DNA methylation-based age prediction using massively parallel sequencing data and multiple machine learning models

Male-specific age prediction based on Y-chromosome DNA methylation with blood using pyrosequencing

Age prediction is an important aspect of forensic science that offers valuable insight into identification. In recent years, extensive studies have been conducted on age prediction based on DNA methylation, and numerous studies have demonstrated that DNA methylation is a reliable biomarker for age prediction. However, almost all studies on age prediction based on DNA methylation have focused on age-related CpG sites in autosomes, which are concentrated on single-source DNA samples. Mixed samples, especially male-female mixed samples, are common in forensic casework. The application of Y-STRs and Y-SNPs can provide clues for the genetic typing of male individuals in male-female mixtures, but they cannot provide the age information of male individuals. Studies on Y-chromosome DNA methylation can address this issue. In this study, we identified five age-related CpG sites on the Y chromosome (Y-CpGs) and developed a male-specific age prediction model using pyrosequencing combined with a support vector machine algorithm. The mean absolute deviation of the model was 5.50 years in the training set and 6.74 years in the testing set. When we used a male blood sample to predict age, the deviation between the predicted and chronological age was 1.18 years. Then, we mixed the genomic DNA of the male and a female at ratios of 1:1, 1:5, 1:10, and 1:50, the range of deviation between the predicted and chronological age of the male in the mixture was 1.16-1.74 years. In addition, there was no significant difference between the methylation values of bloodstains and blood in the same sample, which indicates that our model is also suitable for bloodstain samples. Overall, our results show that age prediction using DNA methylation of the Y chromosome has potential applications in forensic science and can be of great help in predicting the age of males in male-female mixtures. Furthermore, this work lays the foundation for future research on age-related applications of Y-CpGs.

Profiling age and body fluid DNA methylation markers using nanopore adaptive sampling

DNA methylation plays essential roles in regulating physiological processes, from tissue and organ development to gene expression and aging processes and has emerged as a widely used biomarker for the identification of body fluids and age prediction. Currently, methylation markers are targeted independently at specific CpG sites as part of a multiplexed assay rather than through a unified assay. Methylation detection is also dependent on divergent methodologies, ranging from enzyme digestion and affinity enrichment to bisulfite treatment, alongside various technologies for high-throughput profiling, including microarray and sequencing. In this pilot study, we test the simultaneous identification of age-associated and body fluid-specific methylation markers using a single technology, nanopore adaptive sampling. This innovative approach enables the profiling of multiple CpG marker sites across entire gene regions from a single sample without the need for specialized DNA preparation or additional biochemical treatments. Our study demonstrates that adaptive sampling achieves sufficient coverage in regions of interest to accurately determine the methylation status, shows a robust consistency with whole-genome bisulfite sequencing data, and corroborates known CpG markers of age and body fluids. Our work also resulted in the identification of new sites strongly correlated with age, suggesting new possible age methylation markers. This study lays the groundwork for the systematic development of nanopore-based methodologies in both age prediction and body fluid identification, highlighting the feasibility and potential of nanopore adaptive sampling while acknowledging the need for further validation and expansion in future research.

Loss of the Y Chromosome: A Review of Molecular Mechanisms, Age Inference, and Implications for Men's Health

Until a few years ago, it was believed that the gradual mosaic loss of the Y chromosome (mLOY) was a normal age-related process. However, it is now known that mLOY is associated with a wide variety of pathologies in men, such as cardiovascular diseases, neurodegenerative disorders, and many types of cancer. Nevertheless, the mechanisms that generate mLOY in men have not been studied so far. This task is of great importance because it will allow focusing on possible methods of prophylaxis or therapy for diseases associated with mLOY. On the other hand, it would allow better understanding of mLOY as a possible marker for inferring the age of male samples in cases of human identification. Due to the above, in this work, a comprehensive review of the literature was conducted, presenting the most relevant information on the possible molecular mechanisms by which mLOY is generated, as well as its implications for men's health and its possible use as a marker to infer age.

Collaborative exercise: analysis of age estimation using a QIAGEN protocol and the PyroMark Q48 platform

Human age estimation from trace samples may give important leads early in a police investigation by contributing to the description of the perpetrator. Several molecular biomarkers are available for the estimation of chronological age, and currently, DNA methylation patterns are the most promising. In this study, a QIAGEN age protocol for age estimation was tested by five forensic genetic laboratories. The assay comprised bisulfite treatment of the extracted DNA, amplification of five CpG loci (in the genes of ELOVL2, C1orf132, TRIM59, KLF14, and FHL2), and sequencing of the amplicons using the PyroMark Q48 platform. Blood samples from 49 individuals with ages ranging from 18 to 64 years as well as negative and methylation controls were analyzed. An existing age estimation model was applied to display a mean absolute deviation of 3.62 years within the reference data set.

Key points

Age determination as an intelligence tool during investigations can be a powerful tool in forensic genetics.In this study, five laboratories ran 49 samples and obtained a mean absolute deviation of 3.62 years.Five markers were analyzed on a PyroMark Q48 platform.

Biologically informed deep learning for explainable epigenetic clocks

Ageing is often characterised by progressive accumulation of damage, and it is one of the most important risk factors for chronic disease development. Epigenetic mechanisms including DNA methylation could functionally contribute to organismal aging, however the key functions and biological processes may govern ageing are still not understood. Although age predictors called epigenetic clocks can accurately estimate the biological age of an individual based on cellular DNA methylation, their models have limited ability to explain the prediction algorithm behind and underlying key biological processes controlling ageing. Here we present XAI-AGE, a biologically informed, explainable deep neural network model for accurate biological age prediction across multiple tissue types. We show that XAI-AGE outperforms the first-generation age predictors and achieves similar results to deep learning-based models, while opening up the possibility to infer biologically meaningful insights of the activity of pathways and other abstract biological processes directly from the model.

Estimation of Human Chronological Age from Buccal Swab Samples through a DNA Methylation Analysis Approach of a Five-Locus Multiple Regression Model

Recent advancements in forensic genetics have facilitated the extraction of additional characteristics from unidentified samples. This study delves into the predictive potential of a five-gene (ELOVL2, FHL2, KLF14, C1orf132, and TRIM59) methylation rate analysis for human age estimation using buccal swabs collected from 60 Italian volunteers. The methylation levels of specific CpG sites in the five genes were analyzed through bisulfite conversion, single-base extension, and capillary electrophoresis. A multivariate linear regression model was crafted on the training set, then the test set was employed to validate the predictive model. The multivariate predictive model revealed a mean absolute deviation of 3.49 years in the test set of our sample. While limitations include a modest sample size, the study provides valuable insights into the potential of buccal swab-based age prediction, aiding in criminal investigations where accurate age determination is crucial. Our results also highlight that it is necessary to investigate the effectiveness of predictive models specific to biological tissues and individual populations, since models already proven effective for other populations or different tissues did not show the same effectiveness in our study.

Longitudinal changes and variation in human DNA methylation analysed with the Illumina MethylationEPIC BeadChip assay and their implications on forensic age prediction

DNA methylation, a pivotal epigenetic modification, plays a crucial role in regulating gene expression and is known to undergo dynamic changes with age. The present study investigated epigenome-wide methylation profiles in 64 individuals over two time points, 15 years apart, using the Illumina EPIC850k arrays. A mixed-effects model identified 2821 age-associated differentially methylated CpG positions (aDMPs) with a median rate of change of 0.18% per year, consistent with a 10-15% change during a human lifespan. Significant variation in the baseline DNA methylation levels between individuals of similar ages as well as inconsistent direction of change with time across individuals were observed for all the aDMPs. Twenty-three of the 2821 aDMPs were previously incorporated into forensic age prediction models. These markers displayed larger changes in DNA methylation with age compared to all the aDMPs and less variation among individuals. Nevertheless, the forensic aDMPs also showed inter-individual variations in the direction of DNA methylation changes. Only cg16867657 in ELOVL2 exhibited a uniform direction of the age-related change among the investigated individuals, which supports the current knowledge that CpG sites in ELOVL2 are the best markers for age prediction.

