Association between hyperglycaemia and adverse perinatal outcomes in south Asian and white British women: analysis of data from the Born in Bradford cohort

External validation of risk prediction model for gestational diabetes: Individual participant data meta-analysis of randomized trials

BACKGROUND

An original validated risk prediction model with good discriminatory prognostic performance for predicting gestational diabetes (GDM) diagnosis, has been updated for recent international association of diabetes in pregnancy study group (IADPSG) diagnostic criteria. However, the updated model is yet to be externally validated on an international dataset.

AIMS

To perform an external validation of the updated risk prediction model to evaluate model indices such as discrimination and calibration based on data from the International Weight Management in Pregnancy (i-WIP) Collaborative Group.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The i -WIP dataset was used to validate the GDM prediction tool across discrimination and model calibration.

RESULTS

Overall 7689 individual patient data were included, with 17.4 % with GDM, however only 113 cases were available using IADPSG (International Association of Diabetes and Pregnancy Groups) criteria for 75 g OGTT glucose load and ACOG (American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists) for 100 g glucose load and having the routine clinical risk factor data. The GDM model was moderately discriminatory (Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.67; 95 % CI 0.59 to 0.75), Sensitivity 81.0 % (95 % CI 66.7 % to 90.9 %), specificity 53 % (40.3 % to 65.4 %). The GDM score showed reasonable calibration for predicting GDM (slope = 0.84, CITL = 0.77). Imputation for missing data increased the sample to n = 253, and vastly improved the discrimination and calibration of the model to AUC = 78 (95 % CI 72 to 85), sensitivity (81 %, 95 % CI 66.7 % to 90.9 %) and specificity (75 %, 95 % CI 68.8 % to 81 %).

CONCLUSION

The updated GDM model showed promising discrimination in predicting GDM in an international population sourced from RCT individual patient data. External validations are essential in order for the risk prediction area to advance, and we demonstrate the utility of using existing RCT data from different global settings. Despite limitations associated with harmonising the data to the variable types in the model, the validation model indices were reasonable, supporting generalizability across continents and populations.

Understanding the Genetic Landscape of Gestational Diabetes: Insights into the Causes and Consequences of Elevated Glucose Levels in Pregnancy

Background/Objectives: During pregnancy, physiological changes in maternal circulating glucose levels and its metabolism are essential to meet maternal and fetal energy demands. Major changes in glucose metabolism occur throughout pregnancy and consist of higher insulin resistance and a compensatory increase in insulin secretion to maintain glucose homeostasis. For some women, this change is insufficient to maintain normoglycemia, leading to gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), a condition characterized by maternal glucose intolerance and hyperglycaemia first diagnosed during the second or third trimester of pregnancy. GDM is diagnosed in approximately 14.0% of pregnancies globally, and it is often associated with short- and long-term adverse health outcomes in both mothers and offspring. Although recent studies have highlighted the role of genetic determinants in the development of GDM, research in this area is still lacking, hindering the development of prevention and treatment strategies. Methods: In this paper, we review recent advances in the understanding of genetic determinants of GDM and glycaemic traits during pregnancy. Results/Conclusions: Our review highlights the need for further collaborative efforts as well as larger and more diverse genotyped pregnancy cohorts to deepen our understanding of the genetic aetiology of GDM, address research gaps, and further improve diagnostic and treatment strategies.

Gestational diabetes mellitus management according to ultrasound fetal growth versus strict glycemic treatment in singleton pregnancies: A systematic review and meta-analysis of clinical trials

AIM

The objective of this meta-analysis was to evaluate obstetric outcomes in gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) patients treated with flexible management based on intrauterine ultrasound fetal growth (FMIUFG) or strict maternal glycemic adjustment (SMGA).

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive systematic review of electronic databases for randomized clinical trials (RCTs) comparing obstetrics outcomes of singleton GDM patients managed according to FMIUFG or SMGA. The review protocol was registered in PROSPERO (CRD497888). Searches were conducted in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane, and LILACS. Primary outcomes were gestational age at delivery and birth weight. Random-effect model meta-analyses were used to minimize the effects of uncertainty associated with inter-study variability. Results are reported as standardized mean differences (SMDs) or as odds ratios (ORs) and their 95% confidence interval (CI). Heterogeneity between studies was estimated using the I2 statistic. The Cochrane Risk of Bias Scale was used to assess the quality of studies. There were five RCTs with low to moderate risk of bias, including 450 patients managed according to the FMIUFSG and 381 according to the SMGA.

RESULTS

The macrosomia (birthweight >4000 g) rate was lower in pregnancies managed according to FMIUFG than SMGA adjustments (OR: 0.34; 95%CI: 0.16, 0.71). There were no significant differences in hypertensive disorder, cesarean section, neonatal intensive care unit admission, and large newborn for gestational age rates.

CONCLUSIONS

The macrosomia rate was lower in women managed with the FMIUFG. There were no significant differences in other obstetric and neonate outcomes.

Association of non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) and gallstones among US adults aged ≤ 50 years: a cross-sectional study from NHANES 2017-2020

BACKGROUND

The chronic digestive condition gallstones is quite common around the world, the development of which is closely related to oxidative stress, inflammatory response and abnormalities of lipid metabolism. In the last few years, as a novel biomarker of lipid metabolism, the non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHHR) has garnered significant interest. However, its relationship with gallstones has not been studied yet.

METHODS

3,772 people, all under 50, were included in this study, and their full data came from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) database for the years 2017-2020. Information on gallstones was obtained through self-reported questionnaires. Smoothed curve fitting multifactorial logistic regression was utilized to evaluate the connection of NHHR with gallstone formation incidence. Subsequently, subgroup analysis and interaction tests were applied. Finally, to create a prediction model, logistic regression and feature screening by last absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) were used. The resulting model was displayed using a nomogram.

RESULTS

In multivariate logistic regression that accounted for all factors, there was a 77% increase in the likelihood of gallstones for every unit rise in lnNHHR (OR 1.77 [CI 1.11-2.83]). Following NHHR stratification, the Q4 NHHR level was substantially more linked to the risk of gallstones than the Q1 level (OR 1.86 [CI 1.04-3.32]). This correlation was stronger in women, people under 35, smokers, abstainers from alcohol, non-Hispanic White people, those with excessively high cholesterol, people with COPD, and people without diabetes. After feature screening, a predictive model and visualized nomogram for gallstones were constructed with an AUC of 0.785 (CI 0.745-0.819), which was assessed by DCA to be clinically important.

CONCLUSION

In the group of people ≤ 50 years of age, elevated NHHR levels were substantially linked to a higher incidence of gallstones. This correlation was stronger in several specific groups such as females, under 35 years of age, smokers, and so on. Predictive models constructed using the NHHR have potential clinical value in assessing gallstone formation.

Maternal smoking DNA methylation risk score associated with health outcomes in offspring of European and South Asian ancestry

Background

Maternal smoking has been linked to adverse health outcomes in newborns but the extent to which it impacts newborn health has not been quantified through an aggregated cord blood DNA methylation (DNAm) score. Here, we examine the feasibility of using cord blood DNAm scores leveraging large external studies as discovery samples to capture the epigenetic signature of maternal smoking and its influence on newborns in White European and South Asian populations.

Methods

We first examined the association between individual CpGs and cigarette smoking during pregnancy, and smoking exposure in two White European birth cohorts (n=744). Leveraging established CpGs for maternal smoking, we constructed a cord blood epigenetic score of maternal smoking that was validated in one of the European-origin cohorts (n=347). This score was then tested for association with smoking status, secondary smoking exposure during pregnancy, and health outcomes in offspring measured after birth in an independent White European (n=397) and a South Asian birth cohort (n=504).

Results

Several previously reported genes for maternal smoking were supported, with the strongest and most consistent association signal from the GFI1 gene (6 CpGs with p<5 × 10-5). The epigenetic maternal smoking score was strongly associated with smoking status during pregnancy (OR = 1.09 [1.07, 1.10], p=5.5 × 10-33) and more hours of self-reported smoking exposure per week (1.93 [1.27, 2.58], p=7.8 × 10-9) in White Europeans. However, it was not associated with self-reported exposure (p>0.05) among South Asians, likely due to a lack of smoking in this group. The same score was consistently associated with a smaller birth size (-0.37±0.12 cm, p=0.0023) in the South Asian cohort and a lower birth weight (-0.043±0.013 kg, p=0.0011) in the combined cohorts.

Conclusions

This cord blood epigenetic score can help identify babies exposed to maternal smoking and assess its long-term impact on growth. Notably, these results indicate a consistent association between the DNAm signature of maternal smoking and a small body size and low birth weight in newborns, in both White European mothers who exhibited some amount of smoking and in South Asian mothers who themselves were not active smokers.

Funding

This study was funded by the Canadian Institutes of Health Research Metabolomics Team Grant: MWG-146332.

N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide levels vary by ethnicity and are associated with insulin sensitivity after gestational diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Individuals of South Asian origin have a greater risk of cardiovascular disease after gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) than European individuals. B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and the amino-terminal fragment of its prohormone (NT-proBNP) are commonly used for heart failure screening and diagnosis, but biologically BNP exerts several beneficial cardiovascular effects primarily by counteracting the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone-system. We asked whether ethnic differences in circulating NT-proBNP levels could be explained by the differences in cardiometabolic and inflammatory risk markers?

METHODS

We examined 162 South Asian and 107 Nordic women in Norway 1-3 years after GDM with a clinical examination, fasting blood samples and an oral glucose tolerance test. We measured the levels of NT-proBNP, high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), leptin, adiponectin and markers of insulin sensitivity, such as the Matsuda insulin sensitivity index (ISI). Finally, we tried to identify which independent covariate best mediated the ethnic differences in NT-proBNP.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) age was 35.3 (4.5) years, BMI 29.1 (6.0) kg/m2, waist-height ratio 0.60 (0.08) and 164 women (61%) had prediabetes/diabetes. Notably, South Asian women had lower levels of NT-proBNP than Nordic women in both the normoglycemic and prediabetes/diabetes groups (median (IQR) 26  (15-38)  vs. 42 (22-66) ng/L, p < 0.001). Higher NT-proBNP levels were associated with greater insulin sensitivity in both South Asian and Nordic women (p = 0.005 and p < 0.001). South Asian women had higher levels of hsCRP (median (IQR) 2.2 (1.1-4.4) vs. 1.2 (0.3-4.2) mg/L), IL-6 (2.3 (1.5-3.2) vs. 1.5 (1.5-2.5) pg/mL), leptin (1647 (1176-2480) vs. 1223 (876-2313) pmol/L), and lower adiponectin levels (7.2 (5.3-9.3) vs. 10.0 (7.2-13.5) mg/L) and Matsuda ISI (2.4 (1.7-3.7) vs. 4.2 (2.9-6.1), pall<0.01) than Nordic women. Even after adjusting for these differences, higher NT-proBNP levels remained associated with insulin sensitivity (22% higher NT-proBNP per SD Matsuda ISI, p = 0.015). Insulin sensitivity and adiponectin mediated 53% and 41% of the ethnic difference in NT-proBNP.

