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Wang L, Shao H, Guo Y, Bi H, Lei X, Dai S, Mao X, Xiao K, Liao X, Xue H. Ecological restoration for eutrophication mitigation in urban interconnected water bodies: Evaluation, variability and strategy. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 365:121475. [PMID: 38905792 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121475] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/27/2024] [Revised: 06/05/2024] [Accepted: 06/10/2024] [Indexed: 06/23/2024]
Abstract
Many urban water bodies grapple with low flow flux and weak hydrodynamics. To address these issues, projects have been implemented to form integrated urban water bodies via interconnecting artificial lake or ponds with rivers, but causing pollution accumulation downstream and eutrophication. Despite it is crucial to assess eutrophication, research on this topic in urban interconnected water bodies is limited, particularly regarding variability and feasible strategies for remediation. This study focused on the Loucun river in Shenzhen, comprising an pond, river and artificial lake, evaluating water quality changes pre-(post-)ecological remediation and establishing a new method for evaluating the water quality index (WQI). The underwater forest project, involving basement improvement, vegetation restoration, and aquatic augmentation, in the artificial lake significantly reduced total nitrogen (by 43.58%), total phosphorus (by 79.17%) and algae density (by 36.90%) compared to pre-remediation, effectively controlling algal bloom. Rainfall, acting as a variable factor, exacerbated downstream nutrient accumulation, increasing total phosphorus by 4.56 times and ammonia nitrogen by 1.30 times compared to the dry season, and leading to algal blooms in the non-restoration pond. The improved WQI method effectively assesses water quality status. The interconnected water body exhibits obvious nutrient accumulation in downstream regions. A combined strategy that reducing nutrient and augmenting flux was verified to alleviate accumulation of nutrients downstream. This study provides valuable insights into pollution management strategies for interconnected pond-river-lake water bodies, offering significant reference for nutrient mitigation in such urban water bodies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linlin Wang
- College of Life Sciences and Oceanography, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518060, China
| | - Huaihao Shao
- Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Yuehua Guo
- China Communications First Harbor Bureau Ecological Engineering Co., LTD, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Hongsheng Bi
- University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Chesapeake Bay Laboratory, Solomons, MD, 20688, USA
| | - Xiaoyu Lei
- Department of Research Affairs, Shenzhen MSU-BIT University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Shuangliang Dai
- Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Xianzhong Mao
- Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Kai Xiao
- State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Integrated Surface Water-Groundwater Pollution Control, School of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, 518055, China
| | - Xiaomei Liao
- College of Life Sciences and Oceanography, Shenzhen University, Shenzhen, 518060, China.
| | - Hao Xue
- Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, 100012, China.
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Uddin MG, Rana MSP, Diganta MTM, Bamal A, Sajib AM, Abioui M, Shaibur MR, Ashekuzzaman S, Nikoo MR, Rahman A, Moniruzzaman M, Olbert AI. Enhancing groundwater quality assessment in coastal area: A hybrid modeling approach. Heliyon 2024; 10:e33082. [PMID: 39027495 PMCID: PMC11255574 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e33082] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2024] [Revised: 06/12/2024] [Accepted: 06/13/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
Monitoring of groundwater (GW) resources in coastal areas is vital for human needs, agriculture, ecosystems, securing water supply, biodiversity, and environmental sustainability. Although the utilization of water quality index (WQI) models has proven effective in monitoring GW resources, it has faced substantial criticism due to its inconsistent outcomes, prompting the need for more reliable assessment methods. Therefore, this study addressed this concern by employing the data-driven root mean squared (RMS) models to evaluate groundwater quality (GWQ) in the coastal Bhola district near the Bay of Bengal, Bangladesh. To enhance the reliability of the RMS-WQI model, the research incorporated the extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) machine learning (ML) algorithm. For the assessment of GWQ, the study utilized eleven crucial indicators, including turbidity (TURB), electric conductivity (EC), pH, total dissolved solids (TDS), nitrate (NO3 -), ammonium (NH4 +), sodium (Na), potassium (K), magnesium (Mg), calcium (Ca), and iron (Fe). In terms of the GW indicators, concentration of K, Ca and Mg exceeded the guideline limit in the collected GW samples. The computed RMS-WQI scores ranged from 54.3 to 72.1, with an average of 65.2, categorizing all sampling sites' GWQ as "fair." In terms of model reliability, XGBoost demonstrated exceptional sensitivity (R2 = 0.97) in predicting GWQ accurately. Furthermore, the RMS-WQI model exhibited minimal uncertainty (<1 %) in predicting WQI scores. These findings implied the efficacy of the RMS-WQI model in accurately assessing GWQ in coastal areas, that would ultimately assist regional environmental managers and strategic planners for effective monitoring and sustainable management of coastal GW resources.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - M.M. Shah Porun Rana
- The Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mir Talas Mahammad Diganta
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Apoorva Bamal
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Abdul Majed Sajib
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Mohamed Abioui
- Geosciences, Environment and Geomatics Laboratory (GEG), Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Sciences, Ibnou Zohr University, Agadir, Morocco
- MARE-Marine and Environmental Sciences Centre-Sedimentary Geology Group, Department of Earth Sciences, Faculty of Sciences and Technology, University of Coimbra, Coimbra, Portugal
- Laboratory for Sustainable Innovation and Applied Research, Universiapolis—International University of Agadir, Agadir, Morocco
| | - Molla Rahman Shaibur
- Laboratory of Environmental Chemistry, Department of Environmental Science and Technology, Faculty of Applied Science and Technology, Jashore University of Science and Technology, Jashore, 7408, Bangladesh
| | - S.M. Ashekuzzaman
- Department of Civil, Structural and Environmental Engineering, and Sustainable Infrastructure Research & Innovation Group, Munster Technological University, Cork, Ireland
| | - Mohammad Reza Nikoo
- Department of Civil and Architectural Engineering, Sultan Qaboos University, Muscat, Oman
| | - Azizur Rahman
- School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
- The Gulbali Institute of Agriculture, Water and Environment, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
| | - Md Moniruzzaman
- The Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Agnieszka I. Olbert
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
