.3). Multivariate analysis showed age ≥ 60 years, regional stage, and distant stage were negative prognostic factors. An income of > $70,000, multimodal therapy, and surgery with chemotherapy were positive prognostic factors.

CONCLUSION

Colorectal adenosquamous carcinomas are more common in the non-Hispanic White populations and appear more frequently later in life (based on the median age of diagnosis at 64). Factors that contributed to a worse prognosis were an age of diagnosis ≥ 60 years, regional stage, and distant stage.

Establishment of a nomogram model for predicting distant metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a comparative analysis of different lymph node staging systems based on the SEER database

The purpose of this study was to compare the predictive value of different lymph node staging systems and to develop an optimal prognostic nomogram for predicting distant metastasis in pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Our study involved 6364 patients selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database and 126 patients from China. Independent risk factors for distant metastasis were screened by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, and a model-based comparison of different lymph node staging systems was conducted. Furthermore, we developed a nomogram for predicting distant metastasis using the optimal performance lymph node staging system. The lymph node ratio (LNR), log odds of positive lymph nodes (LODDS), age, primary site, grade, tumor size, American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) 7th Edition T stage, and radiotherapy recipient status were significant predictors of distant metastasis in PDAC patients. The model with the LODDS was a better fit than the model with the LNR. We developed a nomogram model based on LODDS and six clinical parameters. The area under the curve (AUC) and concordance index (C-index) of 0.753 indicated that this model satisfied the discrimination criteria. Kaplan-Meier curves indicate a significant difference in OS among patients with different metastasis risks. LODDS seems to have a superior ability to predict distant metastasis in PDAC patients compared with the AJCC 8th Edition N stage, PLN and LNR staging systems. Moreover, we developed a nomogram model for predicting distant metastasis. Clinicians can use the model to detect patients at high risk of distant metastasis and to make further clinical decisions.

Survival After Contralateral Axillary Metastasis in Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Despite stage IV categorization, survival outcomes for breast cancer patients who experience contralateral axillary lymph node metastasis (CAM) remain uncertain. This study aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes for patients with metachronous CAM to provide insights into its prognosis and treatment recommendations.

METHODS

This study retrospectively reviewed medical records of patients who underwent curative surgery for breast cancer and experienced CAM as the first site of distant metastasis (DM) during the follow-up period between January 2001 and April 2023. Survival outcomes of the CAM patients were compared with those of breast cancer patients with other DM via propensity score-matching (PSM).

RESULTS

The study identified 40 breast cancer patients with metachronous CAM. The estimated 5-year overall survival (OS) was 39.6%, and the progression-free survival was 39.4%. The patients with CAM exhibited marginally better OS than the patients with DM (p = 0.071), but survival similar to that of the patients with isolated supraclavicular node recurrence (SCN) (p = 0.509). Moreover, matching of CAM with DM using two PSM models showed a consistently insignificant survival difference (hazard ratio [HR], 1.47; p = 0.124 vs. HR, 1.19; p = 0.542). Ipsilateral breast tumor recurrences (IBTRs) were experienced by 12 patients before or concurrently with the CAM. These patients exhibited significantly better survival than the remaining patients (HR, 0.28; p = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

The breast cancer patients with CAM showed survival similar to that for the patients with DM, supporting the current stage IV classification of the CAM. However, CAM associated with IBTR exhibited superior survival outcomes, suggesting that this subset of CAM may benefit from treatments with curative intent.

Rectus Abdominis Muscle Metastasis of Oral Tongue Squamous Cell Carcinoma:A Rare Clinical Entity

Distant metastasis of oral squamous cell carcinoma to skeletal muscles is an extremely rare entity and is an indicator of poor prognosis for the patient. We present a case of oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma that metastasized to the rectus abdominis muscle and clinically became symptomatic nine months after curative surgery of the primary.

A nomogram predicting distant metastasis risk for gastric cancer patients with preoperative anemia: a multicenter retrospective study

BACKGROUND

Anemia represents a well-established risk factor for patients diagnosed with gastric cancer, and is often associated with an unfavorable prognosis. In this context, the timely prediction of distant metastasis risk in patients with anemic gastric cancer assumes paramount importance.

