Prediction of delivery after 40 weeks by antepartum ultrasound in singleton nulliparous women: a prospective cohort study

The predictive value of transvaginal cervical length and cervical angle ultrasonography in term delivery outcomes: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Various techniques have been proposed to predict and evaluate the timing and conditions of childbirth in pregnant women at different stages of pregnancy. Providing precise methods for forecasting childbirth status can reduce the burden on the healthcare system. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of transvaginal sonography of cervical length (CL) and cervical angle (CA) on full-term delivery outcomes.

METHODS

This cohort study analyzed 151 pregnant women between 37 and 42 weeks of gestational age who were treated at Rasoul Akram Hospital affiliated with Iran University of Medical Sciences from June 2023 to January 2024. All Participants received transvaginal examinations. This study evaluated the accuracy of CL and CA by transvaginal sonography in predicting outcomes like vaginal delivery, cesarean section, necessity for labor induction, and the rate of Premature Rupture of Membranes (PROM). The study used the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve to determine the optimal cutoff for predicting birth outcomes.

RESULTS

The mean age of the pregnant women was 28.9 ± 4.22 years, while the average duration of pregnancy was 39.8 ± 2.11 weeks. Cesarean delivery was performed on 45 individuals (29.8%) and 106 (70.1%) underwent vaginal delivery. The mean CL overall stood at 21.2 ± 6.4 mm. PROM was observed in 41 cases (27.1%) among full-term pregnancies. A significant difference was noted in mean CL between the cesarean and vaginal delivery groups (24.2 ± 2.4 vs. 20.1 ± 2.1 mm, p = 0.001). The predictive value of a CL measuring 21 mm for cesarean delivery was 72.2% sensitive and 79.1% specific. Similarly, a CL of 22 mm showed 66.6% sensitivity and 80.2% specificity for labor induction. Regarding PROM in full-term pregnancies, a CL assessment demonstrated 59.8% sensitivity and 69.1% specificity. Finally, a CA of 115.2° exhibited 70.3% sensitivity and 78.4% specificity in predicting vaginal delivery.

CONCLUSION

The present study showed that evaluating CL and CA via transvaginal sonography demonstrated adequate diagnostic accuracy in predicting spontaneous birth, need for labor induction, cesarean delivery, and incidence of PROM in full-term pregnant women. This method is suggested to be an accurate and appropriate way to predict delivery results.

Comparing Transvaginal Ultrasound Measurements of Cervical Length to Bishop Score in Predicting Cesarean Section Following Induction of Labor: A Prospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

 Bishop score (BS) has been used to see the favorability of the cervix for induction of labor (IOL), but it has limitations in today's diverse patient population. We aimed to assess the predictive value of transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) measurements of cervical length (CL) compared to BS in determining the likelihood of cesarean section (CS) following IOL.

METHODOLOGY

A prospective observational study was conducted on 120 women requiring IOL in a tertiary care hospital in central India. The inclusion criteria of the study were antenatal women more than 18 years of age, in need of IOL, having a singleton pregnancy with a gestational age of > 37 weeks as determined from the date of the last menstrual period and confirmed by sonographic measurements in the first trimester, presenting with a cephalic presentation, and having intact fetal membranes. Women with prior uterine scars and those unwilling to IOL were excluded from the study. TVUS was done just before induction. Statistical analyses were done to compare the predictive abilities of CL and BS for CS.

RESULTS

The mean age and gestation period were 25.96 years and 39 weeks 3 days, respectively. The majority of the study population comprised multigravida (69, 57.5%), followed by primigravida (47, 39.2%), and grand multigravida (≥ G5) (4, 3.3%). Post-maturity (34, 28.3%), preeclampsia (21, 17.5%), and intrahepatic cholestasis of pregnancy (17, 14.2%) were common indications for induction. The overall CS rate was 35.8% (43/120). Women with CS had lower BS (3.60 vs. 4.70, P = 0.010) and higher CL (31.5 mm vs. 23.4 mm, P < 0.001). CL exhibited an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.857, outperforming BS (AUC = 0.643) in predicting CS. Using a CL cutoff of 26.5 mm yielded sensitivity (79.1%), specificity (81.8%), and overall accuracy (80.8%).

CONCLUSIONS

TVUS measurement of CL (>26.5 mm) demonstrated superior predictive ability for CS following labor induction compared to BS (≤5). This study highlights the potential of CL measurement as an objective and reliable tool for optimizing decision-making in labor induction.

Intrapartum transperineal ultrasound: angle of progression to evaluate and predict the mode of delivery and labor progression

Intrapartum ultrasonography serves as a valuable tool for the objective evaluation of labor progression and effectively identifies underlying factors, such as asynclitism, in cases of abnormal labor progression. Among the various ultrasound measurement techniques, the angle of progression (AOP) demonstrates favorable reproducibility and accuracy in assessing fetal head descent. In the context of abnormal labor, interventions differ across different stages of labor, emphasizing the importance of investigating the utility of AOP according to labor stages in this review article. Pre-labor assessment of AOP can be beneficial in terms of counseling for the timing of induction of labor, while a wider AOP value during the prolonged first stage of labor has demonstrated a positive correlation with successful vaginal delivery and shorter time to delivery. In the second stage of labor, the AOP has exhibited efficacy in predicting the mode of delivery and complicated operative deliveries. Furthermore, it has assisted in predicting the duration of labor, thereby highlighting its potential as a decision-making model for labor progression. However, further research is needed to investigate aspects, such as the determination of cutoff values, of AOP, considering the multifaceted characteristics of labor progression, which are influenced by complex interactions among maternal, fetal, and other contributing factors.

