Liver resection of hepatocellular carcinoma within and beyond the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer guideline recommendations: Results from a high-volume liver surgery center in East Asia

Prognostic performance of Hong Kong Liver Cancer with Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer staging systems in hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Accurate staging is necessary for predicting hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prognosis and guiding patient management. The Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) staging system has limitations due to heterogeneity observed among patients in BCLC stages B and C. In contrast, the Hong Kong Liver Cancer (HKLC) staging system offers more aggressive treatment strategies.

AIM

To compare the prognostic performance of HKLC and BCLC staging systems in Egyptian patients with HCC.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective study at the National Liver Institute, Menoufia University, Egypt, on 1015 HCC patients. Data was collected from patients' medical records over 10 years (from 2008 to 2018). The BCLC and HKLC stages were identified, and Kaplan-Meier survival analysis was used to compare patients' overall survival rates within each staging system. Additionally, we evaluated the comparative prognostic performance of the two staging systems.

RESULTS

Hepatitis C was identified as the underlying etiology in 799 patients (78.7%), hepatitis B in 12 patients (1.2%), and non-viral causes in 204 patients (20.1%). The survival analysis demonstrated significant differences across the various stages within both the BCLC and HKLC systems. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves indicated a marginally superior performance of the HKLC system in predicting survival at 1, 2, and 3 years compared to the BCLC system. Furthermore, the HKLC staging provided a slightly enhanced prognostic capability, particularly for patients classified under BCLC stages B and C, suggesting a potential survival benefit.

CONCLUSION

HKLC classification had a slightly better prognostic performance than BCLC staging system and may offer a survival advantage for certain patients with HCC in BCLC stage B and C HCC cases.

Tumor necrosis as a predictor of early tumor recurrence after resection in patients with hepatoma

BACKGROUND

Tumor necrosis is a significant risk factor affecting patients' prognosis after liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to develop a model with tumor necrosis as a variable to predict early tumor recurrence in HCC patients undergoing LR.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients who underwent LR between 2010 and 2018 for newly diagnosed HCC but did not receive neoadjuvant therapy were enrolled in this retrospective study. Six predictive factors based on pathological features-tumor size > 5 cm, multiple tumors, high-grade tumor differentiation, tumor necrosis, microvascular invasion, and cirrhosis-were chosen a priori based on clinical relevance to construct a multivariate logistic regression model. The variables were always retained in the model. The impact of each variable on early tumor recurrence within one year of LR was estimated and visualized using a nomogram. The nomogram's performance was evaluated using calibration plots with bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Early tumor recurrence was observed in 161 (21.3%) patients. The concordance index of the proposed nomogram was 0.722. The calibration plots showed good agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations of early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

We developed a nomogram incorporating tumor necrosis to predict early recurrence of HCC after LR. Its predictive accuracy is satisfactory.

A preoperative model for predicting early recurrence in patients undergoing resection for single hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The updated Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer guidelines recommend liver resection (LR) for patients with single hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) of any size. This study developed a preoperative model for predicting early recurrence in patients undergoing LR for single HCC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified 773 patients undergoing LR for single HCC between 2011 and 2017 from the cancer registry database of our institution. Multivariate Cox regression analyses were performed to construct a preoperative model for predicting early recurrence, i.e., recurrence within 2 years of LR.

RESULTS

Early recurrence was identified in 219 patients (28.3%). The final model of early recurrence included four predictive factors-alpha-fetoprotein level of ≥20 ng/mL, tumor size of >30 mm, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score of >8, and cirrhosis. Preoperative application of this model provided three risk strata for recurrence-free survival (RFS): low risk, with 2-year RFS of 79.8% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 75.7-84.2%); intermediate risk, with 2-year RFS of 66.6% (95% CI: 61.1-72.6%); and high risk, with 2-year RFS of 51.1% (95% CI: 43.0-60.8%).

CONCLUSION

We developed a preoperative model for predicting early recurrence after LR for single HCC. This model provides useful information for clinical decision-making.