METHODS

Information of gastric cancer patients complicated with preoperative anemia in the First Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University was collected. The cohort from the First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University was used as an external validation set. A Nomogram was established based on the risk factors screened by univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 848 gastric cancer patients with preoperative anemia were enrolled. Pyloric obstruction, carcinoma antigen 125, T stage, N stage, tumor size, and preoperative weight loss were independent predictors of distant metastasis in gastric cancer patients with anemia (p < 0.05), based on which a nomogram was constructed. The accuracy, reliability and clinical value of the nomogram were evaluated by concordance index, receiver operating characteristic curve, decision curve analysis, calibration curve and showed good stability and clinical predictive value.

CONCLUSIONS

Preoperative anemic gastric cancer patients, complicated with pyloric obstruction, elevated CA125, advanced T and N stage, larger tumor size, and preoperative weight loss, should be paid more attention to distant metastasis.

Improved survival after primary tumor resection in distant metastasis medullary thyroid carcinoma: a population-based cohort study with propensity score matching

Few studies have investigated the impact of primary tumor resection (PTR) on patients with distant metastasis medullary thyroid carcinoma (DMMTC). This population-based study aims to assess the application of PTR in DMMTC patients, ascertain its benefits, and identify optimal surgical indications. DMMTC Patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2020 were included through the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program. Logistic regression analysis identified driving factors of surgical decision-making. Propensity score matching (PSM), Kaplan-Meier method, and Cox regression were utilized to compare overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS) between surgical and non-surgical groups. Subgroup analyses were performed to determine optimal surgical indications. Of 238 DMMTC patients included, 122 (51.3%) patients underwent PTR. Extrathyroidal extension and N1 stage emerged as independent factors promoting the surgical decision. PSM-adjusted survival analyses revealed significant advantages in both OS and DSS for the surgical group. Moreover, subgroup analyses indicated that except for patients aged ≥ 65 years, tumors ≤ 20 mm, or with multiple metastasized sites (> 1), the others significantly benefit from PTR. PTR significantly improves prognosis in selected DMMTC patients. The decision to undergo PTR in other patients should be based on a comprehensive assessment of the disease, surgeon's experience, and family discussions for potential survival benefits.

Genomic profiling of lymph node and distant metastases from papillary and poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas

PURPOSE

To perform a molecular profiling of the metastases from papillary thyroid carcinomas (PTCs) and poorly differentiated thyroid carcinomas (PDTCs).

METHODS

We retrieved and analyzed the molecular and clinical features of 136 metastases from PTCs and 35 metastases from PDTCs subjected to targeted DNA sequencing, from cBioPortal. The clinicopathological data included the number and location of the metastases, and genomic data included mutations, translocations, copy number alterations and fraction of the genome altered (FGA).

RESULTS

Bone metastases from PTCs had a lower frequency of BRAF mutations than the lymph node metastases (LNMs) (43% vs 88%, p < 0.01), and a higher frequency of RBM10 and NRAS mutations than the LNMs (21% vs 3% for both, p < 0.05). The FGA of the bone metastases was higher than the FGA of the lung metastases (5.6% vs 1.3%, p < 0.05). The frequency of RET translocations was higher in the lung metastases from PTCs than the LNMs (15% vs 3%, p < 0.05). The LNMs from PTC patients harboring 4 or more distant metastases (DMs) had a higher frequency of TERT promoter mutations than the LNMs from patients harboring less than 4 DMs (96% vs 65%, p < 0.001). SDHA gene amplifications were enriched in the bone metastases from PDTCs and absent in the LNMs (38% vs 0%, p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

Metastases from PTCs and PDTCs harbor clinically relevant alterations affecting distinct body locations, such as NRAS and RBM10 mutations, RET translocations and SDHA amplifications that may be explored therapeutically.

Clinicopathological spectrum, management, and outcome of ectopic parathyroid carcinoma: Experience with 24 cases

PURPOSE

Ectopic parathyroid carcinoma (EPC) is a rare clinical entity with multiple diagnostic pitfalls, making surgical cures challenging. We assessed the clinicopathological spectrum and outcome of EPCs.

METHODS

In this retrospective cohort study, 24 EPCs were identified from 133 PC patients treated at a tertiary referral center. The relationship between clinicopathological findings and locations was analyzed.

