Paediatric emergency department overcrowding and adverse patient outcomes

Identification of avoidable patients at triage in a Paediatric Emergency Department: a decision support system using predictive analytics

BACKGROUND

Crowding has been a longstanding issue in emergency departments. To address this, a fast-track system for avoidable patients is being implemented in the Paediatric Emergency Department where our study is conducted. Our goal is to develop an optimized Decision Support System that helps in directing patients to this fast track. We evaluated various Machine Learning models, focusing on a balance between complexity, predictive performance, and interpretability.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study considering all visits to a university-affiliated metropolitan hospital's PED between 2014 and 2019. Using information available at the time of triage, we trained several models to predict whether a visit is avoidable and should be directed to a fast-track area.

RESULTS

A total of 507,708 visits to the PED were used in the training and testing of the models. Regarding the outcome, 41.6% of the visits were considered avoidable. Except for the classification made by triage rules, i.e. considering levels 1,2, and 3 as non-avoidable and 4 and 5 as avoidable, all models had similar results in model's evaluation metrics, e.g. Area Under the Curve ranging from 74% to 80%.

CONCLUSIONS

Regarding predictive performance, the pruned decision tree had evaluation metrics results that were comparable to the other ML models. Furthermore, it offers a low complexity and easy to implement solution. When considering interpretability, a paramount requisite in healthcare since it relates to the trustworthiness and transparency of the system, the pruned decision tree excels. Overall, this paper contributes to the growing body of research on the use of machine learning in healthcare. It highlights practical benefits for patients and healthcare systems of the use ML-based DSS in emergency medicine. Moreover, the obtained results can potentially help to design patients' flow management strategies in PED settings, which has been sought as a solution for addressing the long-standing problem of overcrowding.

Factors associated with non-urgent presentations in the paediatric emergency department using Andersen's behavioural model: A cross-sectional descriptive study

OBJECTIVES

To explore the rate of NUPs and associated factors in the PED of the 'Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe' in Valencia (Spain) using Andersen's Behavioural Model.

METHODS

We conducted a descriptive cross-sectional study using Andersen's Behavioural Model in parents visiting the PED with their children at the 'Hospital Universitario y Politécnico La Fe' in Valencia (Spain).

RESULTS

The study involved a total of 530 participants, of whom 419 (79%) had made an NUP. The predisposing factors identified were: (I) paediatric patients brought in by their fathers (OR = 0.460; p = 0.005), (II) lower educational attainment (OR = 3.841; p = 0.000), (III) first-time parenthood (OR = 2.335; p = 0.000) and (IV) higher parental stress (OR = 1.974; p = 0.023). The enabling factors included: (I) responsibility for a significant part of the childcare shared with others (OR = 0.348; p = 0.041) and (II) the perception that PEDs provide better care than primary care (PC) services (OR = 1.628; p = 0.005). The need factors were: (I) existing chronic illness in the child seeking care (OR = 0.343; p = 0.000) and (II) the perceived severity of the urgency (OR = 0.440; p = 0.031).

CONCLUSIONS

The NUP rates found in this study are similar to those found internationally. In accordance with Andersen's Behavioural Model, we identify predisposing, enabling and need factors to explain the multifactorial nature of NUPs in PEDs.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Identifying the factors associated with NUPs enables interventions to be targeted at those groups most likely to engage in NUPs, thereby optimising the functioning of the PED and improving the well-being of children and families. These interventions should focus on improving parental health literacy, providing education on making appropriate decisions about accessing health services and recognising severe symptoms in children, as well as improving access to high-quality PC services. Providing support to parents during the transition to parenthood would also be beneficial.

REPORTING METHOD

This paper adheres to the STROBE initiative guidelines.

CONTRIBUTION FROM PATIENTS OR MEMBERS OF THE PUBLIC

Participants, who voluntarily agreed to take part, contributed to the study by completing a paper-based questionnaire containing all the study variables as prepared by the research team.