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Uddin MG, Rahman A, Rosa Taghikhah F, Olbert AI. Data-driven evolution of water quality models: An in-depth investigation of innovative outlier detection approaches-A case study of Irish Water Quality Index (IEWQI) model. WATER RESEARCH 2024; 255:121499. [PMID: 38552494 DOI: 10.1016/j.watres.2024.121499] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/27/2023] [Revised: 02/09/2024] [Accepted: 03/19/2024] [Indexed: 04/24/2024]
Abstract
Recently, there has been a significant advancement in the water quality index (WQI) models utilizing data-driven approaches, especially those integrating machine learning and artificial intelligence (ML/AI) technology. Although, several recent studies have revealed that the data-driven model has produced inconsistent results due to the data outliers, which significantly impact model reliability and accuracy. The present study was carried out to assess the impact of data outliers on a recently developed Irish Water Quality Index (IEWQI) model, which relies on data-driven techniques. To the author's best knowledge, there has been no systematic framework for evaluating the influence of data outliers on such models. For the purposes of assessing the outlier impact of the data outliers on the water quality (WQ) model, this was the first initiative in research to introduce a comprehensive approach that combines machine learning with advanced statistical techniques. The proposed framework was implemented in Cork Harbour, Ireland, to evaluate the IEWQI model's sensitivity to outliers in input indicators to assess the water quality. In order to detect the data outlier, the study utilized two widely used ML techniques, including Isolation Forest (IF) and Kernel Density Estimation (KDE) within the dataset, for predicting WQ with and without these outliers. For validating the ML results, the study used five commonly used statistical measures. The performance metric (R2) indicates that the model performance improved slightly (R2 increased from 0.92 to 0.95) in predicting WQ after removing the data outlier from the input. But the IEWQI scores revealed that there were no statistically significant differences among the actual values, predictions with outliers, and predictions without outliers, with a 95 % confidence interval at p < 0.05. The results of model uncertainty also revealed that the model contributed <1 % uncertainty to the final assessment results for using both datasets (with and without outliers). In addition, all statistical measures indicated that the ML techniques provided reliable results that can be utilized for detecting outliers and their impacts on the IEWQI model. The findings of the research reveal that although the data outliers had no significant impact on the IEWQI model architecture, they had moderate impacts on the rating schemes' of the model. This finding indicated that detecting the data outliers could improve the accuracy of the IEWQI model in rating WQ as well as be helpful in mitigating the model eclipsing problem. In addition, the results of the research provide evidence of how the data outliers influenced the data-driven model in predicting WQ and reliability, particularly since the study confirmed that the IEWQI model's could be effective for accurately rating WQ despite the presence of the data outliers in the input. It could occur due to the spatio-temporal variability inherent in WQ indicators. However, the research assesses the influence of data input outliers on the IEWQI model and underscores important areas for future investigation. These areas include expanding temporal analysis using multi-year data, examining spatial outlier patterns, and evaluating detection methods. Moreover, it is essential to explore the real-world impacts of revised rating categories, involve stakeholders in outlier management, and fine-tune model parameters. Analysing model performance across varying temporal and spatial resolutions and incorporating additional environmental data can significantly enhance the accuracy of WQ assessment. Consequently, this study offers valuable insights to strengthen the IEWQI model's robustness and provides avenues for enhancing its utility in broader WQ assessment applications. Moreover, the study successfully adopted the framework for evaluating how data input outliers affect the data-driven model, such as the IEWQI model. The current study has been carried out in Cork Harbour for only a single year of WQ data. The framework should be tested across various domains for evaluating the response of the IEWQI model's in terms of the spatio-temporal resolution of the domain. Nevertheless, the study recommended that future research should be conducted to adjust or revise the IEWQI model's rating schemes and investigate the practical effects of data outliers on updated rating categories. However, the study provides potential recommendations for enhancing the IEWQI model's adaptability and reveals its effectiveness in expanding its applicability in more general WQ assessment scenarios.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, National University of Ireland Galway, Ireland.
| | - Azizur Rahman
- School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Wagga, Australia; The Gulbali Institute of Agriculture, Water and Environment, Charles Sturt University, Wagga, Australia
| | | | - Agnieszka I Olbert
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, National University of Ireland Galway, Ireland
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Shi H, Du Y, Li Y, Deng Y, Tao Y, Ma T. Determination of high-risk factors and related spatially influencing variables of heavy metals in groundwater. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 358:120853. [PMID: 38608578 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120853] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/10/2023] [Revised: 04/01/2024] [Accepted: 04/03/2024] [Indexed: 04/14/2024]
Abstract
Identifying high-risk factors (heavy metals (HMs) and pollution sources) by coupling receptor models and health risk assessment model (HRA) is a novel approach within the field of risk assessment. However, this coupled model ignores the contribution of spatial differentiation to high-risk factors, resulting in the assessment being subjective. Taking Dongting Plain (DTP) as an example, a coupling framework by jointly using the positive matrix factorization model (PMF), HRA, Monte Carlo simulation, and geo-detector was developed, aiming to identify high-risk factors in groundwater, and further explore key environmental variables influencing the spatial heterogeneity of high-risk factors. The results showed that at least 82.86 % of non-carcinogenic risks and 97.41 % of carcinogenic risks were unacceptable for people of all ages, especially infants and children. According to the relationships among HMs, pollution sources, and health risks, As and natural sources were defined as high-risk HMs and sources, respectively. The interactions among Holocene thickness, oxidation-reduction potential, and dissolved organic carbon emerged as the primary drivers of spatial variability in high-risk factors, with their combined explanatory power reaching up to 74%. This proposed framework provides a scientific reference for future studies and a practical reference for environmental authorities in developing effective pollution management measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Huanhuan Shi
- MOE Key Laboratory of Groundwater Quality and Health, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; School of Environmental Studies & State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China
| | - Yao Du
- MOE Key Laboratory of Groundwater Quality and Health, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; School of Environmental Studies & State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China.
