Derivation of a Clinical Score for Prediction of Recurrence Following Evacuation of Chronic Subdural Hematoma: A Retrospective Cohort Study at a National Referral Centre

Modified Puerto Rico Recurrence Scale for chronic subdural hematomas: augmenting the grading scale with postoperative pneumocephalus volume

BACKGROUND

Chronic subdural hematomas (CSDHs) are common in the elderly, with a relatively high rate of recurrence after initial surgical intervention. Our research team previously created a predictive grading system, the Puerto Rico Recurrence Scale (PRRS), to identify patients at high risk of CSDH recurrence. In this study, we introduce a modification of the (mPRRS) that includes pneumocephalus volume, which has been independently associated with recurrence.

METHODS

A single-center Puerto Rican population-based retrospective study was performed to analyze data for patients treated for CSDH at 1 institution between July 1, 2017, and December 31, 2019. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to create a grading scale predictive of recurrence. Retrospective validation was conducted for the cohort.

RESULTS

Of 108 patients included in the study, 42 had recurrence, and 66 had nonrecurrence. Postoperative subdural space, postoperative midline shift, and pneumocephalus volume were all higher with recurrence (P = 0.002, P = 0.009, and P < 0.001, respectively). Multivariate analysis was used to create a 6-point grading scale comprising 3 variables (pneumocephalus volume [< 10, 10-20, 21-30, and > 30 cm3], postoperative midline shift [< 0.4, 0.41-1.0, and > 1.0 cm], and laterality [unilateral and bilateral]). Recurrence rates progressively increased in low-risk to high-risk groups (2/18 [11%] vs 21/34 [62%]; P < 0.003).

CONCLUSION

The mPRRS incorporating pneumocephalus measurement improves CSDH recurrence prediction. The mPRRS indicated that patients with higher scores have a greater risk of recurrence and emphasized the importance of measuring postoperative variables for prediction. The mPRRS grading scale for CSDHs may be applicable not only to the Puerto Rican population but also to the general population.

Development and validation of a recurrent prediction model for patients with unilateral chronic subdural hematoma without hematoma volumetric analysis

OBJECTIVE

Approximately 10 % of patients with chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) undergo reoperation after initial surgery. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for the recurrence of unilateral CSDH at initial surgery without hematoma volumetric analysis.

METHODS

This single-center retrospective cohort study evaluated pre- and postoperative computed tomography (CT) images of patients with unilateral CSDH. The pre- and postoperative midline shift (MLS), residual hematoma thickness, and subdural cavity thickness (SCT) were measured. CT images were classified based on the internal architecture of the hematoma (homogenous, laminar, trabecular, separated, and gradation subtypes).

RESULTS

Total 231 patients with unilateral CSDH underwent burr hole craniostomy. After receiver operating characteristic analysis, preoperative MLS and postoperative SCT showed better areas under the curve (AUCs) (0.684 and 0.756, respectively). According to the CT classification of preoperative hematomas, the recurrence rate was significantly higher in the separated/gradation group (18/97, 18.6 %) than in the homogenous/laminar/trabecular group (10/134, 7.5 %). Four-point score was derived from the multivariate model using the preoperative MLS, postoperative SCT, and CT classification. The AUC of this model was 0.796, and the recurrence rates at 0-4 points were 1.7 %, 3.2 %, 13.3 %, 25.0 %, and 35.7 %, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pre- and postoperative CT findings without hematoma volumetric analysis may predict CSDH recurrence.

Management of Chronic Subdural Hematoma: A Systematic Review and Component Network Meta-analysis of 455 Studies With 103 645 Cases

BACKGROUND

Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) is a common neurosurgical condition with a high risk of recurrence after treatment.

OBJECTIVE

To assess and compare the risk of recurrence, morbidity, and mortality across various treatments for CSDH.

METHODS

A systematic review and meta-analysis was performed. PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, SCOPUS, and Web of Science were searched from January 01, 2000, to July 07, 2021. The primary outcome was recurrence, and secondary outcomes were morbidity and mortality. Component network meta-analyses (CNMAs) were performed for surgical and medical treatments, assessing recurrence and morbidity. Incremental risk ratios (iRRs) with 95% CIs were estimated for each component.

RESULTS

In total, 12 526 citations were identified, and 455 studies with 103 645 cases were included. Recurrence occurred in 11 491/93 525 (10.8%, 95% CI 10.2-11.5, 418 studies) cases after surgery. The use of a postoperative drain (iRR 0.53, 95% CI 0.44-0.63) and middle meningeal artery embolization (iRR 0.19, 95% CI 0.05-0.83) reduced recurrence in the surgical CNMA. In the pharmacological CNMA, corticosteroids (iRR 0.47, 95% CI 0.36-0.61) and surgical intervention (iRR 0.11, 95% CI 0.07-0.15) were associated with lower risk. Corticosteroids were associated with increased morbidity (iRR 1.34, 95% CI 1.05-1.70). The risk of morbidity was equivalent across surgical treatments.

CONCLUSION

Recurrence after evacuation occurs in approximately 10% of cSDHs, and the various surgical interventions are approximately equivalent. Corticosteroids are associated with reduced recurrence but also increased morbidity. Drains reduce the risk of recurrence, but the position of drain (subdural vs subgaleal) did not influence recurrence. Middle meningeal artery embolization is a promising treatment warranting further evaluation in randomized trials.

Puerto Rico Recurrence Scale: Predicting chronic subdural hematoma recurrence risk after initial surgical drainage

Background:

Chronic subdural hematoma (CSDH) commonly affects older individuals and is associated with a relatively high rate of recurrence after surgery. Many studies have created grading systems to identify patients at high risk of CSDH recurrence after the initial surgery. However, no system has been adopted widely. The authors present the first CSDH grading system created from a population-based single-center data set.

Methods:

A single-center Puerto Rican population-based retrospective analysis was performed on consecutive patients treated for a CSDH at a designated institution from July 1, 2017 to December 31, 2019. Univariate and multivariate analyses were used to create a CSDH recurrence grading scale. Retrospective validation was conducted on this sample population.

Results:

The study included 428 patients. Preoperative midline shift, postoperative midline shift, and size of postoperative subdural space differed between the recurrence and nonrecurrence groups (P = 0.03, 0.002, and 0.002, respectively). A multivariate analysis was used to create a 10-point grading scale comprising four independent variables. Recurrence rates progressively increased from the low-risk (0–3 points) to high-risk (8–10 points) groups (2.9% vs. 20.3%; P < 0.001).

Conclusion:

A 10-point grading scale for CSDH recurrence was developed with four components: preoperative midline shift (≤1 and >1 cm), laterality (bilateral, unilateral-right, and unilateral-left), size of postoperative subdural space (≤1.6 and >1.6 cm), and pneumocephalus (present or absent). Patients who scored higher on the scale had a higher risk of recurrence. This CSDH grading scale has implications for Puerto Rico and the general population as the elderly population increases worldwide.