Ultrasound detection of endometrial cancer in women with postmenopausal bleeding: Systematic review and meta-analysis

High performance of the DNA methylation-based WID-qEC test for detecting uterine cancers independent of sampling modalities

Endometrial cancer (EC) is the most prevalent gynaecological cancer in high-income countries and its incidence is continuing to rise sharply. Simple and objective tools to reliably detect women with EC are urgently needed. We recently developed and validated the DNA methylation (DNAme)-based women's cancer risk identification-quantitative polymerase chain reaction test for endometrial cancer (WID-qEC) test that could address this need. Here, we demonstrate that the stability of the WID-qEC test remains consistent regardless of: (i) the cervicovaginal collection device and sample media used (Cervex brush and PreservCyt or FLOQSwab and eNAT), (ii) the collector of the specimen (gynaecologist- or patient-based), and (iii) the precise sampling site (cervical, cervicovaginal and vaginal). Furthermore, we demonstrate sample stability in eNAT medium for 7 days at room temperature, greatly facilitating the implementation of the test into diagnostic laboratory workflows. When applying FLOQSwabs (Copan) in combination with the eNAT (Copan) sample collection media, the sensitivity and specificity of the WID-qEC test to detect uterine (i.e., endometrial and cervical) cancers in gynaecologist-taken samples was 92.9% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 75.0%-98.8%) and 98.6% (95% CI = 91.7%-99.9%), respectively, whilst the sensitivity and specificity in patient collected self-samples was 75.0% (95% CI = 47.4%-91.7%) and 100.0% (95% CI = 93.9%-100.0%), respectively. Taken together these data confirm the robustness and clinical potential of the WID-qEC test.

Endometrial Thickness as Diagnostic Triage for Endometrial Cancer Among Black Individuals

Importance

Poor performance of the transvaginal ultrasonography triage strategy has been suggested as a contributor to racial disparity between Black individuals and White individuals in endometrial cancer (EC) stage at diagnosis in population-level simulation analyses.

Objectives

To examine the false-negative probability using ultrasonography-measured endometrial thickness (ET) thresholds as triage for EC diagnosis among Black individuals and assess whether known risk factors of EC modify ET triage performance.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective diagnostic study of merged abstracted electronic health record data and secondary administrative data (January 1, 2014, to December 31, 2020) from the Guidelines for Transvaginal Ultrasound in the Detection of Early Endometrial Cancer sample assessed Black individuals who underwent hysterectomy in a 10-hospital academic-affiliated health care system and affiliated outpatient practices. Data analysis was performed from January 31, 2023, to November 30, 2023.

Exposure

Pelvic ultrasonography within 24 months before hysterectomy.

Main Outcome and Measures

Ultrasonography performed before hysterectomy as well as demographic and clinical data on symptom presentation, endometrial characterization, and final EC diagnosis were abstracted. Endometrial thickness thresholds were examined for accuracy in ruling out EC diagnosis by using sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value. False-negative probability was defined as 1 - sensitivity. Accuracy measures were stratified by risk factors for EC and by factors hypothesized to influence ET measurement quality.

Results

A total of 1494 individuals with a uterus (median [IQR] age, 46.1 [41.1-54.0] years) comprised the sample, and 210 had EC. Fibroids (1167 [78.1%]), vaginal bleeding (1067 [71.4%]), and pelvic pain (857 [57.4%]) were the most common presenting diagnoses within 30 days of ultrasonography. Applying the less than 5-mm ET threshold, there was an 11.4% probability that someone with EC would be classified as not having EC (n = 24). At the 4-mm (cumulative) threshold, the probability was 9.5%, and at 3 mm, it was 3.8%. False-negative probability at the 5-mm threshold was similar among EC risk factor groups: postmenopausal bleeding (12.4%; 95% CI, 7.8%-18.5%), body mass index greater than 40 (9.3%; 95% CI, 3.1%-20.3%); and age 50 years or older (12.8%; 95% CI, 8.4%-18.5%). False-negative probability was also similar among those with fibroids on ultrasonography (11.8%; 95% CI, 6.9%-18.4%) but higher in the setting of reported partial ET visibility (26.1%; 95% CI, 10.2%-48.4%) and pelvic pain (14.5%; 95% CI, 7.7%-23.9%).

Conclusion and Relevance

These findings suggest that the transvaginal ultrasonography triage strategy is not reliable among Black adults at risk for EC. In the presence of postmenopausal bleeding, tissue sampling is strongly recommended.

The endometrial cancer detection using non-invasive hypermethylation of CDO1 and CELF4 genes in women with postmenopausal bleeding in Northwest China

Objective

The objective of this study was to verify the clinical predictive performance of methylated cysteine dioxygenase type 1 (CDO1m) and CUGBP Elav-like family member 4 (CELF4m) in endometrial cancer (EC) women with postmenopausal bleeding (PMB).