Potential candidates for liver resection in liver-confined advanced HCC: a Chinese multicenter observational study

Background

Advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is characterized as symptomatic tumors [performance status (PS) score of 1-2], vascular invasion and extrahepatic spread, but patients with PS1 alone may be eliminated from this stage. Although liver resection is used for liver-confined HCC, its role in patients with PS1 alone remains controversial. Therefore, we aimed to explore its application in such patients and identify potential candidates.

Methods

Eligible liver-confined HCC patients undergoing liver resection were retrospectively screened in 15 Chinese tertiary hospitals, with limited tumor burden, liver function and PS scores. Cox-regression survival analysis was used to investigate the prognostic factors and develop a risk-scoring system, according to which patients were substratified using fitting curves and the predictive values of PS were explored in each stratification.

Results

From January 2010 to October 2021, 1535 consecutive patients were selected. In the whole cohort, PS, AFP, tumor size and albumin were correlated with survival (adjusted P<0.05), based on which risk scores of every patient were calculated and ranged from 0 to 18. Fitting curve analysis demonstrated that the prognostic abilities of PS varied with risk scores and that the patients should be divided into three risk stratifications. Importantly, in the low-risk stratification, PS lost its prognostic value, and patients with PS1 alone achieved a satisfactory 5-year survival rate of 78.0%, which was comparable with that PS0 patients (84.6%).

Conclusion

Selected patients with PS1 alone and an ideal baseline condition may benefit from liver resection and may migrate forward to BCLC stage A.

Time to surgery is not an oncological risk factor in HCC patients undergoing liver resection

PURPOSE

Given limitations of the health care systems in case of unforeseeable events, e.g., the COVID pandemic as well as trends in prehabilitation, time from diagnosis to surgery (time to surgery, (TTS)) has become a research issue in malignancies. Thus, we investigated whether TTS is associated with oncological outcome in HCC patients undergoing surgery.

METHODS

A monocentric cohort of 217 patients undergoing liver resection for HCC between 2009 and 2021 was analyzed. Individuals were grouped according to TTS and compared regarding clinical characteristics. Overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) was compared using Kaplan-Meier analysis and investigated by univariate and multivariable Cox regressions.

RESULTS

TTS was not associated with OS (p=0.126) or RFS (p=0.761) of the study cohort in univariate analysis. In multivariable analysis age (p=0.028), ASA (p=0.027), INR (0.016), number of HCC nodules (p=0.026), microvascular invasion (MVI; p<0.001), and postoperative complications (p<0.001) were associated with OS and INR (p=0.005), and number of HCC nodules (p<0.001) and MVI (p<0.001) were associated with RFS. A comparative analysis of TTS subgroups was conducted (group 1, ≤30 days, n=55; group 2, 31-60 days, n=79; group 3, 61-90 days, n=45; group 4, >90 days, n=38). Here, the median OS were 62, 41, 38, and 40 months (p=0.602 log rank) and median RFS were 21, 26, 26, and 25 months (p=0.994 log rank). No statistical difference regarding oncological risk factors were observed between these groups.

CONCLUSION

TTS is not associated with earlier tumor recurrence or reduced overall survival in surgically treated HCC patients.

Clinical prognosis of surgical resection versus transarterial chemoembolization for single large hepatocellular carcinoma (≥5 cm): A propensity score matching analysis

