Epidemiology of the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS)

Prevalence and predictors of HIV among patients presenting to US emergency departments with opioid overdose

INTRODUCTION

Opioid overdose deaths in the U.S. have risen dramatically in the past decade, largely due to the surge in illicitly manufactured fentanyl. Injection drug use is a known risk factor for HIV, further complicating the long-term consequences of opioid use. The baseline prevalence of HIV among adults in the US is 0.46 %. The primary purpose of this study was to determine the prevalence and risk factors of HIV among patients presenting to the emergency departments (ED) with an acute opioid overdose.

METHODS

This study is a prospective observational cohort study from the ToxIC Fentalog Study group. Patients age 18 years of age or older are included if they present to one of 10 participating U.S. hospitals in 9 states between September 2020 and May 2023 with a suspected opioid overdose and had waste serum available after routine laboratory testing. Clinical data is collected from the medical record and patient serum is sent for comprehensive toxicologic analysis via liquid chromatography quadrupole time-of-flight mass spectroscopy to detect the presence of over 1200 substances including illicit opioids, novel synthetic opioids, medications, and adulterants. Logistic multivariable regression was performed to examine the association between demographic, behavioral, and serum toxicology data with risk factors and HIV status.

RESULTS

Among the total cohort (n=1690), 1062 cases had known HIV status (62.8 % of total sample). Among patients with a known HIV status, 60 (5.6 % [95 % CI: 4.2 %, 7.0 %]) were HIV positive. Patients with HIV reported stimulant use more frequently (13.3 %) than those without HIV (6.8 %; p=0.003). After controlling for confounding, bipolar psychiatric history was a significant independent predictor of HIV positivity (aOR: 1.08; 95 % CI: 1.02, 1.13) in this population.

CONCLUSIONS

In this large multicenter cohort, the prevalence of HIV for ED patients with illicit opioid overdose was 9 times higher than that expected by the general population. Bipolar disorder appears to be a novel risk factor for HIV positivity in this patient population.

A Decision-Analytic Approach to Addressing the Evidence About Football and Chronic Traumatic Encephalopathy

Doubts can be raised about almost any assertion that a particular exposure can lead to an increase in a given adverse health effect. Even some of the most well-accepted causal associations in public health, such as that linking cigarette smoking to increased lung cancer risk, have intriguing research questions remaining to be answered. The inquiry whether an exposure causes a disease is never wholly a yes/no question but ought to follow from an appraisal of the weight of evidence supporting the positive conclusion in light of any coherent theories casting doubt on this evidence and the data supporting these. More importantly, such an appraisal cannot be made sensibly without considering the relative consequences to public health and economic welfare of specific actions based on unwarranted credulity (false positives) versus unwarranted skepticism (false negatives). Here we appraise the weight of evidence for the premise that repeated head impacts (RHIs) in professional football can increase the incidence of chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) and, in turn, cause a variety of cognitive and behavioral symptoms. We first dismiss four logical fallacies that should not affect the appraisal of the weight of evidence. We then examine four alternative hypotheses in which RHI is not associated with CTE or symptoms (or both), and we conclude that the chances are small that the RHI→ CTE→ symptoms link is coincidental or artifactual. In particular, we observe that there are many specific interventions for which, even under a skeptical appraisal of the weight of evidence, the costs of a false positive are smaller than the false negative costs of refusing to intervene.

Epidemiology and Control: Principles, Practice and Programs

Infectious disease epidemiology is concerned with the occurrence of both infection and disease in populations and the factors that determine their frequency, spread, expression and distribution. Viruses show characteristic infectivity, virulence and pathogenicity. The most well established host factors are age, sex and race, but other host biological and behavioral factors affect acquisition of viral infection and/or its course and manifestations. The physical, chemical and biological environment operates on the virus itself and may also alter the host biological or behavioral response. Viral infections have incubation periods lasting days or weeks, while their pathologic sequelae may not manifest for years or decades. Likewise the degree or intensity of host response and clinical expression may range from largely inapparent to highly lethal. The degree of cell, tissue and organ specificity is high. Common syndromes involve the respiratory, gastrointestinal, and central nervous systems, the liver, and mucocutaneous surfaces. Vertical transmission may produce a variety of congenital and perinatal conditions. Viruses spread by multiple modes, using nearly every bodily surface or fluid as a route of exit or entry, either by direct contact or indirectly through an animal vector or other inanimate vehicle. Different viral Infections occur nearly ubiquitously or sporadically; they may be present continuously throughout a population (endemic) or occur in seasonal rhythm or in unexpectedly explosive form (epidemic). Many viruses are refractory to all known therapeutic agents, while for a few, the increasing number of highly effective agents holds great promise. Vaccines have produced many historical successes including the ultimate goal of eradication, but many viral infections continue to elude effective vaccine development. Major government and private sector programs for treatment and prevention have raised expectations of successful control for certain widespread and serious viral diseases; however, in every case a unique set of scientific, socioeconomic, political and behavioral barriers remains to be overcome.

