Global Trends in CD4 Cell Count at the Start of Antiretroviral Therapy: Collaborative Study of Treatment Programs

Opportunistic Cryptococcal Antigenemia in the HAART Era at HIV Epidemic Settings of Northwest Ethiopia

Background

Cryptococcus neoformans is a frequent opportunistic infection in patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome. While the advent of ART reduces the occurrence of cryptococcal meningitis in HIV patients, cryptococcal disease remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality in the developing world especially in sub-Saharan Africa which is the epicenter of HIV. This study aimed to assess the cryptococcal antigenemia, CD4+ Th cell counts, HIV RNA viral load, and clinical presentations among HIV-positive patients in Northwest Ethiopia.

Method

A total of two hundred (200) HIV-positive patients were recruited for this study. Cryptococcus antigenemia prevalence in plasma samples of HIV‐positive patients was determined by using Antigen lateral flow assay (CrAg‐LFA) also, and CD4+ Th cell counts and HIV‐RNA levels were quantified from blood specimen. Patients' demographic data, clinical manifestation, and concurrent opportunistic infection were recorded.

Result

The sex distributions of study participants were 105(52.5%) male and 94(47.5%) female with an age range of 15–65 (mean 39.42 ± 9) years. All patients had a CD4+ T-cell count <100 cells/µl with the median 54 cells/μl and median HIV-RNA viral load 2.16 × 10⁵ RNA copies/ml (50–3.66 × 10⁵ RNA copies/ml); the prevalence of cryptococcal antigenemia was found to be 4% in HIV-positive patients. More than half and two third of CrAg‐positive patients had a CD4 count <25 cells/μl and HIV viral load >10,000 copies/ml, respectively, as well; Tuberculosis, Candidiasis, and herpes zoster are the most often observed concurrent infections while cryptococcal antigenemia is significantly associated with oral candidiasis (p < 0.001).

Conclusion

Although the advent of ART, early diagnosis of cryptococcosis, and application of antifungal interventions, HIV-induced cryptococcal antigenemia positivity in HIV infected individuals is still the countries' big challenge. Thus, stringent follow-up and case management should be considered.

Durability of different initial regimens in HIV-infected patients starting antiretroviral therapy with CD4+ counts <200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA >5 log10 copies/mL

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to investigate the durability of different initial regimens in patients starting ART with CD4+ counts <200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA >5 log10 copies/mL.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of HIV-infected patients prospectively followed in the ICONA cohort. Those who started ART with boosted protease inhibitors (bPIs), NNRTIs or integrase strand transfer inhibitors (InSTIs), with CD4+ <200 cells/mm3 and HIV-RNA >5 log10 copies/mL, were included. The primary endpoint was treatment failure (TF), a composite endpoint defined as virological failure (VF, first of two consecutive HIV-RNA >50 copies/mL after 6 months of treatment), discontinuation of class of the anchor drug or death. Independent associations were investigated by Poisson regression analysis in a model including age, gender, mode of HIV transmission, CDC stage, HCV and HBV co-infection, pre-treatment HIV-RNA, CD4+ count and CD4+/CD8+ ratio, ongoing opportunistic disease, fibrosis FIB-4 index, estimated glomerular filtration rate, haemoglobin, platelets, neutrophils, calendar year of ART initiation, anchor drug class (treatment group) and nucleos(t)ide backbone.

RESULTS

A total of 1195 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria: 696 started ART with a bPI, 315 with an InSTI and 184 with an NNRTI. During 2759 person-years of follow up, 642 patients experienced TF. Starting ART with bPIs [adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) (95% CI) 1.62 (1.29-2.03) versus starting with NNRTIs; P < 0.001] and starting ART with InSTIs [aIRR (95% CI) 0.68 (0.48-0.96) versus starting with NNRTIs; P = 0.03] were independently associated with TF.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients starting ART with <200 CD4+ cells/mm3 and >5 log10 HIV-RNA copies/mL, the durability of regimens based on InSTIs was longer than that of NNRTI- and bPI-based regimens.

Models of service delivery for optimizing a patient's first six months on antiretroviral therapy for HIV: an applied research agenda

Differentiated models of service delivery (DSD models) for HIV treatment in sub-Saharan Africa were conceived as a way to manage rapidly expanding populations of experienced patients who are clinically "stable" on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Entry requirements for most models include at least six months on treatment and a suppressed viral load. These models thus systematically exclude newly-initiated patients, who instead experience the conventional model of care, which requires frequent, multiple clinic visits that impose costs on both providers and patients. In this open letter, we argue that the conventional model of care for the first six months on ART is no longer adequate. The highest rates of treatment discontinuation are in the first six-month period after treatment initiation. Newly initiating patients are generally healthier than in the past, with higher CD4 counts, and antiretroviral medications are better tolerated, with fewer side effects and substitutions, making extra clinic visits unnecessary. Improvements in the treatment initiation process, such as same-day initiation, have not been followed by innovations in the early treatment period. Finally, the advent of COVID-19 has made it riskier to require multiple clinic visits. Research to develop differentiated models of care for the first six-month period is needed. Priorities include estimating the minimum number and type of provider interactions and ART education needed, optimizing the timing of a patient's first viral load test, determining when lay providers can replace clinicians, ensuring that patients have sufficient but not burdensome access to support, and identifying ways to establish a habit of lifelong adherence.

Prospective International Study of Incidence and Predictors of Immune Reconstitution Inflammatory Syndrome and Death in People Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Severe Lymphopenia

BACKGROUND

Patients living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLWH) with low CD4 counts are at high risk for immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome (IRIS) and death at antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation.

METHODS

We investigated the clinical impact of IRIS in PLWH and CD4 counts <100 cells/μL starting ART in an international, prospective study in the United States, Thailand, and Kenya. An independent review committee adjudicated IRIS events. We assessed associations between baseline biomarkers, IRIS, immune recovery at week 48, and death by week 48 with Cox models.

RESULTS

We enrolled 506 participants (39.3% were women). Median age was 37 years, and CD4 count was 29 cells/μL. Within 6 months of ART, 97 (19.2%) participants developed IRIS and 31 (6.5%) died. Participants with lower hemoglobin at baseline were at higher IRIS risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.2; P = .004). IRIS was independently associated with increased risk of death after adjustment for known risk factors (HR, 3.2; P = .031). Being female (P = .004) and having a lower body mass index (BMI; P = .003), higher white blood cell count (P = .005), and higher D-dimer levels (P = .044) were also significantly associated with increased risk of death. Decision-tree analysis identified hemoglobin <8.5 g/dL as predictive of IRIS and C-reactive protein (CRP) >106 μg/mL and BMI <15.6 kg/m2 as predictive of death.

CONCLUSIONS

For PLWH with severe immunosuppression initiating ART, baseline low BMI and hemoglobin and high CRP and D-dimer levels may be clinically useful predictors of IRIS and death risk.

Integration of HIV services with primary care in Yangon, Myanmar: a retrospective cohort analysis

OBJECTIVES

Integration of HIV care with general healthcare may improve patient engagement. We assessed patient outcomes in four clinics offering HIV care integrated into primary care clinics in Yangon, Myanmar.

METHODS

We carried out a retrospective cohort analysis of 4551 patients who started antiretroviral therapy between 2009 and 2017. Mortality and disengagement from care were assessed using Cox regression.

RESULTS

People living with HIV presented late with low CD4 counts [median (25^th , 75^th percentile) = 178 (65, 308) from 4216 patients] and advanced HIV (69% with stage 3 or 4). Survival was 0.95 at 1 year and 0.90 at 5 years. Males were at a higher risk of mortality than females [unadjusted hazard ratio (uHR) = 1.6 (95% CI: 1.3-2.0). Patients linked to HIV care via antenatal care or partner/parent notification were at reduced risk of mortality [uHR = 0.4 (95% CI: 0.1-1.0) and uHR = 0.5 (95% CI: 0.3-0.7)] relative to patients who presented for HIV testing. The cumulative incidence of disengagement was 0.06 at 1 year and 0.15 at 5 years. Young adults had a higher risk of disengagement than did children and older patients. Women linked to HIV care via antenatal care services were at increased risk of disengagement relative to patients who came for HIV testing (uHR = 2.4; 95% CI: 1.7-3.4). Mortality and disengagement remained steady over calendar time as the programme scaled up.

