Treatment Outcome of a Shorter Regimen Containing Clofazimine for Multidrug-resistant Tuberculosis: A Randomized Control Trial in China

Effectiveness, cost, and safety of four regimens recommended by WHO for RR/MDR-TB treatment: a cohort study in Eastern China

BACKGROUND

To compare the effectiveness, cost, and safety of four regimens recommended by the World Health Organization (WHO) for rifampicin resistance/multidrug-resistance tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) Treatment in Eastern China.

METHODS

We performed a cohort study among patients with RR/MDR between 2020 and 2022 in Jiangsu Province. The treatment success rate, cost, and drug adverse reaction rate were compared.

RESULTS

Between 2020 and 2022, 253 RR/MDR-TB patients were enrolled in the study. 37 (14.62%), 76 (30.04%), 74 (29.25%), and 66 (26.09%) patients had the short-term regimens, the new long-term oral regimens, the new long-term injectable regimens, and the traditional long-term regimens, respectively. The treatment success rate was the highest among patients treated with the short-term regimen (75.68%) and was the lowest among patients treated with the traditional long-term regimens (60.61%). The estimated mean cost per favorable outcome was 142.61 thousand Chinese Yuan (CNY), and the short-term regimens showed the lowest cost in the four regimes (88.51 thousand CNY vs. 174.24 thousand CNY, 144.00 thousand CNY, and 134.98 thousand CNY). Incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of the short-term regimens, the new long-term oral regimen, and the new long-term injectable regimens were -3083.04, 6040.09, and 819.68 CNY compared to the traditional long-term regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

For RR/MDR-TB patients in China who meet the criteria for short-term regimens, the short-term regimens were proven to be the most cost-effective of the four regimens recommended by WHO. For RR/MDR-TB patients in China who don't meet the criteria for short-term regimens, the new long-term injectable regimens are more cost-effective than the remaining two regimens.

Nine months of bedaquiline, linezolid, levofloxacin, clofazimine, and cycloserine chemotherapy for rifampicin/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: a multicenter, randomized, open-label non-inferiority trial in China

BACKGROUND

We concurrently developed a prospective study to assess clinical outcomes among patients receiving 9-month bedaquiline (BDQ)-containing regimens, aiming to provide valuable data on the use of this short-course regimen in China.

METHODS

This open-label, randomized, controlled, multicenter, non-inferiority trial was conducted at sixteen hospitals, and enrolled participants aged 18 years and older with pulmonary rifampicin/multidrug tuberculosis. Participants were randomly assigned, in a 1:1 ratio. Individuals within the standard-regimen group received 6 months of BDQ, linezolid, levofloxacin, clofazimine, and cycloserine plus 12 months of levofloxacin, and any three potentially effective drugs from clofazimine, cycloserine pyrazinamide, ethambutol and protionamide, whereas individuals within shorter-regimen group received 9 months of BDQ, linezolid, levofloxacin, clofazimine and cycloserine. The primary outcome was the percentage of participants with a composite unfavorable outcome (treatment failure, death, treatment discontinuation, or loss to follow-up) by the end of the treatment course after randomization in the modified intention-to-treat population. The noninferiority margin was 10%. This trial was registered with www.chictr.org.cn , ChiCTR2000029012.

RESULTS

Between Jan 1, 2020, and Dec 31, 2023, 264 were screened and randomly assigned, 132 of 264 participants were assigned to the standard-regimen group and 132 were assigned to the shorter-regimen. Thirty-three (12.55%) of 264 participants were excluded from the modified intention-to-treat analysis. As a result, 231 participants were included in the modified intention-to-treat analysis (116 in the standard-regimen group and 115 in the shorter-regimen group).In the modified intention-to-treat population, unfavorable outcomes were reported in 19 (16.5%) of 115 participants for whom the outcome was assessable in the shorter-regimen group and 26 (22.4%) of 116 participants in the standard care group (risk difference 5.9 percentage points (97.5% CI - 5.8 to 17.5)). One death was reported in the standard-regimen group. The incidence of QTcF prolongation in the shorter-regimen group (22.6%, 26/115) was similar to the standard-regimen group (24.1%, 28/116).

CONCLUSIONS

The 9-month, all-oral regimen is safe and efficacious for the treatment of pulmonary rifampicin/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. The high incidence of QTc prolongation associated with the use of BDQ highlights the urgent need of routine electrocardiogram monitoring under treatment with BDQ-containing regimens in the Chinese population.

