Absolute and attributable risks of atrial fibrillation in relation to optimal and borderline risk factors: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

A Team-Based Approach Toward Risk Factors of Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF), being the most common arrhythmia, the service of primary care physicians and internists in preventing, identifying, and treating AF is of paramount importance. There are nonmodifiable, modifiable, and reversible risk factors for AF. The modifiable risk factors include hypertension, obesity, coronary artery disease, heart failure, diabetes mellitus etc. These risk factors should be screened and adequately treated to prevent occurrence of AF at the primary care level itself. This will reduce recurrence rates of AF and will treat underlying conditions predisposing to AF.

Hypertension, Prehypertension, Hypertensive Heart Disease, and Atrial Fibrillation

Hypertension (HT) confers the highest population-attributable risk among factors leading to atrial fibrillation (AF). Data also are accumulating regarding the association between pre-HT, aortic stiffness, and increased incident AF or AF recurrence. Atrial remodeling due to HT is progressive but also reversible. Although inhibition of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system has shown the greatest promise in improving AF outcomes, optimal blood pressure targets in individuals with HT and AF remain elusive. AF management demands an integrated care approach. HT is best treated alongside a comprehensive risk factor management program where other AF risk factors are targeted, with involvement of a multidisciplinary team.

Genetically Predicted Blood Pressure and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation

Observational studies have shown an association between hypertension and atrial fibrillation (AF). Aggressive blood pressure management in patients with known AF reduces overall arrhythmia burden, but it remains unclear whether hypertension is causative for AF. To address this question, this study explored the relationship between genetic predictors of blood pressure and risk of AF. We secondarily explored the relationship between genetically proxied use of antihypertensive drugs and risk of AF. Two-sample Mendelian randomization was performed using an inverse-variance weighted meta-analysis with weighted median Mendelian randomization and Egger intercept tests performed as sensitivity analyses. Summary statistics for systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and pulse pressure were obtained from the International Consortium of Blood Pressure and the UK Biobank discovery analysis and AF from the 2018 Atrial Fibrillation Genetics Consortium multiethnic genome-wide association studies. Increases in genetically proxied systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, or pulse pressure by 10 mm Hg were associated with increased odds of AF (systolic blood pressure: odds ratio [OR], 1.17 [95% CI, 1.11-1.22]; P=1×10-11; diastolic blood pressure: OR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.16-1.35]; P=3×10-8; pulse pressure: OR, 1.1 [95% CI, 1.0-1.2]; P=0.05). Decreases in systolic blood pressure by 10 mm Hg estimated by genetic proxies of antihypertensive medications showed calcium channel blockers (OR, 0.66 [95% CI, 0.57-0.76]; P=8×10-9) and β-blockers (OR, 0.61 [95% CI, 0.46-0.81]; P=6×10-4) decreased the risk of AF. Blood pressure-increasing genetic variants were associated with increased risk of AF, consistent with a causal relationship between blood pressure and AF. These data support the concept that blood pressure reduction with calcium channel blockade or β-blockade could reduce the risk of AF.

Hypertension Burden and the Risk of New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

The association between the cumulative hypertension burden and the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) is unclear. We aimed to investigate the relationship between hypertension burden and the development of incident AF. Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we identified 3 726 172 subjects who underwent 4 consecutive annual health checkups between 2009 and 2013, with no history of AF. During the median follow-up of 5.2 years, AF was newly diagnosed in 22 012 patients (0.59% of the total study population; 1.168 per 1000 person-years). Using the blood pressure (BP) values at each health checkup, we determined the burden of hypertension (systolic BP ≥130 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥80 mm Hg), stratified as 0 to 4 per the hypertension criteria. The subjects were grouped according to hypertension burden scale 1 to 4: 20% (n=742 806), 19% (n=704 623), 19% (n=713 258), 21% (n=766 204), and 21% (n=799 281). Compared with normal people, subjects with hypertension burdens of 1, 2, 3, and 4 were associated with an 8%, 18%, 26%, and 27% increased risk of incident AF, respectively. On semiquantitative analyses with further stratification of stage 1 (systolic BP of 130-139 mm Hg or diastolic BP of 80-89 mm Hg) and stage 2 (systolic BP ≥140 mm Hg or diastolic BP ≥90 mm Hg) hypertension, the risk of AF increased with the hypertension burden by up to 71%. In this study, both a sustained exposure and the degree of increased BP were associated with an increased risk of incident AF. Tailored BP management should be emphasized to reduce the risk of AF.

Increased body mass index, age, and left atrial size are associated with altered intracardiac atrial electrograms in persistent atrial fibrillation patients

BACKGROUND

There are limited studies evaluating whether atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with increased BMI, age, and left atrial (LA) size have altered intracardiac electrogram (EGM) morphology.

METHODS

We analyzed left atrial intracardiac EGMs acquired during invasive electrophysiology study in 54 patients with AF. EGM correlations were assessed among AF risk factors including age, left atrial size, and BMI.

RESULTS

BMI correlated positively with DF (r² = 0.17, p = 0.009) and MP (r² = 0.16, p = 0.01) with dominant frequency (DF) and mean spectral profile (MP) greater among obese individuals. Age was negatively associated with mean amplitude (r² = 0.42, p < 0.001) and width (r² = 0.32, p < 0.001); age was positively correlated with MP (r² = 0.24, p < 0.001). LA size was negatively correlated with mean amplitude (r² = 0.18, p = 0.03) and width (r² = 0.23, p = 0.01); LA size was positively correlated with DF (r² = 0.22, p = 0.01) and MP (r² = 0.23, p = 0.01). Mean amplitude and width were decreased among subjects with a severely enlarged LA; DF and MP were increased in those with severely enlarged LA. The associations with BMI and LA size remained significant in multiple regression models that included age, male gender, time since AF diagnosis, and LVEF.

CONCLUSIONS

EGM morphology of AF patients with increased BMI, older age, and an enlarged LA possessed decreased amplitude and decreased width and increased DF and MP. These findings suggest that atrial remodeling due to increased age, LA size, and BMI is associated with differences in local atrial activation, decreased refractoriness, and more heterogeneous activation. These novel findings point out clinical risk factors for atrial fibrillation that may affect electrogram characteristics.

[Observational study of the prevalence of non-valvular atrial fibrillation and ischemic stroke and the factors associated with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in hypertensive patients: about 2887 cases]

Introduction

high blood pressure (HBP), atrial fibrillation (AF) and ischemic stroke are three public health problems. The purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence of AF and ischemic stroke in hypertensive patients and the factors associated with the occurrence of non-valvular AF in these patients.

Methods

we used data collected in the Department of Cardiology at the University Hospital of Sfax as a part of National Tunisian Registry of Hypertension. We examined the associations between different socio-demographic, clinical, paraclinical, and therapeutic variables and AF in hypertensive patients using logistic regression models.

Results

our sample consisted of 2887 patients with a sex ratio of 0.95. The average age of patients was 65 years (±11). AF was found in 230 patients (8%), while ischemic stroke was found in 152 patients (5.3%). Multivariate analysis highlighted that independent factors associated with an increase in the prevalence of AF were: advanced age (p = 0,001, Odds Ratio (OR) = 1,647, 95% confidence interval ( CI): 1,1227-2,213), the detection of left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) on cardiac ultrasound (p= 0,004, OR= 2,140, 5%CI 9: 1,281-3,576), and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) < 50% (p<0,001, OR=4,677, 95% CI: 2,715 and 8.057).

