Prognostic impact of the 6th and 7th American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging systems on esophageal cancer patients treated with chemoradiotherapy

Identification of Optimal Parameters for Assessing Lymph Node Status of Patients with Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma After Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to compare the prognostic discrimination power of pretreatment pathologic N stage (prepN), lymph node tumor regression grade (LNTRG), and posttreatment pathologic N (ypN) category for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients who received neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) plus surgery.

METHODS

The study reviewed 187 ESCC patients from two medical centers who underwent nCRT plus surgery. Pathologic LNTRG was defined by the proportion of viable tumor area within the tumor bed in lymph nodes (LNs). An average LNTRG then was calculated by averaging the tumor regression grade (TRG) score of all resected LNs. Lymph nodes containing regression changes or vital tumor cells were used for interpretation of the prepN stage, which reflects the estimated number of originally involved LNs.

RESULTS

The ypN, prepN, and LNTRG categories had significant prognostic stratification power (p < 0.001, log-rank test). Multivariable cox regression showed that all three categories were independent prognostic factors of disease-free survival (DFS) (p < 0.05). The LNTRG category showed a better prognostic value for DFS prediction than the ypN and prepN categories (Akaike information criterion [AIC]: LNTRG [933.69], ypN [937.56], prepN [937.45]). Additionally, the superior predictive capacity of the LNTRG category was demonstrated by decision curve analysis. Similar results were discovered for patients with remaining diseased LNs.

CONCLUSIONS

The three staging categories had prognostic relevance for DFS, with the LNTRG category seeming to have better prognostic indication power. Comprehensive consideration of the ypN status, prepN status, and LN regression may allow for better prognostic stratification of patients.

Comparing a PD-L1 inhibitor plus chemotherapy to chemotherapy alone in neoadjuvant therapy for locally advanced ESCC: a randomized Phase II clinical trial : A randomized clinical trial of neoadjuvant therapy for ESCC

BACKGROUND

A Phase II study was undertaken to evaluate the safety and efficacy of the neoadjuvant socazolimab, a novel PD-L1 inhibitor, in combination with nab-paclitaxel and cisplatin for locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC).

METHODS

Sixty-four patients were randomly divided between the Socazolimab + nab-paclitaxel + cisplatin (TP) arm (n = 32) and the control arm (n = 32), receiving either socazolimab (5 mg/kg intravenously (IV), day 1) or a placebo with nab-paclitaxel (125 mg/m² IV, day 1/8) and cisplatin (75 mg/m² IV, day 1) repeated every 21 days for four cycles before surgery. The primary endpoint was major pathological response (MPR), and the secondary endpoints were pathological complete response (pCR), R0 resection rate, event-free survival (EFS), overall survival (OS), and safety.

RESULTS

A total of 29 (90.6%) patients in each arm underwent surgery, and 29 (100%) and 28 (98.6%) patients underwent R0 resection in the Socazolimab + TP and Placebo + TP arms, respectively. The MPR rates were 69.0 and 62.1% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 49.1-84.0% vs. 42.4-78.7%, P = 0.509), and the pCR rates were 41.4 and 27.6% (95% CI: 24.1-60.9% vs. 13.5-47.5%, P = 0.311) in the Socazolimab + TP and Placebo + TP arms, respectively. Significantly higher incidence rates of ypT0 (37.9% vs. 3.5%; P = 0.001) and T downstaging were observed in the Socazolimab + TP arm than in the Placebo + TP arm. The EFS and OS outcomes were not mature.

CONCLUSIONS

The neoadjuvant socazolimab combined with chemotherapy demonstrated promising MPR and pCR rates and significant T downstaging in locally advanced ESCC without increasing surgical complication rates.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registration name (on clinicaltrials.gov): A Study of Anti-PD-L1 Antibody in Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT04460066.

Prognostic value of IGFBP2 in various cancers: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The prognostic significance of insulin-like growth factor binding protein 2 (IGFBP2) expression has been explored in plenty of studies in human cancers. Because of the controversial results, the meta-analysis was carried out to evaluate the relevance of IGFBP2 expression with the prognosis in various tumors.

METHODS

The data searched from four databases (Pubmed, Embase, Cochrane library, and Web of science) was used to calculate pooled hazard ratios (HRs) in this meta-analysis. Subgroup analyses were stratified by ethnicity, cancer type, publication year, Newcastle-Ottawa Scale score, treatments, and populations.

RESULTS

Twenty-one studies containing 5560 patients finally met inclusion criteria. IGFBP2 expression was associated with lower overall survival (HR = 1.57, 95% CI = 1.31-1.88) and progression-free survival (HR = 1.18, 95% CI = 1.04-1.34) in cancer patients, but not with disease-free survival (HR = 1.50, 95% CI = 0.91-2.46) or recurrence-free survival (HR = 1.50, 95% CI = 0.93-2.40). The subgroup analyses indicated IGFBP2 overexpression was significantly correlated with overall survival in Asian patients (HR = 1.42, 95% CI = 1.18-1.72), Caucasian patients (HR = 2.20, 95% CI = 1.31-3.70), glioma (HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.03-1.79), and colorectal cancer (HR = 2.52, 95% CI = 1.43-4.44) and surgery subgroups (HR = 1.97, 95% CI = 1.50-2.58).

CONCLUSION

The meta-analysis showed that IGFBP2 expression was associated with worse prognosis in several tumors, and may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker in cancer patients.

A Novel Model Combining Tumor Length, Tumor Thickness, TNM_Stage, Nutritional Index, and Inflammatory Index Might Be Superior to the 8th TNM Staging Criteria in Predicting the Prognosis of Esophageal Squamous Cell Carcinoma Patients Treated With Definitive Chemoradiotherapy

Background

We aimed to determine whether the tumor length and tumor thickness should be used as prognostic factors for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients treated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT).

