Risk factors associated with progression and persistence of small- and medium-sized coronary artery aneurysms in Kawasaki disease: a prospective cohort study

Progression prediction of coronary artery lesions by echocardiography-based ultrasomics analysis in Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND

Echocardiography-based ultrasomics analysis aids Kawasaki disease (KD) diagnosis but its role in predicting coronary artery lesions (CALs) progression remains unknown. We aimed to develop and validate a predictive model combining echocardiogram-based ultrasomics with clinical parameters for CALs progression in KD.

METHODS

Total 371 KD patients with CALs at baseline were enrolled from a retrospective cohort (cohort 1, n = 316) and a prospective cohort (cohort 2, n = 55). CALs progression was defined by increased Z scores in any coronary artery branch at the 1-month follow-up. Patients in cohort 1 were split randomly into training and validation set 1 at the ratio of 6:4, while cohort 2 comprised validation set 2. Clinical parameters and ultrasomics features at baseline were analyzed and selected for models construction. Model performance was evaluated by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) in the training and two validation sets.

RESULTS

At the 1-month follow-ups, 65 patients presented with CALs progression. Three clinical parameters and six ultrasomics features were selected to construct the model. The clinical-ultrasomics model exhibited a good predictive capability in the training, validation set 1 and set 2, achieving AUROCs of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.90), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.74-0.94), and 0.73 (95% CI, 0.40-0.86), respectively. Moreover, the AUPRC values and DCA of three model demonstrated that the clinical-ultrasomics model consistently outperformed both the clinical model and the ultrasomics model across all three sets, including the training set and the two validation sets.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated the effective predictive capacity of a prediction model combining echocardiogram-based ultrasomics features and clinical parameters in predicting CALs progression in KD.

Development of a prediction model for progression of coronary artery lesions in Kawasaki disease

BACKGROUNDS

This study aimed to identify risk factors for the progression of coronary artery lesions (CALs) in children with Kawasaki disease (KD) and to develop a nomogram prediction model.

METHODS

This is a retrospective case-control study in which the participants were categorized into three groups based on the changes of the maximum Z score (Zmax) of coronary arteries at the 1-month follow-up compared with the baseline Zmax: CALs-progressed, CALs-improved, and CALs-unchanged.

RESULTS

Of total 387 patients, 65 (27%), 319 (73%), and 3 (0.7%) patients were categorized into CALs-progressed group, CALs-improved group, and CALs-unchanged group, respectively. Six independent factors associated with CALs progression were identified, including initial IVIG resistance, baseline Zmax, the number of coronary arteries involved, C-reactive protein, albumin, and soluble interleukin-2 receptor (odds ratio: 7.19, 1.51, 2.32, 1.52, 0.86, and 1.46, respectively; all P-values < 0.01). The nomogram prediction model including these six independent risk factors yielded an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.80 (95% confidence interval, 0.74 to 0.86). The accuracy of this model reached 81.7% after the Monte-Carlo Bootstrapping 1000 repetitions.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram prediction model can identify children at high risk for the progression of CALs at early stages.

IMPACT

Six independent factors associated with CALs progression were identified, including initial IVIG resistance, baseline Zmax, the number of coronary arteries involved, CRP, ALB, and sIL-2R. The prediction model we constructed can identify children at high risk for the progression of CALs at early stages and help clinicians make individualized treatment plans. Prospective, multi-centered studies with larger sample sizes are warranted to validate the power of this prediction model in children with KD.

Development of a nomogram prediction model for early identification of persistent coronary artery aneurysms in kawasaki disease

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery aneurysms (CAA) persistence prediction is critical in evaluating Kawasaki disease (KD). This study established a nomogram prediction system based on potential risk factors for assessing the risk of CAA persistence in a contemporary cohort of patients with KD.

METHODS

This cohort comprised 105 patients with KD who had been diagnosed with CAA during the acute or subacute phase by echocardiography. The follow-up duration was at least 1 year. The clinical and laboratory parameters were compared between the CAA regression and persistence groups. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify the independent risk factors for CAA persistence, which were subsequently used to build the nomogram predictive model. Decision curve analysis was used to assess the net benefits of different nomogram scores.