CONCLUSIONS

HIV care within a primary care model is effective to attain early linkage to care, with high survival. However, close attention should be given to disengagement from care, in particular for pregnant women.

Trends in CD4 and viral load testing 2005 to 2018: multi-cohort study of people living with HIV in Southern Africa

INTRODUCTION

The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends a CD4 cell count before starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) to detect advanced HIV disease, and routine viral load (VL) testing following ART initiation to detect treatment failure. Donor support for CD4 testing has declined to prioritize access to VL monitoring. We examined trends in CD4 and VL testing among adults (≥15 years of age) starting ART in Southern Africa.

METHODS

We analysed data from 14 HIV treatment programmes in Lesotho, Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa, Zambia and Zimbabwe in 2005 to 2018. We examined the frequency of CD4 and VL testing, the percentage of adults with CD4 or VL tests, and among those having a test, the percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease (CD4 count <200 cells/mm3 ) or failing to suppress viral replication (>1000 HIV-RNA copies/mL) after ART initiation. We used mixed effect logistic regression to assess time trends adjusted for age and sex.

RESULTS

Among 502,456 adults, the percentage with CD4 testing at ART initiation decreased from a high of 78.1% in 2008 to a low of 38.0% in 2017; the probability declined by 14% each year (odds ratio (OR) 0.86; 95% CI 0.86 to 0.86). Frequency of CD4 testing also declined. The percentage starting ART with advanced HIV disease declined from 83.3% in 2005 to 23.5% in 2018; each year the probability declined by 20% (OR 0.80; 95% CI 0.80 to 0.81). VL testing after starting ART varied; 61.0% of adults in South Africa and 10.7% in Malawi were tested, but fewer than 2% were tested in the other four countries. The probability of VL testing after ART start increased only modestly each year (OR 1.06; 95% CI 1.05 to 1.06). The percentage with unsuppressed VL was 8.6%. There was no evidence of a decrease in unsuppressed VL over time (OR 1.00; 95% CI 0.99 to 1.01).

CONCLUSIONS

CD4 cell counting declined over time, including testing at the start of ART, despite the fact that many patients still initiated ART with advanced HIV disease. Without CD4 testing and expanded VL testing many patients with advanced HIV disease and treatment failure may go undetected, threatening the effectiveness of ART in sub-Saharan Africa.

Advanced HIV Disease among Males and Females Initiating HIV Care in Rural Ethiopia

Despite recommendations for rapidly initiating HIV treatment, many persons in sub-Saharan Africa present to care with advanced HIV disease. Baseline survey and clinical data were collected on 1799 adults newly enrolling at 32 district hospitals and local health HIV clinics in rural Ethiopia. Among those with complete HIV disease information, advanced HIV disease (defined as CD4 count <200 cells/mm³ or World Health Organization [WHO] HIV clinical stage III or IV disease) was present in 66% of males and 56% of females (P < .001). Males (compared to females) had lower CD4 counts (287 cells/mm³ versus 345 cells/mm³), lower body mass index (19.3 kg/m² versus 20.2 kg/m²), and more WHO stage III or IV disease (46% versus 37%), (P < .001). Men reported more chronic diarrhea, fevers, cough, pain, fatigue, and weight loss (P < .05). Most initiating care in this resource-limited setting had advanced HIV disease. Men had poorer health status, supporting the importance of earlier diagnosis, linkage to care, and initiation of antiretroviral therapy.

Treatment as Prevention: Concepts and Challenges for Reducing HIV Incidence

Four of the largest HIV prevention trials have been conducted in sub-Saharan Africa, enrolling hundreds of thousands of participants in catchment areas of millions of people. The trials have focused on community-level interventions to increase diagnosis and initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) to improve health and reduce HIV transmission. Universal test-and-treat strategies are deployed to achieve viral suppression thereby reducing risk to uninfected persons, known as treatment as prevention (TasP).

Timing of Antiretroviral Therapy and Systemic Inflammation in Sub-Saharan Africa: Results From the META Longitudinal Cohort Study

Chronic inflammation predicts complications in persons with human immunodeficiency virus infection. We compared D-dimer, soluble CD14, and interleukin 6 levels before and 12 months after antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation, among individuals starting ART during earlier-stage (CD4 T-cell count >350/µL) or late-stage disease (CD4 T-cell count <200/µL). Female sex, older age, viral load, and late-stage disease were associated with pre-ART biomarkers (n = 661; P < .05). However, there were no differences in biomarkers by disease stage after 12 months of ART (n = 438; P > .05), owing to loss from observation and greater declines in biomarkers in late-stage initiators (P < .001). Earlier initiation of ART is associated with decreased inflammation, but levels seem to converge between earlier and later initiators surviving to 12 months.

International epidemiology databases to evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) in sub-Saharan Africa, 2012-2019

PURPOSE

The objectives of the International epidemiology databases to evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) are to (i) evaluate the delivery of combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) in children, adolescents and adults in sub-Saharan Africa, (ii) to describe ART regimen effectiveness, durability and tolerability, (iii) to examine HIV-related comorbidities and coinfections and (iv) to examine the pregnancy-related and HIV-related outcomes of women on ART and their infants exposed to HIV or ART in utero or via breast milk.

PARTICIPANTS

IeDEA is organised in four regions (Central, East, Southern and West Africa), with 240 treatment and care sites, six data centres at African, European and US universities, and almost 1.4 million children, adolescents and adult people living with HIV (PLWHIV) enrolled.

FINDINGS TO DATE

The data include socio-demographic characteristics, clinical outcomes, opportunistic events, treatment regimens, clinic visits and laboratory measurements. They have been used to analyse outcomes in PLWHIV-1 or PLWHIV-2 who initiate ART, including determinants of mortality, of switching to second-line and third-line ART, drug resistance, loss to follow-up and the immunological and virological response to different ART regimens. Programme-level estimates of mortality have been corrected for loss to follow-up. We examined the impact of coinfection with hepatitis B and C, and the epidemiology of different cancers and of (multidrug resistant) tuberculosis, renal disease and of mental illness. The adoption of 'Treat All', making ART available to all PLWHIV regardless of CD4+ cell count or clinical stage was another important research topic.

FUTURE PLANS

IeDEA has formulated several research priorities for the 'Treat All' era in sub-Saharan Africa. It recently obtained funding to set up sentinel sites where additional data are prospectively collected on cardiometabolic risks factors as well as mental health and liver diseases, and is planning to create a drug resistance database.

Feasibility of dried blood spots for HIV viral load monitoring in decentralized area in North Vietnam in a test-and-treat era, the MOVIDA project

Background

Access to HIV viral load is crucial to efficiently monitor patients on antiretroviral treatment (ART) and prevent HIV drug resistance acquisition. However, in some remote settings, access to viral load monitoring is still complex due to logistical and financial constraints. Use of dried blood spots (DBS) for blood collection could overcome these difficulties. This study aims to describe feasibility and operability of DBS use for routine viral load monitoring.

Methods

From June 2017 to April 2018, HIV-infected adults who initiated ART were enrolled in a prospective cohort in 43 clinical sites across 6 provinces in North Vietnam. Following national guidelines, the first viral load monitoring was planned 6 months after ART initiation. DBS were collected at the clinical site and sent by post to a central laboratory in Hanoi for viral load measurement.

Results

Of the 578 patients enrolled, 537 were still followed 6 months after ART initiation, of which DBS was collected for 397 (73.9%). The median (inter quartile range) delay between DBS collection at site level and reception at the central laboratory was 8 (6–19) days and for 70.0% viral load was measured ≤30 days after blood collection. The proportion of patients with viral load ≥1000 copies/mL at the 6 month evaluation was 15.9% (n = 59). Of these, a DBS was collected again to confirm virological failure in 15 (24.4%) of which virological failure was confirmed in 11 (73.3%).