Material and Methods

A single-center, prospective, and case-control study was conducted in the Gansu Provincial Maternity and Child-care Hospital with 138 female postmenopausal patients enrolled in 2022. All patients underwent body mass index (BMI) detection, transvaginal ultrasonography (TVUS) detection, carbohydrate antigen 125 detection, and the cervical exfoliated cell CDO1/CELF4 gene methylation detection to analyze the sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of different screening tests statistically with the biopsy and/or dilation and curettage (D&C) pathological diagnosis under hysteroscopy as the gold standard.

Results

There was no significant difference in age between the EC group and the non-EC group, P = 0.492. Using quantitative polymerase chain reaction (qPCR) technology, we validated the CDO1 and CELF4 methylation detection with 87.5% sensitivity and 95.9% specificity as a useful strategy for the triage of women with PMB for the detection of EC. In addition, 100% of type II EC (n = 6) were positively detected by the CDO1 or CELF4 methylation test.

Conclusion

The CDO1 and CELF4 methylation test with high specificity as an auxiliary diagnostic tool or alternative method provides physicians with a reference to distinguish between benign and malignant tumors in women with postmenopausal bleeding, to justify the necessity of using invasive methods to confirm diagnosis.

Ultrasonographic evaluation of endometrial stripe thickness is insufficient to rule out uterine serous carcinoma

PURPOSE

Uterine serous carcinoma (USC) is a rare endometrial cancer representing less than 10% of uterine cancers but contributing to up to 50% of the mortality. Delay in diagnosis with this high-grade histology can have significant clinical impact. USC is known to arise in a background of endometrial atrophy. We investigated endometrial stripe (EMS) thickness in USC to evaluate current guidelines for postmenopausal bleeding in the context of this histology.

METHODS

Retrospective chart review was conducted using ICD-9 and ICD-10 codes over an 18-year period. We included 139 patients with USC and compared characteristics of patients with EMS ≤ 4 mm and EMS > 4 mm. Chi-square or Fisher's exact tests were used to compare proportions and two-tailed t-tests to compare means. A p-value of < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

RESULTS

Most patients were white, obese, and multiparous. Thirty-two (23%) had an EMS ≤ 4 mm; 107 (77%) had an EMS > 4 mm. There were no statistically significant differences in age at diagnosis or presenting symptoms between groups, and postmenopausal bleeding was the most common symptom in each group.

CONCLUSION

Nearly 25% of patients with USC initially evaluated with transvaginal ultrasound were found to have an EMS ≤ 4 mm. If transvaginal ultrasound is used to triage these patients, one in four women will potentially experience a delay in diagnosis that may impact their prognosis.

Performance of the WID-qEC test versus sonography to detect uterine cancers in women with abnormal uterine bleeding (EPI-SURE): a prospective, consecutive observational cohort study in the UK

BACKGROUND

To detect uterine cancer, simpler and more specific index tests are needed to triage women with abnormal uterine bleeding to a reference histology test. We aimed to compare the performance of conventional index imaging tests with the novel WID-qEC DNA methylation test in terms of detecting the presence or absence of uterine cancers in women with abnormal uterine bleeding.

METHODS

EPI-SURE was a prospective, observational study that invited all women aged 45 years and older with abnormal uterine bleeding attending a tertiary gynaecological diagnostic referral centre at University College London Hospital (London, UK) to participate. Women meeting these inclusion criteria who consented to participate were included. Pregnant women and those with previous hysterectomy were excluded. A cervicovaginal sample for the WID-qEC test was obtained before standard assessment using index imaging tests (ie, ultrasound) and, where applicable, reference histology (ie, biopsy, hysteroscopy, or both) was performed. Technicians performing the WID-qEC test were masked to the final clinical outcome. The result of the WID-qEC test is defined as the sum of the percentage of fully methylated reference (ΣPMR) of the ZSCAN12 and GYPC regions. Patients were followed until diagnostic resolution or until June 12, 2023. The primary outcome was to assess the real-world performance of the WID-qEC test in comparison with ultrasound with regard to the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values. EPI-SURE is registered with ISRCTN (16815568).