Conclusion

this study confirms that there is a direct and independent relationship between high blood pressure, advanced age, LVH and AF. AF in patients with high blood pressure is a disease progression leading to an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Optimal high blood pressure control is a priority in hypertensive patients, especially in the elderly, aiming at preventing the risk of AF and ischemic stroke.

Comparative Effectiveness and Safety of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Obese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Unlike warfarin direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are administered in fixed doses, which raises concerns of its effectiveness on larger patients. Data from randomized trials are limited on the safety and efficacy of DOACs in morbidly obese individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF).

METHODS

We analyzed a cohort of obese (≥ 120 kg) and morbidly obese (BMI > 40 kg/m²) patients from the Veterans Health Administration system with AF who initiated apixaban, rivaroxaban, dabigatran, or warfarin between years 2012 and 2018. We used inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) and Cox proportional hazards regression models to evaluate the relative hazard of death, myocardial infarction (MI), ischemic stroke, heart failure (HF), and bleeding events between oral anticoagulant (OAC) groups while censoring for medication cessation.

RESULTS

We identified 6052 obese patients on apixaban, 4233 on dabigatran, 4309 on rivaroxaban, and 13,417 on warfarin (mean age 66.7 years, 91% males, 80.4% whites). At baseline patients on apixaban had the lowest glomerular filtration rate and highest rates of previous stroke and MI compared to other OACs. Among patients with weight ≥ 120 kg and those with BMI > 40 kg/m², all DOACs were associated with lower risk of any hemorrhage, hemorrhagic stroke, and gastrointestinal (GI) bleeding. Patients with BMI > 40 kg/m² treated with DOACs had similar ischemic stroke risk with those on warfarin.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large cohort of obese Veterans Health Administration system patients, the use of DOACs resulted in lower hemorrhagic complications than warfarin while maintaining efficacy on ischemic stroke prevention.

Phospho-ablation of cardiac sodium channel Nav1.5 mitigates susceptibility to atrial fibrillation and improves glucose homeostasis under conditions of diet-induced obesity

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, with growing evidence identifying obesity as an important risk factor for the development of AF. Although defective atrial myocyte excitability due to stress-induced remodeling of ion channels is commonly observed in the setting of AF, little is known about the mechanistic link between obesity and AF. Recent studies have identified increased cardiac late sodium current (I_Na,L) downstream of calmodulin-dependent kinase II (CaMKII) activation as an important driver of AF susceptibility.

METHODS

Here, we investigated a possible role for CaMKII-dependent I_Na,L in obesity-induced AF using wild-type (WT) and whole-body knock-in mice that ablates phosphorylation of the Na_v1.5 sodium channel and prevents augmentation of the late sodium current (S571A; SA mice).

RESULTS

A high-fat diet (HFD) increased susceptibility to arrhythmias in WT mice, while SA mice were protected from this effect. Unexpectedly, SA mice had improved glucose homeostasis and decreased body weight compared to WT mice. However, SA mice also had reduced food consumption compared to WT mice. Controlling for food consumption through pair feeding of WT and SA mice abrogated differences in weight gain and AF inducibility, but not atrial fibrosis, premature atrial contractions or metabolic capacity.

CONCLUSIONS

These data demonstrate a novel role for CaMKII-dependent regulation of Na_v1.5 in mediating susceptibility to arrhythmias and whole-body metabolism under conditions of diet-induced obesity.

Healthcare resource utilization and costs of rivaroxaban versus warfarin among non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients with obesity in a US population

AIM

To assess the real-world healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs of patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and obesity newly initiated on rivaroxaban or warfarin in the US.

METHODS

This retrospective study used IQVIA PharMetrics Plus data (01/2010-09/2019) to evaluate patients (≥18 years) with NVAF and obesity (body mass index ≥30 kg/m²) initiated on rivaroxaban or warfarin (on or after 01/2013). Inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) was used to adjust for confounding between cohorts. HRU and costs were assessed post-treatment initiation. Weighted cohorts were compared using Poisson regression models and cost differences, with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and p values generated using non-parametric bootstrap procedures.

RESULTS

After IPTW, 10,555 and 5,080 patients were initiated on rivaroxaban and warfarin, respectively (mean age: 59 years). At 12 months follow-up, the rivaroxaban cohort had lower all-cause HRU, including fewer hospitalizations (rate ratio [RR]: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.74, 0.87), emergency room visits (RR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.83, 0.97), and outpatient visits (RR: 0.72, 95% CI: 0.69, 0.77; all p < .05). Medical costs were also reduced in the rivaroxaban cohort (mean difference: -$6,759, 95% CI: -$9,814, -$3,311) due to reduced hospitalization costs (mean difference: -$5,967, 95% CI: -$8,721, -$3,327), resulting in lower total all-cause healthcare costs compared to the warfarin cohort (mean difference: -$4,579, 95% CI: -$7,609, -$1,052; all p < .05). The rivaroxaban cohort also had lower NVAF-related HRU and medical costs driven by lower hospitalization at 12 months post-treatment initiation. HRU and cost reductions associated with rivaroxaban persisted up to 36 months of follow-up.

LIMITATIONS

Claims data may have contained inaccuracies and obesity was classified based on ICD diagnosis codes given that patient BMI values were not available.

CONCLUSIONS

Rivaroxaban was associated with reduced HRU and costs compared to warfarin among NVAF patients with obesity in a real-world US setting.

Ambulatory blood pressure and risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation in treated hypertensive patients

The aim of this study was to evaluate the influence of clinic and ambulatory blood pressure (BP) on the occurrence of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF) in treated hypertensive patients. We studied 2135 sequential treated hypertensive patients aged >40 years. During the follow-up (mean 9.7 years, range 0.4-20 years), 116 events (new-onset AF) occurred. In univariate analysis, clinic, daytime, nighttime, and 24-h systolic BP were all significantly associated with increased risk of new-onset AF, that is, hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) per 10 mm Hg increment 1.22 (1.11-1.35), 1.36 (1.21-1.53), 1.42 (1.29-1.57), and 1.42 (1.26-1.60), respectively. After adjustment for various covariates in multivariate analysis, clinic systolic BP was no longer associated with increased risk of new-onset AF, whereas daytime, nighttime, and 24-h systolic BP remained significantly associated with outcome, that is, hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) per 10 mm Hg increment 1.09 (0.97-1.23), 1.23 (1.10-1.39), 1.16 (1.03-1.31), and 1.22 (1.06-1.40), respectively. Daytime, nighttime, and 24-h systolic BP are superior to clinic systolic BP in predicting new-onset AF in treated hypertensive patients. Future studies are needed to evaluate whether a better control of ambulatory BP might be helpful in reducing the occurrence of new-onset AF.

Cryoablation for pulmonary veins isolation in obese patients with atrial fibrillation compared to nonobese patients

BACKGROUND

Pulmonary veins isolation (PVI) by cryoballoon (CB) ablation is marginally represented in clinical studies in obese patients. The aim of this analysis was to evaluate the safety and efficacy of CB-PVI in a large cohort of overweight and obese patients from the 1STOP project.

METHODS

From 2012 to 2018, 2048 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) (70% male, 59 ± 11 years; 75% paroxysmal AF) underwent index CB-PVI. The patient data were separated into three cohorts for statistical evaluation, including: normal weight (body mass index [BMI] < 25 kg/m² ), overweight (BMI = 25-30 kg/m² ), and obese patients (BMI > 30 kg/m² ).