Assessing the predictors for paediatric intensive care unit for inter-hospital transfer patients on high-flow nasal cannula or continuous positive airway pressure ventilation at a tertiary Australian paediatric hospital

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the present study was to assess the predictors of need for paediatric intensive care unit (PICU) admission for inter-hospital transfer patients to a tertiary paediatric hospital ED on high flow (HF) or continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) ventilation.

METHODS

Single-centre retrospective study of patients transferred to the state's tertiary paediatric hospital. Demographic information and disease management information was obtained.

RESULTS

Between October 2021 and September 2022, 53 patients were transferred to the tertiary hospital on HF or CPAP. Of these, 23 required admission to PICU. Those admitted to PICU had a higher median fraction of inspired oxygen than those not admitted (0.4 vs 0.3, respectively, P = 0.013). Patients transported by road (vs flight) were more likely (20/23 patients, RR = 3.15, P = 0.016) to be admitted to PICU (56% vs 18%). Those who had received CPAP prior to or during transfer were more likely to require PICU admission (P = 0.012).

CONCLUSION

We have demonstrated that children who require CPAP to manage their respiratory disease are more likely to require PICU care on transfer to the tertiary paediatric hospital. In addition, those patients being transferred from secondary metropolitan hospitals after a trial of HF are also likely to require PICU care. This suggests that these patients should be directly admitted to PICU, allowing for improved patient experience and flow as well as reducing unnecessary ED resource utilisation.

Mapping Access to Children's Hospitals in Texas

Vehicle access, travel time, and distance to hospitals and emergency rooms with sufficient patient beds are critical healthcare accessibility measures, especially for children who require specific pediatric services. In a large state like Texas with vast rural areas and limited public transit infrastructure, 75% of the children live over an hour from the closest facility that provides pediatric emergency services or specialty care. In view of this challenge, this study first sought to map the prevailing geographical accessibility to children's hospitals and, second, to model the hospital beds per capita for each hospital's service area within the state of Texas. The results showed disparities in accessing emergency pediatric care, especially in rural areas. However, despite major metro areas recording better geographical accessibility to pediatric healthcare, residents in these areas may experience limited hospital bed availability. The findings indicate an urgent need for more pediatric healthcare services in rural Texas. Given the increasing population growth in metro areas and their surroundings, there is also a need for the expansion of healthcare infrastructure in these areas.

Community healthcare appointments as an alternative to emergency department assessment: an exploration of family acceptability and preferences

PURPOSE

Pediatric emergency departments are overcrowded, in part due to many non-emergent visits. We aimed to assess the proportion of parents interested in leaving the pediatric emergency department (ED) prior to physician assessment if they could be offered a scheduled community healthcare appointment. We explored differences in care children received in the ED stratified by interest in a community healthcare appointment and parents' reasons when they were not interested.

METHODS

We conducted a 14-item survey within the pediatric ED at a Canadian tertiary care teaching hospital to assess parents' interest if a program offered community healthcare appointments and we determined preferred appointment characteristics. All parents presenting with children triaged as CTAS 2-5 who met eligibility criteria were approached by a research assistant prior to physician assessment. Surveys were paired with the medical chart outlining the care received. Descriptive statistics and a regression model were used to describe characteristics of families and care received among those who were and were not interested in a community healthcare appointment.

RESULTS

In total, 403 surveys were completed. Overall, 236 participants (58.6%; 95% CI 53.8-63.4) were interested in a community healthcare appointment. In general, parents who were interested in a community healthcare appointment were younger and presented with younger children compared to those who were not interested. Among those interested, there was a preference to have the appointment with a pediatrician or family physician, timely access to an appointment, and appointments scheduled outside of regular business hours.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides evidence that there is interest in an alternative care access model positioned to reduce pediatric ED congestion. We found that parents would be interested in leaving the pediatric ED in favor of a community healthcare appointment, provided it was with a physician and available in a timely manner.

