Influence of coarse particulate matter on chickenpox in Jiading District, Shanghai, 2009-2018: A distributed lag non-linear time series analysis

Epidemiologic and clinical updates on viral infections in Saudi Arabia

In the past two decades, the world has witnessed devastating pandemics affecting the global healthcare infrastructure and disrupting society and the economy worldwide. Among all pathogens, viruses play a critical role that is associated with outbreaks due to their wide range of species, involvement of animal hosts, easily transmitted to humans, and increased rates of infectivity. Viral disease outbreaks threaten public health globally due to the challenges associated with controlling and eradicating them. Implementing effective viral disease control programs starts with ongoing surveillance data collection and analyses to detect infectious disease trends and patterns, which is critical for maintaining public health. Viral disease control strategies include improved hygiene and sanitation facilities, eliminating arthropod vectors, vaccinations, and quarantine. The Saudi Ministry of Health (MOH) and the Public Health Authority (also known as Weqayah) in Saudi Arabia are responsible for public health surveillance to control and prevent infectious diseases. The notifiable viral diseases based on the Saudi MOH include hepatitis diseases, viral hemorrhagic fevers, respiratory viral diseases, exanthematous viral diseases, neurological viral diseases, and conjunctivitis. Monitoring trends and detecting changes in these viral diseases is essential to provide proper interventions, evaluate the established prevention programs, and develop better prevention strategies. Therefore, this review aims to highlight the epidemiological updates of the recently reported viral infections in Saudi Arabia and to provide insights into the recent clinical treatment and prevention strategies.

Association Between Air Pollution and Coronary Heart Disease Hospitalizations in Lanzhou City, 2013-2020: a Time Series Analysis

Coronary heart disease (CHD) is one of the most serious public health problems. However, few studies have focused on the effects of exposure to particulate matter and gaseous air pollutants on CHD. This study aimed to explore the relationship between air pollutants and the number of hospitalized patients with CHD in Lanzhou, and we collected daily data on the number of hospitalized patients with CHD, daily air pollutants, and meteorological factors from 2013 to 2020. A distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was applied to evaluate the relationship between air pollutants and the number of hospitalized patients with CHD. The results indicated that the hysteresis effect of all pollutants except O38h reached its maximum at lag3, and the relative risk of coronary heart disease admission was 1.0014 (95%CI: 1.0004, 1.0023), 1.0003 (95%CI: 1.0000, 1.0006), 1.0020 (95%CI: 1.0004, 1.0035), and 1.0053 (95%CI: 1.0026, 1.0080) when PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and SO2 concentrations were increased by 10 μg/m3, respectively. Each 1 mg/m3 increase in CO concentration was associated with a relative risk of coronary heart disease; hospitalization risk was 1.1076 (95%CI: 1.0530, 1.1650). We observed a relative risk of 0.9991 (95%CI: 0.9986, 0.9999) for each 10 μg/m3 increase in O38h for coronary heart disease admission at lag1. Women and elderly were more susceptible to the impact of air pollution, and the impact was greater during cold seasons. Our results indicate that air pollution increased the risk of hospitalization for CHD in a short term. The research findings can provide strategic insights into the impact of current and future air pollution on CHD.

Association between meteorological factors and varicella incidence: a multicity study in Yunnan Province, China

This multicenter study aimed to investigate the relationship between varicella incidence and meteorological factors including mean temperature, relative humidity, sunshine duration, diurnal temperature difference, wind speed, and rainfall, as previous studies have produced varying results. Our study also sought to identify potential sources of heterogeneity. Data on reported daily varicella numbers and meteorological factors were collected for 14 cities in Yunnan Province from 2017 to 2021. A distribution-lagged nonlinear model was constructed to explore the relationship between meteorological conditions and varicella incidence in each included city. We then used multiple meta-regression to explore sources of heterogeneity using demographic economics indicators, air pollutants, and geographic location as potential modifiers. The cumulative hazard effect plot showed an inverted S-shape for the relationship between temperature and varicella, with the smallest RR (relative risk) (0.533, 95% CI: 0.401-0.708) at temperatures up to 27.2 °C. The maximum RR (1.171, 95% CI: 1.001-1.371) was obtained when the relative humidity was equal to 98.5%. The RR (1.164, 95% CI: 1.002-1.352) was greatest at a diurnal temperature range of 2 °C (1.164, 95% CI: 1.002-1.352) and least (0.913, 95% CI: 0.834-0.999) at a diurnal temperature range of 16.1 °C. The maximum RR (1.214, 95% CI: 1.089-1.354) was obtained at 0 h of sunshine, and the minimum RR (0.808, 95% CI: 0.675-0.968) was obtained at 12.4 h of sunshine. The RR (0.792, 95% CI: 0.633-0.992) was minimum at a wind velocity of 4.8 m/s. Residual heterogeneity ranged from 1 to 42.7%, with PM10 (particles with an aerodynamic diameter less than 10 μm), GDP (gross domestic product), and population density explaining some of this heterogeneity. The temperature has a dual effect on varicella incidence. Varicella cases are negatively correlated with diurnal temperature range, sunshine duration, and wind speed, and positively correlated with relative humidity. GDP and PM10 may have a significant role in altering the association between temperature and varicella, while PM10 and population density may alter the association between wind velocity and varicella.