Methods

A retrospective analysis consists of 902 non-operative ESCC patients received dCRT. The nomogram was used to predict the survival. Besides, Restricted Cubic Splines (RCS) was used to examine the relationship between prognostic factors and survival outcomes. Finally, the prognostic index (PI) scores were constructed according to the tumor length and tumor thickness, and the patients were divided into the low-, medium-, and high-risk groups.

Results

The median follow-up of overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were 23.0 months and 17.5 months. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that tumor length and tumor thickness were independent prognostic factors associated with survival. Our novel nomograms for OS and PFS were superior to the TNM classification (p < 0.001). Besides, RCS analysis demonstrated that the death hazard of tumor length and tumor thickness sharply increased at 7.7 cm and 1.6 cm (p < 0.001). Finally, there were significant differences for ESCC patients with clinical TNM stage group of the OS and PFS in different risk groups. The higher risk group was significantly associated with shorter OS and PFS in ESCC patients (both p < 0.001 for all).

Conclusion

The study results suggest that the novel models integrating tumor length and tumor thickness may provide a simple and widely available method for evaluating the prognosis of non-operative ESCC patients. The tumor length and tumor thickness should be considered as prognostic factors for ESCC.

A novel prognostic model: which group of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients could benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to establish a reliable model for predicting the overall survival (OS) of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients and identifying the potential beneficiaries of adjuvant chemotherapy after esophagectomy.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 819 ESCC patients who underwent esophagectomy as the training cohort. We constructed a prognostic model named GTLN2. Both internal and external validation tests were performed. Potential beneficiaries were defined as ESCC patients who obtained a significantly longer OS after adjuvant chemotherapy. Propensity score matching (PSM) was utilized in the subgroup analysis to screen ESCC beneficiaries of adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

We enrolled a total of 819 cT1b-3 patients in the training cohort. Multiple prognostic factors were associated with adjuvant chemotherapy. Using uni-/multivariate analysis, histological grade (G), tumor invasion depth (T), regional lymph node metastasis (N), and the number of cleared lymph nodes (NCLNs) were identified as independent prognostic factors. Then, we developed the GTLN2 model based on these predictors and validated it using internal calculations [the 1-, 3- and 5-year area under the curves (AUCs) were 0.692, 0.685 and 0.680, respectively; P<0.001] and external cohorts (the 1-, 3-, and 5-year AUCs were 0.651, 0.619 and 0.650, respectively; P<0.001). ESCC patients were categorized into high- and low-risk groups based on their assigned risk scores. After 1:1 patient pairing was performed by PSM in the high-risk group, better OS was noted in patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy (P=0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

Differentiating high- and low-risk patient groups via a novel mathematical prediction model allows physicians to identify patients in need of adjuvant chemotherapy accurately.

Long-Term Survival Outcomes and Comparison of Different Treatment Modalities for Stage I-III Cervical Esophageal Carcinoma

Purpose: To investigate the survival outcomes, prognostic factors and treatment modalities of stage I-III cervical esophageal carcinoma (CEC) patients using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from the period 2004–2016.

Methods: Patients with a histopathologic diagnosis of CEC were included. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS). Univariate and multivariate analyses of OS were performed using Cox proportional hazards models, and OS was compared using the Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test.

Results: A total of 347 patients in the SEER database were enrolled. The median OS was 14.0 months, with a 5-year OS rate of 20.9%. The parameters that were found to significantly correlate with OS in the multivariate analysis were age at diagnosis [P < 0.001, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.832], sex [P < 0.001, HR= 1.867], histology [P = 0.001, HR = 0.366], surgery at the primary site [P = 0.021, HR = 0.553], radiotherapy (RT, P = 0.017, HR = 0.637) and chemotherapy (CT, P < 0.001, HR = 0.444). Comparison among the three treatment modalities demonstrated that a triple therapy regimen consisting of surgery, RT and CT was associated with a longer survival time than the other two treatment modalities before and after propensity score matching (PSM). However, triple therapy showed no significant survival benefit over double therapy (P = 0.496 before PSM and P = 0.184 after PSM).

Conclusions: The survival of patients with CEC remains poor. Surgery, RT and CT were all strongly correlated with OS. We recommend a triple therapy regimen for select CEC patients based on the findings of the current study, although this recommendation should be further confirmed by prospective studies with large sample sizes.

Induction chemotherapy followed by definitive chemoradiotherapy versus chemoradiotherapy alone in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a randomized phase II trial

This randomized phase II trial aims to compare the efficacy and safety of induction chemotherapy followed by definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) versus CRT alone in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) unsuitable for surgery (N = 110). The primary outcome was overall response rate (ORR), whereas the secondary outcome was overall survival. This trial did not meet pre-specified endpoints. The ORR was 74.5% in the induction chemotherapy group versus 61.8% in the CRT alone group (P = 0.152). The 3-year overall survival rate was 41.8% in the induction chemotherapy group and 38.1% in the CRT alone group (P = 0.584; hazard ratio, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.54–1.41). Grade 3–5 adverse events were similar. Patients who responded to induction chemotherapy had improved survival in the post-hoc analysis. These results demonstrate no improvement in response rate or survival with the addition of induction chemotherapy to CRT in unselected patients with ESCC. Trial number: NCT02403531.

The benefit of induction chemotherapy before definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for patients with esophageal cancer is still uncertain. The results of this phase II randomized trial show that the addition of induction chemotherapy to CRT does not improve the response rate or survival of patients with unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma.