Molecular mechanisms of resistance and treatment efficacy of clofazimine and bedaquiline against Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Clofazimine (CFZ) and bedaquiline (BDQ) are currently used for the treatment of multidrug-resistant (MDR) Mycobacterium tuberculosis (Mtb) strains. In recent years, adding CFZ and BDQ to tuberculosis (TB) drug regimens against MDR Mtb strains has significantly improved treatment results, but these improvements are threatened by the emergence of MDR and extensively drug-resistant (XDR) Mtb strains. Recently, CFZ and BDQ have attracted much attention for their strong clinical efficacy, although very little is known about the mechanisms of action, drug susceptibility test (DST), resistance mechanisms, cross-resistance, and pharmacokinetics of these two drugs. In this current review, we provide recent updates on the mechanisms of action, DST, associated mutations with individual resistance and cross-resistance, clinical efficacy, and pharmacokinetics of CFZ and BDQ against Mtb strains. Presently, known mechanisms of resistance for CFZ and/or BDQ include mutations within the Rv0678, pepQ, Rv1979c, and atpE genes. The cross-resistance between CFZ and BDQ may reduce available MDR-/XDR-TB treatment options. The use of CFZ and BDQ for treatment in the setting of limited DST could allow further spread of drug resistance. The DST and resistance knowledge are urgently needed where CFZ and BDQ resistance do emerge. Therefore, an in-depth understanding of clinical efficacy, DST, cross-resistance, and pharmacokinetics for CFZ and BDQ against Mtb can provide new ideas for improving treatment outcomes, reducing mortality, preventing drug resistance, and TB transmission. Along with this, it will also help to develop rapid molecular diagnostic tools as well as novel therapeutic drugs for TB.

The Development of Dermal Self-Double-Emulsifying Drug Delivery Systems: Preformulation Studies as the Keys to Success

Self-emulsifying drug delivery systems (SEDDSs) are lipid-based systems that are superior to other lipid-based oral drug delivery systems in terms of providing drug protection against the gastrointestinal (GI) environment, inhibition of drug efflux as mediated by P-glycoprotein, enhanced lymphatic drug uptake, improved control over plasma concentration profiles of drugs, enhanced stability, and drug loading efficiency. Interest in dermal spontaneous emulsions has increased, given that systems have been reported to deliver drugs across mucus membranes, as well as the outermost layer of the skin into the underlying layers. The background and development of a double spontaneous emulsion incorporating four anti-tubercular drugs, clofazimine (CFZ), isoniazid (INH), pyrazinamide (PZY), and rifampicin (RIF), are described here. Our methods involved examination of oil miscibility, the construction of pseudoternary phase diagrams, the determination of self-emulsification performance and the emulsion stability index of primary emulsions (PEs), solubility, and isothermal micro calorimetry compatibility and examination of emulsions via microscopy. Overall, the potential of self-double-emulsifying drug delivery systems (SDEDDSs) as a dermal drug delivery vehicle is now demonstrated. The key to success here is the conduct of preformulation studies to enable the development of dermal SDEDDSs. To our knowledge, this work represents the first successful example of the production of SDEDDSs capable of incorporating four individual drugs.

Rv1453 is associated with clofazimine resistance in Mycobacterium tuberculosis

Clofazimine (CFZ) has been repurposed for treating tuberculosis (TB), especially multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB). However, the mechanisms of resistance to clofazimine are poorly understood. We previously reported a mutation located in the intergenic region of Rv1453 that was linked to resistance to CFZ and demonstrated that an Rv1453 knockout resulted in an increased minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) of CFZ. The current study aims to go back and describe in detail how the mutation was identified and further explore its association with CFZ resistance by testing additional 30 isolates. We investigated MICs of clofazimine against 100 clinical strains isolated from MDR-TB patients by microplate alamarBlue assay. Whole-genome sequencing (WGS) was performed on 11 clofazimine-resistant and 7 clofazimine-susceptible strains, including H37Rv. Among the 11 clofazimine-resistant mutants subjected to WGS, the rate of mutation in the intergenic region of the Rv1453 gene was 55% (6/11) in clofazimine-resistant strains. Among another 30 clofazimine-resistant clinical isolates, 27 had mutations in the intergenic region of the Rv1453 gene. A mutation in the Rv1453 gene associated with clofazimine resistance was identified, which shed light on the mechanisms of action and resistance of clofazimine. IMPORTANCE Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious disease caused by the bacterium Mycobacterium tuberculosis, especially the emergence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) brings great distress to humans. Clofazimine (CFZ) plays an important role in the treatment of MDR-TB. To understand the underlying mechanism of clofazimine resistance better, in this study, we review and detail the findings of the mutation of intergenic region of Rv1453 and find additional evidence that this mutation is related to clofazimine resistance in 30 additional isolates. The significance of our research is to contribute to a comprehensive understanding of clofazimine-resistant mechanisms, which is critical for reducing the emergence of resistance and for anti-TB drug discovery.