RESULTS

Of these patients with CAA, 27.6% of patients presented with persistent lesions. The incidences of CAA persistence were 14.1%, 81.3%, and 100.0% in patients with small, medium, and large aneurysms, respectively. The ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes, γ-GT, and CAA size at diagnosis were considered as the independent risk factors for CAA persistence in patients with KD. The nomogram predictive models yielded a high capability in predicting CAA persistence, based on either univariable or multivariable analyses-identified parameters, compared with using CAA size as a single predictor.

CONCLUSION

The initial ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes, γ-GT, and CAA size were the independent risk factors for CAA persistence in patients with KD. Nomogram scores could help elevate predictive efficacy in detecting CAA persistence.

Left ventricular assist device implantation following multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children due to SARS-CoV-2

Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS‐C) is rare, however, severe hyperinflammatory condition in children generally weeks after acute SARS‐CoV‐2 infection. A subset of MIS‐C patients is presented with severe heart failure. We hereby report 8‐year‐old girl presenting acute severe left ventricular failure. Various medical treatments including inotropic agents and drugs related to SARS‐CoV‐2 infection and MIS‐C were applied. However, venoarterial extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) was needed to be performed. Due to unsuccessful attempts for ECMO weaning, left ventricular assist device was implanted to the patient with temporary right ventricular support from ECMO.

Cardiac Manifestations in Children with SARS-COV-2 Infection: 1-Year Pediatric Multicenter Experience

Since the spread of COVID-19, pediatric patients were initially considered less affected by SARS-COV-2, but current literature reported subsets of children with multisystem inflammatory syndrome (MIS-C). This study aims to describe the cardiac manifestation of SARS-COV-2 infection in a large cohort of children admitted to two Italian pediatric referral centers. Between March 2020 and March 2021, we performed a cardiac evaluation in 294 children (mean age 9 ± 5.9 years, male 60%) with active or previous SARS-COV-2 infection. Twenty-six showed ECG abnormalities: 63 repolarization anomalies, 13 Long QTc, five premature ventricular beats, two non-sustained ventricular tachycardia, and one atrial fibrillation. In total, 146 patients underwent cardiac biomarkers: NT-proBNP was elevated in 57, troponin in 34. An echocardiogram was performed in 98, showing 54 cardiac anomalies: 27 left-ventricular dysfunction, 42 pericarditis, 16 coronaritis. MIS-C was documented in 46 patients (mean age 9 ± 4.8 years, male 61%) with cardiac manifestations in 97.8%: 27 ventricular dysfunctions, 32 pericarditis, 15 coronaritis, 3 arrhythmias. All patients recovered, and during follow-up, no cardiac anomalies were recorded. Our experience showed that cardiac involvement is not rare in children with SARS-COV-2, and occurred in almost all patients with MIS-C. However, patients' recovery is satisfactory and no additional events were reported during FU.

Factors affecting the duration of coronary artery lesions in patients with the Kawasaki disease: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Coronary artery lesions (CALs) are the most severe complication of Kawasaki disease (KD). Approximately 9-20% of the patients with KD develop CAL despite receiving regular treatment (intravenous immunoglobulin [IVIG] and aspirin). Some patients develop coronary aneurysms, leading to coronary artery stenosis or thrombosis, resulting in ischaemic heart disease and significantly affect the patients' lives. The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors associated with the duration of CAL in patients with KD.

METHODS

The data of 464 patients with KD and CAL admitted to the Children's Heart Centre, The Second Affiliated Hospital and Yuying Children's Hospital from 2010 to 2018 were retrospectively analysed. Demographic and clinical information and echocardiographic follow-up data were collected. Kaplan-Meier curves were used to estimate the overall CAL duration, and the log-rank test was used to compare statistical differences. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression models were used to identify variables related to the CAL duration.