Clinical practice and outcome of radiotherapy for advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma between 2002 and 2018 in China: the multi-center 3JECROG Survey

PURPOSE

To determine the survival and prognostic factors of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients undergoing radical (chemo)radiotherapy in the era of three-dimensional conformal radiotherapy (3DCRT) and intensity modulated radiotherapy (IMRT) in China.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The Jing-Jin-Ji Esophageal and Esophagogastric Cancer Radiotherapy Oncology Group (3JECROG) conducted the first nationwide survey of nine institutions. Detailed information was accumulated on 5185 patients with ESCC who received definitive 3DCRT/IMRT between 2002 and 2018. Relevant prognostic factors were evaluated to assess their influence on overall and progression-free survivals.

RESULTS

After a median follow-up time of 47.0 (0.9-157.4) months, the 1-year, 2-year, 3-year and 5-year overall survival rates of the whole group were 69.8%, 46.6%, 37.9% and 30.1%. The 1-year, 2-year, 3-year, and 5-year progression-free survival rates were 54.1%, 36.6%, 30.5% and 24.9%. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that sex, clinical stage, treatment modality and radiation dose were prognostic factors for OS. The survival of patients who received concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) was better than that of patients who received radiotherapy alone or sequential chemoradiotherapy. Patients receiving adjuvant chemotherapy after CCRT had a better OS than patients receiving CCRT alone. Patients receiving higher radiation dose had a better OS than those patients receiving low-dose radiotherapy.

CONCLUSIONS

The survival of ESCC patients undergoing radical (chemo)radiotherapy was relatively satisfactory in the era of 3DCRTand IMRT. As the largest-scale multicenter research on esophageal cancer radiotherapy conducted in China, this study establishes national benchmarks and helps to provide references for subsequent related researches.

LncRNA MAGI2-AS3 Overexpression Sensitizes Esophageal Cancer Cells to Irradiation Through Down-Regulation of HOXB7 via EZH2

Background

Accumulating evidence has suggested that aberrant expression of long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) may contribute to cancer progression in association with radioresistance. The current study aimed to identify the potential role of lncRNA MAGI2-AS3 and the underlying mechanism in its regulation of the radio-sensitivity of esophageal cancer cells.

Methods and Results

Initially, we detected high expression of HOXB7 from microarray-based gene expression profiling of esophageal cancer. Then, we identified the interactions among MAGI2-AS3, HOXB7, and EZH2 by dual-luciferase reporter gene assay, RNA pull-down assay, RIP assay and ChIP assay. HOXB7 was highly-expressed, while MAGI2-AS3 was poorly-expressed in esophageal cancer tissues and cells. The effect of MAGI2-AS3 and HOXB7 on esophageal cancer cell proliferation and apoptosis as well as tumorigenicity of radioresistant cells was examined by gain- and loss-of-function experiments. Interestingly, MAGI2-AS3 down-regulated HOXB7 through interaction with EZH2, which promoted cell apoptosis and inhibited proliferation and radio-resistance. Besides, down-regulation of MAGI2-AS3 exerted a promoting effect on these malignant phenotypes.

Conclusion

Taken together, our results reveal the potential role of MAGI2-AS3 over-expression in controlling esophageal cancer resistance to radiotherapy by down-regulating HOXB7, this providing a candidate biomarker for resistance to radiotherapy.

Validation of the post-neoadjuvant staging system of the American joint committee on cancer, 8th edition, in patients treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by curative esophagectomy for localized esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

OBJECTIVE

The American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition staging system presents separate classifications for pTNM and post-neoadjuvant ypTNM (ypTNM-8th) to enhance prognostic prediction after neoadjuvant therapy and surgery. We aimed to validate the ypTNM-8th staging system and to compare the prognostication performance of ypTNM-8th with that of pTNM-7th and pTNM-8th in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT).

METHODS

We reviewed 207 ESCC patients treated with nCRT between January 2007 and December 2014 and compared the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Harrell's C-index to determine the prognostic performance of each TNM system.

RESULTS

Survival curve analysis of pTNM-7th and -8th showed a stepwise drop in survival from ypT0N0 to advanced stages, whereas the survival outcome of ypStage III showed a better prognosis than that of ypStage II according to ypTNM-8th. Lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor regression grade were significantly associated with overall survival on univariate analysis. Each TNM system showed significant p-values for trend (p < 0.0001 each), but after adjusting for prognostic factors, ypTNM-8th did not significantly predict survival (p = 0.15), whereas pTNM-7th remained significant (p < 0.001). pTNM-7th incorporating ypT0N0M0 and ypT0 (is)N + M0 as separate groups was superior in prognostication as its AIC was smaller and its C-index was higher than those of pTNM-8th and ypTNM-8th, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Because ypTNM-8th did not provide sufficient prognostication for patients with ESCC treated with nCRT followed by esophagectomy, more sophisticated prognostic classification should be developed for the ypTNM staging system in these patients.

Prognostic value of tumor length and diameter for esophageal squamous cell cancer patients treated with definitive (chemo)radiotherapy: Potential indicators for nonsurgical T staging

PURPOSE

The aim of this work was to evaluate the prognostic value of tumor length and diameter for patients with esophageal squamous cell cancer (ESCC) treated with definitive (chemo)radiotherapy to identify potential indicators for separate nonsurgical T staging, which are needed in clinical practice.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 682 patients with ESCC who underwent definitive (chemo)radiotherapy between 2009 and 2015 were reviewed. Esophageal tumor length and diameter were determined by barium esophagography and computed tomography before treatment. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to assess the impact of tumor length and diameter on long-term overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was also used to control intergroup heterogeneity.

RESULTS

The median OS and PFS were 22.2 months and 15.4 months, respectively, in the tumor length ≤ 6 cm group, which were significantly longer than those in the tumor length > 6 cm group (13.4 and 8.5 months, respectively). The median OS and PFS were 23.3 months and 15.9 months, respectively, in the tumor diameter ≤ 3.5 cm group, which were also significantly longer than those in the tumor diameter > 3.5 cm group (13.3 and 8.8 months, respectively). Similar results were found after PSM. Univariate and multivariate analyses showed that tumor length and diameter were both independent predictors of long-term survival.