FINDINGS

From June 1, 2022, to Nov 24, 2022, 474 women were deemed eligible to participate. 74 did not accept the invitation to participate, and one woman withdrew after providing consent. 399 women were included in the primary analysis cohort. Based on 603 index imaging tests, 186 (47%) women were recommended for a reference histology test (ie, biopsy, hysteroscopy, or both). 12 women were diagnosed with cancer, 375 were not diagnosed with cancer, and 12 had inconclusive clinical outcomes and were considered study dropouts. 198 reference histology test procedures detected nine cases of cancer and missed two; one further cancer was directly diagnosed at hysterectomy without a previous reference test. The AUC for detection of uterine cancer based on endometrial thickness in mm was 87·2% (95% CI 71·1-100·0) versus 94·3% (84·7-100·0) based on WID-qEC (p=0·48). Endometrial thickness assessment on ultrasound scan was possible in 379 (95%) of the 399 women and a prespecified cut-off of 4·5 mm or more showed a sensitivity of 90·9% (95% CI 62·3-98·4), a specificity of 79·1% (74·5-82·9), a positive predictive value of 11·8% (6·5-20·3), and a negative predictive value of 99·6% (98·0-99·9). The WID-qEC test was possible in 390 (98%) of the 399 patients with a sensitivity of 90·9% (95% CI 62·3-98·4), a specificity of 92·1% (88·9-94·4), a positive predictive value of 25·6% (14·6-41·1), and a negative predictive value of 99·7% (98·3-99·9), when the prespecified threshold of 0·03 ΣPMR or more was applied. When a higher threshold (≥0·3 ΣPMR) was applied the specificity increased to 97·3% (95% CI 95·1-98·5) without a change in sensitivity.

INTERPRETATION

The WID-qEC test delivers fast results and shows improved performance compared with a combination of imaging index tests. Triage of women with abnormal uterine bleeding using the WID-qEC test could reduce the number of women requiring histological assessments for identification of potential malignancy and specifically reduce the false positive rate.

FUNDING

The Eve Appeal, Land Tirol, and the European Research Council under the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programme.

Endometrial Cancer Knowledge and Guideline-Concordant Practice Patterns Among First-Line Providers

Background: Provider uncertainty about the appropriate guideline-concordant evaluation of endometrial cancer (EC) symptoms may be a factor in racial inequities in EC. To evaluate the relationship between EC knowledge and reported practice patterns in a nationally representative survey of first-line providers for initial EC symptoms. Materials and Methods: This was a mailed cross-sectional survey of physicians and nurse practitioners from professional organization roster of providers from Obstetrics and Gynecology (OBGYN), Family Medicine, Internal Medicine, and Emergency Medicine. It queried demographics, practice characteristics, EC knowledge, and guideline-concordant practice patterns via three case vignettes. Regions of low response were retargeted to ensure strong representation among providers caring for Black women patients. EC knowledge was analyzed via a composite score (range: -3 to 10, with higher scores representing more EC knowledge), and adjusted prevalence ratios (PRs) used to test the association between knowledge and reported practice patterns. Results: Among 531 returned surveys (response rate = 38%), OBGYN had highest (53%) frequency of >6 (median) EC knowledge score, and Emergency Medicine had the lowest (15%) (p < 0.001). Nonguideline-concordant practice patterns were reported in 14%, 41%, and 35% of the three EC cases presented. Providers with knowledge >6, (n = 205) were significantly more likely to report guideline-concordant care on case vignettes (PR 1.28-1.36). Conclusions: In a national survey of multi-specialty backgrounds, there were basic knowledge gaps about EC and EC risk factors among providers, and a sizeable proportion reported nonguideline concordant practices. These findings indicate the importance of targeted education and training for first-line providers, as EC incidence rises.

Evaluation of Somatic Mutations in Urine Samples as a Noninvasive Method for the Detection and Molecular Classification of Endometrial Cancer

PURPOSE

Current diagnostic methods for endometrial cancer lack specificity, leading to many women undergoing invasive procedures. The aim of this study was to evaluate somatic mutations in urine to accurately discriminate patients with endometrial cancer from controls.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

Overall, 72 samples were analyzed using next-generation sequencing (NGS) with molecular identifiers targeting 47 genes. We evaluated urine supernatant samples from women with endometrial cancer (n = 19) and age-matched controls (n = 20). Cell pellets from urine and plasma samples from seven cases were sequenced; further, we also evaluated paired tumor samples from all cases. Finally, immunohistochemical markers for molecular profiling were evaluated in all tumor samples.

RESULTS

Overall, we were able to identify mutations in DNA from urine supernatant samples in 100% of endometrial cancers. In contrast, only one control (5%) showed variants at a variant allele frequency (VAF) ≥ 2% in the urine supernatant samples. The molecular classification obtained by using tumor samples and urine samples showed good agreement. Analyses in paired samples revealed a higher number of mutations and VAF in urine supernatants than in urine cell pellets and blood samples.