| | - Yueping Li
- MOE Key Laboratory of Groundwater Quality and Health, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; School of Environmental Studies & State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China
| | - Yamin Deng
- MOE Key Laboratory of Groundwater Quality and Health, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; School of Environmental Studies & State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China
| | - Yanqiu Tao
- MOE Key Laboratory of Groundwater Quality and Health, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; Hubei Key Laboratory of Yangtze Catchment Environmental Aquatic Science, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China; School of Environmental Studies & State Key Laboratory of Biogeology and Environmental Geology, China University of Geosciences, Wuhan, 430078, China
| | - Teng Ma
- College of Resources and Environmental Engineering, Wuhan University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, 430081, China
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Du Y, Ren Z, Zhong Y, Zhang J, Song Q. Spatiotemporal pattern of coastal water pollution and its driving factors: implications for improving water environment along Hainan Island, China. Front Microbiol 2024; 15:1383882. [PMID: 38633700 PMCID: PMC11021667 DOI: 10.3389/fmicb.2024.1383882] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/08/2024] [Accepted: 03/08/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024] Open
Abstract
In the context of human activities and climate change, the gradual degradation of coastal water quality seriously threatens the balance of coastal and marine ecosystems. However, the spatiotemporal patterns of coastal water quality and its driving factors were still not well understood. Based on 31 water quality parameters from 2015 to 2020, a new approach of optimizing water quality index (WQI) model was proposed to quantitatively assess the spatial and temporal water quality along tropical Hainan Island, China. In addition, pollution sources were further identified by factor analysis and the effects of pollution source on water quality was finally quantitatively in our study. The results showed that the average water quality was moderate. Water quality at 86.36% of the monitoring stations was good while 13.53% of the monitoring stations has bad or very bad water quality. Besides, the coastal water quality had spatial and seasonal variation, along Hainan Island, China. The water quality at "bad" level was mainly appeared in the coastal waters along large cities (Haikou and Sanya) and some aquaculture regions. Seasonally, the average water quality in March, October and November was worse than in other months. Factor analysis revealed that water quality in this region was mostly affected by urbanization, planting and breeding factor, industrial factor, and they played the different role in different coastal zones. Waters at 10.23% of monitoring stations were at the greatest risk of deterioration due to severe pressure from environmental factors. Our study has significant important references for improving water quality and managing coastal water environment.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yunxia Du
- School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Island Land Surface Processes and Environmental Changes of Hainan Province, Haikou, China
| | - Zhibin Ren
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Island Land Surface Processes and Environmental Changes of Hainan Province, Haikou, China
- Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun, China
| | - Yingping Zhong
- School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, China
| | - Jinping Zhang
- School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Island Land Surface Processes and Environmental Changes of Hainan Province, Haikou, China
| | - Qin Song
- School of Geography and Environmental Sciences, Hainan Normal University, Haikou, China
- Key Laboratory of Tropical Island Land Surface Processes and Environmental Changes of Hainan Province, Haikou, China
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Ren X, Yu R, Wang R, Kang J, Li X, Zhang P, Liu T. Tracing spatial patterns of lacustrine groundwater discharge in a closed inland lake using stable isotopes. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 354:120305. [PMID: 38359630 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120305] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2023] [Revised: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 02/05/2024] [Indexed: 02/17/2024]
Abstract
Tracing lacustrine groundwater discharge (LGD) is essential for understanding the hydrological cycle and water chemistry behaviour of lakes. LGD usually exhibits large spatial variability, but there are few reports on quantitatively revealing the spatial patterns of LGD at the whole lake scale. This study investigated the spatial patterns of LGD in Daihai Lake, a typical closed inland lake in northern China, based on the stable isotopes (δ2H and δ18O) of groundwater, surface water, and sediment pore water (SPW). The results showed that there were significant differences between the δ2H and δ18O values of different water bodies in the Daihai Lake Basin: groundwater < SPW < lake water. The LGD through SPW was found to be an important recharge pathway for the lake. Accordingly, stable isotopes of SPW showed that LGD in the northeastern and northwestern of Daihai Lake was significantly greater both horizontally and vertically than that in the other regions, and the proportions of groundwater in SPW in these two regions were 55.53% and 29.84%, respectively. Additionally, the proportion of groundwater in SPW showed a significant increase with profile depth, and the proportion reached 100% at 50 cm below the sediment surface in the northeastern of the lake where the LGD intensity was strongest. The total LGD to Daihai Lake was 1.47 × 107 m3/a, while the LGD in the northeastern and northwestern of the lake exceeded 1.9 × 106 m3/a. This study provides new insights into assessing the spatial patterns of LGD and water resource management in lakes.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xiaohui Ren
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China
| | - Ruihong Yu
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China; Key Laboratory of Mongolian Plateau Ecology and Resource Utilization, Ministry of Education, Hohhot, 010021, China; Autonomous Region Collaborative Innovation Center for Integrated Management of Water Resources and Water Environment in the Inner Mongolia Reaches of the Yellow River, Hohhot, 010018, China.
| | - Rui Wang
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China
| | - Jianfang Kang
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China
| | - Xiangwei Li
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China
| | - Pengxuan Zhang
- Inner Mongolia Key Laboratory of River and Lake Ecology, School of Ecology and Environment, Inner Mongolia University, Hohhot, 010021, China
| | - Tingxi Liu
- Inner Mongolia Water Resource Protection and Utilization Key Laboratory, Water Conservancy and Civil Engineering College, Inner Mongolia Agricultural University, Hohhot, 010018, China
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Cui H, Tao Y, Li J, Zhang J, Xiao H, Milne R. Predicting and analyzing the algal population dynamics of a grass-type lake with explainable machine learning. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 354:120394. [PMID: 38412729 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120394] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/08/2023] [Revised: 01/31/2024] [Accepted: 02/11/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024]
Abstract
Algal blooms, exacerbated by climate change and eutrophication, have emerged as a global concern. In this study, we introduce a novel interpretable machine learning (ML) workflow tailored for investigating the dynamics of algal populations in grass-type lakes, Liangzi lake. Utilizing seven ML methods and incorporating the covariance matrix adaptation evolution strategy (CMA-ES), we predict algal density across three distinct time periods, resulting in the construction of a total of 30 ML models. The CMA-ES-CatBoost model consistently demonstrates superior predictive accuracy and generalization capability across these periods. Through the collective validation of various interpretable tools, we identify water temperature and permanganate index as the two most critical water quality parameters (WQIs) influencing algal density in Liangzi Lake. Additionally, we quantify the independent and interactive effects of WQIs on algal density, pinpointing key thresholds and trends. Furthermore, we determine the minimum combination of WQIs that achieves near-optimal predictive performance, striking a balance between accuracy and cost-effectiveness. These findings offer a scientific and economically efficient foundation for governmental agencies to formulate strategies for water quality management and sustainable development.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hao Cui
- School of Geoscience and Technology, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, China
| | - Yiwen Tao
- School of Mathematics and Statistics, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, China.