Leaving Without Being Seen From the Pediatric Emergency Department: A New Baseline

BACKGROUND

Left without being seen (LWBS) rates are an important quality metric for pediatric emergency departments (EDs), with high-acuity LWBS children representing a patient safety risk. Since July 2021, our ED experienced a surge in LWBS after the most stringent COVID-19 quarantine restrictions ended.

OBJECTIVE

We assessed changes in LWBS rates and examined associations of system factors and patient characteristics with LWBS.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective study in a large, urban pediatric ED for all arriving patients, comparing the following three time-periods: before COVID-19 (PRE, January 2018-February 2020), during early COVID-19 (COVID, March 2020-June 2021), and after the emergence of COVID-19 variants and re-emergence of seasonal viruses (POST, July 2021-December 2021). We compared descriptive statistics of daily LWBS rates, patient demographic characteristics, and system characteristics. Negative binomial (system factors) and logistic regression (patient characteristics) models were developed to evaluate the associations between system factors and LWBS, and patient characteristics and LWBS, respectively.

RESULTS

Mean daily LWBS rates changed from 1.8% PRE to 1.4% COVID to 10.7% during POST. Rates increased across every patient demographic and triage level during POST, despite a decrease in daily ED volume compared with PRE. LWBS rates were significantly associated with patients with an Emergency Severity Index score of 2, mean ED census, and staff productivity within multiple periods. Patient characteristics associated with LWBS included lower assigned triage levels and arrival between 8 pm and 4 am.

CONCLUSIONS

LWBS rates have shown a large and sustained increase since July 2021, even for high-acuity patients. We identified system factors that may provide opportunities to reduce LWBS. Further work should develop strategies to prevent LWBS in at-risk patients.

Assessing the reliability of pediatric emergency medicine billing code assignment for future consideration as a proxy workload measure

OBJECTIVES

Prediction of pediatric emergency department (PED) workload can allow for optimized allocation of resources to improve patient care and reduce physician burnout. A measure of PED workload is thus required, but to date no variable has been consistently used or could be validated against for this purpose. Billing codes, a variable assigned by physicians to reflect the complexity of medical decision making, have the potential to be a proxy measure of PED workload but must be assessed for reliability. In this study, we investigated how reliably billing codes are assigned by PED physicians, and factors that affect the inter-rater reliability of billing code assignment.

METHODS

A retrospective cross-sectional study was completed to determine the reliability of billing code assigned by physicians (n = 150) at a quaternary-level PED between January 2018 and December 2018. Clinical visit information was extracted from health records and presented to a billing auditor, who independently assigned a billing code-considered as the criterion standard. Inter-rater reliability was calculated to assess agreement between the physician-assigned versus billing auditor-assigned billing codes. Unadjusted and adjusted logistic regression models were used to assess the association between covariables of interest and inter-rater reliability.

RESULTS

Overall, we found substantial inter-rater reliability (AC2 0.72 [95% CI 0.64-0.8]) between the billing codes assigned by physicians compared to those assigned by the billing auditor. Adjusted logistic regression models controlling for Pediatric Canadian Triage and Acuity scores, disposition, and time of day suggest that clinical trainee involvement is significantly associated with increased inter-rater reliability.

CONCLUSIONS

Our work identified that there is substantial agreement between PED physician and a billing auditor assigned billing codes, and thus are reliably assigned by PED physicians. This is a crucial step in validating billing codes as a potential proxy measure of pediatric emergency physician workload.

Acute assessment services for patient flow assistance in hospital emergency departments

BACKGROUND

Emergency departments (EDs) are facing serious and significant issues in the delivery of effective and efficient care to patients. Acute assessment services have been implemented at many hospitals internationally to assist in maintaining patient flow for identified groups of patients attending the ED. Identifying the risks and benefits, and optimal configurations of these services may be beneficial to those wishing to utilise an acute assessment service to improve patient flow.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the effects of acute assessment services on patient flow following attendance at a hospital ED.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, CENTRAL, Embase and two trials registers on 24 September 2022 to identify studies. No restrictions were imposed on publication year, publication type, or publication language.

