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Taniushkina D, Lukashevich A, Shevchenko V, Belalov IS, Sotiriadi N, Narozhnaia V, Kovalev K, Krenke A, Lazarichev N, Bulkin A, Maximov Y. Case study on climate change effects and food security in Southeast Asia. Sci Rep 2024; 14:16150. [PMID: 38997290 PMCID: PMC11245559 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-65140-y] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/12/2023] [Accepted: 06/17/2024] [Indexed: 07/14/2024] Open
Abstract
Agriculture, a cornerstone of human civilization, faces rising challenges from climate change, resource limitations, and stagnating yields. Precise crop production forecasts are crucial for shaping trade policies, development strategies, and humanitarian initiatives. This study introduces a comprehensive machine learning framework designed to predict crop production. We leverage CMIP5 climate projections under a moderate carbon emission scenario to evaluate the future suitability of agricultural lands and incorporate climatic data, historical agricultural trends, and fertilizer usage to project yield changes. Our integrated approach forecasts significant regional variations in crop production across Southeast Asia by 2028, identifying potential cropland utilization. Specifically, the cropland area in Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, and Viet Nam is projected to decline by more than 10% if no action is taken, and there is potential to mitigate that loss. Moreover, rice production is projected to decline by 19% in Viet Nam and 7% in Thailand, while the Philippines may see a 5% increase compared to 2021 levels. Our findings underscore the critical impacts of climate change and human activities on agricultural productivity, offering essential insights for policy-making and fostering international cooperation.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | - Ilya S Belalov
- FRC Biotechnology, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | | | | | | | - Alexander Krenke
- Institute of Geography, Russian Academy of Sciences, Moscow, Russia
| | | | - Alexander Bulkin
- Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology, Moscow, Russia
- Institute for Artificial Intelligence, Moscow State University, Moscow, Russia
- International Center for Corporate Data Analysis, Astana, Kazakhstan
| | - Yury Maximov
- Theoretical Division, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, USA
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Ahmad N, Singh SP, Sahu S, Bhattacharyya R, Maurya AS, Kumar N, Rout RK, Tripathy GR. Isotopic evidence of autochthonous organic matter acting as a major sink of anthropogenic heavy metals in modern lacustrine sediments. ENVIRONMENTAL POLLUTION (BARKING, ESSEX : 1987) 2024; 349:123964. [PMID: 38631445 DOI: 10.1016/j.envpol.2024.123964] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/08/2023] [Revised: 01/17/2024] [Accepted: 04/10/2024] [Indexed: 04/19/2024]
Abstract
The knowledge of major sources, sinks, and the burial fate of various pollutants added to modern aquatic ecosystems under changing environmental conditions is limited but crucial for our sustainability. In this context, the spatial distributions and causative factors of organic matter (OM) and heavy metal accumulations have been explored in modern lacustrine sediments of a large urbanized and protected wetland (ULB: Upper Lake Bhopal) in Central India. For this purpose, geochemical properties, in particular, stable isotopes (δ13C and δ15N) were measured in the ULB surficial sediments (core depth ∼0-1 cm; n = 19), and additionally collected riverbed sediments (n = 2) and atmospheric free-fall dust samples (n = 3) from the lake periphery. The major and trace element data indicate widespread mafic sediment provenance and nearly dysoxic lacustrine conditions. The riverine supply of soil OM from cropped lands and the lake productivity (algae, largely sustained by nutrients from sewage and agricultural runoff) are the major OM sources to the western and eastern lake portions, respectively. The fractional contribution from autochthonous TOC (∼0.19-0.95, mean ∼0.62) predominates that of allochthonous TOC (∼0.05-0.81, mean ∼0.38). Whereas, atmospheric dust deposition is a primary anthropogenic source of heavy metals (Pb and Zn). The lake productivity rather than soil OM or any mineral sorbent is found responsible for the anthropogenic enrichments of Pb and Zn in the ULB surficial sediments, especially on the eastern ULB portion under high anthropogenic pressure. Therefore, the settled OM (primarily autochthonous) being oxidizable acts as a temporary but major sink of anthropogenic heavy metals in modern lacustrine sediments, which are vulnerable to heavy metal efflux to the water column by sediment diagenesis.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nafees Ahmad
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal, Bhopal-Bypass-Road, Bhauri, Bhopal, 462066, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Satinder Pal Singh
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal, Bhopal-Bypass-Road, Bhauri, Bhopal, 462066, Madhya Pradesh, India.
| | - Shivam Sahu
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal, Bhopal-Bypass-Road, Bhauri, Bhopal, 462066, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Rohan Bhattacharyya
- Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Bhopal, Bhopal-Bypass-Road, Bhauri, Bhopal, 462066, Madhya Pradesh, India
| | - Abhayanand Singh Maurya
- Department of Earth Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, Uttarakhand, India
| | - Nitish Kumar
- Department of Earth Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, 247667, Uttarakhand, India
| | - Rakesh Kumar Rout
- Department of Earth and Climate Science, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Dr. Homi Bhabha Road, Pune, 411008, India
| | - Gyana Ranjan Tripathy
- Department of Earth and Climate Science, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Dr. Homi Bhabha Road, Pune, 411008, India
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Certini G, Scalenghe R. The crucial interactions between climate and soil. THE SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 2023; 856:159169. [PMID: 36206907 DOI: 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.159169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2022] [Revised: 09/25/2022] [Accepted: 09/28/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Since the birth of soil science, climate has been recognized as a soil-forming factor, along with parent rock, time, topography, and organisms (from which humans were later kept distinct), often prevalent on the other factors on the very long term. But the climate is in turns affected by soils and their management. This paper describes the interrelationships between climate - and its current change - and soil, focusing on each single factor of its formation. Parent material governs, primarily through the particle size distribution, the capacity of soil to retain water and organic matter, which are two main soil-related drivers of the climate. Time is the only unmanageable soil-forming factor; however, extreme climatic phenomena can upset the soil or even dismantle it, so as to slow down the pathway of pedogenesis or even make it start from scratch. Topography, which drives the pedogenesis mostly controlling rainfall distribution - with repercussions also on the climate - is not anymore a given factor because humans have often become a shaper of it. Indeed humans now play a key role in affecting in a plethora of ways those soil properties that most deal with climate. The abundance and diversity of the other organisms are generally positive to soil quality and as a buffer for climate, but there are troubling evidences that climate change is decreasing soil biodiversity. The corpus of researches on mutual feedback between climate and soil has essentially demonstrated that the best soil management in terms of climate change mitigation must aim at promoting vegetation growth and maximizing soil organic matter content and water retention. Some ongoing virtuous initiatives (e.g., the Great Green Wall of Africa) and farming systems (e.g., the conservation agriculture) should be extended as much as possible worldwide to enable the soil to make the greatest contribution to climate change mitigation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giacomo Certini
- Dipartimento di Scienze e Tecnologie Agrarie, Alimentari, Ambientali e Forestali (DAGRI), Università degli Studi di Firenze, 50144 Firenze, Italy.