CONCLUSIONS

NT-proBNP levels are lower in South Asian than in Nordic women after GDM. Lower NT-proBNP levels correlate with impaired insulin sensitivity. Lower NT-proBNP levels in South Asian women could, therefore, be attributed to impaired insulin sensitivity rather than total body fat.

Timing of gestational diabetes diagnosis and progression to type 2 Diabetes: A comparative analysis

AIM

To evaluate and compare the risk of progressing to type 2 diabetes (T2DM) based on the timing of gestational diabetes (GDM) diagnosis during pregnancy.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis of pregnant individuals with gestational diabetes and post-pregnancy follow up. Data sourced from Meuhedet HMO's computerized laboratory system, cross-tabulated with the Israeli National Diabetes Registry. The cohort was divided into normoglycemic, early GDM (diagnosed by fasting plasma glucose 92-125 mg/dL (5.1-6.9 mM) at < 15 weeks), 2nd trimester GDM (diagnosed at 24-28 weeks), and late GDM (diagnosed after 29 weeks). Statistics included univariate analysis followed by survival analysis. Risk was further analyzed for individuals by obesity status.

RESULTS

75,459 entered the analysis: 90 % normoglycemic, 7.9 % early GDM, 1.4 % 2nd trimester GDM, and 0.7 % late GDM. Median post-pregnancy follow-up time was 4.3 (IQR 3.3-5.1). 2nd trimester GDM showed the highest T2DM risk annually after pregnancy. Cox regression analysis, adjusted for confounders, revealed a significantly higher T2DM risk for 2nd-trimester GDM compared to early and late GDM. Late GDM did not confer additional significant T2DM risk. Stratification by obesity status highlighted that early GDM increased the risk of T2DM only in individuals without obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

GDM diagnosis timing significantly impacts T2DM risk. 2nd trimester GDM carries the highest T2DM risk.

CT radiomics combined with clinical and radiological factors predict hematoma expansion in hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage

OBJECTIVES

This study aimed to establish a hematoma expansion (HE) prediction model for hypertensive intracerebral hemorrhage (HICH) patients by combining CT radiomics, clinical information, and conventional imaging signs.

METHODS

A retrospective continuous collection of HICH patients from three medical centers was divided into a training set (n = 555), a validation set (n = 239), and a test set (n = 77). Extract radiomics features from baseline CT plain scan images and combine them with clinical information and conventional imaging signs to construct radiomics models, clinical imaging sign models, and hybrid models, respectively. The models will be evaluated using the area under the curve (AUC), clinical decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI).

RESULTS

In the training, validation, and testing sets, the radiomics model predicts an AUC of HE of 0.885, 0.827, and 0.894, respectively, while the clinical imaging sign model predicts an AUC of HE of 0.759, 0.725, and 0.765, respectively. Glasgow coma scale score at admission, first CT hematoma volume, irregular hematoma shape, and radiomics score were used to construct a hybrid model, with AUCs of 0.901, 0.838, and 0.917, respectively. The DCA shows that the hybrid model had the highest net profit rate. Compared with the radiomics model and the clinical imaging sign model, the hybrid model showed an increase in NRI and IDI.

CONCLUSION

The hybrid model based on CT radiomics combined with clinical and radiological factors can effectively individualize the evaluation of the risk of HE in patients with HICH.

CLINICAL RELEVANCE STATEMENT

CT radiomics combined with clinical information and conventional imaging signs can identify HICH patients with a high risk of HE and provide a basis for clinical-targeted treatment.

KEY POINTS

HE is an important prognostic factor in patients with HICH. The hybrid model predicted HE with training, validation, and test AUCs of 0.901, 0.838, and 0.917, respectively. This model provides a tool for a personalized clinical assessment of early HE risk.

Associations of RBC counts and incidence of DVT in patients with spinal cord injury: a five year observational retrospective study

BACKGROUND

The role of red blood cell (RBC) counts as potential independent risk factors for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) in patients with spinal cord injury (SCI) remains uncertain. This study aims to clarify the associations between RBC counts and DVT incidence among this population.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was performed on 576 patients with SCI admitted to the rehabilitation medicine department from January 1, 2017 to December 31, 2021. After exclusions, 319 patients were analyzed, among which 94 cases of DVT were identified.

RESULTS

Mode of injury, D-dimer and anticoagulant therapy were significant covariates (P < 0.05). Age, fibrinogen, D-dimer, anticoagulant therapy and American Spinal Cord Injury Association impairment scale (AIS) grades were associated with RBC counts and DVT incidence (P < 0.05). Adjusting for these factors, a 1.00 × 10^12/L increase in RBC counts correlated with a 45% decrease in DVT incidence (P = 0.042), revealing a "U" shaped relationship with a pivot at 4.56 × 10^12/L (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

RBC counts below 4.56 × 10^12/L serve as a protective factor against DVT, while counts above this threshold pose a risk. These findings could inform the development of DVT prevention strategies for patients with SCI, emphasizing the need for targeted monitoring and management of RBC counts.

Consistent cord blood DNA methylation signatures of gestational age between South Asian and white European cohorts

BACKGROUND

Epigenetic modifications, particularly DNA methylation (DNAm) in cord blood, are an important biological marker of how external exposures during gestation can influence the in-utero environment and subsequent offspring development. Despite the recognized importance of DNAm during gestation, comparative studies to determine the consistency of these epigenetic signals across different ethnic groups are largely absent. To address this gap, we first performed epigenome-wide association studies (EWAS) of gestational age (GA) using newborn cord blood DNAm comparatively in a white European (n = 342) and a South Asian (n = 490) birth cohort living in Canada. Then, we capitalized on established cord blood epigenetic GA clocks to examine the associations between maternal exposures, offspring characteristics and epigenetic GA, as well as GA acceleration, defined as the residual difference between epigenetic and chronological GA at birth.

RESULTS

Individual EWASs confirmed 1,211 and 1,543 differentially methylated CpGs previously reported to be associated with GA, in white European and South Asian cohorts, respectively, with a similar distribution of effects. We confirmed that Bohlin's cord blood GA clock was robustly correlated with GA in white Europeans (r = 0.71; p = 6.0 × 10-54) and South Asians (r = 0.66; p = 6.9 × 10-64). In both cohorts, Bohlin's clock was positively associated with newborn weight and length and negatively associated with parity, newborn female sex, and gestational diabetes. Exclusive to South Asians, the GA clock was positively associated with the newborn ponderal index, while pre-pregnancy weight and gestational weight gain were strongly predictive of increased epigenetic GA in white Europeans. Important predictors of GA acceleration included gestational diabetes mellitus, newborn sex, and parity in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

These results demonstrate the consistent DNAm signatures of GA and the utility of Bohlin's GA clock across the two populations. Although the overall pattern of DNAm is similar, its connections with the mother's environment and the baby's anthropometrics can differ between the two groups. Further research is needed to understand these unique relationships.

Threshold and combined effects of heavy metals on the risk of phenotypic age acceleration among U.S. adults

Accumulation of heavy metals in the body has been shown to affect the phenotypic age (PhenoAge). However, the combined and threshold effects of blood heavy metals on the risk of PhenoAge acceleration (PhenoAgeAccel) are not well understood. A cross-sectional study was conducted using blood heavy metal data (N = 7763, age ≥18 years) from the 2015-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. PhenoAgeAccel was calculated from actual age and nine biomarkers. Multiple regression equations were used to describe the relationship between heavy metals and PhenoAgeAccel. Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression modeling was used to explore the relationship between the combined effects of heavy metals and PhenoAgeAccel. Threshold effect and multiple regression analyses were performed to explore the linear and nonlinear relationships between heavy metals and PhenoAgeAccel. Threshold effect analysis showed that blood mercury (Hg) concentration was linearly associated with PhenoAgeAccel. In contrast, lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), manganese (Mn), and combined exposure were nonlinearly associated with PhenoAgeAccel. In addition, the combination of Pb, Cd, Hg, and Mn significantly affected PhenoAgeAccel. The risk of PhenoAgeAccel was increased by 207% (P < 0.0001). Meanwhile, a threshold relationship was found between blood Pb, Cd, Mn, and the occurrence of PhenoAgeAccel. Overall, our results indicate that combined exposure to heavy metals may increase the risk of PhenoAgeAccel. This study underscores the need to reduce heavy metal pollution in the environment and provides a reference threshold for future studies.

The association of red and processed meat with gestational diabetes mellitus: Results from 2 Canadian birth cohort studies

OBJECTIVE

Red and processed meat is considered risk factors of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), but the evidence is inconclusive. We aimed to examine the association between red and processed meat intake and odds of GDM among South Asian and White European women living in Canada.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional analysis of pregnant women from two birth cohorts: SouTh Asian biRth cohorT (START; n = 976) and Family Atherosclerosis Monitoring In earLY life (FAMILY; n = 581). Dietary intake was assessed using a validated 169-item semi-quantitative food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ). Multivariate logistic regression models were used to examine the associations between gestational diabetes and: 1) total red and processed meat; 2) unprocessed red meat; 3) processed meat and GDM after adjustment for potential confounders.

RESULTS

There were 241 GDM cases in START and 91 in FAMILY. The median total red and processed meat intake were 1.5 g/d (START) and 52.8 g/d (FAMILY). In START, the multivariable-adjusted odds ratio (OR) showed neither lower nor higher intakes of unprocessed red meat (p-trend = 0.68), processed meat (p-trend = 0.90), or total red and processed meat (p-trend = 0.44), were associated with increased odds of GDM, when compared with medium intake. Similar results were observed in FAMILY except for processed meat intake [OR = 0.94 (95% CI 0.47-1.91), for medium versus low and OR = 1.51 (95% CI 0.77-2.29) for medium versus high; p-trend = 0.18] after adjusting for additional dietary factors such as the diet quality score, total fiber, saturated fat and glycemic load.

