Accuracy of sonographic fetal weight estimation: influence of the scan-to-delivery interval in combination with the applied weight estimation formula

The accuracy of sonographic fetal weight in very preterm infants (≤32 weeks)

OBJECTIVE

To examine the accuracy of sonographic fetal weight to predict birthweight in very preterm infants (<32 weeks), and to compare the accuracy of estimated fetal weight (EFW) between those small for gestational age (SGA) and those appropriate for gestational age (AGA).

STUDY DESIGN

A retrospective study was conducted of data recorded between January 2010 and March 2023. Included were women with singleton livebirths at 23+0-31+6 weeks who had an EFW within one week from delivery. Mean percentage error, mean absolute percentage error, and underestimation and overestimation rates were calculated. We compared the accuracy of EFW between SGA and AGA infants.

RESULTS

In total, 360 women were included. The mean absolute percentage error was 7.8 % (range 0 %-68.9 %); for 207 (57.5 %) infants the percentage error was within ±10 %. Overestimation error >10 % was observed in 102 (28.3 %) infants and errors >20 % in 34 (9.4 %). Among infants born in the periviable period (23+0 - 25+6 weeks; N = 56), the mean absolute percentage error was 9.8 % (range: 0 %-40.3 %); the value was within ±10 % for only 28 periviable infants (50 %) and exceeded 20 % for 16.1 %. Among SGA compared to AGA infants, the mean absolute percentage error was higher (11.1% vs. 6.6 %, p = 0.035). Overestimation error >10 % was more frequent among SGA than AGA infants (55 (49.1 %) vs. 47 (19.0 %), p < 0.001). In a multivariate logistic regression analysis, SGA status was independently associated with a higher mean percentage error (beta = 0.260, p < 0.001) and an increased risk of an error >10 % (odds ratio = 2.1, 95 % confidence interval 1.2-3.5, p = 0.008).

CONCLUSIONS

Sonographic EFW is limited in assessing very preterm infants, particularly those who are SGA or born during the periviable period. These limitations should be considered regarding impending very preterm births and concerns about abnormal fetal growth.

Accuracy of Estimated Fetal Weight Assessment in Fetuses with Congenital Diaphragmatic Hernia-Is the Hadlock Formula a Reliable Tool?

Objectives: Congenital diaphragmatic hernia (CDH) is defined as organ protrusion from the abdominal to the thoracic cavity. The Hadlock formula is the most commonly used tool for calculating estimated fetal weight (EFW). The anatomical nature of CDH usually leads to underestimation of the abdominal circumference, resulting in underestimation of fetal weight. Accurate weight estimation is essential before birth for counselling, preparation before surgery and ECMO. The research is made to compare the accuracy of Hadlock's formula and Faschingbauer's formula for fetal weight estimation in CDH fetuses population. Methods: In our study, we investigated differences between EFW and actual birthweight in 42 fetuses with CDH as compared to 80 healthy matched controls. EFW was calculated using the Hadlock formula and a recently introduced formula described by Faschingbauer et al., which was tailored for fetuses with CDH. Additionally, both of the formulas were adjusted for the interval between the ultrasound and delivery for both of the groups. Results: The majority of hernias were left-sided (92.8% vs. 7.2%). EFW adjusted for the interval between the ultrasound and delivery had the highest correlation with the actual birthweight in both, study group and controls. We compared the results for both tools and found the Hadlock formula to predict birthweight in CDH children with a 7.8 ± 5.5% error as compared to 7.9 ± 6.5% error for the Faschingbauer's formula. Conclusions: The Hadlock formula adjusted for the interval between the ultrasound and delivery is a more precise method of calculating EFW in fetuses with CDH. Routine biometry scan using Hadlock's formula remains reliable for predicting birthweight.

Accuracy of the sonographic determination of estimated fetal weight in anhydramnios

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether the presence of anhydramnios significantly influences the sonographic estimated fetal weight (EFW) compared to a matched cohort with normal amniotic fluid volume.