| | - Riccardo Scalenghe
- Dipartimento di Scienze Agrarie, Alimentari e Forestali (SAAF), Università degli Studi di Palermo, 90128 Palermo, Italy.
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Vaudo AD, Erickson E, Patch HM, Grozinger CM, Mu J. Impacts of soil nutrition on floral traits, pollinator attraction, and fitness in cucumbers (Cucumis sativus L.). Sci Rep 2022; 12:21802. [PMID: 36526706 PMCID: PMC9758155 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-26164-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Annual plants allocate soil nutrients to floral display and pollinator rewards to ensure pollination success in a single season. Nitrogen and phosphorus are critical soil nutrients whose levels are altered by intensive land use that may affect plants' fitness via pollinator attractiveness through floral display and rewards. In a controlled greenhouse study, we studied in cucumbers (Cucumis sativus) how changes in soil nitrogen and phosphorus influence floral traits, including nectar and pollen reward composition. We evaluated how these traits affect bumble bee (Bombus impatiens, an important cucumber pollinator) visitation and ultimately fruit yield. While increasing nitrogen and phosphorus increased growth and floral display, excess nitrogen created an asymptotic or negative effect, which was mitigated by increasing phosphorus. Male floral traits exhibited higher plasticity in responses to changes in soil nutrients than female flowers. At 4:1 nitrogen:phosphorus ratios, male flowers presented increased nectar volume and pollen number resulting in increased bumble bee visitation. Interestingly, other pollinator rewards remained consistent across all soil treatments: male and female nectar sugar composition, female nectar volume, and pollen protein and lipid concentrations. Therefore, although cucumber pollination success was buffered in conditions of nutrient stress, highly skewed nitrogen:phosphorus soil ratios reduced plant fitness via reduced numbers of flowers and reward quantity, pollinator attraction, and ultimately yield.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anthony D Vaudo
- Department of Biology, University of Nevada Reno, Reno, NV, 89557, USA.
- Department of Entomology, Center for Pollinator Research, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA.
| | - Emily Erickson
- Department of Entomology, Center for Pollinator Research, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA
| | - Harland M Patch
- Department of Entomology, Center for Pollinator Research, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA
| | - Christina M Grozinger
- Department of Entomology, Center for Pollinator Research, Huck Institutes of the Life Sciences, The Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, 16802, USA
| | - Junpeng Mu
- Ecological Security and Protection Key Laboratory of Sichuan Province, Mianyang Normal University, Mianyang, 621000, China
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Guerrero DS, Romero CM, Polti MA, Dávila Costa JS. Genome sequencing and genomic analysis of Amycolatopsis tucumanensis DSM 45259 applicable in gray, red, and nano-biotechnology. J Basic Microbiol 2022; 62:779-787. [PMID: 35551685 DOI: 10.1002/jobm.202200157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/18/2022] [Revised: 04/07/2022] [Accepted: 04/23/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022]
Abstract
Through the years, the genus Amycolatopsis has demonstrated its biotechnological potential. The need to clean up the environment and produce new antimicrobial molecules led to exploit promising bacterial genera such as Amycolatopsis. In this present work, we analyze the genome of the strain Amycolatopsis tucumanensis AB0 previously isolated from copper-polluted sediments. Phylogenomic and comparative analysis with the closest phylogenetic neighbor was performed. Our analysis showed the genetic potential of the strain to deal with heavy metals such as copper and mitigate oxidative stress. In addition, the ability to produce copper oxide nanoparticles and the presence of genes potentially involved in the synthesis of secondary metabolites suggest that A. tucumanensis may find utility in gray, red, and nano-biotechnology. To our knowledge, this is the first genomic analysis of an Amycolatopsis strain with potential for different biotechnological fields.
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Affiliation(s)
- Daiana S Guerrero
- Planta Piloto de Procesos Industriales Microbiológicos- (PROIMI-CONICET), Tucumán, Argentina
| | - Cintia M Romero
- Planta Piloto de Procesos Industriales Microbiológicos- (PROIMI-CONICET), Tucumán, Argentina.,Facultad de Bioquímica, Química y Farmacia, Universidad Nacional de Tucumán (UNT), Tucumán, Argentina
| | - Marta A Polti
- Planta Piloto de Procesos Industriales Microbiológicos- (PROIMI-CONICET), Tucumán, Argentina
| | - José S Dávila Costa
- Planta Piloto de Procesos Industriales Microbiológicos- (PROIMI-CONICET), Tucumán, Argentina
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