Nationwide cardiovascular disease admission rates during a second COVID-19 lockdown

An Interrupted Time-Series Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19 on Hospitalizations for Vascular Events in 3 Canadian Provinces

Background

COVID-19 infection is associated with a pro-coagulable state, thrombosis, and cardiovascular events. However, its impact on population-based rates of vascular events is less well understood. We studied temporal trends in hospitalizations for stroke and myocardial infarction in 3 Canadian provinces (Alberta, Ontario, and Nova Scotia) between 2014 and 2022.

Methods

Linked administrative data from each province were used to identify admissions for ischemic stroke, intracerebral hemorrhage, cerebral venous thrombosis, and myocardial infarction. Event rates per 100,000/quarter, standardized to the 2016 Canadian population, were calculated. We assessed changes from quarterly rates pre-pandemic (2014-2020), compared to rates in the pandemic period (2020-2022), using interrupted time-series analysis with a jump discontinuity at pandemic onset. Age group- and sex-stratified analyses also were performed.

Results

We identified 162,497 strokes and 243,182 myocardial infarctions. At pandemic onset, no significant step change in strokesper 100,000/quarter was observed in any of the 3 provinces. During the pandemic, stroke rates were stable in Alberta and Ontario, but they increased in Nova Scotia (0.44 per 100,000/quarter, P = 0.004). At pandemic onset, a significant step decrease occurred in myocardial infarctions per 100,000/quarter in Alberta (4.72, P < 0.001) and Ontario (4.84, P < 0.001), but not in Nova Scotia. During the pandemic, myocardial infarctions per 100,000/quarter decreased in Alberta (-0.34, P = 0.01), but they remained stable in Ontario and Nova Scotia. No consistent patterns by age group or sex were noted.

Conclusions

Hospitalization rates for stroke or myocardial infarction across 3 Canadian provinces did not increase substantially during the first 2 years of the pandemic. Continued surveillance is warranted as the virus becomes endemic.

Frailty, Treatments, and Outcomes in Older Patients With Myocardial Infarction: A Nationwide Registry-Based Study

Background Guidelines recommend that patients with myocardial infarction (MI) receive equal care regardless of age. However, withholding treatment may be justified in elderly and frail patients. This study aimed to investigate trends in treatments and outcomes of older patients with MI according to frailty. Methods and Results All patients aged ≥75 years with first-time MI during 2002 to 2021 were identified through Danish nationwide registries. Frailty was categorized using the Hospital Frailty Risk Score. One-year risk and hazard ratios (HRs) for days 0 to 28 and 29 to 365 were calculated for all-cause death. A total of 51 022 patients with MI were included (median, 82 years; 50.2% women). Intermediate/high frailty increased from 26.7% in 2002 to 2006 to 37.1% in 2017 to 2021. Use of treatment increased substantially regardless of frailty: for example, 28.1% to 48.0% (statins), 21.8% to 33.7% (dual antiplatelet therapy), and 7.6% to 28.0% (percutaneous coronary intervention) for high frailty (all P-trend <0.001). One-year death decreased for low frailty (35.1%-17.9%), intermediate frailty (49.8%-31.0%), and high frailty (62.8%-45.6%), all P-trend <0.001. Age- and sex-adjusted 29- to 365-day HRs (2017-2021 versus 2002-2006) were 0.53 (0.48-0.59), 0.62 (0.55-0.70), and 0.62 (0.46-0.83) for low, intermediate, and high frailty, respectively (P-interaction=0.23). When additionally adjusted for treatment, HRs attenuated to 0.74 (0.67-0.83), 0.83 (0.74-0.94), and 0.78 (0.58-1.05), respectively, indicating that increased use of treatment may account partially for the observed improvements. Conclusions Use of guideline-based treatments and outcomes improved concomitantly in older patients with MI, irrespective of frailty. These results indicate that guideline-based management of MI may be reasonable in the elderly and frail.

Changes in the care of acute cerebrovascular and cardiovascular conditions during the first year of the covid-19 pandemic in 746 hospitals in the USA: retrospective analysis

Objective

To measure the impact of the covid-19 pandemic on admissions to hospital and interventions for acute ischemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction.

Design

A retrospective analysis.

Setting

746 qualifying hospitals in the USA from the Premier Healthcare Database.

Participants

Patients aged 18 years and older who were admitted to hospital with a primary diagnosis of acute ischemic stroke or acute myocardial infarction between 1 March 2019 and 28 February 2021.