Age-related changes in sperm DNA methylation and their forensic and clinical implications

As a link between a stable genome and a dynamic environment, epigenetics is a promising tool for mapping age-related changes in human DNA. Methylated cytosine changes at specific loci are generally less studied in sperm DNA than in somatic cell DNA. Age-related methylation changes can be connected to various reproductive health problems and multiple disorders in offspring. In addition, they can be helpful in forensic fields, where testing of specific loci in semen samples found at sexual assault crime scenes can predict a perpetrator's age and narrow down the police investigation. This review focuses on age-related methylation changes in sperm. It covers the biological role of methylation, methylation testing techniques and the implications of methylation changes in forensics and clinical practice.

Improved age estimation from semen using sperm-specific age-related CpG markers

Accurate age estimation from semen has the potential to greatly narrow the pool of unidentified suspects in sexual assault investigations. However, previous efforts utilizing semen age-related CpG (AR-CpG) markers have shown lower accuracy compared to blood AR-CpG-based methods. This discrepancy may be attributed to DNA methylation (DNAm) interferences from "round cells" such as leukocytes and immature sperm cells in semen. This study aimed to develop age calculators based on sperm-specific AR-CpG markers and to achieve performance-improved age estimates from sperm DNA. Through an analysis of publicly available MethylationEPIC microarray data from 90 sperm samples of healthy males aged 22-51 years, we identified 31 sperm-specific AR-CpG markers with absolute Pearson's R values > 0.5 and Benjamini-Hochberg adjusted p values < 0.013. The top 19 AR-CpG markers with the largest absolute R values and beta ranges > 0.10, along with 3 reported semen AR-CpG markers (cg06304190, cg06979108, and cg12837463), were integrated into two methylation SNaPshot panels (Ⅰ and Ⅱ), each containing 11 markers. The 21 qualified AR-CpG markers showed absolute R values ≥ 0.427 in an independent validation cohort of 253 sperm DNA samples (22-67 years), with cg21843517 exhibiting the strongest age correlation (R = 0.853). The optimal models, constructed using sperm DNAm data of the training set (n = 214, 22-67 years) and markers from panel Ⅰ (n = 11), panel Ⅱ (n = 10), or both panels, achieved mean absolute errors (MAEs) of 2.526-4.746, 3.890-5.715, and > 9.800 years on the test sets of sperm (n = 39, 23-64 years), semen (same donors as the sperm test set), and whole blood (n = 40, 22-65 years), respectively. The simplified models incorporating 3, 5, 9, or 14 AR-CpG markers (MAE = 2.918-4.139 years for sperm) still outperformed the Lee et al. original model (MAE = 6.444 years for semen) and the reconstructed panel Lee model (MAE = 6.011 years for sperm). The final models, utilizing all sperm DNAm data (n = 253) and markers from panel Ⅰ, panel Ⅱ, or both panels, yielded mean MAEs of 2.587, 2.766, and 2.200 years, respectively, on the 50 test sets generated by 5 repeats of 10-fold cross-validations. Additionally, multiple markers in both panels demonstrated the ability to discern sperm or semen from blood with 100% accuracy. In summary, our study substantiates the potential of sperm-specific AR-CpG markers for precise age estimation from sperm DNA, providing an improved toolset for forensic investigations.

Connections between cross-tissue and intra-tissue biomarkers of aging biology in older adults

Background

Saliva measures are generally more accessible than blood, especially in vulnerable populations. However, connections between aging biology biomarkers in different body tissues remain unknown.

Methods

The present study included individuals (N = 2406) who consented for saliva and blood draw in the Health and Retirement Telomere length study in 2008 and the Venous blood study in 2016 who had complete data for both tissues. We assessed biological aging based on telomere length in saliva and DNA methylation and physiology measures in blood. DNA methylation clocks combine information from CpGs to produce the aging measures representative of epigenetic aging in humans. We analyzed DNA methylation clocks proposed by Horvath (353 CpG sites), Hannum (71 CpG sites), Levine or PhenoAge, (513 CpG sites), GrimAge, (epigenetic surrogate markers for select plasma proteins), Horvath skin and blood (391 CpG sites), Lin (99 CpG sites), Weidner (3 CpG sites), and VidalBralo (8 CpG sites). Physiology measures (referred to as phenotypic age) included albumin, creatinine, glucose, [log] C-reactive protein, lymphocyte percent, mean cell volume, red blood cell distribution width, alkaline phosphatase, and white blood cell count. The phenotypic age algorithm is based on parametrization of Gompertz proportional hazard models. Average telomere length was assayed using quantitative PCR (qPCR) by comparing the telomere sequence copy number in each patient's sample (T) to a single-copy gene copy number (S). The resulting T/S ratio was proportional to telomere length, mean. Within individual, relationships between aging biology measures in blood and saliva and variations according to sex were assessed.

Results

Saliva-based telomere length showed inverse associations with both physiology-based and DNA methylation-based aging biology biomarkers in blood. Longer saliva-based telomere length was associated with 1 to 4 years slower biological aging based on blood-based biomarkers with the highest magnitude being Weidner (β = - 3.97, P = 0.005), GrimAge (β = - 3.33, P < 0.001), and Lin (β = - 3.45, P = 0.008) biomarkers of DNA methylation.

Conclusions

There are strong connections between aging biology biomarkers in saliva and blood in older adults. Changes in telomere length vary with changes in DNA methylation and physiology biomarkers of aging biology. We observed variations in the relationship between each body system represented by physiology biomarkers and biological aging, particularly at the DNA methylation level. These observations provide novel opportunities for integration of both blood-based and saliva-based biomarkers in clinical care of vulnerable and clinically difficult to reach populations where either or both tissues would be accessible for clinical monitoring purposes.

Getting the chronological age out of DNA: using insights of age-dependent DNA methylation for forensic DNA applications

BACKGROUND

DNA analysis for forensic investigations has a long tradition with important developments and optimizations since its first application. Traditionally, short tandem repeats analysis has been the most powerful method for the identification of individuals. However, in addition, epigenetic changes, i.e., DNA methylation, came into focus of forensic DNA research. Chronological age prediction is one promising application to allow for narrowing the pool of possible individuals who caused a trace, as well as to support the identification of unknown bodies and for age verification of living individuals.

OBJECTIVE

This review aims to provide an overview of the current knowledge, possibilities, and (current) limitations about DNA methylation-based chronological age prediction with emphasis on forensic application.

METHODS

The development, implementation and application of age prediction tools requires a deep understanding about the biological background, the analysis methods, the age-dependent DNA methylation markers, as well as the mathematical models for age prediction and their evaluation. Furthermore, additional influences can have an impact. Therefore, the literature was evaluated in respect to these diverse topics.

CONCLUSION

The numerous research efforts in recent years have led to a rapid change in our understanding of the application of DNA methylation for chronological age prediction, which is now on the way to implementation and validation. Knowledge of the various aspects leads to a better understanding and allows a more informed interpretation of DNAm quantification results, as well as the obtained results by the age prediction tools.