CONCLUSION

Tumor length and diameter are both independent prognostic factors for ESCC patients treated with definitive (chemo)radiotherapy. These two imaging parameters have the potential for development and use in nonsurgical T staging.

A new clinical staging system for esophageal cancer to predict survival after definitive chemoradiation or radiotherapy

This study is to evaluate the prognostic value of a new clinical staging system for esophageal cancer to predict survival after (chemo)radiotherapy. This retrospective study enrolled 444 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent definitive intensity-modulated radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy between January 2008 and May 2014. A clinical staging system based on the gross tumor volume and maximum diameter of metastatic lymph nodes was developed and the prognostic value of this staging system was compared with that of the 8th edition of American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging system. The 3-year survival rate in the whole group was 44.5%. Multivariate analysis showed that gross tumor volume and maximum diameter of metastatic lymph nodes were independent prognostic factors. According to the proposed clinical staging system, the 3-year survival curves of each T, N, and TNM stage were well segregated. On the other hand, 3-year survival rates based on the 8th edition of cTNM staging system were similar between cT3 and cT4, cN1 and cN2, cN2, and cN3, III and IVa stages.The proposed clinical staging system appears to be a simple and accurate predictor of outcome in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma who underwent definitive (chemo) intensity-modulated radiotherapy.

Prognostic differences in 8th edition TNM staging of esophagogastric adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant treatment

BACKGROUND

Prognostic differences between pTN- and ypTN-categories and the prognostic accuracy of the 8th edition UICC-pTNM- and AJCC-ypTNM-staging-system for esophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma are unclear.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed data of 740 patients with esophagogastric adenocarcinoma, who underwent curative surgery (344 after neoadjuvant treatment [NT]) at our institution. Survival analyses were performed according to Kaplan-Meier (log-rank test). Multivariate analyses were performed using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

Low ypT-categories did not discriminate overall survival (ypT0: reference; ypT1: HR1.0/p = 0.909; ypT2: HR0.9/p = 0.845; ypT3: HR1.5/p = 0.184; ypT4: HR2.8/p = 0.004) and no difference was found between ypN1- and ypN2-disease (ypN0: HR0.4/p < 0.001; ypN1: reference; ypN2: HR1.1/p = 0.653; ypN3: HR1.7/p = 0.014). In esophageal adenocarcinoma the UICC-TNM- and AJCC-ypTNM-staging-system was able to predict survival for patients after NT, while in gastric cancer it failed to provide sufficient prognostic information. A simplified staging system provided better stratification after NT and was an independent prognosticator for both esophageal and gastric adenocarcinoma (stage I: reference; stage II: HR2.2/p = 0.005; stage III: HR4.1/p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Prognostic value of ypTN-categories seems limited. After NT the current UICC/AJCC-staging-system is able to predict survival in esophageal adenocarcinoma, but needs to be reevaluated in gastric cancer patients and modified if needed. A novel simplified staging system might be more practicable for patients after NT.

A prognostic nomogram for overall survival after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy in thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: a retrospective analysis

BACKGROUND

Currently, the AJCC staging system or pathological complete response (pCR) are considered not sufficiently accurate to evaluate the survival of patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. This study aimed to establish a nomogram and a recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) model to estimate prognosis and to provide advice for subsequent treatments.

METHODS

We analyzed retrospectively 407 patients that were diagnosed with thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (TESCC) and received neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals of categorical clinicopathological characteristics with overall survival (OS) were calculated using the Cox proportional hazard model. The nomogram and RPA model were then established and total scores according to each variable were calculated and stratified to predict OS.

RESULTS

Patients were followed-up over a median 49.9 months. AJCC did not perform well in distinguishing OS among each stage except for IIB and IIIA. Patients were divided into 4 groups according to the total scores based on nomogram (low risk: ≤180; intermediate risk: 180-270; high risk: 270-340; very high risk: >340). The 5-year OS was 57.3%, 40.7%, 18.3%, 6.1% respectively (p<0.05). RPA model also divide the patients into 4 groups, though group2 and group3 were not statistically significant (p=0.574).

CONCLUSION

The nomogram is a good evaluation model for estimating the prognosis of patients with TESCC after neoadjuvant radiotherapy or chemoradiotherapy compared with the AJCC and RPA. The results of this study also suggested that the high-risk subgroups need further treatments.

p38 predicts depression and poor outcome in esophageal cancer

p38 mitogen-activated protein kinase (MAPK) signaling has been implicated in the cancer development and progression. However, the precise mechanism of this association remains unknown. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the association between p38 and cancer progression, including investigations into the effects on cell proliferation, resistance to thalidomide, indoleamine 2,3-dioxygenase (IDO) expression and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer. The present retrospective study included patients with stage I–III esophageal cancer. A total of 228 patients with esophageal cancer were recruited to analyze the expression of phosphorylated (p)-p38 and IDO in tumor, and normal tissues through immunohistochemistry. Depression status was measured using the Zung Self-Rating Depression Scale. P38 cDNA was transfected into esophageal cancer cells to assess tumor cell viability, sensitivity to thalidomide treatment and IDO gene expression. Western blotting and flow cytometry was used to analyze protein expression alterations, and apoptosis in esophageal cancer cells. P-p38 protein was expressed in 68.9% of cancer tissues, and was significantly associated with depressive symptoms, tumor recurrence and poor survival of patients. In vitro experiments revealed that the expression of p-p38 induced esophageal cancer Eca-109 and TE-1 cell viability, and resistance to thalidomide treatment, as well as in the expression of IDO without the application of lipopolysaccharides. Further follow-up of patients revealed that depression was also an independent factor for early recurrence and overall survival rate. Altered p38 MAPK expression was associated with poor outcome in patients with esophageal cancer. p38 may be a potential biomarker for the prediction of depressive symptoms and prognosis in patients with esophageal cancer.