Conclusion

Delay of DBS transfer to the central laboratory was acceptable and most viral loads were measured in ≤30 days, in-line with routine follow-up. However, the level of DBS coverage and the proportion of patients in failure for whom a confirmatory viral load was available were suboptimal, indicating that integration of viral load monitoring in the field requires, among other things, careful training and strong involvement of the local teams. The proportion of patients experiencing virological failure was in line with other reports; interestingly those who reported being non-adherent and those with a low BMI were more at risk of failure.

Screening for invasive fungal disease using non-culture-based assays among inpatients with advanced HIV disease at a large academic hospital in South Africa

INTRODUCTION

Despite widespread access to antiretroviral therapy (ART), the burden of advanced HIV disease in South Africa is high. This translates into an increased risk of AIDS-related opportunistic infections, including invasive mycoses.

METHODS

Using a limited number of non-culture-based diagnostic assays, we aimed to determine the prevalence of invasive mycoses and tuberculosis among hospitalised adults with very advanced HIV (CD4 counts < 100 cells/µL) at a large academic hospital. We conducted interviews and prospective medical chart reviews. We performed point-of-care finger stick and serum cryptococcal antigen lateral flow assays; serum (1 → 3) ß-D-glucan assays; urine Histoplasma galactomannan antigen enzyme immunoassays and TB lipoarabinomannan assays.

RESULTS

We enrolled 189 participants from 5280 screened inpatients. Fifty-eight per cent were female, with median age 37 years (IQR: 30-43) and median CD4 count 32 cells/µL (IQR: 13-63). At enrolment, 60% (109/181) were receiving ART. Twenty-one participants (11%) had a diagnosis of an invasive mycosis, of whom 53% (11/21) had cryptococcal disease. Thirteen participants (7%) had tuberculosis and a concurrent invasive mycosis. ART-experienced participants were 60% less likely to have an invasive mycosis than those ART-naïve (adjusted OR: 0.4; 95% CI 0.15-1.0; P = .03). Overall in-hospital mortality was 13% (invasive mycosis: 10% [95% CI 1.2-30.7] versus other diagnoses: 13% (95% CI 8.4-19.3)).

CONCLUSIONS

One in ten participants had evidence of an invasive mycosis. Diagnosis of proven invasive fungal disease and differentiation from other opportunistic infections was challenging. More fungal-specific screening and diagnostic tests should be applied to inpatients with advanced HIV disease.

Addition of Maraviroc Versus Placebo to Standard Antiretroviral Therapy for Initial Treatment of Advanced HIV Infection: A Randomized Trial

BACKGROUND

Patients diagnosed with advanced HIV infection have a poor prognosis despite initiation of combined antiretroviral therapy (c-ART).

OBJECTIVE

To assess the benefit of adding maraviroc, an antiretroviral drug with immunologic effects, to standard c-ART for patients with advanced disease at HIV diagnosis.

DESIGN

Randomized controlled trial. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT01348308).

SETTING

Clinical sites in France (n = 25), Italy (n = 5), and Spain (n = 20).

PARTICIPANTS

416 HIV-positive, antiretroviral-naive adults with CD4 counts less than 0.200 × 109 cells/L and/or a previous AIDS-defining event (ADE).

INTERVENTION

C-ART plus placebo or maraviroc (300 mg twice daily with dose modification) for 72 weeks.

MEASUREMENTS

The primary end point was first occurrence of severe morbidity (new ADE, selected serious infections, serious non-ADE, immune reconstitution inflammatory syndrome, or death). Prespecified secondary outcomes included primary outcome components, biological and pharmacokinetic measures, and adverse events graded 2 or higher.

RESULTS

409 randomly assigned participants (207 in the placebo group and 202 in the maraviroc group) who received more than 1 dose were included in the analysis. During 72 weeks of follow-up, incidence of severe morbidity was 11.1 per 100 person-years in the maraviroc group and 11.2 per 100 person-years in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 0.97 [95% CI, 0.57 to 1.67]). Incidence of adverse events graded 2 or higher was 36.1 versus 41.5 per 100 person-years (incidence rate ratio, 0.87 [CI, 0.65 to 1.15]).

LIMITATIONS

Sixty-four participants discontinued therapy during follow-up. The study was not designed to evaluate time-dependent outcomes or effect modification.

CONCLUSION

Addition of maraviroc to standard c-ART does not improve clinical outcomes of patients initiating therapy for advanced HIV infection.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

INSERM-ANRS (French National Agency for Research on AIDS).

The cost-effectiveness of prophylaxis strategies for individuals with advanced HIV starting treatment in Africa

INTRODUCTION

Many HIV-positive individuals in Africa have advanced disease when initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART) so have high risks of opportunistic infections and death. The REALITY trial found that an enhanced-prophylaxis package including fluconazole reduced mortality by 27% in individuals starting ART with CD4 <100 cells/mm3 . We investigated the cost-effectiveness of this enhanced-prophylaxis package versus other strategies, including using cryptococcal antigen (CrAg) testing, in individuals with CD4 <200 cells/mm3 or <100 cells/mm3 at ART initiation and all individuals regardless of CD4 count.

METHODS

The REALITY trial enrolled from June 2013 to April 2015. A decision-analytic model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of six management strategies in individuals initiating ART in the REALITY trial countries. Strategies included standard-prophylaxis, enhanced-prophylaxis, standard-prophylaxis with fluconazole; and three CrAg testing strategies, the first stratifying individuals to enhanced-prophylaxis (CrAg-positive) or standard-prophylaxis (CrAg-negative), the second to enhanced-prophylaxis (CrAg-positive) or enhanced-prophylaxis without fluconazole (CrAg-negative) and the third to standard-prophylaxis with fluconazole (CrAg-positive) or without fluconazole (CrAg-negative). The model estimated costs, life-years and quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) over 48 weeks using three competing mortality risks: cryptococcal meningitis; tuberculosis, serious bacterial infection or other known cause; and unknown cause.

RESULTS

Enhanced-prophylaxis was cost-effective at cost-effectiveness thresholds of US$300 and US$500 per QALY with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US$157 per QALY in the CD4 <200 cells/mm3 population providing enhanced-prophylaxis components are sourced at lowest available prices. The ICER reduced in more severely immunosuppressed individuals (US$113 per QALY in the CD4 <100 cells/mm3 population) and increased in all individuals regardless of CD4 count (US$722 per QALY). Results were sensitive to prices of the enhanced-prophylaxis components. Enhanced-prophylaxis was more effective and less costly than all CrAg testing strategies as enhanced-prophylaxis still conveyed health gains in CrAg-negative patients and savings from targeting prophylaxis based on CrAg status did not compensate for costs of CrAg testing. CrAg testing strategies did not become cost-effective unless the price of CrAg testing fell below US$2.30.

CONCLUSIONS

The REALITY enhanced-prophylaxis package in individuals with advanced HIV starting ART reduces morbidity and mortality, is practical to administer and is cost-effective. Efforts should continue to ensure that components are accessed at lowest available prices.

Prevention of cardiovascular disease among people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa

As longevity has increased for people living with HIV (PLWH) in the United States and Europe, there has been a concomitant increase in the prevalence of cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and morbidity in this population. Whereas the availability of HIV antiretroviral therapy has resulted in dramatic increases in life expectancy in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), where over two thirds of PLWH reside, if and how these trends impact the epidemiology of CVD is less clear. In this review, we describe the current state of the science on how both HIV and its treatment impact CVD risk factors and outcomes among PLWH in sub-Saharan Africa, including regional factors (unique to SSA) likely to differentiate these relationships from the global North. We then outline how current regional guidelines address CVD prevention among PLWH and which clinical and structural interventions are best poised to confront the co-epidemics of HIV and CVD in the region. We conclude with a discussion of key research gaps that need to be addressed to optimally develop an actionable public health response.

All-cause mortality after antiretroviral therapy initiation in HIV-positive women from Europe, Sub-Saharan Africa and the Americas

Supplemental Digital Content is available in the text

Background:

Women account for over half of persons living with HIV/AIDS globally. We examined geographic variation in all-cause mortality after antiretroviral therapy (ART) for women living with HIV (WLWH) worldwide.

Methods:

We pooled data from WLWH at least 18 years initiating ART 2000–2014 within COHERE (Europe) and IeDEA regions (East Africa, West Africa, South Africa, North America, Latin America/Caribbean). Mortality rates were calculated at 0–3, 3–6, 6–12, 12–24 and 24–48 months after ART, and mortality rate ratios were compared with European rates with piecewise exponential parametric survival models based on Poisson regression.