CONCLUSION

Medium compared with low or high red and processed meat intake is not associated with GDM in White Europeans and South Asians living in Canada.

Social inequalities in pregnancy metabolic profile: findings from the multi-ethnic Born in Bradford cohort study

BACKGROUND

Lower socioeconomic position (SEP) associates with adverse pregnancy and perinatal outcomes and with less favourable metabolic profile in nonpregnant adults. Socioeconomic differences in pregnancy metabolic profile are unknown. We investigated association between a composite measure of SEP and pregnancy metabolic profile in White European (WE) and South Asian (SA) women.

METHODS

We included 3,905 WE and 4,404 SA pregnant women from a population-based UK cohort. Latent class analysis was applied to nineteen individual, household, and area-based SEP indicators (collected by questionnaires or linkage to residential address) to derive a composite SEP latent variable. Targeted nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy was used to determine 148 metabolic traits from mid-pregnancy serum samples. Associations between SEP and metabolic traits were examined using linear regressions adjusted for gestational age and weighted by latent class probabilities.

RESULTS

Five SEP sub-groups were identified and labelled 'Highest SEP' (48% WE and 52% SA), 'High-Medium SEP' (77% and 23%), 'Medium SEP' (56% and 44%) 'Low-Medium SEP' (21% and 79%), and 'Lowest SEP' (52% and 48%). Lower SEP was associated with more adverse levels of 113 metabolic traits, including lower high-density lipoprotein (HDL) and higher triglycerides and very low-density lipoprotein (VLDL) traits. For example, mean standardized difference (95%CI) in concentration of small VLDL particles (vs. Highest SEP) was 0.12 standard deviation (SD) units (0.05 to 0.20) for 'Medium SEP' and 0.25SD (0.18 to 0.32) for 'Lowest SEP'. There was statistical evidence of ethnic differences in associations of SEP with 31 traits, primarily characterised by stronger associations in WE women e.g., mean difference in HDL cholesterol in WE and SA women respectively (vs. Highest-SEP) was -0.30SD (-0.41 to -0.20) and -0.16SD (-0.27 to -0.05) for 'Medium SEP', and -0.62SD (-0.72 to -0.52) and -0.29SD (-0.40 to -0.20) for 'Lowest SEP'.

CONCLUSIONS

We found widespread socioeconomic differences in metabolic traits in pregnant WE and SA women residing in the UK. Further research is needed to understand whether the socioeconomic differences we observe here reflect pre-conception differences or differences in the metabolic pregnancy response. If replicated, it would be important to explore if these differences contribute to socioeconomic differences in pregnancy outcomes.

Relationships Between Exposure to Gestational Diabetes Treatment and Neonatal Anthropometry: Evidence from the Born in Bradford (BiB) Cohort

OBJECTIVES

To examine the relationships between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) treatment and neonatal anthropometry.

METHODS

Covariate-adjusted multivariable linear regression analyses were used in 9907 offspring of the Born in Bradford cohort. GDM treatment type (lifestyle changes advice only, lifestyle changes and insulin or lifestyle changes and metformin) was the exposure, offspring born to mothers without GDM the control, and birth weight, head, mid-arm and abdominal circumference, and subscapular and triceps skinfold thickness the outcomes.

RESULTS

Lower birth weight in offspring exposed to insulin (- 117.2 g (95% CI - 173.8, - 60.7)) and metformin (- 200.3 g (- 328.5, - 72.1)) compared to offspring not exposed to GDM was partly attributed to lower gestational age at birth and greater proportion of Pakistani mothers in the treatment groups. Higher subscapular skinfolds in offspring exposed to treatment compared to those not exposed to GDM was partly attributed to higher maternal glucose concentrations at diagnosis. In fully adjusted analyses, offspring exposed to GDM treatment had lower weight, smaller abdominal circumference and skinfolds at birth than those not exposed to GDM. Metformin exposure was associated with smaller offspring mid-arm circumference (- 0.3 cm (- 0.6, - 0.07)) than insulin exposure in fully adjusted models with no other differences found.

CONCLUSIONS FOR PRACTICE

Offspring exposed to GDM treatment were lighter and smaller at birth than those not exposed to GDM. Metformin-exposed offspring had largely comparable birth anthropometric characteristics to those exposed to insulin.

Getting a "SMART START" to gestational diabetes mellitus education: a mixed-methods pilot evaluation of a knowledge translation tool in primary care

BACKGROUND

South Asian people living in Canada face higher rates of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) compared to national trends. The objective of this study was to design and pilot test a knowledge translation (KT) tool to support GDM prevention counselling in primary care.

METHODS

This study is a mixed-methods pilot evaluation of the "SMART START" KT tool involving 2 family physicians in separate practices and 20 pregnant South Asians in Ontario, Canada. We conducted the quantitative and qualitative components in parallel, developing a joint display to illustrate the converging and diverging elements.

RESULTS

Between January and July 2020, 20 South Asian pregnant people were enrolled in this study. A high level of acceptability was received from patients and practitioners for timing, content, format, language, and interest in the interventions delivered. Quantitative findings revealed gaps in patient knowledge and behaviour in the following areas: GDM risk factors, the impact of GDM on the unborn baby, weight gain recommendations, diet, physical activity practices, and tracking of weight gain. From the qualitative component, we found that physicians valued and were keen to engage in GDM prevention counselling. Patients also expressed personal perceptions of healthy active living during pregnancy, experiences, and preferences with gathering and searching for information, and key preventative behaviours.

CONCLUSIONS

Building on this knowledge can contribute to the design and implementation of other research opportunities or test new hypotheses as they relate to GDM prevention among South Asian communities.

Gestational diabetes mellitus and risk of long-term all-cause and cardiac mortality: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

To investigate the association between gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) without subsequent overt diabetes and long-term all-cause and cardiac mortality.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 10,327 women (weighted population: 132,332,187) with a pregnancy history from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (2007 to 2018). Participants were divided into three groups (GDM alone, overt diabetes, and no diabetes). Mortality data was linked from the National Death Index up to December 31, 2019. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to examine the association between GDM alone and overt diabetes with all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality. Data analysis was performed from October 2022 to April 2023.

RESULTS

Among the participants, 510 (weighted 5.3%) had GDM alone and 1862 (weighted 14.1%) had overt diabetes. Over a median follow-up period of 6.7 years (69,063 person-years), there were 758 deaths. The GDM group did not show an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 0.67; 95% CI, 0.25-1.84), while the overt diabetes group had a significantly higher risk (HR 1.95; 95% CI, 1.62-2.35). Similarly, the GDM group did not exhibit an elevated risk of cardiac mortality (HR 1.48; 95% CI, 0.50-4.39), whereas the overt diabetes group had a significantly higher risk (HR 2.37; 95% CI, 1.69-3.32). Furthermore, sensitivity analysis focusing on women aged 50 or above showed that the HR of GDM history for all-cause mortality was 1.14 (95% CI, 0.33-3.95) and the HR for cardiac mortality was 1.74 (95% CI, 0.49-6.20).

CONCLUSIONS

GDM alone was not associated with an increased risk of all-cause and cardiac mortality, while overt diabetes was significantly associated with both types of mortality.

Promoting healthy eating in early pregnancy in individuals at risk of gestational diabetes mellitus: does it improve glucose homeostasis? A study protocol for a randomized control trial

Background

Healthy eating during pregnancy has favorable effects on glycemic control and is associated with a lower risk of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). According to Diabetes Canada, there is a need for an effective and acceptable intervention that could improve glucose homeostasis and support pregnant individuals at risk for GDM.

Aims

This unicentric randomized controlled trial (RCT) aims to evaluate the effects of a nutritional intervention initiated early in pregnancy, on glucose homeostasis in 150 pregnant individuals at risk for GDM, compared to usual care.

Methods

Population: 150 pregnant individuals ≥18 years old, at ≤14 weeks of pregnancy, and presenting ≥1 risk factor for GDM according to Diabetes Canada guidelines. Intervention: The nutritional intervention initiated in the first trimester is based on the health behavior change theory during pregnancy and on Canada's Food Guide recommendations. It includes (1) four individual counseling sessions with a registered dietitian using motivational interviewing (12, 18, 24, and 30 weeks), with post-interview phone call follow-ups, aiming to develop and achieve S.M.A.R.T. nutritional objectives (specific, measurable, attainable, relevant, and time-bound); (2) 10 informative video clips on healthy eating during pregnancy developed by our team and based on national guidelines, and (3) a virtual support community via a Facebook group. Control: Usual prenatal care. Protocol: This RCT includes three on-site visits (10-14, 24-26, and 34-36 weeks) during which a 2-h oral glucose tolerance test is done and blood samples are taken. At each trimester and 3 months postpartum, participants complete web-based questionnaires, including three validated 24-h dietary recalls to assess their diet quality using the Healthy Eating Food Index 2019. Primary outcome: Difference in the change in fasting blood glucose (from the first to the third trimester) between groups. This study has been approved by the Ethics Committee of the Centre de recherche du CHU de Québec-Université Laval.

Discussion

This RCT will determine whether a nutritional intervention initiated early in pregnancy can improve glucose homeostasis in individuals at risk for GDM and inform Canadian stakeholders on improving care trajectories and policies for pregnant individuals at risk for GDM.

Clinical trial registration

https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05299502, NCT05299502.

Comparison of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group India (DIPSI) and WHO criteria for diagnosis of gestational diabetes by assessment of fetomaternal outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate fetomaternal outcomes in women who are normoglycemic by Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group India (DIPSI) but have gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) by WHO criteria versus those who are normoglycemic by both DIPSI and WHO criteria.

METHODS

This was a prospective, cohort study. A total of 635 women participated. They underwent a 2-h non-fasting oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) and results were interpreted by DIPSI. Out of 635 women, 52 were lost to follow up and 33 were diagnosed as GDM by DIPSI and excluded from the study. The remaining 550 women, after 72 h from the first test, underwent a 75-g fasting-OGTT and results were interpreted using WHO 2013 criteria. Results of the second test were blinded till delivery. The 550 women were followed for fetomaternal outcomes. Participants with normal DIPSI and normal WHO 2013 OGTT were labeled group 1. Participants with normal DIPSI but abnormal WHO 2013 OGTT were labeled group 2. Fetomaternal outcomes were compared between these groups.