Main outcome measures

Relative changes in volumes were assessed for acute ischemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction hospital admissions as well as intravenous thrombolysis, mechanical thrombectomy, and percutaneous coronary intervention (overall and for acute myocardial infarction only) across the first year of the pandemic versus the prior year. Mortality in hospital and length of stay in hospital were also compared across the first year of the pandemic versus the corresponding period the year prior. These metrics were explored across the different pandemic waves.

Results

Among 746 qualifying hospitals, admissions to hospital were significantly reduced after the covid-19 pandemic compared with before the pandemic for acute ischemic stroke (-13.59% (95% confidence interval-13.77% to -13.41%) and acute myocardial infarction (-17.20% (-17.39% to -17.01%)), as well as intravenous thrombolysis (-9.47% (-9.99% to -9.02%)), any percutaneous coronary intervention (-17.89% (-18.06% to -17.71%)), and percutaneous coronary intervention for acute myocardial infarction (-14.36% (-14.59% to -14.12%)). During the first year of the pandemic versus the previous year, the odds of mortality in hospital for acute ischemic stroke were 9.00% higher (3.51% v 3.16%; ratio of the means 1.09 (95% confidence interval (1.03 to 1.15); P=0.0013) and for acute myocardial infarction were 18.00% higher (4.81% v 4.29%; ratio of the means 1.18 (1.13 to 1.23); P<0.0001).

Conclusions

We observed substantial decreases in admissions to hospital with acute ischemic stroke and acute myocardial infarction, but an increase in mortality in hospital throughout the first year of the pandemic. Public health interventions are needed to prevent these reductions in future pandemics.

Acute COVID-19 Management in Heart Failure Patients: A Specific Setting Requiring Detailed Inpatient and Outpatient Hospital Care

The relationship existing between heart failure (HF) and COVID-19 remains questioned and poorly elucidated. Many reports suggest that HF events are reduced during pandemics, although other studies have demonstrated higher mortality and sudden death in patients affected by HF. Several vascular, thrombotic, and respiratory features may deteriorate stable HF patients; therefore, the infection may directly cause direct myocardial damage, leading to cardiac function deterioration. Another concern is related to the possibility that antiviral, anti-inflammatory, and corticosteroid agents commonly employed during acute COVID-19 infection may have potentially deleterious effects on the cardiovascular (CV) system. For these reasons, HF patients deserve specific management with a tailored approach in order to avoid arrhythmic complications and fluid retention events. In this review, we describe the complex interplay between COVID-19 and HF, the evolving trend of infection with related CV events, and the specific management strategy to adopt in this setting.

Impact of Nationwide COVID-19 Lockdowns on the Implantation Rate of Cardiac Implantable Electronic Devices

AIM

The COVID-19 pandemic resulted in a significant decrease in the number of hospital admissions for severe emergent cardiovascular diseases during lockdowns worldwide. This study aimed to determine the impact of both the first and the second Danish nationwide lockdown on the implantation rate of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs).

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed the number of CIED implantations performed in Denmark and stratified them into 3-week intervals.

RESULTS

The total number of de novo CIED implantations decreased during the first lockdown by 15.5% and during the second by 5.1%. Comparing each 3-week interval using rate ratios, a significant decrease in the daily rates of the total number of de novo and replacement CIEDs (0.82, 95% CI [0.70, 0.96]), de novo CIEDs only (0.82, 95% CI [0.69, 0.98]), and non-acute pacemaker implantations (0.80, 95% CI [0.63, 0.99]) was observed during the first interval of the first lockdown. During the second lockdown (third interval), a significant decrease was seen in the daily rates of de novo CIEDs (0.73, 95% CI [0.55, 0.97]), and of pacemakers in total during both the second (0.78, 95% CI [0.62, 0.97]) and the third (0.60, 95% CI [0.42, 0.85]) intervals. Additionally, the daily rates of acute pacemaker implantation decreased during the second interval (0.47, 95% CI [0.27, 0.79]) and of non-acute implantation during the third interval (0.57, 95% CI [0.38, 0.84]). A significant increase was observed in the number of replacement procedures during the first interval of the second lockdown (1.70, 95% CI [1.04, 2.85]).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found only modest changes in CIED implantations in Denmark during two national lockdowns.

