Phosphorus retention and internal loading in the Bay of Quinte, Lake Ontario, using diagenetic modelling

Saturation of intracellular phosphorus uptake and prevalence of extracellular phosphorus entrapment in fluvial biofilms after long-term P pulses: Implications for river self-purification

Microbial consortia in riverbed substrates and their extracellular matrix (biofilms) play a key role in phosphorus (P) entrapment. When P entrapment saturates, the benthic compartment changes from a P sink to a P source thus increasing eutrophication risk. P entrapment saturation is expected to differ between intracellular and extracellular P entrapment and between different magnitudes and durations of P inputs. We studied biofilm P-entrapment following short (48 h) and long (14 days) P loading events in stream bypass flumes supplied with a gradient of dissolved P concentrations. This allowed us to link local biofilm processes in sediments to potential effects on river self-purification, via quantifying the P removal efficiency in the flumes. We found that in short-term events, biofilms develop intracellular mechanisms to cope with P inputs, while long-term events and high P inputs suppress the intracellular uptake mechanisms and increase the prevalence of extracellular entrapment. Specifically, long-term events lowered the threshold for intracellular P entrapment saturation, and decreased the ratio between intracellular and extracellular entrapment resulting in lower removal efficiency for dissolved phosphorus. Our results highlight the risk that aquatic ecosystems may face as the ratio of intracellular to extracellular P entrapment decreases, which may reduce their ability to deal with P inputs, thereby increasing risks of eutrophication.

Determination of degradation/reaction rate for surface water quality of recycled water using Lake2K model for large-scale water recycling

The depletion of groundwater resources in the water-stressed regions has led to the overuse of surface water reservoirs. Recharging groundwater by rejuvenating dried surface reservoirs using recycled water is a new sustainable solution. To ensure the prevention of groundwater contamination and associated health risks (as recycled water is used), it is crucial to assess the surface reservoir water quality. The study for the first time suggests the Lake2K model, a one-dimensional mechanistic mass-balance model, to simulate the changes in water quality in a series of man-made surface water reservoirs where recycled water flows under an indirect groundwater recharge scheme (soil aquifer treatment system). The model was developed, calibrated, and validated using field observations to estimate degradation/reaction rate constants for various water quality parameters. The observed average degradation/reaction rate constants for parameters including ammonia-N, nitrate-N, total nitrogen, total organic carbon, and organic phosphorous were 0.043 day-1, 0.04 day-1, 0.043 day-1, 0.055 day-1, and 0.056 day-1, respectively, which were found to be relatively high compared to existing literature, indicating a greater degradation of these parameters in warmer climates. The results showed that the water quality improved significantly as the water progressed through the reservoirs, aligning with field observations. Additionally, the simulated seasonal variations revealed that the maximum growth rate of phytoplankton occurred during July, August, and September for each reservoir, while the nutrient pool (nitrate-N and orthophosphates) experienced the greatest depletion during this growth period. These findings shed light on the dynamics of surface water quality in regions facing water scarcity and contribute to the development of sustainable groundwater management strategies.

Sediment phosphorus immobilization with the addition of calcium/aluminum and lanthanum/calcium/aluminum composite materials under wide ranges of pH and redox conditions

