Trends in short-stay hospitalizations for older adults from 1990 to 2010: implications for geriatric emergency care

Protocol for developing a set of performance measures to monitor and evaluate delirium care quality for older adults in the emergency department using a modified e-Delphi process

INTRODUCTION

Older adults are at high risk of developing delirium in the emergency department (ED). Delirium associated with an ED visit is independently linked to poorer outcomes such as increased length of hospital stay and mortality. Performance measures (PMs) are needed to identify variations in the quality of delirium care to help focus improvement efforts where they are most needed. A preliminary list of 11 quality statements and 24 PMs was developed based on a synthesis of high-quality clinical practice guidelines. The purpose of this study is to gain consensus on a subset of PMs that can be used to evaluate delirium care quality for older ED patients.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This protocol for a modified e-Delphi study is informed by the Guidance on Conducting and REporting DElphi Studies. Clinical experts from across Canada and internationally will be recruited through peer referral, professional organisations and social media calls for expressions of interest. A minimum of 17 participants will be recruited. The primary survey for each round will consist of closed-ended questions with the opportunity to provide comments to justify decisions and clarify understanding. Using 9-point Likert scales, participants will rate each quality statement according to the concepts of importance and actionability, then its associated PMs according to the concept of necessity. Results will be fed back to participants in subsequent rounds. A priori stopping criteria have been defined in terms of consensus and stability. A minimum of three rounds will be undertaken to allow participants to have feedback, revise previous responses, then stabilise responses.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethical approval was provided at the University of Manitoba Health Research Ethics Board (ID HS25728 (H2022:340)). Informed consent will be obtained electronically using the Research Electronic Data Capture secure online platform. Knowledge translation and dissemination will be done through traditional (eg, conference presentations, peer-reviewed publications) and non-traditional (eg, ED Grand Rounds) strategies.

A critical appraisal of delirium clinical practice guidelines relevant to the care of older adults in the emergency department with a synthesis of recommendations: an umbrella review protocol

BACKGROUND

Up to 35% of older adults present to the emergency department (ED) with delirium or develop the condition during their ED stay. Delirium associated with an ED visit is independently linked to poorer outcomes such as loss of independence, increased length of hospital stay, and mortality. Improving the quality of delirium care for older ED patients is hindered by a lack of knowledge and standards to guide best practice. High-quality clinical practice guidelines (CPGs) have the power to translate the complexity of scientific evidence into recommendations to improve and standardize practice. This study will identify and synthesize recommendations from high-quality delirium CPGs relevant to the care of older ED patients.

METHODS

We will conduct a multi-phase umbrella review to retrieve relevant CPGs. Quality of the CPGs and their recommendations will be critically appraised using the Appraisal of Guidelines, Research, and Evaluation (AGREE)-II; and Appraisal of Guidelines Research and Evaluation - Recommendations Excellence (AGREE-REX) instruments, respectively. We will also synthesize and conduct a narrative analysis of high-quality CPG recommendations.

DISCUSSION

This review will be the first known evidence synthesis of delirium CPGs including a critical appraisal and synthesis of recommendations. Recommendations will be categorized according to target population and setting as a means to define the bredth of knowledge in this area. Future research will use consensus building methods to identify which are most relevant to older ED patients.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study has been registered in the Open Science Framework registries: https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/TG7S6 .

Improving In-Hospital Care For Older Adults: A Mixed Methods Study Protocol to Evaluate a System-Wide Sub-Acute Care Intervention in Canada

Introduction:

Acute care hospitals often inadequately prepare older adults to transition back to the community. Interventions that seek to improve this transition process are usually evaluated using healthcare use outcomes (e.g., hospital re-visit rates) only, and do not gather provider and patient perspectives about strategies to better integrate care. This protocol describes how we will use complementary research approaches to evaluate an in-hospital sub-acute care (SAC) intervention, designed to better prepare and transition older adults home.

Methods:

In three sequential research phases, we will assess (1) SAC transition pathways and effectiveness using administrative data, (2) provider fidelity to SAC core practices using chart audits, and (3) SAC implementation outcomes (e.g., facilitators and barriers to success, strategies to better integrate care) using provider and patient interviews.

