Trial of labour and vaginal birth after previous caesarean section: A population based study of Eastern African immigrants in Victoria, Australia

Prediction of vaginal birth after cesarean delivery in Chinese parturients

There is an urgent need in China to better predict vaginal birth after cesarean (VBAC) to face the challenge of the second child policy. We aimed to validate a widely used VBAC prediction model (Grobman's model) and a modified version of this model in a Chinese population. In this retrospective cohort study, 444 women with one cesarean delivery and at least one subsequent attempt for a trial of labor in Nanjing, China were included. The considered potential VBAC predictors included Grobman's background variables and five new variables. Overall, a total of 370 women had VBAC, with a success rate of 83.3%. The new background variables "maternal height" and "estimated fetal weight" were considered as two additional predictors for VBAC. The AUC of Grobman's model was 0.831 (95%CI = 0.775-0.886) while the AUC of our modified model with two new variables added was 0.857 (sensitivity = 72.2%, specificity = 83.8%). However, the difference between the AUC of the two models was not significant (Z = -1.69, P = 0.091). We confirmed that Grobman's model was accepted in the Chinese population. A modified model that is supplemented with maternal height and estimated fetal weight needs to be further studied in the Chinese population.

Outcome of the vaginal birth after cesarean section during the second birth order in West Kazakhstan

Background

Vaginal birth after cesarean section (VBAC) increases the chance of subsequent vaginal deliveries and reduces the repeat cesarean section (CS) rate with subsequent postoperative morbidity.

Objectives

To detect the outcome of VBAC during the second birth order in Aktobe region of West Kazakhstan.

Patients and Methods

A total of 832 women eligible for trial of VBAC were included in this study. Women who signed the consent of VBAC were evaluated thoroughly and data such as maternal age, body mass index, height, gestational age at admission, indication of the previous CS, estimated fetal weight, engagement of the fetal head, condition of the membranes, and cervical dilatation were collected. Data collected after delivery include duration from active phase of labor, mode of delivery, fetal, and neonatal outcomes. The collected data analyzed to detect the outcome of trial of VBAC during the second birth order in Aktobe region of West Kazakhstan.

Results

Logistic analysis and odds ratio (OR) showed that body mass index (BMI) ≤25 kg/m² (OR 1.7; P = 0.0004), height ≥150 cm (OR 1.7; P = 0.002), gestational age ≤40 weeks (OR 2.3; P = 0.0001), and inter-delivery interval ≥2 years (OR 1.6; P = 0.008) were significantly associated with successful VBAC. In addition, <2/5 of the fetal head palpable abdominally, station <-2 (OR 1.7; P = 0.0009), cervical dilatation ≥4 cm (OR 1.7; P = 0.003), and duration of active phase of labor ≤7 h (OR 1.6; P = 0.01) were significantly associated with successful VBAC.

Conclusion

VBAC is safe in properly selected cases. BMI ≤25 kg/m², gestational age ≤40 weeks, inter-delivery interval ≥2 years, and fetal head <-2 station increase the success of VBAC. Prolonged active phase of labor >7 h and the need for labor augmentation decrease the chance of VBAC success.