CONCLUSIONS

Evaluation of somatic mutations using urine samples may offer a user-friendly and reliable tool for endometrial cancer detection and molecular classification. The diagnostic performance for endometrial cancer detection was very high, and cases could be molecularly classified using these noninvasive and self-collected samples. Additional multicenter evaluations using larger sample sizes are needed to validate the results and understand the potential of urine samples for the early detection and prognosis of endometrial cancer.

Analysis of factors related to endometrial cancer in postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the factors related to endometrial cancer (EC) in postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening and the value of endometrial thickness (ET) in predicting EC.

METHODS

A retrospective study of 385 referrals to our department for hysteroscopic diagnostic curettage assessment was carried out. Univariate analysis and multiple logistic regression analysis were used to identify the independent contributors to the development of EC. The ability of ET to predict EC was evaluated by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

The follow-up period from the identification of endometrial thickening to pathological confirmation of EC was from 2 weeks to 3 months. In the postmenopausal bleeding (PMB) group, a total of 47 participants' specimens were pathologically malignant. Older age and polypoid mass-like lesions ( P < 0.001) were independent factors associated with EC. The optimal critical value of ET in predicting EC was 9.5 mm, with a sensitivity and specificity of 70.21% and 70.67%, respectively. In the non-PMB group, six participants had evidence of malignant pathology, and only polypoid mass-like lesions were an independent factor associated with EC ( P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

For postmenopausal women with increased ET and PMB, older age, thicker ET, and polypoid mass-like lesions on transvaginal ultrasound were independent associated factors for EC. An ET greater than 9.5 mm is a threshold for predicting EC. For postmenopausal women with increased ET without PMB, the incidence of endometrial malignancy is low. If the woman has polypoid mass-like lesions on transvaginal ultrasound, she should receive further attention.

A Simple Cervicovaginal Epigenetic Test for Screening and Rapid Triage of Women With Suspected Endometrial Cancer: Validation in Several Cohort and Case/Control Sets

PURPOSE

Endometrial cancer (EC) incidence has been rising over the past 10 years. Delays in diagnosis reduce survival and necessitate more aggressive treatment. We aimed to develop and validate a simple, noninvasive, and reliable triage test for EC to reduce the number of invasive diagnostic procedures and improve patient survival.

METHODS

We developed a test to screen and triage women with suspected EC using 726 cervical smear samples from women with and without EC, and validated the test in 562 cervicovaginal samples using three different collection methods (cervical smear: n = 248; vaginal swab: n = 63; and self-collection: n = 251) and four different settings (case/control: n = 388; cohort of women presenting with postmenopausal bleeding: n = 63; a cohort of high-risk women with Lynch syndrome: n = 25; and a nested case/control setting from a screening cohort and samples taken up to 3 years before EC diagnosis: n = 86).

RESULTS

We describe the Women's cancer risk IDentification - quantitative polymerase chain reaction test for Endometrial Cancer (WID-qEC), a three-marker test that evaluates DNA methylation in gene regions of GYPC and ZSCAN12. In cervical, self-collected, and vaginal swab samples derived from symptomatic patients, it detected EC with sensitivities of 97.2% (95% CI, 90.2 to 99.7), 90.1% (83.6 to 94.6), and 100% (63.1 to 100), respectively, and specificities of 75.8% (63.6 to 85.5), 86.7% (79.3 to 92.2), and 89.1% (77.8 to 95.9), respectively. The WID-qEC identified 90.9% (95% CI, 70.8 to 98.9) of EC cases in samples predating diagnosis up to 1 year. Test performance was similar across menopausal status, age, stage, grade, ethnicity, and histology.

CONCLUSION

The WID-qEC is a noninvasive reliable test for triage of women with symptoms suggestive of ECs. Because of the potential for self-collection, it could improve early diagnosis and reduce the reliance for in-person visits.

Clinicopathological features of endometrial lesions in asymptomatic postmenopausal women with thickened endometrium

OBJECTIVE

To analyze the clinical and pathological features of asymptomatic postmenopausal women with an incidentally detected increase in endometrial thickness (ET) by transvaginal ultrasound examination and discuss the cutoff value of ET for the timely discovery of endometrial malignancy.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study of postmenopausal women with asymptomatic thickened endometrium (greater than or equal to 5 mm) screened by transvaginal ultrasound who were referred to the gynecology department at Xuanwu Hospital between January 2018 and March 2021. Data on participant demographics, clinical characteristics, and histopathology outcomes were collected. We stratified the participants into the benign group and malignant group according to pathology results and assessed differences between the two groups. A receiver operating characteristic curve was used to identify the cutoff value of ET for predicting endometrial malignancy in postmenopausal women with asymptomatic thickened endometrium.