Results:

Findings from each phase will be combined to determine SAC effectiveness and efficiency; to assess intervention components and implementation processes that ‘work’ or require modification; and to identify provider and patient suggestions for improving care integration, both while patients are hospitalized and to some extent after they transition back home.

Discussion:

This protocol helps to establish a blueprint for comprehensively evaluating interventions conducted in complex care settings using complementary research approaches and data sources.

Implementing a multidisciplinary rapid geriatric observation unit for non-critical older patients referred to hospital: observational study on real-world data

BACKGROUND

Geriatric rapid observation units may represent an alternative to hospitalization in older patients with non-critical acute illness.

AIMS

To describe the characteristics and outcomes of patients admitted to a geriatric observation unit called URGe (Unità Geriatrica Rapida), implemented in an Italian hospital and characterized by multidisciplinary medical staff with geriatric expertise, fast-track access to diagnostic resources, regular use of point-of-care ultrasound and predicted length of stay (LOS) < 72 h.

METHODS

The medical records of patients admitted to URGe during a 3-month period (452 subjects, 247 F and 205 M, median age 82 years, IQR 77-87) were retrospectively examined. The primary study endpoint was transferral from URGe to regular wards. Baseline covariates included demographics, comprehensive geriatric assessment, acute illnesses, comorbidities, vital signs and routine laboratory tests.

RESULTS

Despite elevated burden of multimorbidity (median number of chronic diseases 4, IQR 2-5) and frailty (median Rockwood Clinical Frailty Scale score 4, IQR 3-6), only 137 patients (30.3%) required transferral from URGe to regular wards. The main factors positively associated with this outcome were Rockwood score, fever, cancer and red cell distribution width (P < 0.05 on multivariate logistic regression model). The rate of complications (mortality, delirium, and falls) during URGe stay was low (0.5%, 7% and 2%, respectively). Overall duration of hospital stay was lower than that of a group of historical controls matched by age, sex, main diagnosis, multimorbidity and frailty.

CONCLUSIONS

The URGe model of acute geriatric care is feasible, safe and has the potential of reducing unnecessary hospitalizations of older patients.

Trends of chronic illness in emergency department admissions among elderly adults in a tertiary hospital over ten years

Background

This study aimed to determine to what extent an aging population and shift to chronic illness has contributed to emergency admissions at a tertiary care hospital over ten years.

Methods

This was a retrospective observational study performed using a database of all emergency admissions from the Emergency Department (ED) at a single tertiary hospital in Singapore during a ten-year period (January 1st, 2008 to December 31st, 2017). Emergency admissions were defined as ED visits with inpatient admission as the disposition. This study analyzed the trends of demographics, pre-existing comorbidities, chronic conditions or ambulatory care sensitive conditions (ACSC) of all patients who underwent emergency admissions in Singapore General Hospital.

Results

A total of 446,484 emergency records were included. For elderly patients, the proportions of them had pre-existing multimorbidity at the time of undergoing emergency admissions were found to be lower at the end the 10-year study period relative to the beginning of the study period. The proportions of emergency admissions whose ED primary diagnoses were categorized as chronic conditions and certain chronic ACSC including chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, diabetes complications, and epilepsy also decreased for elderly patients over the 10-year study period.

Conclusions

In Singapore, despite a rapidly aging population, there have been surprisingly lower proportions of chronic conditions, pre-existing comorbidities, and chronic ACSC among the elderly emergency admissions. This is possibly consistent with an overall improved management of the chronic conditions among the elderly population. Future studies should include similar studies at the national level and comparison with other healthcare settings in different countries.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12913-021-07309-z.

Emergency urolithiasis management at a national level: exploring the need for a care pathway

BACKGROUND

Urolithiasis is a common urological presentation¹. A total of 25-49 million people in Europe live with symptomatic stone disease, with the incidence increasing¹.

AIMS

To examine length of stay (LOS) and transfer patterns for patients presenting with urolithiasis to Irish Model 2/3 hospitals without a specialist urology service, compared with those who present to a model 4 hospital with an on-site urology service.