RESULTS

The locations of EPCs were predominantly intrathyroidal (62.5%), followed by 16.7% in the mediastinum, 8.3% in the retropharyngeal space, 8.3% in the carotid sheath, and 4.2% in the upper neck. Intrathyroidal EPC patients experienced higher serum calcium (p = 0.020), a higher rate of vascular invasion (p = 0.040), and a slightly higher incidence of non-R0 initial resection (p = 0.092) than those in other ectopic locations. Intrathyroidal EPC patients also suffered a trend of higher upper aerodigestive tract (UAT) invasion rate (p = 0.070) and higher risks of distant metastasis (p = 0.037) than the other PC patients. The 5-year disease-free survival rate after surgery was slightly compromised at 41.5% in intrathyroidal EPC patients compared with 77.8% among those in other ectopic locations (p = 0.143) and 59.7% among the other PC patients (log-rank = 3.194; p = 0.074), though without statistical significance.

CONCLUSION

Intrathyroidal EPC might cause a more biochemically and invasively distinct PC picture compared with other PCs. Special caution should be exercised in the preoperative diagnosis and management of such cases.

A nomogram combining neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) to predict distant metastasis in gastric cancer

In this study, We aim to explore the association between the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR), systemic immune-inflammatory index (SII), lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) and prognostic nutritional index (PNI) and distant metastasis of gastric cancer and develop an efficient nomogram for screening patients with distant metastasis. A total of 1281 inpatients with gastric cancer were enrolled and divided into the training and validation set.Univariate, Lasso regression and Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis was used to identify the risk factors of distant metastasis. The independent predictive factors were then enrolled in the nomogram model. The nomogram's predictive perform and clinical practicality was evaluated by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curves, calibration curves and decision curve analysis. Multivariate Logistic Regression Analysis identified D-dimer, CA199, CA125, NLR and PNI as independent predictive factors. The area under the curve of our nomogram based on these factors was 0.838 in the training cohort and 0.811 in the validation cohort. The calibration plots and decision curves demonstrated the nomogram's good predictive performance and clinical practicality in both training and validation cohort. Therefore,our nomogram could be an important tool for clinicians in screening gastric cancer patients with distant metastasis.

Efficacy of metastatic lesion radiotherapy in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma: A multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the efficacy of metastatic lesion radiotherapy (MLRT) in patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with mNPC from three institutions were included in this study. Propensity score matching (PSM) was employed to ensure comparability between patient groups. Overall survival (OS) rates were assessed using the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate Cox hazard analyses. Subgroup analyses were conducted to assess the effects of MLRT on specific patient populations.

RESULTS

We analyzed data from 1157 patients with mNPC. Patients who received MLRT had significantly better OS than those who did not, both in the original (28 vs. 21 months) and PSM cohorts (26 vs. 23 months). MLRT was identified as an independent favorable predictor of OS in multivariate analyses, with hazard ratios of 0.67. The subgroup analysis results indicated that radiotherapy effectively treated liver, lung, and bone metastatic lesions, particularly in patients with a limited tumor burden. Higher total radiation doses of MLRT (biologically effective dose (BED) ≥ 56 Gy) were associated with improved OS, while neither radiation technique nor dose fractionation independently influenced prognosis.

CONCLUSIONS

MLRT offers survival advantages to patients diagnosed with mNPC. Patients with limited metastatic burden derive the most benefit from MLRT, and the recommended regimen for MLRT is a minimum BED of 56 Gy for optimal outcomes.

The U-Shaped association between age and distant metastasis in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma

PURPOSE

To investigate the association between age distribution and synchronous distant metastasis of papillary thyroid carcinoma.

METHOD

Patients with PTC who were treated from January 2013 to December 2018 at a single institute in a cancer referral center in China were retrospectively reviewed. A logistic regression model with restricted cubic splines (RCS) was used to examine the association between age at diagnosis and synchronous distant metastasis.

RESULTS

A total of 111 patients (0.7%) were diagnosed with distant metastasis. The logistic regression model with RCS revealed a "U-shape" association between age and distant metastasis. The RCS curve suggested a U-shaped pattern. The multivariable regression analysis showed that patients in the age groups ≤21 years (OR 2.33, 95% CI 1.09-4.68, P = 0.022) and >55 years (OR 3.32, 95% CI 1.99-5.46, P < 0.001) had a significantly higher incidence of distant metastasis than patients in the age group of 22 to 55 years.

CONCLUSIONS

A U-shaped association was observed between age at diagnosis and synchronous distant metastasis in papillary thyroid carcinoma patients.