SELECTION CRITERIA

Studies eligible for inclusion were randomised trials and cluster-randomised trials with at least two intervention and two control sites. Participants were adults (as defined by study authors) receiving care either in the ED or the acute assessment service, where both were based in the hospital setting. The comparison was hospital-based acute assessment services with usual, ED-only care. The outcomes of this review were mortality at time point closest to 30 days, length of stay in the service (in minutes), and waiting time to see a doctor (in minutes).

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We followed the standard procedures of Cochrane Effective Practice and Organisation of Care for this review (https://epoc.cochrane.org/resources).

MAIN RESULTS

We identified a total of 5754 records in the search. Following assessment of 3609 de-duplicated records, none were found to be eligible for inclusion in this review.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

At present there are no randomised controlled trials exploring the effects of acute assessment services on patient flow in hospital-based emergency departments compared to usual, ED-only care.

Variation in low-value radiograph use for children in the emergency department: a cross-sectional study of administrative databases

BACKGROUND

Radiograph use contributes to low-value care for children in emergency departments (EDs), but little is known about systemic factors associated with their use. This study compares low-value radiograph use across ED settings by hospital type, pediatric volumes and physician specialty.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study of routinely collected administrative data. We included children (age 0-18 yr) discharged from EDs in Ontario, Canada, between 2010 and 2019 with diagnoses of bronchiolitis, asthma, abdominal pain and constipation. Multiple clinical practice guidelines recommend against routine radiograph use in these conditions. Logistic regression evaluated odds of low-value radiograph by ED setting (pediatric academic [referent], adult academic, community with or without pediatric consultation services), pediatric volume and physician specialty (pediatric emergency medicine [PEM, referent], emergency medicine [EM], family medicine with EM training, pediatrics, family medicine), adjusting for demographic, clinical and provider characteristics. We used generalized estimating equations to account for clustering by ED.

RESULTS

Of the total 9 862 787 eligible pediatric ED discharges in Ontario, 60 914 children had bronchiolitis, 141 921 asthma, 333 332 abdominal pain and 110 514 constipation; 26.0% received low-value radiographs. Compared with pediatric EDs and PEM physicians (referents), patients with bronchiolitis were most likely to have a chest radiograph in adult academic EDs (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 5.1 [95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6-5.6]) and by family physicians with EM training (adjusted OR 4.8 [95% CI 4.5-5.1]). Patients with asthma were more likely to have a chest radiograph in adult academic EDs (adjusted OR 3.0 [95% CI 2.8-3.2]) and by EM physicians (adjusted OR 2.8 [95% CI 2.6-3.0]). Patients with abdominal pain and constipation were more likely to have abdominal radiographs in community hospitals with pediatric consultation (adjusted OR 1.6 [95% CI 1.6-1.7] and 2.3 [95% CI 2.3-2.4], respectively) and by family physicians with EM training (adjusted OR 1.6 [95% CI 1.6-1.7] and 2.1 [95% CI 2.0-2.2], respectively).

INTERPRETATION

Over the decade-long study period, low-value radiograph use was frequent for children with 4 common conditions seen in Ontario EDs. Quality improvement initiatives aimed at reducing unnecessary radiographs in children should focus on EM physicians practising in EDs that primarily treat adult patients.

Development of a low‐dimensional model to predict admissions from triage at a pediatric emergency department

Objectives

This study aims to develop and internally validate a low‐dimensional model to predict outcomes (admission or discharge) using commonly entered data up to the post‐triage process to improve patient flow in the pediatric emergency department (ED). In hospital settings where electronic data are limited, a low‐dimensional model with fewer variables may be easier to implement.