METHODS

Using the National Quality Assurance & Improvement System (NQAIS), we assessed patients presenting with urolithiasis, nationally from January 2016 to December 2019.

RESULTS

During the study period, there were 11,856 emergency presentations with urolithiasis. A total of 6510 (54.9%) presented to model 4 hospitals, while 5346 (45.1%) presented to model 2/3 hospitals. A total of 874 (16.35%) patients required transfer from model 2/3 hospital to a model 4 hospital for further management. Those transferred from model 2/3 hospitals spent a mean of 3.68 days awaiting transfer and had a mean LOS of 3.88 days in the model 4 hospital. A total of 7.56 days compared with a mean LOS of 2.9 days for those presenting directly to a model 4 hospital.

CONCLUSION

At a national level in Ireland, many patients with urolithiasis present to hospitals that are unable to cater for their needs. Patients presenting with urolithiasis to model 2/3 hospitals have significantly longer LOS compared with patients who present directly to a model 4 hospital. A formal 'stone pathway' is required to provide timely care for these patients²-such a pathway would provide better patient care and result in improved bed utilisation.

Trends and outcomes associated with gastrostomy tube placement in common neurodegenerative disorders

INTRODUCTION

Dysphagia causing aspiration pneumonia is a common complication in the advanced stages of neurodegenerative disorders. Historically, physicians attempted to prevent this complication with gastrostomy tube (GT) placement. Its use is supported in amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS), not supported in Alzheimer's disease (AD), and without disease-specific guidelines in Parkinson's disease (PD).

METHOD

The rate of GT placement in these three populations over two decades, from 1990 to 2010, was calculated using a binomial regression model with the data extracted using diagnosis and procedural codes from a national database. The median length-of-stay (LOS) and discharge destinations were compared.

RESULTS

The rate of GT placement was 6.0% lower annually in AD, 3.4% in PD, and 0.2% in ALS (all p ≤ 0.007). The analysis of hospital LOS and discharge destination showed 3.2 to 5.5 days longer LOS with GT placement in all groups (all p ≤ 0.01), and three to four times lower odds of going home with GT placement in AD and PD groups (OR 0.28, 95% CI 0.14-0.55, and OR 0.22, CI 0.11-0.42 respectively), while unchanged in ALS group (OR 1.1, 95% CI 0.6-1.9).

CONCLUSION

Despite the downward trend of GT placement over two decades, thousands of AD and PD patients still underwent GT placement annually, and this was associated with longer LOS in all groups and increased likelihood of being discharged to a nursing facility in AD and PD. Further research is necessary to understand the effects of GT on physician practices and patient expectations in advanced AD and PD.

Presenting symptoms of older emergency department patients: a single-center experience of 10,692 patients in Turkey

Objective: In this study, we aimed: (1) to evaluate the presenting symptoms of older emergency department (ED) patients within a 12-month period, (2) to compare the differences in presenting symptoms between three age groups, and (3) to evaluate the seasonal variations in the presenting symptoms. Methods: This retrospective single-centered observational study was conducted at the ED of a university hospital in older ED patients with yellow and red triage code. Consecutive patients aged 65 and older admitted to ED in the study period were included in the study. Results: In our study, 14.0% of all ED admissions were patients aged 65 and older. The mean age of 10,692 patients was 75.3 ± 7.3 years, and 49.2% of them were male. The most common presenting symptoms to ED were dyspnea (18.5%), abdominal pain (12.4%), and chest pain (8.3%). Whereas 6,352 (59.4%) patients had been discharged from the ED (to home), 4,305 (40.3%) were hospitalized. Falls became the third rank presenting symptom in patients aged 85 and older. The hospital admission rate increased from 35% to 53% by age, and the in-hospital mortality rate of patients aged 85 and older was higher than that of the other age groups (p < 0.001). Conclusion: ED physicians should be aware of the common medical problems and life-threatening conditions of older patients. Morbidity and mortality rates increase by age and those patients may need different management strategies and an increased number of resources.