Development of a novel forensic age estimation strategy for aged blood samples by combining piRNA and miRNA markers

In forensic investigations, age estimation is vital for determining whether a suspect is under or over the legally defined adult age. With breakthroughs in RNA sequencing technology, small noncoding RNAs have provided new ways to solve problems related to the age estimation of trace or aged samples, owing to their small molecular weight and better stability. In our previous study, we had applied miRNAs for the age estimation of bloodstains; however, further improvement of the existing model is needed. PIWI-interacting RNAs (PiRNAs), which are 24-32 nt noncoding small RNA molecules involved in the PIWI-piRNA pathway, play an important role in the aging process. In this study, we explored the possibility of simultaneously analyzing piRNAs and miRNAs for better age estimation purpose. Through massively parallel sequencing, five age-related piRNAs were identified in blood samples that had been stored for eight years. Further real-time PCR analysis revealed that two piRNAs (piR-000753 and piR-020548) showed relatively higher efficiency in age estimation. Additionally, two age-related miRNAs (miR-324-3p and miR-330-5p) were used to build the estimation model. Among all algorithms tested, gradient boosting showed the lowest mean absolute error (MAE) and root mean square error (RMSE) values (3.171 and 4.403 years, respectively) for the validation dataset (n = 110). The errors of the model were less than 5 years and 10 years for 81.82% and 96.36% of the samples, respectively. The results suggest that the combined use of piRNA and miRNA markers may increase the accuracy of age estimation, and our new model has great potential for application in forensic casework.

Prediction of chronological age and its applications in forensic casework: methods, current practices, and future perspectives

Estimating an individual's age can be relevant in several areas primarily related to the clinical and forensic fields. In the latter, estimation of an individual's chronological age from biological material left by the perpetrator at a crime scene may provide helpful information for police investigation. Estimation of age is also beneficial in immigration cases, where age can affect the person's protection status under the law, or in disaster victim identification to narrow the list of potential missing persons. In the last decade, research has focused on establishing new approaches for age prediction in the forensic field. From the first forensic age estimations based on morphological inspections of macroscopic changes in bone and teeth, the focus has shifted to molecular methods for age estimation. These methods allow the use of samples from human biological material that does not contain morphological age features and can, in theory, be investigated in traces containing only small amounts of biological material. Molecular methods involving DNA analyses are the primary choice and estimation of DNA methylation levels at specific sites in the genome is the most promising tool. This review aims to provide an overview of the status of forensic age prediction using molecular methods, with particular focus in DNA methylation. The frequent challenges that impact forensic age prediction model development will be addressed, together with the importance of validation efforts within the forensic community.

Recent advances in Forensic DNA Phenotyping of appearance, ancestry and age

Forensic DNA Phenotyping (FDP) comprises the prediction of a person's externally visible characteristics regarding appearance, biogeographic ancestry and age from DNA of crime scene samples, to provide investigative leads to help find unknown perpetrators that cannot be identified with forensic STR-profiling. In recent years, FDP has advanced considerably in all of its three components, which we summarize in this review article. Appearance prediction from DNA has broadened beyond eye, hair and skin color to additionally comprise other traits such as eyebrow color, freckles, hair structure, hair loss in men, and tall stature. Biogeographic ancestry inference from DNA has progressed from continental ancestry to sub-continental ancestry detection and the resolving of co-ancestry patterns in genetically admixed individuals. Age estimation from DNA has widened beyond blood to more somatic tissues such as saliva and bones as well as new markers and tools for semen. Technological progress has allowed forensically suitable DNA technology with largely increased multiplex capacity for the simultaneous analysis of hundreds of DNA predictors with targeted massively parallel sequencing (MPS). Forensically validated MPS-based FDP tools for predicting from crime scene DNA i) several appearance traits, ii) multi-regional ancestry, iii) several appearance traits together with multi-regional ancestry, and iv) age from different tissue types, are already available. Despite recent advances that will likely increase the impact of FDP in criminal casework in the near future, moving reliable appearance, ancestry and age prediction from crime scene DNA to the level of detail and accuracy police investigators may desire, requires further intensified scientific research together with technical developments and forensic validations as well as the necessary funding.

Applications of artificial intelligence in forensic sciences: Current potential benefits, limitations and perspectives

In recent years, new studies based on artificial intelligence (AI) have been conducted in the forensic field, posing new challenges and demonstrating the advantages and disadvantages of using AI methodologies to solve forensic well-known problems. Specifically, AI technology has tried to overcome the human subjective bias limitations of the traditional approach of the forensic sciences, which include sex prediction and age estimation from morphometric measurements in forensic anthropology or evaluating the third molar stage of development in forensic odontology. Likewise, AI has been studied as an assisting tool in forensic pathology for a quick and easy identification of the taxonomy of diatoms. The present systematic review follows the PRISMA 2020 statements and aims to explore an emerging topic that has been poorly analyzed in the forensic literature. Benefits, limitations, and forensic implications concerning AI are therefore highlighted, by providing an extensive critical review of its current applications on forensic sciences as well as its future directions. Results are divided into 5 subsections which included forensic anthropology, forensic odontology, forensic pathology, forensic genetics, and other forensic branches. The discussion offers a useful instrument to investigate the potential benefits of AI in the forensic fields as well as to point out the existing open questions and issues concerning its application on real-life scenarios. Procedural notes and technical aspects are also provided to the readers.

DNA methylation-based age prediction with bloodstains using pyrosequencing and random forest regression

The use of DNA methylation to predict chronological age has shown promising potential for obtaining additional information in forensic investigations. To date, several studies have reported age prediction models based on DNA methylation in body fluids with high DNA content. However, it is often difficult to apply these existing methods in practice due to the low amount of DNA present in stains of body fluids that are part of a trace material. In this study, we present a sensitive and rapid test for age prediction with bloodstains based on pyrosequencing and random forest regression. This assay requires only 0.1 ng of genomic DNA and the entire procedure can be completed within 10 h, making it practical for forensic investigations that require a short turnaround time. We examined the methylation levels of 46 CpG sites from six genes using bloodstain samples from 128 males and 113 females aged 10-79 years. A random forest regression model was then used to construct an age prediction model for males and females separately. The final age prediction models were developed with seven CpG sites (three for males and four for females) based on the performance of the random forest regression. The mean absolute deviation was less than 3 years for each model. Our results demonstrate that DNA methylation-based age prediction using pyrosequencing and random forest regression has potential applications in forensics to accurately predict the biological age of a bloodstain donor.

Developing a male-specific age predictive model based on Y-CpGs for forensic analysis

In forensic work, predicting the age of the criminal suspect or victim could provide beneficial clues for investigation. Epigenetic age estimation based on age-correlated DNA methylation has been one of the most widely studied methods of age estimation. However, almost all available epigenetic age prediction models are based on autosomal CpGs, which are only applicable to single-source DNA samples. In this study, we screened the available methylation data sets to identify loci with potential to meet the objectives of this study and then established a male-specific age prediction model based on 2 SNaPshot systems that contain 13 Y-CpGs and the mean absolute deviation (MAD) values were 4-6 years. The multiplex methylation SNaPshot systems and age-predictive model have been validated for sensitivity (the DNA input could be as low as 0.5 ng) and male specificity. They are supposed to have feasibility in forensic practice. In addition, it demonstrated that the method was also applicable to bloodstains, which were commonly found at crime scenes. The results showed good performance (the training set: R² = 0.9341, MAD = 4.65 years; the test set: R² = 0.8952, MAD = 5.73 years) in case investigation for predicting male age. For mixtures, when the male to female DNA ratio is 1:1, 1:10, the deviation between the actual age and the predicted age obtained by the model was less than 8 years, which offers great hope for future prediction of the age of males in mixtures and will be a powerful tool for special cases, such as sexual assault. Furthermore, the work provides a basis for the application of Y-CpGs in forensic science.