RESULTS

Out of 2048 patients, 693 (34%) patients had a BMI < 25 and were deemed as normal. There were 944 (46%) patients categorized as overweight (BMI = 25-30) and 411 (20%) as obese (BMI > 30). Overweight or obese patients were more often in persistent AF, had more frequently hypertension and diabetes, had higher CHA₂ DS₂ -VASc score, and had a number of failed antiarrhythmic drug (AAD). Periprocedural complication rates were similar among the three cohorts. The 12-month freedom from AF recurrence was 76.4% in the normal BMI group as compared to 79.2% in the overweight and 73.5% in the obese group (p = .35). However, 48% of overweight patients were on AAD treatment during the follow-up. By multivariate analysis, BMI was not a predictor for AF recurrence following the index CB-PVI.

CONCLUSION

CB-PVI in obese patients is a safe procedure. Increased BMI (either moderate or severe) does not seem to be associated with a worse outcome or to a different rate of AAD discontinuation at 12 months.

Women and atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) remains a growing problem in the United States and worldwide, imposing a high individual and health system burden, including increased resource consumption due to repeated hospitalizations, stroke, dementia, heart failure, and death. This comprehensive review summarizes the most recent data on sex-related differences in risks associated with AF. Women with AF have increased risk of stroke and death compared to men, and possible reasons for this disparity are explored. Women also continue to have worse symptoms and quality of life, and poorer outcomes with stroke prevention, as well as with rate and rhythm control management strategies. Many current rhythm control treatment strategies for AF, including cardioversion and ablation, are used less frequently in women as compared to men, whereas women are more likely to be treated with rate control strategies or antiarrhythmic drugs. Sex differences should be considered in treating women with AF to improve outcomes and women and men should be offered the same interventions for AF. We need to improve the evidence base to understand if variation in utilization of rate and rhythm control management between men and women represents health inequities or appropriate clinical judgement.

Association of Life's Simple 7 with Atrial Fibrillation Burden (From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study)

The American Heart Association's Life's Simple 7 (LS7) metric consists of 7 modifiable risk factors. Although a more favorable LS7 risk factor profile is associated with lower AF incidence, this relation is unknown in regard to AF burden. We assessed the prospective association of overall LS7 score and individual LS7 risk factors in midlife with AF burden in late-life in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study. LS7 components were assessed at Visit 3 (1993 to 1995) and a composite score ranging from 0 to 14 was calculated. A higher score indicates better cardiovascular health. AF burden was measured at Visit 6 (2016 to 2017) with a 2-week Zio XT Patch. AF burden, defined as the percent of time a participant was in AF, was categorized as none, intermittent (>0 to <100%), or continuous (100%). Weighted multinomial logistic regression was used. Of the 2,363 participants, 58% were female and 24% were black. Participants were aged 57 ± 5 years at Visit 3 and 79 ± 5 years at Visit 6. From the Zio XT Patch, 5% had continuous AF, 4% had intermittent AF, and 91% had none. After multivariable adjustment, each 1-point increase in LS7 score had 0.87 (95% CI: 0.79 to 0.95) higher odds of continuous AF than no AF. Individually, poor levels of physical activity, BMI, and fasting blood glucose were associated with greater AF burden. In conclusion, this population-based prospective cohort study reports that unfavorable cardiovascular health profile in midlife is associated with higher AF burden in late-life and future research to evaluate the effectiveness of optimizing physical activity, BMI, and fasting blood glucose in lowering AF burden is warranted.

Comparative effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants versus warfarin in UK patients with atrial fibrillation and type 2 diabetes: A retrospective cohort study

PURPOSE

To estimate the effectiveness and safety of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) compared with warfarin in AF patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM).

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was designed, using the UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink (August 2011-June 2018). Participants were 1-year naïve users of DOACs or warfarin, followed from the date of first prescription of an oral anticoagulant until the end of the study period, death, discontinuation of treatment, switching to another anticoagulant, or an outcome of interest, whichever came first. Cox regression analysis was performed to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

A total of 8555 patients were identified. No significant differences were found between DOACs and warfarin in the risk of stroke (adjusted HR 1.15; 95% CI 0.82-1.60), ischemic and unspecified stroke (adjusted HR 1.23; 95% CI 0.86-1.76) or haemorrhagic stroke (adjusted HR 0.75; 95% CI 0.30-1.85), and myocardial infarction (adjusted HR 1.39;95% CI 0.99-1.97). DOAC and warfarin users were comparable with respect to risk of major bleed (adjusted HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.68-1.03), intracranial bleeding (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.34-1.30), gastrointestinal bleeding (HR 0.88; 95% CI 0.60-1.30), and bleeding on other clinically relevant sites (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.60-1.31). In the subgroup analyses stratified by gender and diabetes severity, the risk for stroke and bleeding remained consistent.

CONCLUSION

DOACs are effective and safe alternatives to warfarin for the prevention of stroke in AF patients with T2DM.

Association between cardiorespiratory fitness, obesity, and incidence of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The interaction between cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF) and incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) and the interaction between obesity and incidence of AF have been explored separately. Therefore, we evaluated the association between CRF, body mass index (BMI), and risk of developing AF in a cohort of middle-aged and older US Veterans.

METHODS

Symptom limited exercise tests (ETT) were conducted among 16,397 Veterans (97% male) from January 9,1987 to December 31,2017. No history of AF was evident at the time of the ETTs. CRF was expressed as quartiles of peak metabolic equivalents (METs) achieved within each age decile. Weight status was classified as normal (BMI < 25 kg/m2), overweight (BMI 25-30 kg/m2), obese (BMI 30-35 kg/m2), or severely obese (BMI > 35 kg/m2). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to compare the association between BMI, CRF categories, and incidence of AF.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 10.7 years, 2,155 (13.1%) developed AF. Obese and severely obese subjects had 13% and 32% higher risks for incidence of AF, respectively, vs. normal weight subjects. Overweight and obese subjects in the most fit quartile had 50% decline in AF risk compared to the least-fit subjects. Severely obese subjects had marked increases in AF risk (~50-60%) regardless of fitness level. Risk of developing AF increases with higher BMI and lower CRF.

CONCLUSION

Improving CRF should be advocated when assessing those at risk for developing AF.

Serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide as a predictor for future development of atrial fibrillation in a general population: the Hisayama Study

BACKGROUND

Biomarkers for predicting future development of atrial fibrillation (AF) have not been fully established in general populations. The aim of this study was to assess the predictive ability of serum N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for the development of AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 3126 community-dwelling Japanese subjects aged ≥ 40 years without a history of AF in 2002 were followed up for a median of 10.2 years. Serum NT-proBNP levels at baseline were divided into four categories (≤ 54, 55-124, 125-299, and ≥ 300 pg/mL) according to the current guidelines and prior reports. The hazard ratios for the development of AF were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the follow-up period, 153 subjects developed new-onset AF. The age- and sex-adjusted cumulative incidence of AF increased significantly with higher serum NT-proBNP levels (p < 0.001 for trend). The association remained significant after adjustment for known risk factors for AF and cardiovascular disease (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: ≤ 54 pg/mL: 1.00 [reference]; 55-124 pg/mL: 1.72 [1.00-2.97]; 125-299 pg/mL: 3.95 [2.23-6.98]; ≥ 300 pg/mL: 8.51 [4.48-16.17]; p < 0.001 for trend). Furthermore, incorporation of serum NT-proBNP levels into the model consisting of known risk factors for AF and cardiovascular disease significantly improved the predictive ability for developing AF (Harrell's c-statistics: 0.828 to 0.844, p = 0.01; continuous net reclassification improvement: 0.41, p < 0.001; integrated discrimination improvement: 0.031, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Serum NT-proBNP levels can be a risk biomarker for predicting future development of AF in a general Japanese population.

