Clinical Prediction Models for Suspected Pediatric Foreign Body Aspiration: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

External validation of the Khorana score for the prediction of venous thromboembolism in cancer patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Venous thromboembolism is the leading cause of death in cancer patients, second only to tumor progression. The Khorana score is recommended by clinical guidelines for identifying ambulatory cancer patients at high risk of venous thromboembolism during chemotherapy. However, its predictive performance is debated among cancer patients.

OBJECTIVES

To map the applicability of the Khorana score in cancer patients and to assess its predictive performance across various cancer types, providing guidance for clinicians and nurses to use it more appropriately.

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature search of the electronic database was first conducted on August 30, 2023, and updated on May 20, 2024. Studies examining the Khorana score's predictive performance (including but not limited to the areas under the curve, C-index, and calibration plot) in cancer patients were included. The Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) was applied to evaluate the methodological quality of the included studies. Data synthesis was achieved via random-effects meta-analysis using the R studio software. The subgroup analysis was performed according to the study design, clinical setting, cancer type, anti-cancer treatment stage, and country.

RESULTS

The review incorporated 67 studies, including 58 observational studies and nine randomized controlled trials. All included studies assessed the Khorana score's discrimination, with the C-index ranging from 0.40 to 0.84. The pooled C-index for randomized controlled trials was 0.61 (95 % CI 0.51-0.70), while observational studies showed a pooled C-index of 0.59 (95 % CI 0.57-0.60). Subgroup analyses revealed the pooled C-index for lung cancer, lymphoma, gastrointestinal cancer, and mixed cancer patients as 0.60 (95 % CI 0.53-0.67), 0.56 (95 % CI 0.51-0.61), 0.59 (95 % CI 0.39-0.76), and 0.60 (95 % CI 0.58-0.61), respectively. Inpatient and outpatient settings had the pooled C-index of 0.60 (95 % CI 0.58-0.63) and 0.58 (95 % CI 0.55-0.61), respectively. Calibration was assessed in only four studies. All included studies were identified to have a high risk of bias according to PROBAST.

CONCLUSION

The Khorana score has been widely validated in various types of cancer patients; however, it exhibited poor capability (pooled C-index<0.7) in accurately discriminating VTE risk among most types of cancer patients either in inpatient or outpatient settings. The Khorana score should be used with caution, and high-quality studies are needed to further validate its predictive performance.

REGISTRATION

The protocol for this study is registered with PROSPERO (registration number: CRD42023470320).

Nontraumatic Pediatric Head and Neck Emergencies: Resource for On-Call Radiologists

The vast array of acute nontraumatic diseases encountered in the head and neck of pediatric patients can be intimidating for radiologists in training in a fast-paced emergency setting. Although there is some overlap of pediatric and adult diseases, congenital lesions and developmental variants are much more common in the pediatric population. Furthermore, the relative incidences of numerous infections and neoplasms differ between pediatric and adult populations. Young patients and/or those with developmental delays may have clinical histories that are difficult to elicit or nonspecific presentations, underscoring the importance of imaging in facilitating accurate and timely diagnoses. It is essential that radiologists caring for children be well versed in pediatric nontraumatic head and neck emergency imaging. The authors provide an on-call resource for radiology trainees, organized by anatomic location and highlighting key points, pearls, pitfalls, and mimics of many acute nontraumatic diseases in the pediatric head and neck. ©RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article.

Foreign body aspiration in children: our pediatric tertiary care experience

PURPOSE

Inhalation of a foreign body is a real emergency in pediatric age and requires prompt diagnosis and treatment to reduce mortality. The objective of this study is to analyze clinical and radiological details, types, and localization of foreign bodies in patients conducted or to our hospital with suspected inhalation.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of all cases of foreign body inhalation admitted to our Pediatric Emergency Room between January 2009 and June 2022.