Associations between congenital heart disease and air pollutants at different gestational weeks: a time-series analysis

Exposure to air pollution during pregnancy has been linked to birth defects. But the directions of studies on the associations between air pollutants exposure and effect on the incidence of congenital heart disease (CHDs) were inconsistent. To date, few studies were concentrated on the effects of both particulate matter and gaseous air pollutant exposure on CHDs across the full gestational week simultaneously. Our study aimed to investigate the critical exposure windows for each air pollutant throughout 40 gestational weeks. Data on CHDs, air pollution, and meteorological factors from 2013 to 2019 were collected in Lanzhou, China. A distributed lag nonlinear model combined with a quasi-Poisson regression model was applied to evaluate the weekly exposure-lag-response association between air pollutants levels and CHDs, and the subgroup analyses were conducted by gender (baby boy and baby girl). The study included 1607 mother-infant pairs. The results demonstrated that exposure of pregnant women to particulate matter ≤ 5 μm (PM_2.5) at lag 1-4 weeks was significantly associated with the risk of CHDs, and the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.150, 95%CI 1.059-1.248). For exposure to particulate matter ≤ 10 μm (PM₁₀) at lag 1-3 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.075, 95% CI 1.026-1.128). For exposure to sulfur dioxide (SO₂) at lag 1-4 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.154, 95% CI 1.025-1.299). For exposure to carbon monoxide (CO) at lag 1-3 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 1 week (1.089, 95% CI 1.002-1.183). For exposure to ozone (O₃) concentration at lag 9-15 weeks, the strongest effects were observed in the lag 15 weeks (1.628, 95% CI 1.001-2.649). The cumulative effects of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂, and CO along weeks with a maximum of 1.609 (95%CI 1.000-2.589), 1.286 (95%CI 1.007-1.641), 1.648 (95%CI 1.018-2.668), and 1.368 (95%CI 1.003, 1.865), respectively. The effects were obvious in the initial gestational weeks too. Through the gender stratification analysis, the air pollutants with significant effects were PM_2.5 for baby boys and PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂, CO, NO₂, and O₃ for baby girl. For the relationship between CHDs and air pollution in Lanzhou, PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂, CO, and O₃ played an important role in the initial gestational weeks, especially for baby girl.

Effects of meteorological factors on the incidence of varicella in Lu'an, Eastern China, 2015-2020

Varicella (chickenpox) is a serious public health problem in China, with the most reported cases among childhood vaccine-preventable infectious diseases, and its reported incidence has increased over 20-fold since 2005. Few previous studies have explored the association of multiple meteorological factors with varicella and considered the potential confounding effects of air pollutants. It is the first study to investigate and analyze the effects of multiple meteorological factors on varicella incidence, controlling for the confounding effects of various air pollutants. Daily meteorological and air pollution data and varicella cases were collected from January 1, 2015, to December 31, 2020, in Lu'an, Eastern China. A combination of the quasi-Poisson generalized additive model (GAM) and distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to evaluate the meteorological factor-lag-varicella relationship, and the risk of varicella in extreme meteorological conditions. The maximum single-day lag effects of varicella were 1.288 (95%CI, 1.201-1.381, lag 16 day), 1.475 (95%CI, 1.152-1.889, lag 0 day), 1.307 (95%CI, 1.196-1.427, lag 16 day), 1.271 (95%CI, 0.981-1.647, lag 4 day), and 1.266 (95%CI, 1.162-1.378, lag 21 day), when mean temperature, diurnal temperature range (DTR), mean air pressure, wind speed, and sunshine hours were -5.8°C, 13.5°C, 1035.5 hPa, 6 m/s, and 0 h, respectively. At the maximum lag period, the overall effects of mean temperature and pressure on varicella showed W-shaped curves, peaked at 17.5°C (RR=2.085, 95%CI: 1.480-2.937) and 1035.5 hPa (RR=5.481, 95%CI: 1.813-16.577), while DTR showed an M-shaped curve and peaked at 4.4°C (RR=6.131, 95%CI: 1.120-33.570). Sunshine hours were positively correlated with varicella cases at the lag of 0-8 days and 0-9 days when sunshine duration exceeded 10 h. Furthermore, the lag effects of extreme meteorological factors on varicella cases were statistically significant, except for the extremely high wind speed. We found that mean temperature, mean air pressure, DTR, and sunshine hours had significant nonlinear effects on varicella incidence, which may be important predictors of varicella early warning.

