Model-based analysis and forecast of sleep-wake regulatory dynamics: Tools and applications to data

Detecting hidden nodes in networks based on random variable resetting method

Reconstructing network connections from measurable data facilitates our understanding of the mechanism of interactions between nodes. However, the unmeasurable nodes in real networks, also known as hidden nodes, introduce new challenges for reconstruction. There have been some hidden node detection methods, but most of them are limited by system models, network structures, and other conditions. In this paper, we propose a general theoretical method for detecting hidden nodes based on the random variable resetting method. We construct a new time series containing hidden node information based on the reconstruction results of random variable resetting, theoretically analyze the autocovariance of the time series, and finally provide a quantitative criterion for detecting hidden nodes. We numerically simulate our method in discrete and continuous systems and analyze the influence of main factors. The simulation results validate our theoretical derivation and illustrate the robustness of the detection method under different conditions.

Optimization of an unscented Kalman filter for an embedded platform

The unscented Kalman filter (UKF) is finding increased application in biological fields. While realizing a complex UKF system in a low-power embedded platform offers many potential benefits including wearability, it also poses significant design challenges. Here we present a method for optimizing a UKF system for realization in an embedded platform. The method seeks to minimize both computation time and error in UKF state reconstruction and forecasting. As a case study, we applied the method to a model for the rat sleep-wake regulatory system in which 432 variants of the UKF over six different variables are considered. The optimization method is divided into three stages that assess computation time, state forecast error, and state reconstruction error. We apply a cost function to variants that pass all three stages to identify a variant that computes 27 times faster than the reference variant and maintains required levels of state estimation and forecasting accuracy. We draw the following insights: 1) process noise provides leeway for simplifying the model and its integration in ways that speed computation time while maintaining state forecasting accuracy, 2) the assimilation of observed data during the UKF correction step provides leeway for simplifying the UKF structure in ways that speed computation time while maintaining state reconstruction accuracy, and 3) the optimization process can be accelerated by decoupling variables that directly impact the underlying model from variables that impact the UKF structure.

Introduction to Focus Issue: Dynamical disease: A translational approach

The concept of Dynamical Diseases provides a framework to understand physiological control systems in pathological states due to their operating in an abnormal range of control parameters: this allows for the possibility of a return to normal condition by a redress of the values of the governing parameters. The analogy with bifurcations in dynamical systems opens the possibility of mathematically modeling clinical conditions and investigating possible parameter changes that lead to avoidance of their pathological states. Since its introduction, this concept has been applied to a number of physiological systems, most notably cardiac, hematological, and neurological. A quarter century after the inaugural meeting on dynamical diseases held in Mont Tremblant, Québec [Bélair et al., Dynamical Diseases: Mathematical Analysis of Human Illness (American Institute of Physics, Woodbury, NY, 1995)], this Focus Issue offers an opportunity to reflect on the evolution of the field in traditional areas as well as contemporary data-based methods.