Comparative study of radiotherapy plus erlotinib versus chemoradiotherapy for elderly patients with esophageal cancer: a propensity score-matched analysis

This study compared the efficiency and safety of radiotherapy plus erlotinib with concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) based on paclitaxel plus cisplatin in elderly esophageal cancer patients. The eligible patients were retrospectively enrolled at Wenzhou Medical University cancer center from January 2005 to December 2011. Propensity score matching generated a matched cohort (1:1) composed from radiotherapy plus erlotinib and CCRT groups. The efficiency and safety were compared between two groups. Multivariable analysis was used to identify significant prognostic factors. Thirty-four patients treated with radiotherapy plus erlotinib were matched with patients who received CCRT. Radiotherapy plus erlotinib group showed better treatment compliance compared with the CCRT group (91.2% vs. 67.6%, hazard ratio [HR] 0.202, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.051-0.809; P = .016). No significant overall response rate differences were found between the two groups (88.2% vs. 79.4%, HR 0.514, 95% CI 0.135-1.952; P = .323). The 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 23.5% vs. 19.2% for patients treated with CCRT or radiotherapy plus erlotinib (HR 1.008, 95% CI 0.574-1.768; P = .979). The 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 16.8% versus 17.1% for patients treated with CCRT or radiotherapy plus erlotinib, respectively (HR 0.978, 95% CI 0.576-1.662; P = .934). The rate of severe hematologic toxicities in the CCRT group was significantly higher than that in the radiotherapy plus erlotinib group (HR 4.306, 95% CI 1.066-17.389; P = .031). Late toxicities were similar between radiotherapy plus erlotinib group and the CCRT group. Multivariate analysis showed that T stage (HR 1.730, 95% CI 1.062-2.816; P = .028), M stage (HR 2.859, 95% CI 1.407-5.811; P = .004), and complete response (HR 2.154, 95% CI 1.190-3.901; P = .011) were independent prognostic factors associated with OS. In conclusion, the present study suggested radiotherapy plus erlotinib should be a preferable modality compared with CCRT, with similar survival outcomes but better treatment compliance and less toxicities.

Prognostic Value of Pretreatment Pathological Tumor Extent in Patients Treated With Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Plus Surgery for Esophageal or Junctional Cancer

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to determine pretreatment pathological tumor extent in the resection specimen after neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) and to assess its prognostic value in patients with esophageal cancer.

METHODS

Patients with esophageal cancer, treated with nCRT plus surgery were included (2003-2011). Pretreatment pathological T-stage (prepT-stage) and N-stage (prepN-stage) were estimated based on the extent of regressional changes and residual tumor cells in the resection specimen. Interobserver agreement was determined between 3 pathologists. The prognostic performance of prepT-stage and prepN-stage was scored using the difference in Akaike information criterion (ΔAIC). PrepN-stage and posttreatment pathological N-stage (ypN-stage) were combined to determine the effect of nodal sterilization on prognosis.

RESULTS

Overall concordance for prepT-stage and prepN-stage was 0.69 and 0.84, respectively. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage was similar to clinical T-stage and worse compared with ypT-stage (ΔAIC 1.3 versus 2.0 and 8.9, respectively). In contrast, prognostic strength of prepN-stage was better than cN-stage and similar to ypN-stage (ΔAIC 17.9 versus 6.2 and 17.2, respectively). PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients, with a five year overall survival of 51% versus 68%, P = 0.019, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

PrepT-stage and prepN-stage can be estimated reproducibly. Prognostic strength of prepT-stage is comparable with clinical T-stage, whereas prepN-stage is better than cN-stage. PrepN+ patients who become ypN0 after nCRT have a worse survival compared with prepN0 patients. Pretreatment pathological staging should be considered useful as a new staging parameter for esophageal cancer and could also be of interest for other tumor types.

Comparative study of cisplatin-based definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy with S-1 versus paclitaxel for unresectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

This study compared the efficiency and safety of definitive concurrent chemoradiotherapy (CCRT) using Paclitaxel plus Cisplatin (TP) versus S-1 plus Cisplatin (CS) in unresectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (LAESCC). Between January 2009 and December 2013, 203 LAESCC patients were retrospectively reviewed. We performed a propensity score matching analysis; 41 patients treated with the CS regimen were matched 1:1 to patients who received the TP regimen. Patient- and disease-related characteristics were well-balanced between the two groups. The CS group showed significantly better treatment compliance (90.2% vs. 70.7%, P = 0.026) and less hospital stay (48 days vs 49 days, P = 0.025) over the TP group during the CCRT course. The complete response rate was comparable between the two groups (51.2% vs. 48.8%, P = 0.825). The 1- and 3-year overall survival (OS) rates in the TP group were 63.4% and 32.4% compared to 62.8% and 32.1% in the CS group, respectively (P = 0.796). The 1- and 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) rates in the TP group were 51.2% and 24.9%, compared to 53.6% and 18.9% in the CS group, respectively (P = 0.630). The incidence of severe and total neutropenia in the TP group was significantly higher compared to the CS group (P = 0.011 and 0.046, respectively). Multivariate analysis revealed that T stage and the complete response rate were strong prognostic factors associated with OS and PFS. In conclusion, both treatment regimens yielded satisfactory survival outcomes, but the CS regimen could significantly improve treatment compliance, reduce hematological toxicities and lengths of hospital stay. Future prospective studies in large cohorts are highly warranted to confirm the findings in our report.

A Prognostic Scoring Model for the Utility of Induction Chemotherapy Prior to Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy in Esophageal Cancer

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to identify patients with esophageal cancer who may benefit from induction chemotherapy (IC) before neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) on the basis of a prognostic scoring model.

