Baloxavir Marboxil for Prophylaxis against Influenza in Household Contacts

A cost-effectiveness analysis of reduced viral transmission with baloxavir marboxil versus oseltamivir or no treatment for seasonal and pandemic influenza management in the United Kingdom

BACKGROUND

Baloxavir marboxil is an oral, single-dose, cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor that reduces the duration of influenza symptoms and rapidly stops viral shedding. We developed a susceptible, exposed, infected, recovered (SEIR) model to inform a cost-effectiveness model (CEM) of baloxavir versus oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment in the UK.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

The SEIR model estimated the attack rates among otherwise healthy and high-risk individuals in seasonal and pandemic settings. The CEM assumed that a proportion of infected patients would receive antiviral treatment. Results were reported at the population level (per 10,000 at risk of infection).

RESULTS

The SEIR model estimated greater reductions in infections with baloxavir. In a seasonal setting, baloxavir provided incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of £1884 per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gained versus oseltamivir and a dominant cost-effectiveness position versus no antiviral treatment in the total population; ICERs of £2574/QALY versus oseltamivir and £128/QALY versus no antiviral treatment were seen in the high-risk population. Baloxavir was also cost-effective versus oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment and reduced population-level health system occupancy concerns during a pandemic.

CONCLUSION

Baloxavir treatment resulted in the fewest influenza cases and was cost-effective versus oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment from a UK National Health Service perspective.

Baloxavir Resistance Markers in Influenza A and B Viruses in the Americas

Aim

Influenza control demands multifaceted strategies, including antiviral drugs. Baloxavir, a recent addition to influenza treatment, acts as an inhibitor of the Polymerase acid (PA) component of the viral polymerase. However, mutations associated with resistance have been identified.

Purpose

This study analyzed PA gene sequences of influenza A and B viruses (IAV and IBV, respectively) reported in the Americas, retrieved from databases published until May 2023, to identify primary markers of resistance to baloxavir.

Patients and Methods

PA gene sequences were obtained from the GISAID and NCBI databases, focusing on countries in the Americas with 500 or more sequences for IAV, and 50 or more sequences for IBV.

Results

Of the 58,816 PA sequences analyzed for IAV, only 55 (0.1%) harbored resistance markers, representing approximately 1 in 1000 occurrence. The most frequent markers were I38V (21 cases) and I38M (7 cases) at position 38 of PA, followed by E199G (9 cases) at position 199. For IBV, 14,684 sequences were analyzed, of which only eight presented a resistance marker (0.05%). Five sequences had the M34I marker, while the remaining three had the I38V marker. While frequency of resistance markers in PA is comparable to other regions, these results highlight the need for enhanced sequencing efforts, particularly in Latin America. Such efforts would serve to intensify influenza surveillance and inform public health interventions.

Conclusion

While baloxavir demonstrates efficacy against influenza, resistance markers have been identified, including pre-existing ones. Our study adds eight (IAV: six and IBV: two) new spontaneously occurring substitutions to the existing literature, highlighting the need for continued surveillance. Among these, I38M stands out due to its significant tenfold reduction in drug susceptibility. Therefore, vigilant monitoring of these resistance markers in IAV and IBV remains crucial for maintaining baloxavir's effectiveness and informing future public health interventions.

Cost-Effectiveness of Baloxavir Marboxil Versus Oseltamivir or no Treatment for the Management of Influenza in the United States

INTRODUCTION

This study sought to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil compared with oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment from a US payer perspective using data from a real-world US administrative claims study. Given baloxavir's ability to rapidly stop viral shedding, the potential health economic implications of a baloxavir-induced population-level reduction in viral transmission was also explored.

METHODS

A decision tree cost-effectiveness model was developed for seasonal influenza (2018-2020) using a lifetime time horizon with 3.0% discounting for costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). Patients aged ≥ 12 years could receive baloxavir, oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment. Patient characteristics, complications, and costs were derived from the Merative™ MarketScan® Research Databases including US commercial claims and Medicare and Medicaid Supplemental databases. A scenario analysis explored the impact of reduced viral transmission with baloxavir.

RESULTS

In the base case analysis, baloxavir was cost-effective within a willingness-to-pay threshold of US$100,000/QALY compared with oseltamivir [incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER), $6813/QALY gained] or no antiviral treatment (ICER, $669/QALY gained). The net monetary benefit (NMB) of baloxavir was $1180 and $6208 compared with oseltamivir and no treatment, respectively. The NMB of baloxavir increased linearly with reductions in viral transmission, where a 5% transmission reduction yielded an NMB of $2592 versus oseltamivir and $7621 versus no treatment. Baloxavir became dominant (more effective and less costly, with ICERs < 0) starting with a 12.0% reduction in viral transmission versus oseltamivir and 6.0% versus no antiviral treatment.

CONCLUSION

Baloxavir was cost-effective compared with oseltamivir or no antiviral treatment. The potential of baloxavir to reduce viral transmission offers a substantial economic benefit from a US payer perspective.

Recommendations for Prevention and Control of Influenza in Children, 2024-2025: Technical Report

This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2024 to 2025 season. The rationale for the American Academy of Pediatrics recommendation for annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age is provided. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community against influenza. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage and provides detailed guidance on vaccine storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated (nonlive) and live attenuated influenza vaccines, available vaccines for the 2024-2025 influenza season, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing for influenza, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Strategies to promote vaccine uptake are emphasized.

Antivirals for post-exposure prophylaxis of influenza: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Antiviral post-exposure prophylaxis with neuraminidase inhibitors can reduce the incidence of influenza and the risk of symptomatic influenza, but the efficacy of the other classes of antiviral remains unclear. To support an update of WHO influenza guidelines, this systematic review and network meta-analysis evaluated antiviral drugs for post-exposure prophylaxis of influenza.

METHODS

We systematically searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Global Health, Epistemonikos, and ClinicalTrials.gov for randomised controlled trials published up to Sept 20, 2023 that evaluated the efficacy and safety of antivirals compared with another antiviral or placebo or standard care for prevention of influenza. Pairs of reviewers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias. We performed network meta-analyses with frequentist random effects model and assessed the certainty of evidence using the GRADE (Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development and Evaluation) approach. The outcomes of interest were symptomatic or asymptomatic infection, admission to hospital, all-cause mortality, adverse events related to antivirals, and serious adverse events. This study is registered with PROSPERO, CRD42023466450.

FINDINGS

Of 11 845 records identified by our search, 33 trials of six antivirals (zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, baloxavir, amantadine, and rimantadine) that enrolled 19 096 individuals (mean age 6·75-81·15 years) were included in this systematic review and network meta-analysis. Most of the studies were rated as having a low risk of bias. Zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, and baloxavir probably achieve important reductions in symptomatic influenza in individuals at high risk of severe disease (zanamivir: risk ratio 0·35, 95% CI 0·25-0·50; oseltamivir: 0·40, 0·26-0·62; laninamivir: 0·43, 0·30-0·63; baloxavir: 0·43, 0·23-0·79; moderate certainty) when given promptly (eg, within 48 h) after exposure to seasonal influenza. These antivirals probably do not achieve important reductions in symptomatic influenza in individuals at low risk of severe disease when given promptly after exposure to seasonal influenza (moderate certainty). Zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, and baloxavir might achieve important reductions in symptomatic zoonotic influenza in individuals exposed to novel influenza A viruses associated with severe disease in infected humans when given promptly after exposure (low certainty). Oseltamivir, laninamivir, baloxavir, and amantadine probably decrease the risk of all influenza (symptomatic and asymptomatic infection; moderate certainty). Zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, and baloxavir probably have little or no effect on prevention of asymptomatic influenza virus infection or all-cause mortality (high or moderate certainty). Oseltamivir probably has little or no effect on admission to hospital (moderate certainty). All six antivirals do not significantly increase the incidence of drug-related adverse events or serious adverse events, although the certainty of evidence varies.