Three decades of MSM donor deferral policies. What have we learned?

In the early 1980s, donor deferrals targeting men who have sex with men (MSM) and other high-risk groups were implemented in response to the outbreak of HIV/AIDS. It has now been three decades since the implementation of these deferrals. We review the international experience with developing these policies, which involves combining scientific evidence with ethical and moral concerns and the challenge of moving from precautionary to risk management policies as scientific knowledge and technology evolves. We provide key lessons that can guide blood policymakers as they confront potential new threats to the safety of the blood system and also provide lessons to the wider public health community on how best to incorporate precaution into the policymaking process.

A fundamental shift in the approach to international health by WHO, UNICEF, and the World Bank: instances of the practice of "intellectual fascism" and totalitarianism in some Asian countries

Navarro has used the term "intellectual fascism" to depict the intellectual situation in the McCarthy era. Intellectual fascism is now more malignant in the poor countries of the world. The Indian Subcontinent, China, and some other Asian countries provide the context. The struggles of the working class culminated in the Alma-Ata Declaration of self-reliance in health by the peoples of the world. To protect their commercial and political interests, retribution from the rich countries was sharp and swift, they "invented" Selective Primary Health Care and used WHO, UNICEF, the World Bank, and other agencies to let loose on poor countries a barrage of "international initiatives" as global programs on immunization, AIDS, and tuberculosis. These programs were astonishingly defective in concept, design, and implementation. The agencies refused to take note of such criticisms when they were published by others. They have been fascistic, ahistorical, grossly unscientific, and Goebbelsian propagandists. The conscience keepers of public health have mostly kept quiet.

Spectrum of opportunistic infections among AIDS patients in Tamil Nadu, India

A retrospective case note review of 100 AIDS patients attending a large Indian centre was performed. Of these 100 patients, 94% gave a history of heterosexual HIV transmission, 68% were male. The majority of females were aged 21 to 30 years. The most common mode of presentation was tuberculosis (61%), both pulmonary (46%) and extrapulmonary (15%). Oral candidiasis extending on to the oesophagus was the second most predominant opportunistic infection. This study also highlights the difficulty in detecting AIDS cases in India owing to difficulties in taking a sexual history and lack of laboratory facilities.

Sexual behaviour among London GUM clinic attenders: implications for HIV education

The aim of this study was to describe the sexual behaviour of a sample of genitourinary medicine (GUM) clinic attenders, 5 years after the launch of the UK government HIV media campaigns. A gender-specific and anonymous cross-sectional self-completion questionnaire was modified from the National Survey of Sexual Attitudes and Lifestyle and completed by 250 men and 250 women. The majority of the respondents were in their twenties, lived in London and were employed or students. Sixty-eight per cent of the men reported that one or more of their last 3 partners was not a regular partner. For those men whose last sexual encounter was with a new partner, 27% of heterosexuals and 33% of homosexuals reported using a condom. Fifty-one per cent of women reported one or more non-regular partners among their last 3 partners. For those women whose last sexual encounter was with a new partner, 43% of heterosexuals and 75% of bisexuals used a condom. Seventy-eight per cent of men and 75% of women had had a previous sexually transmitted disease (STD). These findings highlight the persistence of practices associated with the risk of contracting or transmitting HIV infection and which needs to be addressed in future educational campaigns. The GUM clinic population is an important population to monitor over time, either by longitudinal or serial cross-sectional studies. The results of this study provide a baseline against which to gauge the effects of future educational interventions.

Estimated condom failure and frequency of condom use among gay men

OBJECTIVES

Condoms are designed to bar transmission of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), but they sometimes fail. This paper explores the effect of experience with condoms on condom failure among gay men.

METHODS

Risk of condom failure (breakage or slippage) on a single occasion is estimated for four sexual acts reported over 12 months by a sample of gay New York City men (n = 741). The estimation procedure assumes that each episode in which a condom is used is an independent event. Evidence is offered to support this assumption.