A Review of Obesity, Physical Activity, and Cardiovascular Disease

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The focus of this review is to discuss obesity, physical activity (and physical inactivity/sedentary behavior), cardiovascular disease (CVD), and their often interrelated health implications. The authors summarize the pathophysiological changes associated with obesity, which lead to the development of CVD, recommendations for interventions such as diet, increased physical activity, and weight loss according to current literature and guidelines, and the critical importance of cardiorespiratory fitness (CRF).

RECENT FINDINGS

Clinical trials continue to demonstrate improved outcomes among overweight or obese individuals who achieve a healthy weight using various methods. Increasing CRF levels appears to demonstrate the largest health improvements, regardless of underlying comorbidities or achieving weight loss. CRF, which is perhaps the single most important predictor of overall health, seems more important than weight loss alone regarding improved CVD outcomes in the obese population. These findings are reproduced in studies involving patients with various forms of CVD and CVD risk factors. The importance of CRF is well established; future endeavors to establish specific CRF targets for various patient cohorts are needed.

Meta-Analysis of Atrial Fibrillation and Outcomes in Patients With Heart Failure and Preserved Ejection Fraction

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF); However, the prognostic impact of AF on HFpEF patients has not been fully elucidated.

METHODS

A literature search of the PubMed and EMBASE databases on literature published through April 2019 was undertaken. Combined hazard ratio (HR) estimates and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using fixed-effects or random-effects models, depending on the heterogeneity. Subgroup analyses, sensitivity analysis and meta-regression analyses were also performed.

RESULTS

Fourteen (14) eligible studies with 1,948,923 patients with HFpEF were included in the analysis. Atrial fibrillation was associated with an 11% increased risk of all-cause mortality in patients with HFpEF (HR 1.11, 95% CI 1.09-1.12). Sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the results. The stratification of studies by controlled or uncontrolled confounding factors affected the final estimate (confounder-controlled HR 1.21, 95% CI 1.12-1.30; confounder-uncontrolled HR 1.13, 95% CI 0.96-1.31). In addition, AF was an independent predictor of hospitalisation for heart failure (HR 1.32, 95% CI 1.15-1.52), cardiovascular death (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.01-1.89) and stroke (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.54-2.27).

CONCLUSIONS

Atrial fibrillation was associated with worse clinical outcomes in patients with HFpEF. Further investigation is required to see whether AF is the primary offender in these patients or merely a bystander to worse diastolic function.

Association of Hypertension According to New American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association Blood Pressure Guidelines With Incident Dementia in the ARIC Study Cohort

Background

The impact of the new 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association (ACC/AHA) hypertension guideline on dementia risk at the population level has not been evaluated.

Methods and Results

We studied dementia‐free participants in the ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) Study cohort in 1987 to 1989. Hypertension was defined by 2003 Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure and 2017 ACC/AHA guidelines using blood pressure measured at baseline. Dementia was defined using adjudicated consensus diagnoses, informant telephone interviews, and discharge codes from hospitalizations and death certificates. Cox regression estimated hazard ratios (HRs) for dementia and 95% CIs by hypertension categories, adjusting for confounders. Population attributable fraction of dementia was calculated by hypertension categories. Among 13 971 participants followed up for a median of 23 years, 1381 dementia cases were identified. Prevalence of hypertension was 34% and 48%, according to the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure and ACC/AHA criteria, respectively. HRs (95% CIs) compared with normal blood pressure, according to ACC/AHA categories, were 1.35 (1.12–1.61) for elevated blood pressure, 1.28 (1.07–1.52) for hypertension stage 1, and 1.36 (1.18–1.57) for hypertension stage 2. Population attributable fractions (95% CIs) of dementia from blood pressure categories were 3% (1%–5%), 3% (1%–5%), and 9% (4%–14%), respectively. Population attributable fractions (95% CIs) using the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure categories were 6% (3%–9%) for prehypertension, 0% (−2% to 2%) for hypertension stage 1, and 9% (5%–13%) for hypertension stage 2.

Conclusions

Risk of dementia increased across hypertension categories defined by ACC/AHA guidelines. The population impact on dementia incidence using ACC/AHA categories was similar to the impact of the Seventh Report of the Joint National Committee on Prevention, Detection, Evaluation, and Treatment of High Blood Pressure.

The counterintuitive role of exercise in the prevention and cause of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia, characterized by irregular atrial activity. AF is related to increased risk of thromboembolic events, heart failure, and premature mortality. Recent advances in our understanding of its pathophysiology include a potentially central role for inflammation and presence of cardiovascular risk factors. The role of physical activity and exercise in the development and progression of AF, however, are not yet fully understood. Physical activity is protective for modifiable cardiovascular risk factors, including those associated with AF. Indeed, emerging research has demonstrated beneficial effects of exercise on AF-specific outcomes, including AF recurrence postablation. Counterintuitively, the prevalence of AF in veteran endurance athletes seems higher compared with the general population. In this review, we discuss the novel evidence and underlying mechanisms underpinning the role of exercise as medicine in the development and management of AF but also the counterintuitive detrimental role of excessive endurance exercise. Finally, we advocate regular (but not long-term high-intensity endurance) exercise training as a safe and effective strategy to reduce the risk of incident AF and to minimize the associated risk of secondary cardiovascular events.

Renal Sympathetic Denervation as Upstream Therapy During Atrial Fibrillation Ablation: Pilot HFIB Studies and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

This study sought to determine the impact of adjunctive renal sympathetic denervation to catheter ablation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and history of hypertension.

BACKGROUND

There are limited data regarding the impact of upstream adjunctive renal sympathetic denervation (RSDN) to pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) in patients with symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF) and hypertension.

METHODS

The data for this study were obtained from 2 prospective randomized pilot studies, the HFIB (Adjunctive Renal Denervation to Modify Hypertension and Sympathetic tone as Upstream Therapy in the Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation)-1 (n = 30) and HFIB (Adjunctive Renal Denervation to Modify Hypertension and Sympathetic tone as Upstream Therapy in the Treatment of Atrial Fibrillation)-2 (n = 50) studies, and we performed a meta-analysis including all published studies comparing RSDN+PVI versus PVI alone up to January 25, 2020, in patients with AF and hypertension.

