Proposal of a novel clinical score to predict heart failure incidence in long-term survivors of acute coronary syndromes

Leg strength and incidence of heart failure in patients with acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

The risk of developing heart failure (HF) after acute coronary syndrome (ACS) remains high. It is unclear whether skeletal muscle strength, in addition to existing risk factors, is a predictor for developing HF after ACS. We aimed to clarify the relationship between quadriceps isometric strength (QIS), a skeletal muscle strength indicator, and the risk of developing HF in patients with ACS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We included 1053 patients with ACS without a prior HF or complications of HF during hospitalization. The median (interquartile range) age was 67 (57-74) years. The patients were classified into two groups-high and low QIS-using the sex-specific median QIS. The endpoint was HF admissions. During a mean follow-up period of 4.4 ± 3.7 years, 75 (7.1%) HF admissions were observed. After multivariate adjustment, a high QIS was associated with a lower risk of HF [hazard ratio: 0.52, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.32-0.87]. Hazard ratio (95% CI) per 5% body weight increment increase of QIS for HF incidents was 0.87 (0.80-0.95). Even when competing risks of death were taken into account, the results did not change. The inclusion of QIS was associated with increases in net reclassification improvement (0.26; 95% CI: 0.002-0.52) and an integrated discrimination index (0.01; 95% CI: 0.004-0.02) for HF.

CONCLUSION

The present study showed that a higher level of QIS was strongly associated with a lower risk of developing HF after ACS. These findings suggest that skeletal muscle strength could be one of the factors contributing to the risk of developing HF after ACS.

Physical Frailty May Predict 2-Year Prognosis in Elderly Patients With Acute Myocardial Infarction - A Report From the FLAGSHIP Study

BACKGROUND

Elderly patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are a high-risk population for heart failure (HF), but the association between physical frailty and worsening prognosis, including HF development, has not been documented extensively.

METHODS AND RESULTS

As part of the FLAGSHIP study, we enrolled 524 patients aged ≥70 years hospitalized for AMI and capable of walking at discharge. Physical frailty was assessed using the FLAGSHIP frailty score. The primary outcome was a composite outcome of all-cause death and HF rehospitalization within 2 years after discharge. The secondary outcome was all-cause death and HF rehospitalization. After adjusting for confounders, physical frailty showed a significant association with an increased risk of the composite outcome (hazard ratio [HR]=2.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.03-4.22, P=0.040). The risk of HF rehospitalization increased with physical frailty, but the association was not statistically significant (HR=2.14, 95% CI: 0.84-5.44, P=0.110). Physical frailty was not associated with an increased risk of all-cause death (HR=1.45, 95% CI: 0.49-4.26, P=0.501).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that physical frailty assessment serves as a stratifying tool to identify high-risk populations for post-discharge clinical events among ambulant elderly patients with AMI.

Acute Decompensated Heart Failure in the Setting of Acute Coronary Syndrome

Acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is frequently complicated by evidence of heart failure (HF). Those at highest risk for acute decompensated HF in the setting of ACS (ACS-HF) are older, female, and have preexisting heart disease, type 2 diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and/or kidney disease. The presence of ACS-HF is strongly associated with higher mortality and more frequent readmissions, especially for HF. Low implementation of guideline-directed medical therapy has further complicated the clinical care of this high-risk population. Improved utilization of current therapies, coupled with further investigation of strategies to manage ACS-HF, is desperately needed to improve outcomes in this vulnerable population, and the results of currently ongoing or recently concluded ACS-HF studies in this population are of great interest. In this review, we explore the pathophysiology, epidemiology, risk factors, and outcomes for patients with ACS-HF, and describe both existing evidence for management of this challenging condition and areas requiring further research.