Findings:

One hundred ninety thousand, one hundred and seventy-five WLWH (16% Europe, 47% East Africa, 13% West Africa, 19% South Africa, 1% South America, 3% North America and 2% Central America/Caribbean) were included. The highest death rates occurred 0–3 months after ART [1.51 (95% CI 1.25–1.82) per 100 person-years in Europe, 12.45 (11.30–13.73), 14.03 (13.12–15.02) and 9.44 (8.80–10.11) in East, West and South Africa, and 1.53 (0.97–2.43), 7.83 (5.44–11.27) and 17.02 (14.62–19.81) in North, South America and Central America/Caribbean, respectively] and declined thereafter. Mortality in Europe was the lowest, with regional differences greatest in the first 3 months and smaller at longer ART durations [adjusted rate ratios 24–48 months after ART: 3.63 (95% CI 3.04–4.33), 5.61 (4.84–6.51) and 3.47 (2.97–4.06) for East, West and South Africa; 2.86 (2.26–3.62), 2.42 (1.65–3.55) and 2.50 (1.92–3.26) for North, South America and Central America/Caribbean, respectively].

Conclusion:

Global variations in short-term and long-term mortality among WLWH initiating ART may inform context-specific interventions.

Proportions of CD4 test results indicating advanced HIV disease remain consistently high at primary health care facilities across four high HIV burden countries

Background

Globally, nearly 22 million HIV-infected patients are currently accessing antiretroviral treatment; however, almost one million people living with HIV died of AIDS-related illnesses in 2018. Advanced HIV disease remains a significant issue to curb HIV-related mortality.

Methods

We analyzed 864,389 CD4 testing records collected by 1,016 Alere Pima Analyzers implemented at a variety of facilities, including peripheral facilities, between January 2012 and December 2016 across four countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Routinely collected data and programmatic records were used to analyze the median CD4 counts and proportions of patients with advanced HIV disease by country, facility type, and year.

Results

Median CD4 counts were between 409–444 cells/ul each year since 2012 with a median in 2016 of 444 cells/ul (n = 319,829). The proportion of test results returning CD4 counts above 500 cells/ul has increased slowly each year with 41.8% (95% CI: 41.6–41.9%) of tests having a CD4 count above 500 cells/ul in 2016. Median CD4 counts were similar across facility types. The proportion of test results indicating advanced HIV disease has remained fairly consistent: 19.4% (95% CI: 18.8–20.1%) in 2012 compared to 16.1% (95% CI: 16.0–16.3%) in 2016. The proportion of test results indicating advanced HIV disease annually ranged from 14.5% in Uganda to 29.8% in Cameroon. 6.9% (95% CI: 6.8–7.0%) of test results showed very advanced HIV disease (CD4<100 cells/ul) in 2016.

Conclusions

The proportion of CD4 test results indicating advanced disease was relatively high and consistent across four high HIV burden countries.

Immunodeficiency at Antiretroviral Therapy Start: Five-Year Adult Data (2012-2017) Based on Evolving National Policies in Rural Mozambique

Before the 2015 implementation of "Test and Start," the initiation of combination antiretroviral therapy (ART) was guided by specific CD4 cell count thresholds. As scale-up efforts progress, the prevalence of advanced HIV disease at ART initiation is expected to decline. We analyzed the temporal trends in the median CD4 cell counts among adults initiating ART and described factors associated with initiating ART with severe immunodeficiency in Zambézia Province, Mozambique. We included all HIV-positive, treatment-naive adults (age ≥ 15 years) who initiated ART at a Friends in Global Health (FGH)-supported health facility between September 2012 and September 2017. Quantile regression and multivariable logistic regression models were applied to ascertain the median change in CD4 cell count and odds of initiating ART with severe immunodeficiency, respectively. A total of 68,332 patients were included in the analyses. The median change in CD4 cell count under "Test and Start" was higher at +68 cells/mm³ (95% CI: 57.5-78.4) compared with older policies. Younger age and female sex (particularly those pregnant/lactating) were associated with higher median CD4 cell counts at ART initiation. Male sex, advanced age, WHO Stage 4 disease, and referrals to the health facility through inpatient provider-initiated testing and counseling (PITC) were associated with higher odds of initiating ART with severe immunodeficiency. Although there were reassuring trends in increasing median CD4 cell counts with ART initiation, ongoing efforts are needed that target universal HIV testing to ensure the early initiation of ART in men and older patients.

Tracing-corrected estimates of disengagement from HIV care and mortality among patients enrolling in HIV care without overt immunosuppression in Tanzania

In the era of "test and treat", it is important to understand HIV care outcomes and their determinants in patients presenting to care with early-stage disease. We surveyed 924 adults newly enrolling in HIV care at four clinics in Tanzania before the adoption of universal treatment eligibility, and collected longitudinal clinical data. Participants who defaulted from care were tracked in the community. Cumulative incidence of disengagement from care and death was estimated using competing risk methods. By 12 months after enrollment, 18.2% of patients had disengaged from care and 6.9% had died. Factors associated with disengagement included male sex (adjusted subhazard ratio [aSHR] versus female = 1.75, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06-2.89), provider-initiated HIV diagnosis (aSHR versus self-referred = 1.71, 95% CI: 1.03-2.86), ineligibility for antiretroviral treatment (ART) at enrollment (aSHR versus eligibility = 2.82, 95% CI: 1.84-4.32) and increased anticipated stigma score (aSHR = 1.04 per 5-point increase, 95% CI: 1.02-1.05). Higher life satisfaction score (aSHR = 0.97 per 5-point increase, 95% CI: 0.95-0.99) and having 1-2 close friends (aSHR versus none = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.47-0.71) were protective. The findings highlight the continued importance of social environment for HIV care outcomes and the potential of universal ART eligibility to reduce HIV care attrition.

Cumulative viral load as a predictor of CD4+ T-cell response to antiretroviral therapy using Bayesian statistical models

INTRODUCTION

There are Challenges in statistically modelling immune responses to longitudinal HIV viral load exposure as a function of covariates. We define Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo mixed effects models to incorporate priors and examine the effect of different distributional assumptions. We prospectively fit these models to an as-yet-unpublished data from the Tshwane District Hospital HIV treatment clinic in South Africa, to determine if cumulative log viral load, an indicator of long-term viral exposure, is a valid predictor of immune response.

METHODS

Models are defined, to express 'slope', i.e. mean annual increase in CD4 counts, and 'asymptote', i.e. the odds of having a CD4 count ≥500 cells/μL during antiretroviral treatment, as a function of covariates and random-effects. We compare the effect of using informative versus non-informative prior distributions on model parameters. Models with cubic splines or Skew-normal distributions are also compared using the conditional Deviance Information Criterion.

RESULTS

The data of 750 patients are analyzed. Overall, models adjusting for cumulative log viral load provide a significantly better fit than those that do not. An increase in cumulative log viral load is associated with a decrease in CD4 count slope (19.6 cells/μL (95% credible interval: 28.26, 10.93)) and a reduction in the odds of achieving a CD4 counts ≥500 cells/μL (0.42 (95% CI: 0.236, 0.730)) during 5 years of therapy. Using informative priors improves the cumulative log viral load estimate, and a skew-normal distribution for the random-intercept and measurement error results is a better fit compared to using classical Gaussian distributions.

DISCUSSION

We demonstrate in an unpublished South African cohort that cumulative log viral load is a strong and significant predictor of both CD4 count slope and asymptote. We argue that Bayesian methods should be used more frequently for such data, given their flexibility to incorporate prior information and non-Gaussian distributions.

Different transmission routes and the risk of advanced HIV disease: A systematic review and network meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND

A substantial proportion of people living with HIV (PLHIV) present for care with advanced HIV disease (AHD), which may result in difficulty reaching the "90-90-90" target to end AIDS in 2030. We assessed the risk of AHD for different transmission routes to summarize the evidence for priority prevention strategies for key populations.