RESULTS

171 patients were included in the study. In 83 patients, the FB was detected. The mean age of presentation was 2.3 years (SD: ± 2). Cough (73%) and unilateral reduced breath sound (51%) were the most common clinical symptom and clinical sign. The most frequent localization was the right main bronchus (43%). The foreign bodies retrieved were vegetable (83%), of which peanut was the most common. Chest radiographs were normal in 25%. The mean duration of hospitalization was 5 days (± 2.9). Complications such as pneumothorax were seen in two cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Foreign body inhalation represents a true pediatric emergency and still a challenge in clinical practice. The best way to manage it is an early diagnosis and removal by fully trained staff.

Foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS)-a prospectively validated algorithm for the management and prediction of foreign body aspiration in children

Foreign body aspiration (FBA) is a common cause of pediatric morbidity, but a standardized protocol to guide decision-making about bronchoscopy is lacking. We aimed to validate a new Foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS) for the pediatric emergency department (ED). Patients aged 0-18 years referred to the ED for suspected FBA were prospectively enrolled. FOBAS was calculated according to clinical features of a choking episode, sudden cough, exposure to nuts, absence of fever and rhinitis, stridor, and unilateral auscultatory and radiological findings. FBA risk was evaluated based on the total score (low, 1-3; moderate, 4-6; high, 7-10). Low-risk children were discharged from the ED and followed clinically. Moderate-risk children were hospitalized and evaluated by a pediatric pulmonologist, and high-risk children were referred directly for therapeutic bronchoscopy. Among the 100 enrolled children (59% males; median age 20 [interquartile range 11-39] months), a foreign body was diagnosed in 1/49 (2%), 14/41 (34.1%), and 9/10 (90%) with low, moderate, and high FOBAS, respectively (P < .001). Logistic regression indicated a higher risk for FBA with higher scores. The odds ratio for each additional point was 2.75 (95% confidence interval 1.78-4.24), and FOBAS showed a high predictive value for FBA (area under the curve 0.89). FOBAS implementation significantly reduced the rate of negative bronchoscopies, from 67.4% annually during 2016-2019 to 50% in 2020 (P = .042).

CONCLUSION

FOBAS reliably predicts FBA in cases of suspected FBA and improves management and in-hospital decision-making.

WHAT IS KNOWN

• Foreign body aspiration is a major cause of pediatric morbidity and mortality. • Currently, there is no unified protocol for children referred to the emergency department for suspected FBA, therefore, a well-defined algorithm is needed to improve the decision-making process.

WHAT IS NEW

• The pediatric Foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS) is a new, prospectively validated clinical score that shows high sensitivity and specificity for the presence of FBA in children. • FOBAS reduces unnecessary admissions and invasive procedures and leads to better clinical outcomes.

Principal diagnostic features of paediatric foreign body aspiration

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study is to identify the most common and important features within the presenting history, clinical examination and chest radiograph that are associated with foreign body (FB) aspiration in the paediatric population, to support rationalised decision making in regards to proceeding with diagnostic bronchoscopy.

METHODS

A retrospective notes review was conducted of 70 patients over a 12-year period at our tertiary referral centre. Their presenting history, clinical and radiographic signs were documented and univariate logistic regression model used to calculate odds ratios.

RESULTS

The main features identified within our cohort with a positive FB finding at bronchoscopy were history of a cough (OR 5.1, p = 0.008) and radiographic evidence of hyperinflation or air trapping (OR 7.1, p = 0.016). Zero patients with a FB presented with only a positive history in the absence of other clinical or radiological signs. History of a witnessed choking episode neither increased or decreased the likelihood of as aspirated FB (OR 1, p = 0.967).

CONCLUSIONS

We have identified two principal features, as described above, which are associated with paediatric FB aspiration. Reliance on a positive clinical history alone, but specifically the history of a witnessed choking episode, did not support the presence of a FB and other associated signs need to be considered in deciding to proceed to bronchoscopy.