| | - Jian Li
- School of Geoscience and Technology, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, 450001, Henan, China
| | - Jinhui Zhang
- School of Mathematics and Information Science, Zhongyuan University of Technology, Zhengzhou, 450007, Henan, China
| | - Hui Xiao
- Department of Economics, Saint Mary's University, Halifax, B3H 3C3, Nova Scotia, Canada
| | - Russell Milne
- Department of Mathematical and Statistical Sciences, University of Alberta, Edmonton, T6G 2G1, Alberta, Canada
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Amin R, Ar Salan MS, Hossain MM. Measuring the impact of responsible factors on CO 2 emission using generalized additive model (GAM). Heliyon 2024; 10:e25416. [PMID: 38375290 PMCID: PMC10875368 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25416] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/24/2023] [Revised: 01/13/2024] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/21/2024] Open
Abstract
The indicators of economic and sustainable development ultimately significantly depend on carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in every country. In Bangladesh, there is an increasing trend in population, industrialization, as well as electricity demand generated from different sources, ultimately increasing CO2 emissions. This study explores the relationship between CO2 emissions and other significant relevant indicators. Moreover, the authors aimed to identify which model is effective at predicting CO2 emissions and assess the accuracy of the prediction of different models. The secondary data from 1971 to 2020, was collected from the World Bank and the Bangladesh Road Transport Authority's publicly accessible website. The generalized additive model (GAM), the polynomial regression (PR), and multiple linear regression (MLR) were used for modeling CO2 emissions. The model performance is evaluated using the Bayesian information criterion (BIC), Akaike information criterion (AIC), Root mean square error (RMSE), R-square, and mean square error (MSE). Results revealed that there are few multicollinearity problems in the datasets and exhibit a nonlinear relationship among CO2 emissions. Among the models considered in this study, the GAM model has the lowest value of RMSE = 0.008, MSE = 0.000063, AIC = -303.21, BIC = -266.64 and the highest value of R-squared = 0.996 compared to the MLR and PR models, suggesting the most appropriate model in predicting CO2 emissions in Bangladesh. Findings revealed that the total CO2 emissions and other relevant risk factors is non-linear. The study suggests that the Generalized additive model regression technique can be used as an effective tool for predicting CO2 emissions in Bangladesh. The authors believed that the findings would be helpful to policymakers in designing effective strategies in the areas of a low-carbon economy, encouraging the use of renewable energy sources, and focusing on technological advancement that reduces CO2 emissions and ensures a sustainable environment in Bangladesh.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ruhul Amin
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Dhaka, 1342, Bangladesh
| | - Md Sifat Ar Salan
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Dhaka, 1342, Bangladesh
| | - Md Moyazzem Hossain
- Department of Statistics and Data Science, Jahangirnagar University, Savar, Dhaka, 1342, Bangladesh
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Liu X, Yue FJ, Guo TL, Li SL. High-frequency data significantly enhances the prediction ability of point and interval estimation. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2024; 912:169289. [PMID: 38135069 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.169289] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/09/2023] [Revised: 10/08/2023] [Accepted: 12/09/2023] [Indexed: 12/24/2023]
Abstract
Accurate prediction of dissolved oxygen (DO) dynamics is crucial for understanding the influence of environmental factors on the stability of aquatic ecosystem. However, limited research has been conducted to determine the optimal frequency of water quality monitoring that ensures continuous assessment of water health while minimizing costs. To address these challenges, the present study developed a hybrid stochastic hydrological model (i.e., ARIMA-GARCH hybrid model) and machine learning (ML) models. The objective of this study is to identify the best-performing model and establish the optimal monitoring frequency. Results revealed that high-frequency DO monitoring data exhibit greater variability compared to low-frequency data. Moreover, the ARIMA-GARCH model demonstrates promising potential in predicting DO concentrations for low-frequency monitoring data, surpassing ML models in performance. Furthermore, increasing the monitoring frequency significantly improves the prediction accuracy of models, regardless of whether point (with lower R2 values of 0.64 and 0.51 for daily detection than these of every 15 min (0.96 and 0.99) at CHQ and LHT, respectively) or interval predictions (with RIW higher values of 2.00 and 1.55 for daily detection higher than these of 0.02 and 0.16 in every 15 min at CHQ and LHT, respectively) are considered. Additionally, a 4 hourly monitoring frequency was found to be optimal for water quality assessment using each model. These findings identify the superior performing of the ARIMA-GARCH model and highlight the crucial role of monitoring frequency in enhancing DO prediction and improving model performance.
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Affiliation(s)
- Xin Liu
- Institute of Surface-Earth System Science, School of Earth System Science, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
| | - Fu-Jun Yue
- Institute of Surface-Earth System Science, School of Earth System Science, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China.