RESULTS

At 24 months, AF recurrence occurred in 53% and 38% in the PVI and PVI+RSDN groups (p = 0.43) in the HFIB-1 study, respectively, and 27% and 25% in the PVI and PVI+RSDN groups (p = 0.80) in the HFIB-2 study, respectively. When combined in a meta-analysis including 6 studies (n = 725), adjunctive RSDN significantly decreased the risk of AF recurrence (risk ratio [RR]: 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.55 to 0.83; p = 0.0002; I² = 0%) when compared with PVI. Six renal artery complications occurred in the HFIB-1 study and none occurred in the HFIB-2 study with RSDN. However, in the meta-analysis, there were no significant differences in overall complications between both groups (RR: 1.43; 95% CI: 0.63 to 3.22; p = 0.40; I² = 7%). When compared with baseline, RDSN significantly reduced the systolic blood pressure (-12.1 mm Hg; 95% CI: -20.9 to -3.3 mm Hg; p < 0.007; I² = 99%) and diastolic blood pressure (-5.60 mm Hg; 95% CI: -10.05 to -1.10 mm Hg; p = 0.01; I² = 98%) on follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

The pilot HFIB-1 and HFIB-2 studies did not demonstrate a benefit with RSDN as an adjunctive upstream therapy during PVI. However, in the meta-analysis, adjunctive RSDN to PVI appears to be safe, and improves clinical outcomes in AF patients with a history of hypertension.

The Hospital-Community-Family-Based Telemedicine (HCFT-AF) Program for Integrative Management of Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Pilot Feasibility Study

Background

The potential effectiveness of integrated management in further improving the prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation has been demonstrated; however, the best strategy for implementation remains to be discovered.

Objective

The aim of this study was to ascertain the feasibility of implementing integrated atrial fibrillation care via the Hospital-Community-Family–Based Telemedicine (HCFT-AF) program.

Methods

In this single-arm, pre-post design pilot study, a multidisciplinary teamwork, supported by efficient infrastructures, provided patients with integrated atrial fibrillation care following the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway. Eligible patients were continuously recruited and followed up for at least 4 months. The patients’ drug adherence, and atrial fibrillation–relevant lifestyles and behaviors were assessed at baseline and at 4 months. The acceptability, feasibility, and usability of the HCFT-AF technology devices and engagement with the HCFT-AF program were assessed at 4 months.

Results

A total of 73 patients (mean age, 68.42 years; 52% male) were enrolled in November 2019 with a median follow up of 132 days (IQR 125–138 days). The patients’ drug adherence significantly improved after the 4-month intervention (P<.001). The vast majority (94%, 64/68) of indicated patients received anticoagulant therapy at 4 months, and none of them received antiplatelet therapy unless there was an additional indication. The atrial fibrillation–relevant lifestyles and behaviors ameliorated to varying degrees at the end of the study. In general, the majority of patients provided good feedback on the HCFT-AF intervention. More than three-quarters (76%, 54/71) of patients used the software or website more than once a week and accomplished clinic visits as scheduled.

Conclusions

The atrial fibrillation–integrated care model described in this study is associated with improved drug adherence, standardized therapy rate, and lifestyles of patients, which highlights the possibility to better deliver integrated atrial fibrillation management.

Trial Registration

Clinicaltrials.gov NCT04127799; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04127799

The "Road" to Atrial Fibrillation: The Role of the Cardiac Autonomic Nervous System

At the population level, there is a parallel escalation in the healthcare burden of both, atrial fibrillation (AF) as well its risk factors. Compounding this relationship, AF is associated with escalating burden at an individual level, due its self-perpetuating and progressive nature. The mechanisms by which these risk factors interact to produce atrial remodelling and subsequent AF are unclear. This intersection is critical to the development of strategies to combat this disease at both the individual and population-level. It is well known that AF can manifest from disturbances in autonomic activity. At the population level, there is growing data to suggest a role of the autonomic nervous system in the future incidence of AF. Here, we provide an overview of the association of cardiac autonomic dysfunction with the incidence of AF, review the role of the autonomic nervous system (ANS) as an intermediary between risk factors and the development of AF and finally, we discuss the bidirectional relationship between AF and cardiac autonomic nervous system dysfunction; to determine whether this is implicated in the progression of AF.

Office, central and ambulatory blood pressure for predicting incident atrial fibrillation in older adults

OBJECTIVES

Recently, more sophisticated blood pressure (BP) measurements, such as central and ambulatory BP (ABP), have proven to be stronger predictors of future cardiovascular disease than conventional office BP. Their predictive value for atrial fibrillation development is not established. We investigated the prognostic impact for incident atrial fibrillation of office, central and ambulatory BP measurements in a predominantly older population-based cohort.

METHODS

Of 1004 participants in the Cardiovascular Abnormalities and Brain Lesions (CABL) study, 769 in sinus rhythm with no history of atrial fibrillation or stroke (mean age 70.5 years) underwent ABP and arterial wave reflection analysis for central BP determination. Fine and Gray's proportional subdistribution hazards models were used to assess the association of BP parameters with incident atrial fibrillation.

RESULTS

During 9.5 years, atrial fibrillation occurred in 83 participants. No office BP variable showed a significant association with incident atrial fibrillation. Central SBP and central pulse pressure were marginally associated with incident atrial fibrillation in multivariate analysis. Among ABP variables, 24-h SBP [adjusted hazard ratio per 10 mmHg, 1.24; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07--1.44; P = 0.004], daytime SBP (adjusted hazard ratio per 10 mmHg, 1.21; 95% CI 1.04--1.40; P = 0.011) and night-time SBP (adjusted hazard ratio per 10 mmHg, 1.22; 95% CI 1.07--1.39; P = 0.002) were significantly associated with incident atrial fibillation.

CONCLUSION

In a predominantly older, stroke-free community-based cohort, ABP was a better independent predictor of incident atrial fibrillation than central BP, whereas office BP was inadequate for this purpose.

The implications of catheter ablation for solitary atrial flutter in preventing stroke risk: a nationwide population-based cohort study

AIMS

The implications of ablation for atrial fibrillation in preventing stroke are controversial, and no studies have investigated whether ablation prevents ischaemic stroke (IS) in atrial flutter (AFL).

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study analysed data contained in the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database for 16 765 patients with a first diagnosis of solitary AFL during 2001-2013. Eligible patients were divided into two groups according to whether or not they had received ablation. Propensity score matching (PSM) was performed to mitigate the effects of potential confounding factors. The primary outcome was occurrence of IS during follow-up. After 1:2 PSM, the analysis included 1037 patients in the ablation group and 2074 patients in the non-ablation group. The incidence of IS was lower in the ablation group compared to the non-ablation group [subdistribution hazard ratio (SHR) 0.61, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.41-0.90] during the 2-year follow-up period but not thereafter (SHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.72-1.48). When grouping by stroke history, it revealed that ablation affected the incidence of stroke in patients without history of stroke (SHR 0.59, 95% CI 0.38-0.91) but not in patients with history of stroke. When each group was stratified by CHA2DS2-VASc score, ablation lowered the incidence of stroke in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≤3 (SHR 0.31, 95% CI 0.16-0.60) but not in patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥4 in the initial 2-year follow-up.

CONCLUSION

The different incidence of IS in patients with/without ablation indicates that ablation reduces the risk of IS in AFL patients.

What Is the Ideal Blood Pressure Threshold for the Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly General Population?

Intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering in patients with hypertension at increased risk of cardiovascular disease has been associated with a lowered risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF). It is uncertain whether maintaining the optimal BP levels can prevent AF in the general elderly population. We included 115,866 participants without AF in the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Senior (≥60 years) cohort from 2002 to 2013. We compared the influence of BP on the occurrence of new-onset AF between octogenarians (≥80 years) and non-octogenarians (<80 years) subjects. With up to 6.7 ± 1.7 years of follow-up, 4393 incident AF cases occurred. After multivariable adjustment for potentially confounding clinical covariates, the risk of AF in non-octogenarians was significantly higher in subjects with BP levels of <120/<80 and ≥140/90 mm Hg, with hazard ratios of 1.15 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.28; p < 0.001) and 1.14 (95% CI, 1.04-1.26; p < 0.001), compared to the optimal BP levels (120-129/<80 mm Hg). In octogenarians, the optimal BP range was 130-139/80-89 mm Hg, higher than in non-octogenarians. A U-shaped relationship for the development of incident AF was evident in non-octogenarians, and BP levels of 120-129/<80 mm Hg were associated the lowest risk of incident AF. Compared to non-octogenarians, the lowest risk of AF was associated with higher BP levels of 130-139/80-89 mm Hg amongst octogenarians.