Methods

This prognostic study included ED attendances in 2017 and 2018. The Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining methodology was followed. Eligibility criteria was applied to the data set, splitting into 70% train and 30% test. Sampling techniques were compared. Gradient boosting machine (GBM), logistic regression, and naïve Bayes models were created. Variables of importance were obtained from the model with the highest area under the curve (AUC) and used to create a low‐dimensional model.

Results

Eligible attendances totaled 72,229 (15% admission rate). The AUC was 0.853 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.846–0.859) for GBM, 0.845 (95% CI, 0.838–0.852) for logistic regression and 0.813 (95% CI, 0.806–0.821) for naïve Bayes. Important predictors in the GBM model used to create a low‐dimensional model were presenting complaint, triage category, referral source, registration month, location type (resuscitation/other), distance traveled, admission history, and weekday (AUC 0.835 [95% CI, 0.829‐0.842]).

Conclusions

Admission and discharge probability can be predicted early in a pediatric ED using 8 variables. Future work could analyze the false positives and false negatives to gain an understanding of the implementation of these predictions.

Nonurgent Visits to the Pediatric Emergency Department before and during the First Peak of the COVID-19 Pandemic

Background

Nonurgent visits in pediatric Emergency Departments are a growing burden. In order to find predictors for those nonurgent visits, we performed a retrospective analysis of unscheduled visits at the Pediatric Emergency Department of the University Hospital of Bonn, Germany, in the year 2017. Additionally, we compared these findings to unscheduled visits during the first peak of the worldwide pandemic of the Coronavirus disease 2019, to see if there would be an effect on nonurgent pediatric Emergency Department attendances.

Methods

For our retrospective cohort study, we analyzed more than 5.000 visits at the pediatric Emergency Department of the University Hospital of Bonn, Germany, before and during the first peak of the ongoing worldwide pandemic of the Coronavirus disease 2019, particularly with regard to their urgency. Data included gender, age, zip code, urgency, and preexisting conditions.

Results

Our study shows that more than half of unscheduled pediatric Emergency Department visits (69%) at the University Hospital in Bonn are for nonurgent reasons, with short living distance being a factor to present children to a pediatric Emergency Department, even with minor complaints. During the first peak of the pandemic of the Coronavirus disease 2019, nonurgent visits decreased significantly, potentially due to hesitation to attend a pediatric Emergency Department with minor issues, fearing an infection with SARS-CoV-2 at the hospital.

Conclusion

Many people use pediatric Emergency Departments for nonemergency complaints. In order to address the reasons for nonurgent visits to pediatric Emergency Departments and to prevent parents from doing so, further studies and targeted education concepts for parents are needed.

Pediatric ED departmental complexity: a different approach to the concept of ED crowding

OBJECTIVE

Emergency department (ED) crowding is a significant problem in Canada and internationally and is associated with the potential for patient harm. Although pediatric patients represent a significant proportion of overall ED visits, there is limited research on pediatric ED crowding. The Canadian Association of Emergency Physicians defines department crowding as a mismatch between the required and available resources to provide timely emergency care. We propose that rather than crowding, it is better to think of ED patient populations as being more or less "complex" as defined by proxies of the human and physical resources needed for patient management. The study objectives are to explore the utility of a simple and easily available retrospective metric of ED complexity, and to assess the relationship this measure has on patient outcomes in a pediatric ED.

METHODS

Using administrative data from a tertiary care pediatric ED, we developed a departmental complexity score based on patient registration number, triage acuity, and departmental length of stay as a proxy for the resources necessary to provide ED care. We then explored the relationship between this departmental complexity score and clinical care indices.

RESULTS

The score shows a strong relationship with the number of patients who left without being seen by a physician, as well as time to initial MD assessment, both measures which have been used to represent ED crowding in previous research. We found no association between our departmental complexity score and adverse impacts on patient care outcomes of hospital admission, pediatric ICU admission, or patients returning to the ED within 72 h of leaving.