A 12-year retrospective analysis of differences between elderly and oldest old patients referred to the emergency department of a large tertiary hospital

OBJECTIVES

Globally, the average age of the population is increasing. Patients aged >65 years attending hospital emergency departments (EDs) differ from younger patients; in particular, they often present with multiple comorbidities. Our retrospective study evaluates the number of attendances at our ED by elderly patients in the 12 years from January 2005 to December 2017. Our first aim was to evaluate differences presented by elderly patients regarding symptoms, clinical features, color code (i.e. priority assigned to the case, where red is highest and yellow is medium), waiting time and outcome.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed data from 201,580 patients aged >65, divided into two groups: 65-84 years and >85 years. Clinical and demographic data were collected from the computerized clinical record (GIPSE®).

RESULTS

201,580 patients fulfilled the inclusion criteria, of whom 93,262 (46.3%) were male. There were 162,373 patients aged 65-84, and 39,207 aged >85. Patients aged >85 presented more complex cases, and were admitted more frequently with a red color code and were more frequently hospitalized. Larger proportions of this group had dementia, and attended the ED for trauma or gastrointestinal bleeding. The group aged 65-84 were admitted more frequently with a yellow color code and then discharged. They typically attended the ED for chest and abdominal pain.

CONCLUSION

There is an increase in the request for health care especially in an emergency setting. The hospitalization of elderly patients is associated with a deterioration in motor skills and quality of life. Being able to reduce hospitalization in the elderly means avoiding disruption to the home care of people with dementia, and reducing both the risk of falls and hospital infections. In Italy, a program (as already experimented with in the USA) dedicated to the elderly who attend hospital EDs is desirable.

Hospitalisation and surgery: Is exposure associated with increased subsequent depressive symptoms? Evidence from The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA)

BACKGROUND

The dramatic shift in the global population demographic has led to increasing numbers of older people undergoing hospitalisation and surgical procedures. While necessary, these exposures may lead to an increase in depressive symptoms.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether hospitalisation or hospitalisation with surgery under general anaesthesia is associated with an increase in depressive symptoms in adults over the age of 50.

METHODS

Depressive symptoms were assessed using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale in 8036 individuals at waves 1 and 2 of The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), 2 years apart. Mixed-effects models were used to investigate the hypothesis after adjustment for risk factors for depression and potential confounders.

RESULTS

During the 12 months preceding wave 1, a total of 459 participants were hospitalised (mean age, 67.0; 55.3% female), and a further 548 participants (mean age, 64.6; 51.8% female) were hospitalised and underwent surgery with general anaesthesia; 6891 (mean age, 63.5; 54.3% female) were not hospitalised. Analysis of waves 1 and 2 data using mixed-effects models demonstrated that there was a 7% increased adjusted incidence rate of depressive symptoms (IRR [95% CI] = 1.07 [1.02-1.11]) in the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale in the hospitalisation group and a 4% increased adjusted incidence rate of depressive symptoms (IRR [95% CI] = 1.04 [1.00-1.08]) in the surgery group compared with those with no hospitalisation.

CONCLUSION

Hospitalisation and hospitalisation with surgery and general anaesthesia are associated with increased depressive symptoms. This is the first time a longitudinal population-representative study has demonstrated this relationship for both exposures simultaneously.

Hospitalisation and surgery: are there hidden cognitive consequences? Evidence from The Irish Longitudinal study on Ageing (TILDA)

Background

the dramatic shift in the global population demographic has led to increasing numbers of older people undergoing hospitalisation and surgical procedures.

Objectives

to determine whether hospitalisation or hospitalisation with surgery under general anaesthesia is associated with poorer cognitive performance in adults over the age of 50.

Methods

cognitive function in the domains of global cognition, memory and executive function was assessed in 8,023 individuals at waves 1 and 2 of The Irish Longitudinal Study on Ageing (TILDA), 2 years apart. Mixed-effects models were used to investigate the hypothesis after adjustment for risk factors for cognitive decline and potential confounders.