Age-Specific Association Between Body Mass Index and the Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Japanese Men

Background: Obesity is reportedly associated with the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), but the patterns of age-specific associations between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of AF are unknown.

Methods and Results: We analyzed 10,921 Japanese men without AF from a cohort of employees undergoing annual health examinations. During a follow-up period of 5.0±3.8 years, the incidence of AF was 118 (2.18/1,000 person-years). Using a multivariable Cox regression analysis, high BMI was associated with a risk of AF (hazard ratio; 1.07 by 1 unit change of BMI, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00–1.13, P=0.05) overall, and the effect of BMI on AF incidence changed with age (P for interaction=0.08); with subjects aged <65 years with BMI <25 as the reference, HR 0.74 (95% CI 0.47–1.17) in subjects aged <65 years with BMI ≥25, HR 2.98 (95% CI 1.36–6.54) in subjects aged ≥65 years with BMI <25, and HR 6.50 (95% CI 2.58–16.38) in subjects aged ≥65 years with BMI ≥25. The 5-year probability of AF incidence in subjects aged <65 years was 0.87% with BMI <25 and 0.64% in those with BMI ≥25, and in subjects aged ≥65 years it was 2.58% with BMI <25 and 5.53% with BMI ≥25.

Conclusions: Our results indicated that the effect of BMI on AF incidence changes with age among Japanese men. Both physicians and cardiologists need to integrate advice on lifestyle measures, particularly for elderly obese men, into their daily medical routine.

Effects of occlusal disharmony on susceptibility to atrial fibrillation in mice

Tooth loss or incorrect positioning causes occlusal disharmony. Furthermore, tooth loss and atrial fibrillation (AF) are both risk factors for ischemic stroke and coronary heart disease. Therefore, we hypothesized that occlusal disharmony-induced stress increases susceptibility to AF, and we designed the present study to test this idea in mice. Bite-opening (BO) was done by cementing a suitable appliance onto the mandibular incisor to cause occlusal disharmony by increasing the vertical height of occlusion by 0.7 mm for a period of 2 weeks. AF susceptibility, evaluated in terms of the duration of AF induced by transesophageal burst pacing, was significantly increased concomitantly with atrial remodeling, including fibrosis, myocyte apoptosis and oxidative DNA damage, in BO mice. The BO-induced atrial remodeling was associated with increased calmodulin kinase II-mediated ryanodine receptor 2 phosphorylation on serine 2814, as well as inhibition of Akt phosphorylation. However, co-treatment with propranolol, a non-selective β-blocker, ameliorated these changes in BO mice. These data suggest that improvement of occlusal disharmony by means of orthodontic treatment might be helpful in the treatment or prevention of AF.

Global variations in the prevalence, treatment, and impact of atrial fibrillation in a multi-national cohort of 153 152 middle-aged individuals

AIMS

To compare the prevalence of electrocardiogram (ECG)-documented atrial fibrillation (or flutter) (AF) across eight regions of the world, and to examine antithrombotic use and clinical outcomes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Baseline ECGs were collected in 153 152 middle-aged participants (ages 35-70 years) to document AF in two community-based studies, spanning 20 countries. Medication use and clinical outcome data (mean follow-up of 7.4 years) were available in one cohort. Cross-sectional analyses were performed to document the prevalence of AF and medication use, and associations between AF and clinical events were examined prospectively. Mean age of participants was 52.1 years, and 57.7% were female. Age and sex-standardized prevalence of AF varied 12-fold between regions; with the highest in North America, Europe, China, and Southeast Asia (270-360 cases per 100 000 persons); and lowest in the Middle East, Africa, and South Asia (30-60 cases per 100 000 persons) (P < 0.001). Compared with low-income countries (LICs), AF prevalence was 7-fold higher in middle-income countries (MICs) and 11-fold higher in high-income countries (HICs) (P < 0.001). Differences in AF prevalence remained significant after adjusting for traditional AF risk factors. In LICs/MICs, 24% of participants with AF and a CHADS2 score ≥1 received antithrombotic therapy, compared with 85% in HICs. AF was associated with an increased risk of stroke [hazard ratio (HR) 2.29; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.49-3.52] and death (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.25-3.93); with similar rates in different countries grouped by income level.

CONCLUSIONS

Large variations in AF prevalence occur in different regions and countries grouped by income level, but this is only partially explained by traditional AF risk factors. Antithrombotic therapy is infrequently used in poorer countries despite the high risk of stroke associated with AF.

Caloric restriction in heart failure: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Nutrition exerts a determinant role in maintaining cardiac function, regulating insulin and mitochondrial efficiency, that are essential to support energy production for contractility. In patients with heart failure (HF), myocardial tissue efficiency is reduced because of decreased mitochondrial oxidative capacity. In HF conditions, cardiomyocytes shift toward glucose and a reduction in fatty acid utilization. Calorie restriction induces weight loss in obese patients and can be beneficial in some HF patients, although this has generated some controversy. This study aims to evaluate the impact of the CR diet on myocardial efficiency in HF patients.

METHODS

On Pubmed and Embase, articles related to the keywords: "chronic heart failure" with "diet," "nutrition," "insulin resistance," and "caloric restriction" have been searched, Studies, including exercise or food supplementation, were excluded.

RESULTS

The retrieved articles showed that weight loss, through the activation of insulin and various kinase pathways, regulates the efficiency of myocardial tissue. In contrast, insulin resistance represents a strong cardiovascular risk factor that reduces myocardial function.

CONCLUSION

CR diet represents the first therapy in overweight HF patients, both with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) and with reduced ejection fraction (HFrHF) because reducing body fat, the myocardial function increased. Insulin activity is the critical hormone that regulates mitochondrial function and cardiac efficiency. However, a severely restricted diet may represent a severe risk factor correlated with all-cause mortality, particularly in underweight HF patients. Long-term studies conducted on large populations are necessary to evaluate the effects of CR on myocardial function in HF patients.

Ablation of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Hypertension-An Analysis from the German Ablation Registry

Background: Hypertension (HTN) constitutes a risk factor for the development of atrial fibrillation (AF), as well as for thromboembolic and bleeding events. We analysed the outcome after catheter ablation of AF in HTN in a cohort from the prospective multicenter German Ablation Registry. Methods: Between 03/2008 and 01/2010, 626 patients undergoing AF-ablation were analysed. Patients diagnosed with HTN (n = 386) were compared with patients without HTN (n = 240) with respect to baseline, procedural and long-term outcome parameters. Results: Patients with HTN were older and more often presented with persistent forms of AF and cardiac comorbidities. Major and moderate in-hospital complications were low. At long-term follow-up, major cardiovascular events were rare in both groups. Rates of AF-recurrence, freedom from antiarrhythmic medication and repeat ablation were not statistically different between groups. Most patients reported improvement of symptoms and satisfaction with the treatment. However, patients with HTN more frequently complained of dyspnea of New York Heart Association (NYHA) class ≥ II and angina. They were more often rehospitalized, particularly when persistent AF had been diagnosed. Conclusion: Catheter ablation of AF is associated with low complication rates and favorable arrhythmia-related results in patients with HTN. Residual clinical symptoms may be due to cardiac comorbidities and require additional attention in this important subgroup of AF-patients.