An ELOVL2-Based Epigenetic Clock for Forensic Age Prediction: A Systematic Review

The prediction of chronological age from methylation-based biomarkers represents one of the most promising applications in the field of forensic sciences. Age-prediction models developed so far are not easily applicable for forensic caseworkers. Among the several attempts to pursue this objective, the formulation of single-locus models might represent a good strategy. The present work aimed to develop an accurate single-locus model for age prediction exploiting ELOVL2, a gene for which epigenetic alterations are most highly correlated with age. We carried out a systematic review of different published pyrosequencing datasets in which methylation of the ELOVL2 promoter was analysed to formulate age prediction models. Nine of these, with available datasets involving 2298 participants, were selected. We found that irrespective of which model was adopted, a very strong relationship between ELOVL2 methylation levels and age exists. In particular, the model giving the best age-prediction accuracy was the gradient boosting regressor with a prediction error of about 5.5 years. The findings reported here strongly support the use of ELOVL2 for the formulation of a single-locus epigenetic model, but the inclusion of additional, non-redundant markers is a fundamental requirement to apply a molecular model to forensic applications with more robust results.

Can we integrate method-specific age-predictive models?: Analysis method-induced differences in detected DNA methylation status

Forensic research surrounding the use of DNA methylation (DNAm) markers to predict age suggests that accurate prediction of chronological age can be achieved with just several DNAm markers. Several age-prediction models are based on DNAm levels that are detectable by a diverse range of DNAm analysis methods. Among the many DNAm analysis methods, targeted amplicon-based massively parallel sequencing (MPS) and single-base extension (SBE) methods have been widely studied owing to their practicality, including their multiplex capabilities. Since these two DNAm analysis methods share an identical amplification step during their experimental processes, several studies have compared the differences between the methods to construct integrated age-prediction models based on both MPS and SBE data. In this study, we compared the specific differences in DNAm levels between these two commonly exploited analysis methods by analyzing the identical PCR amplicons from the same samples and quantifying the actual bisulfite-converted DNA amount involved in the PCR step. The DNAm levels of five well-studied age-associated markers-CpGs on the ELOVL2, FHL2, KLF14, MIR29B2CHG, and TRIM59 genes-were obtained from blood samples of 250 Koreans using both DNAm analysis methods. The results showed that only ELOVL2 is interchangeable between the MPS and SBE methods, while the rest of the markers showed significant differences in DNAm values. These differences may result in high errors and consequential lowered accuracy in age estimates. Therefore, a DNAm analysis method-specific approach that considers method-induced DNAm differences is recommended to improve the overall accuracy and reliability of age-prediction methods.

Centenarians consistently present a younger epigenetic age than their chronological age with four epigenetic clocks based on a small number of CpG sites

Aging is a progressive time-dependent biological process affecting differentially individuals, who can sometimes present exceptional longevity. Epigenetic alterations are one of the hallmarks of aging, which comprise the epigenetic drift and clock at DNA methylation level. In the present study, we estimated the DNA methylation-based age (DNAmage) using four epigenetic clocks based on a small number of CpGs in French centenarians and semi-supercentenarians (CSSC, n=214) as well as nonagenarians' and centenarians' offspring (NCO, n=143) compared to individuals from the French general population (CG, n=149). DNA methylation analysis of the nine CpGs included in the epigenetic clocks showed high correlation with chronological age (-0.66>R>0.54) and also the presence of an epigenetic drift for four CpGs that was only visible in CSSC. DNAmage analysis showed that CSSC and to a lesser extend NCO present a younger DNAmage than their chronological age (15-28.5 years for CSSC, 4.4-11.5 years for NCO and 4.2-8.2 years for CG), which were strongly significant in CSSC compared to CG (p-values<2.2e-16). These differences suggest that epigenetic aging and potentially biological aging are slowed in exceptionally long-lived individuals and that epigenetic clocks based on a small number of CpGs are sufficient to reveal alterations of the global epigenetic clock.

Applications of massively parallel sequencing in forensic genetics

Massively parallel sequencing, also referred to as next-generation sequencing, has positively changed DNA analysis, allowing further advances in genetics. Its capability of dealing with low quantity/damaged samples makes it an interesting instrument for forensics. The main advantage of MPS is the possibility of analyzing simultaneously thousands of genetic markers, generating high-resolution data. Its detailed sequence information allowed the discovery of variations in core forensic short tandem repeat loci, as well as the identification of previous unknown polymorphisms. Furthermore, different types of markers can be sequenced in a single run, enabling the emergence of DIP-STRs, SNP-STR haplotypes, and microhaplotypes, which can be very useful in mixture deconvolution cases. In addition, the multiplex analysis of different single nucleotide polymorphisms can provide valuable information about identity, biogeographic ancestry, paternity, or phenotype. DNA methylation patterns, mitochondrial DNA, mRNA, and microRNA profiling can also be analyzed for different purposes, such as age inference, maternal lineage analysis, body-fluid identification, and monozygotic twin discrimination. MPS technology also empowers the study of metagenomics, which analyzes genetic material from a microbial community to obtain information about individual identification, post-mortem interval estimation, geolocation inference, and substrate analysis. This review aims to discuss the main applications of MPS in forensic genetics.

Accurate age estimation from blood samples of Han Chinese individuals using eight high-performance age-related CpG sites

Age-related CpG sites (AR-CpGs) are currently the most promising biomarkers for forensic age estimation. In our previous studies, we first validated the age correlation of seven reported AR-CpGs in blood samples of Chinese Han population. Subsequently, we screened some good age predictors from blood samples of Chinese Han population, and built pyrosequencing-based age prediction models. However, it is still important to select a set of high-performance AR-CpGs in a specific racial group and establish a simple and efficient method for accurate age estimation for forensic purpose. In this study, eight AR-CpGs, namely chr6: 11,044,628 (ELOVL2), cg06639320 (FHL2), chr1: 207,823,723 (C1orf132), cg19283806 (CCDC102B), cg14361627 (KLF14), cg17740900 (SYNE2), cg07553761 (TRIM59), and cg26947034, were selected based on our previous studies, and a multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay was developed to investigate DNA methylation levels at these AR-CpGs in 529 blood samples (aged 2-82 years) from Han Chinese population. All selected CpG sites showed strong age correlation with the correlation coefficient (r) from 0.8363 to 0.9251. Multiple linear regression (MLR) and support vector regression (SVR) age prediction models were simultaneously established to fit change characteristics of DNA methylation levels of eight AR-CpGs with the age in 374 donors' blood samples. The MLR model enabled age prediction with R² = 0.923, mean absolute error (MAE) = 3.52, while the SVR model enabled age prediction with R² = 0.935, MAE = 2.88. One hundred fifty-five independent samples were used as a validation set to test the two models' performance, and the prediction MAE for the validation set was 3.71 and 3.34 for the MLR and SVR models, respectively. For the MLR and SVR models, the correct prediction rate at ± 5 years reached a high level of 79.35% and 83.23%, respectively. In general, these statistical parameters indicated that the SVR model outperformed the MLR model in age prediction of the Han Chinese population. In addition, our method provides sufficient sensitivity in forensic applications and allows for 100% efficiency when examining bloodstains kept in room conditions for up to 43 days. These results indicate that our multiplex methylation SNaPshot assay is a reliable, effective, and accurate method for age prediction in blood samples from the Chinese Han population.

Unlocking the potential of forensic traces: Analytical approaches to generate investigative leads

Forensic investigation involves gathering the information necessary to understand the criminal events as well as linking objects or individuals to an item, location or other individual(s) for investigative purposes. For years techniques such as presumptive chemical tests, DNA profiling or fingermark analysis have been of great value to this process. However, these techniques have their limitations, whether it is a lack of confidence in the results obtained due to cross-reactivity, subjectivity and low sensitivity; or because they are dependent on holding reference samples in a pre-existing database. There is currently a need to devise new ways to gather as much information as possible from a single trace, particularly from biological traces commonly encountered in forensic casework. This review outlines the most recent advancements in the forensic analysis of biological fluids, fingermarks and hair. Special emphasis is placed on analytical methods that can expand the information obtained from the trace beyond what is achieved in the usual practices. Special attention is paid to those methods that accurately determine the nature of the sample, as well as how long it has been at the crime scene, along with individualising information regarding the donor source of the trace.