The Peripandemic Impact of the First Wave of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Management and Prognosis of ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction in China

BACKGROUND

Rapid reperfusion of ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) has been challenging during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak. Whether and to what degree there will be a residual impact when the COVID-19 pandemic has passed is unclear.

METHODS

This nationwide retrospective study was based on electronic records of STEMI patients registered in the Chinese Cardiovascular Association Database.

RESULTS

We analyzed 141,375 STEMI patients (including 4871 patients in Hubei province, where 80% of COVID-19 cases in China occurred in 2019-2020) during the pre-outbreak (23 October 2019-22 January 2020), outbreak (23 January 2020-22 April 2020), and post-outbreak (23 April 2020-22 July 2020) periods. In the post-outbreak period in Hubei province, the increased in-hospital mortality dropped to become insignificant (adjusted odds ratio compared to the pre-outbreak level (aOR) 1.40, [95% confidential interval (CI): 0.97-2.03]) and was lower than that in the outbreak period (1.62 [1.09-2.41]). The decreased odds of primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) (0.73 [0.55-0.96]) and timely reperfusion (0.74 [0.62-0.88]) persisted, although they were substantially improved compared to the outbreak period (aOR of primary PCI: 0.23 [0.18-0.30] and timely reperfusion: 0.43 [0.35-0.53]). The residual impact of COVID-19 on STEMI in the post-outbreak period in non-Hubei provinces was insignificant.

CONCLUSIONS

Residual pandemic impacts on STEMI management persisted after the first wave of the COVID-19 outbreak in Hubei province, the earliest and hardest hit area in China.

Long-term mortality, cardiovascular events, and bleeding in stable patients 1 year after myocardial infarction: a Danish nationwide study

AIMS

Outcomes after myocardial infarction (MI) improved during recent decades alongside better risk factor management and implementation of guideline-recommended treatments. However, it is unknown whether this applies to stable patients who are event-free 1 year after MI.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using nationwide Danish registries, we included all patients with first-time MI during 2000-17 who survived 1 year free from bleeding and cardiovascular events (n = 82 108, median age 64 years, 68.2% male). Follow-up started 1 year after MI and continued through January 2022. Crude risks of mortality, cardiovascular events, and bleeding were estimated in consecutive 3-year periods. Standardized risks were calculated with respect to the distribution of age, sex, comorbidities, and treatments in the latter period. Guideline-recommended treatment use increased during the study period: e.g. statins (68.6-92.5%) and percutaneous coronary intervention (23.9-68.2%). The crude 5-year risks of outcomes decreased (all P-trend <0.001): Mortality, 18.6% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 17.9-19.2) to 12.5% (CI: 11.9-13.1); Recurrent MI, 7.5% (CI: 7.1-8.0) to 5.5% (CI: 5.1-6.0); Bleeding, 3.9% (CI: 3.6-4.3) to 2.7% (CI: 2.4-3.0). Crude 5-year risk of mortality in 2015-17 was as low as 2.6% for patients aged <60 years. Use of guideline-recommended treatments was associated with improved outcomes: After standardization for changes in treatments, 5-year risk of mortality in 2000-02 was 15.5% (CI: 14.9-16.2).

CONCLUSIONS

For patients who were event-free 1 year after MI, the long-term risks of mortality, cardiovascular events, and bleeding decreased significantly, along with an improved use of guideline-recommended treatments between 2000 and 2017. In the most recent period, 1 year after MI, the risk of additional events was lower than previously reported.

Stroke admissions during the COVID-19 pandemic: a single-center retrospective analysis

Background and aims

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic affected the organization of the healthcare system, and several studies analyzed the impact on hospitalization for non-COVID diseases, in particular during the first wave period. We sought to analyze the impact of the pandemic on stroke care in the province of Ferrara during a longer pandemic period and its different phases.

Methods

We retrospectively analyzed data of all patients with acute ischemic stroke admitted to the University Hospital of Ferrara from March 2020 to April 2021. Data were compared with nonpandemic reference periods (RP, March–April 2018 and 2019).

Results

We observed a 31% reduction in monthly admission rate for ischemic stroke (IRR 0.69; 95% CI 0.51–0.94) and monthly thrombolysis rate (IRR 0.3; 95% CI 0.15–0.66) during the first-COVID-wave (March–April 2020), as compared to RP. A nonsignificant difference was recorded for admission rate when comparing RP with subsequent pandemic phases, but the thrombolysis rate was confirmed reduced. A significant increase in onset to door time (OTD) was observed in the CP-I period (median 230 vs 120 in the RP; p < 0.05) with improvement in the subsequent phases but without returning to baseline. Nonsignificant differences in the thrombectomy rates were found over the study period.