Bedquiline Resistance Mutations: Correlations with Drug Exposures and Impact on the Proteome in M. tuberculosis

Bedaquiline (BDQ) is an effective drug for the treatment of drug-resistant tuberculosis. Mutations in atpE, which encodes the target of BDQ, are associated with large increases in MICs. Mutations in Rv0678 that derepress the transcription of the MmpL5-MmpS5 efflux transporter are associated with smaller increases in MICs. However, Rv0678 mutations are the most common mutations that are associated with BDQ resistance in clinical isolates, and they also confer cross-resistance to clofazimine (CFZ). To investigate the mechanism of BDQ resistance and the correlation between Rv0678 mutations and target-based atpE mutations, M. tuberculosis strains were exposed to different concentrations of BDQ or CFZ to select Rv0678 mutations and atpE mutations. Gene overexpression strains were constructed to illustrate the roles of MmpL5 and MmpS5. A quantitative proteome analysis was performed to compare the BDQ-resistant mutants to the isogenic strain H37Rv. Here, we report that the Rv0678 mutations were more readily selected than were the atpE mutations at low concentrations of BDQ or CFZ. The atpE mutations were selected by high concentrations of BDQ exposure. The overexpression of both mmpL5 and mmpS5 reduced the susceptibility of Mycobacterium tuberculosis to BDQ and CFZ. Secreted immunogenic proteins and proteins involved in the biosynthesis and transport of phthiocerol dimycocerosates were associated with Rv0678 mutations conferring BDQ resistance in the proteome analysis. In conclusion, exposure to different bedaquiline concentrations resulted in the selection of different mutations. The coexpression of MmpL5 and MmpS5 contributed to drug resistance and upregulated pathogenic proteins in M. tuberculosis, suggesting MmpL5-MmpS5 as a new potential target for antituberculosis drug development. These results warrant further surveillance for the evolution of BDQ resistance during clinical usage.

Potential Repurposed Drug Candidates for Tuberculosis Treatment: Progress and Update of Drugs Identified in Over a Decade

The devastating impact of Tuberculosis (TB) has been a menace to mankind for decades. The World Health Organization (WHO) End TB Strategy aims to reduce TB mortality up to 95% and 90% of overall TB cases worldwide, by 2035. This incessant urge will be achieved with a breakthrough in either a new TB vaccine or novel drugs with higher efficacy. However, the development of novel drugs is a laborious process involving a timeline of almost 20-30 years with huge expenditure; on the other hand, repurposing previously approved drugs is a viable technique for overcoming current bottlenecks in the identification of new anti-TB agents. The present comprehensive review discusses the progress of almost all the repurposed drugs that have been identified to the present day (∼100) and are in the development or clinical testing phase against TB. We have also emphasized the efficacy of repurposed drugs in combination with already available frontline anti-TB medications along with the scope of future investigations. This study would provide the researchers a detailed overview of nearly all identified anti-TB repurposed drugs and may assist them in selecting the lead compounds for further in vivo/clinical research.

Clofazimine for the treatment of tuberculosis

Shorter (6-9 months), fully oral regimens containing new and repurposed drugs are now the first-choice option for the treatment of drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB). Clofazimine, long used in the treatment of leprosy, is one such repurposed drug that has become a cornerstone of DR-TB treatment and ongoing trials are exploring novel, shorter clofazimine-containing regimens for drug-resistant as well as drug-susceptible tuberculosis. Clofazimine's repurposing was informed by evidence of potent activity against DR-TB strains in vitro and in mice and a treatment-shortening effect in DR-TB patients as part of a multidrug regimen. Clofazimine entered clinical use in the 1950s without the rigorous safety and pharmacokinetic evaluation which is part of modern drug development and current dosing is not evidence-based. Recent studies have begun to characterize clofazimine's exposure-response relationship for safety and efficacy in populations with TB. Despite being better tolerated than some other second-line TB drugs, the extent and impact of adverse effects including skin discolouration and cardiotoxicity are not well understood and together with emergent resistance, may undermine clofazimine use in DR-TB programmes. Furthermore, clofazimine's precise mechanism of action is not well established, as is the genetic basis of clofazimine resistance. In this narrative review, we present an overview of the evidence base underpinning the use and limitations of clofazimine as an antituberculosis drug and discuss advances in the understanding of clofazimine pharmacokinetics, toxicity, and resistance. The unusual pharmacokinetic properties of clofazimine and how these relate to its putative mechanism of action, antituberculosis activity, dosing considerations and adverse effects are highlighted. Finally, we discuss the development of novel riminophenazine analogues as antituberculosis drugs.