RESULTS

Occurrence of GDM by DIPSI was 5.1%, by WHO 2013 criteria it was 10.5%. Composite fetomaternal outcomes occurred more commonly in women with a normal DIPSI but an abnormal WHO 2013 test. Out of 550 women, 492 had normal DIPSI and normal WHO 2013 test. Out of this 492, 116 (23.6%) women had adverse fetomaternal outcomes. Fifty-eight women out of 550 had a normal DIPSI but an abnormal WHO 2013 test. Thirty-seven (63.8%) women out of 58 had adverse fetomaternal outcomes. We found statistically significant association between adverse fetomaternal outcome and GDM by WHO 2013 test (with normal DIPSI test).

CONCLUSION

WHO 2013 has superior diagnostic value compared with DIPSI criteria for diagnosis of GDM.

Association between functional constipation and vaginal wind in women at 6 weeks postpartum

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS

The pathogenesis of vaginal wind remains unclear. This study was aimed at assessing the association between functional constipation and vaginal wind in women at 6 weeks postpartum.

METHODS

This is a multicenter cross-sectional study. We collected data, such as baseline demographic, clinical characteristics, pelvic organ prolapse quantification score. and surface electromyography parameters of pelvic floor muscles, of women at 6 weeks postpartum who visited the postpartum rehabilitation clinic between May 2022 and September 2022. The cohort data were from women who visited the postpartum rehabilitation clinic of the First Affiliated Hospital of Gannan Medical University and the Women and Children's Health Care Hospital of Yudu County. Follow-up for the control and study cohorts was conducted until 6 weeks postpartum.

RESULTS

Among the 377 women, 101 (26.79%) reported vaginal wind. Multivariate regression analysis showed that postpartum women with functional constipation were at a higher risk for vaginal wind than women without functional constipation (odds ratio [OR], 2.41). The results remained stable across the propensity score analyses (OR, 1.86-2.30). In addition, we found age, body mass index, mode of delivery, changes in the anatomical location of Bp points, urinary incontinence, pelvic floor muscle strength, and birth weight of the neonate were not associated with increased odds of vaginal wind in women at 6 weeks postpartum.

CONCLUSIONS

Vaginal wind is common among women at 6 weeks postpartum and is associated with functional constipation. Functional constipation may serve as a reference for the pathogenesis, prevention, and treatment of vaginal wind.

Influence of the DASH Diet on Gestational Weight Gain and Perinatal Outcomes in Women with Pre-Existing Diabetes Mellitus: A Randomized, Single-Blind, Controlled Clinical Trial

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to investigate the influence of the dietary approaches to stop hypertension (DASH) diet on gestational weight gain and perinatal outcomes in pregnant women with pre-existing diabetes mellitus (PDM).

METHODS

A randomized, single-blind, controlled clinical trial was conducted with 68 pregnant women with PDM throughout prenatal care until delivery (18 weeks) at a public maternity hospital in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil (2016-2020). The standard diet adopted by the control group (standard diet group-SDG) contained 45-55% carbohydrates, 15-20% protein, and 25-30% lipids of the total energy intake. An adapted DASH diet, with a similar macronutrient composition, but with higher calcium, potassium, magnesium, fiber, and reduced saturated fat, was prescribed for the intervention group (DASH diet group-DDG). Student's t- or Mann-Whitney U tests were used to compare outcomes between groups. To assess the trajectory of gestational weight gain throughout the intervention between the study groups, linear mixed-effects regression models were used.

RESULTS

The DDG had lower gestational weight gain at the fifth (p = 0.03) and seventh appointment (p = 0.04), with no difference in average total gestational weight gain (SDG: 10 kg [SD = 4]; DDG: 9 kg [SD = 5], p = 0.23). There was a trend for a lower length of stay of the newborns (p = 0.08) in the DDG without differences for other perinatal outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

The DASH diet promoted less variation in gestational weight gain without promoting a difference in total gestational weight gain, and there was no difference between the study groups for perinatal outcomes.

Child educational progress in Born in Bradford pregnancies affected by gestational diabetes and also exposed to maternal common mental disorders

Gestational diabetes and the maternal mental disorders of anxiety and depression have been implicated in adverse offspring neuro-behavioural outcomes but these exposures have only been studied in isolation. 1051 children whose mothers were diagnosed with gestational diabetes in UK's Born in Bradford cohort had linkage to maternal primary care records, providing diagnostic and treatment codes for depression and anxiety. Education record linkage provided results of the Early Years Foundation Stage Profile from the first year of school, aged five. Risk of not attaining a 'Good level of development' was analysed using multivariable Poisson regression within a generalised estimating equation framework. Multiple imputation was implemented for missing data. There was limited evidence of increased risk of failure to attain a 'good level of development' in those additionally exposed to maternal mental disorders (adjusted RR 1.21; 95% CI 0.94, 1.55). However, there was more evidence in children of Pakistani maternal ethnicity (adjusted RR 1.36; 95% CI 1.04, 1.77) than White British; this may have been driven by English not being the primary language spoken in the home. Therefore there may be groups with GDM in whom it is particularly important to optimise both maternal physical and mental health to improve child outcomes.

Prevalence of gestational diabetes mellitus, maternal obesity and associated perinatal outcomes over 10 years in an Australian tertiary maternity provider

BACKGROUND

The International Association of Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Groups (IADPSG) gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) criteria have been heavily scrutinised with concerns that the consequent GDM prevalence increase has not been associated with improved perinatal outcomes.

AIMS

At a tertiary hospital in Melbourne, Australia we aimed to evaluate prevalence trends for GDM, type 2 diabetes (T2DM), maternal obesity and large-for-gestational age (LGA) and assess changes in perinatal outcomes following IADPSG criteria uptake in 2015.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study of singleton births from 20 weeks' gestation was conducted between 1st January 2011 and 31st December 2020. Maternal characteristics and perinatal outcomes were extracted from medical records.

RESULTS

52,795 pregnancies were included. GDM prevalence increased 2.7 times from 8.9% in 2011 to 23.7% in 2020 and increased annually by 8.59% (95%CI 7.77, 9.42). The rate of T2DM increased annually by 11.69% (95%CI 7.72, 16.67). Obesity prevalence increased annually by 3.18% (95%CI 2.58, 3.78). Induction of labour (IOL) prevalence increased annually by 8.35% (95%CI 5.69, 11.06). LGA prevalence remained unchanged. Increasing maternal obesity was the major contributing factor for LGA prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

From 2011 to 2020 GDM, obesity and T2DM prevalence increased significantly, with associated increased IOL, without change in LGA rates. Prospective studies are required to explore interactions between GDM, obesity, LGA and obstetric interventions.

Intermediate hyperglycemia in early pregnancy: A South Asian perspective

“Intermediate hyperglycemia in early pregnancy (IHEP)” refers to mild hyperglycemia detected before 24 gestational weeks (GW), satisfying the criteria for the diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus. Many professional bodies recommend routine screening for “overt diabetes” in early pregnancy, which identifies a significant number of women with mild hyperglycemia of undetermined significance. A literature search revealed that one-third of GDM women in South Asian countries are diagnosed before the conventional screening period of 24 GW to 28 GW; hence, they belong in the IHEP category. Most hospitals in this region diagnose IHEP by oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) using the same criteria used for GDM diagnosis after 24 GW. There is some evidence to suggest that South Asian women with IHEP are more prone to adverse pregnancy events than women with a diagnosis of GDM after 24 GW, but this observation needs to be proven by randomized control trials. Fasting plasma glucose is a reliable screening test for GDM that can obviate the need for OGTT for GDM diagnosis among 50% of South Asian pregnant women. HbA1c in the first trimester predicts GDM in later pregnancy, but it is not a reliable test for IHEP diagnosis. There is evidence to suggest that HbA1c in the first trimester is an independent risk factor for several adverse pregnancy events. Further research to identify the patho-genetic mechanisms behind the fetal and maternal effects of IHEP is strongly recommended.

A culturally tailored personaliseD nutrition intErvention in South ASIan women at risk of Gestational Diabetes Mellitus (DESI-GDM): a randomised controlled trial protocol

INTRODUCTION

South Asians are more likely to develop gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) than white Europeans. Diet and lifestyle modifications may prevent GDM and reduce undesirable outcomes in both the mother and offspring. Our study seeks to evaluate the effectiveness and participant acceptability of a culturally tailored, personalised nutrition intervention on the glucose area under the curve (AUC) after a 2-hour 75 g oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) in pregnant women of South Asian ancestry with GDM risk factors.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

A total of 190 South Asian pregnant women with at least 2 of the following GDM risk factors-prepregnancy body mass index>23, age>29, poor-quality diet, family history of type 2 diabetes in a first-degree relative or GDM in a previous pregnancy will be enrolled during gestational weeks 12-18, and randomly assigned in a 1:1 ratio to: (1) usual care, plus weekly text messages to encourage walking and paper handouts or (2) a personalised nutrition plan developed and delivered by a culturally congruent dietitian and health coach; and FitBit to track steps. The intervention lasts 6-16 weeks, depending on week of recruitment. The primary outcome is the glucose AUC from a three-sample 75 g OGTT 24-28 weeks' gestation. The secondary outcome is GDM diagnosis, based on Born-in-Bradford criteria (fasting glucose>5.2 mmol/L or 2 hours post load>7.2 mmol/L).

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

The study has been approved by the Hamilton Integrated Research Ethics Board (HiREB #10942). Findings will be disseminated among academics and policy-makers through scientific publications along with community-orientated strategies.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT03607799.