RESULTS

Risk of condom failure in a single episode was fairly high, particularly in anal intercourse, for men who had engaged in each act only a few times in the previous year. It declined rapidly with experience (e.g., to below 1% for receptive anal intercourse after about 10 episodes in the previous year). Condoms failed less often in oral than anal sex, but estimated risk of failure also decreased with experience.

CONCLUSIONS

Gay men should be especially cautious the first few times they use a condom; after moderate experience, however, they may expect a low risk of condom failure.

A simulation model of AIDS in San Francisco: I. Model formulation and parameter estimation

A model is formulated for the spread of the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and the subsequent development of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in the population of homosexual men in San Francisco. The dynamic simulation model includes sexually very active and active subpopulations, migration, and a staged progression of HIV-infected persons to AIDS and death. Numerous data sources are used to estimate parameter values in the model. In a companion paper, simulations using the model and parameter estimates are found that are consistent with HIV and AIDS incidence data.

Gay men's perceptions and responses to AIDS

Gay men continue to be the largest group in Canada developing AIDS. They have responded to this threat on a personal and community level. The purpose of this study was to explore the perceptions of gay men about AIDS, and how they responded to these perceptions. Data were gathered through unstructured interviews with 34 healthy gay men, from participant observations chosen from logs that described nursing interactions with gay men who had AIDS, and fieldnotes collected during AIDS education programmes with health care workers and gay men. Using constant comparative analysis, a substantive conceptual framework was developed. Trusting was identified as the basic social psychological process that determined how gay men responded to AIDS. AIDS was perceived by all gay men in this study to threaten their own health and their acceptance by society. Variables identified behaviour, ranging from denial of personal risk to taking leadership roles in organizations to fight AIDS related to the trusting theory. This theoretical explanation of gay men's responses provides direction for programmes to educate gay men about HIV-related diseases, as well as to support those who acquire the HIV.

Sexually transmitted diseases in the elderly--issues and recommendations

The incidence of sexually transmitted disease (STD) in the elderly population is significant for both newly acquired disease and for residual complications from preceding infections. Every health-care practitioner needs to assume responsibility for the primary prevention of STDs, which focuses on avoiding infection. Primary health education is imperative in the presence of an escalation of sexually transmitted infection for which there is no known curative therapy. The sexual history is an integral component of the routine data base for all geriatric patients. Diagnosis of AIDS in the generally low risk elderly population may be unexpected. Health-care practitioners must be aware of its many forms of presentation.

The cubic growth of AIDS cases: general dependence on early infection rates and distribution of times to appearance of clinical symptoms

An observed cubic dependence on time of the cumulative growth in numbers of AIDS patients is shown to be the leading term of a power series in general. The cubic leading term follows from a nearly model-independent description of the rate of HIV infection, provided only that there is a distribution of incubation times to the appearance of clinically diagnosed AIDS symptoms with a finite initial derivative, that none of those infected exhibit immediate indications of illness, and that the epidemic begins with a finite initial rate of infection.

Would you eat cookies prepared by an AIDS patient? Survey reveals harmful attitudes among professionals

Certain attitudes of healthcare workers toward patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus are inconsistent with medical knowledge and appear unlikely to be changed significantly or quickly by standard educational methods. Such attitudes may be detrimental to the doctor-patient relationship. Also, they detract from the true message that healthcare professionals should be sending to the public: that acquired immunodeficiency syndrome is not spread by casual exposure, such as through food, water, or handling of food by infected persons.

Natural history of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome in women in Rhode Island

PURPOSE

Current recommendations for treatment of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection and for prophylaxis against associated opportunistic infections in North America are largely based on observations of HIV infection in males. In an effort to determine whether the natural history and clinical course may be different, with implications relevant to prophylaxis against opportunistic infections, we have documented the clinical courses of the first 24 known cases of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) in women in Rhode Island, most of whom developed Centers for Disease Control-defined AIDS before the availability of an effective antiviral agent (i.e., zidovudine) or a well-defined approach to prophylaxis against opportunistic infections (e.g., oral trimethoprimsulfa).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The subjects in this study are 24 women with AIDS who were treated by members of the Brown University medical faculty from June 1982 through June 1988. All patients had thorough clinical evaluations and appropriate laboratory studies as they became available. All were followed at intervals no greater than two months. All opportunistic infections were treated by appropriate, specific antimicrobial therapy. When zidovudine became available, it was administered to all remaining patients in the study. All subjects were counseled about HIV infection, its modes of transmission, and the early symptoms of opportunistic infections.