Impacts of clofazimine on the treatment outcomes of drug-resistant tuberculosis

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this research was to evaluate the effect of clofazimine on drug-resistant tuberculosis treatment outcomes.

METHODS

A systematic search was conducted in the PubMed, Web of Science and EMBASE databases to identify eligible studies published up to July 10, 2021. The search terms were as follows: "clofazimine," "tuberculosis," "multidrug resistant tuberculosis" or "extensively drug resistant tuberculosis" and their synonyms or similar words. Two researchers independently screened the titles, abstracts, and full texts for inclusion. Meta-analysis was performed with Stata version 16.0 (Stata Corp., College Station, Texas, USA). Risk ratios (RRs) with 95% CIs were calculated to evaluate the treatment outcome.

RESULTS

Eight studies including 3219 participants were included in the meta-analysis. The meta-analysis found that the rates of treatment completion was higher in patients receiving clofazimine-containing regimens than in those not receiving clofazimine-containing regimens (RR: 1.185 (1.060-1.325), P = 0.003). Significant reduction in treatment failure (RR: 0.598 (0.473-0.756), P < 0.001) was found in the clofazimine treatment group. The subgroup analyses of randomized controlled trials (RCTs) found a higher rates of favorable outcomes, treatment completion and cure in the clofazimine group than in the control group (RR: 1.203 (1.029-1.407), P = 0.020; RR: 3.167 (2.043-4.908), P < 0.001; and RR: 1.251 (1.031-1.518), P = 0.023, respectively). Patients receiving clofazimine had a lower risk of treatment failure than those not receiving clofazimine (RR: 0.529 (0.454-0.616), P < 0.001). However, clofazimine treatment did not have a statistically significant effect on all-cause mortality in RCTs.

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that compared with patients who do not receive clofazimine, this drug has the potential to achieve a higher favorable outcome, treatment completion and cure rates, and a lower treatment failure risk among drug-resistant tuberculosis cases.

Comparative effectiveness of individualized longer and standardized shorter regimens in the treatment of multidrug resistant tuberculosis in a high burden country

Objective: To compare the effectiveness of second line injectables containing shorter (duration 9–12 months) and longer treatment regimens (LTR, duration ≥ 20 months) among multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) patients with no documented resistance and history of treatment with any second-line anti-TB drug (SLD) for ≥ 1 month.

Methods: This was an observational cohort study of MDR-TB patients treated at eight PMDT units in Pakistan. Patients’ data from baseline until treatment outcomes were collected from Electronic Nominal Recording and Reporting System. The treatment outcomes of “cured” and “treatment completed” were grouped together as successful, whereas “death,” “treatment failure,” and “lost to follow-up” were collectively grouped as unsuccessful outcomes. Time to sputum culture conversion (SCC) was analyzed using the Kaplan–Meier method and the differences between groups were compared through the log-rank test. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards and binary logistic regression analyses were used to find predictors of time to SCC and unsuccessful treatment outcomes. A p-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant.

Results: A total 701 eligible MDR-TB patients [313 treated with shorter treatment regimen (STR) and 388 treated with LTR at eight centres in Pakistan were evaluated]. Time to achieve SCC was significantly shorter in STR group [mean: 2.03 months, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.79–2.26] than in LTR group (mean: 2.69 months, 95% CI: 2.35–3.03) (p-value<0.001, Log-rank test). Treatment success was higher in STR (83.7%) than in LTR (73.2%) group (p-value <0.001) due to high cure (79.9% vs. 70.9%, p-value = 0.006) and low death (9.9% vs. 18.3%, p-value = 0.002) rates with STR. Treatment with STR emerged the only predictor of early SCC [adjusted Hazards ratio (aHR) = 0.815, p-value = 0.014], whereas, patient’s age of 41–60 (OR = 2.62, p-value<0.001) and >60 years (OR = 5.84, p-value<0.001), baseline body weight of 31–60 (OR = 0.36, p-value = 0.001) and >60 kg (OR = 0.23, p-value <0.001), and treatment with LTR (OR = 1.88, p-value = 0.001) had statistically significant association with unsuccessful treatment outcomes.