RESULTS

The median CAL duration was 46 days (95% confidence interval: 41-54 days). CALs were observed in 61.5, 41.5, 33.3, 22.3, 10.3, and 7.7% of the patients at 1 month, 2 months, 3 months, 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years after the onset of KD, respectively. Univariate Cox regression model showed that sex (p = 0.016), rash symptoms (p = 0.035), delayed IVIG treatment (p = 0.022), CAL type (p < 0.001), degree of CAL (p < 0.001), white blood cell count before IVIG treatment (p = 0.019), and platelet count after IVIG treatment (p = 0.003) were statistically significant factors associated with the overall CAL duration. Multivariable Cox regression showed that delayed IVIG treatment (p = 0.020), multiple dilatations (p < 0.001), a greater degree of dilatation (p < 0.001), and higher platelet count after IVIG treatment (p = 0.007) were positively related to CAL duration.

CONCLUSIONS

CAL duration was affected by delayed IVIG treatment, type of CAL, degree of CAL, and platelet count after IVIG treatment. These factors should be monitored carefully during the follow-up and management of patients with KD and CAL.

Is there an association between intravenous immunoglobulin resistance and coronary artery lesion in Kawasaki disease?-Current evidence based on a meta-analysis

Background

Coronary artery lesion (CAL) caused by Kawasaki disease (KD) is a leading cause of acquired heart disease in children. Initial treatment of intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) can reduce the incidence of CAL. Although most of the current studies have shown a certain correlation between CAL and IVIG resistance, the conclusions are not completely consistent. Thus, we performed this meta-analysis to evaluate the association between IVIG resistance and CAL in KD.

Methods

PubMed, EMBASE, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, and China National Knowledge Infrastructure through April 21, 2020 were searched to detect relevant studies. Data analysis was performed with STATA 15.1.

Results

A total of 53 relevant studies were eligible to this analysis, including 30312 KD patients, of which 4750 were IVIG resistance and 25562 were responders. There was a significant difference found between IVIG resistance and IVIG response groups in the incidence of CAL (P < 0.001, odds ratio (OR), 3.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) (3.18, 4.75)). The heterogeneity test results showed that the I² value was 74.8%. The meta-regression analysis showed that the study regions might be the sources of heterogeneity. The subgroup analysis suggested that the incidence of CAL in the IVIG resistance group was still higher than that in the IVIG response group under different regions, IVIG resistance diagnostic criteria, CAL diagnostic criteria, and study types. Meanwhile, the sensitivity analysis did not find any significant impact from every single study.

Conclusions

This is the first meta-analysis to reveal the incidence of CAL was associated with IVIG resistance in KD patients. Further well-designed studies with uniform criteria are needed to evaluate the incidence of CAL in IVIG resistant patients.

Cardiac manifestations in SARS-CoV-2-associated multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children: a comprehensive review and proposed clinical approach

Initial reports on COVID-19 described children as largely spared from severe manifestations, with only 2-6% of children requiring intensive care treatment. However, since mid-April 2020, clusters of pediatric cases of severe systemic hyperinflammation and shock epidemiologically linked with COVID-19 have been reported. This condition was named as SARS-Cov-2-associated multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children and showed similarities to Kawasaki disease. Here, we present a narrative review of cases reported in literature and we discuss the clinical acute and follow-up management of these patients. Patients with SARS-Cov-2-associated multisystem inflammatory syndrome frequently presented with persistent fever, gastrointestinal symptoms, polymorphic rash, conjunctivitis, and mucosal changes. Elevated inflammatory markers and evidence of cytokine storm were frequently observed. A subset of these patients also presented with hypotension and shock (20-100%) from either acute myocardial dysfunction or systemic hyperinflammation/vasodilation. Coronary artery dilation or aneurysms have been described in 6-24%, and arrhythmias in 7-60%. Cardiac support, immunomodulation, and anticoagulation are the key aspects for the management of the acute phase. Long-term structured follow-up of these patients is required due to the unclear prognosis and risk of progression of cardiac manifestations.Conclusion: Multisystem inflammatory syndrome is a novel syndrome related to SARS-CoV-2 infection. Evidence is still scarce but rapidly emerging in the literature. Cardiac manifestations are frequent, including myocardial and coronary involvement, and need to be carefully identified and monitored over time. What is Known: • Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children (MIS-C) has been described associated with SARS-CoV-2. What is New: • Patients with MIS-C often present with fever, gastrointestinal symptoms, and shock. • Cardiac involvement is found in a high proportion of these patients, including ventricular dysfunction, coronary artery dilation or aneurysm, and arrhythmias. • Management is based on expert consensus and includes cardiac support, immunomodulatory agents, and anticoagulation. • Long-term follow-up is required due to the unclear prognosis and risk of progression of cardiac manifestation.