Predicting distant metastasis in nasopharyngeal carcinoma using gradient boosting tree model based on detailed magnetic resonance imaging reports

BACKGROUND

Development of distant metastasis (DM) is a major concern during treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC). However, studies have demonstrated improved distant control and survival in patients with advanced NPC with the addition of chemotherapy to concomitant chemoradiotherapy. Therefore, precise prediction of metastasis in patients with NPC is crucial.

AIM

To develop a predictive model for metastasis in NPC using detailed magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) reports.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 792 patients with non-distant metastatic NPC. A total of 469 imaging variables were obtained from detailed MRI reports. Data were stratified and randomly split into training (50%) and testing sets. Gradient boosting tree (GBT) models were built and used to select variables for predicting DM. A full model comprising all variables and a reduced model with the top-five variables were built. Model performance was assessed by area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Among the 792 patients, 94 developed DM during follow-up. The number of metastatic cervical nodes (30.9%), tumor invasion in the posterior half of the nasal cavity (9.7%), two sides of the pharyngeal recess (6.2%), tubal torus (3.3%), and single side of the parapharyngeal space (2.7%) were the top-five contributors for predicting DM, based on their relative importance in GBT models. The testing AUC of the full model was 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.69-0.82). The testing AUC of the reduced model was 0.75 (95%CI: 0.68-0.82). For the whole dataset, the full (AUC = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.72-0.82) and reduced models (AUC = 0.76, 95%CI: 0.71-0.81) outperformed the tumor node-staging system (AUC = 0.67, 95%CI: 0.61-0.73).

CONCLUSION

The GBT model outperformed the tumor node-staging system in predicting metastasis in NPC. The number of metastatic cervical nodes was identified as the principal contributing variable.

Construction of a nomogram for predicting HNSCC distant metastasis and identification of EIF5A as a hub gene

Patients with distant metastasis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) often have a poor prognosis. However, early diagnosis of distant metastasis is challenging in clinical practice, and distant metastasis is often only detected in the late stages of tumor metastasis through imaging techniques. In this study, we utilized data from HNSCC patients collected from the TCGA database. Patients were divided into distant metastasis and nonmetastasis groups based on the tumor-node-metastasis (TNM) stage. We analyzed the differentially expressed genes between the two groups (DM/non-M DEGs) and their associated lncRNAs and generated a predictive model based on 23 lncRNAs that were significantly associated with the occurrence of distant metastasis in HNSCC patients. On this basis, we built a nomogram to predict the distant metastasis of HNSCC patients. Moreover, through WGCNA and Cytoscape software analysis of DM/non-M DEGs, we identified the gene most closely related to HNSCC distant metastasis: EIF5A. Our findings were validated using GEO data; EIF5A expression was significantly increased in the tumor tissues of HNSCC patients with distant metastasis. We then predicted miRNAs that can directly bind to EIF5A via the TargetScan and miRWalk websites, intersected them with differentially expressed miRNAs in the two groups from the TCGA cohort, and identified the only overlapping miRNA, miR-424; we predicted the direct binding site of EIF5A and miR-424 via the miRWalk website. Immunohistochemistry further revealed high expression of EIF5A in the primary tumor tissue of HNSCC patients with distant metastasis. These results provide a new perspective for the early diagnosis of distant metastasis in HNSCC patients and the study of the mechanisms underlying HNSCC distant metastasis.

Establishing subdivisions of M1 stage nasopharyngeal carcinoma based on decision tree classification: A multicenter retrospective study

OBJECTIVES

To meet the demand for personalized treatment, effective stratification of patients with metastatic nasopharyngeal carcinoma (mNPC) is essential. Hence, our study aimed to establish an M1 subdivision for prognostic prediction and treatment planning in patients with mNPC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study included 1239 patients with mNPC from three medical centers divided into the synchronous mNPC cohort (smNPC, n = 556) to establish an M1 stage subdivision and the metachronous mNPC cohort (mmNPC, n = 683) to validate this subdivision. The primary endpoint was overall survival. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses identified covariates for the decision-tree model, proposing an M1 subdivision. Model performance was evaluated using time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves, Harrell's concordance index, calibration plots, and decision curve analyses.

RESULTS

The proposed M1 subdivisions were M1a (≤5 metastatic lesions), M1b (>5 metastatic lesions + absent liver metastases), and M1c (>5 metastatic lesions + existing liver metastases) with median OS of 34, 22, and 13 months, respectively (p < 0.001). This M1 subdivision demonstrated superior discrimination (C-index = 0.698; 3-year AUC = 0.707) and clinical utility over those of existing staging systems. Calibration curves exhibited satisfactory agreement between predictions and actual observations. Internal and mmNPC cohort validation confirmed the robustness. Survival benefits from local metastatic treatment were observed in M1a, while immunotherapy improved survival in patients with M1b and M1c disease.

