Epidemiology of hip fracture in Botswana

Prevalence of HIV-associated osteoporosis and fracture risk in midlife women: a cross-sectional study in Zimbabwe

Antiretroviral therapy roll-out has dramatically reduced HIV-related mortality; more women are living to reach menopause. Menopausal estrogen loss causes bone loss, as does HIV and some of its treatments. However, data describing HIV's impact on osteoporosis prevalence and fracture risk are scarce in southern Africa. A cross-sectional study of women aged 40-60 years (49% women with HIV [WLH]) was conducted in Harare, Zimbabwe. Menopause, fracture, and HIV history were collected, and anthropometry and BMD (by DXA) measured, and FRAX 10-year fracture probabilities quantified. The FRAX probability of a major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) included HIV as a risk factor for secondary osteoporosis. Linear and Poisson regression determined the relationships between clinical risk factors and both femoral neck (FN) BMD and the 10-year FRAX probability of MOF respectively. The 393 participants had a mean (SD) age of 49.6 (5.8) years and mean (SD) BMI of 29.1 (6.0) kg/m2. 95% of WLH were antiretroviral therapy (ART) established (85% tenofovir disoproxil fumarate) and 81% had a viral load <50 copies/mL. A BMD T-score ≤ -2.5 was more common in WLH than those without, at both FN and lumbar spine (LS) (FN, 22 [11.4%] vs 5 [2.5%]; LS, 40 [20.8%] vs 9 [4.5%], respectively). Prior fracture was more prevalent in WLH: any fracture type (27 [14%] vs 14 [7%]); MOF (14 [7.3%] vs 5 [2.5%]). WLH had a higher 10-year MOF probability (median, 1.2%; IQR, 0.9-1.8) compared with those without HIV (1.0%; IQR, 0.9-1.5) (p < .001), although probabilities were low. Older age, low weight, and HIV infection were strongly associated with lower FN BMD. Higher probability of MOF was associated with older age, HIV infection, parental hip fracture and prior fracture, although adjustment attenuated the association with HIV. No woman reported anti-osteoporosis medication use. While osteoporosis and previous fractures were common and untreated in this relatively young population, particularly in WLH, the FRAX-predicted 10-year MOF risk was low. Clinical risk factors considered in fracture risk prediction tools in Zimbabwe may need contextual modification.

Epidemiology of fractures in adults of African ancestry with diabetes mellitus: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is associated with increased fracture risk in White adults. However, the impact of DM on fractures in Black adults is unknown. This systematic review and meta-analysis investigated the association between DM and fractures in adults of African ancestry. MEDLINE, Scopus, CINAHL and Embase databases were searched from their inception up to November 2023 for all studies in the English language investigating the epidemiology of fractures (prevalence, incidence, or risk) in Black men and women (age ≥ 18 years) with type 1 or type 2 DM. Effect sizes for prevalence of previous fractures (%) and incident fracture risk (hazard ratio [HR]) were calculated using a random-effects model on Stata (version 18.0). There were 13 eligible studies, of which 12 were conducted in Black adults from the United States, while one was conducted in adults of West African ancestry from Trinidad and Tobago. We found no fracture data in Black adults with DM living in Africa. Five studies were included in a meta-analysis of incident fracture risk, reporting data from 2926 Black and 6531 White adults with DM. There was increased risk of fractures in Black adults with DM compared to non-DM (HR = 1.65; 95 % confidence interval [CI]: 1.14, 2.39). The risk of fractures was also higher in White adults with DM compared to non-DM (HR = 1.31; 95 % CI: 1.06, 1.61) among these studies. Five studies were included in a meta-analysis of fracture prevalence, of which three also reported fracture prevalence in White adults. There were 175 previous fractures among 993 Black adults with DM and 384 previous fractures among 1467 White adults with DM, with a pooled prevalence of 17.5 % (95 % CI: 15.4, 19.6) and 25.8 % (95 % CI: 4.8, 46.8), respectively. Our results indicate a high burden of fractures in Black adults with DM.

Risk prediction models for postoperative delirium in elderly patients with fragility hip fracture: A systematic review and critical appraisal

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients with fragility hip fracture continue to experience a high rate of postoperative delirium (POD), which has a significant negative impact on prognosis and imposes a huge economic burden. A number of risk prediction models have been developed to detect POD early. However, the risk of bias and clinical applicability of the models remain unclear. The aim of this study was to systematically evaluate risk prediction models for POD.

