The natural course of COVID-19 patients without clinical intervention

Effect of noninvasive ventilation on mortality and clinical outcomes among patients with severe hypoxemic COVID-19 pneumonia after high-flow nasal oxygen failure: a multicenter retrospective French cohort with propensity score analysis

BACKGROUND

We assessed the effect of noninvasive ventilation (NIV) on mortality and length of stay after high flow nasal oxygenation (HFNO) failure among patients with severe hypoxemic COVID-19 pneumonia.

METHODS

In this multicenter, retrospective study, we enrolled COVID-19 patients admitted in intensive care unit (ICU) for severe COVID-19 pneumonia with a HFNO failure from December 2020 to January 2022. The primary outcome was to compare the 90-day mortality between patients who required a straight intubation after HFNO failure and patients who received NIV after HFNO failure. Secondary outcomes included ICU and hospital length of stay. A propensity score analysis was performed to control for confounding factors between groups. Exploratory outcomes included a subgroup analysis for 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

We included 461 patients with HFNO failure in the analysis, 233 patients in the straight intubation group and 228 in the NIV group. The 90-day mortality did not significantly differ between groups, 58/228 (25.4%) int the NIV group compared with 59/233 (25.3%) in the straight intubation group, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) after propensity score weighting of 0.82 [95%CI, 0.50-1.35] (p = 0.434). ICU length of stay was significantly shorter in the NIV group compared to the straight intubation group, 10.0 days [IQR, 7.0-19.8] versus 18.0 days [IQR,11.0-31.0] with a propensity score weighted HR of 1.77 [95%CI, 1.29-2.43] (p < 0.001). A subgroup analysis showed a significant increase in mortality rate for intubated patients in the NIV group with 56/122 (45.9%), compared to 59/233 (25.3%) for patients in the straight intubation group (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

In severely hypoxemic COVID-19 patients, no significant differences were observed on 90-day mortality between patients receiving straight intubation and those receiving NIV after HFNO failure. NIV strategy was associated with a significant reduction in ICU length of stay, despite an increase in mortality in the subgroup of patients finally intubated.

CMM: A CNN-MLP Model for COVID-19 Lesion Segmentation and Severity Grading

In this paper, a CNN-MLP model (CMM) is proposed for COVID-19 lesion segmentation and severity grading in CT images. The CMM starts by lung segmentation using UNet, and then segmenting the lesion from the lung region using a multi-scale deep supervised UNet (MDS-UNet), finally implementing the severity grading by a multi-layer preceptor (MLP). In MDS-UNet, shape prior information is fused with the input CT image to reduce the searching space of the potential segmentation outputs. The multi-scale input compensates for the loss of edge contour information in convolution operations. In order to enhance the learning of multiscale features, the multi-scale deep supervision extracts supervision signals from different upsampling points on the network. In addition, it is empirical that the lesion which has a whiter and denser appearance tends to be more severe in the COVID-19 CT image. So, the weighted mean gray-scale value (WMG) is proposed to depict this appearance, and together with the lung and lesion area to serve as input features for the severity grading in MLP. To improve the precision of lesion segmentation, a label refinement method based on the Frangi vessel filter is also proposed. Comparative experiments on COVID-19 public datasets show that our proposed CMM achieves high accuracy on COVID-19 lesion segmentation and severity grading.

SUPER Score Contributes to Warning and Management in Early-Stage COVID-19

Background

Some COVID-19 patients deteriorate to severe cases with relatively higher case-fatality rates, which increases the medical burden. This necessitates identification of patients at risk of severe disease. Early assessment plays a crucial role in identifying patients at risk of severe disease. This study is to assess the effectiveness of SUPER score as a predictor of severe COVID-19 cases.

Methods

We consecutively enrolled COVID-19 patients admitted to a comprehensive medical center in Wuhan, China, and recorded clinical characteristics and laboratory indexes. The SUPER score was calculated using parameters including oxygen saturation, urine volume, pulse, emotional state, and respiratory rate. In addition, the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), specificity, and sensitivity of the SUPER score for the diagnosis of severe COVID-19 were calculated and compared with the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2).