CONCLUSION

This novel M1 staging strategy provides a refined approach for prognostic prediction and treatment planning in patients with mNPC, emphasizing the potential benefits of local and immunotherapeutic interventions based on individualized risk stratification.

Corporal Skip Metastases in Penile Squamous Cell Carcinoma: An Unknown and Distinct Pattern of Spread with Poor Prognosis

BACKGROUND

Penile squamous cell carcinoma (PSCC) is characterised by stepwise lymphatic dissemination. Skip metastases (SkMs) are rare metastases in the corpus cavernosum or spongiosum without continuity to the primary tumour or its resection site.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the distinct pattern of spread in SkM+ patients and the effect of SkM on prognosis.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with SkM+ PSCC at ten high-volume international referral centres between January 2006 and May 2022.

OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS

We evaluated histopathological data, primary lymph node (LN) staging, and metastatic spread. We included a cohort of patients matched for pT stage, LN status, and grade who did not have SkM (SkM-) to compare the SkM prognosis and predictive value for cancer-specific mortality (CSM).

RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS

Among the 63 SkM+ patients who met our inclusion criteria, the SkM diagnosis was synchronous in 54.0% and metastases were mostly located in the corpus cavernosum. SkM was symptomatic in 14% of cases, was detected on imaging in 32%, and was found incidentally on pathological examination in 27%. Fifty-one patients (81%) presented with positive LNs and 28 (44%) developed distant metastases. Seven patients (11%) presented with or developed distant metastasis without displaying any LN involvement. The 2-yr cancer-specific survival estimates were 36% (95% confidence interval [CI] 25-52%) for SkM+ and 66% (95% CI 55-80%) for matched SkM- patients (p < 0.001). On multivariable Cox regression analysis, SkM presence was an independent predictor for higher CSM (hazard ratio 2.05, 95% CI 1.06-4,12; p = 0.03).

CONCLUSIONS

PSCC-related SkM is associated with aggressive disease behaviour and poor survival outcomes. Palpation of the entire penile shaft is essential, and distant staging is recommended in patients suspected of having SkM owing to the tendency for distant metastatic spread.

PATIENT SUMMARY

We investigated outcomes for patients with cancer of the penis who had metastases in the tissues responsible for erection. We found that metastases in this location were associated with poor prognosis, even in the absence of more typical spread of cancer via the lymph nodes.

Machine learning based on SEER database to predict distant metastasis of thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

Distant metastasis of thyroid cancer often indicates poor prognosis, and it is important to identify patients who have developed distant metastasis or are at high risk as early as possible. This paper aimed to predict distant metastasis of thyroid cancer through the construction of machine learning models to provide a reference for clinical diagnosis and treatment.

MATERIALS & METHODS

Data on demographic and clinicopathological characteristics of thyroid cancer patients between 2010 and 2015 were extracted from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Our research used univariate and multivariate logistic models to screen independent risk factors, respectively. Decision Trees (DT), ElasticNet (ENET), Logistic Regression (LR), Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest (RF), Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), Radial Basis Function Support Vector Machine (RBFSVM) and seven machine learning models were compared and evaluated by the following metrics: the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curve, decision curve analysis (DCA), sensitivity(also called recall), specificity, precision, accuracy and F1 score. Interpretable machine learning was used to identify possible correlation between variables and distant metastasis.

RESULTS

Independent risk factors for distant metastasis, including age, gender, race, marital status, histological type, capsular invasion, and number of lymph nodes metastases were screened by multifactorial regression analysis. Among the seven machine learning algorithms, RF was the best algorithm, with an AUC of 0.948, sensitivity of 0.919, accuracy of 0.845, and F1 score of 0.886 in the training set, and an AUC of 0.960, sensitivity of 0.929, accuracy of 0.906, and F1 score of 0.908 in the test set.

CONCLUSIONS

The machine learning model constructed in this study helps in the early diagnosis of distant thyroid metastases and helps physicians to make better decisions and medical interventions.