INTERPRETATION

Post-exposure prophylaxis with zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, or baloxavir probably decreases the risk of symptomatic seasonal influenza in individuals at high risk for severe disease after exposure to seasonal influenza viruses. Post-exposure prophylaxis with zanamivir, oseltamivir, laninamivir, or baloxavir might reduce the risk of symptomatic zoonotic influenza after exposure to novel influenza A viruses associated with severe disease in infected humans.

FUNDING

World Health Organization.

Safety and effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil and oseltamivir for influenza in children: a real-world retrospective study in China

Objectives

To evaluate the safety and effectiveness of baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir) and oseltamivir in pediatric influenza patients in China.

Methods

Patients filling a prescription for baloxavir or oseltamivir within 48 h following an influenza-related outpatient visit were identified in Children's Hospital of Fudan University in China between March 2023 and December 2023. Outcomes were assessed after antiviral treatment and included the incidence of adverse reactions and the duration of fever and other flu symptoms.

Results

A total of 1430 patients infected with influenza A were collected and 865 patients (baloxavir: n = 420; oseltamivir: n = 445) finally included. The incidence of adverse reactions of nausea and vomiting was significantly different between the baloxavir group (2.38%) and the oseltamivir group (12.13%) [P < 0.001, OR = 4.2526, 95%CI (2.0549, 9.6080)]. No differences in other adverse reactions were observed between the two groups. The mean duration of fever in baloxavir group (1.43d) was significantly shorter than that in oseltamivir group (2.31d) [P < 0.001, 95%CI (0.7815, 0.9917)]. There were no differences in the mean duration of nasal congestion and runny nose, sore throat, cough, and muscle soreness between two groups.

Conclusions

The incidence of nausea and vomiting is lower with baloxavir compared to oseltamivir, and the duration for complete fever reduction is shorter with baloxavir than with oseltamivir. The results indicate that baloxavir is well tolerated and effective in Chinese children.

Comparative Effectiveness of Baloxavir Marboxil and Oseltamivir Treatment in Reducing Household Transmission of Influenza: A Post Hoc Analysis of the BLOCKSTONE Trial

BACKGROUND

The transmission of influenza virus in households, especially by children, is a major route of infection. Prior studies suggest that timely antiviral treatment of ill cases may reduce infection in household contacts. The aim of the study was to compare the effects of oseltamivir (OTV) and baloxavir marboxil (BXM) treatment of index cases on the secondary attack rate (SAR) of influenza within household.

METHODS

A post hoc analysis was done in BLOCKSTONE trial-a placebo-controlled, double-blinded post-exposure prophylaxis of BXM. Data were derived from the laboratory-confirmed index cases' household contacts who received placebo in the trial and also from household members who did not participate in the trial but completed illness questionnaires. To assess the SAR of household members, multivariate analyses adjusted for factors including age, vaccination status, and household size were performed and compared between contacts of index cases treated with BXM or OTV.

RESULTS

In total, 185 index cases (116 treated with BXM and 69 treated with OTV) and 410 household contacts (201 from trial, 209 by questionnaire) were included. The Poisson regression modeling showed that the SAR in household contacts of index cases treated with BXM and OTV was 10.8% and 18.5%, respectively; the adjusted relative reduction in SAR was 41.8% (95% confidence interval: 1.0%-65.7%, p = 0.0456) greater with BXM than OTV. Similar reductions were found in contacts from the trial and those included by questionnaire.

CONCLUSION

BXM treatment of index cases appeared to result in a greater reduction in secondary household transmission than OTV treatment.

Study on the clinical efficacy and safety of baloxavir marboxil tablets in the treatment of influenza A

Objective

To evaluate the clinical efficacy and safety of baloxavir marboxil tablets in the treatment of influenza A.

Methods

According to a random sequence generated by computer software, 200 patients with confirmed influenza A were divided into a study group and a control group with 100 cases in each group. Group allocation was concealed using sealed envelopes. The study group was treated with oral administration of baloxavir marboxil tablets, 40 mg once. The control group was given oral oseltamivir capsules, 75 mg twice a day, for five consecutive days. The therapeutic effects, symptom disappearance time and adverse drug reactions of the two groups after 5 days of treatment were compared.

Results

There was no significant difference in the total effective rate between the two groups (99% vs. 98%, p > 0.05). There was no significant difference in fever subsidence time (1.54 ± 0.66 d vs. 1.67 ± 0.71 d, p > 0.05), cough improvement time (2.26 ± 0.91 d vs. 2.30 ± 0.90 d, p > 0.05) and sore throat improvement time (2.06 ± 0.86 d vs. 2.09 ± 0.83 d, p > 0.05) between the two groups. There was no significant difference in the incidence of adverse drug reactions between the two groups (8% vs. 13%, p > 0.05).

Conclusion

Baloxavir marboxil tablets can be effectively used in the treatment of patients with influenza A and have a similar efficacy and safety profile as oseltamivir capsules.

Virological and clinical outcomes in outpatients treated with baloxavir or neuraminidase inhibitors for A(H3N2) influenza: A multicenter study of the 2022-2023 season

While clinical trials have illuminated both the virological and clinical efficacy of baloxavir for influenza and post-treatment viral resistance, these aspects warrant further study in real-world settings. In response, we executed a prospective, observational study of the Japanese 2022-2023 influenza season. A cohort of 73 A(H3N2)-diagnosed outpatients-36 treated with baloxavir, 20 with oseltamivir, and 17 with other neuraminidase inhibitors (NAIs)-were analyzed. Viral samples were collected before and after administering an antiviral on days 1, 5, and 10, respectively. Cultured viruses were amplified using RT-PCR and sequenced to detect mutations. Fever and other symptoms were tracked via self-reporting diaries. In the baloxavir cohort, viral detection was 11.1% (4/36) and 0% (0/36) on day 5 and day 10, respectively. Two isolates from day 5 (5.6%, 2/36) manifested I38T/M-substitutions in the polymerase acidic protein (PA). For oseltamivir and other NAIs, viral detection rates were 60.0% (12/20) and 52.9% (9/17) on day 5, and 16.7% (3/18) and 6.3% (1/16) on day 10, respectively. No oseltamivir-resistant neuraminidase mutations were identified after treatment. Median fever durations for the baloxavir, oseltamivir, and other NAI cohorts were 27.0, 38.0, and 36.0 h, respectively, with no significant difference. Two patients harboring PA I38T/M-substitutions did not exhibit prolonged fever or other symptoms. These findings affirm baloxavir's virological and clinical effectiveness against A(H3N2) in the 2022-2023 season and suggest limited clinical influence of post-treatment resistance emergence.

Prophylactic effect of ensitrelvir in mice infected with SARS-CoV-2

Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is the etiological cause of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and continues to be a major health concern worldwide. Strategies to protect individuals at high risk of COVID-19 are critical but are currently a largely unmet need. We evaluated the oral antiviral drug ensitrelvir, which specifically targets the SARS-CoV-2 3CL protease, for its efficacy as a pre-exposure prophylactic treatment. Aged BALB/c mice were subcutaneously treated with various doses of ensitrelvir 24 h prior to a lethal SARS-CoV-2 challenge infection. Mouse body weight changes, survival rates, and viral titers in the lungs were evaluated, and plasma concentrations of ensitrelvir were determined. A single subcutaneous administration of ensitrelvir at 64 mg/kg or greater 24 h prior to SARS-CoV-2 challenge infection significantly protected aged mice against lethality and inhibited body weight loss. Pharmacokinetic analysis of ensitrelvir in the aged mice suggested that plasma concentrations ≥2.99 μg/mL resulted in a significant prophylactic effect against SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the aged mouse prophylaxis model, SARS-CoV-2 titers were suppressed in the lungs of mice treated with ensitrelvir 24 h prior to challenge infection, suggesting that the prophylactic administration of ensitrelvir exerted its prophylactic effect by suppressing viral proliferation. These findings suggest that ensitrelvir is a candidate drug for pre-exposure prophylactic treatment of individuals at high risk of COVID-19.