RESULTS

A total of 163 eligible cases were included in the analysis. The results showed that only ET was significantly different between the two groups. The median ET was significantly higher in the malignant group than in the benign group (1.20 vs 0.80, P = 0.023). The optimal cutoff value of ET was 10 mmwith the maximum AUC (0.881, 95% CI 0.810-0.952, P = 0.024), and the sensitivity and specificity for the diagnosis of endometrial malignancy were 100%and 80%, respectively. Among the 47 women with ET ≥ 10mm, the prevalence of endometrial malignancy was 6.3%, which was significantly higher than that among women with ET < 10mm ( P = 0.023).

CONCLUSION

For postmenopausal women with asymptomatic endometrial thickening, the prevalence of endometrial malignancy is significantly higher when ET is ≥ 10 mm. If ET is ≥ 10mm, further histopathological testing should be recommended to exclude endometrial malignancy. Further large-sample and prospective studies are needed to determine the predictive value of ET.

Urine CA125 and HE4 for the Triage of Symptomatic Women with Suspected Endometrial Cancer

A simple, noninvasive and accurate detection tool that can triage women with suspected endometrial cancer for definitive testing will transform patient care. The aim of this study was to evaluate urine CA125 and HE4 levels for the detection of endometrial cancer in symptomatic women. This was a cross-sectional diagnostic accuracy study of 153 symptomatic women who underwent urgent diagnostic investigations for suspected endometrial cancer at a large gynecological cancer center. Urine samples were collected prior to routine clinical procedures. Urine CA125 and HE4 levels were determined using automated chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassays. Univariate and multivariable receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses were performed. Urine CA125 and HE4 were discovered to be significantly elevated in women with endometrial cancer, compared to controls (p < 0.001 and p = 0.01, respectively). Urine CA125 and HE4 detected endometrial cancer with an area under the ROC curve (AUC) of 0.89 (0.81, 0.98) and 0.69 (0.55, 0.83), respectively. CA125 exhibited good discriminatory potential for Type I and early-stage tumors (AUC 0.93 and 0.90, respectively). A diagnostic model that combined urine CA125 and transvaginal ultrasound-measured endometrial thickness predicted endometrial cancer with an AUC of 0.96 (0.91, 1.00). Urine CA125 displays potential as a diagnostic tool for symptomatic women with suspected endometrial cancer. When combined with transvaginal ultrasound-measured endometrial thickness, this patient-friendly, urine-based test could help triage women for invasive diagnostics or safe reassurance, reducing costs and improving patient experience.

Endometrial cancer

Endometrial cancer is the most common gynaecological cancer in high income countries and its incidence is rising globally. Although an ageing population and fewer benign hysterectomies have contributed to this trend, the growing prevalence of obesity is the major underlying cause. Obesity poses challenges for diagnosis and treatment and more research is needed to offer primary prevention to high-risk women and to optimise endometrial cancer survivorship. Early presentation with postmenopausal bleeding ensures most endometrial cancers are cured by hysterectomy but those with advanced disease have a poor prognosis. Minimally invasive surgical staging and sentinel-lymph-node biopsy provides a low morbidity alternative to historical surgical management without compromising oncological outcomes. Adjuvant radiotherapy reduces loco-regional recurrence in intermediate-risk and high-risk cases. Advances in our understanding of the molecular biology of endometrial cancer have paved the way for targeted chemotherapeutic strategies, and clinical trials will establish their benefit in adjuvant, advanced, and recurrent disease settings in the coming years.

New Light on Endometrial Thickness as a Risk Factor of Cancer: What Do Clinicians Need to Know?

Transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) represents an accurate and noninvasive technique to investigate endometrial thickness (ET) in the early diagnosis of endometrial cancer (EC). In the literature, for maximum ET there is no consensus on the cutoff value for normal ET in postmenopause for either symptomatic or asymptomatic women. Most patients with EC present with postmenopausal bleeding (PMB) and in these patients is necessary to perform TVUS to evaluate ET as an indicator for endometrial biopsy. On the contrary, if ET is incidentally detected in postmenopausal patients without bleeding, endometrial sampling for a postmenopausal woman without bleeding should not be routinely performed, although it is estimated that up to 15% of EC occurs in women without vaginal bleeding. The aim of our review was to give clinicians necessary and useful knowledge on the role of TVUS and ET for early detection of EC in their daily routine practice. Based on the most important studies in the literature, we summarized that in premenopausal woman with abnormal uterine bleeding, an optimal cutoff for ET has not yet been established. For postmenopausal women with PMB, at low risk, and ET <4 mm, a follow-up scan could be offered, and for women with ET ≥4 mm, office hysteroscopy-guided endometrial sampling is recommended independently of ET results. On the other hand, in postmenopausal women with PMB and at high risk of EC, office hysteroscopy-guided endometrial sampling is necessary. In postmenopausal women without PMB and ET ≥4 mm, arbitrary endometrial sampling is not recommended, but evaluated case by case based on risk factors. In conclusion, there is broad consensus on the importance of TVUS and the need for further investigation based on risk factors of EC.

