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Steinberg J, Hughes S, Hui H, Allsop MJ, Egger S, David M, Caruana M, Coxeter P, Carle C, Onyeka T, Rewais I, Monroy Iglesias MJ, Vives N, Wei F, Abila DB, Carreras G, Santero M, O’Dowd EL, Lui G, Tolani MA, Mullooly M, Lee SF, Landy R, Hanley SJB, Binefa G, McShane CM, Gizaw M, Selvamuthu P, Boukheris H, Nakaganda A, Ergin I, Moraes FY, Timilshina N, Kumar A, Vale DB, Molina-Barceló A, Force LM, Campbell DJ, Wang Y, Wan F, Baker AL, Singh R, Salam RA, Yuill S, Shah R, Lansdorp-Vogelaar I, Yusuf A, Aggarwal A, Murillo R, Torode JS, Kliewer EV, Bray F, Chan KKW, Peacock S, Hanna TP, Ginsburg O, Hemelrijck MV, Sullivan R, Roitberg F, Ilbawi AM, Soerjomataram I, Canfell K. Risk of COVID-19 death for people with a pre-existing cancer diagnosis prior to COVID-19-vaccination: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Int J Cancer 2024; 154:1394-1412. [PMID: 38083979 PMCID: PMC10922788 DOI: 10.1002/ijc.34798] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2023] [Revised: 10/04/2023] [Accepted: 10/20/2023] [Indexed: 02/12/2024]
Abstract
While previous reviews found a positive association between pre-existing cancer diagnosis and COVID-19-related death, most early studies did not distinguish long-term cancer survivors from those recently diagnosed/treated, nor adjust for important confounders including age. We aimed to consolidate higher-quality evidence on risk of COVID-19-related death for people with recent/active cancer (compared to people without) in the pre-COVID-19-vaccination period. We searched the WHO COVID-19 Global Research Database (20 December 2021), and Medline and Embase (10 May 2023). We included studies adjusting for age and sex, and providing details of cancer status. Risk-of-bias assessment was based on the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Pooled adjusted odds or risk ratios (aORs, aRRs) or hazard ratios (aHRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CIs) were calculated using generic inverse-variance random-effects models. Random-effects meta-regressions were used to assess associations between effect estimates and time since cancer diagnosis/treatment. Of 23 773 unique title/abstract records, 39 studies were eligible for inclusion (2 low, 17 moderate, 20 high risk of bias). Risk of COVID-19-related death was higher for people with active or recently diagnosed/treated cancer (general population: aOR = 1.48, 95% CI: 1.36-1.61, I2 = 0; people with COVID-19: aOR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.41-1.77, I2 = 0.58; inpatients with COVID-19: aOR = 1.66, 95% CI: 1.34-2.06, I2 = 0.98). Risks were more elevated for lung (general population: aOR = 3.4, 95% CI: 2.4-4.7) and hematological cancers (general population: aOR = 2.13, 95% CI: 1.68-2.68, I2 = 0.43), and for metastatic cancers. Meta-regression suggested risk of COVID-19-related death decreased with time since diagnosis/treatment, for example, for any/solid cancers, fitted aOR = 1.55 (95% CI: 1.37-1.75) at 1 year and aOR = 0.98 (95% CI: 0.80-1.20) at 5 years post-cancer diagnosis/treatment. In conclusion, before COVID-19-vaccination, risk of COVID-19-related death was higher for people with recent cancer, with risk depending on cancer type and time since diagnosis/treatment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Julia Steinberg
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Suzanne Hughes
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Harriet Hui
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Matthew J Allsop
- Leeds Institute of Health Sciences, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
| | - Sam Egger
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Michael David
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
- School of Medicine and Dentistry, Griffith University, Gold Coast, Australia
| | - Michael Caruana
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Peter Coxeter
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Chelsea Carle
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Tonia Onyeka
- Department of Anaesthesia/Pain & Palliative Care Unit, College of Medicine, University of Nigeria, Ituku-Ozalla Campus, Enugu, Nigeria
- IVAN Research Institute, Enugu, Enugu Stata, Nigeria
| | - Isabel Rewais
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Maria J Monroy Iglesias
- Translational Oncology and Urology Research (TOUR), Centre for Cancer, Society, and Public Health, School of Cancer and Pharmaceutical Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Nuria Vives
- Cancer Screening Unit, Institut Català d’Oncologia (ICO), Early Detection of Cancer Group, Epidemiology, Public Health, Cancer Prevention and Palliative Care Program, Institut d’Investigació Biomèdica de Bellvitge (IDIBELL), L’Hospitalet de Llobregat, Spain
- Ciber Salud Pública (CIBERESP), Instituto Salud Carlos III, Madrid, Spain
| | - Feixue Wei
- Early Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | | | - Giulia Carreras
- Oncologic Network, Prevention and Research Institute (ISPRO), Florence, Italy
| | - Marilina Santero
- Iberoamerican Cochrane Centre, IIB Sant Pau-Servei d’Epidemiologia Clínica i Salut Pública, Hospital de la Santa Creu i Sant Pau, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Emma L O’Dowd
- Department of Respiratory Medicine, Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Nottingham, United Kingdom
| | - Gigi Lui
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | | | - Maeve Mullooly
- School of Population Health, RCSI University of Medicine and Health Sciences, Dublin, Ireland
| | - Shing Fung Lee
- Department of Radiation Oncology, National University Cancer Institute, National University Hospital, Singapore
- Department of Clinical Oncology, Tuen Mun Hospital, New Territories West Cluster, Hospital Authority, Hong Kong, China