Household Influenza Transmission and Healthcare Resource Utilization Among Patients Treated with Baloxavir vs Oseltamivir: A United States Outpatient Prospective Survey

INTRODUCTION

Influenza is a common, seasonal infectious disease with broad medical, economic, and social consequences. Real-world evidence on the effect of influenza treatment on household transmission and healthcare resource utilization is limited in outpatient settings in the USA. This study examined the real-world effectiveness of baloxavir vs oseltamivir in reducing influenza household transmission and healthcare resource utilization.

METHODS

This prospective electronic survey on patient-reported outcomes was conducted between October 2022 and May 2023 via CVS Pharmacy in the USA. Adult participants (≥ 18 years old) were eligible if they filled a prescription for baloxavir or oseltamivir at a CVS Pharmacy within 2 days of influenza symptom onset. Participant demographics, household transmission, and all-cause healthcare resource utilization were collected. Transmission and utilization outcomes were assessed using χ2 and Fisher exact tests.

RESULTS

Of 87,871 unique patients contacted, 1346 (1.5%) consented. Of 374 eligible patients, 286 (90 baloxavir- and 196 oseltamivir-treated patients) completed the survey and were included in the analysis. Mean age of participants was 45.4 years, 65.6% were female, and 86.7% were White. Lower household transmission was observed with baloxavir compared with oseltamivir therapy (17.8% vs 26.5%; relative risk = 0.67; 95% CI 0.41-1.11). Healthcare resource utilization, particularly emergency department visits (0.0% vs 4.6%), was also numerically lower in the baloxavir-treated group; no hospitalizations were reported in either cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings from this real-world study suggest that antiviral treatment of influenza with baloxavir may decrease household transmission and reduce healthcare resource utilization compared with oseltamivir.

Influenza and Viral Pneumonia

Influenza and other respiratory viruses are commonly identified in patients with community-acquired pneumonia, hospital-acquired pneumonia, and in immunocompromised patients with pneumonia. Clinically, it is difficult to differentiate viral from bacterial pneumonia. Similarly, the radiological findings of viral infection are in general nonspecific. The advent of polymerase chain reaction testing has enormously facilitated the identification of respiratory viruses, which has important implications for infection control measures and treatment. Currently, treatment options for patients with viral infection are limited but there is ongoing research on the development and clinical testing of new treatment regimens and strategies.

Post-exposure prophylaxis with SA58 (anti-SARS-COV-2 monoclonal antibody) nasal spray for the prevention of symptomatic COVID-19 in healthy adult workers: a randomized, single-blind, placebo-controlled clinical study

Monoclonal antibodies (mAbs) and the post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) with mAbs represent a very important public health strategy against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). This study has assessed a new Anti-SARS-COV-2 mAb (SA58) Nasal Spray for PEP against COVID-19 in healthy adults aged 18 years and older within three days of exposure to a SARS-CoV-2 infected individual. Recruited participants were randomized in a ratio of 3:1 to receive SA58 or placebo. Primary endpoints were laboratory-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 within the study period. A total of 1222 participants were randomized and dosed (SA58, n = 901; placebo, n = 321). Median of follow-up was 2.25 and 2.79 days for SA58 and placebo, respectively. Adverse events occurred in 221 of 901 (25%) and 72 of 321 (22%) participants with SA58 and placebo, respectively. All adverse events were mild in severity. Laboratory-confirmed symptomatic COVID-19 developed in 7 of 824 participants (0.22 per 100 person-days) in the SA58 group vs. 14 of 299 (1.17 per 100 person-days) in the placebo group, resulting in an estimated efficacy of 80.82% (95%CI 52.41%-92.27%). There were 32 SARS-CoV-2 reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) positives (1.04 per 100 person-days) in the SA58 group vs. 32 (2.80 per 100 person-days) in the placebo group, resulting in an estimated efficacy of 61.83% (95%CI 37.50%-76.69%). A total of 21 RT-PCR positive samples were sequenced and all were the Omicron variant BF.7. In conclusion, SA58 Nasal Spray showed favourable efficacy and safety in preventing symptomatic COVID-19 or SARS-CoV-2 infection in adults who had exposure to SARS-CoV-2 within 72 h.

Prophylactic Treatment with Baloxavir Protects Mice from Lethal Infection with Influenza A and B Viruses

Influenza remains a worldwide health concern. Antiviral drugs are considered as one of the useful options for its prevention as a complementary measure to vaccination. Baloxavir acid selectively inhibits the cap-dependent endonuclease of influenza viruses and exhibits marked viral titre reduction in patients. Here, we describe the prophylactic potency of baloxavir acid against lethal infection with influenza A and B viruses in mice. BALB/c mice were subcutaneously administered once with baloxavir acid suspension, or orally administered once daily for 10 days with oseltamivir phosphate solution at human relevant doses. Next, the mice were intranasally inoculated with A/PR/8/34 (H1N1) or B/Hong Kong/5/72 strain at 24 to 96 h after the initial dosing. Prophylactic treatment with the antiviral drugs significantly reduced the lung viral titres and prolonged survival time. In particular, baloxavir acid showed a greater suppressive effect on lung viral titres compared to oseltamivir phosphate. In this model, baloxavir acid maintained significant prophylactic effects against influenza A and B virus infections when the plasma concentration at the time of infection was at least 0.88 and 3.58 ng/mL, respectively. The significant prophylactic efficacy observed in our mouse model suggests the potential utility of baloxavir marboxil for prophylaxis against influenza in humans.

Molnupiravir for intra-household prevention of COVID-19: The MOVe-AHEAD randomized, placebo-controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate the efficacy and safety of molnupiravir for intra-household post-exposure prophylaxis (PEP) of COVID-19.

METHODS

MOVe-AHEAD was a randomized, controlled, double-blind, phase 3 trial comparing molnupiravir (800 mg twice daily for 5 days) with placebo. Eligible participants were adult, unvaccinated, asymptomatic household contacts of patients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19. The primary efficacy endpoint was the incidence of COVID-19 through day 14 in modified intention-to-treat (MITT) participants (those who received ≥1 dose of study intervention) without detectable SARS-CoV-2 at baseline, termed the MITT-VN population. Superiority of molnupiravir was prespecified as a stratified one-sided p-value of <0.0249 for the treatment difference in this endpoint.

RESULTS

The MITT population comprised 763 participants randomized to molnupiravir and 764 to placebo; 83.6% had anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibodies at baseline. In the MITT-VN population, COVID-19 rates through day 14 were 6.5% with molnupiravir and 8.5% with placebo (one-sided p-value: 0.0848). In the molnupiravir arm, 25/35 of confirmed COVID-19 events (71.4%) occurred after completion of treatment (versus 17/49 [34.7%] for placebo). Adverse event rates were low and similar between molnupiravir and placebo.

CONCLUSIONS

Molnupiravir was well-tolerated but did not meet the prespecified superiority criterion, possibly influenced in part by the high pre-existing immunity in the trial population.

Safety and Efficacy of Baloxavir Marboxil in Influenza-infected Children 5-11 Years of Age: A Post Hoc Analysis of a Phase 3 Study

BACKGROUND

miniSTONE-2 (NCT03629184) was a global, phase 3, randomized, controlled study that investigated the safety and efficacy of single-dose baloxavir marboxil in otherwise healthy children 1-<12 years of age and showed a positive risk-benefit profile. This post hoc analysis evaluated the safety and efficacy of baloxavir versus oseltamivir in children 5-11 years old with influenza.

METHODS

Children received single-dose baloxavir or twice-daily oseltamivir for 5 days. Safety was the primary objective. Efficacy and virological outcomes included time to alleviation of symptoms, duration of fever and time to cessation of viral shedding by titer. Data were summarized descriptively.

RESULTS

Ninety-four children 5-11 years old were included (61 baloxavir and 33 oseltamivir). Baseline characteristics were similar between the groups. The incidence of adverse events was balanced and low in both treatment groups, with the most common being vomiting (baloxavir 5% vs. oseltamivir 18%), diarrhea (5% vs. 0%) and otitis media (0% vs. 5%). No serious adverse events or deaths occurred. Median (95% CI) time to alleviation of symptoms with baloxavir was 138.4 hours (116.7-163.4) versus 126.1 hours (95.9-165.7) for oseltamivir; duration of fever was comparable between groups [41.2 hours (23.5-51.4) vs. 51.3 hours (30.7-56.8), respectively]. Median time to cessation of viral shedding was shorter in the baloxavir group versus oseltamivir (1 vs. ≈3 days).

