CT Radiomic Features for Predicting Resectability and TNM Staging in Thymic Epithelial Tumors

Development and Validation of a CT-Radiomics Nomogram for the Diagnosis of Small Prevascular Mediastinal Nodules: Reducing Nontherapeutic Surgeries

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

The preoperative diagnosis of small prevascular mediastinal nodules (SPMNs) presents a challenge, often leading to unnecessary surgical interventions. Our objective was to develop a nomogram based on preoperative CT-radiomics features, serving as a non-invasive diagnostic tool for SPMNs.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with surgically resected SPMNs from two medical centers between January 2018 and December 2022 were retrospectively reviewed. Radiomics features were extracted and screened from preoperative CT images. Logistic regression was employed to establish clinical, radiomics, and hybrid models for differentiating thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) from cysts. The performance of these models was validated in both internal and external test sets by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), while also comparing their diagnostic capability with human experts.

RESULTS

The study enrolled a total of 363 patients (median age, 53 years [IQR:45-59 years]; 175 [48.2%] males) for model development and validation, including 136 TETs and 227 cysts. Lesions' enhancement status, shape, calcification, and rad-score were identified as independent factors for distinction. The hybrid model demonstrated superior diagnostic performance compared to other models and human experts, with an AUC of 0.95 (95% CI:0.92-0.98), 0.94 (95% CI:0.89-0.99), and 0.93 (95% CI:0.83-1.00) in the training set, internal test set, and external test set respectively. The calibration curve of the model demonstrated excellent fit, while decision curve analysis underscored its clinical value.

CONCLUSION

The radiomics-based nomogram effectively discriminates between the most prevalent types of SPMNs, namely TETs and cysts, thus presenting a promising tool for treatment guidance.

Decoding tumor stage by peritumoral and intratumoral radiomics in resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

PURPOSE

To evaluate the potential application of radiomics in predicting Tumor-Node-Metastasis (TNM) stage in patients with resectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

This retrospective study included 122 consecutive patients (mean age, 57 years; 27 women). Corresponding tumor of interest was identified on axial arterial-phase CT images with manual annotation. Radiomics features were extracted from intra- and peritumoral regions. Features were pruned to train LASSO regression model with 93 patients to construct a radiomics signature, whose performance was validated in a test set of 29 patients. Prognostic value of radiomics-predicted TNM stage was estimated by survival analysis in the entire cohort.

RESULTS

The radiomics signature incorporating one intratumoral and four peritumoral features was significantly associated with TNM stage. This signature discriminated tumor stage with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.823 in the training set, with similar performance in the test set (AUC 0.813). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) was significantly different between different radiomics-predicted TNM stage groups (Low-risk vs high-risk, log-rank P = 0.004). Univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses revealed that radiomics-predicted TNM stage was an independent preoperative factor for RFS.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed radiomics signature combing intratumoral and peritumoral features was predictive of TNM stage and associated with prognostication in ESCC.

Impact of 18F-FDG PET on TNM Staging and Prognosis in Thymic Epithelial Tumors

BACKGROUND

Preoperative fluorine-18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) of thymic epithelial tumors (TETs) is well known for identifying malignant-grade TETs; however, its predictive power for determining locally advanced tumors, lymph node (LN) metastasis, and prognosis remains unknown.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated patients with resectable TETs who were preoperatively assessed using 18F-FDG PET from January 2012 to January 2023. The receiver operating characteristic curve was used to evaluate the cutoff value of the maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) to predict advanced-stage disease. Recurrence/progression-free survival (RFS/PFS) was analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method. The staging was classified according to the tumor-node-metastasis system.