Conclusion

These findings reflect changing patient attitudes during the COVID-19 pandemic or the success of health system and public health campaigns to reassure patients about the safety of seeking emergency care when needed, not only for more severe stroke symptoms.

The collateral damage of COVID-19 to cardiovascular services: a meta-analysis

AIMS

The effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on care and outcomes across non-COVID-19 cardiovascular (CV) diseases is unknown. A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed to quantify the effect and investigate for variation by CV disease, geographic region, country income classification and the time course of the pandemic.

METHODS AND RESULTS

From January 2019 to December 2021, Medline and Embase databases were searched for observational studies comparing a pandemic and pre-pandemic period with relation to CV disease hospitalisations, diagnostic and interventional procedures, outpatient consultations, and mortality. Observational data were synthesised by incidence rate ratios (IRR) and risk ratios (RR) for binary outcomes and weighted mean differences for continuous outcomes with 95% confidence intervals. The study was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42021265930). A total of 158 studies, covering 49 countries and 6 continents, were used for quantitative synthesis. Most studies (80%) reported information for high-income countries (HICs). Across all CV disease and geographies there were fewer hospitalisations, diagnostic and interventional procedures, and outpatient consultations during the pandemic. By meta-regression, in low-middle income countries (LMICs) compared to HICs the decline in ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) hospitalisations (RR 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.66-0.94) and revascularisation (RR 0.73, 95% CI 0.62-0.87) was more severe. In LMICs, but not HICs, in-hospital mortality increased for STEMI (RR 1.22, 95% CI 1.10-1.37) and heart failure (RR 1.08, 95% CI 1.04-1.12). The magnitude of decline in hospitalisations for CV diseases did not differ between the first and second wave.

CONCLUSIONS

There was substantial global collateral CV damage during the COVID-19 pandemic with disparity in severity by country income classification.

Ongoing COVID-19 Pandemic Effects on Admissions and In-Hospital Outcomes in Patients With ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI): An Albanian Observational Study

Background Multiple studies conducted worldwide and in Albania documented an important reduction of acute ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) admissions during the Coronavirus Disease 19 (COVID-19) pandemic. There are few studies regarding STEMI admissions and outcomes during the ongoing pandemic after the initial lockdown. We aimed to study STEMI admissions and in-hospital outcomes after the COVID-19 lockdown period. Methods A retrospective single-center study was conducted, collecting data for all consecutive STEMI admissions from March 9th, (the first COVID-19 case) until April 30th, the corresponding period of 2020 total lockdown, for years 2019 and 2021. The control period was considered the year 2019 [pre-pandemic (PP)] and the study period was in 2021 [ongoing pandemic (OP)]. The incidence rate ratio (IRR) 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to compare all-STEMI admissions, invasive procedures, and risk ratio (RR) 95% CI to compare the mortality and complications rate between the study and control period. Results The study included 217 STEMI patients admitted in 2019, and 234 patients during the 2021 period. The overall-STEMI admissions IRR is in a similar range during the 2021 OP compared to the 2019 PP period IRR=1.07 (95%CI 0.90-1.28). Similar invasive procedures were observed during OP compared to PP period, respectively for coronary-angiography IRR= 1.07; (0.87-1.31), for all-PCI [1.12 (0.92-1.35)], and primary percutaneous coronary interventions (PCI) [1.09 (0.89-1.34)]. The STEMI death rate during OP compared to PP period was similar (7.3 vs. 7.4%), RR=1.01 (0.53-1.96), and a non-significant lower primary-PCI-death rate (4.0 vs 4.8%), RR= 0.83 (0.30-2.3)]. Conclusions After the initial reduction of admissions and invasive procedures in STEMI patients during the 2020 lockdown period and the increase of all-STEMI mortality, the number of hospitalizations, invasive procedures, and mortality returned to a similar range during OP compared to the PP period despite a highly incident ongoing COVID-19 pandemic.