RESULTS

These observations yielded the following three major findings: (1) Candida esophagitis was the most common (38%) AIDS-defining event; (2) Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia was less frequently the AIDS-defining event (13%) and occurred less commonly during the illness (29%) than in North American males with AIDS; (3) Of 14 women in whom the diagnosis of AIDS was established before January 1, 1987, the mean survival time after diagnosis was greater than 20 months.

CONCLUSION

More information on the natural history of HIV infection in North American women is urgently needed. If more extensive data from other geographic regions confirm the observations in this study, the optimal approach to prophylaxis against opportunistic infections in women with AIDS may be substantially different from that which is most appropriate for males.

A comparison of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome and Kaposi's sarcoma incidence rates, Atlanta, 1983-86

Recent temporal trends in incidence rates for acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) and Kaposi's sarcoma were compared in metropolitan Atlanta, Georgia. From 1983 through 1986 the age-adjusted incidence rate of Kaposi's sarcoma among White males ages 25-49 increased 11-fold (2.2-24.4/100,000 person years). The annual incidence rate of AIDS increased ten-fold (11.3-113.3/100,000). These findings do not support earlier reports that the proportion of AIDS patients with Kaposi's sarcoma has decreased over time.

The Hawaii Chlamydia Network Project: a successful program incorporating close intra-agency cooperation

The Hawaii State Department of Health's Chlamydia Network Project screened 272 asymptomatic females for chlamydia; 20 (7.4 per cent) were found to be positive. When interviewed, 75 per cent (15/20) of the cases gave information such that their sexual partner(s) could be located. Ninety per cent (14/16) of the locatable partners were brought to examination within seven days. Keys to success were the training of family planning clinic staff in STD (sexually transmitted disease) control methods, and close intra-agency cooperation.

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome in Infants, Children, and Adolescents

The acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was first described as a disease of homosexual men. The first cases of AIDS in children were reported in 1982 and involved a transfusion recipient and four infants born to women at increased risk for AIDS. Infants may acquire their infection perinatally or possibly postnatally through infected breast milk. Parenterally acquired infection, through transfusion of blood or blood products, occurs in infants, children, and adolescents. Adolescents are also at risk for infection through sexual transmission and through shared needles among intravenous drug users. By January 1987, 1.4% of the AIDS cases were in children less than 13 years old, and 0.4% were in adolescents 13 to 19 years old. Additionally, 4.4% of the total AIDS cases were reported in 20 to 24 year olds, which most likely reflects infection which occured during adolescence. In children less than 13 years old, infection occurred primarily thorugh perinatal transmission from mothers who were intravenous drug users or sexual partners of intravenous drug users. Adolescent cases of AIDS have followed adult patterns of transmission with most cases resulting from sexual transmission. As the prevalence of infection with the human immunodeficiency virus increases, increases in drug-use-associated transmission in women followed by perinatal transmission to infants and sexual transmission in adolescents seems likely to occur. To prevent further spread, health agencies must develop and target extensive AIDS prevention campaigns at adolescents, young adults, and sexually active women.

A larger spectrum of severe HIV-1--related disease in intravenous drug users in New York City

Increasing mortality in intravenous (IV) drug users not reported to surveillance as acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) has occurred in New York City coincident with the AIDS epidemic. From 1981 to 1986, narcotics-related deaths increased on average 32% per year from 492 in 1981 to 1996 in 1986. This increase included deaths from AIDS increasing from 0 to 905 and deaths from other causes, many of which were infectious diseases, increasing from 492 to 1091. Investigations of these deaths suggest a causal association with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. These deaths may represent a spectrum of HIV-related disease that has not been identified through AIDS surveillance and has resulted in a large underestimation of the impact of AIDS on IV drug users and blacks and Hispanics.

On the possible relationship between AIDS and nutrition

It is noted that host resistance or susceptibility factors are important in determining the probability of contracting many diseases. Though AIDS has been studied primarily in terms of exposure to disease agents, it is proposed that factors affecting susceptibility or resistance be considered. Because of its effect on cellular immunity, nutritional stress is proposed as a plausible determinant of increased risk. Specific mechanisms are discussed and a connection between diverse risk groups is proposed.