| | - Tian-Li Guo
- College of Water Resources and Architectural Engineering, Northwest A&F University, Yangling 712100, China
| | - Si-Liang Li
- Institute of Surface-Earth System Science, School of Earth System Science, Tianjin University, Tianjin 300072, China
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10
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Singh RB, Patra KC, Pradhan B, Samantra A. HDTO-DeepAR: A novel hybrid approach to forecast surface water quality indicators. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 352:120091. [PMID: 38228048 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.120091] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/21/2023] [Revised: 12/23/2023] [Accepted: 01/08/2024] [Indexed: 01/18/2024]
Abstract
Water is a vital resource supporting a broad spectrum of ecosystems and human activities. The quality of river water has declined in recent years due to the discharge of hazardous materials and toxins. Deep learning and machine learning have gained significant attention for analysing time-series data. However, these methods often suffer from high complexity and significant forecasting errors, primarily due to non-linear datasets and hyperparameter settings. To address these challenges, we have developed an innovative HDTO-DeepAR approach for predicting water quality indicators. This proposed approach is compared with standalone algorithms, including DeepAR, BiLSTM, GRU and XGBoost, using performance metrics such as MAE, MSE, MAPE, and NSE. The NSE of the hybrid approach ranges between 0.8 to 0.96. Given the value's proximity to 1, the model appears to be efficient. The PICP values (ranging from 95% to 98%) indicate that the model is highly reliable in forecasting water quality indicators. Experimental results reveal a close resemblance between the model's predictions and actual values, providing valuable insights for predicting future trends. The comparative study shows that the suggested model surpasses all existing, well-known models.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rosysmita Bikram Singh
- Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Rourkela, 769008, Odisha, India.
| | - Kanhu Charan Patra
- Department of Civil Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Rourkela, 769008, Odisha, India.
| | - Biswajeet Pradhan
- Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information System, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Technology Sydney, Sydney, Australia; Institute of Climate Change, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, Bangi, Malaysia.
| | - Avinash Samantra
- Department of Computer Science & Engineering, National Institute of Technology, Rourkela, 769008, Odisha, India.
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11
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Elzain HE, Abdalla O, A Ahmed H, Kacimov A, Al-Maktoumi A, Al-Higgi K, Abdallah M, Yassin MA, Senapathi V. An innovative approach for predicting groundwater TDS using optimized ensemble machine learning algorithms at two levels of modeling strategy. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 351:119896. [PMID: 38171121 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119896] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Revised: 12/12/2023] [Accepted: 12/19/2023] [Indexed: 01/05/2024]
Abstract
Groundwater salinization in coastal aquifers is a major socioeconomic challenge in Oman and many other regions worldwide due to several anthropogenic activities and natural drivers. Therefore, assessing the salinization of groundwater resources is crucial to ensure the protection of water resources and sustainable management. The aim of this study is to apply a novel approach using predictive optimized ensemble trees-based (ETB) machine learning models, namely Catboost regression (CBR), Extra trees regression (ETR), and Bagging regression (BA), at two levels of modeling strategy for predicting groundwater TDS as an indicator for seawater intrusion in a coastal aquifer, Oman. At level 1, ETR and CBR models were used as base models or inputs for BA in level 2. The results show that the models at level 1 (i.e., ETR and CBR) yielded satisfactory results using a limited number of inputs (Cl, K, and Sr) from a few sets of 40 groundwater wells. The BA model at level 2 improved the overall performance of the modeling by extracting more information from ETR and CBR models at level 1 models. At level 2, the BA model achieved a significant improvement in accuracy (MSE = 0.0002, RSR = 0.062, R2 = 0.995 and NSE = 0.996) compared to each individual model of ETR (MSE = 0.0007, RSR = 0.245, R2 = 0.98 and NSE = 0.94), and CBR (MSE = 0.0035, RSR = 0.258, R2 = 0.933 and NSE = 0.934) at level 1 models in the testing dataset. BA model at level 2 outperformed all models regarding predictive accuracy, best generalization of new data, and matching the locations of the polluted and unpolluted wells. Our approach predicts groundwater TDS with high accuracy and thus provides early warnings of water quality deterioration along coastal aquifers which will improve water resources sustainability.
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Affiliation(s)
- Hussam Eldin Elzain
- Water Research Center, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 50, Al Khoudh 123, Oman.
| | - Osman Abdalla
- Department of Earth Sciences, College of Science, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 36, Al Khoudh 123, Oman.
| | - Hamdi A Ahmed
- Department of Industrial and Data Engineering, Pukyong National University, Busan, 48513, South Korea.
| | - Anvar Kacimov
- Department of Soils, Water and Agricultural Engineering, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 34, Al Khoudh 123, Oman.
| | - Ali Al-Maktoumi
- Water Research Center, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 50, Al Khoudh 123, Oman; Department of Soils, Water and Agricultural Engineering, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 34, Al Khoudh 123, Oman.
| | - Khalifa Al-Higgi
- Department of Earth Sciences, College of Science, Sultan Qaboos University, P.O. 36, Al Khoudh 123, Oman.
| | - Mohammed Abdallah
- College of Hydrology and Water Resources, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 210024, China.
| | - Mohamed A Yassin
- Interdisciplinary Research Centre for Membranes and Water Security, King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, Dhahran 31261, Saudi Arabia.
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12
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Xu R, Hu S, Wan H, Xie Y, Cai Y, Wen J. A unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction based on time-frequency feature extraction and data feature enhancement. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 351:119894. [PMID: 38154219 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119894] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/06/2023] [Revised: 11/02/2023] [Accepted: 12/19/2023] [Indexed: 12/30/2023]
Abstract
Deep learning methods exhibited significant advantages in mapping highly nonlinear relationships with acceptable computational speed, and have been widely used to predict water quality. However, various model selection and construction methods resulted in differences in prediction accuracy and performance. Hence, a unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction was established in the paper, including data processing module, feature enhancement module, and data prediction module. In the established model, the data processing module based on wavelet transform method was applied to decomposing complex nonlinear meteorology, hydrology, and water quality data into multiple frequency domain signals for extracting self characteristics of data cyclic and fluctuations. The feature enhancement module based on Informer Encoder was used to enhance feature encoding of time series data in different frequency domains to discover global time dependent features of variables. Finally, the data prediction module based on the stacked bidirectional long and short term memory network (SBiLSTM) method was employed to strengthen the local correlation of feature sequences and predict the water quality. The established model framework was applied in Lijiang River in Guilin, China. The maximum relative errors between the predicted and observed values for dissolved oxygen (DO), chemical oxygen demand (CODMn) were 12.4% and 20.7%, suggesting a satisfactory prediction performance of the established model. The validation results showed that the established model was superior to all other models in terms of prediction accuracy with RMSE values 0.329, 0.121, MAE values 0.217, 0.057, SMAPE values 0.022, 0.063 for DO and CODMn, respectively. Ablation tests confirmed the necessity and rationality of each module for the established model framework. The established method provided a unified deep learning framework for water quality prediction.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rui Xu
- School of Computer Science and Information Security, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Guilin, 541004, China
| | - Shengri Hu
- School of Computer Science and Information Security, Guilin University of Electronic Technology, Guilin, 541004, China
| | - Hang Wan
- Research Centre of Ecology & Environment for Coastal Area and Deep Sea, Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou, 511458, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China.