Results

The SUPER score at admission, with a threshold of 4, exhibited good predictive performance for early identification of severe COVID-19 cases, yielding an AUC of 0.985 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.897-1.000), sensitivity of 1.00 (95% CI 0.715-1.000), and specificity of 0.92 (95% CI 0.775-0.982), similar to NEWS2 (AUC 0.984; 95% CI 0.895-1.000, sensitivity 0.91; 95% CI 0.587-0.998, specificity 0.97; 95% CI 0.858-0.999). Compared with patients with a SUPER score<4, patients in the high-risk group exhibited lower lymphocyte counts, interleukin-2, interleukin-4 and higher fibrinogen, C-reactive protein, aspartate aminotransferase, and lactate dehydrogenase levels.

Conclusions

In conclusion, the SUPER score demonstrated equivalent accuracy to the NEWS2 score in predicting severe COVID-19. Its application in prognostic assessment therefore offers an effective early warning system for critical management and facilitating efficient allocation of health resources.

Comparison of Chest CT and RT-PCR Assay for Indication of Disease Course of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) Pneumonia

BACKGROUND

COVID-19 patients' courses vary in length, indicating a variable prognosis. The disease duration revealed by different examination methods may differ.

OBJECTIVE

The study aims to compare the differences in the disease course of patients with COVID-19 by chest computed tomography (CT) and reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) assay and explore the factors that affect the course of the illness.

METHODS

106 patients confirmed with COVID-19 were enrolled and divided into two groups (age <60 years and age ≥60 years). The clinical characteristics of the two groups were analyzed. The intervals from symptoms onset to initial positive time point (ISIP), symptoms onset to the initial negative time point (ISIN), and initial positive to initial negative time point (IIPN) indicated by chest CT and RTPCR assay were analyzed. Multiple regression analysis was performed to assess the correlations between independent factors and the intervals.

RESULTS

Chest CT showed an earlier positive time point, a later negative time point, and a longer disease duration than the RT-PCR assay (P<.001, respectively). Older patients over 60 years old showed a later negative time point and a longer disease duration by chest CT than younger patients (P<.01 vs. P<.05, respectively). The CT score and clinical grades of older patients were greater than those of younger patients (P<.001, respectively). Age and clinical grades were significantly correlated with the disease course shown by chest CT (P<.05, respectively), and CT score was positively correlated with the illness course shown by chest CT and RT-PCR assay (P<.01, respectively).

CONCLUSION

The disease course revealed by chest CT and RT-PCR assay was asynchronous. Chest CT showed a 17-day longer period compared to the RT-PCR assay. Older patients had a longer duration than younger ones. A prolonged course is predicted by increasing age, CT score, and clinical grades.

The effectiveness of dexamethasone as a combination therapy for COVID-19

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) was reported as a global pandemic in March 2020 after invading many countries and leaving behind tens of thousands of infected patients in a brief time span. Approval of a few vaccines has been obtained and their efficacy of varying degrees established. Still, there is no effective pharmaceutical agent for the treatment of COVID-19 though several drugs are undergoing clinical trials. Recent studies have shown that dexamethasone, a corticosteroid, can reduce the rate of COVID-19-related mortality in the intensive care unit by 35 % for patients who are on mechanical ventilation. Although variable efficacy of other combination therapies has been reported for treating COVID-19 associated with acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), dexamethasone is an extensively used drug in many treatment regimens against COVID-19. The current review aims to explore the role of dexamethasone as an efficient combination treatment for COVID-19.

Current utilization of interferon alpha for the treatment of coronavirus disease 2019: A comprehensive review

Recent studies have identified an association between perturbed type I interferon (IFN) responses and the severity of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). IFNα intervention may normalize the dysregulated innate immunity of COVID-19. However, details regarding its utilization and therapeutic evidence have yet to be systematically evaluated. The aim of this comprehensive review was to summarize the current utilization of IFNα for COVID-19 treatment and to explore the evidence on safety and efficacy. A comprehensive review of clinical studies in the literature prior to December 1st_, 2021, was performed to identify the current utilization of IFNα, which included details on the route of administration, the number of patients who received the treatment, the severity at the initiation of treatment, age range, the time from the onset of symptoms to treatment, dose, frequency, and duration as well as safety and efficacy. Encouragingly, no evidence was found against the safety of IFNα treatment for COVID-19. Early intervention, either within five days from the onset of symptoms or at hospital admission, confers better clinical outcomes, whereas late intervention may result in prolonged hospitalization.