METHODS

CNKI, WanFang DATA, Vip Database, SinoMed, PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and the Cochrane Library were searched for studies published by July 2023. The literature was screened independently by two investigators. The Checklist for Critical Appraisal and Data Extraction for Systematic Reviews of Prediction Modeling Studies (CHARMS) and the Prediction Model Risk of Bias Assessment Tool (PROBAST) were respectively used for data extraction, risk of bias, and applicability assessment.

RESULTS

A total of 16 studies on the construction of POD risk prediction models were included. The area under the ROC curve of the models ranges from 0.670 to 0.957. The most common predictors of POD included age, history of dementia, history of delirium, ASA classification, preoperative waiting time, and preoperative albumin level. All models had a high risk of bias, mainly due to inadequate sample size, inappropriate handling of missing data, a lack of model performance evaluation, and overfitting of the models.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, risk prediction models for POD in fragility hip fracture patients are still in the development stage. The majority of POD prediction models have substantial bias risks, attributable primarily to poor reporting of analysis and evaluation of model performance. In future research, it is recommended to conduct validation of the models or develop localized prediction models with demonstrated high performance, with the aim of benefiting POD screening.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42023449153.

Risk factors for short-term mortality in elderly hip fracture patients with complicated heart failure in the ICU: A MIMIC-IV database analysis using nomogram

BACKGROUND

Hip fracture is a prevalent and hazardous injury among the elderly population that often results in intensive care unit (ICU) admission due to various complications, despite advanced medical science. One common complication experienced in the ICU by elderly hip fracture patients is heart failure, which significantly impacts short-term survival rates. Currently, there is a deficit of adequate predictive models to forecast the short-term risk of death following heart failure for elderly hip fracture patients in the ICU. This study aims to identify independent risk factors for all-cause mortality within 30 days for elderly patients with hip fractures and heart failure while in the ICU in order to develop a predictive model.

METHOD

A total of 641 elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure were recruited from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV dataset and randomized to the training and validation sets. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality within 30 days. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression was used to reduce data dimensionality and select features. Multivariate logistic regression was used to build predictive models. Consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA) were used to measure the predictive performance of the nomogram.

RESULT

Our results showed that these variables including MCH, MCV, INR, monocyte percentage, neutrophils percentage, creatinine, and combined sepsis were independent factors for death within 30 days in elderly patients with hip fracture combined with heart failure in the ICU. The C-index was 0.869 (95% CI 0.823-0.916) and 0.824 (95% CI 0.749-0.900) for the training and validation sets, respectively. The results of the area under the curve and decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed that the nomogram performed well in predicting elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure in the ICU.

CONCLUSION

We developed a new nomogram model for predicting 30-day all-cause mortality in elderly patients with hip fractures combined with heart failure in the ICU, which could be a valid and useful clinical tool for clinicians for targeted treatment and prognosis prediction.

Morbidity and mortality in hip surgery patients due to fracture during the COVID-19 pandemic

BACKGROUND

The COVID-19 epidemic generated major changes in general surgical management protocols. The literature has reported high mortality rates for hip fracture surgery in patients with COVID-19. This study describes the morbidity and mortality in patients undergoing surgery due to hip fractures in 12 Colombian institutions between March and September 2020.

METHODOLOGY

This was a retrospective observational descriptive study. Medical records of 12 hospitals were reviewed. Consecutive patients who underwent hip fracture surgery from March 6 to September 6, 2020, were included. Data collected were sociodemographic profile, type of fracture, surgical treatment, complications, and early (1 month) or mid-term (1-6 months) mortality associated or not with COVID-19.