RESULTS

Our study included 177 patients; 145 (81.9%) had pathological early-stage TET (stage I or II), and 32 (19.1%) had advanced stage (stage III or IV). The area under the curve value for predicting the advanced stage was 0.903, and the cutoff value was 5.6 (sensitivity 81.3%, specificity 84.8%). SUVmax > 5.6 was associated with worse prognosis for RFS/PFS. LN metastasis was preoperatively detected by FDG uptake in 30.8% of patients with pathological LN positivity, whereas LN metastasis was not pathologically detected in patients with SUVmax < 5.9. In patients with advanced-stage TETs, LN recurrence was more frequent in patients who were preoperatively detected by 18F-FDG PET than those who were not (75.0% versus 7.1%).

CONCLUSIONS

18F-FDG PET is a potentially valuable tool for predicting advanced stage and poor prognosis of recurrence in patients with TETs. SUVmax can help thoracic surgeons to guide them in selecting appropriate therapeutic strategies for TETs.

Diagnostic performance of radiomics model for preoperative risk categorization in thymic epithelial tumors: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Incidental thymus region masses during thoracic examinations are not uncommon. The clinician's decision-making for treatment largely depends on imaging findings. Due to the lack of specific indicators, it may be of great value to explore the role of radiomics in risk categorization of the thymic epithelial tumors (TETs).

METHODS

Four databases (PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE and the Cochrane Library) were screened to identify eligible articles reporting radiomics models of diagnostic performance for risk categorization in TETs patients. The quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies 2 (QUADAS-2) and radiomics quality score (RQS) were used for methodological quality assessment. The pooled area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity and specificity with their 95% confidence intervals were calculated.

RESULTS

A total of 2134 patients in 13 studies were included in this meta-analysis. The pooled AUC of 11 studies reporting high/low-risk histologic subtypes was 0.855 (95% CI, 0.817-0.893), while the pooled AUC of 4 studies differentiating stage classification was 0.826 (95% CI, 0.817-0.893). Meta-regression revealed no source of significant heterogeneity. Subgroup analysis demonstrated that the best diagnostic imaging was contrast enhanced computer tomography (CECT) with largest pooled AUC (0.873, 95% CI 0.832-0.914). Publication bias was found to be no significance by Deeks' funnel plot.

CONCLUSIONS

This present study shows promise for preoperative selection of high-risk TETs patients based on radiomics signatures with current available evidence. However, methodological quality in further studies still needs to be improved for feasibility confirmation and clinical application of radiomics-based models in predicting risk categorization of the thymic epithelial tumors.

Current Treatment Approaches for Thymic Epithelial Tumors

Thymic epithelial tumors (TETs), including thymoma, thymic carcinoma and neuroendocrine tumors, are uncommon tumors that originate from the epithelial cells of the thymus. Nevertheless, despite their rarity, they represent the most common tumor type located in the anterior mediastinum. Therapeutic choices based on staging and histology may include surgery with or without neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy represented by chemotherapy, radiotherapy or chemo-radiotherapy. For patients with advanced or metastatic TETs, platinum-based chemotherapy remains the standard first-line treatment; however, some new drugs and combinations are currently under evaluation. In any case, proper management of patients with TETs requires a multidisciplinary team approach to personalize care for each patient.

Conventional and radiomic features to predict pathology in the preoperative assessment of anterior mediastinal masses

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to differentiate benign from malignant tumors in the anterior mediastinum based on computed tomography (CT) imaging characteristics, which could be useful in preoperative planning. Additionally, our secondary aim was to differentiate thymoma from thymic carcinoma, which could guide the use of neoadjuvant therapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients referred for thymectomy were retrospectively selected from our database. Twenty-five conventional characteristics were evaluated by visual analysis, and 101 radiomic features were extracted from each CT. In the step of model training, we applied support vector machines to train classification models. Model performance was assessed using the area under the receiver operating curves (AUC).