Deep learning radiomics-based prediction model of metachronous distant metastasis following curative resection for retroperitoneal leiomyosarcoma: a bicentric study

BACKGROUND

Combining conventional radiomics models with deep learning features can result in superior performance in predicting the prognosis of patients with tumors; however, this approach has never been evaluated for the prediction of metachronous distant metastasis (MDM) among patients with retroperitoneal leiomyosarcoma (RLS). Thus, the purpose of this study was to develop and validate a preoperative contrast-enhanced computed tomography (CECT)-based deep learning radiomics model for predicting the occurrence of MDM in patients with RLS undergoing complete surgical resection.

METHODS

A total of 179 patients who had undergone surgery for the treatment of histologically confirmed RLS were retrospectively recruited from two tertiary sarcoma centers. Semantic segmentation features derived from a convolutional neural network deep learning model as well as conventional hand-crafted radiomics features were extracted from preoperative three-phase CECT images to quantify the sarcoma phenotypes. A conventional radiomics signature (RS) and a deep learning radiomics signature (DLRS) that incorporated hand-crafted radiomics and deep learning features were developed to predict the risk of MDM. Additionally, a deep learning radiomics nomogram (DLRN) was established to evaluate the incremental prognostic significance of the DLRS in combination with clinico-radiological predictors.

RESULTS

The comparison of the area under the curve (AUC) values in the external validation set, as determined by the DeLong test, demonstrated that the integrated DLRN, DLRS, and RS models all exhibited superior predictive performance compared with that of the clinical model (AUC 0.786 [95% confidence interval 0.649-0.923] vs. 0.822 [0.692-0.952] vs. 0.733 [0.573-0.892] vs. 0.511 [0.359-0.662]; both P < 0.05). The decision curve analyses graphically indicated that utilizing the DLRN for risk stratification provided greater net benefits than those achieved using the DLRS, RS and clinical models. Good alignment with the calibration curve indicated that the DLRN also exhibited good performance.

CONCLUSIONS

The novel CECT-based DLRN developed in this study demonstrated promising performance in the preoperative prediction of the risk of MDM following curative resection in patients with RLS. The DLRN, which outperformed the other three models, could provide valuable information for predicting surgical efficacy and tailoring individualized treatment plans in this patient population.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Not applicable.

Comparison of metastasis and prognosis between early-onset and late-onset hepatocellular carcinoma: A population-based study

Background

While hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) represents a highly heterogeneous disease with variable oncogenesis mechanisms and biological features, little is understood about differences in distant metastasis (DM) and prognosis between early-onset and late-onset HCC. This study defined early-onset disease as cancer diagnosed at age younger than 50 years and aimed to present a comprehensive analysis to characterize these disparities based on age.

Methods

Information of HCC patients was retrospectively collected from the SEER database and our hospital. Patient demographics, tumor characteristics, and survival were compared between the two groups. A 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM) was adopted to adjust confounding factors. Logistic and cox analysis were utilized to explore risk factors of DM and prognosis, respectively. Besides, the survival differences were assessed by the Kaplan-Meier curve and log-rank test.

Results

In total, 19187 HCC patients obtained from the SEER database and 129 HCC patients obtained from our own center were enrolled. Among 19187 patients with HCC, 3376 were identified in the matched cohort, including 1688 early-onset patients and 1688 late-onset patients. Compared with late-onset HCC, early-onset HCC was more likely to occur in female (25.2% vs. 22.9%, P = 0.030), have large tumors (>10.0 cm, 24.1% vs. 14.6%, P = 0.000), harbor poorly differentiated/undifferentiated cancers (17.0% vs. 14.0%, P = 0.003), present advanced clinical stage (T3+T4, 33.7% vs. 28.5%; N1, 9.2% vs. 6.7%; P = 0.000), and develop DM (13.0% vs. 9.5%, P = 0.000). After adjustment for confounders by PSM, we discovered that early-onset HCC remained an independent risk factor for DM. However, combined with Kaplan-Meier curve and cox analysis, early-onset HCC was an independent favorable predictor of survival. We validated these data on an independent cohort from our hospital.

Conclusion

In this population-based study, despite developing DM more frequently, early-onset HCC exhibited a superior prognosis than late-onset HCC. Nevertheless, further research is warranted to understand the underlying aetiologic basis for the disparities.

Risk factors, prognostic factors, and nomograms for distant metastasis in patients with diagnosed duodenal cancer: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

Duodenal cancer is one of the most common subtypes of small intestinal cancer, and distant metastasis (DM) in this type of cancer still leads to poor prognosis. Although nomograms have recently been used in tumor areas, no studies have focused on the diagnostic and prognostic evaluation of DM in patients with primary duodenal cancer.