Aquatic environment factors often influence and regulate the direction of phosphorus (P) flow at the sediment-water interface (SWI). High pH and low DO, common in eutrophic lakes, would induce large releases of P from sediment, and thus cause the negative effect on the efficiency of some P-passivators. Hence, the development of P passivators that could function over a wide range of pH condition and redox state in the overlaying water with reduced undesirable side effects is critical for the eutrophic lake remediation. In the present study, a calcium (Ca)/aluminum (Al) composite (CA) and a lanthanum (La)/Ca/Al composite (LCA) were prepared for P immobilization in lake sediments, using calcium and lanthanum coprecipitated with aluminum. CA and LCA were shown to have good P sorption performance at pH 4-11, particularly at pH 8-11. Furthermore, CA and LCA have an ability to correct the pH of water that deviates from neutral. The maximum P adsorption (Q_max) of sediment amended by 4 % CA and 4 % LCA increased by 83 % and 103 %, and their equilibrium P concentration (EPC₀) decreased by 76 % and 88 %, respectively. Under various pH and DO conditions, the P concentration in overlying water was significantly decreased by CA and LCA amendment, and their addition could effectively counteract the P release from sediments induced by high pH and low DO. The mechanisms of P immobilization in amended sediments under various pH and DO levels are primarily the conversion of reactive P to stable P. The P immobilization performance of CA and LCA could cope with a wide range of pH and redox conditions in eutrophic lakes, and they would help to correct extreme pH values, thus they are expected to be a new generation of commercial P-passivators.

Higher dissolved oxygen levels promote downward migration of phosphorus in the sediment profile: Implications for lake restoration

Lake restoration (typically sediment dredging) commonly involves producing a new sediment-water interface (SWI). This study comprehensively investigated the migration and transformation of P during the formation of a new SWI under different dissolved oxygen (DO) levels in the overlying water, based on Fe/Al-rich sediment. The results suggest that DO had a profound effect on the 0-7 cm sediment layer properties and higher DO levels in the overlying water resulted in the diffusion of DO deeper into the sediments. Importantly, besides preventing Fe reductive dissolution and sulfides competition, higher DO levels inhibited the release of P from sediment by inducing the mitigation of P from the upper (0-3 cm) into the bottom (3-7 cm) sediments. The migration of P was found to be closely related to the interactions between organic matter and Al, Fe, and Ca in the sediment profile caused by higher DO levels in overlying water. Particularly, the decrease in organic matter in the upper sediments increased the mobility of Ca and promoted aging of Al and Fe, which increased the migration of the different forms of P. The increased organic matter in the bottom sediments retained the mobile Ca and increased amorphous Fe, which immobilized the P that had migrated from the upper sediments. These results demonstrate the relatively high mobility of P in the upper sediments and the importance of P immobilization capability of bottom sediments on regulating P release from SWI under higher DO levels in overlying water. Accordingly, measures for lake restoration with producing a new SWI were recommended to be applied in combination with P immobilization method to develop more feasible strategies.

Cognizing and characterizing the organic phosphorus in lake sediments: Advances and challenges

Organic phosphorus (OP) is one of the main forms of phosphorus in lake ecosystems. Mounting evidence has shown that sediment OP has become a major but underestimated issue in addressing lake eutrophication and algal bloom. However, a holistic view of sediment OP remains missing. This review aims to provide an overview of progress on the studies of OP in lake sediments, focusing on the contribution of OP to internal P loading, its potential role in algal bloom, and the migration and transformation. In addition, this work systematically summarized current methods for characterizing OP content, chemical fraction, composition, bioavailability, and assessment of OP release in sediment, with the pros and cons of each method being discussed. In the end, this work pointed out following efforts needed to deepen the understanding of sediment OP, namely: (1) In-depth literature review from a global perspective regarding the contribution of sediment OP to internal P loading with further summary about its pattern of distribution, accumulation and historical changes; (2) better mathematical models for describing drivers and the linkages between the biological pump of algal bloom and the replenishment of sediment OP; (3) fully accounting the composition and molecular size of OP for better understanding its transformation process and mechanism; ; (4) developing direct, high-sensitivity and combined techniques to improve the precision for identifying OP in sediments; (5) establishing the response of OP molecular properties and chemical reactivity to OP biodegradability and designing a comprehensive and accurate composite index to deepen the understanding for the bioavailability of OP; and (6) integrating fundamental processes of OP in current models to better describe the release and exchange of P in sediment-water interface (SWI). This work is expected to provide critical information about OP properties and deliver perspectives of novel characterization methods.