Favorable prognostic factors and therapeutic strategies are important for patients with single large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This retrospective study aimed to investigate the prognostic factors in patients with single large (≥5 cm) HCC with Child-Pugh (CP) class A patients and to recommend therapeutic strategies. Overall, 298 HCC patients with single and large (≥5 cm) tumors with CP class A, but without distant metastasis and macrovascular invasion were included, and their clinicopathological data, overall survival (OS), and progression-free survival (PFS) were recorded. OS and PFS was analyzed by the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression analysis. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed. The 298 HCC patients were 79.2% male and median age of 64 years. For the initial treatment, surgical resection (SR) and transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) was 50.8% and 49.2%, respectively. The OS and PFS were significantly higher in patients receiving SR than those receiving TACE before and after PSM. Furthermore, in multivariate analysis, cirrhosis (Hazard ratio [HR]: 2.04; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.35-3.03, p < 0.001, CP class A5/6 [HR: 4.01; 95% CI: 2.43-6.66, p < 0.001], and initial treatment [SR vs. TACE HR = 3.23; 95% CI: 2.13-5.01, p < 0.001]) remained significantly associated with mortality. Moreover, in multivariate analysis, CP class A5/6 (HR: 3.23; 95% CI: 1.89-5.88, p < 0.001), and initial treatment (Resection vs. TACE; HR = 4.17; 95% CI: 1.64-8.33, p = 0.039) remained significantly associated with recurrence. In conclusion, SR was associated with significantly higher OS and PFS rates than TACE before and after PSM for single large HCC patients.

Alpha-Fetoprotein Combined with Radiographic Tumor Burden Score to Predict Overall Survival after Liver Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

We evaluated whether combining the radiographic tumor burden score (TBS) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) level could be used to stratify overall survival (OS) among hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after liver resection (LR). Patients who underwent LR for Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0, A, or B HCC between 2011 and 2018 were enrolled. TBS scores were calculated using the following equation: TBS2 = (largest tumor size (in cm))2 + (tumor number)2. Among 743 patients, 193 (26.0%) patients had a low TBS (<2.6), 474 (63.8%) had a moderate TBS (2.6-7.9), and 75 (10.1%) had a high TBS (>7.9). Those with a TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL had a significantly better OS than those with a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (p = 0.003) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (p < 0.001). A multivariate analysis using TBS ≤ 7.9 and AFP < 400 ng/mL as the reference values showed that a TBS > 7.9 and an AFP < 400 ng/mL (hazard ratio (HR): 2.063; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.175-3.623; p = 0.012) or ≥ 400 ng/mL (HR: 6.570; 95% CI: 3.684-11.719; p < 0.001) were independent predictors of OS. In conclusion, combining radiographic TBSs and AFP levels could stratify OS among HCC patients undergoing LR.

Tumor Burden Score and Serum Alpha-fetoprotein Subclassify Intermediate-Stage Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND

Resection of Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) intermediate-stage hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remains controversial. While not recommended by the BCLC algorithm, some patients may indeed benefit from hepatectomy. We sought to identify that subset of patients who might derive long-term survival benefit from resection.

METHODS

Intermediate-stage HCC patients who underwent curative-intent resection were identified from an international multi-institutional database. Factors associated with long-term prognosis were identified using multivariate analysis and a risk score was developed and assessed.

RESULTS

Among 194 patients, most individuals had two tumors (n = 123, 63.4%) with a median size of 6.0 cm (IQR, 4.0-8.4) for a median tumor burden score (TBS) of 6.5 (IQR, 5.0-9.1); median alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) was 23.9 ng/mL (IQR, 5.0-503.2), and median overall survival (OS) was 69 months (IAR, 60.7-77.3). Factors associated with OS included AFP (referent ≤ 20 ng/mL, > 20 ng/mL: HR 1.78 95%CI, 1.09-2.89) and TBS (referent TBS ≤ 8.0, TBS > 8.0: HR 1.72 95%CI, 1.07-2.75). While 71 (36.6%) patients had neither risk factor, 79 (40.7%) and 44 (22.7%) had 1 or 2, respectively. A simplified score stratified patients relative to recurrence-free survival (RFS) (0: 33.6% vs. 1: 18.0% vs. 2: 14.7%) (AUC 0.60) and recurrence time (i.e., < 6 months after surgery) (0: 21.3% vs. 1: 43.1% vs. 2: 68.6%) (AUC 0.69) (both p < 0.001). Of note, a higher score was also associated with incrementally worse 5-year OS (0: 68.1% vs. 1: 61.0% vs. 2: 29.9%) (AUC 0.62) (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Long-term OS and RFS outcomes varied considerably. Using a simple risk score, patients with low AFP and low TBS were identified as the subset of individuals most likely to benefit from resection.

Hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy and sequential ablation treatment in large hepatocellular carcinoma

AIM

To investigate the individualized survival benefit of hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) and sequential ablation treatment in large hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

Between February 2016 and December 2020, a total of 228 HCC patients (diameter > 5 cm) who underwent HAIC alone (HAIC group, n = 135) or HAIC and sequential ablation (HAIC-ablation group, n = 93) treatment were reviewed. We applied the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) to adjust for potential bias of two treatment groups. The overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were compared with Kaplan-Meier curves. The Cox regression model was used to identify independent prognostic factors. And a prediction nomogram based on these independent prognostic factors was built, aiming to make probabilistic survival predictions and estimate personalized ablation benefits.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up of 17.9 months, HCC patients in the HAIC-ablation group have longer significantly OS and PFS than those in the HAIC alone group (median OS: 22.2 months vs. 14.5 months; median PFS: 8.5 months vs. 4.6 months; both, p < 0.001). The IPTW-adjusted analysis revealed similar findings (both, p < 0.001). Tumor size, tumor number, and treatment modality were identified as independent prognostic factors for OS. The nomogram based on these factors showed favorable discrimination and well calibration.

CONCLUSIONS

HAIC and sequential ablation provided significant survival benefits in patients with large HCC. The nomogram could help predict individual survival probabilities and estimate personalized sequential ablation benefits.

A Novel Predictive Scoring System for 90-Day Mortality among Patients with Hepatocellular Cell Carcinoma Receiving Major Hepatectomy

Simple Summary

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major malignancy correlated with many cancer-related deaths. Surgical intervention provides superior long-term survival; however, perioperative mortality is a major concern for clinicians while making treatment decisions, especially for major hepatectomy. Scoring systems for predicting 90-day mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy are not available. By using the stepwise selection of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients with HCC receiving major hepatectomy into four risk groups. The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system showed significant differences in the 90-day mortality rate among the four risk groups (very low risk: 2.42%, low risk: 4.09%, intermittent risk: 17.1%, and high risk 43.6%). The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system is a promising tool for predicting 90-day perioperative mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy.

Abstract

Purpose: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major malignancy and the common cause of cancer-related deaths. Surgical intervention provides superior long-term survival outcomes; however, perioperative mortality is a major concern for clinicians while making treatment decisions, especially for major hepatectomy. Scoring systems for predicting 90-day mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy are not available. Methods: This study used the Taiwan Cancer Registry Database that is linked to the National Health Insurance Research Database to analyze data of 60,250 patients with HCC who underwent major hepatectomy and determine risk factors to establish a novel predictive scoring system. By using the stepwise selection of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy into four risk groups. Results: The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system exhibited significant differences in the 90-day mortality rate among the four risk groups (very low risk: 2.42%, low risk: 4.09%, intermittent risk: 17.1%, and high risk: 43.6%). Conclusion: The Chang Gung-PohAi predictive scoring system is a promising tool for predicting 90-day perioperative mortality in patients with HCC undergoing major hepatectomy.

Preoperative predictors of early recurrence after resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

To assess preoperative image tumor characteristics and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels to predict early recurrence after liver resection (LR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

This retrospective study's enrolled patients underwent LR for newly diagnosed HCC between 2011 and 2018. Multivariate logistic regression analyses using the Akaike information criterion were adopted to construct a nomogram to predict early recurrence (i.e. recurrence within 1 year). The performance of this nomogram was evaluated using calibration plots with bootstrapping.

RESULTS

Early recurrence was identified in 99 patients (11.2%). Four predictive factors, namely an AFP level of >400 ng/mL; image-diagnosed tumor characteristics, including a tumor size of > 5 cm; vascular invasion; and multiple tumors were adopted in the final model of the early recurrence nomogram, with a concordance index of 0.67. The calibration plots showed good agreement between the nomogram predictions and the actual observations of early recurrence.