CONCLUSIONS

Safety, efficacy and virological results in children 5-11 years were similar to those from the overall study population 1-<12 years of age. Single-dose baloxavir provides an additional treatment option for pediatric patients 5-11 years old with influenza.

Guidelines for the Management of Respiratory Infectious Diseases in Children in Japan 2022

The members of the Japanese Society for Pediatric Infectious Diseases and the Japanese Society of Pediatric Pulmonology have developed Guidelines for the Management of Respiratory Infectious Diseases in Children with the objective of facilitating appropriate diagnosis, treatment and prevention of respiratory infections in children. The first edition was published in 2004 and the fifth edition was published in 2022. The Guideline 2022 consists of 2 parts, clinical questions and commentary, and includes general respiratory infections and specific infections in children with underlying diseases and severe infections. This executive summary outlines the clinical questions in the Guidelines 2022, with reference to the Japanese Medical Information Distribution Service Manual. All recommendations are supported by a systematic search for relevant evidence and are followed by the strength of the recommendation and the quality of the evidence statements.

Recommendations for Prevention and Control of Influenza in Children, 2023-2024

This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2023-2024 season. The rationale for the American Academy of Pediatrics recommendation for annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age is provided. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community against influenza. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage, and provides detailed guidance on vaccine storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated and live-attenuated influenza vaccines, available vaccines this season, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing for influenza, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Strategies to promote vaccine uptake are emphasized.

Management of influenza - updated Swedish guidelines for antiviral treatment

Influenza causes seasonal epidemics of respiratory infection in all parts of the world. Manifestations of influenza range from mild upper to severe lower respiratory tract infection. Medical risk groups are defined by factors predisposing for development of severe disease and are recommended annual vaccination as a protective measure. The previous Swedish treatment guidelines for influenza were issued in 2011, and a review of current evidence was deemed relevant. An important reason to revisit the guidelines is the recent approval of a novel drug for influenza treatment, baloxavir. Updated Swedish evidence-based guidelines created by a group of experts from various research areas, for the management of influenza are presented here. The work has been made in collaboration with the Public Health Agency of Sweden and the Swedish Reference Group for AntiViral therapy (RAV). The updated guidelines include guidelines for diagnostics, treatment and prophylaxis in special groups, including management of pregnant women and children with influenza. A new section about infection control has been added. Pharmacological treatment is covered in detail with regards to indication and dosage. Additionally, drug resistance and environmental aspects are discussed.

Antiviral Treatment in Older Chinese Patient with SARS-CoV-2 and Influenza A Virus Co-Infection: A Case Series

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) emergence in late 2019, and wide spread quickly in the world. In China, the COVID-19 epidemic situation entered a low level now. With the arrival of flu season, the number of patients with respiratory symptoms is increasing. We reported three cases of patients who co-infected with SARS-CoV-2 and influenza A virus (IAV), and they were all treated with nirmatrelvir-ritonavir (NMV/r) and baloxavir marboxil. Due to the overlapping clinical features between the two diseases, it is important to identified them and gave the antiviral therapy timely.

Treatment and prevention of influenza in geriatric patients

INTRODUCTION

Older adults are the most vulnerable population to the effects of influenza. These patients have age-related characteristics that make response to both infection and therapeutics different than younger patients.

AREAS COVERED

Influenza vaccination and antiviral therapy are the foundational approaches to preventing and treating influenza in geriatric patients. Older adults should receive one of the three enhanced vaccines before influenza season beings. There are five antivirals used in influenza. Geriatric patients have been under-enrolled in antiviral studies but have been included in small numbers. Oseltamivir has the most abundant evidence, including in the hospital and long-term care (LTC) facilities, and the strongest evidence for reducing mortality and complications. Peramivir offers the shortest time for symptom alleviation, while baloxavir is best tolerated.

EXPERT OPINION

Oseltamivir has the most versatility in preventing and treating influenza in geriatric patients. Parenteral peramivir and zanamivir are second-line alternatives for complicated influenza when oseltamivir cannot be used. Single-dose peramivir and baloxavir are attractive alternatives to oseltamivir in uncomplicated influenza but will not increase in utilization until more evidence is available regarding mortality and complications, particularly in hospitalized and LTC patients. More studies, including comparative trials, are required to elucidate the role in therapy for each therapeutic in the geriatric population.

Antiviral Approaches against Influenza Virus

Preventing and controlling influenza virus infection remains a global public health challenge, as it causes seasonal epidemics to unexpected pandemics. These infections are responsible for high morbidity, mortality, and substantial economic impact. Vaccines are the prophylaxis mainstay in the fight against influenza. However, vaccination fails to confer complete protection due to inadequate vaccination coverages, vaccine shortages, and mismatches with circulating strains. Antivirals represent an important prophylactic and therapeutic measure to reduce influenza-associated morbidity and mortality, particularly in high-risk populations. Here, we review current FDA-approved influenza antivirals with their mechanisms of action, and different viral- and host-directed influenza antiviral approaches, including immunomodulatory interventions in clinical development. Furthermore, we also illustrate the potential utility of machine learning in developing next-generation antivirals against influenza.

Antiviral Effect of Ginsenosides rk1 against Influenza a Virus Infection by Targeting the Hemagglutinin 1-Mediated Virus Attachment

Influenza A virus (IAV) infections have been a serious hazard to public health everywhere. With the growing concern of drug-resistant IAV strains, there is an urgent need for novel anti-IAV medications, especially those with alternative mechanisms of action. Hemagglutinin (HA), an IAV glycoprotein, plays critical roles in the early stage of virus infection, including receptor binding and membrane fusion, making it a good target for developing anti-IAV drugs. Panax ginseng is a widely used herb in traditional medicine with extensive biological effects in various disease models, and its extract was reported to show protection in IAV-infected mice. However, the main effective anti-IAV constituents in panax ginseng remain unclear. Here, we report that ginsenoside rk1 (G-rk1) and G-rg5, out of the 23 screened ginsenosides, exhibit significant antiviral effects against 3 different IAV subtypes (H1N1, H5N1, and H3N2) in vitro. Mechanistically, G-rk1 blocked IAV binding to sialic acid in a hemagglutination inhibition (HAI) assay and an indirect ELISA assay; more importantly, we showed that G-rk1 interacted with HA1 in a dose-dependent manner in a surface plasmon resonance (SPR) analysis. Furthermore, G-rk1 treatment by intranasal inoculation effectively reduced the weight loss and mortality of mice challenged with a lethal dose of influenza virus A/Puerto Rico/8/34 (PR8). In conclusion, our findings reveal for the first time that G-rk1 possesses potent anti-IAV effects in vitro and in vivo. We have also identified and characterized with a direct binding assay a novel ginseng-derived IAV HA1 inhibitor for the first time, which could present potential approaches to prevent and treat IAV infections.

Preparing for the Next Influenza Season: Monitoring the Emergence and Spread of Antiviral Resistance

Purpose

The relaxation of pandemic restrictions in 2022 has led to a reemergence of respiratory virus circulation worldwide and anticipation of substantial influenza waves for the 2022/2023 Northern Hemisphere winter. Therefore, the antiviral susceptibility profiles of human influenza viruses circulating in Germany were characterized.

Methods

Between October 2019 (week 40/2019) and March 2022 (week 12/2022), nasal swabs from untreated patients with acute respiratory symptoms were collected in the national German influenza surveillance system. A total of 598 influenza viruses were isolated and analyzed for susceptibility to oseltamivir, zanamivir and peramivir, using a neuraminidase (NA) inhibition assay. In addition, next-generation sequencing was applied to assess molecular markers of resistance to NA, cap-dependent endonuclease (PA) and M2 ion channel inhibitors (NAI, PAI, M2I) in 367 primary clinical samples. Furthermore, a genotyping assay based on RT-PCR and pyrosequencing to rapidly assess the molecular resistance marker PA-I38X in PA genes was designed and established.