METHODS

Observational studies published before September 10th, 2019 in the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science and Chinese electronic databases were analysed. The outcomes of interest were the number of PLHIV and AHD patients and their associated transmission routes. We assessed the risk of AHD among the different transmission routes using the multi-armed network meta-analysis based on the Bayesian method. The associations between AHD and regional policies for sex work and compulsory drug treatment were estimated using ecological linear regression.

FINDINGS

One hundred and one articles were included, covering 129,780 PLHIV with 478,830 patients who developed AHD. The network analysis revealed that among PLHIV, heterosexual contact was associated with the highest risk of AHD, followed by injection drug use (odds ratio [OR]=0•56, 95% credible interval [CrI] 0•47-0•68), and men who have sex with men (OR=0•54, 95% CrI 0•46-0•63). Regions that criminalized sex work and compulsory drug treatment had higher risks for AHD than those that did not.

INTERPRETATION

Our findings suggest HC is at a higher risk of AHD compared to IDU and MSM. This justifies the need to expand prevention campaigns and maintain efforts to increase HIV testing in the heterosexual population.

Managing Advanced HIV Disease in a Public Health Approach

In 2017, the World Health Organization (WHO) published guidelines for the management of advanced human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease within a public health approach. Recent data suggest that more than a third of people starting antiretroviral therapy (ART) do so with advanced HIV disease, and an increasing number of patients re-present to care at an advanced stage of HIV disease following a period of disengagement from care. These guidelines recommend a standardized package of care for adults, adolescents, and children, based on the leading causes of morbidity and mortality: tuberculosis, severe bacterial infections, cryptococcal meningitis, toxoplasmosis, and Pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia. A package of targeted interventions to reduce mortality and morbidity was recommended, based on results of 2 recent randomized trials that both showed a mortality reduction associated with delivery of a simplified intervention package. Taking these results and existing recommendations into consideration, WHO recommends that a package of care be offered to those presenting with advanced HIV disease; depending on age and CD4 cell count, the package may include opportunistic infection screening and prophylaxis, including fluconazole preemptive therapy for those who are cryptococcal antigen positive and without evidence of meningitis. Rapid ART initiation and intensified adherence interventions should also be proposed to everyone presenting with advanced HIV disease.

Optimising treatment in the test-and-treat strategy: what are we waiting for?

To move from science to guidelines, more than a decade was spent debating the clinical benefits, public health benefits, client autonomy, ethical conflicts, and adherence challenges for the HIV test-and-treat strategy. 2 years after WHO recommended antiretroviral therapy (ART) initiation for all, only 66% of countries reported full implementation. Many countries with the highest HIV burden, with increasing new HIV infections and HIV-related deaths, have not yet adopted or fully implemented the strategy. Whether to implement rapid or same-day ART should not follow the same cycle of debate. Now that there is strong evidence and high policy adoption, the test-and-treat strategy must be implemented as efficiently as possible. More research is needed to optimise-not delay-its implementation.

Extending Visit Intervals for Clinically Stable Patients on Antiretroviral Therapy: Multicohort Analysis of HIV Programs in Southern Africa

BACKGROUND

The World Health Organization recommends differentiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) delivery with longer visit intervals for clinically stable patients. We examined time trends in visit frequency and associations between criteria for clinical stability and visit frequency in ART programs in Southern Africa.

METHODS

We included adults on ART from 4 programs with viral-load monitoring, 2 programs with CD4 monitoring, and 4 programs with clinical monitoring of ART. We classified patients as clinically stable based on virological (viral load <1000 copies/mL), immunological (CD4 >200 cells/µL), or clinical (no current tuberculosis) criteria. We used Poisson regression and survival models to examine associations between criteria for clinical stability and the rate of clinic visits.

RESULTS

We included 180,837 patients. There were trends toward fewer visits in more recent years and with longer ART duration. In all ART programs, clinically stable patients were seen less frequently than patients receiving failing ART, but the strength of the association varied. Adjusted incidence rate ratios comparing visit rates for stable patients with patients on failing ART were 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.73 to 0.90) for patients classified based on the virological criterion, 0.81 (0.69 to 0.93) for patients classified based on the clinical criterion, and 0.90 (0.85 to 0.96) for patients classified based on the immunological criterion for stability.

CONCLUSION

Differences in visit rates between stable patients and patients failing ART were variable and modest overall. Larger differences were seen in programs using virological criteria for clinical stability than in programs using immunological criteria. Greater access to routine viral-load monitoring may increase scale-up of differentiated ART delivery.

How to Evolve the Response to the Global HIV Epidemic With New Metrics and Targets Based on Pre-Treatment CD4 Counts

PURPOSE OF THE REVIEW

Early diagnosis and treatment of HIV following seroconversion improves individual and population health. Using published data on pre-treatment CD4 cell counts, we benchmarked the level of immunodeficiency at HIV diagnosis and ART initiation in the "real world" against those of the treatment and control arms of landmark controlled trials that successfully reduced HIV-related deaths (INSIGHT/START) and onward HIV transmission (HPTN 052).

RECENT FINDINGS

The median CD4 count in the treatment vs. control arms of the INSIGHT/START trial and HPTN 052 were 650 vs. 408 cells/μL and 442 vs. 221 cells/μL, respectively. In the real world, recent global estimates of the median CD4 count at start of ART range from 234 to 350 cells/μL, and only 25% of those initiating ART do so early (i.e., with CD4 > 500 cells/μL). Recent global data on trends in the median CD4 count at diagnosis and ART initiation are not encouraging. We identify a critical need for new targets and metrics for persons newly diagnosed with HIV, newly enrolling in HIV care, and newly initiating ART, based on pre-treatment CD4 counts, to help increase the focus of implementation efforts on achieving earlier diagnosis, linkage to care, and ART initiation.

Identifying priorities for HIV-associated tuberculosis research through the WHO guidelines process

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Guidelines developed by the WHO aim to provide recommendations to support best practice in health delivery, with a focus on low-income and middle-income countries. As part of the guideline development process, critical knowledge gaps are identified and one of the core functions of WHO guidelines is to set forth priorities for future research. A review of research priorities identified through the WHO guideline development has recently been promoted as one approach to building an overarching priority research agenda in a given area. This paper outlines priorities for HIV-associated TB research identified in WHO HIV and TB guidelines published since 2015.

RECENT FINDINGS

Nine guidelines were reviewed and 29 priority research questions were identified. Research priorities were identified for prevention of HIV-associated TB (11 questions), screening of latent and active TB in people living with HIV (six questions), treatment of drug sensitive (four questions), and drug-resistant (two questions) TB, and treatment of HIV in people coinfected with TB (three questions).

SUMMARY

Multiple approaches to defining priority research questions for health research exist. Research priorities that arise from the WHO guideline development process are limited to those areas for which guidelines are developed. One strength of this approach is that it takes as a starting point a desire to make actionable recommendations for policy makers. WHO is working to further refine the formulation of research questions within the guideline development process.

Traditional healers, HIV outcomes, and mortality among people living with HIV in Senegal, West Africa

OBJECTIVES

The goals of this study were to determine the frequency of traditional healer use among people living with HIV in Senegal, to identify predictors of traditional healer use, and to determine if traditional healer use is associated with HIV outcomes.

DESIGN

Prospective longitudinal study.

METHODS

Participants were enrolled from April 2017 to April 2018 in Dakar and Ziguinchor, Senegal. Interviews, clinical evaluations, laboratory analyses, and chart review were conducted. Logistic regression was used to identify sociodemographic predictors of traditional healer use and to determine the associations between HIV-outcomes and use of a traditional healer. Survival analysis was conducted using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Data from 157 HIV-positive individuals were included; 34% reported seeking care from a traditional healer. Median follow-up was 224 days (interquartile range 118-339.5). Predictors of traditional healer use included age greater than or equal to 35 years and residence in the Casamance region. HIV-1-infected participants who sought care from a traditional healer had lower baseline CD4 cell counts compared with those who did not (104 versus 208; P = 0.02), and a greater percentage presented with advanced disease (85% versus 62%; P = 0.01). A greater percentage of those who sought care from a traditional healer died (13.2 versus 2.9%; P = 0.03). HIV-1-infected individuals with advanced disease [odds ratio (OR) 3.58, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.18-10.82], those who were malnourished (OR 3.79, 95% CI 1.63-8.83), and those who died during follow-up (OR 7.26, 95% CI 1.34-39.37) were more likely to have sought care from a traditional healer.