The serum creatinine to cystatin C ratio predicts the risk of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

The purpose of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD) treatment is to minimize the negative impact of the current exacerbation and to prevent the development of subsequent events. Therefore, it is important to identify readily available serological indicators during hospital admission to assess the prognosis of patients with AECOPD. All patients hospitalized in a Department of Respiratory and Critical Care Medicine of tertiary care hospital between January 2021 and December 2021 for AECOPD were analyzed using univariate correlations and binary logistic regression analysis with 2 models for associations between demographic, clinical, and laboratory features and AECOPD risk. The ratio of creatinine to cystatin C (Cre/Cys C) ratio was significantly associated with age (r = -0.206, P = .000), weight (R = 0.331, P = .000), body mass index (BMI) (R = 0.133, P = .007), and forced vital capacity (FVC)% predicted (R = 0.130, P = .009). Multiple regression was performed to predict the Cre/Cys C ratio from age, weight, BMI, forced expiratory volume during 1 second/FVC ratio, and FVC% predicted FABP-4, with F (5, 405) = 24.571, P = .000, R2 = 0.233. The results showed that the most significant predictors of the Cre/Cys C ratio were age (P = .007), weight (P = .000), BMI (P = .000), and predicted forced expiratory volume during 1 second (P = .000). Multivariate analysis was performed to determine whether the Cre/Cys C ratio was a predictor of AECOPD risk. Model 1 showed that a low Cre/Cys C ratio was associated with an increased hospital length of stay (odds ratio: -0.114, 95% confidence interval: -0.061 to -0.005) and admission to the intensive care unit (odds ratio: 0.951, 95% confidence interval: 0.907-0.996). After adjustment for potential confounding factors, model 2 showed that a low Cre/Cys C ratio was not independently associated with AECOPD risk. The present study indicated that the Cre/Cys C ratio is an easy, cheap, repeatable, and promising tool that allows us to evaluate the risk of AECOPD using serum markers. A low Cre/Cys C ratio was associated with a prolonged hospital length of stay and admission to the intensive care unit in AECOPD patients. However, the associations were not independent.

Genetic predisposition to gestational diabetes mellitus in the Kazakh population

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The purpose of the study was to conduct a comparative analysis of population frequencies of alleles and genotypes of polymorphic variants of genes for impaired insulin synthesis and associated with insulin signal transduction.

METHODS

This investigation uses a genomic database of 1800 conditionally healthy individuals of Kazakh ethnicity, who underwent full genome genotyping using OmniChip 2.5-8 Illumina chips of ∼2.5 million Single Nucleotide Polymorphism at deCODE Iceland Genomic Centre.

RESULTS

The highest frequency of carriage of minor A allele - 17.6% rs4607517 polymorphism of Glucokinase gene, unfavorable genotypes A/G - 29.5% and A/A - 3.0% in comparison with European and Asian populations, indicates a contribution of hereditary family forms of Maturity-onset diabetes of the young type 2 to gestational diabetes mellitus in Kazakh population.

CONCLUSIONS

The study of the associations of genetic markers of gestational diabetes mellitus will allow timely identification of high-risk groups before and at an early stage of pregnancy, carrying out the necessary effective preventive measures and, in the case of gestational diabetes mellitus development, optimizing the correction of carbohydrate metabolism disorders and predicting outcomes for the mother and the fetus.

A simple APACHE IV risk dynamic nomogram that incorporates early admitted lactate for the initial assessment of 28-day mortality in critically ill patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Early risk stratification is important for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We aimed to develop a simple APACHE IV dynamic nomogram, combined with easily available clinical parameters within 24 h of admission, thus improving its predictive power to assess the risk of mortality at 28 days.

METHODS

Clinical information on AMI patients was extracted from the eICU database v2.0. A preliminary XGBoost examination of the degree of association between all variables in the database and 28-day mortality was conducted. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used to perform screening of variables. Based on the multifactorial analysis, a dynamic nomogram predicting 28-day mortality in these patients was developed. To cope with missing data in records with missing variables, we applied the multiple imputation method. Predictive models are evaluated in three main areas, namely discrimination, calibration, and clinical validity. The discrimination is mainly represented by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI). Calibration is represented by the calibration plot. Clinical validity is represented by the decision curve analysis (DCA) curve.

RESULTS

A total of 504 people were included in the study. All 504 people were used to build the predictive model, and the internal validation model used a 500-bootstrap method. Multivariate analysis showed that four variables, APACHE IV, the first sample of admission lactate, prior atrial fibrillation (AF), and gender, were included in the nomogram as independent predictors of 28-day mortality in AMI. The prediction model had an AUC of 0.819 (95%CI 0.770-0.868) whereas the internal validation model had an AUC of 0.814 (95%CI 0.765-0.860). Calibration and DCA curves indicated that the dynamic nomogram in this study were reflective of real-world conditions and could be applied clinically. The predictive model composed of these four variables outperformed a single APACHE IV in terms of NRI and IDI. The NRI was 16.4% (95% CI: 6.1-26.8%; p = 0.0019) and the IDI was 16.4% (95% CI: 6.0-26.8%; p = 0.0020). Lactate accounted for nearly half of the total NRI, which showed that lactate was the most important of the other three variables.

CONCLUSION

The prediction model constructed by APACHE IV in combination with the first sample of admission lactate, prior AF, and gender outperformed the APACHE IV scoring system alone in predicting 28-day mortality in AMI. The prediction dynamic nomogram model was published via a website app, allowing clinicians to improve the predictive efficacy of the APACHE IV score by 16.4% in less than 1 min.

The genetic risk of gestational diabetes in South Asian women

South Asian women are at increased risk of developing gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). Few studies have investigated the genetic contributions to GDM risk. We investigated the association of a type 2 diabetes (T2D) polygenic risk score (PRS), on its own, and with GDM risk factors, on GDM-related traits using data from two birth cohorts in which South Asian women were enrolled during pregnancy. 837 and 4372 pregnant South Asian women from the SouTh Asian BiRth CohorT (START) and Born in Bradford (BiB) cohort studies underwent a 75-g glucose tolerance test. PRSs were derived using genome-wide association study results from an independent multi-ethnic study (~18% South Asians). Associations with fasting plasma glucose (FPG); 2 hr post-load glucose (2hG); area under the curve glucose; and GDM were tested using linear and logistic regressions. The population attributable fraction (PAF) of the PRS was calculated. Every 1 SD increase in the PRS was associated with a 0.085 mmol/L increase in FPG ([95% confidence interval, CI=0.07-0.10], p=2.85×10^-20); 0.21 mmol/L increase in 2hG ([95% CI=0.16-0.26], p=5.49×10^-16); and a 45% increase in the risk of GDM ([95% CI=32-60%], p=2.27×10^-14), independent of parental history of diabetes and other GDM risk factors. PRS tertile 3 accounted for 12.5% of the population's GDM alone, and 21.7% when combined with family history. A few weak PRS and GDM risk factors interactions modulating FPG and GDM were observed. Taken together, these results show that a T2D PRS and family history of diabetes are strongly and independently associated with multiple GDM-related traits in women of South Asian descent, an effect that could be modulated by other environmental factors.

Glucose and oxygen in the early intrauterine environment and their role in developmental abnormalities

The early life environment can have profound impacts on the developing conceptus in terms of both growth and morphogenesis. These impacts can manifest in a variety of ways, including congenital fetal anomalies, placental dysfunction with subsequent effects on fetal growth, and adverse perinatal outcomes, or via effects on long-term health outcomes that may not be detected until later childhood or adulthood. Two key examples of environmental influences on early development are explored: maternal hyperglycaemia and gestational hypoxia. These are increasingly common pregnancy exposures worldwide, with potentially profound impacts on population health. We explore what is known regarding the mechanisms by which these environmental exposures can impact early intrauterine development and thus result in adverse outcomes in the immediate, short, and long term.

Unique Metabolic Profiles Associate with Gestational Diabetes and Ethnicity in Low- and High-Risk Women Living in the UK

BACKGROUND

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is the most common global pregnancy complication; however, prevalence varies substantially between ethnicities, with South Asians (SAs) experiencing up to 3 times the risk of the disease compared with white Europeans (WEs). Factors driving this discrepancy are unclear, although the metabolome is of great interest as GDM is known to be characterized by metabolic dysregulation.

OBJECTIVES

The primary aim was to characterize and compare the metabolic profiles of GDM in SA and WE women (at <28 wk of gestation) from the Born in Bradford (BIB) prospective birth cohort in the United Kingdom.

METHODS

In total, 146 fasting serum metabolites, from 2,668 pregnant WE and 2,671 pregnant SA women (average BMI 26.2 kg/m2, average age 27.3 y) were analyzed using partial least squares discriminatory analyses to characterize GDM status. Linear associations between metabolite values and post-oral glucose tolerance test measures of dysglycemia (fasting glucose and 2 h postglucose) were also examined.

RESULTS

Seven metabolites associated with GDM status in both ethnicities (variable importance in projection ≥1), whereas 6 additional metabolites associated with GDM only in WE women. Unique metabolic profiles were observed in healthy-weight women who later developed GDM, with distinct metabolite patterns identified by ethnicity and BMI status. Of the metabolite values analyzed in relation to dysglycemia, lactate, histidine, apolipoprotein A1, HDL cholesterol, and HDL2 cholesterol associated with decreased glucose concentration, whereas DHA and the diameter of very low-density lipoprotein particles (nm) associated with increased glucose concertation in WE women, and in SAs, albumin alone associated with decreased glucose concentration.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that the metabolic risk profile for GDM differs between WE and SA women enrolled in BiB in the United Kingdom. This suggests that etiology of the disease differs between ethnic groups and that ethnic-appropriate prevention strategies may be beneficial.

Development, validation and clinical utility of a risk prediction model for adverse pregnancy outcomes in women with gestational diabetes: The PeRSonal GDM model

BACKGROUND

The ability to calculate the absolute risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes for an individual woman with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) would allow preventative and therapeutic interventions to be delivered to women at high-risk, sparing women at low-risk from unnecessary care. We aimed to develop, validate and evaluate the clinical utility of a prediction model for adverse pregnancy outcomes in women with GDM.

METHODS

A prediction model development and validation study was conducted on data from a observational cohort. Participants included all women with GDM from three metropolitan tertiary teaching hospitals in Melbourne, Australia. The development cohort comprised those who delivered between 1 July 2017 to 30 June 2018 and the validation cohort those who delivered between 1 July 2018 to 31 December 2018. The main outcome was a composite of critically important maternal and perinatal complications (hypertensive disorders of pregnancy, large-for-gestational age neonate, neonatal hypoglycaemia requiring intravenous therapy, shoulder dystocia, perinatal death, neonatal bone fracture and nerve palsy). Model performance was measured in terms of discrimination and calibration and clinical utility evaluated using decision curve analysis.