Results

during the 12 months preceding wave 1, 472 participants were hospitalised (mean age 67.0, 54.9% female) and a further 560 participants (mean age 64.6, 52.1% female) were hospitalised and underwent surgery with general anaesthesia; 6,938 (mean age 63.5, 54.5% female) were not hospitalised. There was a 14% higher error rate (IRR[95% CI] = 1.14[1.06, 1.22]) in the MMSE in the hospitalisation group and a 6% higher error rate (IRR[95% CI] = 1.06[0.99, 1.13]) in the surgery group compared to those with no hospitalisation. Poorer cognitive performance in the memory tasks was evident in both hospitalisation and hospitalisation with surgery groups (immediate recall: [95% CI] = -0.13 words[-0.22,-0.04] versus -0.13 words[-0.21,-0.04] and delayed recall: -0.20 words[-0.33,-0.06] versus -0.20[-0.32, -0.07]) compared to those with no hospitalisation. Increased error in the time-based prospective memory task was observed in the hospitalisation group and the surgery group (OR[95% CI] = 1.32[1.08, 1.60] versus 1.29[1.07, 1.55]).

Conclusion

hospitalisation and hospitalisation with surgery and general anaesthesia are associated with poorer global and domain specific cognitive performance.

The Maastricht Frailty Screening Tool for Hospitalised Patients (MFST-HP) to Identify Non-Frail Patients

BACKGROUND

The Maastricht frailty screening tool for hospitalised patients (MFST-HP) is a frailty screening tool that is fully integrated in the nursing assessment at admission. This study aims to determine the predictive value of the MFST-HP for the health outcomes length of hospital stay, discharge destination, readmission and mortality.

METHODS

Data of 2691 hospitalised patients (70+), admitted between 01-01-2013 and 31-12-2013, were included in the study. The predictive value of the MFST-HP was analysed by means of receiver operating characteristics curves. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV) and negative predictive value (NPV) for different MFST-HP cut-off scores were examined.

RESULTS

Mean age of the population was 78.9 years (SD 6.4) and their average length of stay was 10.2 days (SD 9.7). Nearly 75.0% of the patients were discharged to their home and around. Approximately 25% of the patients were readmitted within 120 days. Mortality rates were 4.3% and 9.5% (within 30 or 120 days postdischarge, respectively). The area under the curve was moderate and varied from 0.50 to 0.69 for the different outcomes. As a result of high values on negative predictive value (between 73.5% and 96.7%) the MFST-HP is able to rule out a large proportion of non-frail patients. In this study 84% of the patients had a MFST-HP score of ≥ 6, suggested as most favourable cut off.

CONCLUSIONS

The MFST-HP seems to operate more strongly as a non-frailty indicator than as a frailty indicator and may in this respect help professionals to decide upon subsequent care. The MFST-HP is able to rule out 84% of the non-frail population in this study. The remaining 16% need to be assessed by means of a comprehensive geriatric assessment or rapid geriatric assessment, to gain more insight in the level of vulnerability in the frail-group.

Association between routine laboratory tests and long-term mortality among acutely admitted older medical patients: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Older people have the highest incidence of acute medical admissions. Old age and acute hospital admissions are associated with a high risk of adverse health outcomes after discharge, such as reduced physical performance, readmissions and mortality. Hospitalisations in this population are often by acute admission and through the emergency department. This, along with the rapidly increasing proportion of older people, warrants the need for clinically feasible tools that can systematically assess vulnerability in older medical patients upon acute hospital admission. These are essential for prioritising treatment during hospitalisation and after discharge. Here we explore whether an abbreviated form of the FI-Lab frailty index, calculated as the number of admission laboratory test results outside of the reference interval (FI-OutRef) was associated with long term mortality among acutely admitted older medical patients. Secondly, we investigate other markers of aging (age, total number of chronic diagnoses, new chronic diagnoses, and new acute admissions) and their associations with long-term mortality.

METHODS

A cohort study of acutely admitted medical patients aged 65 or older. Survival time within a 3 years post-discharge follow up period was used as the outcome. The associations between the markers and survival time were investigated by Cox regression analyses. For analyses, all markers were grouped by quartiles.