Results

While NAI resistance in the strict sense, defined by a ≥ 10-fold (influenza A) or ≥5-fold (influenza B) increase of NAI IC₅₀, was not detected, a subtype A(H1N1)pdm09 isolate displayed 2.3- to 7.5-fold IC₅₀ increase for all three NAI. This isolate carried the NA-S247N substitution, which is known to enhance NAI resistance induced by NA-H275Y. All sequenced influenza A viruses carried the M2-S31N substitution, which confers resistance to M2I. Of note, one A(H3N2) virus displayed the PA-I38M substitution, which is associated with reduced susceptibility to the PAI baloxavir marboxil. Pyrosequencing analysis confirmed these findings in the original clinical specimen and in cultured virus isolate, suggesting sufficient replicative fitness of this virus mutant.

Conclusion

Over the last three influenza seasons, the vast majority of influenza viruses in this national-level sentinel were susceptible to NAIs and PAIs. These findings support the use of antivirals in the upcoming influenza season.

Influenza antivirals and their role in pandemic preparedness

Effective antivirals provide crucial benefits during the early phase of an influenza pandemic, when vaccines are still being developed and manufactured. Currently, two classes of viral protein-targeting drugs, neuraminidase inhibitors and polymerase inhibitors, are approved for influenza treatment and post-exposure prophylaxis. Resistance to both classes has been documented, highlighting the need to develop novel antiviral options that may include both viral and host-targeted inhibitors. Such efforts will form the basis of management of seasonal influenza infections and of strategic planning for future influenza pandemics. This review focuses on the two classes of approved antivirals, their drawbacks, and ongoing work to characterize novel agents or combination therapy approaches to address these shortcomings. The importance of these topics in the ongoing process of influenza pandemic planning is also discussed.

Results from a test-and-treat study for influenza among residents of homeless shelters in King County, WA: A stepped-wedge cluster-randomized trial

BACKGROUND

Persons experiencing homelessness face increased risk of influenza as overcrowding in congregate shelters can facilitate influenza virus spread. Data regarding on-site influenza testing and antiviral treatment within homeless shelters remain limited.

METHODS

We conducted a cluster-randomized stepped-wedge trial of point-of-care molecular influenza testing coupled with antiviral treatment with baloxavir or oseltamivir in residents of 14 homeless shelters in Seattle, WA, USA. Residents ≥3 months with cough or ≥2 acute respiratory illness (ARI) symptoms and onset <7 days were eligible. In control periods, mid-nasal swabs were tested for influenza by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). The intervention period included on-site rapid molecular influenza testing and antiviral treatment for influenza-positives if symptom onset was <48 h. The primary endpoint was monthly influenza virus infections in the control versus intervention periods. Influenza whole genome sequencing was performed to assess transmission and antiviral resistance.

RESULTS

During 11/15/2019-4/30/2020 and 11/2/2020-4/30/2021, 1283 ARI encounters from 668 participants were observed. Influenza virus was detected in 51 (4%) specimens using RT-PCR (A = 14; B = 37); 21 influenza virus infections were detected from 269 (8%) intervention-eligible encounters by rapid molecular testing and received antiviral treatment. Thirty-seven percent of ARI-participant encounters reported symptom onset < 48 h. The intervention had no effect on influenza virus transmission (adjusted relative risk 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.50-6.00). Of 23 influenza genomes, 86% of A(H1N1)pdm09 and 81% of B/Victoria sequences were closely related.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest feasibility of influenza test-and-treat strategies in shelters. Additional studies would help discern an intervention effect during periods of increased influenza activity.

Novel modelling approaches to predict the role of antivirals in reducing influenza transmission

To aid understanding of the effect of antiviral treatment on population-level influenza transmission, we used a novel pharmacokinetic-viral kinetic transmission model to test the correlation between nasal viral load and infectiousness, and to evaluate the impact that timing of treatment with the antivirals oseltamivir or baloxavir has on influenza transmission. The model was run under three candidate profiles whereby infectiousness was assumed to be proportional to viral titer on a natural-scale, log-scale, or dose-response model. Viral kinetic profiles in the presence and absence of antiviral treatment were compared for each individual (N = 1000 simulated individuals); subsequently, viral transmission mitigation was calculated. The predicted transmission mitigation was greater with earlier administration of antiviral treatment, and with baloxavir versus oseltamivir. When treatment was initiated 12-24 hours post symptom onset, the predicted transmission mitigation was 39.9-56.4% for baloxavir and 26.6-38.3% for oseltamivir depending on the infectiousness profile. When treatment was initiated 36-48 hours post symptom onset, the predicted transmission mitigation decreased to 0.8-28.3% for baloxavir and 0.8-19.9% for oseltamivir. Model estimates were compared with clinical data from the BLOCKSTONE post-exposure prophylaxis study, which indicated the log-scale model for infectiousness best fit the observed data and that baloxavir affords greater reductions in secondary case rates compared with neuraminidase inhibitors. These findings suggest a role for baloxavir and oseltamivir in reducing influenza transmission when treatment is initiated within 48 hours of symptom onset in the index patient.

Baloxavir Marboxil Shows Anomalous Conversion of Crystal Forms from Stable to Metastable through Formation of Specific Solvate Form

Baloxavir marboxil is a novel cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor of influenza. This study aimed to identify its polymorphs and their relationship with crystal engineering. Polymorph screening by evaporation gave forms I-III and solvate forms IV and V. Heating enabled the conversion of form III to form II, but did not enable that of forms I and II. The solvent-mediated transformation of the forms I-III by magnetic stirring in various solvents resulted in the formation of form I. These results indicate that form I is the stable form. However, all crystal forms transformed to form II after magnetic stirring in a 50% acetonitrile aqueous solution, which was not obtained from water or acetonitrile. The suspension in a 50% acetonitrile aqueous solution exhibited a novel X-ray diffraction pattern as shown in form VI. The measurement of the suspension by solid-state ¹³C-nuclear magnetic resonance revealed that the spectra of forms II and VI were similar. From these results, we conclude that the drug forms a solvate with both water and acetonitrile and spontaneously transforms to form II upon rapid desolvation under ambient conditions. This study elucidates the mechanism of unexpected convergence to a metastable form in a specific solvent and contributes to the crystal engineering of baloxavir marboxil.

Investigating the transmission of baloxavir-resistant influenza viruses from treated index patients to untreated household contacts in the BLOCKSTONE study

In a post-hoc analysis of the phase 3 BLOCKSTONE study (JapicCTI-184180), we investigated household transmission of baloxavir-resistant (PA/I38X) influenza viruses. Using baloxavir resistance rates from prior clinical trials and the rate of influenza transmission observed in the study, the predicted number of PA/I38X transmission events was 4.8, assuming wild type and PA/I38X viruses were equally transmissible. However, no PA/I38X viruses were observed. These results suggest a low potential for baloxavir-resistant influenza virus transmission from treated to untreated individuals, potentially due to reduced viral/transmission fitness for PA/I38X viruses and/or low viral titres at the time when resistant viruses arise.

