Vulnerabilities for Exposure to Emerging Infectious Disease at Urban Settlements in Nepal

Mathematical Model of the Spread of Hantavirus Infection

A mathematical epidemiological model incorporating the mobility of rodents and human groups among zones of less or major contact between them is presented. The hantavirus infection dynamics is expressed using a model type SEIR (Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Removed), which incorporates the displacement of the rodent and the human, between the urban and rural sector, the latter being subdivided in populated and non-populated. The results show the impact that rodent or human displacement may have on the propagation of hantavirus infection. Human mobility is more significant than rodents in increasing the number of hantavirus infection cases. The results found may be used as a reference by the health authorities to develop more specific campaigns on the territorial dynamics of the rodent, attend to the mobility of humans in these territories, mainly agricultural and forestry workers, and strengthen control-prevention actions in the community, to prevent future outbreaks that are fatal.

Social determinants of health and the double burden of disease in Nepal: a secondary analysis

Background

As the global burden of disease evolves, lower-resource countries like Nepal face a double burden of non-communicable and infectious disease. Rapid adaptation is required for Nepal’s health system to provide life-long, person-centred care while simultaneously improving quality of infectious disease services. Social determinants of health be key in addressing health disparities and could direct policy decisions to promote health and manage the disease burden. Thus, we explore the association of social determinants with the double burden of disease in Nepal.

Methods

This is a retrospective, ecological, cross-sectional analysis of infectious and non-communicable disease outcome data (2017 to 2019) and data on social determinants of health (2011 to 2013) for 753 municipalities in Nepal. Multinomial logistic regression was conducted to evaluate the associations between social determinants and disease burden.

Results

The ‘high-burden’ combined double burden (non-communicable and infectious disease) outcome was associated with more accessible municipalities, (adjOR3.94[95%CI2.94–5.28]), municipalities with higher proportions of vaccine coverage (adjOR12.49[95%CI3.05–51.09]) and malnutrition (adjOR9.19E103[95%CI19.68E42-8.72E164]), lower average number of people per household (adjOR0.32[95%CI0.22–0.47]) and lower indigenous population (adjOR0.20[95%CI0.06–0.65]) compared to the ‘low-burden’ category on multivariable analysis. ‘High-burden’ of non-communicable disease was associated with more accessible municipalities (adjOR1.93[95%CI1.45–2.57]), higher female proportion within the municipality (adjOR1.69E8[95%CI3227.74–8.82E12]), nutritional deficiency (adjOR1.39E17[95%CI11799.83–1.64E30]) and malnutrition (adjOR2.17E131[95%CI4.41E79-1.07E183]) and lower proportions of population under five years (adjOR1.05E-10[95%CI9.95E-18–0.001]), indigenous population (adjOR0.32[95%CI0.11–0.91]), average people per household (adjOR0.44[95%CI0.26–0.73]) and households with no piped water (adjOR0.21[95%CI0.09–0.49]), compared to the ‘low-burden’ category on adjusted analysis. ‘High burden’ of infectious disease was also associated with more accessible municipalities (adjOR4.29[95%CI3.05–6.05]), higher proportions of population under five years (adjOR3.78E9[95%CI9418.25–1.51E15]), vaccine coverage (adjOR25.42[95%CI7.85–82.29]) and malnutrition (adjOR4.29E41[95%CI12408.29–1.48E79]) and lower proportions of households using firewood as fuel (adjOR0.39[95%CI0.20–0.79]) (‘moderate-burden’ category only) compared to ‘low-burden’.

Conclusions

While this study produced imprecise estimates and cannot be interpreted for individual risk, more accessible municipalities were consistently associated with higher disease burden than remote areas. Female sex, lower average number per household, non-indigenous population and poor nutrition were also associated with higher burden of disease and offer targets to direct interventions to reduce the burden of infectious and non-communicable disease and manage the double burden of disease in Nepal.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12889-022-13905-3.

Genetic and biological characterization of feline foamy virus isolated from a leopard cat (Prionailurus bengalensis) in Vietnam

Foamy viruses have been isolated from various mammals and show long-term co-speciation with their hosts. However, the frequent inter-species transmission of feline foamy viruses (FFVs) from domestic cats to wild cats across genera has been reported. Because infectious molecular clones of FFVs derived from wild cats have not been available, whether there are specific characteristics enabling FFVs to adapt to the new host species is still unknown. Here, we obtained the complete genome sequences of two FFV isolates (strains NV138 and SV201) from leopard cats (Prionailurus bengalensis) in Vietnam and constructed an infectious molecular clone, named pLC960, from strain NV138. The growth kinetics of the virus derived from pLC960 were comparable to those of other FFVs derived from domestic cats. Phylogenetic analysis revealed that these two FFVs from leopard cats are clustered in the same clade as FFVs from domestic cats in Vietnam. Comparisons of the amino acid sequences of Env and Bet proteins showed more than 97% identity among samples and no specific amino acid substitutions between FFVs from domestic cats and ones from leopard cats. These results indicate the absence of genetic constraint of FFVs for interspecies transmission from domestic cats to leopard cats.