Evaluation of Foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS) in children- A retrospective cohort study

Foreign Body Aspiration (FBA) is a common medical emergency among young children, but the evaluation and management of a suspected FBA case can vary across physicians and centers. We aimed to identify which clinical, laboratory, and radiological findings can predict FBA in children and to evaluate a clinical score to improve FBA prediction. This is a retrospective cohort study of patients aged 0-18 years admitted to Soroka University Medical Center between 2010 and 2020 with suspected FBA. All patients underwent flexible bronchoscopy and were divided into positive and negative FBA groups. A newly developed foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS), based on medical history, physical examination, and chest X-ray findings, was evaluated for its predictability. The study included 412 children (median age 21 months, 56.8% females), of whom 154 (37.4%) had FBA and 258 (62.6%) did not. Multivariate regression analysis showed exposure to nuts/seeds, unilateral wheezing or decreased breath sounds, stridor, and suggestive findings on chest X-ray were significant risk factors for FBA (OR [95%CI] -1.994[1.290-3.082], 1.487[1.206-1.832], 1.883 [1.011-3.509] and 2.386[1.917-2.970], respectively). However, a choking episode, acute cough, and absence of fever and rhinorrhea did not predict FBA. FOBAS showed an increased risk of FBA for each additional point of the score, with an odds ratio of 1.572 (95% CI-1.389-1.799).  Conclusion: FOBAS is a good predictor for the presence of FBA in children. Once prospectively validated, FOBAS could aid in decision-making at the emergency department, enabling more standardized care, reducing unnecessary procedures, and leading to better clinical outcomes. What is Known: • The evaluation and management of a child with suspected foreign body aspiration (FBA) vary across physicians and centers, without a consensus regarding the indications and criteria for performing bronchoscopy. • Flexible bronchoscopy is the standard procedure for the diagnosis and sometimes treatment of FBA in children, but it may hold potential complications. What is New: • We propose a newly developed foreign body aspiration score (FOBAS), based on medical history, physical examination, and chest X-ray findings, for the prediction of FBA in children at the emergency department. • The FOBAS is a good predictor of FBA in children. The score enables more standardized care and may reduce unnecessary procedures.

Case report: Foreign body aspiration requiring extracorporeal membrane oxygenation

Introduction

Foreign body aspiration is a common cause of respiratory distress in pediatrics, but the diagnosis can be challenging given aspirated objects are mostly radiolucent on chest radiographs and there is often no witnessed choking event. We present a case of a patient who was initially managed as severe status asthmaticus, requiring veno-arterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) for refractory hypercarbia and hypoxemia, but was later found to have bilateral bronchial foreign body aspiration. This case is unique in its severity of illness, diagnostic dilemma with findings suggesting a more common diagnosis of asthma, and use of ECMO as a bridge to diagnosis and recovery.

Patient case

A previously healthy 2-year-old boy presented during peak viral season with a 3-day history of fever, cough, coryza, and increased work of breathing over the prior 24 h. There was no reported history of choking or aspiration. He was diagnosed with asthma and treated with bronchodilator therapy. Physical examination revealed pulsus paradoxus, severe work of breathing with bilateral wheeze, and at times a silent chest. Chest radiographs showed bilateral lung hyperinflation. Following a brief period of stability on maximum bronchodilator therapies and bilevel positive pressure support, the patient had a rapid deterioration requiring endotracheal intubation, with subsequent cannulation to VA-ECMO. A diagnostic flexible bronchoscopy was performed and demonstrated bilateral foreign bodies, peanuts, in the right bronchus intermedius and the left mainstem bronchus. Removal of the foreign bodies was done by rigid bronchoscopy facilitating rapid wean from VA-ECMO and decannulation within 24 h of foreign body removal.

Conclusion

Foreign body aspiration should be suspected in all patients presenting with atypical history and physical examination findings, or in patients with suspected common diagnoses who do not progress as expected or deteriorate after a period of stability. Extracorporeal life support can be used as a bridge to diagnosis and recovery in patients with hemodynamic or respiratory instability.