In silico identification of natural antiviral compounds as a potential inhibitor of chikungunya virus non-structural protein 3 macrodomain

Chikungunya Virus (CHIKV) is having a major impact on humans with potentially life-threatening and debilitating arthritis. The lack of a specific antiviral drug against the CHIKV disease has created an alarming situation to identify or develop potent chemical molecules for its remedial measures. Antiviral therapies for viral diseases are generally expensive and have adverse side effects. Plant-based antiviral natural compounds are the most suitable and best alternative of current antiviral drugs because of less toxicity. In the present study, non-structural protein 3 macrodomain (nsP3^MD) of the CHIKV that is essential for virus replication has been selected for anti CHIKV drug target. The compounds were identified using molecular docking, virtual screening and further evaluated by molecular dynamics (MD) simulation studies. The binding mechanism of each compound was analyzed considering the stability and energetic parameter. We have found six plant-based natural antiviral compounds Baicalin, Rutaecarpine, Amentoflavone, Apigetrin, Luteoloside, and Baloxavir as strong inhibitors of nsP3^MD of CHIKV. ADMET prediction and target analysis of the selected compounds showed drug likeliness of these compounds. MD simulation studies indicated energetically favorable complex formation between nsP3^MD and the selected antiviral compounds. Furthermore, the structural effects on these substitutions were analyzed using the principles of each trajectory, which validated the interaction studies. Our analysis suggests a very high probability of these compounds to inhibit nsP3^MD of CHIKV and could be evaluated for Chikungunya fever drug development. Communicated by Ramaswamy H. Sarma.

A Review of the Ring Trial Design for Evaluating Ring Interventions for Infectious Diseases

In trials of infectious disease interventions, rare outcomes and unpredictable spatiotemporal variation can introduce bias, reduce statistical power, and prevent conclusive inferences. Spillover effects can complicate inference if individual randomization is used to gain efficiency. Ring trials are a type of cluster-randomized trial that may increase efficiency and minimize bias, particularly in emergency and elimination settings with strong clustering of infection. They can be used to evaluate ring interventions, which are delivered to individuals in proximity to or contact with index cases. We conducted a systematic review of ring trials, compare them with other trial designs for evaluating ring interventions, and describe strengths and weaknesses of each design. Of 849 articles and 322 protocols screened, we identified 26 ring trials, 15 cluster-randomized trials, 5 trials that randomized households or individuals within rings, and 1 individually randomized trial. The most common interventions were postexposure prophylaxis (n = 23) and focal mass drug administration and screening and treatment (n = 7). Ring trials require robust surveillance systems and contact tracing for directly transmitted diseases. For rare diseases with strong spatiotemporal clustering, they may have higher efficiency and internal validity than cluster-randomized designs, in part because they ensure that no clusters are excluded from analysis due to zero cluster incidence. Though more research is needed to compare them with other types of trials, ring trials hold promise as a design that can increase trial speed and efficiency while reducing bias.

A Malaysian consensus recommendation for the prevention of influenza in older persons

BACKGROUND

Older persons are at high-risk of developing severe complications from influenza. This consensus statement was developed to provide guidance on appropriate influenza prevention strategies relevant to the Malaysian healthcare setting.

METHODS

Under the initiative of the Malaysian Influenza Working Group (MIWG), a panel comprising 11 multi-speciality physicians was convened to develop a consensus statement. Using a modified Delphi process, the panellists reviewed published evidence on various influenza management interventions and synthesised 10 recommendations for the prevention of influenza among the aged population via group discussions and a blinded rating exercise.

RESULTS

Overall, annual influenza vaccination is recommended for individuals aged ≥ 60 years, particularly those with specific medical conditions or residing in aged care facilities (ACFs). There is no preference for a particular vaccine type in this target population. Antiviral agents can be given for post-exposure chemoprophylaxis or when vaccine contraindication exists. Infection control measures should serve as adjuncts to prevent the spread of influenza, especially during Hajj.

CONCLUSION

This consensus statement presents 10 evidence-based recommendations that can be adopted by healthcare providers to prevent influenza among the aged population in Malaysia. It could also serve as a basis for health policy planning in other lower- and middle-income countries.

Effects of baloxavir and oseltamivir antiviral therapy on the transmission of seasonal influenza in China: A mathematical modeling analysis

New antiviral influenza treatments can effectively alleviate illness while reducing viral shedding. However, how such effects can translate into lower population infections of seasonal influenza in China remains unknown. To shed light on the public health impacts of novel antiviral agents for influenza, we constructed a dynamic transmission model to simulate the seasonal influenza epidemics in China. Two antivirus treatments, baloxavir and oseltamivir, were evaluated by estimating their impacts on the incidences of influenza infection in a single flu season. In the base-case analysis of a 10% antiviral treatment uptake rate, 2760 and 3420 per 10 000 persons contracted influenza under the treatment of baloxavir and oseltamivir, respectively. These incidence rates amounted to an 18.90% relative risk reduction (RRR) of infection associated with baloxavir in relation to oseltamivir. The corresponding RRR was 82.16% when the antiviral treatment uptake rate was increased to 35%. In addition, the peak of the prevalence of infected individuals per 10 000 persons under the baloxavir treatment was 177 (range: 93-274) fewer than that of oseltamivir. Our analyses suggest that the baloxavir treatment strategy reduces the incidence of influenza in China compared with oseltamivir in the setting of a seasonal flu epidemic. Also, increasing the uptake rate of antiviral treatment can potentially prevent millions of infections during a single flu season.

Recommendations for Prevention and Control of Influenza in Children, 2022-2023

This technical report accompanies the recommendations of the American Academy of Pediatrics for the routine use of influenza vaccine and antiviral medications in the prevention and treatment of influenza in children during the 2022 to 2023 season. The American Academy of Pediatrics recommends annual influenza vaccination of all children without medical contraindications starting at 6 months of age. Influenza vaccination is an important strategy for protecting children and the broader community as well as reducing the overall burden of respiratory illnesses when other viruses, including severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus 2, are cocirculating. This technical report summarizes recent influenza seasons, morbidity and mortality in children, vaccine effectiveness, and vaccination coverage, and provides detailed guidance on storage, administration, and implementation. The report also provides a brief background on inactivated and live attenuated influenza vaccine recommendations, vaccination during pregnancy and breastfeeding, diagnostic testing, and antiviral medications for treatment and chemoprophylaxis. Updated information is provided about the 2021 to 2022 influenza season, influenza immunization rates, the effectiveness of influenza vaccination on hospitalization and mortality, available vaccines, guidance for patients with history of severe allergic reactions to prior influenza vaccinations, and strategies to promote vaccine uptake.

Assessing the fitness of a dual-antiviral drug resistant human influenza virus in the ferret model

Influenza antivirals are important tools in our fight against annual influenza epidemics and future influenza pandemics. Combinations of antivirals may reduce the likelihood of drug resistance and improve clinical outcomes. Previously, two hospitalised immunocompromised influenza patients, who received a combination of a neuraminidase inhibitor and baloxavir marboxil, shed influenza viruses resistant to both drugs. Here-in, the replicative fitness of one of these A(H1N1)pdm09 virus isolates with dual resistance mutations (NA-H275Y and PA-I38T) was similar to wild type virus (WT) in vitro, but reduced in the upper respiratory tracts of challenged ferrets. The dual-mutant virus transmitted well between ferrets in an airborne transmission model, but was outcompeted by the WT when the two viruses were co-administered. These results indicate the dual-mutant virus had a moderate loss of viral fitness compared to the WT virus, suggesting that while person-to-person transmission of the dual-resistant virus may be possible, widespread community transmission is unlikely.

Effect of Baloxavir and Oseltamivir in Combination on Infection with Influenza Viruses with PA/I38T or PA/E23K Substitutions in the Ferret Model

Amino acid substitutions I38T and E23K in the influenza polymerase acidic (PA) protein lead to reduced susceptibility to the influenza antiviral drug baloxavir. The in vivo effectiveness of baloxavir and oseltamivir for treatment of these viruses is currently unknown. Using patient-derived influenza isolates, combination therapy was equally effective as monotherapy in reducing viral titers in the upper respiratory tract of ferrets infected with A(H1N1pdm09)-PA/E23K or A(H3N2)-PA/I38T. When treated with baloxavir plus oseltamivir, infection with a mixture of PA/I38T or PA/E23K and corresponding wild-type virus was characterized by a lower selection of viruses with reduced baloxavir susceptibility over the course of infection compared to baloxavir monotherapy. De novo emergence of the oseltamivir resistance mutation NA/H275Y occurred in ferrets treated with oseltamivir alone but not in ferrets treated with baloxavir plus oseltamivir. Our data suggest that combination therapy with influenza drugs with different mechanisms of action decreased the selection pressure for viruses with reduced drug susceptibility.