RESULTS

Our final study sample comprised 239 patients, 59 (24.7 %) with benign mediastinal lesions and 180 (75.3 %) with malignant thymic tumors. Among the malignant masses, there were 140 (58.6 %) thymomas, 23 (9.6 %) thymic carcinomas, and 17 (7.1 %) non-thymic lesions. For the benign versus malignant differentiation, the model that integrated both conventional and radiomic features achieved the highest diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.715), in comparison to the conventional (AUC = 0.605) and radiomic-only (AUC = 0.678) models. Similarly, regarding thymoma versus thymic carcinoma differentiation, the model that integrated both conventional and radiomic features also achieved the highest diagnostic performance (AUC = 0.810), in comparison to the conventional (AUC = 0.558) and radiomic-only (AUC = 0.774) models.

CONCLUSION

CT-based conventional and radiomic features with machine learning analysis could be useful for predicting pathologic diagnoses of anterior mediastinal masses. The diagnostic performance was moderate for differentiating benign from malignant lesions and good for differentiating thymomas from thymic carcinomas. The best diagnostic performance was achieved when both conventional and radiomic features were integrated in the machine learning algorithms.

Development and Validation of a New Staging System for Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Based on Combined Pathological TNM, Radiomics, and Proteomics

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to construct a new staging system for patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) based on combined pathological TNM (pTNM) stage, radiomics, and proteomics.

METHODS

This study collected patients with radiomics and pTNM stage (Cohort 1, n = 786), among whom 103 patients also had proteomic data (Cohort 2, n = 103). The Cox regression model with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and the Cox proportional hazards model were used to construct a nomogram and predictive models. Concordance index (C-index) and the integrated area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (IAUC) were used to evaluate the predictive models. The corresponding staging systems were further assessed using Kaplan-Meier survival curves.

RESULTS

For Cohort 1, the RadpTNM4c staging systems, constructed based on combined pTNM stage and radiomic features, outperformed the pTNM4c stage in both the training dataset 1 (Train1; IAUC 0.711 vs. 0.706, p < 0.001) and the validation dataset 1 (Valid1; IAUC 0.695 vs. 0.659, p < 0.001; C-index 0.703 vs. 0.674, p = 0.029). For Cohort 2, the ProtRadpTNM2c staging system, constructed based on combined pTNM stage, radiomics, and proteomics, outperformed the pTNM2c stage in both the Train2 (IAUC 0.777 vs. 0.610, p < 0.001; C-index 0.898 vs. 0.608, p < 0.001) and Valid2 (IAUC 0.746 vs. 0.608, p < 0.001; C-index 0.889 vs. 0.641, p = 0.009) datasets.

CONCLUSIONS

The ProtRadpTNM2c staging system, based on combined pTNM stage, radiomic, and proteomic features, improves the predictive performance of the classical pTNM staging system.

Machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping of thymic epithelial tumors: Predicting pathological and survival outcomes

OBJECTIVE

For patients with thymic epithelial tumors, accurately predicting clinicopathological outcomes remains challenging. We aimed to investigate the performance of machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping for predicting pathological (World Health Organization [WHO] type and TNM stage) and survival outcomes (overall and progression-free survival) in patients with thymic epithelial tumors.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with thymic epithelial tumors between January 2001 and January 2022. The radiomic features were extracted from preoperative unenhanced computed tomography images. After strict feature selection, random forest and random survival forest models were fitted to predict pathological and survival outcomes, respectively. The model performance was assessed by the area under the curve (AUC) and validated internally by the bootstrap method.

RESULTS

In total, 124 patients with a median age of 61 years were included. The radiomics random forest models of WHO type and TNM stage showed satisfactory performance with an AUC_WHO of 0.898 (95% CI, 0.753-1.000) and an AUC_TNM of 0.766 (95% CI, 0.642-0.886). For overall survival and progression-free survival prediction, the radiomics random survival forest models showed good performance (integrated AUCs, 0.923; 95% CI, 0.691-1.000 and 0.702; 95% CI, 0.513-0.875, respectively), and the integrated AUCs increased to 0.935 (95% CI, 0.705-1.000) and 0.811 (95% CI, 0.647-0.942), respectively, when combined with clinicopathological features.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning-based radiomic computed tomography phenotyping might allow for the satisfactory prediction of pathological and survival outcomes and further improve prognostic performance when integrated with clinicopathological features in patients with thymic epithelial tumors.