CONCLUSION

Traditional healer use is common among people living with HIV in Senegal and is associated with advanced disease and increased mortality. Partnering with traditional healers may be an effective strategy to improve the HIV care cascade and decrease mortality in the region.

Point-of-care CD4 technology invalid result rates in public health care settings across five countries

BACKGROUND

Since 2010, point-of-care (POC) CD4 testing platforms have been introduced in both urban and rural settings to expand access to testing by bringing diagnostic services closer to patients. We conducted an analysis of routinely collected CD4 testing data to determine the invalid result rates associated with POC CD4 testing.

METHODS

We analyzed 981,152 CD4 testing records collected from Alere Pima Analyzers between January 2011 and December 2016 across five countries in sub-Saharan Africa. Routinely collected data and programmatic records were used to determine the rate of invalid test results per month, by facility type, and by operator based on cumulative usage during the study period. In addition, frequency of invalid test types and utilization of control beads were assessed.

RESULTS

Across the five countries, 75,530 invalid messages were returned, resulting in an overall invalid result rate of 7.7%. The invalid result rate by country ranged from 6.6% to 11.2%. Invalid result rates were consistent across facility types. Invalid result rates were inversely correlated with operator usage: low volume operators (<50 tests over study period) experienced an invalid result rate of 10.2%, while high volume operators (>500 tests over study period) experienced an invalid result rate of 5.5%. Two invalid result types (exposure position control and reagent control) accounted for nearly 50% of invalid results. Routine data showed that control beads were run on 88.3% of days that the device was used.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis found that the rate of invalid results was consistent across all types of health facilities, indicating that decentralization of POC CD4 testing to lower level health facilities did not exhibit high invalid result rates or increase cartridge wastage. Additionally, invalid result rates were inversely correlated to operator usage, with high-volume operators experiencing lower invalid result rates than low-volume operators. POC CD4 testing can, therefore, be performed in decentralized national testing programs; however, adequate training, quality assurance, routine monitoring, and ongoing mentorship should also be implemented for success.

Advanced HIV: diagnosis, treatment, and prevention

Substantial progress has been made this century in bringing millions of people living with HIV into care, but progress for early HIV diagnosis has stalled. Individuals first diagnosed with advanced HIV have higher rates of mortality than those diagnosed at an earlier stage even after starting antiretroviral therapy (ART), resulting in substantial costs to health systems. Diagnosis of these individuals is hindered because many patients are asymptomatic, despite being severely immunosuppressed. Baseline CD4 counts and screening for opportunistic infections, such as tuberculosis and cryptococcus, is crucial because of the high mortality associated with these co-infections. Individuals with advanced HIV should have rapid ART initiation (except when found to have symptoms, signs, or a diagnosis of cryptococcal meningitis) and those in treatment failure should switch treatment. Overcoming barriers to testing and adherence through the development of differentiated care models and providing psychosocial support will be key in reaching populations at high risk of presenting with advanced HIV.

Renal dysfunction by baseline CD4 cell count in a cohort of adults starting antiretroviral treatment regardless of CD4 count in the HIV Prevention Trials Network 071 [HPTN 071; Population Effect of Antiretroviral Therapy to Reduce HIV Transmission (PopART)] study in South Africa

OBJECTIVES

Renal dysfunction is a significant cause of morbidity and mortality among HIV-positive individuals. This study evaluated renal dysfunction in a cohort of adults who started antiretroviral treatment (ART) regardless of CD4 count at three Department of Health (DOH) clinics included in the HIV Prevention Trials Network 071 (HPTN 071) Population Effect of Antiretroviral Therapy to Reduce HIV Transmission (PopART) trial.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort analysis of routine data for HIV-positive individuals starting ART between January 2014 and November 2015 was completed. Incident renal dysfunction was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eEGFR) < 60 mL/min after ART initiation among individuals with a baseline (pre-ART) eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min.

RESULTS

Overall, 2423 individuals, with a median baseline CD4 count of 328 cells/μL [interquartile range (IQR) 195-468 cells/μL], were included in the analysis. Forty-seven individuals had a baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min. Among 1634 nonpregnant individuals started on a tenofovir-containing ART regimen and with a baseline eGFR ≥ 60 mL/min, 27 developed an eGFR < 60 mL/min on ART. Regression analysis showed lower odds of baseline eGFR < 60 mL/min at baseline CD4 counts of > 500 cells/μL [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.29; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.11-0.80], 351-500 cells/μL (aOR 0.22; 95% CI 0.08-0.59) and 201-350 (aOR 0.48; 95% CI: 0.24-0.97) compared with baseline CD4 counts < 200 cells/μL.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed low rates of renal dysfunction at baseline and on ART, with lower rates of baseline renal dysfunction among individuals with baseline CD4 counts > 200 cells/μL. Strategies that use baseline characteristics, such as age, to identify individuals at high risk of renal dysfunction on ART for enhanced eGFR monitoring may be effective and should be the subject of future research.

Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of immediate antiretroviral therapy initiation for treatment of HIV infection in Côte d'Ivoire: A model-based analysis

Introduction

The Temprano and START trials provided evidence to support early ART initiation recommendations. We projected long-term clinical and economic outcomes of immediate ART initiation in Côte d’Ivoire.

Methods

We used a mathematical model to compare three potential ART initiation criteria: 1) CD4 <350/μL (ART<350/μL); 2) CD4 <500/μL (ART<500/μL); and 3) ART at presentation (Immediate ART). Outcomes from the model included life expectancy, 10-year medical resource use, incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) in $/year of life saved (YLS), and 5-year budget impact. We simulated people with HIV (PWH) in care (mean CD4: 259/μL, SD 198/μL) and transmitted cases. Key input parameters to the analysis included first-line ART efficacy (80% suppression at 6 months) and ART cost ($90/person-year). We assessed cost-effectiveness relative to Côte d’Ivoire’s 2017 per capita annual gross domestic product ($1,600).

Results

Immediate ART increased life expectancy by 0.34 years compared to ART<350/μL and 0.17 years compared to ART<500/μL. Immediate ART resulted in 4,500 fewer 10-year transmissions per 170,000 PWH compared to ART<350/μL. In cost-effectiveness analysis, Immediate ART had a 10-year ICER of $680/YLS compared to ART<350/μL, ranging from cost-saving to an ICER of $1,440/YLS as transmission rates varied. ART<500/μL was “dominated” (an inefficient use of resources), compared with Immediate ART. Immediate ART increased the 5-year HIV care budget from $801.9M to $812.6M compared to ART<350/μL.

Conclusions

In Côte d’Ivoire, immediate compared to later ART initiation will increase life expectancy, decrease HIV transmission, and be cost-effective over the long-term, with modest budget impact. Immediate ART initiation is an appropriate, high-value standard of care in Côte d’Ivoire and similar settings.

The missed potential of CD4 and viral load testing to improve clinical outcomes for people living with HIV in lower-resource settings

In a Policy Forum, Peter Ehrenkranz and colleagues discuss the contribution of CD4 and viral load testing to outcomes for people with HIV in low- and middle-income countries.

Prevalence, predictors, and management of advanced HIV disease among individuals initiating ART in Senegal, West Africa

BACKGROUND

The WHO guidelines for the management of advanced HIV disease recommend a package of care consisting of rapid initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART), enhanced screening and diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB) and cryptococcal meningitis, co-trimoxazole prophylaxis, isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT), fluconazole pre-emptive therapy, and adherence support. The goals of this study were to determine the prevalence of advanced HIV disease among individuals initiating ART in Senegal, to identify predictors of advanced disease, and to evaluate adherence to the WHO guidelines.

METHODS

This study was conducted among HIV-positive individuals initiating ART in Dakar and Ziguinchor, Senegal. Clinical evaluations, laboratory analyses, questionnaires and chart review were conducted. Logistic regression was used to identify predictors of advanced disease.