AIM

To develop and evaluate nomograms for predicting the risk of DM and personalized prognosis in patients with duodenal cancer.

METHODS

Data on duodenal cancer patients diagnosed between 2010 and 2019 were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to identify independent risk factors for DM in patients with duodenal cancer, and univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analyses were used to determine independent prognostic factors in duodenal cancer patients with DM. Two novel nomograms were established, and the results were evaluated by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

A total of 2603 patients with duodenal cancer were included, of whom 457 cases (17.56%) had DM at the time of diagnosis. Logistic analysis revealed independent risk factors for DM in duodenal cancer patients, including gender, grade, tumor size, T stage, and N stage (P < 0.05). Univariate and multivariate COX analyses further identified independent prognostic factors for duodenal cancer patients with DM, including age, histological type, T stage, tumor grade, tumor size, bone metastasis, chemotherapy, and surgery (P < 0.05). The accuracy of the nomograms was validated in the training set, validation set, and expanded testing set using ROC curves, calibration curves, and DCA curves. The results of Kaplan-Meier survival curves (P < 0.001) indicated that both nomograms accurately predicted the occurrence and prognosis of DM in patients with duodenal cancer.

CONCLUSION

The two nomograms are expected as effective tools for predicting DM risk in duodenal cancer patients and offering personalized prognosis predictions for those with DM, potentially enhancing clinical decision-making.

The preliminary analysis of lymphatic flow around the connective tissues surrounding SMA and SpA elucidates patients' oncological condition in borderline-resectable pancreatic cancer

BACKGROUND

In pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), invasion of connective tissues surrounding major arteries is a crucial prognostic factor after radical resection. However, why the connective tissues invasion is associated with poor prognosis is not well understood.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

From 2018 to 2020, 25 patients receiving radical surgery for PDAC in our institute were enrolled. HyperEye Medical System (HEMS) was used to examine lymphatic flow from the connective tissues surrounding SMA and SpA and which lymph nodes ICG accumulated in was examined.

RESULTS

HEMS imaging revealed ICG was transported down to the paraaortic area of the abdominal aorta along SMA. In pancreatic head cancer, 9 paraaortic lymph nodes among 14 (64.3%) were ICG positive, higher positivity than LN#15 (25.0%) or LN#18 (50.0%), indicating lymphatic flow around the SMA was leading directly to the paraaortic lymph nodes. Similarly, in pancreatic body and tail cancer, the percentage of ICG-positive LN #16a2 was very high, as was that of #8a, although that of #7 was only 42.9%.

CONCLUSIONS

Our preliminary result indicated that the lymphatic flow along the connective tissues surrounding major arteries could be helpful in understanding metastasis and improving prognosis in BR-A pancreatic cancer.

Diagnostic performance of additional imaging tests for staging purposes in a bicentric German series of low-risk early breast cancer patients

PURPOSE

Low-risk early breast cancer rarely leads to the development of metastatic disease, and in these patients, additional imaging test is controversial. The aim of our study was to evaluate the conventional staging procedures in a bicentric German series of low-risk breast carcinoma patients.

METHODS

Retrospective evaluation of all patients diagnosed with early, low-risk breast cancer at Saarland University Hospital and Freiburg University Hospital in 2017 was performed. Clinical patient characteristics, the number and type of additional imaging examinations, follow-up examinations, and results were evaluated. The detection rate of metastases and the rate of false-positive findings were analyzed.

RESULTS

A total of 203 patients were included, with all patients received at least one additional imaging test. Initially, a total of 562 additional imaging examinations were performed: 166 chest X-rays, 169 upper abdominal ultrasounds, 199 bone scans, 27 computer tomographies (CT) chest and abdomen, and 1 CT abdomen. 6.8% of patients had abnormal findings reported, requiring 38 additional imaging examinations. One patient (0.5%) was found to have bone metastases. The rate of false-positive findings in the performed additional imaging procedures was 6.6%.

CONCLUSION

Metastatic disease was detected in one of 203 patients with low-risk early breast cancer. A total of 562 examinations and additional 38 follow-up examinations were performed without detection of metastasis (this corresponds to approximately 3 examinations/patient). The rate of false-positive findings was 6.6%. The performance of additional imaging procedures for detection of distant metastases should be critically reconsidered in patients with low-risk early breast cancer.