Prediction model for knee osteoarthritis using magnetic resonance-based radiomic features from the infrapatellar fat pad: data from the osteoarthritis initiative

Background

The infrapatellar fat pad (IPFP) plays an important role in the incidence of knee osteoarthritis (OA). Magnetic resonance (MR) signal heterogeneity of the IPFP is related to pathologic changes. In this study, we aimed to investigate whether the IPFP radiomic features have predictive value for incident radiographic knee OA (iROA) 1 year prior to iROA diagnosis.

Methods

Data used in this work were obtained from the osteoarthritis initiative (OAI). In this study, iROA was defined as a knee with a baseline Kellgren-Lawrence grade (KLG) of 0 or 1 that further progressed to KLG ≥2 during the follow-up visit. Intermediate-weighted turbo spin-echo knee MR images at the time of iROA diagnosis and 1 year prior were obtained. Five clinical characteristics-age, sex, body mass index, knee injury history, and knee surgery history-were obtained. A total of 604 knees were selected and matched (302 cases and 302 controls). A U-Net segmentation model was independently trained to automatically segment the IPFP. The prediction models were established in the training set (60%). Three main models were generated using (I) clinical characteristics; (II) radiomic features; (III) combined (clinical plus radiomic) features. Model performance was evaluated in an independent testing set (remaining 40%) using the area under the curve (AUC). Two secondary models were also generated using Hoffa-synovitis scores and clinical characteristics.

Results

The comparison between the automated and manual segmentations of the IPFP achieved a Dice coefficient of 0.900 (95% CI: 0.891-0.908), which was comparable to that of experienced radiologists. The radiomic features model and the combined model yielded superior AUCs of 0.700 (95% CI: 0.630-0.763) and 0.702 (95% CI: 0.635-0.763), respectively. The DeLong test found no statistically significant difference between the receiver operating curves of the radiomic and combined models (P=0.831); however, both models outperformed the clinical model (P=0.014 and 0.004, respectively).

Conclusions

Our results demonstrated that radiomic features of the IPFP are predictive of iROA 1 year prior to the diagnosis, suggesting that IPFP radiomic features can serve as an early quantitative prediction biomarker of iROA.

Machine-learning classifiers based on non-enhanced computed tomography radiomics to differentiate anterior mediastinal cysts from thymomas and low-risk from high-risk thymomas: A multi-center study

Background

This study aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of machine-learning (ML) models with multiple classifiers based on non-enhanced CT Radiomics features for differentiating anterior mediastinal cysts (AMCs) from thymomas, and high-risk from low risk thymomas.

Methods

In total, 201 patients with AMCs and thymomas from three centers were included and divided into two groups: AMCs vs. thymomas, and high-risk vs low-risk thymomas. A radiomics model (RM) was built with 73 radiomics features that were extracted from the three-dimensional images of each patient. A combined model (CM) was built with clinical features and subjective CT finding features combined with radiomics features. For the RM and CM in each group, five selection methods were adopted to select suitable features for the classifier, and seven ML classifiers were employed to build discriminative models. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the diagnostic performance of each combination.

Results

Several classifiers combined with suitable selection methods demonstrated good diagnostic performance with areas under the curves (AUCs) of 0.876 and 0.922 for the RM and CM in group 1 and 0.747 and 0.783 for the RM and CM in group 2, respectively. The combination of support vector machine (SVM) as the feature-selection method and Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT) as the classification algorithm represented the best comprehensive discriminative ability in both group. Comparatively, assessments by radiologists achieved a middle AUCs of 0.656 and 0.626 in the two groups, which were lower than the AUCs of the RM and CM. Most CMs exhibited higher AUC value compared to RMs in both groups, among them only a few CMs demonstrated better performance with significant difference in group 1.