Conclusion: STR exhibited superior anti-microbial activity against MDR-TB. When compared LTR, treatment with STR resulted in significantly early SCC, high cure, and lower death rates among MDR-TB patients who had no documented resistance and history of treatment with any SLD ≥ 1 month.

Minimum inhibitory concentration of cycloserine against Mycobacterium tuberculosis using the MGIT 960 system and a proposed critical concentration

OBJECTIVES

We aimed to determine the breakpoint of cycloserine (CS) susceptibility in MGIT and to describe the molecular characteristics of CS-resistant Mycobacterium tuberculosis (MTB) isolates.

METHODS

A total of 124 MTB isolates were recruited in our analysis. Minimum inhibitory concentration (MIC) was determined using the MGIT system. The mutations of MTB isolates within alr, ddl, ald, and cycA, potentially conferring CS resistance were analyzed by the whole-genome sequencing.

RESULTS

In vitro drug susceptibility testing of isolates with doubling concentrations of CS revealed that the modal MIC values was 4 mg/L for MGIT, accounting for 35.5% (44/124) of isolates tested. Seven isolates harbored mutations conferring CS resistance, consisting of five with alr mutations and two with ald mutations. On the basis of the MIC distributions of wild-type and resistotype populations, we proposed a tentative epidemiologic cut-off value of 16 mg/l. The proportion of CS resistance in extensively drug-resistant TB was significantly higher than that of multidrug-resistant TB.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, we propose critical concentration for MGIT 960 to properly diagnose CS-resistant MTB and demonstrate that mutations in alr and ald genes are the major mechanism conferring CS resistance in clinical isolates.

Application of Next Generation Sequencing for Diagnosis and Clinical Management of Drug-Resistant Tuberculosis: Updates on Recent Developments in the Field

The World Health Organization’s End TB Strategy prioritizes universal access to an early diagnosis and comprehensive drug susceptibility testing (DST) for all individuals with tuberculosis (TB) as a key component of integrated, patient-centered TB care. Next generation whole genome sequencing (WGS) and its associated technology has demonstrated exceptional potential for reliable and comprehensive resistance prediction for Mycobacterium tuberculosis isolates, allowing for accurate clinical decisions. This review presents a descriptive analysis of research describing the potential of WGS to accelerate delivery of individualized care, recent advances in sputum-based WGS technology and the role of targeted sequencing for resistance detection. We provide an update on recent research describing the mechanisms of resistance to new and repurposed drugs and the dynamics of mixed infections and its potential implication on TB diagnosis and treatment. Whilst the studies reviewed here have greatly improved our understanding of recent advances in this arena, it highlights significant challenges that remain. The wide-spread introduction of new drugs in the absence of standardized DST has led to rapid emergence of drug resistance. This review highlights apparent gaps in our knowledge of the mechanisms contributing to resistance for these new drugs and challenges that limit the clinical utility of next generation sequencing techniques. It is recommended that a combination of genotypic and phenotypic techniques is warranted to monitor treatment response, curb emerging resistance and further dissemination of drug resistance.

MDR Tuberculosis Treatment

Multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis (TB), resistant to isoniazid and rifampicin, continues to be one of the most important threats to controlling the TB epidemic. Over the last few years, there have been promising pharmacological advances in the paradigm of MDR TB treatment: new and repurposed drugs have shown excellent bactericidal and sterilizing activity against Mycobacterium tuberculosis and several all-oral short regimens to treat MDR TB have shown promising results. The purpose of this comprehensive review is to summarize the most important drugs currently used to treat MDR TB, the recommended regimens to treat MDR TB, and we also summarize new insights into the treatment of patients with MDR TB.