METHODS

The study sample of this retrospective case-control study consisted of 114 pregnant women who presented to a Tertiary Perinatal Clinic between 2015 and 2020. 57 of them presented with an anhydramnios and a matched cohort of 57 women with normal amniotic fluid volume. At time of admission, gestational age varied between 22 + 4 and 42 + 6 weeks of pregnancy. All women underwent detailed ultrasound assessment for EFW and amniotic fluid index. To determine EFW Hadlock's estimation formula I was used which is based on measurements of biparietal diameter (BPD), head circumference (HC), abdominal circumference (AC) and femur length (FL). The EFW was compared with the weight at delivery. The maximum time interval between measurement and delivery was 5 days.

RESULTS

There was neither a significant difference between the case and control group with regard to gestational age at ultrasound in days (median 249 days and 246 days, p = 0.97), nor to gestational age at birth (median 249 days and 247 days, p = 0.98). Concerning the newborns parameters, the body length at birth was not significantly different between the case and control group in centimeters (cm) (median 47 cm and 47 cm, p = 0.79). EFW in gram (g) was lower than birth weight in both groups and did not differ significantly between case and control group (estimated weight median 2247 g and 2421 g, p = 0.46; birth weight median 2440 g and 2475 g, p = 0.47). The difference between EFW and birth weight in percent (%) did not differ between the case and control group (median - 3.9% and - 5.6%, p = 0.70). The maternal parameters showed that the patients in the case group were younger (median 31 years and 38 years p = 0.20) and had a significantly higher body mass index (BMI) (median 27.3 kg/m2 vs 22.0 kg/m2, < 0.001) compared to the control group.

CONCLUSION

Our study shows for the first time that EFW in women with anhydramnios can be determined sonographically just as accurately as in a matched cohort with normal amniotic fluid volume. A reliable estimation of fetal weight is crucial for optimal assessment of the newborns prognosis and counseling of the parents especially when advising women in the early weeks of pregnancy at the limit of viability.

Boosting distributional copula regression

Capturing complex dependence structures between outcome variables (e.g., study endpoints) is of high relevance in contemporary biomedical data problems and medical research. Distributional copula regression provides a flexible tool to model the joint distribution of multiple outcome variables by disentangling the marginal response distributions and their dependence structure. In a regression setup, each parameter of the copula model, that is, the marginal distribution parameters and the copula dependence parameters, can be related to covariates via structured additive predictors. We propose a framework to fit distributional copula regression via model-based boosting, which is a modern estimation technique that incorporates useful features like an intrinsic variable selection mechanism, parameter shrinkage and the capability to fit regression models in high-dimensional data setting, that is, situations with more covariates than observations. Thus, model-based boosting does not only complement existing Bayesian and maximum-likelihood based estimation frameworks for this model class but rather enables unique intrinsic mechanisms that can be helpful in many applied problems. The performance of our boosting algorithm for copula regression models with continuous margins is evaluated in simulation studies that cover low- and high-dimensional data settings and situations with and without dependence between the responses. Moreover, distributional copula boosting is used to jointly analyze and predict the length and the weight of newborns conditional on sonographic measurements of the fetus before delivery together with other clinical variables.

Is accuracy of estimated fetal weight improved by better image quality scores?

OBJECTIVE

To assess in a group of ultrasound operators of various levels of experience the predictive value of systematic quality scoring to assess estimated fetal weight (EFW) validity.

METHODS

Screenshots, sonographer experience, and neonate birth weight were collected for 131 ultrasound examinations in the 7 days before birth. The difference (EFW error) between projected birth weight (EFW + [30 g × interval in days to birth]) and actual birth weight was then assessed (absolute value). Three senior sonographers rated all the screenshots (International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology 16-point score for image quality) and interobserver reproducibility was assessed concomitantly. The impact of the score on EFW accuracy was then assessed (univariate analysis). Receiver operating characteristic curves allowed us to assess the score's positive predictive value (PPV) for accurate EFW.

RESULTS

Mean birth weight was 2998 ± 954 g and mean EFW error was 8.6% ± 7.1%. Both the sonographer's experience and score significantly impacted the EFW error (P < 0.05). The PPVs of systematic image scores for identifying an EFW error greater than 10% and greater than 15% were appropriate for clinical use (areas under the curve 0.61 and 0.70, respectively). Score reproducibility was modest.

CONCLUSION

Low image scores and limited ultrasound expertise are associated with an increased risk of inaccurate EFW.

