COVAX - Time to reconsider the strategy and its target

Significance of weather condition, human mobility, and vaccination on global COVID-19 transmission

The transmission growth rate of infectious diseases, particularly COVID-19, has forced governments to take immediate control decisions. Previous studies have shown that human mobility, weather condition, and vaccination are potential factors influencing virus transmission. This study investigates the contribution of weather conditions, namely temperature and precipitation, human mobility, and vaccination to coronavirus transmission. Three machine learning models: random forest (RF), XGBoost, and neural networks, are applied to predict the confirmed cases based on three aforementioned variables. All models' prediction are evaluated via spatial and temporal analysis. The spatial analysis observes the model performance over countries on certain times. The temporal analysis looks at the model prediction of each country during the specified period. The models' prediction results effectively indicate the transmission trend. The RF model performs best with a coefficient of determination of up to 89%. Meanwhile, all models confirm that vaccination is most significantly associated with COVID-19 cases.

Experiences, Enablers, and Challenges in Service Delivery and Integration of COVID-19 Vaccines: A Rapid Systematic Review

The COVID-19 vaccination is a crucial public health intervention for controlling the spread and severity of the SARS-CoV2 virus. COVID-19 vaccines have been developed in record time, but their deployment has varied across countries, owing to differences in health system capacity, demand for the vaccine, and purchasing power of countries. The aim of this rapid review is to summarize and synthesize experiences on COVID-19 vaccine service delivery and integration to inform future COVID-19 vaccination programming and contribute to the knowledge base for future pandemic management. A systematic search was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, and Global Index Medicus databases. Twenty-five studies were included in the analysis. Included studies spanned nine countries where COVID-19 vaccines were delivered through mass, mobile, and fixed-post vaccination service delivery models. There was limited evidence of integrating COVID-19 vaccines into routine services for pregnant women, people who inject drugs, and leveraging existing health programs to deliver COVID-19 vaccines to the general population. Common challenges reported were vaccine skepticism, lack of adequate health workers, and linguistic barriers to access. Partnerships with a variety of stakeholders and the involvement of volunteers were vital in overcoming barriers and contributed to the efficient functioning of COVID-19 vaccination programs.