Clofazimine as a Treatment for Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Review

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is an infectious disease caused by Mycobacterium tuberculosis which is resistant to at least isoniazid and rifampicin. This disease is a worldwide threat and complicates the control of tuberculosis (TB). Long treatment duration, a combination of several drugs, and the adverse effects of these drugs are the factors that play a role in the poor outcomes of MDR-TB patients. There have been many studies with repurposed drugs to improve MDR-TB outcomes, including clofazimine. Clofazimine recently moved from group 5 to group B of drugs that are used to treat MDR-TB. This drug belongs to the riminophenazine class, which has lipophilic characteristics and was previously discovered to treat TB and approved for leprosy. This review discusses the role of clofazimine as a treatment component in patients with MDR-TB, and the drug’s properties. In addition, we discuss the efficacy, safety, and tolerability of clofazimine for treating MDR-TB. This study concludes that the clofazimine-containing regimen has better efficacy compared with the standard one and is also well-tolerated. Clofazimine has the potential to shorten the duration of MDR-TB treatment.

Effectiveness of Shorter Treatment Regimen in Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis Patients in Pakistan: A Multicenter Retrospective Record Review

In Pakistan, the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) with a shorter treatment regimen (STR), that is, 4-6 months of amikacin, moxifloxacin (Mfx), ethionamide, clofazimine (Cfz), pyrazinamide (Z), ethambutol (E), and high-dose isoniazid, followed by 5 months of Mfx, Cfz, Z, and E, was initiated in 2018. However, there is a lack of information about its effectiveness in Pakistani healthcare settings. Therefore, this retrospective record review of MDR-TB patients treated with STR at eight treatment sites in Pakistan aimed to fill this gap. Data were analyzed using SPSS 23. Multivariate binary logistic regression (MVBLR) analysis was conducted to find factors associated with death and treatment failure, and lost to follow-up (LTFU). A P-value < 0.05 was considered statistically significant. Of 912 MDR-TB patients enrolled at the study sites, only 313 (34.3%) eligible patients were treated with STR and included in the current study. Of them, a total of 250 (79.9%) were cured, 12 (3.8%) completed treated, 31 (9.9%) died, 16 (5.1%) were LTFU, and four (1.3%) were declared as treatment failures. The overall treatment success rate was 83.7%. In MVBLR analysis, patients' age of 41-60 (odds ratio [OR] = 4.9, P-value = 0.020) and > 60 years (OR = 3.6, P-value = 0.035), being underweight (OR = 2.7, P-value = 0.042), and previous TB treatment (OR = 0.4, P-value = 0.042) had statistically significant association with death and treatment failure, whereas patients' age of > 60 years (OR = 5.4, P-value = 0.040) and previous TB treatment (OR = 0.2, P-value = 0.008) had statistically significant association with LTFU. The treatment success rate of STR was encouraging. However, to further improve the treatment outcomes, special attention should be paid to the patients with identified risk factors.

Assessment of Strategies and Epidemiological Characteristics of Tuberculosis in Henan Province, China: Observational Study

Background

In 2005, China established an internet-based Tuberculosis Information Management System (TBIMS) to monitor changes in tuberculosis (TB). Many scholars have conducted epidemiological research using TBIMS; however, few studies assessing control strategies have been performed based on this platform data. Henan province is a high TB incidence area in China where, in addition to following the nationwide TB strategies, a series of local intervention combinations have been implemented.

Objective

Our study aims to evaluate the impact of nationwide TB intervention combinations on epidemiological changes and determine whether Henan province can achieve the World Health Organization’s (WHO) goal of reducing TB incidence by 50% and TB mortality by 75% by the year 2025.

Methods

We used descriptive statistical methods to show the spatial and temporal distribution of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) reported to the TBIMS database from 2005 to 2018, and logistic regression analysis was performed to identify the risk factors of bacteriological-positive TB. The dynamic compartmental model and Bayesian melding approach was adopted to estimate the burden of TB under the impact of different TB control policies.

Results

In total, 976,526 PTB cases were notified to the TBIMS in Henan in a period of 14 years. Although the overall incidence of PTB declined from 91.4/10⁵ to 58.5/10⁵, and the overall incidence of bacteriological-positive PTB declined from 44.5/10⁵ to 14.7/10⁵, the WHO’s 2025 goal could not be met. The distribution of high incidence and poverty-stricken counties were basically overlapped. Men, farmers and herdsmen (in rural areas), and subjects aged ≥60 years were more likely to develop bacteriological-positive PTB. The increasing treatment success for drug-susceptible tuberculosis and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis has not provided the desired reduction in incidence and mortality.

Conclusions

To achieve the targeted goal, while improving the cure rate of TB, new active (rather than passive) detection and intervention strategies should be formulated based on epidemiological characteristics in Henan province.