Influenza A virus polymerase acidic protein E23G/K substitutions weaken key baloxavir drug-binding contacts with minimal impact on replication and transmission

Baloxavir marboxil (BXM) is approved for treating uncomplicated influenza. The active metabolite baloxavir acid (BXA) inhibits cap-dependent endonuclease activity of the influenza virus polymerase acidic protein (PA), which is necessary for viral transcription. Treatment-emergent E23G or E23K (E23G/K) PA substitutions have been implicated in reduced BXA susceptibility, but their effect on virus fitness and transmissibility, their synergism with other BXA resistance markers, and the mechanisms of resistance have been insufficiently studied. Accordingly, we generated point mutants of circulating seasonal influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and A(H3N2) viruses carrying E23G/K substitutions. Both substitutions caused 2- to 13-fold increases in the BXA EC₅₀. EC₅₀s were higher with E23K than with E23G and increased dramatically (138- to 446-fold) when these substitutions were combined with PA I38T, the dominant BXA resistance marker. E23G/K-substituted viruses exhibited slightly impaired replication in MDCK and Calu-3 cells, which was more pronounced with E23K. In ferret transmission experiments, all viruses transmitted to direct-contact and airborne-transmission animals, with only E23K+I38T viruses failing to infect 100% of animals by airborne transmission. E23G/K genotypes were predominantly stable during transmission events and through five passages in vitro. Thermostable PA–BXA interactions were weakened by E23G/K substitutions and further weakened when combined with I38T. In silico modeling indicated this was caused by E23G/K altering the placement of functionally important Tyr24 in the endonuclease domain, potentially decreasing BXA binding but at some cost to the virus. These data implicate E23G/K, alone or combined with I38T, as important markers of reduced BXM susceptibility, and such mutants could emerge and/or transmit among humans.

Baloxavir is a new and potent anti-influenza drug targeting essential functions of viral replication. Currently, the I38T polymerase acidic protein (PA) substitution is the major marker of reduced susceptibility and potential resistance to baloxavir, but the full baloxavir resistance profile remains unclear. Here, we demonstrated that PA E23G/K substitutions alone weaken baloxavir efficacy, but they also synergize with I38T to impair drug activity further. E23G/K substitutions are located close to the binding site of baloxavir and indirectly weaken key drug-binding interactions. This effect has some negative consequences for virus replication, but E23G/K viruses possess the capacity for airborne spread between naïve ferrets, the gold-standard model of human influenza transmission. Therefore, E23G/K viruses have the potential for community spread, which would adversely affect baloxavir clinical implementation. Our study supports ongoing surveillance for circulating human E23G/K viruses, and it may inform design of enhanced baloxavir-like drugs less susceptible to emergence of viral resistance.

Prophylaxis in healthcare workers during a pandemic: a model for a multi-centre international randomised controlled trial using Bayesian analyses

BACKGROUND

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has exposed the disproportionate effects of pandemics on frontline workers and the ethical imperative to provide effective prophylaxis. We present a model for a pragmatic randomised controlled trial (RCT) that utilises Bayesian methods to rapidly determine the efficacy or futility of a prophylactic agent.

METHODS

We initially planned to undertake a multicentre, phase III, parallel-group, open-label RCT, to determine if hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) taken once a week was effective in preventing severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in healthcare workers (HCW) aged ≥ 18 years in New Zealand (NZ) and Ireland. Participants were to be randomised 2:1 to either HCQ (800 mg stat then 400 mg weekly) or no prophylaxis. The primary endpoint was time to Nucleic Acid Amplification Test-proven SARS-CoV-2 infection. Secondary outcome variables included mortality, hospitalisation, intensive care unit admissions and length of mechanical ventilation. The trial had no fixed sample size or duration of intervention. Bayesian adaptive analyses were planned to occur fortnightly, commencing with a weakly informative prior for the no prophylaxis group hazard rate and a moderately informative prior on the intervention log hazard ratio centred on 'no effect'. Stopping for expected success would be executed if the intervention had a greater than 0.975 posterior probability of reducing the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection by more than 10%. Final success would be declared if, after completion of 8 weeks of follow-up (reflecting the long half-life of HCQ), the prophylaxis had at least a 0.95 posterior probability of reducing the risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection by more than 10%. Futility would be declared if HCQ was shown to have less than a 0.10 posterior probability of reducing acquisition of SARS-CoV-2 infection by more than 20%.

DISCUSSION

This study did not begin recruitment due to the marked reduction in COVID-19 cases in NZ and concerns regarding the efficacy and risks of HCQ treatment in COVID-19. Nonetheless, the model presented can be easily adapted for other potential prophylactic agents and pathogens, and pre-established collaborative models like this should be shared and incorporated into future pandemic preparedness planning.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

The decision not to proceed with the study was made before trial registration occurred.

Fast and Efficient Synthesis of Racemic Baloxavir Catalyzed by Strong Solid Acid under Microwave Conditions

The compound (±)-12aR-12-[(11S)-7,8-difluoro-6,11-dihydrodibenzo[b,e]thiepin-11-yl]-7-hydroxy-3,4,12,12a-tetrahydro-1H-[1,4]oxazino[3,4-c]pyrido[2,1-f][1,2,4]triazine-6,8-dione is the intermediate of baloxavir marboxil. In the literature, traditional heating methods and common acid catalysts are used, which result in long reaction times and a low yield. Therefore, finding an efficient and environmentally friendly synthetic route is necessary. In this study, (±)-12aR-12-[(11S)-7,8-difluoro-6,11-dihydrodibenzo[b,e]thiepin-11-yl]-7-benzyloxy-3,4,12,12a-tetrahydro-1h-[1,4]oxazino[3,4-c]pyrido[2,1-f][1,2,4]triazine-6,8-dione (compound 3) was synthesized using a sulfonate resin solid acid catalyst (HND-580) under microwave conditions. The benzyl group was removed without further purification, and an intermediate, racemic baloxavir, was obtained under microwave irradiation. The total yield of the two steps was 78%. This method greatly reduces the reaction time and improves production efficiency.

Influenza A virus polymerase acidic protein E23R substitution is a marker of reduced susceptibility to baloxavir

In our ongoing efforts to identify baloxavir resistance markers, we demonstrated that the influenza A polymerase acidic (PA) protein E23R substitution is genetically stable, increases baloxavir EC₅₀ values (13- to 19-fold vs. wild-type), synergizes with PA I38T, and only modestly decreases viral fitness. E23R is, therefore, a potential threat to baloxavir treatment efficacy.

A Pharmacokinetics-Time to Alleviation of Symptoms Model to Support Extrapolation of Baloxavir Marboxil Clinical Efficacy in Different Ethnic Groups with Influenza A or B

Baloxavir marboxil, the prodrug of baloxavir acid, is an anti-influenza antiviral. Here, a pharmacokinetics-time to alleviation of symptoms (PK-TTAS) model was developed and used to (I) characterize the PK-TTAS relationship, (II) quantify the impact of covariates, and (III) predict TTAS in different ethnic groups. Data from 1781 otherwise-healthy (OwH) or high-risk (HR) patients included in phase II (JapicCTI-153090) and III studies (NCT02954354 and NCT02949011) were used; patients received either placebo or oral baloxavir marboxil. The natural distribution of TTAS in placebo-treated patients was modeled, then TTAS data from the baloxavir marboxil arms were added to model the impact of baloxavir acid concentration on TTAS. PK parameters estimated by a population PK model and informed by phase I data (NCT03959332 and KCT0003535) were included to simulate TTAS in Chinese and South Korean patients. Composite symptom score at baseline (TSS0), ethnicity, sex, and patient type (OwH or HR) significantly impacted the natural TTAS distribution. TTAS reduced with increasing baloxavir acid concentrations. Compared with placebo, high and low baloxavir acid exposures (AUC_0-inf 5.13-16.65 and 0.72-5.13 μg.hr/mL, respectively) significantly reduced TTAS; no covariates affected the drug effect on TTAS. Simulated TTAS was similar between OwH or HR Chinese, South Korean, and other Asian patients, with median reductions from placebo between 18.3-18.8 hours and 21.2-22.0 hours in OwH and HR patients, respectively, assuming TSS0 > 10. Ethnicity (Asian vs. non-Asian) did not significantly impact the drug effect on TTAS; predicted TTAS was similar across different Asian populations. This suggests Chinese and South Korean patients may benefit from similar efficacy as other Asian patients.