CONCLUSIONS

The departmental complexity score has promise as a retrospective measure of departmental resource requirement and may have a role in the ongoing assessment of patient flow.

Equitable and Timely Care of Febrile Neonates: A Cross-Sectional Study

OBJECTIVES

In pediatric emergency departments (EDs), racial/ethnic minorities are less likely to receive needed and timely care; however, clinical protocols have the potential to mitigate disparities. Neonatal fever management is protocolized in many EDs, but the timeliness to antibiotic administration is likely variable. We investigated the timeliness of antibiotic administration for febrile neonates and whether timeliness was associated with patients' race/ethnicity.

METHODS

Retrospective cross-sectional study of febrile neonates evaluated in one pediatric ED that uses an evidence-based guideline for the management of neonatal fever between March 2010 and December 2015. Primary outcome was time from ED arrival to antibiotic administration. Analysis of variance tests compared mean time with antibiotic administration across race/ethnicity. Multivariable linear regression investigated racial/ethnic differences in time to antibiotic administration after adjusting for patient demographics, timing of visit, the number of physicians involved, and ED census.

RESULTS

We evaluated 317 febrile neonates. Of the 269 patients with racial/ethnic data (84.9%), 54% were white non-Hispanic, 13% were black non-Hispanic, and 23% were Hispanic. The mean time to antibiotic administration was 204 minutes (range = 51-601 minutes). There was no significant association between patient race/ethnicity and time to first antibiotic administration. Emergency department census was significantly associated with timeliness.

CONCLUSIONS

There was a 10-hour range in the time to antibiotic administration for febrile neonates; however, variability in timeliness did not differ by race or ethnicity. This study demonstrates the need to further examine the role of protocols in mitigating disparities as well as factors that influence timeliness in antibiotic administration to febrile neonates.

Parental administration of inhaled short-acting beta agonists in the pediatric emergency department: a survey of family perspectives

BACKGROUND

The management of children with an asthma exacerbation includes timely systemic corticosteroids and frequent short-acting beta-agonist therapy. In selected patients, inhaled short-acting beta-agonist administration by parents may promote comfort, constitute an educational opportunity for the family, and safely reduce provider workload. Our objective was to evaluate parental satisfaction and perceived safety of this new approach.

METHOD

This was a cross-sectional study, conducted in a tertiary pediatric ED. We investigated patient and parent perspectives on a newly implemented parental short-acting beta-agonist administration program. A convenience sample of families participating in this program was approached for study enrolment. The primary outcome was the proportion of parents and children who were satisfied with the program. We also evaluated the program's safety and impact on asthma education as reported by parents.

RESULTS

From February 2019 to March 2020, 72 of 74 (97%) families approached for enrolment participated in the survey. A vast majority (95%) of parents appreciated the program and 93% would participate again. Among children > 7 years, 86% preferred receiving inhaled short-acting beta-agonist by their parents rather than by a healthcare provider. Nearly all parents (96%) found the program to be "safe" or "very safe". Some participants reported improvements in their inhaler administration technique (25%) and ability to recognize their child's respiratory distress (25%).

CONCLUSION

A novel parental short-acting beta-agonist administration program in the pediatric ED was widely appreciated by participating families. Parents perceived it as being safe, educational, and contributing to their child's comfort.

Racial Bias Among Emergency Providers: Strategies to Mitigate Its Adverse Effects

The Research to Practice column presents an analysis of current and controversial research findings with implications for practice change relevant to emergency care settings. This review critiques Johnson et al.'s (2016) investigation, titled "The Impact of Cognitive Stressors in the Emergency Department on Physician Implicit Racial Bias," that examined emergency department characteristics and stressors and their effects on physician racial bias and decision making. Their findings suggest that unconscious biases can affect clinical decisions when providers experience increased cognitive stress. The implications are significant for emergency providers as resources are especially strained during the COVID-19 pandemic and as the adverse effects of unconscious bias on health disparities and patient outcomes have become clearly apparent. Implicit bias training (IBT) is recommended for emergency providers and has significant implications for medical and nurse educators in executing and evaluating IBT outcomes.