The Risk of Endometrial Malignancy and Other Endometrial Pathology in Women with Abnormal Uterine Bleeding: An Ultrasound-Based Model Development Study by the IETA Group

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to develop a model that can discriminate between different etiologies of abnormal uterine bleeding.

DESIGN

The International Endometrial Tumor Analysis 1 study is a multicenter observational diagnostic study in 18 bleeding clinics in 9 countries. Consecutive women with abnormal vaginal bleeding presenting for ultrasound examination (n = 2,417) were recruited. The histology was obtained from endometrial sampling, D&C, hysteroscopic resection, hysterectomy, or ultrasound follow-up for >1 year.

METHODS

A model was developed using multinomial regression based on age, body mass index, and ultrasound predictors to distinguish between: (1) endometrial atrophy, (2) endometrial polyp or intracavitary myoma, (3) endometrial malignancy or atypical hyperplasia, (4) proliferative/secretory changes, endometritis, or hyperplasia without atypia and validated using leave-center-out cross-validation and bootstrapping. The main outcomes are the model's ability to discriminate between the four outcomes and the calibration of risk estimates.

RESULTS

The median age in 2,417 women was 50 (interquartile range 43-57). 414 (17%) women had endometrial atrophy; 996 (41%) had a polyp or myoma; 155 (6%) had an endometrial malignancy or atypical hyperplasia; and 852 (35%) had proliferative/secretory changes, endometritis, or hyperplasia without atypia. The model distinguished well between malignant and benign histology (c-statistic 0.88 95% CI: 0.85-0.91) and between all benign histologies. The probabilities for each of the four outcomes were over- or underestimated depending on the centers.

LIMITATIONS

Not all patients had a diagnosis based on histology. The model over- or underestimated the risk for certain outcomes in some centers, indicating local recalibration is advisable.

CONCLUSIONS

The proposed model reliably distinguishes between four histological outcomes. This is the first model to discriminate between several outcomes and is the only model applicable when menopausal status is uncertain. The model could be useful for patient management and counseling, and aid in the interpretation of ultrasound findings. Future research is needed to externally validate and locally recalibrate the model.

Clinicopathologic characteristics and risk factors for endometrial malignancy in postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the clinicopathological characteristics and risk factors for endometrial malignancy in postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening.

METHODS

This was a retrospective study. Postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening (defined as the thickest endometrial portion in the sagittal uterine plane was greater than or equal to 5 mm) through transvaginal ultrasound in our outpatient department, and further referred to the gynecology department at Xuanwu Hospital for hysteroscopic diagnostic curettage assessment between January 2018 and March 2021 were included. According to the histopathological results, participants were divided into the benign group and malignant group. Univariate analysis was used to compare the differences in various factors, including demographics, clinical characteristics, medical complications, and ultrasound characteristics, between the two groups. Multiple logistic regression analysis was used to identify the factors that were independent contributors to the development of endometrial malignancy. Receiver operating characteristic analysis of endometrial thickness (ET) to predict endometrial malignancy was performed.

RESULTS

In total, 385 eligible cases were included in the analysis. The results suggested that older age (odds ratio [OR] 1.061, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.008-1.116, P = 0.023), thicker ET (OR 5.032, 95% CI 2.453-10.322, P < 0.001), irregular menstruation in the past (OR 19.203, 95% CI 1.936-190.431, P = 0.012), postmenopausal bleeding (OR 12.341, 95% CI 4.440-34.302, P < 0.001), and polypoid mass-like lesions (OR 30.330, 95% CI 8.974-102.509, P < 0.001) were risk factors that were independently associated with the development of endometrial malignancy in postmenopausal women with increased ET. The optimal critical value of ET in predicting malignancy was 9.5 mm, and the sensitivity and specificity were 71.70% and 71.69%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

For postmenopausal women with endometrial thickening, our results suggested that women who are older, have a thicker ET, had irregular menstruation in the past, have postmenopausal bleeding, and have polypoid mass-like lesions should seek medical attention as soon as possible and undergo further invasive examination. The use of 9.5 mm as the ET value to prompt investigations may be acceptable since it is unlikely to miss any atypical endometrial hyperplasia or endometrial cancer.