Effects of Chlorella vulgaris on phosphorus release from ferric phosphate sediment by consecutive cultivations

Iron phosphate (Fe-P) is a main phosphorus storage form, especially in phosphorus-polluted environments. The re-release of Fe-P is a problematic result during microalgal remediation. In this study, pre-incubated Chlorella vulgaris was cultured in a BG-11 culture medium with different amounts of Fe-P. The effects of Fe-P re-release on biomass, flocculation and removal of PO4 3- were investigated. The results indicated that C. vulgaris can promote the dissolution and release of Fe-P when the pH is 7, and the amount of Fe-P (ΔQ) released in 200 ml water reaches 0.055-0.45 mg d-1 under a C. vulgaris concentration of 5.6 × 105-8 × 105 cells ml-1. The growth of C. vulgaris was inhibited because of the flocculation behaviour of Fe3 + in the release stage, which is associated with a specific growth rate of 0.3-0.4 d-1 and a phosphorus removal rate below 30%. However, this process, in the long term, indicates a favourable transformation in which Fe-P becomes bioavailable under the action of C. vulgaris. Microalgae outbreaks may be triggered by persistent interactions between Fe-P and C. vulgaris. This study provides an important reference for the application of C. vulgaris in a Fe-P-rich environment.

Phosphorus mass balance and input load estimation from the wet and dry periods in tropical semiarid reservoirs

The dynamics of total phosphorus (TP) in 18 strategic reservoirs of the high-density reservoir network of the Brazilian semiarid was evaluated during the wet and dry periods for the past 12 years. Seasonal overlying concentrations presented no significant differences for about 90% of the reservoirs (p>0.05). This was attributed to a trade-off between the hydrological/limnological processes occurring in the two seasons. Then, a transient complete-mix mass balance model was applied with particular adaptations for the tropical semiarid reservoirs to estimate the TP load for each season. Because of the relatively well-mixed conditions and high hypolimnetic dissolved oxygen concentrations during the wet season, the wet load was assumed to represent the external TP load. On the other hand, because of the absence of reservoir inflow during the dry season, phosphorus release under anoxic sediment conditions and wind-induced resuspension under shallow water depths, the dry load was assumed to reflect the internal TP load. The maximum external loads were related to peak inflows, notably after drought periods. Consistently, the largest internal loads were obtained during the drought periods, when the reservoirs were shallower and more prone to phosphorus release and resuspension. By comparing the impact of the two input load types, the wet period load was predominant in 72% of the reservoirs. The areal phosphorus loads ranged from 0.66 to 7.29 gP m² year^-1, which were consistent with the literature, despite the very high density of reservoirs. Finally, power-law curves including data for all studied reservoirs were adjusted between the dry period load and volume, dry and wet period loads, wet period load and inflow, and total load and catchment area, resulting in satisfactory R² (0.84-0.98).

Historical changes of sedimentary P-binding forms and their ecological driving mechanism in a typical "grass-algae" eutrophic lake

With the transformation of lake ecosystem from "clear water" to "turbid water", the residual phosphorus (P) accumulated in sediments may slow down the process of aquatic ecological restoration, and the related mechanisms are complex and need to be better understood. In this study, high-resolution systematic investigation and analysis of P-binding forms in the sediments showed that Lake Dianchi, the largest plateau lake in Southwest China, was enriched with NaOH-rP, HCl-P and Res-P, but depleted in NH₄Cl-P, BD-P and NaOH-nrP. The BD-P, NaOH-nrP and NaOH-rP were the main contributors to potential P release from sediments, while the release potential of NH₄Cl-P was relatively weak (<1%). When the external P loading gradually decreased, the internal P loading of Lake Dianchi was estimated to be 522 mg P/(m²•a) in the past 30 years. The succession of "grass-algae" type in Lake Dianchi coincided with reduced absorption and transformation of potential mobile P and decreased accumulation of stable P, especially the Res-P. Meanwhile, the temporal variation of potential mobile P was a good predictor of ecological degradation and reduced ecosystem sustainability in Lake Dianchi.