| | - Rebecca Landy
- Division of Cancer Epidemiology and Genetics, National Cancer Institute, Rockville MD, United States
| | - Sharon JB Hanley
- Department of Academic Primary Care, Institute of Applied Health Sciences, University of Aberdeen, Aberdeen, Scotland
- Center for Environmental and Health Sciences, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan
| | - Gemma Binefa
- Cancer Screening Unit,Cancer Prevention and Control Program, Catalan Institute of Oncology, Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
- Early Detection of Cancer Research Group, EPIBELL Programme, Bellvitge Biomedical Research Institute, Hospitalet de Llobregat, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Charlene M McShane
- Centre for Public Health, Queen’s University Belfast, Institute of Clinical Sciences Block B, Royal Victoria Hospital, Belfast, Northern Ireland
| | - Muluken Gizaw
- Department of Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia
- Institute for Medical Epidemiology, Biometrics and Informatics, Martin Luther University of Halle-Wittenberg, Germany
- NCD Working Group, School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University, Ethiopia
| | - Poongulali Selvamuthu
- Chennai Antiviral Research and Treatment Center and Clinical Research Site (CART CRS), Infectious Diseases Medical Center, Voluntary Health Services, Chennai, India
| | - Houda Boukheris
- University Abderrahmane Mira of Bejaia, School of Medicine, Algeria
- Departement of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, University Hospital of Bejaia, Algeria
| | - Annet Nakaganda
- Department of Cancer Epidemiology and Clinical Trials, Uganda Cancer Institute, Uganda
| | - Isil Ergin
- Department of Public Health, Faculty of Medicine, Ege University, Turkey
| | - Fabio Ynoe Moraes
- Department of Oncology, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
| | - Nahari Timilshina
- Institute of Health Policy, Management and Evaluation, University of Toronto, Canada
| | - Ashutosh Kumar
- Department of Anatomy, All India Institute of Medical Sciences-Patna, Patna, India
| | - Diama B Vale
- Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, University of Campinas (UNICAMP), Brazil
| | - Ana Molina-Barceló
- Cancer and Public Health Research Unit, Biomedical Research Foundation FISABIO, Valencia, Spain
| | - Lisa M Force
- Department of Health Metrics Sciences and Department of Pediatrics, Division of Hematology/Oncology, University of Washington, United States
| | - Denise Joan Campbell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Yuqing Wang
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Fang Wan
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Anna-Lisa Baker
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Ramnik Singh
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Rehana Abdus Salam
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
| | - Susan Yuill
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
- School of Public Health, University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia
| | - Richa Shah
- Cancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | - Iris Lansdorp-Vogelaar
- Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, University Medical Center Rotterdam, the Netherlands
| | - Aasim Yusuf
- Shaukat Khanum Memorial Cancer Hospital & Research Centre, Lahore & Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Ajay Aggarwal
- Department of Health Services Research and Policy, School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
- Department of Oncology, Guy’s & St Thomas NHS Trust, London, United Kingdom
| | - Raul Murillo
- Centro Javeriano De Oncologia - Hospital Universitario San Ignacio, Bogotá, Colombia
- Pontificia Universidad Javeriana, Bogotá, Colombia
| | - Julie S Torode
- Institute of Cancer Policy, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
- Research Oncology, Bermondsey Wing, Guy’s Hospital, SE1 9RT, London, United Kingdom
| | - Erich V Kliewer
- Department of Cancer Control Research, BC Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Freddie Bray
- Cancer Surveillance Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France
| | - Kelvin KW Chan
- Odette Cancer Centre, Sunnybrook Health Sciences Centre, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
- Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Stuart Peacock
- Department of Cancer Control Research, BC Cancer Research Institute, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Canadian Centre for Applied Research in Cancer Control, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, British Columbia, Canada
| | - Timothy P Hanna
- Division of Cancer Care and Epidemiology, Cancer Research Institute at Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
- Department of Oncology and Department of Public Health Sciences, Queen’s University, Kingston, Ontario, Canada
| | - Ophira Ginsburg
- Center for Global Health, National Cancer Institute, Maryland, United States
| | - Mieke Van Hemelrijck
- Translational Oncology and Urology Research (TOUR), Centre for Cancer, Society, and Public Health, School of Cancer and Pharmaceutical Sciences, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Richard Sullivan
- Institute of Cancer Policy, King’s College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Felipe Roitberg
- Department of Non-Communicable Diseases, World Health Organisation, Geneva, Switzerland
- Hospital Sírio Libanês, São Paulo, Brazil
- Rede Ebserh, Rede Brasileira de Serviços Hospitalares, Brasília, Brazil
| | | | | | - Karen Canfell
- The Daffodil Centre, The University of Sydney, a joint venture with Cancer Council NSW, Sydney, Australia
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