Mistakes and complications in the diagnosis and treatment of children with organic foreign body aspiration

The reason for the publication of this article was the increase in the number of children with long-standing organic foreign bodies in the respiratory tract, the late diagnosis of which causes severe complications. The article presents the three most significant cases from the general series, when the diagnosis and treatment tactics at the stages of treatment were associated with errors both at the prehospital stage and in the hospital. In the first clinical case, as it turned out, the child had aspired multiple foreign bodies. The first bronchoscopy revealed one solid foreign body. Due to severe fibrinous-purulent endobronchitis and contact bleeding, the bronchoscopy procedure was aborted. However, after 10 days, the child independently coughed up the second seed, which was a surprise to us. Control bronchoscopy after 3 weeks revealed no foreign bodies. In the second clinical observation, a child developed bronchiectasis due to a long stay of a foreign body in the respiratory tract. The third case demonstrates the diagnosis and treatment tactics in a child with a foreign body against the background of a coronavirus infection. In the first and third cases, the results of treatment were satisfactory. In the second case, a long stay of peanuts in the respiratory tract led to bronchiectasis in the lower lobe of the left lung, which required its removal. In the follow-up, there are no complaints, the child grows and develops according to age. The study analyzes the mistakes made at the stages of diagnosis and treatment of children with foreign bodies in the respiratory tract.Conclusion. Young children with long-term and atypically current respiratory diseases, dubious and even normal radiological picture with the absence of comprehensive information on the anamnesis of diseases should alert the doctor to the possibility of aspiration of a foreign body in the respiratory tract and serve as the basis for performing bronchoscopy.

Prediction Models for Prognosis of Hypoglycemia in Patients with Diabetes: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVE

To systematically summarize the reported prediction models for hypoglycemia in patients with diabetes, compare their performance, and evaluate their applicability in clinical practice.

METHODS

We selected studies according to the PRISMA, appraised studies according to the Prediction model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST), and extracted and synthesized the data according to the CHARMS. The databases of PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library were searched from inception to 31 October 2021 using a systematic review approach to capture all eligible studies developing and/or validating a prognostic prediction model for hypoglycemia in patients with diabetes. The risk bias and clinical applicability were assessed using the PROBAST. The meta-analysis of the performance of the prediction models were also conducted. The protocol of this study was recorded in PROSPERO (CRD42022309852).

RESULTS

Sixteen studies with 22 models met the eligible criteria. The predictors with the high frequency of occurrence among all models were age, HbA1c, history of hypoglycemia, and insulin use. A meta-analysis of C-statistic was performed for 21 prediction models, and the summary C-statistic and its 95% confidence interval and prediction interval were 0.7699 (0.7299-0.8098), 0.7699 (0.5862-0.9536), respectively. Heterogeneity exists between different hypoglycemia prediction models (τ² was 0.00734≠0).

CONCLUSIONS

The existing predictive models are not recommended for widespread clinical use. A high-quality hypoglycemia screening tool should be developed in future studies.

Neglected Foreign Body Aspiration Mimicking Lung Cancer Recurrence

Foreign body aspiration (FBA) occurs less frequently in adults than in children. Case reports of FBAs occurring in adults after lung surgery are not found in the literature, and this particular condition is often misdiagnosed. We report a case in which the patient was diagnosed after various events. A 56-year-old female patient had undergone robotic-assisted resection of the right upper lobe. The patient recovered well after the operation, with a slight irritant dry cough. Chest computed tomography (CT) examination of the patient showed no obvious abnormality early postoperatively. However, she developed intermittent cough and hemoptysis at six months. Repeat chest CT showed a soft tissue shadow near the bronchus in the lower lobe of the right lung. Cancer recurrence, surgery-related foreign body residue, lymphoid reactive hyperplasia, or other reasons was considered. Further examination revealed a piece of watermelon seed shell blocking the bronchial opening of the lower lung. This case highlights the importance of medical history, careful physical examination and fiberoptic bronchoscopic examination after lung cancer surgery due to lung cancer recurrence risk or FBA.