RESULTS

A total of 4,005 patients were included. Among the 3,172 patients without a cancer diagnosis, mortality within 3 years was 39.9%. Univariate and multiple regression analyses for each marker showed that all were significantly associated with post-discharge survival. The changes between the estimates for the FI-OutRef quartiles in the univariate- and the multiple analyses were negligible. Among all the markers investigated, FI-OutRef had the highest hazard ratio of the fourth quartile versus the first quartile: 3.45 (95% CI: 2.83-s4.22, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Among acutely admitted older medical patients, FI-OutRef was strongly associated with long-term mortality. This association was independent of age, sex, and number of chronic diagnoses, new chronic diagnoses, and new acute admissions. Hence FI-OutRef could be a biomarker of advancement of aging within the acute care setting.

Chief Complaints of Elderly Individuals on Presentation to Emergency Department: A Retrospective Analysis of South Korean National Data 2014

PURPOSE

We aimed to assess the chief complaints (CCs) of elderly individuals on presentation to the emergency department (ED) according to gender, age, and disease-related and injury-related visits.

METHODS

The 2014 registry database of the National Emergency Department Information System in South Korea, which included data on 908,761 ED visits by individuals aged 65 years and over, was reviewed.

RESULTS

We found that 80.7% ED visits were related to disease, whereas the remaining visits were related to injury. The most common CCs presented by elderly male and female individuals with disease-related visits were dyspnea and dizziness, respectively. The 10 most common CCs accounted for 45.5% and 49.2% of the total disease-related visits for male and female individuals, respectively. The most common CC in male and female individuals with injury-related visits was headache and hip pain, respectively. The CC rank showed minimal variance among the different age groups, but a difference was observed between male and female individuals. The most common mechanism of injury in elderly male and female individuals was slipping, wherein females showed a higher occurrence rate than their male counterparts.

CONCLUSIONS

These findings can be used to establish an ED training curriculum for nursing students and ED nurses, particularly for ED triage in the elderly.

Seeking Status: The Process of Becoming and Remaining an Emergency Nurse

INTRODUCTION

Understanding the process of becoming and remaining an emergency nurse is of great value in emergency nursing research and for nursing administration. If hospitals want to retain qualified emergency nurses, they must learn the process that nurses use when they choose to continue working within an emergency department. Research focusing on this process may inhibit turnover and simultaneously address the ED nursing shortage. The objectives of this study were to explore this process and highlight the strategies that nurses use throughout this process.

METHODS

Using Grounded Theory methods, data were collected through semi-structured, open-ended interviews until data saturation occurred. The ages of the 7 participants ranged from 29 to 56 years, with ED nursing experience ranging from 1 to 17 years and nursing experience from 2 to 18 years.

RESULTS

Five phases emerged from data analysis using constant comparative analysis of 183 pages of transcripts, through coding, categorizing, and conceptualizing of phrases. These phases, each with subcategories, explained a process identified as Seeking Status. The 5 phases were "joining the troops," "working in the trenches," "passing muster," "earning stripes," and "looking ahead." Passing muster emerged as the core category-that is, the one that best explained the process and connected the other conceptual categories in this process.

DISCUSSION

Processes and strategies to retain qualified emergency nurses are urgently needed. The findings from this study address only a broad understanding of ED and nursing roles. This study highlighted several possible avenues to advance nursing science in this area. For example, for nurses "working in the trenches," it is important to undertake further research to determine factors that might help them adjust.

A retrospective cohort study of age-based differences in the care of hospitalized patients with sudden clinical deterioration

PURPOSE

The proportion of elderly patients is increasing, but it is unknown if there are age-based differences in care of hospitalized patients with sudden clinical deterioration. We sought to examine the relation between patient age and care for hospitalized patients experiencing sudden clinical deterioration.

METHODS

We identified hospitalized adults (n = 5103) in 4 hospitals with sudden clinical deteriorations triggering medical emergency team (MET) activation between January 1, 2007, and December 31, 2009. We compared intensive care unit (ICU) admission rates (within 2 hours of MET activation), goals of care (resuscitative vs nonresuscitative), and hospital mortality according to age (<50, 50-64, 65-79, and 80+ years), adjusting for patient, physician, and hospital characteristics.