Role for risk factor treatment in the management of atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia in the world with continued rising prevalence, significant morbidity and mortality, and a substantial financial burden. It has been associated with numerous modifiable risk factors and chronic medical conditions. Treatment of these modifiable risk factors has improved rhythm control of atrial fibrillation as well as demonstrated cost-effectiveness. Primary prevention of underlying chronic disease should be incorporated into the treatment paradigm for AF. Comprehensive management with integrated care including the patient, allied health professionals, primary care physicians, and specialists will be needed to reverse the epidemiological trends, improve quality of life, and mortality.

Genetics of Atrial Fibrillation in 2020: GWAS, Genome Sequencing, Polygenic Risk, and Beyond

Atrial fibrillation is a common heart rhythm disorder that leads to an increased risk for stroke and heart failure. Atrial fibrillation is a complex disease with both environmental and genetic risk factors that contribute to the arrhythmia. Over the last decade, rapid progress has been made in identifying the genetic basis for this common condition. In this review, we provide an overview of the primary types of genetic analyses performed for atrial fibrillation, including linkage studies, genome-wide association studies, and studies of rare coding variation. With these results in mind, we aim to highlighting the existing knowledge gaps and future directions for atrial fibrillation genetics research.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation in the 21st Century: Novel Methods and New Insights

Accompanying the aging of populations worldwide, and increased survival with chronic diseases, the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) are rising, justifying the term global epidemic. This multifactorial arrhythmia is intertwined with common concomitant cardiovascular diseases, which share classical cardiovascular risk factors. Targeted prevention programs are largely missing. Prevention needs to start at an early age with primordial interventions at the population level. The public health dimension of AF motivates research in modifiable AF risk factors and improved precision in AF prediction and management. In this review, we summarize current knowledge in an attempt to untangle these multifaceted associations from an epidemiological perspective. We discuss disease trends, preventive opportunities offered by underlying risk factors and concomitant disorders, current developments in diagnosis and risk prediction, and prognostic implications of AF and its complications. Finally, we review current technological (eg, eHealth) and methodological (artificial intelligence) advances and their relevance for future prevention and disease management.

Risk Factor Management Before and After Atrial Fibrillation Ablation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasingly recognized as the cardiac electrophysiologic manifestation of a multifactorial systemic disease. Several risk factors for development of AF have been identified; many are modifiable. There is evidence to suggest that aggressive management of modifiable risk factors has potential to significantly reduce the burden of AF, before and after AF ablation. Specific risk factor management (RFM) clinics have been shown effective in conferring these benefits into tangible improvements in large cohorts of patients. This review discusses the evidence behind RFM as a key adjunctive management strategy alongside AF ablation and suggests a model for RFM in clinics.

Alcohol consumption and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: A population-based cohort study

AIMS

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common tachyarrhythmia. High alcohol consumption is associated with increased AF risk. It remains unclear whether lower levels of alcohol consumption are also associated with AF risk, and whether the association differs between men and women. In this study, we investigated the association between low to moderate levels of alcohol consumption and AF risk in men and women.

METHODS

We performed a population-based cohort study of 109,230 health examination participants in northern Sweden. Data regarding alcohol intake were obtained using a questionnaire administered at the health examination. Incident AF cases were identified from the Swedish National Patient Registry.

RESULTS

AF was diagnosed in 5,230 individuals during a total follow-up of 1,484,547 person-years. Among men, AF risk increased over quartiles of weekly alcohol consumption (P for trend 0.001). Men with alcohol consumption in the highest quartile (≥4.83 standard drinks [each drink containing 12 gs of ethanol] per week; SDW) had a HR of 1.21 (95% CI 1.09-1.34) for AF compared to men in the lowest quartile (<0.90 SDW). In men, problem drinking was also associated with an increased AF risk (HR: 1.24; 95% CI: 1.10-1.39). Among women, AF risk was not significantly associated with alcohol consumption (P for trend 0.09 for decreasing risk of AF over quartiles of weekly alcohol consumption) or problem drinking (HR: 1.00; 95% CI 0.70-1.42).

CONCLUSION

Self-reported alcohol consumption and problem drinking were associated with an increased risk of AF among men, but not in women.

Effectiveness and Safety of Oral Anticoagulants among NVAF Patients with Obesity: Insights from the ARISTOPHANES Study

This ARISTOPHANES analysis examined stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding (MB) among a subgroup of nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients with obesity prescribed warfarin or non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) in order to inform clinical decision making. A retrospective observational study was conducted among NVAF patients who were obese and initiated apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin from 1 January 2013–30 September 2015, with data pooled from CMS Medicare and four US commercial claims databases. Propensity score matching was completed between NOACs and against warfarin in each database, and the results were pooled. Cox models were used to evaluate the risks of stroke/SE and MB. A total of 88,461 patients with obesity were included in the study. Apixaban and rivaroxaban were associated with a lower risk of stroke/SE vs. warfarin (HR: 0.63, 95% CI: 0.49–0.82 and HR: 0.84, 95% CI: 0.72–0.98). Dabigatran was associated with a similar risk of stroke/SE compared to warfarin. Compared with warfarin, apixaban and dabigatran had a lower risk of MB (HR: 0.54, 95% CI: 0.49–0.61 and HR: 0.75, 95% CI: 0.63–0.91). Rivaroxaban was associated with a similar risk of MB compared to warfarin. In this high-risk population with obesity, NOACs had a varying risk of stroke/SE and MB vs. warfarin.

Predictors of non-pulmonary vein foci in paroxysmal atrial fibrillation

PURPOSE

Progress of balloon devices for pulmonary vein (PV) isolation in atrial fibrillation (AF) has been remarkable. However, these techniques were specialized in pulmonary vein treatment; predicting non-PV foci in advance is important to decide the treatment strategy. In this study, we investigate the predictors for paroxysmal AF.

METHODS

Subjects were consecutive paroxysmal AF patients who underwent high-dose isoproterenol provocation after PV isolation in the first session. The PV group (n = 102) and non-PV group (n = 222) were defined as the patients with and without non-PV ablation, respectively. Non-PV ablation was performed when frequent repetitive premature atrial contractions or triggered AF occurred spontaneously or by isoproterenol provocation. Predictors of non-PV origin in paroxysmal AF patients were examined using clinical characteristics and preoperative echocardiography.

RESULTS

In the multivariate logistic regression analysis, female sex, body mass index (BMI < 23.8), absence of hypertension, and higher ratio of mitral early diastolic peak (E-wave) to early diastolic mitral annulus peak (e') velocity (E/e' > 8.44) were significant independent predictors of non-PV foci (hazard ratio 2.04, 1.88, 3.63, and 2.33; 95% confidence interval 1.17-3.55, 1.05-3.39, 1.72-7.67, and 1.34-4.05; p = 0.011, 0.035, < 0.001, and 0.003, respectively). If a patient had these four factors, non-PV was detected with 96.8% specificity.