METHODS

Between 1998 and 2015, 535 patients with esophageal cancer who underwent nCRT were included for analysis, including 218 patients who received IC before nCRT (IC group) and 317 patients who did not receive IC (non-IC group). A prognostic scoring model was developed to predict disease-free survival (DFS) on the basis of a Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

The median follow-up time was 63.5 months (range 8.0-178.5) for survivors. The 5-year DFS rates were similar between the IC and non-IC groups (53.7% vs. 45.1%, p = 0.196). Multivariate analysis determined that histologic grade, tumor location, baseline positron emission tomography maximum standard uptake value, and lymph node size were independent prognostic factors for DFS. A prognostic scoring system was constructed by using these four factors, with the total score ranging from 0 to 6.2. When the median value was used as a cutoff, low-risk (≤3.5) and high-risk (>3.5) groups were identified. In the high-risk group, patients who received IC had a nonsignificantly higher pathologic complete response rate (p = 0.272) and a significantly better DFS (p = 0.03) than patients who did not receive IC. After propensity score matching, the high-risk group demonstrated a significantly improved DFS with IC, a benefit that was not observed in the low-risk group.

CONCLUSIONS

On the basis of the prognostic scoring model, the addition of IC to nCRT may provide a DFS benefit in high-risk patients with a risk score higher than 3.5. Prospective validation is warranted.

Prognostic histological factors in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma after preoperative chemoradiation followed by surgery

Background

Pathological response is an important marker for tumor aggressiveness in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who receive preoperative chemoradiation followed by esophagectomy. We aim to evaluate the prognostic value of histological factors after trimodality treatments.

Methods

91 patients who received preoperative chemoradiation followed by transthoracic esophagectomy between 2009 and 2014 were included. The pathological examination was reviewed. Overall survival and disease free survival were recorded. Survival analysis was performed using the Cox regression model, and the survival curves were compared by the log-rank test.

Results

Survival analysis showed lymphovascular invasion (LVI, hazard ratio [HR]: 2.009, p = 0.029), perineural invasion (PNI, HR: 2.226, p = 0.019), ypN stage (HR: 2.041, p = 0.019), extracapsular invasion (ECI, HR: 2.804, p = 0.003), and incomplete resection (HR: 1.897, p = 0.039) as unfavorable prognostic factors affecting overall survival (OS). Moreover, tumor regression grade (TRG, HR: 1.834, p = 0.038), LVI (HR: 1.975, p = 0.038), ECI (HR: 2.836, p = 0.003), and incomplete resection (HR: 2.254, p = 0.007) adversely affected disease-free survival (DFS). Prognostic classification based on poor primary tumor (TRG2/3, LVI(+), and PNI (+)), lymph node (ypN(+) and ECI(+)), and surgical (incomplete resection) factors significantly predicts OS (p = 0.013) and DFS (p = 0.017). However, the use of postoperative adjuvant therapy was not a significant prognostic factor even in medium- and high-risk ESCC patients who underwent trimodality treatments.

Conclusions

Histological factors, including primary tumor, lymph node, and surgical factors has high prognostic value for predicting outcomes in ESCC patients receiving preoperative chemoradiation followed by surgery.

How well does pathologic stage predict survival for esophageal adenocarcinoma after neoadjuvant therapy?

BACKGROUND

Cancer staging systems are designed to predict survival and stratify patients. The 7(th) edition of the American Joint Commission on Cancer (AJCC7) staging system for esophageal cancer was modeled using survival data on patients who underwent esophagectomy without induction or adjuvant therapy. In the United States, the standard of care for patients with locally advanced tumors often includes neoadjuvant therapy. The prognostic value of the pathologic stage for these patients is unknown.

METHODS

Data from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) were used to identify 1,243 patients with adenocarcinoma of the esophagus who underwent surgery after neoadjuvant therapy from 1988-2009. Included in the analysis were pathologically-staged, non-metastatic patients who had radiation as part of their neoadjuvant therapy. The AJCC7 staging system and an alternate system were modeled using Kaplan-Meier survival methods. The two systems were compared using log-rank chi-squared statistics, with large chi-squared values indicating accuracy in survival prediction.

RESULTS

The AJCC staging system was able to predict survival for patients who had neoadjuvant therapy (P<0.001, chi-squared =81.8); however, there was little distinction between stage subgroups. Patients with neoadjuvant radiotherapy had improved survival for pathologic stage II and III disease. An alternative, simpler staging system was better able to stratify patients with neoadjuvant therapy (P<0.001, chi-squared =100.5).

CONCLUSIONS

The current AJCC staging system is able to predict survival in esophageal adenocarcinoma patients undergoing neoadjuvant therapy, however, there is less distinction among stage subgroups. An alternative, simpler stage grouping may better stratify patients receiving neoadjuvant therapy.

Screening esophagus during routine ultrasound: medical and cost benefits

OBJECTIVE

Cost-effectiveness analysis is an approach used to determine the value of a medical care option and refers to a method used to assess the costs and health benefits of an intervention. Upon the diagnosis of liver cirrhosis, the current guidelines recommend that all cirrhotic patients have to be screened for the presence of esophageal varices by endoscopy. In addition, patients with a positive family history of esophageal cancer are screened annually. These approaches place a heavy burden on endoscopy units, and repeated testing over time may have a detrimental effect on patient compliance.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Following the recommendations of a recent study entitled 'Detection of risky esophageal varices using two dimensional ultrasound: when to perform endoscopy', the intra-abdominal portion of the esophagus of 1100 patients was divided into a hepatic group, which included 650 patients, and a nonhepatic group, which included 450 patients, who presented with manifestations of liver diseases and gastrointestinal symptoms, respectively, and were examined using standard two-dimensional ultrasound (US) to evaluate cost effectiveness, standard issues, and medical benefits using conventional US.

RESULTS

The overall effectiveness analysis of 1100 patients yielded a 41% cost standard benefit calculated to be $114,760 in a 6-month study.