Contemporary Fertility-Sparing Management Options of Early Stage Endometrioid Endometrial Cancer in Young Nulliparous Patients

Incidence of endometrial cancer (EC) has been increasing in recent years, especially in high-income countries. The disease commonly affects peri- and postmenopausal women; however, about 5% of women are diagnosed with EC in their reproductive age. Due to both the increasing incidence of EC among reproductive age women and trends to delayed childbearing, fertility-sparing treatment for young patients with EC has become extremely important for researchers and practitioners. Because the classic treatment with total hysterectomy and bilateral saplingo-oophorectomy is not an appropriate approach for young women demanding fertility preservation, several fertility-sparing options have been developed and summarized in this review. Utilization of different medications and their combination (progestagens, gonadotropin releasing hormones analogues, and metformin in different formulations) are tested and found as efficient for fertility-sparing treatment. New minimally invasive surgical techniques, combined with progestagens, are also confirmed as valuable. There are many novel conservative and surgical treatment approaches under investigation. Assuming that molecular biomarkers can be both diagnostic and prognostic to assist in prediction of response to a certain therapy, prognostic risk groups' stratification along with specific biomarkers' identification will ensure low recurrence and decrease mortality rates in young women with EC.

Risk of More Advanced Lesions at Hysterectomy after Initial Diagnosis of Non-Atypical Endometrial Hyperplasia in Patients with Postmenopausal Bleeding and Oral Anticoagulant Treatment

Background and Objectives: Endometrial hyperplasia (EH) is a precursor lesion to endometrial cancer (EC), and when cellular atypia is present, in 40% of cases, they are diagnosed with EC on hysterectomy. Usually, EH is clinically manifested by uterine bleeding. In patients with oral anticoagulant therapy (OAT), the uterus is the second most common source of bleeding. The aim of the study was to show that uterine bleeding in postmenopausal patients undergoing OAT may reveal precancerous endometrial lesions with atypia, or neoplastic lesions in patients with an initial diagnosis of endometrial hyperplasia without atypia (non-atypical endometrial hyperplasia, NAEH) on dilation and curettage (D&C). We will be able to estimate the risk of a postmenopausal female patient with uterine bleeding during an OAT to have a precancerous endometrial lesion. Materials and Methods: The subjects of the study were 173 female patients with uterine bleeding, who have had total hysterectomy with bilateral salpingoovarectomy, of whom 99 underwent an OAT. There were 101 female patients initially diagnosed with NAEH, of which 60 did not have anticoagulant treatment (mean age 57.36 ± 6.51) and 41 had anticoagulant treatment (mean age 60.39 ± 7.35) (p = 0.006). From the pathology diagnosis moment, the surgery was performed at 42.09 ± 14.54 days in patients without OAT and after 35.39 ± 11.29 days in those who received such treatment (p = 0.724). Results: Initial diagnosis of NAEH established at D&C was changed at the final diagnosis after hysterectomy in EH with cellular atypia (atypical endometrial hyperplasia AEH) or EC in 18.18% of patients without OAT, and in 40.54% of patients who received this treatment. Conclusions: Based on a logistic regression model, it is estimated that female patients with an initial histopathological diagnosis of NAEH and who underwent OAT have, on average, 4.85 times greater odds (OR = 4.85, 95% CI 1.79–14.06) than the others of being identified postoperatively with more advanced lesions.

Estimated Performance of Transvaginal Ultrasonography for Evaluation of Postmenopausal Bleeding in a Simulated Cohort of Black and White Women in the US

IMPORTANCE

Black women in the US with endometrial cancer (EC) are more likely to be diagnosed with advanced-stage disease independent of insured status and histologic type. The most common way of diagnosing EC at early stages is through screening of people with postmenopausal bleeding to detect endometrial thickness (ET). This approach may disproportionately underperform in Black women secondary to a higher prevalence of fibroids and nonendometrioid EC in this population, both of which affect the quality of ET measurement.

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of recommended transvaginal ultrasonography (TVUS) ET thresholds as a screening method to prompt endometrial biopsy by race in a simulated cohort of symptomatic women.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

In a simulated retrospective cohort study, based on data from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) national cancer registry 2012-2016; the US census; and published estimates of ET distribution and fibroid prevalence, diagnostic test characteristics of the 3-mm or more, 4-mm or more, and 5-mm or more ET thresholds for biopsy to capture EC diagnoses were calculated. The simulated cohort was constructed from February 2, 2020 (date of access to SEER data), to August 31, 2020. Analysis occurred from September 30, 2020, to March 30, 2021, including the primary analysis and the sensitivity calculations.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome measured was accuracy of the TVUS ET threshold to accurately identify cases of EC, measured by sensitivity, negative predictive value, and area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