Prediction of Coronary Artery Aneurysms in Children With Kawasaki Disease Before Starting Initial Treatment

Background: Precisely predicting coronary artery aneurysms (CAAs) remains a clinical challenge. We aimed to investigate whether coronary dimensions adjusted for body surface area (Z scores) on baseline echocardiography and clinical variables before primary treatment could predict the presence of late CAAs. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study including children hospitalized for Kawasaki disease and received intravenous immunoglobulin within 10 days of illness. We defined late CAAs as a maximum Z score (Zmax) ≥2.5 of the left main, right, or left anterior descending coronary artery at 11-60 days of illness. Associations between late CAAs and clinical parameters and baseline maximum Z scores were analyzed. Results: Among the 314 included children, 31 (9.9%) had late CAAs. Male, higher C-reactive protein, and higher baseline Zmax were risk factors of late CAAs. Late CAAs were significantly associated with baseline Zmax ≥2.0 vs. <2.0 (25 [32.5%] vs. 6 [2.5%], P < 0.001). The odds ratio for late CAAs among the patients with baseline Zmax ≥2.0 vs. <2.0 was 18.5 (95% confidence interval, 7.23 to 47.41, P < 0.001). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of baseline Zmax ≥2.0 for the presence of later CAAs were 80.6, 81.6, 32.5, and 97.5%, respectively. Conclusions: Findings from this study suggest that Zmax ≥2.0 of coronary arteries on baseline echocardiography may be used to predict children at a high risk of late CAAs and allow for targeted early intensification therapy.

Value of serial echocardiography in diagnosing Kawasaki's disease

Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute vasculitis predominantly affecting the small arteries of young children. Up to 25% of untreated patients suffer from coronary artery (CA) complications. Early diagnosis and treatment is mandatory in incomplete KD to reduce the risk of coronary involvement. Between 2002 and 2018, 124 patients have been diagnosed suffering from KD at the University Children's Hospital Regensburg (KUNO). We assessed luminal diameters of both CAs normalized as Z-scores by 2D-echocardiography. A total of 94 patients were analyzed. Of them, 31 (33%) were affected by an incomplete form of KD. In 24 children (26%), serial echocardiography was necessary in order to confirm diagnosis. Mean Z-scores for the left main coronary artery (LMCA), right main coronary artery (RMCA), and left anterior descending artery increased significantly between the initial (LMCA 0.79z, RMCA 0.15z, LAD 0.49z) and second (LMCA 1.69z, RMCA 0.99z, LAD 1.69z) examination (p < 0.05).Conclusion:To confirm diagnosis of KD, it might not be necessary to detect dilation or aneurysms. Our observation suggests that patients suspected having KD should be monitored with serial echocardiography in order to detect a possible enlargement of the CA diameters, even if Z-scores are within the normal range. What is Known: • Kawasaki disease (KD) is an acute vasculitis predominantly affecting the small arteries of young children. Up to 25% of untreated patients suffer from coronary artery (CA) complications. • Due to less classic clinical criteria in patients with incomplete KD, the risk for CA pathology is even higher. What is New: • A significant progression of patients' CA Z-scores in serial echocardiographic measurements may be helpful to ensure diagnosis of KD early even if Z-scores are within the normal range. • Twenty-seven patients (90%) with incomplete KD could be diagnosed within 10 days of fever, early enough to prevent significantly higher rates of CA aneurysm.