Interactive effects of meteorological factors and air pollutants on hand, foot, and mouth disease in Chengdu, China: a time-series study

OBJECTIVES

Hand, foot, and mouth disease (HFMD) is a viral infectious disease that poses a substantial threat in the Asia-Pacific region. It is widely reported that meteorological factors are associated with HFMD. However, the relationships between air pollutants and HFMD are still controversial. In addition, the interactive effects between meteorological factors and air pollutants on HFMD remain unknown. To fill this research gap, we conducted a time-series study.

DESIGN

A time-series study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Daily cases of HFMD as well as meteorological and air pollution data were collected in Chengdu from 2011 to 2017. A total of 184 610 HFMD cases under the age of 15 were included in our study.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Distributed lag nonlinear models were used to investigate the relationships between HFMD and environmental factors, including mean temperature, relative humidity, SO2, NO2, and PM10. Then, the relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI) and the proportion attributable to interaction were calculated to quantitatively evaluate the interactions between meteorological factors and air pollutants on HFMD. Bivariate response surface models were used to visually display the interactive effects.

RESULTS

The cumulative exposure-response curves of SO2 and NO2 were inverted 'V'-shaped and 'M'-shaped, respectively, and the risk of HFMD gradually decreased with increasing PM10 concentrations. We found that there were synergistic interactions between mean temperature and SO2, relative humidity and SO2, as well as relative humidity and PM10 on HFMD, with individual RERIs of 0.334 (95% CI 0.119 to 0.548), 0.428 (95% CI 0.214 to 0.642) and 0.501 (95% CI 0.262 to 0.741), respectively, indicating that the effects of SO2 and PM10 on HFMD were stronger under high temperature (>17.3°C) or high humidity (>80.0%) conditions.

CONCLUSIONS

There were interactive effects between meteorological factors and air pollutants on HFMD. Our findings could provide guidance for targeted and timely preventive and control measures for HFMD.

Association between preconceptional air pollution exposure and medical purposes for selective termination of pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Exposure to air pollutants is associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. But evidence on the effects of preconceptional air pollution exposure on the risk of termination of pregnancy (TOP) caused by pregnancy losses and congenital malformations is lacking.

METHODS

The distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to evaluate the impact of short-term air pollutants exposure on the risk of TOP. Stratified analyses by age (<35 years old, ≥ 35 years old) and season (warm season, cold season) were further conducted. Relative risk (RR) and 95 % confidential interval (95 % CI) were calculated for per interquartile range (IQR) increment in air pollutants during the study period.

RESULTS

PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and O₃ exposure were significantly associated with elevated risk of TOP. The risk of TOP was associated with PM_2.5 exposure from lag11 to lag15 in the single-pollutant model, and the strongest association was observed at lag13 (RR = 1.021, 95%CI:1.002-1.040). PM₁₀ exposure from lag10 to lag15 was associated with increased TOP risk, with the corresponding peak association being at lag13 (RR = 1.020, 95%CI: 1.004-1.037). For O₃, the single-day lag association appeared to be statistically significant from lag26 to lag27, with the highest RR of TOP cases being at lag27 (RR = 1.044, 95%CI: 1.005-1.084). Similar results were observed for pregnancy losses (PL). However, no significantly association between air pollution exposure and the risk of congenital malformations (CM) was found in this study. Stratified analyses showed that pregnant women with more advanced ages were more susceptible to PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and O₃ exposure. The effect of PM_2.5 exposure was statistically significant in cold season subgroups.

CONCLUSION

The findings suggest that exposure to PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and O₃ before pregnancy are associated with the risk of TOP in Lu'an, China, reflecting the significance of preconceptional environmental exposure in the development of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

Influence of ambient temperature and diurnal temperature variation on the premature rupture of membranes in East China: A distributed lag nonlinear time series analysis

BACKGROUND

Extreme ambient temperature has an adverse effect on pregnancy outcomes, but the conclusions have been inconsistent. The influence of ambient temperature and diurnal temperature variation on the premature rupture of membranes (PROM) needs further study.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

The daily data of PROMs, daily meteorological and air pollutant were obtained. After controlling for potential confounding factors, the quasi-Poisson generalized additive model (GAM) combined with the distributed lag nonlinear model (DLNM) was used to analyze the association between temperature or diurnal temperature variation and PROM, including preterm premature rupture of membranes (PPROM) and term premature rupture of membranes (term PROM). Compared with the median temperature(18.7 °C), the mean temperature of 5-7 days lagging beyond 31.5 °C and below -1.5 °C was positively correlated with PROM; the mean temperature had more sensitive effect on the term PROM. Exposure to extremely high temperatures (97.5th percentile, 32 °C) had a 6-day lagging relative risk (RR) (95% CI: 1.005-1.160) of 1.08 for PROM and a 6-day lagging RR of 1.079 (95% CI: 1.005-1.159) for term PROM; Exposure to a high diurnal temperature variation (diurnal temperature variation greater than 16 °C) was positively correlated with the term PROM. Compared with the 2.5th percentile diurnal temperature variation (2 °C), exposure to the 95th percentile diurnal temperature variation (17 °C) significantly increased the risk of term PROM (RR: 1.229, 95% CI: 1.029-1.467).