RESULTS

Five hundred twenty patients with hip fractures requiring surgery in the 12 institutions were included. 364 (70%) were women; mean age was 77.7 years (SD: 13.8), mean BMI was 25.1, 91.73% of patients had at least one comorbidity, 60.38% were classified as ASA II and 25.77% as ASA III. There were 267 (51.34%) pertrochanteric fractures, 227 (43.65%) femoral neck fractures, and 26 (5.0%) subtrochanteric fractures. 274 (52.69%) patients were treated with osteosynthesis, 244 (46.92%) with arthroplasty, and 2 (0.38%) with girdlestone. Surgery was performed less than 24 h after the fracture for 115 (22.11%) patients, between 24 and 72 h for 208 (40.0%) patients, and more than 72 h for 197 (37.88%) patients. One hundred six patients in total suffered a medical or surgical complication throughout the different follow-up stages, amongst the most frequent were respiratory failure, coronary events, surgical site infection, cutting-out and peri‑implant fracture. 25 (4.8%) patients required attention in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). 13 patients had COVID-19 throughout the follow-up period. 27 patients died due to any cause, and 3 of them had reported a positive COVID-19 test any time during follow-up period, of which one died during the first month, and two died between 1 and 6 months. Statistically significant associations were found between age older than 75 years old, ASA classification, ICU requirement, and death.

CONCLUSION

520 patients received surgical treatment for hip fracture during the first six months of the COVID-19 pandemic in 12 medical centers in Colombia. 21.10% suffered a complication during the early stage (30 days) and 4.77% during the midterm stage (1-6 months). 4.8% were admitted in the ICU during the early stage. All-cause death was 27 patients, early death was 11 (40.74%) and midterm death was 16 (59.25%). 13 patients were positive for COVID-19, 3 died, one (1/5=20%) on the first 30 days and the other two (2/8=25%) from month 1 to 6.

A comprehensive review on the impact of calcium and vitamin D insufficiency and allied metabolic disorders in females

Calcium is imperative in maintaining a quality life, particularly during later ages. Its deficiency results in a wide range of metabolic disorders such as dental changes, cataracts, alterations in brain function, and osteoporosis. These deficiencies are more pronounced in females due to increased calcium turnover throughout their life cycle, especially during pregnancy and lactation. Vitamin D perform a central role in the metabolism of calcium. Recent scientific interventions have linked calcium with an array of metabolic disorders in females including hypertension, obesity, premenstrual dysphoric disorder, polycystic ovary syndrome (PCOS), multiple sclerosis, and breast cancer. This review encompasses these female metabolic disorders with special reference to calcium and vitamin D deficiency. This review article aims to present and elaborate on available data regarding the worldwide occurrence of insufficient calcium consumption in females and allied health risks, to provide a basis for formulating strategies and population-level scientific studies to adequately boost calcium intake and position where required.

Disparities in the Prevalence of Osteoporosis and Osteopenia in Men and Women Living in Sub-Saharan Africa, the UK, and the USA

PURPOSE

To review the rising prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis in sub-Saharan Africa and the challenges this poses to governments and healthcare services. Using existing studies, we compare the prevalence of osteopenia and osteoporosis in men and women from sub-Saharan Africa to US and UK cohorts. Context-specific disparities in healthcare are discussed particularly the challenges in diagnosis and treatment of osteoporosis.

RECENT FINDINGS

There are few epidemiological data describing the burden of osteoporosis in sub-Saharan Africa. In the studies and cohorts presented here, osteoporosis prevalence varies by sex, country and area of residence, but is generally higher in African populations, than has previously been appreciated. Risk factors contributing to poorer bone health include HIV, malnutrition and "inflammaging." Reprioritization towards care of ageing populations is urgently required. Equitable access to implementable preventative strategies, diagnostic services, treatments and pathways of care for bone health (for example embedded within HIV services) need now to be recognized and addressed by policy makers.

Epidemiology of elderly fractures in a tertiary hospital in Northern Ghana: a 3-year retrospective descriptive review

PURPOSE

The incidence of elderly fractures is closely related to the increasing proportion of the elderly population in sub-Saharan Africa, making it a relevant public health concern. Epidemiological profiles of these fractures and treatment options are necessary for resource-poor settings to optimise planning and patient care.

METHODS

A retrospective descriptive cross-sectional study was conducted at Tamale Teaching Hospital. Data of 69 elderly patients (60 years and above) with fractures admitted to the trauma and orthopaedic unit from January 2017 to December 2019 were collected. Simple descriptive and bivariate analysis was conducted on some variables, whereas the Chi-square was used to test for some associations for categorical data.

RESULTS

The mean age of the study participants was 70.3(± 8.6). Elderly males (55.1%) were three times more likely to sustain fractures than females. The primary mechanism of injury was a road traffic accident (RTA) (59.4%), followed by falls from slips (29.0%). There was a significant association between gender and mechanisms (RTA and Falls from slips) of injury (p = 0.002). The most fractured bone was the femur (50.7%). Hip fractures (33.3%) were more common among females than males and mainly among the (71-80) age group. Open fractures were more common among males than females.