CONCLUSION

We have developed a simple nomogram with preoperative image tumor characteristics and AFP levels to predict the early recurrence of HCC after LR.

Validation of an alpha-fetoprotein model to predict recurrence after liver resection for hepatocellular carcinoma

To validate a previously reported alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) model (including three variables: preoperative image-diagnosed tumor number and size and AFP level) for the prediction of recurrence in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who have undergone liver resection (LR). This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent curative LR for newly diagnosed HCC in our institution between 2011 and 2018. The probabilities of overall survival (OS) and recurrence were compared according to the aforementioned AFP model. A total of 838 patients were included. AFP score ≥ 3 versus ≤ 2 independently predicted recurrence and OS. However, net reclassification improvements (NRI) indicated that the AFP model was not superior to the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) system for predicting 1-year recurrence (p = 0.746). Relatedly, we developed a modified AFP model based on our cohort. The modified AFP score ≥ 3 versus ≤ 2 independently predicted recurrence and OS. However, NRI again indicated that the modified AFP model was not superior to the BCLC system for predicting 1-year recurrence (p = 0.69). Patients with a modified AFP score ≤ 2 had a risk of recurrence similar to that of patients with a modified AFP score ≥ 3 in BCLC stage 0-A (p = 0.57). However, patients with a modified AFP score ≤ 2 had a lower risk of recurrence than patients with a modified AFP score ≥ 3 in BCLC stage B-C (p = 0.02). The original AFP model was not feasible in our cohort. However, the modified AFP model may be useful for predicting recurrence in BCLC B-C patients who underwent LR in our cohort.

Upregulating KTN1 promotes Hepatocellular Carcinoma progression

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents a common malignant tumor worldwide. Although kinectin 1 (KTN1) is the most frequently identified antigen in HCC tissues, the detailed roles of KTN1 in HCC remain unknown. This study seeks to clarify the expression status and clinical value of KTN1 in HCC and to explore the complicated biological functions of KTN1 and its underlying mechanisms.

Methods: In-house reverse transcription quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) was used to detect the expression of KTN1 in HCC tissues. External gene microarrays and RNA-sequencing datasets were downloaded to confirm the expression patterns of KTN1. The prognostic ability of KTN1 in HCC was assessed by a Kaplan-Meier curve and a hazard ratio forest plot. The CRISPR/Cas9 gene-editing system was used to knock out KTN1 in Huh7 cells, which was verified by PCR-Sanger sequencing and western blotting. Assays of cell migration, invasion, viability, cell cycle, and apoptosis were conducted to explore the biological functions. RNA sequencing was performed to quantitatively analyze the functional deregulation in KTN1-knockout cells compared to Huh7-wild-type cells. Upregulated genes that co-expressed with KTN1 were identified from HCC tissues and were functionally annotated.

Results: KTN1 expression was increased in HCC tissues (standardized mean difference [SMD] = 0.20 [0.04, 0.37]). High KTN1 expression was significantly correlated with poorer prognosis of HCC patients, and KTN1 may be an independent risk factor for HCC (pooled HRs = 1.31 [1.05, 1.64]). After KTN1-knockout, the viability, migration, and invasion ability of HCC cells were inhibited. The proportion of HCC cells in the G0-G1 phases increased after KTN1 knockout, which also elevated the apoptosis rates in HCC cells. Several cascades, including innate immune response, chemical carcinogenesis, and positive regulation of transcription by RNA polymerase II, were dramatically changed after KTN1 knockout. KTN1 primarily participated in the cell cycle, DNA replication, and microRNAs in cancer pathways in HCC tissues.

Conclusion: Upregulation of KTN1 served as a promising prognosticator in HCC patients. KTN1 promotes the occurrence and deterioration of HCC by mediating cell survival, migration, invasion, cell cycle activation, and apoptotic inhibition. KTN1 may be a therapeutic target in HCC patients.