Conclusion

Our ML models demonstrated good performance for differentiation of AMCs from thymomas and low-risk from high-risk thymomas. ML based on non-enhanced CT radiomics may serve as a novel preoperative tool.

Computed tomography-based radiomic to predict resectability in locally advanced pancreatic cancer treated with chemotherapy and radiotherapy

BACKGROUND

Surgical resection after neoadjuvant treatment is the main driver for improved survival in locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). However, the diagnostic performance of computed tomography (CT) imaging to evaluate the residual tumour burden at restaging after neoadjuvant therapy is low due to the difficulty in distinguishing neoplastic tissue from fibrous scar or inflammation. In this context, radiomics has gained popularity over conventional imaging as a complementary clinical tool capable of providing additional, unprecedented information regarding the intratumor heterogeneity and the residual neoplastic tissue, potentially serving in the therapeutic decision-making process.

AIM

To assess the capability of radiomic features to predict surgical resection in LAPC treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy.

METHODS

Patients with LAPC treated with intensive chemotherapy followed by ablative radiation therapy were retrospectively reviewed. One thousand six hundred and fifty-five radiomic features were extracted from planning CT inside the gross tumour volume. Both extracted features and clinical data contribute to create and validate the predictive model of resectability status. Patients were repeatedly divided into training and validation sets. The discriminating performance of each model, obtained applying a LASSO regression analysis, was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The validated model was applied to the entire dataset to obtain the most significant features.

RESULTS

Seventy-one patients were included in the analysis. Median age was 65 years and 57.8% of patients were male. All patients underwent induction chemotherapy followed by ablative radiotherapy, and 19 (26.8%) ultimately received surgical resection. After the first step of variable selections, a predictive model of resectability was developed with a median AUC for training and validation sets of 0.862 (95%CI: 0.792-0.921) and 0.853 (95%CI: 0.706-0.960), respectively. The validated model was applied to the entire dataset and 4 features were selected to build the model with predictive performance as measured using AUC of 0.944 (95%CI: 0.892-0.996).

CONCLUSION

The present radiomic model could help predict resectability in LAPC after neoadjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy, potentially integrating clinical and morphological parameters in predicting surgical resection.

Computed tomography radiomics for the prediction of thymic epithelial tumor histology, TNM stage and myasthenia gravis

Objectives

To evaluate CT-derived radiomics for machine learning-based classification of thymic epithelial tumor (TET) stage (TNM classification), histology (WHO classification) and the presence of myasthenia gravis (MG).

Methods

Patients with histologically confirmed TET in the years 2000–2018 were retrospectively included, excluding patients with incompatible imaging or other tumors. CT scans were reformatted uniformly, gray values were normalized and discretized. Tumors were segmented manually; 15 scans were re-segmented after 2 weeks by two readers. 1316 radiomic features were calculated (pyRadiomics). Features with low intra-/inter-reader agreement (ICC<0.75) were excluded. Repeated nested cross-validation was used for feature selection (Boruta algorithm), model training, and evaluation (out-of-fold predictions). Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) values were calculated to assess feature importance.

Results

105 patients undergoing surgery for TET were identified. After applying exclusion criteria, 62 patients (28 female; mean age, 57±14 years; range, 22–82 years) with 34 low-risk TET (LRT; WHO types A/AB/B1), 28 high-risk TET (HRT; WHO B2/B3/C) in early stage (49, TNM stage I-II) or advanced stage (13, TNM III-IV) were included. 14(23%) of the patients had MG. 334(25%) features were excluded after intra-/inter-reader analysis. Discriminatory performance of the random forest classifiers was good for histology(AUC, 87.6%; 95% confidence interval, 76.3–94.3) and TNM stage(AUC, 83.8%; 95%CI, 66.9–93.4) but poor for the prediction of MG (AUC, 63.9%; 95%CI, 44.8–79.5).

Conclusions

CT-derived radiomic features may be a useful imaging biomarker for TET histology and TNM stage.