FINDINGS

The final PeRSonal (Prediction for Risk Stratified care for women with GDM) model included body mass index, maternal age, fasting and 1-hour glucose values (75-g oral glucose tolerance test), gestational age at GDM diagnosis, Southern and Central Asian ethnicity, East Asian ethnicity, nulliparity, past delivery of an large-for-gestational age neonate, past pre-eclampsia, GWG until GDM diagnosis, and family history of diabetes. The composite adverse pregnancy outcome occurred in 27% (476/1747) of women in the development (1747 women) and in 26% (244/955) in the validation (955 women) cohorts. The model showed excellent calibration with slope of 0.99 (95% CI 0.75 to 1.23) and acceptable discrimination (c-statistic 0.68; 95% CI 0.64 to 0.72) when temporally validated. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model was useful across a range of predicted probability thresholds between 0.15 and 0.85 for adverse pregnancy outcomes compared to the alternatives of managing all women with GDM as if they will or will not have an adverse pregnancy outcome.

INTERPRETATION

The PeRSonal GDM model comprising of routinely available clinical data shows compelling performance, is transportable across time, and has clinical utility across a range of predicted probabilities. Further external validation of the model to a more disparate population is now needed to assess the generalisability to different centres, community based care and low resource settings, other healthcare systems and to different GDM diagnostic criteria.

FUNDING

This work is supported by the Mothers and Gestational Diabetes in Australia 2 NHMRC funded project #1170847.

Multi-ancestry genome-wide association study of gestational diabetes mellitus highlights genetic links with type 2 diabetes

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is associated with increased risk of pregnancy complications and adverse perinatal outcomes. GDM often reoccurs and is associated with increased risk of subsequent diagnosis of type 2 diabetes (T2D). To improve our understanding of the aetiological factors and molecular processes driving the occurrence of GDM, including the extent to which these overlap with T2D pathophysiology, the GENetics of Diabetes In Pregnancy Consortium assembled genome-wide association studies of diverse ancestry in a total of 5485 women with GDM and 347 856 without GDM. Through multi-ancestry meta-analysis, we identified five loci with genome-wide significant association (P < 5 × 10-8) with GDM, mapping to/near MTNR1B (P = 4.3 × 10-54), TCF7L2 (P = 4.0 × 10-16), CDKAL1 (P = 1.6 × 10-14), CDKN2A-CDKN2B (P = 4.1 × 10-9) and HKDC1 (P = 2.9 × 10-8). Multiple lines of evidence pointed to the shared pathophysiology of GDM and T2D: (i) four of the five GDM loci (not HKDC1) have been previously reported at genome-wide significance for T2D; (ii) significant enrichment for associations with GDM at previously reported T2D loci; (iii) strong genetic correlation between GDM and T2D and (iv) enrichment of GDM associations mapping to genomic annotations in diabetes-relevant tissues and transcription factor binding sites. Mendelian randomization analyses demonstrated significant causal association (5% false discovery rate) of higher body mass index on increased GDM risk. Our results provide support for the hypothesis that GDM and T2D are part of the same underlying pathology but that, as exemplified by the HKDC1 locus, there are genetic determinants of GDM that are specific to glucose regulation in pregnancy.

A Clinical Update on Gestational Diabetes Mellitus

Gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) traditionally refers to abnormal glucose tolerance with onset or first recognition during pregnancy. GDM has long been associated with obstetric and neonatal complications primarily relating to higher infant birthweight and is increasingly recognized as a risk factor for future maternal and offspring cardiometabolic disease. The prevalence of GDM continues to rise internationally due to epidemiological factors including the increase in background rates of obesity in women of reproductive age and rising maternal age and the implementation of the revised International Association of the Diabetes and Pregnancy Study Groups' criteria and diagnostic procedures for GDM. The current lack of international consensus for the diagnosis of GDM reflects its complex historical evolution and pragmatic antenatal resource considerations given GDM is now 1 of the most common complications of pregnancy. Regardless, the contemporary clinical approach to GDM should be informed not only by its short-term complications but also by its longer term prognosis. Recent data demonstrate the effect of early in utero exposure to maternal hyperglycemia, with evidence for fetal overgrowth present prior to the traditional diagnosis of GDM from 24 weeks' gestation, as well as the durable adverse impact of maternal hyperglycemia on child and adolescent metabolism. The major contribution of GDM to the global epidemic of intergenerational cardiometabolic disease highlights the importance of identifying GDM as an early risk factor for type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease, broadening the prevailing clinical approach to address longer term maternal and offspring complications following a diagnosis of GDM.

A Systematic Review to Compare Adverse Pregnancy Outcomes in Women with Pregestational Diabetes and Gestational Diabetes

Pregestational type 1 (T1DM) and type 2 (T2DM) diabetes mellitus and gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) are associated with increased rates of adverse maternal and neonatal outcomes. Adverse outcomes are more common in women with pregestational diabetes compared to GDM; although, conflicting results have been reported. This systematic review aims to summarise and synthesise studies that have compared adverse pregnancy outcomes in pregnancies complicated by pregestational diabetes and GDM. Three databases, Pubmed, EBSCOhost and Scopus were searched to identify studies that compared adverse outcomes in pregnancies complicated by pregestational T1DM and T2DM, and GDM. A total of 20 studies met the inclusion criteria and are included in this systematic review. Thirteen pregnancy outcomes including caesarean section, preterm birth, congenital anomalies, pre-eclampsia, neonatal hypoglycaemia, macrosomia, neonatal intensive care unit admission, stillbirth, Apgar score, large for gestational age, induction of labour, respiratory distress syndrome and miscarriages were compared. Findings from this review confirm that pregestational diabetes is associated with more frequent pregnancy complications than GDM. Taken together, this review highlights the risks posed by all types of maternal diabetes and the need to improve care and educate women on the importance of maintaining optimal glycaemic control to mitigate these risks.

Association Between Body Mass Index and All-Cause Mortality in a Prospective Cohort of Southern Chinese Adults Without Morbid Obesity

Objective: This prospective study examined the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and all-cause mortality in Chinese adults without morbid obesity.

Methods: We prospectively examined the relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality in 12,608 Southern Chinese adults with age ≥35 years who participated in the National Key R&D Program from 2013–2014 to 2019–2020. Cox proportional hazards models were used to examine the association between BMI and all-cause mortality.

Results: The prevalence of being underweight, normal weight, overweight and having moderate obesity was 7.36%, 55.83%, 28.51% and 8.31%, respectively. A total of 683 (5.65%) deaths occurred during a median follow-up period of 5.61 years. The Cox proportional hazards models indicated that a continuous BMI level was negatively associated with all-cause mortality [adjusted-hazard ratio (HR) per 1 kg/m² increase: 0.96, 95% CI 0.93 to 0.98, p < 0.001]. Furthermore, the HRs of all-cause mortality in the underweight, overweight and moderate obesity groups were 1.31 (1.05, 1.64), 0.89 (0.73, 1.08) and 0.64 (0.44, 0.92), respectively in the confounder model relative to the normal weight group. Survival analysis further confirmed this inverse association of the four BMI categories with mortality.

Conclusion: BMI was negatively associated with all-cause mortality in southern Chinese adults without morbid obesity. Compared to the normal weight category, adults in the moderate obesity category had lower all-cause mortality, whereas being underweight was associated with increased all-cause mortality.

Association between serum vitamin D levels and Helicobacter pylori cytotoxic-associated gene A seropositivity: a cross-sectional study in US adults from NHANES III

OBJECTIVE

To assess the association of serum vitamin D (VD) levels and Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) cytotoxic-associated gene A (CagA) seropositivity, and further explore potential effect modifiers in this association.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING

Data from phase I of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES III, 1988-1991) led by the Center for Disease Control and Prevention.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 3512 US adults (≥20 years) with both serum VD levels and H. pylori CagA antibody data from NHANES III were included in the analysis.

METHODS

VD deficiency was defined as serum 25(OH)D concentrations<20 ng/mL. Logistic regression models were used to assess the association of serum VD levels and H. pylori CagA seropositivity (VD-Hp CagA+), and stratification analyses were used to explore potential effect modifiers.

RESULTS

There was no significant association of VD-Hp CagA+ in the general population. But serum 25(OH)D concentrations were associated with H. pylori CagA+ in non-Hispanic whites (adjusted OR=1.02, 95% CI: 1.00 to 1.03), other races/ethnicities (adjusted OR=1.08, 95% CI: 1.01 to 1.06), populations born in other countries (adjusted OR=1.09, 95% CI: 1.04 to 1.15) or occasional drinkers (adjusted OR=0.93, 95% CI: 0.88 to 0.99). VD deficiency was associated with H. pylori CagA+ in non-Hispanic whites (adjusted OR=0.69, 95% CI: 0.53 to 0.92), populations born in other countries (adjusted OR=0.47, 95% CI: 0.25 to 0.89), non-drinkers (adjusted OR=0.80, 95% CI: 0.65 to 0.99), occasional drinkers (adjusted OR=2.53, 95% CI: 1.06 to 6.05), population with first quartile level of serum ferritin (adjusted OR=0.70, 95% CI: 0.51 to 0.96) or fourth quartile level of serum folate (adjusted OR=0.63, 95% CI: 0.46 to 0.87).

CONCLUSIONS

Racial/ethnic differences and different serum ferritin or serum folate levels may be effect modifiers for the association of VD-Hp CagA+.

An Efficient Nomogram for Discriminating Intrahepatic Cholangiocarcinoma From Hepatocellular Carcinoma: A Retrospective Study

Objective

This study aims to establish a nomogram and provide an effective method to distinguish between intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (ICC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A total of 1,591 patients with HCC or ICC hospitalized at Shandong Provincial Hospital between January 2016 and August 2021 were included and randomly divided into development and validation groups in a ratio of 3:1. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to determine the independent differential factors between HCC and ICC patients in the development cohort. By combining these independent differential factors, the nomogram was established for discriminating ICC from HCC. The accuracy of the nomogram was estimated by using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and decision curve analysis (DCA). Furthermore, the predictive nomogram was assessed in the internal testing set.

Results

Through multivariate analysis, independent differential factors between HCC and ICC involved hepatitis B virus (HBV), logarithm of alpha-fetoprotein (Log AFP), logarithm of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (Log PIVKA-II), logarithm of carbohydrate antigen 199 (Log CA199), and logarithm of carbohydrate antigen 125 (Log CA125). A nomogram was finally established by incorporating these five independent differential factors. Comparing a model of conventional tumor biomarkers including AFP and CA199, the nomogram showed a better distinction between ICC and HCC. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of ICC diagnosis was 0.951 (95% CI, 0.938–0.964) for the nomogram. The results were consistent in the validation cohort with an AUC of 0.958 (95% CI, 0.938–0.978). After integrating patient preferences into the analysis, the DCA showed that using this nomogram to distinguish ICC and HCC increased more benefit compared with the conventional model.