The Long-Term and Retention Impacts of the Intervention Policy for Cage Aquaculture on the Reservoir Water Qualities in Northern China

To ensure the safety of the water supply of the Panjiakou reservoir, in 2016, the Chinese central government comprehensively banned the fishing cage culture that had lasted for almost 30 years. However, the long-term effects and retention impacts of the government’s mandatory intervention on the reservoir water quality are unknown. To determine the reservoir water quality, we employed statistical methods along with the mathematical model to investigate the internal relationship since the construction of the reservoir. We applied seasonal trend decomposition using loess (STL) to explore the long-term and seasonality trend of monthly total nitrogen (TN) and total phosphorous (TP). To separate the impact of upstream water quality changes from cage culture on reservoir water quality, we employed generalized additive models (GAMs). We created a model, the LAKE2K model, to investigate the internal sources of the sediment that accumulated during the aquaculture period and its retardant effect. The results revealed that the concentration of upstream TN was more affected by non-point sources than by TP. The long-term policy of encouraging aquaculture has greatly contributed to the increase in the reservoir TP concentration rather than an increase in TN; the prohibition of cage aquaculture has resulted in a sharp drop in TP. After the ban, the sediment became the main source of TP. We suspect that the TP concentration of the reservoir and sediment will decrease gradually until a new equilibrium is reached within 10 years. This study offers lake managers an opportunity to increase their insight into the interaction of management measures with water quality and provides valuable information for the natural recovery of the eutrophic system.

Modeling response of water quality parameters to land-use and climate change in a temperate, mesotrophic lake

Lake Auburn, Maine, USA, is a historically unproductive lake that has experienced multiple algal blooms since 2011. The lake is the water supply source for a population of ~60,000. We modeled past temperature, and concentrations of dissolved oxygen (DO) and phosphorus (P) in Lake Auburn by considering the catchment and internal contributions of P as well as atmospheric factors, and predicted the change in lake water quality in response to future climate and land-use changes. A stream hydrology and P-loading model (SimplyP) was used to generate input from two major tributaries into a lake model (MyLake-Sediment) to simulate physical mixing, chemical dynamics, and sediment geochemistry in Lake Auburn from 2013 to 2017. Simulations of future lake water quality were conducted using meteorological boundary conditions derived from recent historical data and climate model projections for high greenhouse-gas emission cases. The effects of future land development on lake water quality for the 2046 to 2055 time period under different land-use and climate change scenarios were also simulated. Our results indicate that lake P enrichment is more responsive to extreme storm events than increasing air temperatures, mean precipitation, or windstorms; loss of fish habitat is driven by windstorms, and to a lesser extent an increasing water temperature; and catchment development further leads to water quality decline. All simulations also show that the lake is susceptible to both internal and external P loadings. Simulation of temperature, DO, and P proved to be an effective means for predicting the loss of water quality under changing land-use and climate scenarios.

A Bayesian risk assessment framework for microcystin violations of drinking water and recreational standards in the Bay of Quinte, Lake Ontario, Canada

Freshwater ecosystems can experience harmful algal blooms, which negatively impact recreational uses, aesthetics, taste, and odor in drinking water. Cyanobacterial toxins can have dire repercussions on aquatic wildlife and human health, and the most ubiquitous worldwide are the hepatotoxic compounds known as microcystins. The factors that influence the occurrence and magnitude of cyanobacteria blooms and toxin production vary in space and time and remain poorly understood. It is within this context that we present a suite of statistical models, parameterized with Bayesian inference techniques, to link the retrospective analysis of important environmental factors with the probability of exceedance of threshold microcystin levels. Our modelling framework is applied to the Bay of Quinte, Lake Ontario, Canada; a system with a long history of eutrophication problems. Collectively, 16.1% of the samples of the system collected during the study period (2003-2016) exceeded the drinking water guideline of 1.5 μgL^-1, while approximately 3% of recorded values exceeded the recommended recreational threshold of 20 μgL^-1. Using a segmented regression model with a stochastic breakpoint of microcystin concentrations estimated at 0.54 μg L^-1, we demonstrate that the environmental conditions associated with increased probability of exceedance of the drinking water standard are chlorophyll a concentration ≥7 μg L^-1, water temperature ≥20 °C, ammonium concentration ≤40 μgL^-1, total phosphorus concentration ≥25 μg L^-1, and wind speed ≤37 km h^-1. Considering the multitude of factors that can influence the ambient levels of toxins, our study argues that the adoption of probabilistic water quality criteria offers a pragmatic approach to accommodate the associated uncertainty by permitting a realistic frequency of violations. In this context, we present a framework to evaluate the confidence of compliance with probabilistic standards that stipulate less than 10% violations of microcystin threshold ambient levels.