Prediction of delivery after 40 weeks by antepartum ultrasound in singleton multiparous women: a prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Universal elective induction of labor (IOL) in singleton parous pregnancies has been advocated to reduce the rate of cesarean section (CD), without impacting on maternal outcome. However, about 50% of women deliver after 40 weeks; therefore, an accurate estimation of the time of delivery might avoid unnecessary early IOL. The aim of this study was to test the diagnostic accuracy of ultrasound in predicting delivery ≥40 weeks of gestation in singleton parous women.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of singleton parous women undergoing a dedicated ultrasound assessment at 36-38 weeks of gestation. The primary outcome was spontaneous vaginal delivery ≥40 weeks of gestation. Cervical length (CL), posterior cervical angle (PCA), sonoelastographic hardness ratio (HR), angle of progression (AoP) and head perineal distance (HPD) were measured. Multivariate logistic regression and area under the curve (AUC) analyses were used to test the diagnostic accuracy of different maternal and ultrasound characteristics in predicting delivery ≥40 weeks.

RESULTS

518 singleton pregnancies were included in the analysis and 235 (45.4%) delivered ≥40 weeks. CL (29 vs 19 mm; p ≤ .0001) and HPD (50 vs 47 mm; p = .001) were longer, HR higher (38.9 vs 35.5; p = .04), while PCA (98° vs 104°; p ≤ .0001) and AOP narrower (93° vs 98°; p = .029) in pregnancies delivered compared to those not delivered after 40 weeks of gestation. At multivariable logistic regression analysis, CL (aOR 1.206; 95% CI 1.164-1.250), HPD (aOR 1.127; 95% CI 1.066-1.191) and HR (aOR 1.022; 95% CI 1.003-1.041 were the only variables independently associated with delivery ≥40 weeks. CL showed had an AUC of 0.863 in predicting delivery ≥40 weeks of gestation, with an optimal cutoff of 23.5 mm. Integration of HPD and HR did not significantly improve the diagnostic performance of CL alone to predict delivery ≥40 weeks (AUC 0.870; p = .472).

CONCLUSION

Cervical length at 36-38 weeks has a good diagnostic accuracy to predict spontaneous vaginal delivery at ≥40 weeks. Universal assessment of CL in the third trimester of pregnancy may help in identifying those women who may benefit of elective IOL at 39 weeks.

Role of ante-partum ultrasound in predicting vaginal birth after cesarean section: A prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Vaginal birth after caesarean delivery is associated with better outcomes compared to repeat caesarean section. Accurate antenatal risk stratification of women undergoing a trial of labor after caesarean section is crucial in order to maximize perinatal and maternal outcomes. The primary aim of this study was to explore the role of antepartum ultrasound in predicting the probability of vaginal birth in women attempting trial of labor; the secondary aim was to build a multiparametric prediction model including pregnancy and ultrasound characteristics able to predict vaginal birth and compare its diagnostic performance with previously developed models based exclusively upon clinical and pregnancy characteristics.

METHODS

Prospective study of consecutive singleton pregnancies scheduled for trial of labor undergoing a dedicated antepartum ultrasound assessment at 36-38 weeks of gestation. Head circumference, estimated fetal weight cervical length, sub-pubic angle were recorded before the onset of labour. The obstetricians and midwives attending the delivery suite were blinded to the ultrasound findings. Multivariate logistic regression and area under the curve analyses were used to explore the strength of association and test the diagnostic accuracy of different maternal and ultrasound characteristics in predicting vaginal birth. Comparison with previously reported clinical models developed by the Maternal-Fetal Medicine Unit Network (Grobman's models) was performed using De Long analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 161women who underwent trial of labor were included in the study. Among them 114 (70.8 %) women had successful vaginal birth. At multivariable logistic regression analysis maternal height (adjusted odds ratio (aOR):1.24;9 5% Confidence Interval (CI)1.17-1.33), previous C-section for arrest labor (aOR:0.77; 95 %CI0.66-0.93), cervical dilation at admission (aOR:1.35 ; 95 %CI1.12-1.74), fetal head circumference (aOR:0.77 ; 5%CI0.43-0.89), subpubic angle (aOR:1.39 95 %CI1.11-1.99) and cervical length (aOR:0.82 95 % CI0.54-0.98) were independently associated with VBAC. A model integrating these variables had an area under curve of 0.839(95 % CI 0.710-0.727) for the prediction of vaginal birth, significantly higher than those achieved with intake (0.694; 95 %CI0.549-0.815; p = 0.01) and admission (0.732: 95 % CI 0.590-0.84; p = 0.04) models reported by Grobman.

CONCLUSION

Antepartum prediction of vaginal birth after a caesarean section is feasible. Fetal head circumference, subpubic angle and cervical length are independently associated and predictive of vaginal birth. Adding these variables to a multiparametric model including maternal parameters improves the diagnostic accuracy of vaginal birth compared to those based only on maternal characteristic.