| | - Yulei Xie
- Research Centre of Ecology & Environment for Coastal Area and Deep Sea, Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou, 511458, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China
| | - Yanpeng Cai
- Research Centre of Ecology & Environment for Coastal Area and Deep Sea, Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Guangzhou), Guangzhou, 511458, China; Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Water Quality Improvement and Ecological Restoration for Watersheds, School of Ecology, Environment and Resources, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou, 510006, China
| | - Jianhui Wen
- Ecological and Environmental Monitoring Center of Guangxi, Guilin, 541002, China
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13
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Dong Y, Sun Y, Liu Z, Du Z, Wang J. Predicting dissolved oxygen level using Young's double-slit experiment optimizer-based weighting model. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 351:119807. [PMID: 38100864 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119807] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2023] [Revised: 11/30/2023] [Accepted: 12/06/2023] [Indexed: 12/17/2023]
Abstract
Accurate prediction of the dissolved oxygen level (DOL) is important for enhancing environmental conditions and facilitating water resource management. However, the irregularity and volatility inherent in DOL pose significant challenges to achieving precise forecasts. A single model usually suffers from low prediction accuracy, narrow application range, and difficult data acquisition. This study proposes a new weighted model that avoids these problems, which could increase the prediction accuracy of the DOL. The weighting constructs of the proposed model (PWM) included eight neural networks and one statistical method and utilized Young's double-slit experimental optimizer as an intelligent weighting tool. To evaluate the effectiveness of PWM, simulations were conducted using real-world data acquired from the Tualatin River Basin in Oregon, United States. Empirical findings unequivocally demonstrated that PWM outperforms both the statistical model and the individual machine learning models, and has the lowest mean absolute percentage error among all the weighted models. Based on two real datasets, the PWM can averagely obtain the mean absolute percentage errors of 1.0216%, 1.4630%, and 1.7087% for one-, two-, and three-step predictions, respectively. This study shows that the PWM can effectively integrate the distinctive merits of deep learning methods, neural networks, and statistical models, thereby increasing forecasting accuracy and providing indispensable technical support for the sustainable development of regional water environments.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ying Dong
- School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, No. 217, Jianshan Road, Shahekou District, Dalian, Liaoning Province, 116025, China.
| | - Yuhuan Sun
- School of Statistics, Dongbei University of Finance and Economics, No. 217, Jianshan Road, Shahekou District, Dalian, Liaoning Province, 116025, China.
| | - Zhenkun Liu
- School of Management, Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications, No 66 Xinmofan Road, Gulou District, Nanjing, Jiangsu Province, 210023, China.
| | - Zhiyuan Du
- Department of Statistics, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, 250 Drillfield Drive, Blacksburg, VA, 24060, United States.
| | - Jianzhou Wang
- Institute of Systems Engineering, Macau University of Science and Technology, Taipa Street, Macao, 999078, China.
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14
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Talukdar S, Shahfahad, Bera S, Naikoo MW, Ramana GV, Mallik S, Kumar PA, Rahman A. Optimisation and interpretation of machine and deep learning models for improved water quality management in Lake Loktak. JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT 2024; 351:119866. [PMID: 38147770 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvman.2023.119866] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/31/2023] [Revised: 11/28/2023] [Accepted: 12/13/2023] [Indexed: 12/28/2023]
Abstract
Loktak Lake, one of the largest freshwater lakes in Manipur, India, is critical for the eco-hydrology and economy of the region, but faces deteriorating water quality due to urbanisation, anthropogenic activities, and domestic sewage. Addressing the urgent need for effective pollution management, this study aims to assess the lake's water quality status using the water quality index (WQI) and develop advanced machine learning (ML) tools for WQI assessment and ML model interpretation to improve pollution management decision making. The WQI was assessed using entropy-based weighting arithmetic and three ML models - Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), Random Forest (RF) and Deep Neural Network (DNN) - were optimised using a grid search algorithm in the H2O Application Programming Interface (API). These models were validated by various metrics and interpreted globally and locally via Partial Dependency Plot (PDP), Accumulated Local Effect (ALE) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP). The results show a WQI range of 72.38-100, with 52.7% of samples categorised as very poor. The RF model outperformed GBM and DNN and showed the highest accuracy and generalisation ability, which is reflected in the superior R2 values (0.97 in training, 0.9 in test) and the lower root mean square error (RMSE). RF's minimal margin of error and reliable feature interpretation contrasted with DNN's larger margin of error and inconsistency, which affected its usefulness for decision making. Turbidity was found to be a critical predictive feature in all models, significantly influencing WQI, with other variables such as pH and temperature also playing an important role. SHAP dependency plots illustrated the direct relationship between key water quality parameters such as turbidity and WQI predictions. The novelty of this study lies in its comprehensive approach to the evaluation and interpretation of ML models for WQI estimation, which provides a nuanced understanding of water quality dynamics in Loktak Lake. By identifying the most effective ML models and key predictive functions, this study provides invaluable insights for water quality management and paves the way for targeted strategies to monitor and improve water quality in this vital freshwater ecosystem.
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Affiliation(s)
- Swapan Talukdar
- Department of Geography, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, 110025, India.
| | - Shahfahad
- Department of Geography, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, 110025, India.
| | - Somnath Bera
- Department of Geography, Central University of South Bihar, Gaya, Bihar, 823001, India.
| | - Mohd Waseem Naikoo
- Department of Geography & Disaster Management, University of Kashmir, Srinagar, Jammu & Kashmir, 190006, India.
| | - G V Ramana
- Department of Civil Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Hauz Khas, New Delhi, 110016, India.
| | - Santanu Mallik
- Department of Civil Engineering, National Institution of Technology, Agaratala, Tripura, 799046, India.
| | - Potsangbam Albino Kumar
- Department of Civil Engineering, National Institution of Technology, Imphal, Manipur, 795004, India.
| | - Atiqur Rahman
- Department of Geography, Faculty of Natural Sciences, Jamia Millia Islamia, New Delhi, 110025, India.