Validity of two-dimensional ultrasound for determining extreme foetal weights to term

The aim of this study was to assess the validity of ultrasound carried out within seven days prior to birth at term for the calculation of full term estimated foetal weight (EFW) in order to diagnose extreme foetal weight, performed using a single-center retrospective cohort study of 2500 pregnant women. Ultrasound calculations of EFW with a standard error of less than 10% showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar for appropriate for gestational age (78.6%) and normal foetal weights (77.5%) but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights. The simple error increased in both the high and low EFWs, taking on positive values for the low weights and negative values for the high weights. As for the percentage error values, there was a tendency for positive errors for low weights and negative errors for high weights; this led to a tendency to overestimate low foetal weights and underestimate high foetal weights.IMPACT STATEMENTWhat is already known on this subject? Two-dimensional ultrasound is currently the principal tool used in obstetrics to evaluate foetal growth, mainly through the calculation of EFW. Foetal weight represents an important prognostic factor in perinatal results, with a greater risk of adverse effects in cases of extreme foetal weights. In this sense, there are few studies that assess the validity of EFW calculations focussing on extreme foetal weights to term.What do the results of this study add? The ultrasound estimates of EFW with an error lower than 10% in the seven days prior to birth showed an accuracy ratio of 75.1% for the total sample. This percentage was similar to appropriate for gestational age weights (78.6%) and of normal weights (77.5%), but decreased significantly (p < .01) in the case of extreme foetal weights: small for gestational age (52.1%), large for gestational age (68.2%), microsomia (49.1%), and macrosomia (61%). Likewise, we found high specificity and low sensitivity for ultrasound diagnosis of extreme foetal weights.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or future research? The validity of ultrasound EFW is influenced by extreme foetal weights, with a tendency to overestimate low weights and underestimate high weights, which represents a clinically important finding.

Association between infertility treatment and intrauterine growth: a multilevel analysis in a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to identify intrauterine growth differences according to infertility treatment compared with spontaneous conception and to describe intrauterine growth trajectories.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

A single primary and tertiary medical centre in Japan.

PARTICIPANTS

This study included singleton pregnant women with prenatal check-ups and delivery at the University of Yamanashi Hospital between 1 July 2012 and 30 September 2017. Patients were divided into four groups: spontaneous conception, infertility treatment without assisted reproductive technology (ART), fresh-embryo transfer and frozen embryo transfer (FET).

INTERVENTIONS

Differences in intrauterine growth according to the infertility treatment, including ART, and birth weight were evaluated. Multilevel analysis was employed to evaluate intrauterine growth trajectories stratified by the sex of the offspring.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Estimated fetal weight (EFW) assessed by ultrasound examination.

RESULTS

We assessed data from 37 239 prenatal examination results from 2377 pregnant women (spontaneous conception, n=1764; infertility treatment without ART, n=171; fresh-embryo transfer, n=112; and FET, n=330) in the final analysis. Multilevel analysis was adjusted for gestation duration, gestation period, parity, hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, type of infertility treatment, maternal age, smoking status, placenta previa, thyroid disease, gestational diabetes mellitus and the interaction between each potential confounding factor and gestation duration. In male fetuses, the interaction between FET and gestational duration (estimate: 0.36; 95% CI: 0.06 to 0.67) significantly affected the EFW. Similarly, in female fetuses, FET (estimate: -69.85; 95% CI: -112.09 to -27.61) and the interaction between FET and gestation duration (estimate: 0.57; 95% CI: 0.28 to 0.87) significantly affected the EFW.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that FET affects intrauterine growth trajectory from the second trimester to term, particularly in female fetuses. Our findings require further prospective research to examine the effect of infertility treatment on fetal growth.

Identification of newborns with birthweight ≥ 4,500g: Ultrasound within one- vs. two weeks of delivery

OBJECTIVE

Our objective was to compare the diagnostic characteristics of sonographic estimated fetal weight (SEFW) done within 7 versus 8-14 days before delivery for detection of fetal macrosomia (birthweight ≥ 4500 g).

STUDY DESIGN

We performed a multicenter, retrospective cohort study of all non-anomalous singletons with SEFW ≥ 4000 g by Registered Diagnostic Medical Sonographers conducted within 14 days of delivery. Cohorts were grouped by time interval between ultrasound and delivery: 0-7 days versus 8-14 days. The detection rate (DR) and false positive rate (FPR) for detection of birthweight (BW) ≥ 4500 g were compared between groups with subgroup analysis for diabetic women. Area under the receiver operator curve (AUC) was calculated to analyze all possible SEFW cutoffs within our cohort.