CONCLUSION

Female sex, lower BMI, absence of hypertension, and higher E/e' were significant indicators of non-PV foci in patients with paroxysmal AF. Reviewing these factors in advance may be useful for selecting a device to perform pulmonary vein isolation.

Incidence and Implications of Atrial Fibrillation/Flutter in Hypertension: Insights From the SPRINT Trial

We evaluated the impact of intensive blood pressure control on the incidence of new-onset atrial fibrillation/flutter (AF) and the prognostic implications of preexisting and new-onset AF in SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) participants. New-onset AF was defined as occurrence of AF in 12-lead electrocardiograms after randomization in participants free of AF at baseline. Poisson regression modeling was used to calculate incident rates of new-onset AF. Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the risk of adverse cardiovascular events (composite of myocardial infarction, non-myocardial infarction acute coronary syndrome, stroke, heart failure, or cardiovascular death). In 9327 participants, 8.45% had preexisting AF, and 1.65% had new-onset AF. The incidence of new-onset AF was 4.53 per 1000-person years, with similar rates in the standard and intensive treatment arms (4.95 versus 4.11 per 1000-person years; adjusted P=0.14). Participants with preexisting AF (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.83 [95% CI, 1.46-2.31]; P<0.001) and new-onset AF (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.45 [95% CI, 1.58-3.80]; P<0.001) had a greater risk for development of adverse cardiovascular events compared with those with no AF. Participants with preexisting AF who achieved blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg at 3 months continued have a poor prognosis (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.88 [95% CI, 1.32-2.70]; P=0.001) compared with those with no AF. Intensive blood pressure control does not diminish the incidence of new-onset AF in an older, high-risk, nondiabetic population. Both preexisting and new-onset AF have adverse prognostic implications. In participants with preexisting AF, residual cardiovascular risk is evident even with on-treatment blood pressure <120/80 mm Hg. Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01206062.

Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering on the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation

It remains uncertain whether intensive control of blood pressure (BP) results in a lower risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with hypertension. Using data from SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial), which enrolled participants with hypertension at increased risk of cardiovascular disease, we examined whether intensive BP lowering (target systolic BP [SBP] <120 mm Hg), compared with standard BP lowering (target SBP<140 mm Hg), results in a lower risk of AF. This analysis included 8022 participants (4003 randomized to the intensive arm and 4019 to standard BP arm) who were free of AF at the time of enrollment and with available baseline and follow-up electrocardiographic data. AF was ascertained from standard 12-lead electrocardiograms recorded at biannual study examinations and an exit visit. During up to 5.2 years of follow-up and a total of 28 322 person-years, 206 incident AF cases occurred; 88 in the intensive BP-lowering arm and 118 in the standard BP-lowering arm. Intensive BP lowering was associated with a 26% lower risk of developing new AF (hazard ratio, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.56-0.98]; P=0.037). This effect was consistent among prespecified subgroups of SPRINT participants stratified by age, sex, race, SBP tertiles, prior cardiovascular disease, and prior chronic kidney disease when interactions between treatment effect and these subgroups were assessed using Hommel adjusted P values. In conclusion, intensive treatment to a target of SBP <120 mm Hg in patients with hypertension at high risk of cardiovascular disease has the potential to reduce the risk of AF. Registration- URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT01206062.

Factors Modifying the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation Associated With Atrial Premature Complexes in Patients With Hypertension

Patients with hypertension who develop atrial premature complexes (APCs) are at a particularly high risk for atrial fibrillation (AF). We sought to identify medications and modifiable risk factors that could reduce the risk of AF imposed by presence of APCs in such a high risk group. This analysis included 4,331 participants with treated hypertension from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke study who were free of AF and cardiovascular disease at the time of enrollment (2003-2007). APCs were detected in 8.2% (n = 356) of the participants at baseline. During a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 9.9% (n = 429) of the participants developed AF. Participants with APCs, compared with those without, were more than twice as likely to develop AF (Odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 2.36[1.75, 3.19]). This association was significantly weaker in statin users than nonusers (Odds ratio [95% confidence interval]:1.42[0.81,2.48] vs 3.01[2.11,4.32], respectively; interaction p-value = 0.02), and in angiotensin-II receptor blocker users than nonusers (Odds ratio [95% confidence interval]:1.31[0.66,2.61] vs 2.78[1.99,3.89], respectively; interaction p-value = 0.05). Borderline weaker associations between APCs and AF were also observed in alpha-blocker users than nonusers, nondiabetics than diabetics, and in those with systolic blood pressure level 130 to 139 mm Hg compared with those with other systolic blood pressure levels. No significant effect modifications were observed by use of other medications or by presence of other cardiovascular risk factors. In conclusion, the significant AF risk associated with APCs in patients with hypertension could potentially be reduced by treatment with angiotensin-II receptor blockers and statins along with lowering blood pressure and management of diabetes.

Effectiveness and Safety of Oral Anticoagulants in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation and Diabetes Mellitus

OBJECTIVE

To address gaps in the data comparing non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) and warfarin among patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) and diabetes.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective study was conducted on patients with NVAF and diabetes newly initiating apixaban, dabigatran, rivaroxaban, or warfarin from January 1, 2013, through September 30, 2015, with Medicare data from the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services and 4 other US commercial claims databases. One-to-one propensity score matching was completed between NOACs and warfarin and between NOACs in each database, and the results were pooled. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE) and major bleeding (MB).

RESULTS

A total of 154,324 patients were included in the 6 matched cohorts, with a mean follow-up time of 6 to 8 months. Compared with warfarin, apixaban (hazard ratio [HR], 0.67; 95% CI, 0.57-0.77) and rivaroxaban (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.71-0.89) were associated with a lower risk of stroke/SE; dabigatran (HR, 0.84; 95% CI, 0.67-1.07) was associated with a similar risk of stroke/SE. Apixaban (HR, 0.60; 95% CI, 0.56-0.65) and dabigatran (HR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.69-0.88) were associated with a lower risk of MB; rivaroxaban (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.94-1.10) was associated with a similar risk of MB compared with warfarin. Compared with dabigatran and rivaroxaban, apixaban was associated with a lower risk of MB. Compared with rivaroxaban, dabigatran was associated with a lower risk of MB.

CONCLUSION

This study-the largest observational study to date of patients with NVAF and diabetes taking anticoagulants-found that NOACs were associated with variable rates of stroke/SE and MB compared with warfarin.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT03087487.

Lifestyle and Risk Factor Modification for Reduction of Atrial Fibrillation: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia, is associated with substantial morbidity, mortality, and healthcare use. Great strides have been made in stroke prevention and rhythm control strategies, yet reducing the incidence of AF has been slowed by the increasing incidence and prevalence of AF risk factors, including obesity, physical inactivity, sleep apnea, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and other modifiable lifestyle-related factors. Fortunately, many of these AF drivers are potentially reversible, and emerging evidence supports that addressing these modifiable risks may be effective for primary and secondary AF prevention. A structured, protocol-driven multidisciplinary approach to integrate lifestyle and risk factor management as an integral part of AF management may help in the prevention and treatment of AF. However, this aspect of AF management is currently underrecognized, underused, and understudied. The purpose of this American Heart Association scientific statement is to review the association of modifiable risk factors with AF and the effects of risk factor intervention. Implementation strategies, care pathways, and educational links for achieving impactful weight reduction, increased physical activity, and risk factor modification are included. Implications for clinical practice, gaps in knowledge, and future directions for the research community are highlighted.