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15
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Uddin MG, Imran MH, Sajib AM, Hasan MA, Diganta MTM, Dabrowski T, Olbert AI, Moniruzzaman M. Assessment of human health risk from potentially toxic elements and predicting groundwater contamination using machine learning approaches. JOURNAL OF CONTAMINANT HYDROLOGY 2024; 261:104307. [PMID: 38278020 DOI: 10.1016/j.jconhyd.2024.104307] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/18/2023] [Revised: 01/10/2024] [Accepted: 01/18/2024] [Indexed: 01/28/2024]
Abstract
The Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant (RNPP) at Ishwardi, Bangladesh is planning to go into operation within 2024 and therefore, adjacent areas of RNPP is gaining adequate attention from the scientific community for environmental monitoring purposes especially for water resources management. However, there is a substantial lack of literature as well as environmental datasets for earlier years since very little was done at the beginning of the RNPP's construction phase. Therefore, this study was conducted to assess the potential toxic elements (PTEs) contamination in the groundwater and its associated health risk for residents at the adjacent part of the RNPP during the year of 2014-2015. For the purposes of achieving the aim of the study, groundwater samples were collected seasonally (dry and wet season) from nine sampling sites and afterwards analyzed for water quality indicators such as temperature (Temp.), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solid (TDS), total hardness (TH) and for PTEs including Iron (Fe), Manganese (Mn), Copper (Cu), Lead (Pb), Chromium (Cr), Cadmium (Cd) and Arsenic (As). This study adopted the newly developed Root Mean Square water quality index (RMS-WQI) model to assess the scenario of contamination from PTEs in groundwater whereas the human health risk assessment model was utilized to quantify the risk of toxicity from PTEs. In most of the sampling sites, PTEs concentration was found higher during the wet season than the dry season and Fe, Mn, Cd and As exceeded the guideline limit for drinking water. The RMS score mostly classified the groundwater in terms of PTEs contamination into "Fair" condition. The non-carcinogenic risks (expressed as Hazard Index-HI) revealed that around 44% and 89% of samples for adults and 67% and 100% of samples for children exceeded the threshold limit set by USEPA (HI > 1) and possessed risks through the oral pathway during dry and wet season, respectively. Furthermore, the calculated cumulative HI score was found higher for children than the adults throughout the study period. In terms of carcinogenic risk (CR) from PTEs, the magnitude of risk decreased following the pattern of Cr > As > Cd. Although the current study is based on old dataset, the findings might serve as a baseline for monitoring purposes to reduce future hazardous impact from the power plant.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
| | - Md Hasan Imran
- Department of Environmental Science and Resource Management, Mawlana Bhashani Science and Technology University, Tangail 1902, Bangladesh
| | - Abdul Majed Sajib
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Md Abu Hasan
- Bangladesh Reference institute for Chemical Measurements (BRiCM), Dr. Qudrat-e-Khuda Road, Dhanmondi, Dhaka 1205, Bangladesh
| | - Mir Talas Mahammad Diganta
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | | | - Agnieszka I Olbert
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Md Moniruzzaman
- Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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16
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Uddin MG, Nash S, Rahman A, Dabrowski T, Olbert AI. Data-driven modelling for assessing trophic status in marine ecosystems using machine learning approaches. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2024; 242:117755. [PMID: 38008200 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.117755] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2023] [Revised: 10/05/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 11/28/2023]
Abstract
Assessing eutrophication in coastal and transitional waters is of utmost importance, yet existing Trophic Status Index (TSI) models face challenges like multicollinearity, data redundancy, inappropriate aggregation methods, and complex classification schemes. To tackle these issues, we developed a novel tool that harnesses machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI), enhancing the reliability and accuracy of trophic status assessments. Our research introduces an improved data-driven methodology specifically tailored for transitional and coastal (TrC) waters, with a focus on Cork Harbour, Ireland, as a case study. Our innovative approach, named the Assessment Trophic Status Index (ATSI) model, comprises three main components: the selection of pertinent water quality indicators, the computation of ATSI scores, and the implementation of a new classification scheme. To optimize input data and minimize redundancy, we employed ML techniques, including advanced deep learning methods. Specifically, we developed a CHL prediction model utilizing ten algorithms, among which XGBoost demonstrated exceptional performance, showcasing minimal errors during both training (RMSE = 0.0, MSE = 0.0, MAE = 0.01) and testing (RMSE = 0.0, MSE = 0.0, MAE = 0.01) phases. Utilizing a novel linear rescaling interpolation function, we calculated ATSI scores and evaluated the model's sensitivity and efficiency across diverse application domains, employing metrics such as R2, the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), and the model efficiency factor (MEF). The results consistently revealed heightened sensitivity and efficiency across all application domains. Additionally, we introduced a brand new classification scheme for ranking the trophic status of transitional and coastal waters. To assess spatial sensitivity, we applied the ATSI model to four distinct waterbodies in Ireland, comparing trophic assessment outcomes with the Assessment of Trophic Status of Estuaries and Bays in Ireland (ATSEBI) System. Remarkably, significant disparities between the ATSI and ATSEBI System were evident in all domains, except for Mulroy Bay. Overall, our research significantly enhances the accuracy of trophic status assessments in marine ecosystems. The ATSI model, combined with cutting-edge ML techniques and our new classification scheme, represents a promising avenue for evaluating and monitoring trophic conditions in TrC waters. The study also demonstrated the effectiveness of ATSI in assessing trophic status across various waterbodies, including lakes, rivers, and more. These findings make substantial contributions to the field of marine ecosystem management and conservation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland.