RESULTS

A total of 198 subjects were enrolled; 70% were female. The majority of subjects (71%) had advanced HIV disease, defined by the WHO as a CD4 count < 200 cells/mm³ or clinical stage 3 or 4. The median CD4 count was 185 cells/mm³. The strongest predictors of advanced disease were age ≥ 35 (OR 5.80, 95%CI 2.35-14.30) and having sought care from a traditional healer (OR 3.86, 95%CI 1.17-12.78). Approximately one third of subjects initiated ART within 7 days of diagnosis. Co-trimoxazole prophylaxis was provided to 65% of subjects with CD4 counts ≤350 cells/mm³ or stage 3 or 4 disease. TB symptom screening was available for 166 subjects; 54% reported TB symptoms. Among those with TB symptoms, 39% underwent diagnostic evaluation. Among those eligible for IPT, one subject received isoniazid. No subjects underwent CrAg screening or received fluconazole to prevent cryptococcal meningitis.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to report an association between seeking care from a traditional healer and presentation with WHO defined advanced disease in sub-Saharan Africa. Given the widespread use of traditional healers in sub-Saharan Africa, future studies to further explore this finding are indicated. Although the majority of individuals in this study presented with advanced disease and warranted management according to WHO guidelines, there were numerous missed opportunities to prevent HIV-associated morbidity and mortality. Programmatic evaluation is needed to identify barriers to implementation of the WHO guidelines and enhanced funding for operational research is indicated.

ART adherence and viral suppression are high among most non-pregnant individuals with early-stage, asymptomatic HIV infection: an observational study from Uganda and South Africa

INTRODUCTION

The success of universal antiretroviral therapy (ART) access and aspirations for an AIDS-free generation depend on high adherence in individuals initiating ART during early-stage HIV infection; however, adherence may be difficult in the absence of illness and associated support.

METHODS

From March 2015 to October 2017, we prospectively observed three groups initiating ART in routine care in Uganda and South Africa: men and non-pregnant women with early-stage HIV infection (CD4 > 350 cells/μL), pregnant women with early-stage HIV infection and men and non-pregnant women with late-stage HIV infection (CD4 < 200 cells/μL). Socio-behavioural questionnaires were administered and viral loads were performed at 0, 6 and 12 months. Adherence was monitored electronically.

RESULTS

Adherence data were available for 869 participants: 322 (37%) early/non-pregnant, 199 (23%) early/pregnant and 348 (40%) late/non-pregnant participants. In Uganda, median adherence was 89% (interquartile range 74 to 96) and viral suppression was 90% at 12 months; neither differed among groups (p > 0.72). In South Africa, median adherence was higher in early/non-pregnant versus early/pregnant or late/non-pregnant participants (76%, 37%, 52%; p < 0.001), with similar trends in viral suppression (86%, 51%, 79%; p < 0.001). Among early/non-pregnant individuals in Uganda, adherence was higher with increasing age and lower with structural barriers; whereas in South Africa, adherence was higher with regular income, higher perceived stigma and use of other medications, but lower with maladaptive coping and cigarette smoking.

DISCUSSION

ART adherence among non-pregnant individuals with early-stage infection is as high or higher than with late-stage initiation, supporting universal access to ART. Challenges remain for some pregnant women and individuals with late-stage infection in South Africa and highlight the need for differentiated care delivery.

A decade of antiretroviral therapy in Uganda: what are the emerging causes of death?

BACKGROUND

The roll out of antiretroviral therapy (ART) in Sub-Saharan Africa led to a decrease in mortality. Few studies have documented the causes of deaths among patients on long term antiretroviral therapy in Sub-Saharan Africa. Our objective was to describe the causes of death among patients on long term ART in Sub-Saharan Africa.

METHODS

We used data from a prospective cohort of ART naïve patients receiving care and treatment at the Infectious Diseases Institute in Kampala, Uganda. Patients were followed up for 10 years. All deaths were recorded and possible causes established using verbal autopsy. Deaths were grouped as HIV-related (ART toxicities, any opportunistic infections (OIs) and HIV-related malignancies) and non-HIV related deaths while some remained unknown. We used Kaplan Meier survival methods to estimate cumulative incidence and rates of mortality for all causes of death.

RESULTS

Of the 559, (386, 69%) were female, median age 36 years (IQR: 21-44), 89% had WHO clinical stages 3 and 4, and median CD4 count at ART initiation was 98 cells/μL (IQR: 21-163). A total of 127 (22.7%) deaths occurred in 10 years. The HIV related causes of death (n = 70) included the following; Tuberculosis 17 (24.3%), Cryptococcal meningitis 10 (15.7%), Kaposi's Sarcoma 7(10%), HIV related toxicity 6 (8.6%), HIV related anemia 5(7.1%), Pneumocystis carinii Pneumonia (PCP) 5 (7.1%), HIV related chronic diarrhea 4 (5.7%), Non-Hodgkin Lymphoma 3 (4.3%), Herpes Zoster 2 (2.8%), other 10 (14.3%). The non-HIV related causes of death (n = 20) included non-communicable diseases (diabetes, hypertension, stroke) 6 (30%), malaria 3 (15%), pregnancy-related death 2 (10%), cervical cancer 2 (10%), trauma 1(5%) and others 6 (30%).

CONCLUSION

Despite the higher rates of deaths from OIs in the early years of ART initiation, we observed an emergence of non-HIV related causes of morbidity and mortality. It is recommended that HIV programs in resource-limited settings start planning for screening and treatment of non-communicable diseases.

Research priorities to inform "Treat All" policy implementation for people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a consensus statement from the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA)

INTRODUCTION

"Treat All" - the treatment of all people with HIV, irrespective of disease stage or CD4 cell count - represents a paradigm shift in HIV care that has the potential to end AIDS as a public health threat. With accelerating implementation of Treat All in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), there is a need for a focused agenda and research to identify and inform strategies for promoting timely uptake of HIV treatment, retention in care, and sustained viral suppression and addressing bottlenecks impeding implementation.

METHODS

The Delphi approach was used to develop consensus around research priorities for Treat All implementation in SSA. Through an iterative process (June 2017 to March 2018), a set of research priorities was collectively formulated and refined by a technical working group and shared for review, deliberation and prioritization by more than 200 researchers, implementation experts, policy/decision-makers, and HIV community representatives in East, Central, Southern and West Africa.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

The process resulted in a list of nine research priorities for generating evidence to guide Treat All policies, implementation strategies and monitoring efforts. These priorities highlight the need for increased focus on adolescents, men, and those with mental health and substance use disorders - groups that remain underserved in SSA and for whom more effective testing, linkage and care strategies need to be identified. The priorities also reflect consensus on the need to: (1) generate accurate national and sub-national estimates of the size of key populations and describe those who remain underserved along the HIV-care continuum; (2) characterize the timeliness of HIV care and short- and long-term HIV care continuum outcomes, as well as factors influencing timely achievement of these outcomes; (3) estimate the incidence and prevalence of HIV-drug resistance and regimen switching; and (4) identify cost-effective and affordable service delivery models and strategies to optimize uptake and minimize gaps, disparities, and losses along the HIV-care continuum, particularly among underserved populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Reflecting consensus among a broad group of experts, researchers, policy- and decision-makers, PLWH, and other stakeholders, the resulting research priorities highlight important evidence gaps that are relevant for ministries of health, funders, normative bodies and research networks.

Persons living with HIV with advanced HIV disease: need for novel care models

INTRODUCTION

Despite increasing focus on test and treat strategies for people living with HIV (PLHIV), many continue to enrol late in care and initiate antiretroviral therapy (ART) when they have advanced HIV disease.