Household clustering supports a novel chemoprophylaxis trial design for a mosquito-borne viral disease

Infections because of chikungunya and other mosquito-borne viruses, such as dengue and Zika, represent an area of significant unmet medical need. There are currently no approved medicines for prophylaxis or treatment of these diseases, and the development and implementation of vaccines against these viruses have proved problematic. Although antiviral molecules with treatment and prophylactic potential against the chikungunya virus have been identified, no successful field trials have been reported. Chemoprophylaxis may be attractive for unvaccinated at-risk populations; however, performing a successful chemoprophylaxis trial during a chikungunya outbreak will require a clearly identifiable at-risk population. We propose the application of a household transmission model as used in testing drugs against respiratory viruses. Current evidence on household clustering of chikungunya and other Aedes mosquito-borne viral infections is supportive. We suggest that this model may improve prophylaxis trial feasibility and focus research and future treatment on a population likely to benefit.

Pharmacokinetics, safety, and simulated efficacy of an influenza treatment, baloxavir marboxil, in Chinese individuals

Baloxavir marboxil is an endonuclease inhibitor indicated for the treatment of influenza in patients ≥12 years. No data exist for Chinese patients in global studies. This randomized, open-label, phase I study evaluated the pharmacokinetics (PK) and safety of baloxavir marboxil in healthy Chinese volunteers and was used to anticipate efficacy in Chinese patients. Patients received a single oral dose of baloxavir marboxil (40 or 80 mg [1:1]). Serial blood samples were collected predose and at various timepoints up to 14 days postdose. Baloxavir marboxil and acid plasma concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. PK parameters of baloxavir acid were estimated by noncompartmental analysis. Adverse events (AEs) were recorded. Time to alleviation of symptoms (TTAS) was simulated for otherwise healthy (OwH) and high-risk (HR) Chinese and Asian patients. Thirty-two male patients received baloxavir marboxil. Baloxavir acid plasma concentration peaked 4 h postdose. Mean maximum concentration (Cmax ) was 107.6 and 206.9 ng/ml, and mean area under the plasma concentration-time curve from zero to infinity (AUC0-inf ) was 6955 and 9643 ng·h/ml in the 40 and 80 mg cohorts, respectively. AEs were mild and transient; no new safety signals were identified. Simulated median TTAS for OwH and HR Chinese patients agreed with simulated values in Asian patients. PK parameters were similar to Asian populations in other studies. The globally adopted baloxavir marboxil dosing strategy was consistent with the established safety profile of baloxavir marboxil in this population. Simulated efficacy indicated Chinese patients could benefit from similar efficacy to Asian patients.

Antiviral Drugs in Influenza

Flu is a serious health, medical, and economic problem, but no therapy is yet available that has satisfactory results and reduces the occurrence of these problems. Nearly 20 years after the registration of the previous therapy, baloxavir marboxil, a drug with a new mechanism of action, recently appeared on the market. This is a promising step in the fight against the influenza virus. This article presents the possibilities of using all available antiviral drugs specific for influenza A and B. We compare all currently recommended anti-influenza medications, considering their mechanisms of action, administration, indications, target groups, effectiveness, and safety profiles. We demonstrate that baloxavir marboxil presents a similar safety and efficacy profile to those of drugs already used in the treatment of influenza. Further research on combination therapy is highly recommended and may have promising results.

Comparison of intra-familial transmission of influenza virus from index patients treated with baloxavir marboxil or oseltamivir using an influenza transmission model and a health insurance claims database

Background

Influenza affects approximately a billion people globally, including > 10 million Japanese individuals every year. Baloxavir marboxil (baloxavir [BXM]; a selective cap-dependent endonuclease inhibitor) is approved for influenza treatment in Japan. We compared the incidence of intra-familial transmission of influenza between BXM and oseltamivir (OTV) treatments using a simulation model.

Methods

Using the JMDC Claims Database, we identified index case (IC) as the first family member diagnosed with influenza during the 2018–19 influenza season, and classified the families into BXM or OTV group per the drug dispensed to ICs. Using a novel influenza intra-familial infection model, we simulated the duration of influenza infection in ICs based on agent-specific virus shedding periods. Intra-familial infections were defined as non-IC family members infected during the agent-specific viral shedding period in ICs. The virus incubation periods in the non-IC family members were considered to exclude secondary infections from potentially external exposure. The primary endpoint was proportion of families with intra-familial infections. For between-group comparisons, we used a multivariate logistic regression model.

Results

The median proportion of families with intra-familial transmission was 9.57% and 19.35% in the BXM (N = 84 672) and OTV (N = 62 004) groups, respectively. The multivariate odds ratio of 1.73 (2.5th–97.5th percentiles, 1.68–1.77) indicated a substantially higher incidence of intra-familial infections in the OTV group versus the BXM group. Subgroup analyses by ICs’ age category, virus type, and month of onset revealed similar trends favoring BXM.

Conclusions

BXM treatment of ICs may contribute to a greater reduction in intra-familial influenza transmission than OTV treatment.

Characterization of the In Vitro and In Vivo Efficacy of Baloxavir Marboxil against H5 Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza Virus Infection

Human infections caused by the H5 highly pathogenic avian influenza virus (HPAIV) sporadically threaten public health. The susceptibility of HPAIVs to baloxavir acid (BXA), a new class of inhibitors for the influenza virus cap-dependent endonuclease, has been confirmed in vitro, but it has not yet been fully characterized. Here, the efficacy of BXA against HPAIVs, including recent H5N8 variants, was assessed in vitro. The antiviral efficacy of baloxavir marboxil (BXM) in H5N1 virus-infected mice was also investigated. BXA exhibited similar in vitro activities against H5N1, H5N6, and H5N8 variants tested in comparison with seasonal and other zoonotic strains. Compared with oseltamivir phosphate (OSP), BXM monotherapy in mice infected with the H5N1 HPAIV clinical isolate, the A/Hong Kong/483/1997 strain, also caused a significant reduction in viral titers in the lungs, brains, and kidneys, thereby preventing acute lung inflammation and reducing mortality. Furthermore, compared with BXM or OSP monotherapy, combination treatments with BXM and OSP using a 48-h delayed treatment model showed a more potent effect on viral replication in the organs, accompanied by improved survival. In conclusion, BXM has a potent antiviral efficacy against H5 HPAIV infections.

Viral infections in lung transplantation

Viral infections account for up to 30% of all infectious complications in lung transplant recipients, remaining a significant cause of morbidity and even mortality. Impact of viral infections is not only due to the direct effects of viral replication, but also to immunologically-mediated lung injury that may lead to acute rejection and chronic lung allograft dysfunction. This has particularly been seen in infections caused by herpesviruses and respiratory viruses. The implementation of universal preventive measures against cytomegalovirus (CMV) and influenza (by means of antiviral prophylaxis and vaccination, respectively) and administration of early antiviral treatment have reduced the burden of these diseases and potentially their role in affecting allograft outcomes. New antivirals against CMV for prophylaxis and for treatment of antiviral-resistant CMV infection are currently being evaluated in transplant recipients, and may continue to improve the management of CMV in lung transplant recipients. However, new therapeutic and preventive strategies are highly needed for other viruses such as respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) or parainfluenza virus (PIV), including new antivirals and vaccines. This is particularly important in the advent of the COVID-19 pandemic, for which several unanswered questions remain, in particular on the best antiviral and immunomodulatory regimen for decreasing mortality specifically in lung transplant recipients. In conclusion, the appropriate management of viral complications after transplantation remain an essential step to continue improving survival and quality of life of lung transplant recipients.