CONCLUSION

RTAs were the most typical cause of fractures in the elderly. Contrary to other studies, males were more commonly involved in accidents than females, albeit females were the majority for hip fractures. Therefore, significant public health policies with resource allocation should address the unmet health needs of this unique age group in our growing populations in low- and middle-income countries.

Incidence and number of fragility fractures of the hip in South Africa: estimated projections from 2020 to 2050

Sub-Saharan Africa is undergoing rapid population ageing and better understanding of the burden of musculoskeletal conditions is needed. We have estimated a large increase in the burden of hip fractures for South Africa over the coming decades. These findings should support preparation of hip fracture services to meet this demand.

INTRODUCTION

A better understanding of the burden of fragility fractures in sub-Saharan Africa is needed to inform healthcare planning. We aimed to use recent hip fracture incidence data from South Africa (SA) to estimate the future burden of hip fracture for the country over the next three decades.

METHODS

Hip fracture incidence data within the Gauteng, KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape provinces of SA were obtained from patients aged ≥ 40 years with a radiograph-confirmed hip fracture in one of 94 included hospitals. Age-, sex- and ethnicity-specific incidence rates were generated using the 2011 SA census population for the study areas. Incidence rates were standardised to United Nations (UN) population projections, for the years 2020, 2030, 2040 and 2050, and absolute numbers of hip fractures derived.

RESULTS

The 2767 hip fracture patients studied had mean (SD) age 73.7 (12.7) years; 69% were female. Estimated age- and ethnicity-standardised incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years) for the overall SA population in 2020 were 81.2 for females and 43.1 for males. Overall projected incidence rates were discernibly higher by the year 2040 and increased further by the year 2050 (109.0 and 54.1 for females and males, respectively). Estimates of the overall annual number of hip fractures for SA increased from approximately 11,000 in 2020 to approximately 26,400 by 2050.

CONCLUSION

The hip fracture burden for SA is expected to more than double over the next 30 years. Significant investment in fracture prevention services and inpatient fracture care is likely to be needed to meet this demand.

Determination of risk factors of postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fracture: What can we do?

BACKGROUND

Postoperative pneumonia is a serious complication in elderly patients with hip fracture. It is necessary to identify the influencing factors of postoperative pneumonia in patients with hip fracture.

METHODS

Elderly patients with hip fractures admitted to a tertiary hospital in China from January 1, 2020 to August 31, 2021 were included. The characteristics of patients with and without postoperative pneumonia were evaluated and compared. Logistic multivariate regression analyses were conducted to assess the risk factors of postoperative pneumonia.

RESULTS

267 patients with hip fracture were included, the incidence of postoperative pneumonia in patients with hip fracture was 13.11%. There were significant differences in the age, diabetes mellitus, anemia, hypoalbuminemia, anesthesia method and duration of surgery between infection and no infection group, no significant differences in the gender, BMI, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, type of fracture, preoperative oxygen saturation, white blood cell count, platelet count, red blood cell count, creatinine, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, estimated blood loss during surgery were detected between infection and no infection group. Logistic regression analysis showed that age≥70y (OR2.326, 95%CI1.248~3.129), diabetes mellitus (OR2.123, 95%CI1.021~3.551), anemia (OR3.199,95%CI1.943~5.024), hypoalbuminemia (OR2.377, 95%CI1.211~3.398), general anesthesia (OR1.947, 95%CI1.115~3.038), duration of surgery≥120min (OR1.621, 95%CI1.488~2.534) were the risk factors of postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fracture (all p<0.05). Escherichia Coli (33.33%), Klebsiella pneumoniae (28.57%), Staphylococcus aureus (21.43%) were the most common bacteria of pulmonary infection.

CONCLUSION

There are many risk factors for postoperative pneumonia in elderly patients with hip fractures after surgery. In clinical practice, medical workers should take targeted interventions for those risk factors to reduce postoperative pneumonia.