| | - Stephen Nash
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Azizur Rahman
- School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia; The Gulbali Institute of Agriculture, Water and Environment, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
| | | | - Agnieszka I Olbert
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
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17
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Uddin MG, Diganta MTM, Sajib AM, Rahman A, Nash S, Dabrowski T, Ahmadian R, Hartnett M, Olbert AI. Assessing the impact of COVID-19 lockdown on surface water quality in Ireland using advanced Irish water quality index (IEWQI) model. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2023; 336:122456. [PMID: 37673321 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2023.122456] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 12.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/02/2023] [Revised: 07/23/2023] [Accepted: 08/23/2023] [Indexed: 09/08/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has significantly impacted various aspects of life, including environmental conditions. Surface water quality (WQ) is one area affected by lockdowns imposed to control the virus's spread. Numerous recent studies have revealed the considerable impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on surface WQ. In response, this research aimed to assess the impact of COVID-19 lockdowns on surface water quality in Ireland using an advanced WQ model. To achieve this goal, six years of water quality monitoring data from 2017 to 2022 were collected for nine water quality indicators in Cork Harbour, Ireland, before, during, and after the lockdowns. These indicators include pH, water temperature (TEMP), salinity (SAL), biological oxygen demand (BOD5), dissolved oxygen (DOX), transparency (TRAN), and three nutrient enrichment indicators-dissolved inorganic nitrogen (DIN), molybdate reactive phosphorus (MRP), and total oxidized nitrogen (TON). The results showed that the lockdown had a significant impact on various WQ indicators, particularly pH, TEMP, TON, and BOD5. Over the study period, most indicators were within the permissible limit except for MRP, with the exception of during COVID-19. During the pandemic, TON and DIN decreased, while water transparency significantly improved. In contrast, after COVID-19, WQ at 7% of monitoring sites significantly deteriorated. Overall, WQ in Cork Harbour was categorized as "good," "fair," and "marginal" classes over the study period. Compared to temporal variation, WQ improved at 17% of monitoring sites during the lockdown period in Cork Harbour. However, no significant trend in WQ was observed. Furthermore, the study analyzed the advanced model's performance in assessing the impact of COVID-19 on WQ. The results indicate that the advanced WQ model could be an effective tool for monitoring and evaluating lockdowns' impact on surface water quality. The model can provide valuable information for decision-making and planning to protect aquatic ecosystems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland.
| | - Mir Talas Mahammad Diganta
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Abdul Majed Sajib
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Azizur Rahman
- School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia; The Gulbali Institute of Agriculture, Water and Environment, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
| | - Stephen Nash
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
| | | | - Reza Ahmadian
- School of Engineering, Cardiff University, The Parade, Cardiff, CF24 3AQ, UK
| | - Michael Hartnett
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Agnieszka I Olbert
- School of Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland; Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland; MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland; Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
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Uddin MG, Diganta MTM, Sajib AM, Hasan MA, Moniruzzaman M, Rahman A, Olbert AI, Moniruzzaman M. Assessment of hydrogeochemistry in groundwater using water quality index model and indices approaches. Heliyon 2023; 9:e19668. [PMID: 37809741 PMCID: PMC10558938 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e19668] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2023] [Revised: 08/29/2023] [Accepted: 08/29/2023] [Indexed: 10/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Groundwater resources around the world required periodic monitoring in order to ensure the safe and sustainable utilization for humans by keeping the good status of water quality. However, this could be a daunting task for developing countries due to the insufficient data in spatiotemporal resolution. Therefore, this research work aimed to assess groundwater quality in terms of drinking and irrigation purposes at the adjacent part of the Rooppur Nuclear Power Plant (RNPP) in Bangladesh. For the purposes of achieving the aim of this study, nine groundwater samples were collected seasonally (dry and wet season) and seventeen hydro-geochemical indicators were analyzed, including Temperature (Temp.), pH, electrical conductivity (EC), total dissolved solids (TDS), total alkalinity (TA), total hardness (TH), total organic carbon (TOC), bicarbonate (HCO3-), chloride (Cl-), phosphate (PO43-), sulfate (SO42-), nitrite (NO2-), nitrate (NO3-), sodium (Na+), potassium (K+), calcium (Ca2+) and magnesium (Mg2+). The present study utilized the Canadian Council of Ministers of the Environment water quality index (CCME-WQI) model to assess water quality for drinking purposes. In addition, nine indices including EC, TDS, TH, sodium adsorption ratio (SAR), percent sodium (Na%), permeability index (PI), Kelley's ratio (KR), magnesium hazard ratio (MHR), soluble sodium percentage (SSP), and Residual sodium carbonate (RSC) were used in this research for assessing the water quality for irrigation purposes. The computed mean CCME-WQI score found higher during the dry season (ranges 48 to 74) than the wet season (ranges 40 to 65). Moreover, CCME-WQI model ranked groundwater quality between the "poor" and "marginal" categories during the wet season implying unsuitable water for human consumption. Like CCME-WQI model, majority of the irrigation index also demonstrated suitable water for crop cultivation during dry season. The findings of this research indicate that it requires additional care to improve the monitoring programme for protecting groundwater quality in the RNPP area. Insightful information from this study might be useful as baseline for national strategic planners in order to protect groundwater resources during the any emergencies associated with RNPP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Md Galal Uddin
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
| | - Mir Talas Mahammad Diganta
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Abdul Majed Sajib
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Md. Abu Hasan
- Bangladesh Reference Institution for Chemical Measurements (BRiCM), Dr. Qudrat-e- Khuda Road, Dhanmondi, Dhaka 1205, Bangladesh
| | - Md. Moniruzzaman
- Bangladesh Reference Institution for Chemical Measurements (BRiCM), Dr. Qudrat-e- Khuda Road, Dhanmondi, Dhaka 1205, Bangladesh
| | - Azizur Rahman
- School of Computing, Mathematics and Engineering, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
- The Gulbali Institute of Agriculture, Water and Environment, Charles Sturt University, Wagga Wagga, Australia
| | - Agnieszka I. Olbert
- Civil Engineering, School of Engineering, College of Science and Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
- Ryan Institute, University of Galway, Ireland
- MaREI Research Centre, University of Galway, Ireland
- Eco-HydroInformatics Research Group (EHIRG), Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Ireland
| | - Md Moniruzzaman
- Department of Geography and Environment, Jagannath University, Dhaka, Bangladesh
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