RESULTS

A total of 330 patients met inclusion criteria with 250 (75.8 %) having SEFW within 7 days and 80 (24.2 %) with SEFW 8-14 days prior to delivery. The rate of macrosomia was 15.1 % (N = 51). The DR for macrosomia was significantly higher when SEFW was performed within 7 days of delivery compared to 8-14 days among non-diabetic (73.0 % vs 7.1 %; p < 0.001) and diabetic women (76.5 % vs 16.7 %; p = 0.02). There was no significant change in FPR in either group. The AUC for detection of macrosomia was significantly higher when SEFW was performed within 7 days versus 8-14 days (0.89 vs 0.63; p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

With SEFW ≥ 4000 g, the detection of BW ≥ 4500 g is significantly higher when the sonographic examination is within 7 days of birth irrespective of maternal diabetes.

Ultrasound Fetal Weight Estimation in Diabetic Pregnancies

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate different formulas for estimating fetal weight in diabetic pregnancies.

METHODS

This retrospective study evaluated the precision of ultrasound fetal weight estimation in 756 pregnancies complicated by gestational diabetes between 2002 and 2016. The estimated fetal weights (EFWs) were obtained within 7 days of delivery from 10 weight estimation formulas and were compared with pair-wise matched controls from 15,701 patients. The precision of the evaluated formulas for EFW was analyzed by median absolute percentage errors (MAPEs), mean percentage errors (MPEs), and proportions of estimates within 10% of actual birth weight.

RESULTS

Among the tested formulas, the lowest MAPE was detected with formula I of Hadlock et al (Am J Obstet Gynecol 1985; 151:333-337), and the formula of Schild et al (Ultrasound Obstet Gynecol 2004; 23:30-35) had the highest proportion of estimates within the 10% range. The EFW in diabetic patients showed a slight trend toward overestimation in comparison with the matched controls (MPE estimates showed a trend toward more positive values). In most of the EFW formulas that were evaluated, no significant differences were detected in MAPEs and estimates within the 10% range. The MPE estimates with most formulas in both groups were close to zero. Overall, the differences between most of the evaluated formulas were small.

CONCLUSIONS

Little evidence was found for differences in the accuracy of the EFW in diabetic pregnancies and controls. The Hadlock I formula showed the lowest MAPE, and the Schild formula had the highest proportion of estimates within the 10% range.

Two new models for the estimation of foetal weight more than a week before delivery: An MRI study

PURPOSE

To develop and evaluate new formulas to determine the magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based estimated foetal weight (EFW) more than a week before delivery.

METHODS

The study included 153 women with singleton pregnancies who gave birth to live, normal neonates within 15-21 days of the MRI examination for whom foetal body volume biometry data were available at term. All foetuses were randomly divided into a testing group (102) and a validation group (51). Regression analysis was used to determine the single volume or the combination of volume and MRI-to-delivery interval that determined the EFW. The accuracy of the two new models and the primary existing model developed by Baker et al. were evaluated in validation group.

RESULTS

The two new models had similar mean percentage errors (MPEs) (3.9% vs 3.9%) and proportions of pregnancies with an MPE < 10% (92.2% vs 90.2%); the model incorporating volume and MRI-to-delivery had relatively higher proportions of pregnancies with an MPE < 5% (72.5% vs 64.7%) and EFWs in agreement with the birth weights. The error in the Baker model was almost twice that in the new models.

CONCLUSION

The accuracy of foetal weight estimation more than one week before delivery using the model developed by Baker et al. was poor and was significantly improved by the new models. A combination of the foetal body volume and MRI-to-delivery interval will enable the more accurate determination of the EFWs.

Accuracy of sonographic fetal weight estimation in full-term singleton pregnant women

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the factors which might influence the sonographic fetal weight estimation (SFWE) accuracy.

METHODS

This prospective study was conducted among 949 singleton term pregnant women who delivered at a tertiary center, from January 2017 to December 2017. All participants' maternal (i.e. parity, age, body mass index and gestational weight gain during pregnancy), fetal sonographic (i.e. fetal presentation, amniotic fluid index, localization of placenta and estimated fetal weight) and neonatal (birth weight and gender) characteristics were recorded. A p<0.05 was considered significant.