METHODS

We analyzed PLHIV ≥15 years of age starting ART in Ethiopia, Kenya, Mozambique and Tanzania from 2005 to 2015 based on CD4+ groups at ART initiation (≥200, 100 to 199, 50 to 99 and <50 cells/mm3 ) to examine attrition (loss to follow-up (LTF) and death) using Kaplan-Meier estimators and Cox proportional hazards models. LTF was defined as no clinic visit >6 months; deaths were ascertained from medical records.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION

A total of 305,443 PLHIV were included in the analysis: 118,580 (38.8%) CD4+ ≥200, 91,788 (30.1%) CD4+ 100 to 199, 44,029 (14.4%) CD4+ 50 to 99 and 51,046 (16.7%) CD4+ <50 cells/mm3 . At 12 months after ART initiation, attrition for those with CD4+ ≥200, 100 to 199, 50 to 99 and <50 cells/mm3 was 21.3% (95% CI 21.1 to 21.6), 21.8% (95% CI 21.6 to 22.1), 27.3% (95% CI 26.9 to 27.7) and 33.6% (95% CI 33.2 to 34.0) respectively. In multivariable models, compared to PLHIV with CD4+ ≥200 cells/mm3 , those with CD4+ 50 to 99 cells/mm3 had 29% increased risk of attrition (adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) 1.29, 95% CI 1.27 to 1.32) and those with <50 cells/mm3 had 56% increased risk of attrition (AHR 1.56, 95% CI 1.53 to 1.58). Men had higher attrition compared to women across all CD4+ groups and overall were 28% more likely to experience attrition (AHR 1.28, 95% CI 1.26 to 1.29). Even after ART initiation, PLHIV with advanced disease had notably inferior outcomes with substantial gradient within the low CD4+ strata highlighting the need for targeted interventions for these populations.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater efforts, including the identification of effective differentiated service delivery models, are needed to ensure that all PLHIV starting treatment can garner the benefits from ART and achieve favourable outcomes.

Non-Hodgkin lymphoma risk in adults living with HIV across five continents

OBJECTIVE

To compare non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) incidence rates in adults who started antiretroviral therapy (ART) across the Asia-Pacific, South Africa, Europe, Latin, and North America.

METHODS

We included cohort data of adults living with HIV who started ART after 1995 within the framework of the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) and the Collaboration of Observational HIV Epidemiological Research in Europe (COHERE). We used flexible parametric survival models to compare regional NHL rates at 2 years after ART start and to identify risk factors for NHL.

RESULTS

We included 210 898 adults with 1.1 million person-years (pys) of follow-up and 1552 incident NHL cases (raw overall incidence rate 142/100 000 pys). After adjusting for age at ART start, first-line ART regimen, calendar period of ART start, and especially current CD4 cell count, NHL rates were similar across regions for most population groups. However, South African women remained at increased risk of developing NHL compared with their European counterparts [adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.79, 95% CI 1.19-2.70]. In Europe, Latin, and North America, NHL risk was highest in MSM (aHR 1.30, 95% CI 1.14-1.48), followed by heterosexual men (referent), and women (aHR 0.66, 95% CI 0.57-0.78).

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of developing NHL is higher in women in South Africa than in Europe and higher in MSM compared with heterosexual men and women. Reasons for these differences remain unclear. Early ART access and regular patient monitoring to avert low CD4 cell counts remain key for NHL prevention.

The contribution of observational studies in supporting the WHO 'treat all' recommendation for HIV/AIDS

In 2015, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended that all people living with HIV (PLWH) should start antiretroviral therapy (ART) irrespective of clinical or immune status. This recommendation followed almost 20 years of research into the clinical and population-level benefits and risks of starting ART early compared with deferring treatment. This article summarises the ways in which observational data support the work of WHO, including the support provided by the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA), taking the example of 'treat all'.

IeDEA-WHO Research-Policy Collaboration: contributing real-world evidence to HIV progress reporting and guideline development

Partnerships between researchers and policymakers can improve uptake and integration of scientific evidence. This article describes the research-policy partnership between the International epidemiology Databases to Evaluate AIDS (IeDEA) ( www.iedea.org) and the World Health Organization (WHO), which was established in 2014. IeDEA is an international research consortium, which analyses data on almost 2 million people living with HIV under care in routine settings in 46 countries in Asia-Pacific, the Caribbean, Central and South America, North America and sub-Saharan Africa. Five multiregional analyses were identified to inform the WHO on progress towards the second and third 90s of the 90-90-90 targets in adults and children: (i) trends in CD4 cell counts at the start of antiretroviral therapy (ART); (ii) delays from enrolment in HIV care to ART initiation; (iii) the impact of ART guideline changes; (iv) retention in care, mortality and loss to follow-up; and (v) viral suppression within the first 3 years after initiating ART. Results from these analyses were contributed to the 2015 and 2016 WHO global HIV progress reports, will contribute to the 2018 report, and were published in academic journals. The partnership has been mutually beneficial: discussion of WHO policy agendas led to more policy-framed, relevant and timely IeDEA research, and the collaboration provided the WHO with timely access to the latest data from IeDEA, as it was shared prior to peer-review publication.

Treating all people living with HIV in sub-Saharan Africa: a new era calling for new approaches

Nearly all countries in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) have adopted national policies to treat all persons with HIV, regardless of CD4 cell count or clinical stage ('treat all'). With 10.3 million people untreated and a projected 1.2 million new infections per year in SSA, the current and anticipated unmet need for HIV treatment in SSA is substantial. Evidence to date from SSA suggests that, once linked to care, timely ART initiation with retention and viral suppression is the norm. However, ART initiation in SSA usually occurs late in the course of infection, driving high mortality and incidence rates. The 'treat all' era presents strategic opportunities for health systems to substantially reduce AIDS-related mortality and HIV incidence. This special issue of the Journal of Virus Eradication contains eight articles focused on issues critical to ensuring the success and impact of 'treat all' implementation in SSA.

ART initiation in an outpatient treatment center in Dakar, Senegal: A retrospective cohort analysis (1998-2015)

Objective

To examine how patient characteristics combined with ART eligibility expansions affect the initiation of antiretroviral therapy (ART) among eligible patients attending a referral center in Senegal from 1998 to 2015.

Methods

This is a retrospective observational study carried out at the outpatient treatment Centre (Centre de Traitement Ambulatoire) in Dakar, Senegal, based on computerized medical records, gathered from 1998 to 2015, of ART-naïve patients over 15 years of age. ART eligibility was defined as (CD4 count below 200) or as (WHO stage 4) or as (WHO stage 3 with (CD4 count below 350 or with unavailable CD4 count)) in 1998–2010; as (CD4 count below 350) or as (WHO stage 3 or 4) in 2011–2013; as (CD4 count below 500) or as (WHO stage 3 or 4) in 2014–2015. Four periods were defined according to ART eligibility expansions and Senegal’s HIV care history: 1998–2003 (P 1), 2004–2010 (P 2), 2011–2013 (P3), and 2014–2015 (P4). Patients were expected to participate financially in their treatment during the first period (P1).

Results

A total of 3651 patient records were included. The median patient age was 40 years (IQR: 32–48). Women represented 56% of the population. The median CD4 count was 183 cells/mm³. Overall, 53% of patients had CD4 < 200 cells/mm³ at entry. This proportion reached 45% in 2014–2015. 2535 patients (69%) were eligible for therapy, including 1503 (41%) who started ART. The proportion of treated patients among those who were eligible at entry or later increased steadily from 25%, 47%, 75% to 82% in the four periods, respectively. The median time to treatment decreased from 5.6 months (IQR: 3–11) in P1 to 0.8 months (IQR: 0–2) in P4. Eligible patients with more advanced disease (CD4<200 cells/mm³ and/or clinical stage 3 or 4) were more likely to be ART initiated than those with CD4≥200 cells/mm³ and/or clinical stage 1 or 2 at each stage of ART eligibility expansion.

Conclusion

ART eligibility expansions were marked by a sharp increase in the proportion of eligible patients initiating treatment. These results show that in terms of management, the target of "Test and Treat" can be easily reached but that HIV testing will remain a key element to improve treatment success, as illustrated by the high proportion of people with advanced stage of infection at the time of ART initiation.

High Prevalence of Late-Stage Disease in Newly Diagnosed Human Immunodeficiency Virus Patients in Sierra Leone

A high prevalence of late-stage disease (75.4%) and severe immunosuppression (23.3%) was observed in 155 newly diagnosed human immunodeficiency virus patients in Freetown, Sierra Leone during August to November 2017. Within the late-stage diagnosis group, a significantly high proportion of patients reported fever (84.2% vs 65.2%; P = .01), weight loss (82.2% vs 63.5%; P = .01), and malaise (89.7% vs 71.7%; P = .05). Fever was identified as the only independent predictor of late-stage disease in this study.