Co-Management of COVID-19 and Heart Failure During the COVID-19 Pandemic: Lessons Learned

The COVID pandemic has brought many new challenges worldwide, which has impacted on patients with chronic conditions. There is an increasing evidence base suggesting an interaction between chronic heart failure (HF) and COVID-19, and in turn the prognostic impact of co-existence of the two conditions. Patients with existing HF appear more prone to develop severe complications on contracting COVID-19, but the exact prevalence in patients with mild symptoms of COVID-19 not requiring hospital admission is poorly investigated. In addition, hospitalization rates for acute HF over the pandemic period appear reduced compared to previous periods. Several key issues remain rather unaddressed and, importantly, a specific algorithm focused on diagnostic differentiation between HF and acute respiratory distress syndrome, a severe complication of COVID-19, is still lacking. Furthermore, recent data suggests potential interaction existing between HF treatment and some anti-viral anti-inflammatory drugs prescribed during the infection, raising some doubts about a universal treatment strategy for all patients with COVID-19. With this manuscript, we aim to review the current literature in this field in light of growing understanding of COVID-19 in the setting of the HF population, its associated morbidity and mortality burden, and the impact on healthcare systems. We hope that this may stimulate a discussion to guarantee a better, more tailored delivery of care for patients with HF in the setting of concomitant COVID-19 infection.

Continuous Decline in Myocardial Infarction and Heart Failure Hospitalizations during the First 12 Months of the COVID-19 Pandemic in Israel

Background: A decline in cardiovascular hospitalizations was observed during the initial phases of the COVID-19 pandemic. We examine the continuous effect of the COVID-19 pandemic in reducing cardiovascular hospitalization and associated mortality rates during the first year of the pandemic in Israel. Methods: We conduct a retrospective cohort study using the data of Clalit Health Services, the largest healthcare organization in Israel. We divide the Corona year into six periods (three lockdowns and three post-lockdowns) and compare the incidence rates of cardiovascular hospitalizations and 30-day all-cause mortality during each period to the previous three years. Results: The number of non-STEMI hospitalizations during the first year of the pandemic was 13.7% lower than the average of the previous three years (95% CI 11–17%); STEMI hospitalizations were 15.7% lower (95% CI 13–19%); CHF (Congestive heart failure) hospitalizations were 23.9% lower (95%, CI 21–27%). No significant differences in 30-day all-cause mortality rates were observed among AMI (acute myocardial infarction) patients during most of the periods, whereas the annual 30-day all-cause mortality rate among CHF patients was 23% higher. Conclusions: AMI and CHF hospitalizations were significantly lower during the first year of the pandemic relative to 2017–9. Mortality rates were higher in the case of CHF patients but not in the case of AMI patients, possibly due to a change in the clinical acuity of patients arriving at the hospitals. We conclude that targeted public health messaging should be implemented together with proactive monitoring, in order to identify residual disability in patients who may have received non-optimal treatment during the pandemic.

Outcomes of prolonged dual anti-platelet therapy in patients with acute coronary syndrome undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention: A nationwide registry-based study

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials have shown a reduced risk of ischemic events and an increased risk of bleeding in patients treated with prolonged dual anti-platelet therapy (DAPT) beyond 12 months following acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We aimed to investigate outcomes of prolonged DAPT vs aspirin monotherapy (ASA) in a real-world population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Using nationwide registries, we identified all patients with ACS who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and received 12-month DAPT between January 2013 and October 2016. Patients still on DAPT were compared to patients on ASA at index date (15 months after ACS-date) and followed for up to 2 years. Cox regression models were employed to calculate standardized risks of all-cause mortality, major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE), and major bleeding. The study included 7,449 patients, 1,901 on DAPT (median age 66, 72.1% male) and 5,548 on ASA (median age 65, 75.1% male). Standardized absolute 2-year risk of all-cause mortality, MACE, and major bleeding was 2.7%, 3.7%, and 5.4% for DAPT vs 2.2%, 3.8%, and 1.3% for ASA. DAPT was not associated with a significant standardized 2-year risk difference (SRD) of all-cause mortality (SRD: 0.5%, 95% confidence interval [CI]: -0.9 to 1.7) or MACE (SRD: -0.1%, 95% CI -1.8 to 1.6), but a significantly higher risk of major bleeding (SRD: 4.1%, 95% CI 1.8-6.6).

CONCLUSIONS

In a nationwide cohort of ACS patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention, prolonged DAPT was not significantly associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality or MACE, but an increased risk of major bleeding. Future randomized controlled trials should investigate the optimal anti-platelet regimen in this patient group.