Predictive Value of Pro-BNP for Heart Failure Readmission after an Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

N-terminal pro-brain natural peptide (NT-pro-BNP) is a well-established biomarker of tissue congestion and has prognostic value in patients with heart failure (HF). Nonetheless, there is scarce evidence on its predictive capacity for HF re-admission after an acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We performed a prospective, single-center study in all patients discharged after an ACS. HF re-admission was analyzed by competing risk regression, taking all-cause mortality as a competing event. Results are presented as sub-hazard ratios (sHR). Recurrent hospitalizations were tested by negative binomial regression, and results are presented as incidence risk ratio (IRR).

RESULTS

Of the 2133 included patients, 528 (24.8%) had HF during the ACS hospitalization, and their pro-BNP levels were higher (3220 pg/mL vs. 684.2 pg/mL; p < 0.001). In-hospital mortality was 2.9%, and pro-BNP was similarly higher in these patients. Increased pro-BNP levels were correlated to increased risk of HF or death during the hospitalization. Over follow-up (median 38 months) 243 (11.7%) patients had at least one hospital readmission for HF and 151 (7.1%) had more than one. Complete revascularization had a preventive effect on HF readmission, whereas several other variables were associated with higher risk. Pro-BNP was independently associated with HF admission (sHR: 1.47) and readmission (IRR: 1.45) at any age. Significant interactions were found for the predictive value of pro-BNP in women, diabetes, renal dysfunction, STEMI and patients without troponin elevation.

CONCLUSIONS

In-hospital determination of pro-BNP is an independent predictor of HF readmission after an ACS.

Predictors of incident heart failure in a cohort of patients with ischemic heart disease

INTRODUCTION

heart failure (HF) is a major complication following ischemic heart disease (IHD) and it adversely affects the outcome. The objective of this study was to identify predictors of HF in patients with IHD.

METHODS

this is a 24-month longitudinal retrospective study of all consecutive patients diagnosed with IHD. Endpoints were incident HF and time to incident HF. Patients with a previous history of HF were excluded.

RESULTS

a total of 306 patients with IHD were included in the analysis. The 6-month, 12-month and 18-month cumulative risk of developing incident HF were 18.8%, 28.4%, and 53.5% respectively. Increasing age, female gender, diabetes mellitus (DM), lower hemoglobin, and dilated left atrium were strong predictors of incident HF. Predictors of shorter time to incident HF were coexisting DM and hypertension, and the presence of dilated left atrium in patients with left ventricular ejection fraction < 40%. The strongest predictor of incident HF in patients with DM was a higher level of LDL cholesterol.

CONCLUSION

patients with IHD have a higher risk of incident HF. Strong predictors of incident HF in these patients were increasing age, female gender, DM, lower hemoglobin and dilated left atrium. Such patients need close follow-up and more intensive treatment.

Prevention of myocardial infarction and stroke with PCSK9 inhibitors treatment: a metanalysis of recent randomized clinical trials

Purpose

Proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin 9 (PCSK9) inhibitors treatment induce large reductions in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLc) and major cardiovascular events. Clinical trials might have been underpowered to test the effect of PSCK9 inhibitors treatment on myocardial infarction and stroke, two of the most relevant cardiovascular events, since all analyzed a combined endpoint.

Methods

we performed a meta-analysis, with currently available studies involving PCSK9 inhibitors and event rate adjudication, with the aim of assessing treatment effects on myocardial infarction and stroke.

Results

We included 81,700 patients, 41,979 treated with a PSCK9 inhibitors: 17,244 with evolocumab; 13,720 with bococizumab and 11,015 with alirocumab. A total of 1,319 cases of myocardial infarctions were registered in the treatment group vs. 1,608 in controls, resulting in 19.0% reduction associated with PCSK9 treatment (RR: 0.81, 95% CI 0.76-0.87). Similarly, PCSK9 inhibitors treatment resulted in a 25% reduction of stroke (RR: 0.75, 95% CI 0.65-0.85) when all studies were analyzed together and the statistically significant heterogeneity was not observed in the analysis restricted to end-point based clinical trials. PCSK9 inhibitors treatment had no effect on mortality (RR: 0.95, 95% CI 0.86-1.04).

Conclusions

PCSK9 inhibitors reduce the incidence of myocardial infarction by 19% and stroke by 25%.