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to a high-temperature and a high diurnal temperature variation environment will increase the relative risks of PROM. For pregnant women in the 3rd trimester, it is important to reduce exposure to extremely high-temperatures and greater diurnal temperature changes.

Associations between air pollution exposure and birth defects: a time series analysis

Air pollution is a serious environmental problem in China. Birth defects are particularly vulnerable to outdoor air pollution. Our study was to evaluate the association between short-term exposure to air pollutants and the risk of birth defects. Daily data including the air pollutants, meteorological characteristics, and birth records were obtained in Hefei, China, during January 2013 to December 2016. The findings showed that PM_2.5, PM₁₀, SO₂, NO₂, and O₃ exposures were positively correlated with the risk of birth defects. Maternal exposure to PM_2.5 and SO₂ during the 4th to 13th gestational weeks was observed to have a significant association with the risk of birth defects, with the maximum effect in the 7th or 8th week for PM_2.5 and the maximum effect in the 7th week for SO₂. The positively significant exposure windows were the 4th to 14th weeks for PM₁₀, the 4th to 12th weeks for NO₂, and the 26th to 35th weeks for O₃, respectively. The strongest associations were observed in the 8th week for PM₁₀, the 7th week for NO₂, and in the 31st or 32nd week for O_3. The findings of this study demonstrate that air pollutants increase the risk of birth defects among women during pregnancy in Hefei, China, which provide evidence for improving the health of pregnant women and neonates in developing countries, and uncovered potential opportunities to reduce or prevent birth defects by proactive measures during pregnancy.

Influence of air pollutants on varicella among adults

Little attention has been paid to the relationship between air pollutants and varicella among adults. We used data collected in Qingdao, China from 2014 to 2019. A combination of quasi-Poisson generalized linear model (GLM) and distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) was applied to evaluate the association between exposure to air pollutants and varicella. And the effects of exposure to extremely high concentration (at 97.5th percentile) and low concentration (at 2.5th percentile) of air pollutants on varicella were also calculated. The level II of GB3095-2012 was used as the reference. A 10 μg/m³ increase of PM_2.5 was significantly associated with an increased risk of varicella (lag day: 4, 5 and 6). The negative associations were found for NO₂ per 10 μg/m³ increase from lag 15 to 19 day. The high PM_2.5 concentration (135 μg/m³) was significantly associated with the increased risk of varicella (lag day: 6, 7). For NO₂, the negative association was found at high concentration (75 μg/m³) on lag 15 to 20 day; and the positive relationship was shown at low concentration (10 μg/m³) on lag 15 to 20 day. Exposure to PM_2.5 and NO₂ were significantly associated with the risk of varicella among adults.

Relationship between built environments and risks of ischemic stroke based on meteorological factors: A case study of Wuhan's main urban area

Ischemic stroke is one of the most common causes of death worldwide, and uncomfortable meteorological and built environments may increase its risk. Residents in different built environments are exposed to different risks of ischemic stroke in cold and hot weather. By using the data from 3547 patients hospitalized, a distributed lag non-linear model was established to compare the differences in the risk of ischemic stroke in urban areas with respect to different Building Height, Building Density, Normalized Differential Vegetation Index, and Distance to Water under the meteorological condition. The results showed that lower Building Height is related to the negative cold effects in winter, and higher Building Height is related to increased risks at high temperatures. Built environments with Building Heights of 10-15 m in hot weather and above 15 m in cold weather have low risks. Higher Building Density was found to be associated with reduced negative cold effects; however, the negative hot effects increased in summer. Built environments with a Building Density of more than 0.3 showed low risks, regardless of the weather conditions. Increasing NDVI seemed to mitigate negative effects in uncomfortable weather, and built environments with higher NDVI were found to be associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke. Built environments with shorter Distance to Water seemed to pose higher risks in summer, and longer Distance to Water was correlated with higher risks in winter. Built environments with Distance to Water in the range of 0.65-2.30 km showed low risks. The research results could have some implications for urban planners to form reasonable built environments under certain meteorological factors which can be beneficial for the mitigation of incidence of ischemic stroke.