CONCLUSION

Two-dimensional US can play an important role in screening for esophageal abnormalities, thus saving money and time. The esophagus should be screened during routine conventional abdominal US.

Evaluation of the 7th edition of the TNM classification in patients with resected esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

AIM: To evaluate the prognostic factors and tumor stages of the 7^th edition TNM classification for esophageal cancer.

METHODS: In total, 1033 patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) who underwent surgical resection with or without (neo)adjuvant therapy between January 2003 and June 2012 at the Thoracic Surgery Department II of the Beijing Cancer Hospital, Beijing, China were included in this study. The following eligibility criteria were applied: (1) squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus or gastroesophageal junction identified by histopathological examination; (2) treatment with esophagectomy plus lymphadenectomy with curative intent; and (3) complete pathologic reports and follow-up data. Patients who underwent non-curative (R1) resection and patients who died in hospital were excluded. Patients who received (neo)adjuvant therapy were also included in this analysis. All patients were restaged using the 7^th edition of the Union for International Cancer Control and the American Joint Committee on Cancer TNM staging systems. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify the prognostic factors for survival. Survival curves were plotted using the Kaplan-Meier method, and the log-rank test was used to evaluate differences between the subgroups.

RESULTS: Of the 1033 patients, 273 patients received (neo)adjuvant therapy, and 760 patients were treated with surgery alone. The median follow-up time was 51.6 mo (range: 5-112 mo) and the overall 5-year survival rate was 36.4%. Gender, “pT” and “pN” descriptors, (neo)adjuvant therapy, and the 7^th edition TNM stage grouping were independent prognostic factors in the univariate and multivariate analyses. However, neither histologic grade nor cancer location were independent prognostic factors in the univariate and multivariate analyses. The 5-year stage-based survival rates were as follows: IA, 84.9%; IB, 70.9%; IIA, 56.2%; IIB, 43.3%; IIIA, 37.9%; IIIB, 23.3%; IIIC,12.9% and IV, 3.4%. There were significant differences between each adjacent staging classification. Moreover, there were significant differences between each adjacent pN and pM subgroup. According to the pT descriptor, there were significant differences between each adjacent subgroup except between pT3 and pT4 (P = 0.405). However, there was no significant difference between each adjacent histologic grade subgroup and between each adjacent cancer location subgroup.

CONCLUSION: The 7^th edition is considered to be valid for patients with resected ESCC. However, the histologic grade and cancer location were not prognostic factors for ESCC.

A retrospective review of the prognostic value of ALDH-1, Bmi-1 and Nanog stem cell markers in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Stem cell markers are upregulated in various cancers and have potential as prognostic indicators. The objective of this study was to determine the expression of three stem cell markers, aldehyde dehydrogenase 1 (ALDH-1), B cell-specific Moloney murine leukemia virus integration site 1 (Bmi-1), and Nanog, in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) tissues. Immunohistochemistry was used to measure the expression of ALDH-1, Bmi-1, and Nanog in ESCC tissues from 41 patients who received pre-operative chemoradiation. We evaluated the relationship between expression of these markers, and clinicopathological features, tumor regression grade (TRG), and 5-year overall survival (OS). There were no significant associations of ALDH-1 or Bmi-1 expression with age, gender, clinical stage, and treatments (p>0.05). However, patients with Nanog-positive tumors were significantly older than those whose tumors were Nanog-negative (p = 0.033). TRG after treatment was significantly associated with expression of ALDH-1 (p = 0.001), Bmi-1 (p = 0.004), and Nanog (p<0.001). Although OS was significantly better in patients with low TRGs (p = 0.001), there were no significant correlations between ALDH-1, Bmi-1, or Nanog with OS. Expression of ALDH-1, Bmi-1, and Nanog correlated with TRG, but not OS. Further large studies are necessary to fully elucidate the prognostic value of these stem cell markers for ESCC patients.

Unilateral cervical nodal metastasis is an independent prognostic factor for esophageal squamous cell carcinoma patients undergoing chemoradiotherapy: a retrospective study

PURPOSE

To determine the prognostic significance of unilateral cervical lymph nodal metastasis (CLNM) in patients with inoperable thoracic esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and to identify significant prognostic factors in these patients.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study involved 395 patients with inoperable esophageal SCC treated with concurrent chemoradiotherapy. The patients were classified into three groups according to their cervical lymph node status: group A, no evidence of CLNM; group B, unilateral CLNM; group C, other distant metastases. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated. Significant prognostic factors were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

The 3-year OS rates in groups A, B and C were 46.7%, 33.5% and 8.3%, respectively (p<0.001, log-rank test). The corresponding PFS rates were 40.7%, 26.4% and 4.7% (p<0.001, log-rank test). Group B had a similar prognosis to that of group A and better 3-year OS (p = 0.009) and PFS (p = 0.006) rates than those of group C. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that T stage, chemotherapy regimen and cervical lymph node involvement were independent prognostic factors affecting OS and PFS.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared to other distant metastases, unilateral CLNM is associated with longer OS in esophageal SCC and should be regarded as a regional disease. Sex, T stage, concurrent chemotherapy modality and cervical lymph node involvement are independent predictors of survival in esophageal SCC.