Age Prediction by DNA Methylation in Neural Networks

Aging is traditionally thought to be caused by complex and interacting factors such as DNA methylation. The traditional formula of DNA methylation aging is based on linear models and little work has explored the effectiveness of neural networks, which can learn non-linear relationships. DNA methylation data typically consists of hundreds of thousands of feature space and a much less number of biological samples. This leads to overfitting and a poor generalization of neural networks. We propose Correlation Pre-Filtered Neural Network (CPFNN) that uses Spearman Correlation to pre-filter the input features before feeding them into neural networks. We compare CPFNN with the statistical regressions (i.e., Horvath's and Hannum's formulas), the neural networks with LASSO regularization and elastic net regularization, and the Dropout Neural Networks. CPFNN outperforms these models by at least 1 year in term of Mean Absolute Error (MAE), with a MAE of 2.7 years. We also test for association between the epigenetic age with Schizophrenia and Down Syndrome ( p=0.024 and , respectively). We discover that for a large number of candidate features, such as genome-wide DNA methylation data, a key factor in improving prediction accuracy is to appropriately weight features that are highly correlated with the outcome of interest.

DNA Methylation Biomarkers-Based Human Age Prediction Using Machine Learning

Purpose. Age can be an important clue in uncovering the identity of persons that left biological evidence at crime scenes. With the availability of DNA methylation data, several age prediction models are developed by using statistical and machine learning methods. From epigenetic studies, it has been demonstrated that there is a close association between aging and DNA methylation. Most of the existing studies focused on healthy samples, whereas diseases may have a significant impact on human age. Therefore, in this article, an age prediction model is proposed using DNA methylation biomarkers for healthy and diseased samples. Methods. The dataset contains 454 healthy samples and 400 diseased samples from publicly available sources with age (1–89 years old). Six CpG sites are identified from this data having a high correlation with age using Pearson’s correlation coefficient. In this work, the age prediction model is developed using four different machine learning techniques, namely, Multiple Linear Regression, Support Vector Regression, Gradient Boosting Regression, and Random Forest Regression. Separate models are designed for healthy and diseased data. The data are split randomly into 80 : 20 ratios for training and testing, respectively. Results. Among all the techniques, the model designed using Random Forest Regression shows the best performance, and Gradient Boosting Regression is the second best model. In the case of healthy samples, the model achieved a MAD of 2.51 years for training data and 4.85 for testing data. Also, for diseased samples, a MAD of 3.83 years is obtained for training and 9.53 years for testing. Conclusion. These results showed that the proposed model can predict age for healthy and diseased samples.

Chronological Age Prediction: Developmental Evaluation of DNA Methylation-Based Machine Learning Models

Epigenetic clock, a highly accurate age estimator based on DNA methylation (DNAm) level, is the basis for predicting mortality/morbidity and elucidating the molecular mechanism of aging, which is of great significance in forensics, justice, and social life. Herein, we integrated machine learning (ML) algorithms to construct blood epigenetic clock in Southern Han Chinese (CHS) for chronological age prediction. The correlation coefficient (r) meta-analyses of 7,084 individuals were firstly implemented to select five genes (ELOVL2, C1orf132, TRIM59, FHL2, and KLF14) from a candidate set of nine age-associated DNAm biomarkers. The DNAm-based profiles of the CHS cohort (240 blood samples differing in age from 1 to 81 years) were generated by the bisulfite targeted amplicon pyrosequencing (BTA-pseq) from 34 cytosine-phosphate-guanine sites (CpGs) of five selected genes, revealing that the methylation levels at different CpGs exhibit population specificity. Furthermore, we established and evaluated four chronological age prediction models using distinct ML algorithms: stepwise regression (SR), support vector regression (SVR-eps and SVR-nu), and random forest regression (RFR). The median absolute deviation (MAD) values increased with chronological age, especially in the 61–81 age category. No apparent gender effect was found in different ML models of the CHS cohort (all p &gt; 0.05). The MAD values were 2.97, 2.22, 2.19, and 1.29 years for SR, SVR-eps, SVR-nu, and RFR in the CHS cohort, respectively. Eventually, compared to the MAD range of the meta cohort (2.53–5.07 years), a promising RFR model (ntree = 500 and mtry = 8) was optimized with an MAD of 1.15 years in the 1–60 age categories of the CHS cohort, which could be regarded as a robust epigenetic clock in blood for age-related issues.

Predicting Chronological Age from DNA Methylation Data: A Machine Learning Approach for Small Datasets and Limited Predictors

Recent research studies using epigenetic data have been exploring whether it is possible to estimate how old someone is using only their DNA. This application stems from the strong correlation that has been observed in humans between the methylation status of certain DNA loci and chronological age. While genome-wide methylation sequencing has been the most prominent approach in epigenetics research, recent studies have shown that targeted sequencing of a limited number of loci can be successfully used for the estimation of chronological age from DNA samples, even when using small datasets. Following this shift, the need to investigate further into the appropriate statistics behind the predictive models used for DNA methylation-based prediction has been identified in multiple studies. This chapter will look into an example of basic data manipulation and modeling that can be applied to small DNA methylation datasets (100-400 samples) produced through targeted methylation sequencing for a small number of predictors (10-25 methylation sites). Data manipulation will focus on converting the obtained methylation values for the different predictors to a statistically meaningful dataset, followed by a basic introduction into importing such datasets in R, as well as randomizing and splitting into appropriate training and test sets for modeling. Finally, a basic introduction to R modeling will be outlined, starting with feature selection algorithms and continuing with a simple modeling example (linear model) as well as a more complex algorithm (Support Vector Machine).

A collaborative exercise on DNA methylation-based age prediction and body fluid typing

DNA methylation has become one of the most useful biomarkers for age prediction and body fluid identification in the forensic field. Therefore, several assays have been developed to detect age-associated and body fluid-specific DNA methylation changes. Among the many methods developed, SNaPshot-based assays should be particularly useful in forensic laboratories, as they permit multiplex analysis and use the same capillary electrophoresis instrumentation as STR analysis. However, technical validation of any developed assays is crucial for their proper integration into routine forensic workflow. In the present collaborative exercise, two SNaPshot multiplex assays for age prediction and a SNaPshot multiplex for body fluid identification were tested in twelve laboratories. The experimental set-up of the exercise was designed to reflect the entire workflow of SNaPshot-based methylation analysis and involved four increasingly complex tasks designed to detect potential factors influencing methylation measurements. The results of body fluid identification from each laboratory provided sufficient information to determine appropriate age prediction methods in subsequent analysis. In age prediction, systematic measurement differences resulting from the type of genetic analyzer used were identified as the biggest cause of DNA methylation variation between laboratories. Also, the use of a buffer that ensures a high ratio of specific to non-specific primer binding resulted in changes in DNA methylation measurement, especially when using degenerate primers in the PCR reaction. In addition, high input volumes of bisulfite-converted DNA often caused PCR failure, presumably due to carry-over of PCR inhibitors from the bisulfite conversion reaction. The proficiency of the analysts and experimental conditions for efficient SNaPshot reactions were also important for consistent DNA methylation measurement. Several bisulfite conversion kits were used for this study, but differences resulting from the use of any specific kit were not clearly discerned. Even when different experimental settings were used in each laboratory, a positive outcome of the study was a mean absolute age prediction error amongst participant's data of only 2.7 years for semen, 5.0 years for blood and 3.8 years for saliva.