Value of necropsy in acquired immunodeficiency syndrome

Necropsy findings in 101 adult patients with the acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) from two metropolitan hospitals were compared retrospectively with the antemortem clinical diagnoses. 94% of the patients were male and 68% were homosexual or bisexual. 75 (74%) patients had AIDS-related diseases at necropsy that were not suspected clinically. The commonest of the unsuspected AIDS-related diseases were cytomegalovirus infection (49% of all cases), systemic fungal infection (20%), systemic Kaposi's sarcoma (14%), Mycobacterium avium intracellulare infection (11%), and systemic herpes infection (9%). Cryptococcal infection and cytomegalovirus retinitis were always diagnosed antemortem; and Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia went undiagnosed in only 5 of 58 (9%) patients who had proven infection either clinically or at necropsy. 8 patients who died with fungal pneumonia had undergone bronchoscopy; however, in only 1 patient was it diagnosed antemortem. Tuberculosis was undiagnosed in 4 patients. 4 cases of central nervous system lymphoma diagnosed only at necropsy had been treated empirically for toxoplasmosis. Bacterial pneumonias contributed considerably to mortality in 30% of the patients.

Incidence of symptoms and AIDS in 146 Swedish haemophiliacs and blood transfusion recipients infected with human immunodeficiency virus

The times from infection with the human immuno-deficiency virus (HIV) to the onset of the first clinical symptom and the development of AIDS were studied prospectively in 98 haemophiliacs and 48 blood transfusion recipients infected with the virus. Patients were followed up for a median of 61 months after infection, the dates of infection being either known exactly or estimated from the interval between the last negative and first positive HIV antibody test result. The rate of progression to AIDS was significantly higher for the transfusion recipients than for the haemophiliacs. The difference in time to the occurrence of the first clinical symptom was less pronounced between the two groups, though pointing in the same direction. The results suggest that on average roughly half of all patients positive for HIV will develop some clinical sign or symptom within five to six years after infection.

The impact of AIDS on state and local health departments: issues and a few answers

Owing to large differences in the incidence of AIDS (acquired immunodeficiency syndrome) and in public health resources and priorities, the impact of AIDS on state and local health departments has been variable. Nonetheless, health departments everywhere are being held responsible for surveillance and control of the HIV (human immunodeficiency virus) epidemic which we believe requires, at minimum, convenient, free HIV testing and counseling; expanded HIV services in sexually transmitted diseases clinics and substance treatment centers; locally oriented AIDS information/education; notification of persons unknowingly exposed to HIV; restrictive measures for HIV-infected persons who, after counseling, persist in exposing others; regulation or closure of public establishments in which HIV transmission is likely to result; and confidential reporting of all HIV test results to public health departments. In Colorado new legislation was passed to require reporting of HIV test results, to provide the reports with near absolute protections against unauthorized disclosure, and to modify quarantine statues to incorporate rights to due process, appeals, and confidentially. States in which there is a legal basis for discrimination against gay men will need to rectify this problem first. There is no evidence that reporting of HIV infections in Colorado has adversely affected the rate at which persons with HIV risk behaviors volunteer to be tested. For Denver and Colorado Departments of Health, more than 70 per cent of the estimated $2,796,000 expended in AIDS activities during 1987 was federal.

AIDS in Sicily: prevalence of antibodies to human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) in low and high risk groups

A seroepidemiological survey, carried out to evaluate the prevalence of antibodies to HIV in patients with ARC and in healthy individuals at risk for AIDS, showed the infection to be widespread in the groups at risk, namely in drug abusers and hemophiliacs. However, remarkable difference existed between the prevalence of antibodies to HIV in drug abusers of the city of Palermo and those of other Sicilian provinces. Spread of the virus among Sicilian thalassemics, however, was very low and quite similar in all geographic areas. Antibodies were found very rarely (0.06%) in unpaid voluntary blood donors. The spread of the virus is still confined in high risk groups, and the major part of the seropositive blood donors were identified a posteriori as drug abusers.

The office approach to the sexually transmitted diseases: Part II

All physicians share a responsibility for educating the public in the expanding risks of sexually transmitted diseases, and in the vital importance of safe sexual practices. Both the public health implications of undiagnosed STDs and the adverse social consequences of an incorrect diagnosis emphasize the need to comprehensively and precisely diagnose these diseases, despite the problems encountered in obtaining material for culture. Current interest in AIDS should not obscure the facts that genital herpes continues to increase in prevalence, and that syphilis no longer is declining. The many extragenital syndromes associated with STDs, such as perihepatitis, polyarthritis, and acute septic states make it necessary to evaluate all sexual contacts.

Transmission dynamics of HIV infection

Simple mathematical models of the transmission dynamics of human immunodeficiency virus help to clarify some of the essential relations between epidemiological factors, such as distributed incubation periods and heterogeneity in sexual activity, and the overall pattern of the AIDS epidemic. They also help to identify what kinds of epidemiological data are needed to make predictions of future trends.