Conclusion

An efficient nomogram has been established for the differential diagnosis between ICC and HCC, which may facilitate the detection and diagnosis of ICC. Further use of the nomogram in multicenter investigations will confirm the practicality of the tool for future clinical application.

Serum metabolomic signatures of gestational diabetes in South Asian and white European women

INTRODUCTION

This study aimed to identify serum metabolomic signatures associated with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), and to examine if ethnic-specific differences exist between South Asian and white European women.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Prospective cohort study with a nested case-control analysis of 600 pregnant women from two Canadian birth cohorts; using an untargeted approach, 63 fasting serum metabolites were measured and analyzed using multisegment injection-capillary electrophoresis-mass spectrometry. Multivariate logistic regression modeling was conducted overall and by cohort.

RESULTS

The proportion of women with GDM was higher in South Asians (27.1%) compared with white Europeans (17.9%). Several amino acid, carbohydrate, and lipid pathways related to GDM were common to South Asian and white European women. Elevated circulating concentrations of glutamic acid, propionylcarnitine, tryptophan, arginine, 2-hydroxybutyric acid, 3-hydroxybutyric acid, and 3-methyl-2-oxovaleric acid were associated with higher odds of GDM, while higher glutamine, ornithine, oxoproline, cystine, glycine with lower odds of GDM. Per SD increase in glucose concentration, the odds of GDM increased (OR=2.07, 95% CI 1.58 to 2.71), similarly for metabolite ratios: glucose to glutamine (OR=2.15, 95% CI 1.65 to 2.80), glucose to creatinine (OR=1.79, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.32), and glutamic acid to glutamine (OR=1.46, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.83). South Asians had higher circulating ratios of glucose to glutamine, glucose to creatinine, arginine to ornithine, and citrulline to ornithine, compared with white Europeans.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified a panel of serum metabolites implicated in GDM pathophysiology, consistent in South Asian and white European women. The metabolic alterations leading to larger ratios of glucose to glutamine, glucose to creatinine, arginine to ornithine, and citrulline to ornithine in South Asians likely reflect the greater burden of GDM among South Asians compared with white Europeans.

Development of type 2 diabetes in women with comorbid gestational diabetes and common mental disorders in the Born in Bradford cohort

OBJECTIVES

To compare, in a population of women with gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM), the time to diagnosis of Type 2 diabetes in those with and without common mental disorder (CMD) (depression and/or anxiety) during pregnancy.

DESIGN AND SETTING

prospective study of the Born in Bradford cohort in Bradford, UK.

PARTICIPANTS

909 women diagnosed with GDM between 2007 and 2010, with linkage to their primary care records until 2017. The exposed population were women with an indicator of CMD during pregnancy in primary care records. The unexposed were those without an indicator.

OUTCOME MEASURES

Time to diagnosis of type 2 diabetes as indicated by a diagnosis in primary care records.

ANALYSIS

time to event analysis using Cox regression was employed. Multiple imputation by chained equations was implemented to handle missing data. Models were adjusted for maternal age, ethnicity, education, preconception CMD and tobacco smoking during pregnancy.

RESULTS

165 women (18%) were diagnosed with type 2 diabetes over a follow-up period of around 10 years. There was no evidence of an effect of antenatal CMD on the development of type 2 diabetes following GDM (adjusted HR 0.95; 95% CI 0.57 to 1.57).

CONCLUSIONS

Women with CMD were not at an increased risk of type 2 diabetes following GDM. This is reassuring for women with these co-morbidities but requires replication in other study populations.

Relationship between creatinine to body weight ratios and diabetes mellitus: A Chinese cohort study

BACKGROUND

Research on the relationship between creatinine to body weight ratios (Cre/BW ratios) and the prevalence of diabetes is still lacking. The intention of this research was to explore the potential relationship between Cre/BW ratio and diabetes prevalence in Chinese adults.

METHODS

This retrospective study was conducted on 199 526 patients in the Chinese Rich Healthcare Group from 2010 to 2016. The participants were divided into four groups on the basis of the quartiles of the Cre/BW ratios. Multivariate multiple imputation and dummy variables were used to handle missing values. Multivariate regression analysis was applied to detect the relationship between Cre/BW and diabetes. A smoothing plot was also used to identify whether there were nonlinear relationships.

RESULTS

After handling missing values and adjusting for potential confounders, the multivariate Cox regression analysis results showed that Cre/BW was inversely correlated with diabetes risk (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.268; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.229-0.314, p < 0.00001). For men, the HR of incident diabetes was 0.255 (95% CI: 0.212-0.307) and for women it was 0.297 (95% CI: 0.218-0.406). Moreover, sensitivity analysis confirmed the stability of the results. Furthermore, the smoothing plot revealed that there was a saturation effect between Cre/BW and the incidence of diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that increased Cre/BW is negatively correlated with diabetes in Chinese adults. It also found that Cre/BW has a nonlinear relationship with the incidence of diabetes.

Association between number of abnormal glucose values and severity of fasting plasma glucose in IADPSG criteria and maternal outcomes in women with gestational diabetes mellitus

AIMS

The International Association for Diabetes in Pregnancy Study Group (IADPSG) criteria recommend a single-step diagnostic oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT) for diagnosis of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). The aim of this study was to examine the association between the number of abnormal glucose values and levels of FPG with pregnancy outcomes.

METHODS

Pregnant women (n=1,044) were screened for GDM at maternity centers in South India using IADPSG criteria. OGTTs were classified based on the number of abnormal glucose values (any one value or more than one value high) and fasting plasma glucose (FPG) values (<92mg/dl,92-100mg/dl,>100mg/dl) and correlated with pregnancy outcomes. Odds ratio were adjusted for age, BMI, gestational week at diagnosis, family history of diabetes, previous history of GDM, gestational week at delivery and birth weight. For macrosomia and large for gestation age, birth weight was excluded from the model.

RESULTS

Risk of caesarean section was significantly higher in women with any one abnormal glucose value (OR: 1.49; 95%CI: 1.07-2.09). This further increased in those with >1 value (OR: 1.35; 95%CI: 0.87-2.10), when compared to women with all values normal. Risk of large for gestation age (LGA) was higher in women with FPG 92-100mg/dl (OR: 1.37; 95%CI: 0.80-2.35) and in those with FPG >100mg/dl (OR: 1.87; 95%CI: 1.04-3.35), compared to those with FPG <92mg/dl.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk for poor pregnancy outcomes starts in those with one abnormal value in the OGTT or with FPG >92mg/dl but becomes significantly higher in those with higher abnormal values.

Trends in hospitalizations and emergency department visits among women with hyperglycemia in pregnancy between 2008 and 2017 in Taiwan

INTRODUCTION

We investigated health service utilization, including hospitalizations and emergency department visits, for women with hyperglycemia in pregnancy between 2008 and 2017 in Taiwan.

METHODS

Data from the Health and Welfare Data Science Center were used to conduct this nationwide population-based study. We identified pregnant women and the date of childbirth according to Birth Certificate Applications from 2007 to 2018. The study population was divided into four groups: known DM, newly diagnosed DM, GDM, and no DM/GDM. To assess quality of healthcare during the gestation period, trends in 30-day readmission rate, number of emergency department visits/hospitalizations per 100 childbirths, and length of hospital stay from 2008 to 2017 were examined.

RESULTS

A total of 1830511 childbirths and 990569 hospitalizations were identified for analyses. Between 2008 and 2017, women with hyperglycemia in pregnancy (known DM, newly diagnosed DM, and GDM) had a higher rate of hospitalization, a longer length of hospital stay, and higher rates of various maternal and fetal outcomes, compared with women with no DM/GDM. Nevertheless, the differences between women with GDM and those with no DM/GDM in the aforementioned outcome measures were modest. Women with GDM had a modest decrease in the 30-day readmission rate (p for trend 0.046) with no significant difference in the number of emergency department visits during the study period.

DISCUSSION

Our findings provide evidence of the quality of healthcare for women with GDM between 2008 and 2017 in Taiwan.

The association of blood urea nitrogen levels upon emergency admission with mortality in acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

Background and purpose

High blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is associated with an elevated risk of mortality in various diseases, such as heart failure and pneumonia. Heart failure and pneumonia are common comorbidities of acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AECOPD). However, data on the relationship of BUN levels with mortality in patients with AECOPD are sparse. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the correlation between BUN level and in-hospital mortality in a cohort of patients with AECOPD who presented at the emergency department (ED).

Methods

A total of 842 patients with AECOPD were enrolled in the retrospective observational study from January 2018 to September 2020. The outcome was all-cause in-hospital mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis and logistic regression models were performed to evaluate the association of BUN levels with in-hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD. Propensity score matching was used to assemble a cohort of patients with similar baseline characteristics, and logistic regression models were also performed in the propensity score matching cohort.

Results

During hospitalization, 26 patients (3.09%) died from all causes, 142 patients (16.86%) needed invasive ventilation, and 190 patients (22.57%) were admitted to the ICU. The mean level of blood urea nitrogen was 7.5 ± 4.5 mmol/L. Patients in the hospital non-survivor group had higher BUN levels (13.48 ± 9.62 mmol/L vs. 7.35 ± 4.14 mmol/L, p < 0.001) than those in the survivor group. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.76 (95% CI 0.73–0.79, p < 0.001), and the optimal BUN level cutoff was 7.63 mmol/L for hospital mortality. As a continuous variable, BUN level was associated with hospital mortality after adjusting respiratory rate, level of consciousness, pH, PCO_2, lactic acid, albumin, glucose, CRP, hemoglobin, platelet distribution width, D-dimer, and pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.03–1.17, p=0.005). The OR of hospital mortality was significantly higher in the BUN level ≥7.63 mmol/L group than in the BUN level <7.63 mmol/L group in adjusted model (OR 3.29, 95% CI 1.05–10.29, p=0.041). Similar results were found after multiple imputation and in the propensity score matching cohort.

Conclusions

Increased BUN level at ED admission is associated with hospital mortality in patients with AECOPD who present at the ED. The level of 7.63 mmol/L can be used as a cutoff value for critical stratification.