Combining current knowledge on DNA methylation-based age estimation towards the development of a superior forensic DNA intelligence tool

The estimation of chronological age from biological fluids has been an important quest for forensic scientists worldwide, with recent approaches exploiting the variability of DNA methylation patterns with age in order to develop the next generation of forensic 'DNA intelligence' tools for this application. Drawing from the conclusions of previous work utilising massively parallel sequencing (MPS) for this analysis, this work introduces a DNA methylation-based age estimation method for blood that exhibits the best combination of prediction accuracy and sensitivity reported to date. Statistical evaluation of markers from 51 studies using microarray data from over 4000 individuals, followed by validation using in-house generated MPS data, revealed a final set of 11 markers with the greatest potential for accurate age estimation from minimal DNA material. Utilising an algorithm based on support vector machines, the proposed model achieved an average error (MAE) of 3.3 years, with this level of accuracy retained down to 5 ng of starting DNA input (~ 1 ng PCR input). The accuracy of the model was retained (MAE = 3.8 years) in a separate test set of 88 samples of Spanish origin, while predictions for donors of greater forensic interest (< 55 years of age) displayed even higher accuracy (MAE = 2.6 years). Finally, no sex-related bias was observed for this model, while there were also no signs of variation observed between control and disease-associated populations for schizophrenia, rheumatoid arthritis, frontal temporal dementia and progressive supranuclear palsy in microarray data relating to the 11 markers.

Development and inter-laboratory validation of the VISAGE enhanced tool for age estimation from semen using quantitative DNA methylation analysis

The analysis of DNA methylation has become an established method for chronological age estimation. This has triggered interest in the forensic community to develop new methods for age estimation from biological crime scene material. Various assays are available for age estimation from somatic tissues, the majority from blood. Age prediction from semen requires different DNA methylation markers and the only assays currently developed for forensic analysis are based on SNaPshot or pyrosequencing. Here, we describe a new assay using massively parallel sequencing to analyse 13 candidate CpG sites targeted in two multiplex PCRs. The assay has been validated by five consortium laboratories of the VISible Attributes through GEnomics (VISAGE) project within a collaborative exercise and was tested for reproducible quantification of DNA methylation levels and sensitivity with DNA methylation controls. Furthermore, DNA extracts and stains on Whatman FTA cards from two semen samples were used to evaluate concordance and mimic casework samples. Overall, the assay yielded high read depths (> 1000 reads) at all 13 marker positions. The methylation values obtained indicated robust quantification with an average standard deviation of 2.8% at the expected methylation level of 50% across the 13 markers and a good performance with 50 ng DNA input into bisulfite conversion. The absolute difference of quantifications from one participating laboratory to the mean quantifications of concordance and semen stains of remaining laboratories was approximately 1%. These results demonstrated the assay to be robust and suitable for age estimation from semen in forensic investigations. In addition to the 13-marker assay, a more streamlined protocol combining only five age markers in one multiplex PCR was developed. Preliminary results showed no substantial differences in DNA methylation quantification between the two assays, indicating its applicability with the VISAGE age model for semen developed with data from the complete 13-marker tool.

Epigenetic age prediction

Advanced age is the main common risk factor for cancer, cardiovascular disease and neurodegeneration. Yet, more is known about the molecular basis of any of these groups of diseases than the changes that accompany ageing itself. Progress in molecular ageing research was slow because the tools predicting whether someone aged slowly or fast (biological age) were unreliable. To understand ageing as a risk factor for disease and to develop interventions, the molecular ageing field needed a quantitative measure; a clock for biological age. Over the past decade, a number of age predictors utilising DNA methylation have been developed, referred to as epigenetic clocks. While they appear to estimate biological age, it remains unclear whether the methylation changes used to train the clocks are a reflection of other underlying cellular or molecular processes, or whether methylation itself is involved in the ageing process. The precise aspects of ageing that the epigenetic clocks capture remain hidden and seem to vary between predictors. Nonetheless, the use of epigenetic clocks has opened the door towards studying biological ageing quantitatively, and new clocks and applications, such as forensics, appear frequently. In this review, we will discuss the range of epigenetic clocks available, their strengths and weaknesses, and their applicability to various scientific queries.

Searching for improvements in predicting human eye colour from DNA

Increasing understanding of human genome variability allows for better use of the predictive potential of DNA. An obvious direct application is the prediction of the physical phenotypes. Significant success has been achieved, especially in predicting pigmentation characteristics, but the inference of some phenotypes is still challenging. In search of further improvements in predicting human eye colour, we conducted whole-exome (enriched in regulome) sequencing of 150 Polish samples to discover new markers. For this, we adopted quantitative characterization of eye colour phenotypes using high-resolution photographic images of the iris in combination with DIAT software analysis. An independent set of 849 samples was used for subsequent predictive modelling. Newly identified candidates and 114 additional literature-based selected SNPs, previously associated with pigmentation, and advanced machine learning algorithms were used. Whole-exome sequencing analysis found 27 previously unreported candidate SNP markers for eye colour. The highest overall prediction accuracies were achieved with LASSO-regularized and BIC-based selected regression models. A new candidate variant, rs2253104, located in the ARFIP2 gene and identified with the HyperLasso method, revealed predictive potential and was included in the best-performing regression models. Advanced machine learning approaches showed a significant increase in sensitivity of intermediate eye colour prediction (up to 39%) compared to 0% obtained for the original IrisPlex model. We identified a new potential predictor of eye colour and evaluated several widely used advanced machine learning algorithms in predictive analysis of this trait. Our results provide useful hints for developing future predictive models for eye colour in forensic and anthropological studies.

Genome-wide identification of age-related CpG sites for age estimation from blood DNA of Han Chinese individuals

Age-related CpG (AR-CpG) sites are currently the most promising molecular markers for forensic age estimation. However, the AR-CpG sites of Han Chinese population remains to be systematically characterized. In this study, we performed genome-wide methylation analyses on 42 whole blood DNA from healthy Han Chinese volunteers (aged from 18 to 62 years) using the Illumina MethylationEPIC BeadChip microarray. As expected, both known and novel AR-CpG sites were identified. Considering the sex difference in aging rate, we then separately selected AR-CpG candidates and built pyrosequencing-based multiple linear regression models for age estimation of males and females. The model constructed from the male sample group (n = 167, aged from 1.50 to 85.71 years) explained 95.22% of variation in age using five AR-CpG sites (chr6:11044864 ELOVL2, chr1:207997068 C1orf132, cg19283806 CCDC102B, cg17740900, and chr10:73740306 CHST3) and yielded a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.79 years. The model constructed from the female sample group (n = 141, aged from 3.33 to 80.38 years) explained 94.90% of variation in age with six AR-CpG sites (chr6:11044867 ELOVL2, chr1:207997060 C1orf132, chr2:106015757 FHL2, cg26947034, chr16: 67184108 B3GNT9, and chr20:44658203 SLC12A5) and yielded an MAE of 2.53 years. Besides, the estimated age was highly correlated with the actual age (R > 0.97). The robustness of these AR-CpG markers was demonstrated by 10-fold cross-validations. In conclusion, we updated the AR-CpG sites of Han Chinese population and provided two sets of AR-CpG sites for accurate age estimation.

Age Prediction of Human Based on DNA Methylation by Blood Tissues

In recent years, scientists have found a close correlation between DNA methylation and aging in epigenetics. With the in-depth research in the field of DNA methylation, researchers have established a quantitative statistical relationship to predict the individual ages. This work used human blood tissue samples to study the association between age and DNA methylation. We built two predictors based on healthy and disease data, respectively. For the health data, we retrieved a total of 1191 samples from four previous reports. By calculating the Pearson correlation coefficient between age and DNA methylation values, 111 age-related CpG sites were selected. Gradient boosting regression was utilized to build the predictive model and obtained the R² value of 0.86 and MAD of 3.90 years on testing dataset, which were better than other four regression methods as well as Horvath’s results. For the disease data, 354 rheumatoid arthritis samples were retrieved from a previous study. Then, 45 CpG sites were selected to build the predictor and the corresponded MAD and R² were 3.11 years and 0.89 on the testing dataset respectively, which showed the robustness of our predictor. Our results were better than the ones from other four regression methods. Finally, we also analyzed the twenty-four common CpG sites in both healthy and disease datasets which illustrated the functional relevance of the selected CpG sites.