RESULTS

The mean absolute percent error (APE) values of SFWE was 8.2±6.5 percent, and overall failure ratio (APE >10%) was 33%. In failure group, primiparous woman and cephalic presentation fetus were significantly more common compared to accuracy group (55.9% vs.44.8%; p=0.001 and 98% vs. 95.2%; p=0.03, respectively). In contrast, the mean neonatal birth weight (NBW) value was significantly lower in failure group compared to success group (3250±565 gr vs. 3404±410 gr; p=0.001). The correlation between SFWE and NBW was linear, however negative, and significant (p=0.001). Logistic regression analysis revealed that primiparous woman, cephalic presentation fetus and <3300 gr NBW were independent risk factors for the SFWE failure (relative risks were 1.6, 2.8 and 2.4 respectively, p<0.05).

CONCLUSION

SFWE has a high correlation with NBW, however it's accuracy is still unsatisfactory, and depend on many unpredictable and inconsistent factors.

Accuracy of sonographic fetal weight estimation prior to delivery in a Chinese han population

OBJECTIVE

To compare the sonographic-estimated fetal weights (EFW) calculated with the Hadlock formula and with the Woo formula in a group of Chinese pregnant women.

METHODS

We prospectively recruited term pregnancies for sonographic biometric examination. EFWs were calculated according to two formulas and compared with the corresponding birth weight (BW). We also assessed the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of EFW for the diagnosis of small-for-gestational age (SGA) and large-for-gestational age (LGA) neonates.

RESULTS

A total of 374 subjects who delivered within 7 days after the sonographic examinations was recruited. Using the Hadlock formula, the median absolute difference between EFW and BW was 182 g (15-308 g) and the median percentage difference was 5.3% (0.5-9.1%), whereas it was 230 g (62-367) and 7.1% (2.1-10.4%) for the Woo formula (p < 0.001). Several factors, namely the fetal presentation, gender, and high amniotic quantity, showed no evident impact on this predictive difference. Among the 175 women who delivered within 2 days after ultrasound, the sensitivity and specificity of Hadlock EFW were 100% and 97.1% for the detection of SGA and 48.1% and 97.3% for the detection of LGA, respectively. The PPV and NPV were 44.4% and 100.0% for the detection of SGA and 76.5% and 91.1% for the detection of LGA, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

EFWs calculated using the Hadlock formula for our research subjects were as accurate as those reported for other populations. The predictive performance showed a high NPV for the diagnosis of SGA and a relatively acceptable PPV for the diagnosis of LGA. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. J Clin Ultrasound 45:465-471, 2017.

Comparison of Errors of 35 Weight Estimation Formulae in a Standard Collective

Issue: The estimation of foetal weight is an integral part of prenatal care and obstetric routine. In spite of its known susceptibility to errors in cases of underweight or overweight babies, important obstetric decisions depend on it. In the present contribution we have examined the accuracy and error distribution of 35 weight estimation formulae within the normal weight range of 2500-4000 g. The aim of the study was to identify the weight estimation formulae with the best possible correspondence to the requirements of clinical routine. Materials and Methods: 35 clinically established weight estimation formulae were analysed in 3416 foetuses with weights between 2500 and 4000 g. For this we determined and compared the mean percentage error (MPE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and the proportions of estimates within the error ranges of 5, 10, 20 and 30 %. In addition, separate regression lines were calculated for the relationship between estimated and actual birth weights for the weight range 2500-4000 g. The formulae were thus examined for possible inhomogeneities. Results: The lowest MPE were achieved with the Hadlock III and V formulae (0.8 %, STW 9.2 % or, respectively, -0.8 %, STW 10.0 %). The lowest absolute error (6.6 %) as well as the most favourable frequency distribution in cases below 5 % and 10 % error (43.9 and 77.5) were seen for the Halaska formula. In graphic representations of the regression lines, 16 formulae revealed a weight overestimation in the lower weight range and an underestimation in the upper range. 14 formulae gave underestimations and merely 5 gave overestimations over the entire tested weight range. Conclusion: The majority of the tested formulae gave underestimations of the actual birth weight over the entire weight range or at least in the upper weight range. This result supports the current strategy of a two-stage weight estimation in which a formula is first chosen after a pre-estimation of the weight range.