Associations between maternal characteristics and pharmaceutical treatment of gestational diabetes: an analysis of the UK Born in Bradford (BiB) cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To identify the maternal characteristics associated with pharmaceutical treatment of gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM).

DESIGN

Prospective birth cohort study.

SETTING

Bradford, UK.

PARTICIPANTS

762 women from the Born in Bradford (BiB) cohort who were treated for GDM in a singleton pregnancy. BiB cohort participants were recruited from 2007 to 2010. All women booked for delivery were screened for GDM between 26 and 28 weeks of gestation using a 75 g 2-hour oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT).

OUTCOME MEASURE

GDM treatment type: lifestyle changes advice (lifestyle changes), lifestyle changes advice with supplementary insulin (insulin) and lifestyle changes advice with supplementary metformin (metformin).

RESULTS

244 (32%) women were prescribed lifestyle changes advice alone while 518 (68%) were offered supplemental pharmaceutical treatment. The odds of receiving pharmaceutical treatment relative to lifestyle changes advice alone were increased for mothers who were obese (OR 4.6, 95% CI 2.8 to 7.5), those who smoked (OR 2.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 5.5) and had higher fasting glucose levels at OGTT (OR 2.1, 95% CI 1.6 to 2.7). The odds of being prescribed pharmaceutical treatment rather than lifestyle changes advice were lower for Pakistani women (OR 0.7, 95% CI 0.4 to 1.0)) than White British women. Relative to insulin treatment, metformin was more likely to be offered to obese women than normal weight women (relative risk ratio, RRR 3.2, 95% CI 1.3 to 7.8) and less likely to be prescribed to women with higher fasting glucose concentrations at OGTT (RRR 0.3, 95% CI 0.2 to 0.6).

CONCLUSIONS

In the BiB cohort, GDM pharmaceutical treatment tended to be prescribed to women who were obese, White British, who smoked and had more severe hyperglycaemia. The characteristics of metformin-treated mothers differed from those of insulin-treated mothers as they were more likely to be obese but had lower glucose concentrations at diagnosis.

Effect of endometrial thickness changes on clinical pregnancy rates after progesterone administration in a single frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfer cycle using natural cycles with luteal support for PGT-SR- and PGT-M-assisted reproduction: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

To investigate whether the endometrial thickness change ratio from the progesterone administration day to the blastocyst transfer day is associated with pregnancy outcomes in a single frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfer cycle.

METHODS

All patients used natural cycles with luteal support for endometrial preparation and selected a single euploid blastocyst for transfer after a biopsy for preimplantation genetic testing. The endometrial thickness was measured by transvaginal ultrasound on the progesterone administration day and the transfer day, the change in endometrial thickness was measured, and the endometrial thickness change ratio was calculated. According to the change rate of endometrial thickness, the patients were divided into three groups: the endometrial thickness compaction group, endometrial thickness non-change group and endometrial thickness expansion group. Among them, the endometrial thickness non-change and expansion groups were combined into the endometrial thickness noncompaction group.

RESULTS

Ultrasound images of the endometrium in 219 frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfer cycles were evaluated. The clinical pregnancy rate increased with the increase in endometrial thickness change ratio, while the miscarriage rate and live birth rate were comparable among the groups. The multiple logistic regression results showed that in the fully adjusted model a higher endometrial thickness change ratio (per 10%) was associated with a higher clinical pregnancy rate (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01-1.64; P = .040). Similarly, when the patients were divided into three groups according to the change rate of endometrial thickness, the endometrial thickness noncompaction group had a significant positive effect on the clinical pregnancy rate compared with the endometrial thickness compaction group after adjusting for all covariates.

CONCLUSIONS

In frozen-thawed euploid blastocyst transfer cycles in which the endometrium was prepared by natural cycles with luteal support, the clinical pregnancy rate was higher in cycles without endometrial compaction after progesterone administration.

Live birth rates after natural cycle versus hormone replacement therapy for single euploid blastocyst transfers: a retrospective cohort study

RESEARCH QUESTION

Is there any difference in live birth rate between the natural cycle and hormone replacement therapy (HRT) endometrial preparation protocols for women with regular menstrual cycles undergoing their first single vitrified-warmed euploid blastocyst transfer?

DESIGN

This was a retrospective cohort study that enrolled 722 women who underwent vitrified-warmed euploid blastocyst transfer at assisted reproductive technology (ART) centre of The First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University, from January 2013 to December 2019. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to analyse the relationship between the endometrial preparation protocols and live birth rates. Stratified analyses and sensitivity analyses were performed to ensure the reliability and stability of the results.

RESULTS

A total of 722 single vitrified-warmed euploid blastocyst transfer cycles were included. Overall, the live birth rates were 50.00% (110/220) in the natural cycle group and 47.61% (239/502) in the HRT group. Multiple logistic regression analyses showed that there was no significant association (adjusted odds ratio 0.82; 95% confidence interval 0.56-1.20; P = 0.313) between natural cycle and HRT protocols and the live birth rate. Interaction analysis showed that there was no significant difference in live birth rates between the two groups for any subgroup after adjusting for confounding factors.

CONCLUSIONS

For single vitrified-warmed euploid blastocyst transfer, natural cycle and HRT endometrial preparation protocols result in similar live birth rates among women with regular menstrual cycles. Further studies are needed into the effects of endometrial preparation protocols on pregnancy outcomes.

Fasting plasma glucose, diagnosis of gestational diabetes and the risk of large for gestational age: a regression discontinuity analysis of routine data

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the causal effects of fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and diagnosis of gestational diabetes (GDM) on birthweight and the risks of large for gestational age (LGA).

DESIGN

Regression discontinuity analysis of routine data.

SETTING

Two district general hospitals in West Yorkshire, UK.

POPULATION

A cohort of 7062 women with singleton pregnancies who were screened for GDM and gave birth to a baby at ≥24 weeks of gestation in 2017-2019, inclusive.

METHODS

The causal effects of FPG and GDM diagnosis were estimated using the two-stage least-squares approach, around the diagnostic threshold of FPG ≥ 5.6 mmol/l recommended by the UK's National Institute for Health and Care Excellent (NICE), controlling for ethnicity, maternal age, parity, height and weight.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Birthweight (standardised for sex and gestational age) and large for gestational age (standardised as birthweight above the 90th centile).

RESULTS

For each 1 mmol/l increase in FPG the observed birthweight increased by Z-score = 0.48 standard deviations (95% CI 0.39 to 0.57) and the odds of LGA increased by OR = 2.61 (95% CI 1.86 to 3.66). Conversely, GDM diagnosis reduced the observed birthweight by Z = -0.61 (95% CI -0.94 to -0.29) and lowered the odds of LGA by OR = 0.33 (95% CI 0.15 to 0.74). Similar, but less certain, patterns were observed for caesarean section, shoulder dystocia and perinatal death.

CONCLUSIONS

The relationship between FPG and LGA is potent but is dramatically reduced by GDM diagnosis (and all the consequences thereof). Women with mild hyperglycaemia (with an FPG of 5.1-5.5 mmol/l) who fall below the current NICE threshold for GDM diagnosis have the highest risks of adverse outcomes, suggesting a need to reconsider their current care.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

Regression discontinuity analysis shows that untreated mild hyperglycaemia increases the odds of large for gestational age, but that a diagnosis of gestational #diabetes lowers the odds by three times.

Characteristics of gestational diabetes subtypes classified by oral glucose tolerance test values

BACKGROUND

In clinical practice, gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM) is treated as a homogenous disease but emerging evidence suggests that the diagnosis of GDM possibly comprises different metabolic entities. In this study, we aimed to assess early pregnancy characteristics of gestational diabetes mellitus entities classified according to the presence of fasting and/or post-load hyperglycaemia in the diagnostic oral glucose tolerance test performed at mid-gestation.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, 1087 pregnant women received a broad risk evaluation and laboratory examination at early gestation and were later classified as normal glucose tolerant (NGT), as having isolated fasting hyperglycaemia (GDM-IFH), isolated post-load hyperglycaemia (GDM-IPH) or combined hyperglycaemia (GDM-CH) according to oral glucose tolerance test results. Participants were followed up until delivery to assess data on pharmacotherapy and pregnancy outcomes.

RESULTS

Women affected by elevated fasting and post-load glucose concentrations (GDM-CH) showed adverse metabolic profiles already at beginning of pregnancy including a higher degree of insulin resistance as compared to women with normal glucose tolerance and those with isolated defects (especially GDM-IPH). The GDM-IPH subgroup had lower body mass index at early gestation and required glucose-lowering medications less often (28.9%) as compared to GDM-IFH (47.8%, P = .019) and GDM-CH (54.5%, P = .005). No differences were observed in pregnancy outcome data.

CONCLUSIONS

Women with fasting hyperglycaemia, especially those with combined hyperglycaemia, showed an unfavourable metabolic phenotype already at early gestation. Therefore, categorization based on abnormal oral glucose tolerance test values provides a practicable basis for clinical risk stratification.

Studies to Improve Perinatal Health through Diet and Lifestyle among South Asian Women Living in Canada: A Brief History and Future Research Directions

South Asians (i.e., people who originate from India, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Nepal, and Bangladesh) have higher cardiovascular disease rates than other populations, and these differences persist in their offspring. Nutrition is a critical lifestyle-related factor that influences fetal development, and infant and child health in early life. In high-income countries such as Canada, nutrition-related health risks arise primarily from overnutrition, most strikingly for obesity and associated non-communicable diseases. Evidence for developmental programming during fetal life underscores the critical influence of maternal diet on fetal growth and development, backed by several birth cohort studies including the Pune Maternal Nutrition Study, the South Asian Birth Cohort Study, and the Born in Bradford Study. Gestational diabetes mellitus is a strong risk factor for type 2 diabetes, future atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease in the mother and increases the risk of type 2 diabetes in her offspring. Non-pharmacological trials to prevent gestational diabetes are few, often not randomized, and are heterogeneous with respect to design, and outcomes have not converged upon a single optimal prevention strategy. The aim of this review is to provide an understanding of the current knowledge around perinatal nutrition and gestational diabetes among the high-risk South Asian population as well as summarize our research activities investigating the role of culturally-tailored nutrition advice to South Asian women living in high-income settings such as Canada. In this paper, we describe these qualitative and quantitative studies, both completed and underway. We conclude with a description of the design of a randomized trial of a culturally tailored personalized nutrition intervention to reduce gestational glycaemia in South Asian women living in Canada and its implications.