RESULTS

Age was associated with decreased likelihood of admission to ICU (P < .0001) and increased likelihood of change in goals of care (P < .0001). Compared to patients younger than 50 years, patients 80 years or older had 67% lower odds of ICU admission (odds ratio, 0.33; 95% confidence interval, 0.26-0.41) and 587% higher odds (odds ratio, 6.87; 95% confidence interval, 4.20-11.26) of having their goals of care changed to exclude resuscitation. Hospital mortality was associated with patient age, ranging from 15% to 46% (P < .0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patient age is associated with care for hospitalized patients with sudden clinical deterioration, suggesting that strategies to guide care of elderly patients during MET activation may be beneficial.

Predicting In-Hospital Mortality in Elderly Patients With Cervical Spine Fractures: A Comparison of the Charlson and Elixhauser Comorbidity Measures

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of nationally representative data collected for the National Hospital Discharge Survey.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of the Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity-based measures for predicting in-hospital mortality after cervical spine fractures.

SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA

Mortality occurring as a consequence of cervical spine fractures is very high in the elderly. The Charlson comorbidity measure has been associated with an increased risk of mortality, but its predictive accuracy has yet to be compared with the more recent and increasingly used Elixhauser measure.

METHODS

Using the National Hospital Discharge Survey for the years 1990 through 2007, we identified all patients aged 65 years or older hospitalized with a diagnosis of cervical spine fracture. The association of each Charlson and Elixhauser comorbidity with mortality was assessed in bivariate analysis using χ tests. Two main multivariable logistic regression models were constructed, with in-hospital mortality as the dependent variable and 1 of the 2 comorbidity-based measures (as well as age, sex, and year of admission) as independent variables. A base model that included only age, sex, and year of admission was also evaluated. The discriminative ability of the models was quantified using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Among an estimated 111,564 patients admitted for cervical spine fractures, 7.6% died in the hospital. Elixhauser comorbidity adjustment provided better prediction of in-hospital case mortality (AUC = 0.852, 95% confidence interval: 0.848-0.856) than the Charlson model (AUC = 0.823, 95% confidence interval: 0.819-0.828) and the base model with no comorbidities (AUC = 0.785, 95% confidence interval: 0.781-0.790). In terms of relative improvement in predictive ability, the Elixhauser model performed 43% better than the Charlson model.

CONCLUSION

The Elixhauser comorbidity risk adjustment method performed numerically better than the widely used Charlson measure in predicting in-hospital mortality after cervical spine fractures.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

N/A.

The ED as the primary source of hospital admission for older (but not younger) adults

INTRODUCTION

The elderly population in the United States is growing. This age shift has important implications for emergency departments (EDs), which currently account for more than 50% of inpatient hospitalizations. Our objective was to compare the percentage of inpatient admissions starting in the ED between elderly and younger patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis using the National Hospital Discharge Survey. Source of admission to the hospital was evaluated for years 2003 to 2009. Total admissions from the ED and trends over time were analyzed for the following age groups: 22 to 64, 65 to 74, 75 to 84, and 85+ years old. Likelihood of having been admitted from the ED was evaluated with logistic regression.

RESULTS

A total of 1.7 million survey visits representing 216 million adult hospitalizations were analyzed. A total of 93 million (43.2%) were among patients 65 years and older. The ED was the source of admission for 57.3% of patients 65 years and older and 44.4% of patients 64 years and younger (95% confidence interval difference, 12.97%-13.00%). By 2009, more than 75% of nonelective admissions for patients 85 years and older were through the ED. There was a linear relationship between age and the ED as the source of admission, the odds increasing by 2.9% per year (95% confidence interval, 1.029-1.029) for each year beyond age 65 years.

CONCLUSION

Emergency departments are increasingly used as the gateway for hospital admission for older adults. An aging US population may increase the effect of this trend, a prospect that should be planned for. From the patient perspective, barriers to care contributing to the age-based discrepancy in the use of the ED as source of admission should be investigated.