Bonferroni induced heavy operators in ERM decision-making: A case on large companies in Colombia

Variances and Logarithmic Aggregation Operators: Extended Tools for Decision-Making Processes

Variance, as a measurement of dispersion, is a basic component of decision-making processes. Recent advances in intelligent systems have included the concept of variance in information fusion techniques for decision-making under uncertainty. These dispersion measures broaden the spectrum of decision makers by extending the toolset for the analysis and modeling of problems. This paper introduces some variance logarithmic averaging operators, including the variance generalized ordered weighted averaging (Var-GOWLA) operator and the induced variance generalized ordered weighted averaging (Var-IGOWLA) operator. Moreover, this paper analyzes some properties, families and particular cases of the proposed operators. Finally, an illustrative example of the characteristic design of the operators is proposed using real-world information retrieved from financial markets. The objective of this paper is to analyze the performance of some equities based on the expected payoff and the dispersion of its elements. Results show that the equity payoff results present diverse rankings combined with the proposed operators, and the introduced variance measures aid decision-making by offering new tools for information analysis. These results are particularly interesting when selecting logarithmic averaging operators for decision-making processes. The approach presented in this paper extends the available tools for decision-making under ignorance, uncertainty, and subjective environments.

The Ordered Weighted Average Human Development Index

The main aim is to propose a new method for estimating the Human Development Index using ordered weighted average. To develop this method, ordered weighted geometric average (OWGA), induced OWGA prioritized OWA (POWA) operator are studied. Using Human Development Index formulation in combination to aggregations operators presented above is proposed the prioritized induced ordered weighted geometric average (PIOWGA) operator. A mathematical application is carried out to estimate the Human Development Index and compare it with the traditional method and other existing methods. Finally, it is noted that decision makers have an influence on the order given in the ranking by its attitude and criterion, and method can capture the subjective information prioritized by them.

Predicting the future price of a commodity using the OWMA operator: An approximation of the interest rate and inflation in the brown pastusa potato price

This main aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for the prediction of the future price of the brown pastusa potato in Colombia, taking into consideration the variables of interest rate, as measured by fixed term deposits (FTDs), and inflation rate, as measured by the consumer price index (CPI). The methodology conducts linear regression analysis and assesses the results using the significance test, the Durbin-Watson statistic, analysis of the variance inflation factor (VIF) and the coefficient of determination. After that, the forecast of the independent variables has been conducted with the ordered weighted moving average (OWMA) operator and new proposed OWA operators using probabilities that are presented in the paper. Using these new methods and the proposed econometric model, it is possible to establish future prices. The results show a greater impact of the interest rate than inflation, as well as the need to include supply and demand variables that have not been included due to the absence of systematic information.

Group-decision making with induced ordered weighted logarithmic aggregation operators

This paper presents the induced generalized ordered weighted logarithmic aggregation (IGOWLA) operator, this operator is an extension of the generalized ordered weighted logarithmic aggregation (GOWLA) operator. It uses order-induced variables that modify the reordering process of the arguments included in the aggregation. The principal advantage of the introduced induced mechanism is the consideration of highly complex attitude from the decision makers. We study some families of the IGOWLA operator as measures for the characterization of the weighting vector. This paper presents the general formulation of the operator and some special cases, including the induced ordered weighted logarithmic geometric averaging (IOWLGA) operator and the induced ordered weighted logarithmic aggregation (IOWLA). Further generalizations using quasi-arithmetic mean are also proposed. Finally, an illustrative example of a group decision-making procedure using a multi-person analysis and the IGOWLA operator in the area of innovation management is analyzed.

Bonferroni Prioritized Aggregation Operators Applied to Government Transparency

This article applies the Bonferroni prioritized induced heavy ordered weighted average (OWA) to analyze a series of data and focuses on the Bonferroni average and heavy induced prioritized aggregation operators. The objective of the present work is to present a new aggregation operator that combines the heavy induced prioritized Bonferroni and its formulations and represents the Bonferroni mean with variables that induce an order with vectors that are greater than one. This work develops some extensions using prioritization. The main advantage is that different types of information provided by a group of decision makers to compare real situations are included in this formulation. Finally, an example using the operators to calculate the transparency of the websites of the 32 states of Mexico was performed. The main idea was to visualize how the ranking can change depending on the importance of the five components of the methodology. The main results show that it is possible to detect some important changes depending on the operator and the experts considered.

Bonferroni Probabilistic Ordered Weighted Averaging Operators Applied to Agricultural Commodities’ Price Analysis

Financial markets have been characterized in recent years by their uncertainty and volatility. The price of assets is always changing so that the decisions made by consumers, producers, and governments about different products is not still accurate. In this situation, it is necessary to generate models that allow the incorporation of the knowledge and expectations of the markets and thus include in the results obtained not only the historical information, but also the present and future information. The present article introduces a new extension of the ordered weighted averaging (OWA) operator called the Bonferroni probabilistic ordered weighted average (B-POWA) operator. This operator is designed to unify in a single formulation the interrelation of the values given in a data set by the Bonferroni means and a weighted and probabilistic vector that models the attitudinal character, expectations, and knowledge of the decision-maker of a problem. The paper also studies the main characteristics and some families of the B-POWA operator. An illustrative example is also proposed to analyze the mathematical process of the operator. Finally, an application to corn price estimation designed to calculate the error between the price of an agricultural commodity using the B-POWA operator and a leading global market company is presented. The results show that the proposed operator exhibits a better general performance than the traditional methods.