River nutrient water and sediment measurements inform on nutrient retention, with implications for eutrophication

The consideration of nutrients in pollution dynamics is important for environmental management and conservation. Developing countries are yet to appreciate the aquatic ecosystem pollution impacts on their economies and as such, information on water pollution dynamics is limited. This study assessed the spatio-temporal dynamics of nutrient loading and retention in stream water and sediments in the Bloukrans River system, Eastern Cape province, South Africa over the course of the wet and dry season. Sediment and water samples were analysed for total phosphorus (TP) and nitrogen (TN) concentrations, and were used in combination with river flow discharge, to determine nutrient loads. The study results highlight that river discharge plays a significant role in temporal differences in sediment and water column nutrient concentrations. The mean sediment nutrient concentration was high for the dry season, with high values being observed for the urban river system. Nutrient loads were high above the sewage treatment works outflow (i.e. urban sites), as such, a decreasing trend was observed with increasing distance from the urban environment. Nutrient loads were generally high for the dry season in comparison to the wet season indicating organic matter retention (i.e. accumulation from burst sewage pipes) most likely due to low flows. While it was evident that the ageing wastewater infrastructure contributed to the observed state of the Bloukrans River, the high natural nutrient retention capacity seemed to mitigate eutrophication of downstream aquatic ecosystems. As such, the nutrient retention capacity and management of the system is central to the entire Bloukrans River catchment management practices. Therefore, the study contributes to our understanding of water and sediment nutrient pollution dynamics in an arid temperate river landscape where vast spatio-temporal differences in base flow characterise the riverscape.

When can we declare a success? A Bayesian framework to assess the recovery rate of impaired freshwater ecosystems

Evaluating the degree of improvement of an impaired freshwater ecosystem resembles the statistical null-hypothesis testing through which the prevailing conditions are compared against a reference state. The pillars of this process involve the robust delineation of what constitutes an achievable reference state; the establishment of threshold values for key environmental variables that act as proxies of the degree of system impairment; and the development of an iterative decision-making process that takes advantage of monitoring data to assess the system-restoration progress and revisit management actions accordingly. Drawing the dichotomy between impaired and non-impaired conditions is a challenging exercise that is surrounded by considerable uncertainty stemming from the variability that natural systems display over time and space, the presence of ecosystem feedback loops (e.g., internal loading) that actively influence the degree of recovery, and our knowledge gaps about biogeochemical processes directly connected to the environmental problem at hand. In this context, we reappraise the idea of probabilistic water quality criteria, whereby the compliance rule stipulates that no more than a stated number of pre-specified water quality extremes should occur within a given number of samples collected over a compliance assessment domain. Our case study is the Bay of Quinte, Ontario, Canada; an embayment lying on the northeastern end of Lake Ontario with a long history of eutrophication problems. Our study explicitly accounts for the covariance among multiple water quality variables and illustrates how we can assess the degree of improvement for a given number of violations of environmental goals and samples collected from the system. The present framework offers a robust way to impartially characterize the degree of restoration success and minimize the influence of the conflicting perspectives among decision makers/stakeholders and conscious (or unconscious) biases pertaining to water quality management.