Autosomal deletion/insertion polymorphisms for global stratification analyses and ancestry origin inferences of different continental populations by machine learning methods

A lot of population data of 30 deletion/insertion polymorphisms (DIPs) of the Investigator DIPplex kit in different continental populations have been reported. Here, we assessed genetic distributions of these 30 DIPs in different continental populations to pinpoint candidate ancestry informative DIPs. Besides, the effectiveness of machine learning methods for ancestry analysis was explored. Pairwise informativeness (In) values of 30 DIPs revealed that six loci displayed relatively high In values (>0.1) among different continental populations. Besides, more loci showed high population-specific divergence (PSD) values in African population. Based on the pairwise In and PSD values of 30 DIPs, 17 DIPs in the Investigator DIPplex kit were selected to ancestry analyses of African, European, and East Asian populations. Even though 30 DIPs provided better ancestry resolution of these continental populations based on the results of PCA and population genetic structure, we found that 17 DIPs could also distinguish these continental populations. More importantly, these 17 DIPs possessed more balanced cumulative PSD distributions in these populations. Six machine learning methods were used to perform ancestry analyses of these continental populations based on 17 DIPs. Obtained results revealed that naïve Bayes manifested the greatest performance; whereas, k nearest neighbor showed relatively low performance. To sum up, these machine learning methods, especially for naïve Bayes, could be used as the valuable tool for ancestry analysis.

Nutzung von Altersinformationen aus posttranslationalen Proteinmodifikationen und DNA-Methylierung zur postmortalen Lebensaltersschätzung

Mit der Identifikation und Beschreibung „molekularer Uhren“ (posttranslationale Proteinmodifikationen, DNA-Methylierung) eröffnen sich neue Möglichkeiten zur Entwicklung von Verfahren zur postmortalen Lebensaltersschätzung. Bislang werden diese Ansätze aber nur unabhängig voneinander eingesetzt. Ihre Verknüpfung verspricht eine bessere Erfassung hochkomplexer Alterungsprozesse und damit die Möglichkeit zur Entwicklung optimierter Verfahren zur Altersschätzung für verschiedenste Szenarien der forensischen Praxis.

In Vorbereitung umfangreicher Untersuchungen zur Überprüfung dieser Hypothese wurden verschiedene molekulare Uhren (Akkumulation von D‑Asparaginsäure, Akkumulation von Pentosidin und DNA-Methylierungsmarker [RPA2, ZYG11A, F5, HOXC4, NKIRAS2, TRIM59, ELOVL2, DDO, KLF14 und PDE4C]) in 4 fäulnisresistenten Geweben (Knochen, Sehne, Bandscheibe, Epiglottis) von 15 Individuen untersucht.

In allen untersuchten Geweben fand sich eine starke Korrelation beider Proteinmarker sowie jeweils mehrerer DNA-Methylierungsmarker mit dem Lebensalter. Dabei zeigten die untersuchten Parameter gewebsspezifische Veränderungen mit dem Alter.

Die Ergebnisse der Pilotstudie belegen das Potenzial der Verknüpfung molekularer Verfahren für die postmortale Altersschätzung. Weitere Untersuchungen werden zeigen, wie genau postmortale Altersschätzungen sein können, wenn Altersinformationen aus posttranslationalen Proteinmodifikationen und DNA-Methylierung aus verschiedenen Geweben in multivariaten Modellen verknüpft werden.

Development of the VISAGE enhanced tool and statistical models for epigenetic age estimation in blood, buccal cells and bones

DNA methylation is known as a biomarker for age with applications in forensics. Here we describe the VISAGE (VISible Attributes through GEnomics) Consortium's enhanced tool for epigenetic age estimation in somatic tissues. The tool is based on eight DNA methylation markers (44 CpGs), bisulfite multiplex PCR followed by sequencing on the MiSeq FGx platform, and three statistical prediction models for blood, buccal cells and bones. The model for blood is based on six CpGs from ELOVL2, MIR29B2CHG, KLF14, FHL2, TRIM59 and PDE4C, and predicts age with a mean absolute error (MAE) of 3.2 years, while the model for buccal cells includes five CpGs from PDE4C, MIR29B2CHG, ELOVL2, KLF14 and EDARADD and predicts age with MAE of 3.7 years, and the model for bones has six CpGs from ELOVL2, KLF14, PDE4C and ASPA and predicts age with MAE of 3.4 years. The VISAGE enhanced tool for age estimation in somatic tissues enables reliable collection of DNA methylation data from small amounts of DNA using a sensitive multiplex MPS assay that provides accurate estimation of age in blood, buccal swabs, and bones using the statistical model tailored to each tissue.

Predicting human age by detecting DNA methylation status in hair

Age prediction is of great importance for criminal investigation and judicial expertise. DNA methylation status is considered a promising method to infer tissue age by virtue of age-dependent changes on methylation sites. In recent years, forensic scientists have established various models to predict the chronological age of blood, saliva, and semen based on DNA methylation status. However, hair-inferred age has not been studied in the field of forensic science. In this study, we measured the methylation statuses of potential age-related CpG sites by using the multiplex methylation SNaPshot method. A total of 10 CpG sites from the LAG3, SCGN, ELOVL2, KLF14, C1orf132, SLC12A5, GRIA2, and PDE4C genes were found to be tightly associated with age in hair follicles. A correlation coefficient above 0.7 was found for four CpG sites (cg24724428 and Chr6:11044628 in ELOVL2, cg25148589 in GRIA2, and cg07547549 in SLC12A5). Among four age-prediction models, the multiple linear regression model consisting of 10 CpG sites provided the best-fitting results, with a median absolute deviation of 3.68 years. It is feasible to obtain both human identification and age information from a single scalp hair follicle. No significant differences in methylation degree were found between different sexes, hair types, or hair colors. In conclusion, we established a method to evaluate chronological age by assessing DNA methylation status in hair follicles.

Artificial neural network, predictor variables and sensitivity threshold for DNA methylation-based age prediction using blood samples

Regression models are often used to predict age of an individual based on methylation patterns. Artificial neural network (ANN) however was recently shown to be more accurate for age prediction. Additionally, the impact of ethnicity and sex on our previous regression model have not been studied. Furthermore, there is currently no age prediction study investigating the lower limit of input DNA at the bisulfite treatment stage prior to pyrosequencing. Herein, we evaluated both regression and ANN models, and the impact of ethnicity and sex on age prediction for 333 local blood samples using three loci on the pyrosequencing platform. Subsequently, we trained a one locus-based ANN model to reduce the amount of DNA used. We demonstrated that the ANN model has a higher accuracy of age prediction than the regression model. Additionally, we showed that ethnicity did not affect age prediction among local Chinese, Malays and Indians. Although the predicted age of males were marginally overestimated, sex did not impact the accuracy of age prediction. Lastly, we present a one locus, dual CpG model using 25 ng of input DNA that is sufficient for forensic age prediction. In conclusion, the two ANN models validated would be useful for age prediction to provide forensic intelligence leads.

Age estimation using DNA methylation technique in forensics: a systematic review

Background

In addition to the DNA sequence, epigenetic markers have become substantial forensic tools during the last decade. Estimating the age of an individual from human biological remains may provide information for a forensic investigation. Age estimation in molecular strategies can be obtained by telomere length, mRNa mutation, or by sjTRECs but the accuracy is not sufficient in forensic practice because of high margin error.