A multifactorial histopathologic score for the prediction of prognosis of resected esophageal adenocarcinomas after neoadjuvant chemotherapy

BACKGROUND

For esophageal adenocarcinoma treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy, postoperative staging classifications initially developed for non-pretreated tumors may not accurately predict prognosis. We tested whether a multifactorial TNM-based histopathologic prognostic score (PRSC), which additionally applies to tumor regression, may improve estimation of prognosis compared with the current Union for International Cancer Control/American Joint Committee on Cancer (UICC) staging system.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We evaluated esophageal adenocarcinoma specimens following cis/oxaliplatin-based therapy from two separate centers (center 1: n = 280; and center 2: n = 80). For the PRSC, each factor was assigned a value from 1 to 2 (ypT0-2 = 1 point; ypT3-4 = 2 points; ypN0 = 1 point; ypN1-3 = 2 points; ≤ 50 % residual tumor/tumor bed = 1 point; >50 % residual tumor/tumor bed = 2 points). The three-tiered PRSC was based on the sum value of these factors (group A: 3; group B: 4-5; group C: 6) and was correlated with patients' overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

The PRSC groups showed significant differences with respect to OS (p < 0.0001; hazard ratio [HR] 2.2 [95 % CI 1.7-2.8]), which could also be demonstrated in both cohorts separately (center 1 p < 0.0001; HR 2.48 [95 % CI 1.8-3.3] and center 2 p = 0.015; HR 1.7 [95 % CI 1.1-2.6]). Moreover, the PRSC showed a more accurate prognostic discrimination than the current UICC staging system (p < 0.0001; HR 1.15 [95 % CI 1.1-1.2]), and assessment of two goodness-of-fit criteria (Akaike Information Criterion and Schwarz Bayesian Information Criterion) clearly supported the superiority of PRSC over the UICC staging.

CONCLUSION

The proposed PRSC clearly identifies three subgroups with different outcomes and may be more helpful for guiding further therapeutic decisions than the UICC staging system.

Role of survivin as prognostic and clinicopathological marker in gastric cancer: a meta-analysis

Survivin has been implicated as a potential prognostic marker in a wide range of malignant tumours. However, the prognostic impact of survivin in gastric cancer remains to be controversial and published data are sometimes heterogeneous. Thus, aim of this study was to review the literature by performing an electronical database search via PubMed and EMBASE to identify eligible studies that assessed the impact of survivin as prognostic marker and its association with clinicopathological variables. Database search until November 21st 2012 retrieved 20 studies comprising 2,695 gastric cancer patients that assessed expression of survivin by immunohistochemistry or RT-PCR analyses in gastric cancer specimens. Meta-analyses of clinicopathological variables revealed an association between the expression of survivin and the presence of lymph node metastases (pooled OR: 0.58; 95 % CI 0.35-0.96). In addition, a correlation between the expression of survivin and overall survival for patients with gastric cancer (pooled HR 1.93; 95 % CI 1.51-2.48) became evident. More importantly, we were able to exclude a severe heterogeneity (I(2) = 31 %) or publication bias for the survival analyses. Furthermore, one-way sensitivity analysis and subgroup analyses regarding the method used to detect survivin, the type of survival analysis, the study quality and whether information was provided regarding neoadjuvant therapy supported our initial results. In conclusion, this meta-analysis indicates the prognostic significance of survivin in patients with gastric cancer.

Survival rate and prognostic factors of esophageal cancer in east Azerbaijan province, North-west of Iran

BACKGROUND

Esophageal cancer in Iran is the sixth most common cancer and is particularly important in east Azerbaijan. The aim of this study was to calculate survival rates and define prognostic factors in esophageal cancer patients.

METHODS

In this study, all patients with esophageal cancer registered in the Radiation Therapy Center, during March 2006 to March 2011, were analyzed and followed up for vital status. Data were analyzed using the Kaplan-Meier method and the Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Out of 532 patients, survival information was available for 460, including 205 (44/5%) females and 255 (55/4%) males. The mean age was 65.8±12.2, ranging from 29 to 90 years at the time of diagnosis. 1- , 3- and 5-year survival rates after diagnosis were 55%, 18% and 12%, respectively, with a median survival time of 13.2 ± .7 (CI 95%=11.8-14.6) months. In the univariate analysis, age (P=0/001), education (P=0/001), smoking status (P= 0/001), surgery (P=0/001), tumor differentiation (P=0/003) and tumor stage (P=0/001) were significant prognostic factors. Tumor morphology, sex, place of residence, tumor histology and tumor location did not show any significant effects on the survival rate. In multivariate analysis, age (P=0/003), smoking (P=0/01) and tumor stage (P=0/001) were significant independent predictors of survival.

CONCLUSION

In summary, prognosis of esophageal cancer in North West of Iran is poor. Therefore, reduction in exposure to risk factors and early detection should be emphasized to improve survival.

Comparison of the prognostic value of the 6th and 7th editions of the Union for International Cancer Control TNM staging system in patients with lower esophageal cancer undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by surgery

Carcinoma of the esophagus is classified according to the Union for International Cancer Control (UICC) TNM staging system. The 7th edition of the UICC TNM staging system was published in 2009. This is the first study to compare the prognostic value of the TNM 6th and 7th editions in patients with esophageal carcinoma treated with chemotherapy followed by surgery. Two hundred forty-three patients with esophageal carcinoma were retrospectively selected from two referral centers. All patients received chemotherapy before surgery. Histopathologic data from the resection specimens were retrieved and restaged according to the TNM 7th edition. Disease-specific survival curves were plotted for depth of tumor invasion (ypT), lymph node status (ypN), and ypTNM stage and then compared. Median follow-up after surgery was 2.5 years (range 0.2-9 years). Survival analysis using the log-rank method revealed that there was a significant difference in survival between ypT4 disease and ypT3 disease (P= 0.003), but no difference between ypT0, ypT1, ypT2, and ypT3 categories irrespective of TNM edition used. Survival probability was significantly different between ypN0 and ypN1 (P= 0.001 for TNM 6th and 7th edition), as well as ypN2 and ypN3 (TNM 7th edition, P= 0.004), but not between ypN1 and ypN2 (TNM 7th edition, P= 0.89). Neither the TNM 6th nor 7th edition T staging provides accurate survival probability stratification. However, the advantage of the 7th edition is the introduction of a third tier in survival stratification for patients with nodal involvement.