Calcium deficiency worldwide: prevalence of inadequate intakes and associated health outcomes

Dietary calcium deficiency is considered to be widespread globally, with published estimates suggesting that approximately half of the world's population has inadequate access to dietary calcium. Calcium is essential for bone health, but inadequate intakes have also been linked to other health outcomes, including pregnancy complications, cancers, and cardiovascular disease. Populations in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are at greatest risk of low calcium intakes, although many individuals in high-income countries (HICs) also do not meet recommendations. Paradoxically, many LMICs with lower calcium intakes show lower rates of osteoporotic fracture as compared with HICs, though data are sparse. Calcium intake recommendations vary across agencies and may need to be customized based on other dietary factors, health-related behaviors, or the risk of calcium-related health outcomes. The lack of standard methods to assess the calcium status of an individual or population has challenged efforts to estimate the prevalence of calcium deficiency and the global burden of related adverse health consequences. This paper aims to consolidate available evidence related to the global prevalence of inadequate calcium intakes and associated health outcomes, with the goal of providing a foundation for developing policies and population-level interventions to safely improve calcium intake and status where necessary.

Incidence of hip fracture in Saudi Arabia and the development of a FRAX model

A prospective hospital-based survey in representative regions of Saudi Arabia determined the incidence of fractures at the hip. The hip fracture rates were used to create a FRAX® model to facilitate fracture risk assessment in Saudi Arabia.

OBJECTIVE

This paper describes the incidence of hip fracture in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia that was used to characterize the current and future burden of hip fracture, to develop a country-specific FRAX® tool for fracture prediction and to compare fracture probabilities with neighbouring countries.

METHODS

During a 2-year (2017/2018) prospective survey in 15 hospitals with a defined catchment population, hip fractures in Saudi citizens were prospectively identified from hospital registers. The number of hip fractures and future burden was determined from national demography. Age- and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture and national mortality rates were incorporated into a FRAX model for Saudi Arabia. Fracture probabilities were compared with those from Kuwait and Abu Dhabi.

RESULTS

The incidence of hip fracture applied nationally suggested that the estimated number of hip fractures nationwide in persons over the age of 50 years for 2015 was 2,949 and is predicted to increase nearly sevenfold to 20,328 in 2050. Hip fracture rates were comparable with estimates from Abu Dhabi and Kuwait. By contrast, probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture or hip fracture from the age of 70 years were much lower than those seen in Abu Dhabi and Kuwait due to higher mortality estimates for Saudi Arabia.

CONCLUSION

A country-specific FRAX tool for fracture prediction has been developed for Saudi Arabia which is expected to help guide decisions about treatment.

Epidemiology of hip fracture in Qatar and development of a country specific FRAX model

Hip fracture data were retrieved from electronical medical records for the years 2017-2019 in the State of Qatar and used to create a FRAX® model to facilitate fracture risk assessment. Hip fracture rates were comparable with estimates from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi, and Kuwait but fracture probabilities varied due to differences in mortality.

OBJECTIVE

This paper describes the epidemiology of osteoporotic fractures in the State of Qatar that was used to develop the country-specific fracture prediction FRAX® tool.

METHODS

Hip fracture data were retrieved from electronic medical records for the years 2017-2019 in the State of Qatar. The age and sex specific incidence of hip fracture in Qatari residents and national mortality rates were used to create a FRAX® model. Fracture probabilities were compared with those from neighboring countries having FRAX models.

RESULTS

Hip fracture rates were comparable with estimates from Saudi Arabia, Abu Dhabi and Kuwait. In contrast, probabilities of a major osteoporotic fracture or hip fracture were lower in Qatar than in Kuwait but higher than those in Abu Dhabi and Saudi Arabia due to differences in mortality.

CONCLUSION

The FRAX model should enhance accuracy of determining fracture probability among the Qatari population and help guide decisions about treatment.

A country-specific FRAX model for Botswana

INTRODUCTION

Hip fracture rates in Botswana were used to create a FRAX® model for fracture risk assessment.

OBJECTIVE

This paper describes the development and characteristics of a country-specific FRAX model for Botswana.

METHODS

Age-specific and sex-specific incidence of hip fracture and national mortality rates was incorporated into a FRAX model for Botswana. Ten-year fracture probabilities were compared with those from African countries having a FRAX model and African Americans from the USA.

RESULTS

The probabilities of hip fracture and major osteoporotic fracture were low compared with those from South Africa (Black and Coloured) and US Blacks. Probabilities were marginally higher than for Tunisia.

CONCLUSION

The creation of a FRAX model is expected to help guide decisions about the prevention and treatment of fragility fractures in Botswana.