Main body

One solution to this problem is to use DNA methylation methods. DNA methylation markers for tissue identification at age-associated CpG sites have been suggested as the most informative biomarkers for estimating the age of an unknown donor. This review aims to give an overview of DNA methylation profiling for estimating the age in cases of forensic relevance and the important aspects in determining the mean absolute deviation (MAD) or mean absolute error (MAE) of the estimated age. Online database searching was performed through PubMed, Scopus, and Google Scholar with keywords selected for forensic age estimation. Thirty-two studies were included in the review, with variable DNA samples but blood commonly as a source. Pyrosequencing and EpiTYPER were methods mostly used in DNA analysis. The MAD in the estimates from DNA methylation was about 3 to 5 years, which was better than other methods such as those based on telomere length or signal-joint T-cell receptor excision circles. The ELOVL2 gene was a commonly used DNA methylation marker in age estimation.

Conclusion

DNA methylation is a favorable candidate for estimating the age at the time of death in forensic profiling, with an uncertainty mean absolute deviation of about 3 to 5 years in the predicted age. The sample type, platform techniques used, and methods to construct age predictive models were important in determining the accuracy in mean absolute deviation or mean absolute error. The DNA methylation outcome suggests good potential to support conventional STR profiling in forensic cases.

Improvements and inter-laboratory implementation and optimization of blood-based single-locus age prediction models using DNA methylation of the ELOVL2 promoter

Several blood-based age prediction models have been developed using less than a dozen to more than a hundred DNA methylation biomarkers. Only one model (Z-P1) based on pyrosequencing has been developed using DNA methylation of a single locus located in the ELOVL2 promoter, which is considered as one of the best age-prediction biomarker. Although multi-locus models generally present better performances compared to the single-locus model, they require more DNA and present more inter-laboratory variations impacting the predictions. Here we developed 17,018 single-locus age prediction models based on DNA methylation of the ELOVL2 promoter from pooled data of four different studies (training set of 1,028 individuals aged from 0 and 91 years) using six different statistical approaches and testing every combination of the 7 CpGs, aiming to improve the prediction performances and reduce the effects of inter-laboratory variations. Compared to Z-P1 model, three statistical models with the optimal combinations of CpGs presented improved performances (MAD of 4.41–4.77 in the testing set of 385 individuals) and no age-dependent bias. In an independent testing set of 100 individuals (19–65 years), we showed that the prediction accuracy could be further improved by using different CpG combinations and increasing the number of technical replicates (MAD of 4.17).

A Comparison of Forensic Age Prediction Models Using Data From Four DNA Methylation Technologies

Individual age estimation can be applied to criminal, legal, and anthropological investigations. DNA methylation has been established as the biomarker of choice for age prediction, since it was observed that specific CpG positions in the genome show systematic changes during an individual’s lifetime, with progressive increases or decreases in methylation levels. Subsequently, several forensic age prediction models have been reported, providing average age prediction error ranges of ±3–4 years, using a broad spectrum of technologies and underlying statistical analyses. DNA methylation assessment is not categorical but quantitative. Therefore, the detection platform used plays a pivotal role, since quantitative and semi-quantitative technologies could potentially result in differences in detected DNA methylation levels. In the present study, we analyzed as a shared sample pool, 84 blood-based DNA controls ranging from 18 to 99 years old using four different technologies: EpiTYPER^®, pyrosequencing, MiSeq, and SNaPshot^TM. The DNA methylation levels detected for CpG sites from ELOVL2, FHL2, and MIR29B2 with each system were compared. A restricted three CpG-site age prediction model was rebuilt for each system, as well as for a combination of technologies, based on previous training datasets, and age predictions were calculated accordingly for all the samples detected with the previous technologies. While the DNA methylation patterns and subsequent age predictions from EpiTYPER^®, pyrosequencing, and MiSeq systems are largely comparable for the CpG sites studied, SNaPshot^TM gives bigger differences reflected in higher predictive errors. However, these differences can be reduced by applying a z-score data transformation.

Evaluation of marker selection methods and statistical models for chronological age prediction based on DNA methylation

In forensic investigation, retrieving biological information from DNA evidence is a promising field of interest. One of the applications is on the estimation of the age of the donor based on DNA methylation. A large number of studies focused on age prediction using the 450 K Human Methylation Beadchip. Various marker selection methods and prediction models have been considered. However, there is a lack of research evaluating different high-dimensional variable selection methods of CpG sites with various models for age prediction. The aim of this study is to evaluate four variable selection methods (forward selection, LASSO, elastic net and SCAD) combined with a classical statistical model and sophisticated machine learning models based on the mean absolute deviation (MAD) and the root-mean-square error (RMSE). We used publicly available 450 K data set containing 991 whole blood samples (age 19-101 years). We found that the multiple linear regression model with 16 markers selected from the forward selection method performed very well in age prediction (MAD = 3.76 years and RMSE = 5.01 years). On the other hand, the highly advanced ultrahigh dimensional variable selection methods and sophisticated machine learning algorithms appeared unnecessary for age prediction based on DNA methylation.

Postmortem age estimation via DNA methylation analysis in buccal swabs from corpses in different stages of decomposition-a "proof of principle" study

Age estimation based on the analysis of DNA methylation patterns has become a focus of forensic research within the past few years. However, there is little data available regarding postmortem DNA methylation analysis yet, and literature mainly encompasses analysis of blood from corpses without any signs of decomposition. It is not entirely clear yet which other types of specimen are suitable for postmortem epigenetic age estimation, and if advanced decomposition may affect methylation patterns of CpG sites. In living persons, buccal swabs are an easily accessible source of DNA for epigenetic age estimation. In this work, the applicability of this approach (buccal swabs as source of DNA) under different postmortem conditions was tested. Methylation levels of PDE4C were investigated in buccal swab samples collected from 73 corpses (0–90 years old; mean: 51.2) in different stages of decomposition. Moreover, buccal swab samples from 142 living individuals (0–89 years old; mean 41.2) were analysed. As expected, methylation levels exhibited a high correlation with age in living individuals (training set: r² = 0.87, validation set: r² = 0.85). This was also the case in postmortem samples (r² = 0.90), independent of the state of decomposition. Only in advanced putrified cases with extremely low DNA amounts, epigenetic age estimation was not possible. In conclusion, buccal swabs are a suitable and easy to collect source for DNA methylation analysis as long as sufficient amounts of DNA are present.

New targeted approaches for epigenetic age predictions

Background

Age-associated DNA methylation changes provide a promising biomarker for the aging process. While genome-wide DNA methylation profiles enable robust age-predictors by integration of many age-associated CG dinucleotides (CpGs), there are various alternative approaches for targeted measurements at specific CpGs that better support standardized and cost-effective high-throughput analysis.

Results

In this study, we utilized 4647 Illumina BeadChip profiles of blood to select CpG sites that facilitate reliable age-predictions based on pyrosequencing. We demonstrate that the precision of DNA methylation measurements can be further increased with droplet digital PCR (ddPCR). In comparison, bisulfite barcoded amplicon sequencing (BBA-seq) gave slightly lower correlation between chronological age and DNA methylation at individual CpGs, while the age-predictions were overall relatively accurate. Furthermore, BBA-seq data revealed that the correlation of methylation levels with age at neighboring CpG sites follows a bell-shaped curve, often associated with a CTCF binding site. We demonstrate that within individual BBA-seq reads the DNA methylation at neighboring CpGs is not coherently modified, but reveals a stochastic pattern. Based on this, we have developed a new approach for epigenetic age predictions based on the binary sequel of methylated and non-methylated sites in individual reads, which reflects heterogeneity in epigenetic aging within a sample.

Conclusion

Targeted DNA methylation analysis at few age-associated CpGs by pyrosequencing, BBA-seq, and particularly ddPCR enables high precision of epigenetic age-predictions. Furthermore, we demonstrate that the stochastic evolution of age-associated DNA methylation patterns in BBA-seq data enables epigenetic clocks for individual DNA strands.