A total of 367 073 simulated Black and White women with postmenopausal bleeding were evaluated, including 36 708 with EC. Among Black women, the currently recommended 4-mm or greater ET threshold prompted biopsy for fewer than half of EC cases (sensitivity, 47.5%; 95% CI, 46.0%-49.0%); of women referred for biopsy, 13.1% were EC cases (positive predictive value, 13.1%; 95% CI, 12.5%-13.6%). The AUC for the 4-mm or more threshold was 0.57 (95% CI, 0.56-0.57). In contrast, among the White women, the 4-mm or more threshold led to biopsy for most with EC (sensitivity, 87.9%; 95% CI, 87.6%-88.3%). Of those referred for biopsy, 14.6% had EC (positive predictive value, 14.6%; 95% CI, 14.4%-14.7%); AUC was 0.73 (95% CI, 0.73-0.74). The same variations held for the 3-mm or more and 5-mm or more ET thresholds: sensitivity, positive predictive value, and AUC were consistently lower for Black women than White women.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

The findings of this simulated cohort study suggest that use of ET as measured by TVUS to determine the need for EC diagnostic testing in symptomatic women may exacerbate racial disparities in EC stage at diagnosis. In simulated data, TVUS ET screening missed almost 5 times more cases of EC among Black women vs White women owing to the greater prevalence of fibroids and nonendometrioid histologic type in Black women.

The Impact of Fibroids and Histologic Subtype on the Performance of US Clinical Guidelines for the Diagnosis of Endometrial Cancer among Black Women

Objective

To assess the predicted performance of the American College of Obstetrics and Gynecology (ACOG)'s recommended endometrial thickness (ET) of ≥4mm via transvaginal ultrasound (TVUS) for a simulated cohort of US Black women with postmenopausal bleeding (PMB).

Main Outcome Measure

Performance characteristics of 3+, 4+, and 5+mm ET thresholds were assessed including sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV), Receiver Operator Characteristic (ROC) curves, and the area under the curve (AUC).

Methods

We used endometrial cancer parameters from ET studies upon which guidelines are based, as well as documented population characteristics of US Black women, to simulate a cohort of US Black women with PMB. Annual endometrial cancer (EC) prevalence overall and by histology type (I and II), history and current diagnosis of uterine fibroids, and visibility of endometria were estimated. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess performance changes with quality of baseline parameters and impact of fibroids on ET visibility.

Results

In the main model with the 4+mm recommended threshold, TVUS ET showed a sensitivity of 47.5% (95% CI: 46.0-49.0%); specificity of 64.9% (95% CI: 64.4-65.3%); PPV of 13.1% (95% CI: 12.5-13.6%); NPV of 91.7% (95% CI: 91.4-92.1%), and AUC of .57 (95% CI: .56-.57).

Conclusions

Among a simulated cohort of US Black women, the recommended 4+mm ET threshold to trigger diagnostic biopsy for EC diagnosis performed poorly, with more than 50% of cases missed and an 8-fold higher frequency of false negative results than reported for the general population.

Endometrial Cancer Risk Prediction According to Indication of Diagnostic Hysteroscopy in Post-Menopausal Women

We conducted a prospective observational study investigating the clinical relevance of endometrial thickness (ET) and abnormal uterine bleeding (AUB) on endometrial cancer (EC) risk in a cohort of postmenopausal patients undergoing diagnostic hysteroscopy and endometrial biopsy. Patients were divided into two groups according to the indication of diagnostic hysteroscopy: ET_Group (asymptomatic patients with endometrial thickness ≥ 4 mm) and AUB_Group (patients with a history of abnormal uterine bleeding). We further divided the AUB_Group into two subgroups based on endometrial thickness (AUB_Subgroup1: ET < 4 mm; AUB_Subgroup2: ET ≥ 4 mm). The primary outcome was the risk of endometrial cancer and atypical hyperplasia according to the indications of diagnostic hysteroscopy (AUB, ET ≥ 4 mm or both). The secondary outcome was to determine the best cut-off value of endometrial thickness to predict endometrial cancer in asymptomatic postmenopausal women. The prevalence of endometrial cancer and atypical hyperplasia in AUB_Group and ET_Group was 21% and 6.7% respectively. As well as for EC alone, higher prevalence of both conditions was observed in AUB_Subgroup2 (29.3%) in comparison to AUB_Subgroup1 (10.6%; p < 0.001). In asymptomatic patients the cut-off of endometrial thickness that showed the best sensitivity and specificity to diagnose endometrial cancer (100% and 80% respectively) was 11 mm (AUC of 91.4%; Expβ: 1067; CI 95%). In conclusion, considering the high risk of neoplasia, diagnostic hysteroscopy with endometrial biopsy should be mandatory in cases of abnormal uterine bleeding in postmenopausal patients. Moreover, we want to emphasize the need for further evidence stating the clinical relevance of endometrial thickness value in asymptomatic patients and the impact of individual risk factors on endometrial cancer development.