Predicting Admissions From a Paediatric Emergency Department - Protocol for Developing and Validating a Low-Dimensional Machine Learning Prediction Model

Introduction: Patients boarding in the Emergency Department can contribute to overcrowding, leading to longer waiting times and patients leaving without being seen or completing their treatment. The early identification of potential admissions could act as an additional decision support tool to alert clinicians that a patient needs to be reviewed for admission and would also be of benefit to bed managers in advance bed planning for the patient. We aim to create a low-dimensional model predicting admissions early from the paediatric Emergency Department.

Methods and Analysis: The methodology Cross Industry Standard Process for Data Mining (CRISP-DM) will be followed. The dataset will comprise of 2 years of data, ~76,000 records. Potential predictors were identified from previous research, comprising of demographics, registration details, triage assessment, hospital usage and past medical history. Fifteen models will be developed comprised of 3 machine learning algorithms (Logistic regression, naïve Bayes and gradient boosting machine) and 5 sampling methods, 4 of which are aimed at addressing class imbalance (undersampling, oversampling, and synthetic oversampling techniques). The variables of importance will then be identified from the optimal model (selected based on the highest Area under the curve) and used to develop an additional low-dimensional model for deployment.

Discussion: A low-dimensional model comprised of routinely collected data, captured up to post triage assessment would benefit many hospitals without data rich platforms for the development of models with a high number of predictors. Novel to the planned study is the use of data from the Republic of Ireland and the application of sampling techniques aimed at improving model performance impacted by an imbalance between admissions and discharges in the outcome variable.

Data-Driven Design Strategies to Address Crowding and Boarding in an Emergency Department: A Discrete-Event Simulation Study

OBJECTIVE

To address prolonged lengths of stay (LOS) in a Level 1 trauma center, we examined the impact of implementing two data-driven strategies with a focus on the physical environment.

BACKGROUND

Crowding in emergency departments (EDs) is a widely reported problem leading to increased service times and patients leaving without being seen.

METHODS

Using ED historical data and expert estimates, we created a discrete-event simulation model. We analyzed the likely impact of initiating care and boarding patients in the hallway (hallway care) instead of the exam rooms and adding a dedicated triage space for patients who arrive by emergency medical services (EMS triage) to decrease hallway congestion. The scenarios were compared in terms of LOS, time spent in exam rooms and hallway spaces, service time, blocked time, and utilization rate.

RESULTS

The hallway care scenario resulted in significantly lower LOS and exam room time only for EMS patients but when implemented along with the EMS triage scenario, a significantly lower LOS and exam room time was observed for all patients (EMS and walk-in). The combination of two simulated scenarios resulted in significant improvements in other flow metrics as well.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings discourage boarding of admitted patients in ED exam rooms. If space limitations require that admitted patients be placed in ED hallways, designers and planners should consider enabling hallway spaces with features recommended in this article. Alternative locations for boarding should be prioritized in or out of the ED. Our findings also encourage establishing a triage area dedicated to EMS patients in the ED.

Type of facility influences lengths of stay of children presenting to high volume emergency departments

BACKGROUND

Emergency department crowding may impact patient and provider outcomes. We describe emergency department crowding metrics based on presentations by children to different categories of high volume emergency departments in Alberta, Canada.

METHODS

This population-based retrospective study extracted all presentations made by children (age < 18 years) during April 2010 to March 2015 to 15 high volume emergency departments: five regional, eight urban, and two academic/teaching. Time to physician initial assessment, and length of stay for discharges and admissions were calculated based on the start of presentation and emergency department facility. Multiple metrics, including the medians for hourly, facility-specific time to physician initial assessment and length of stay were obtained.

RESULTS

About half (51.2%) of the 1,124,119 presentations were made to the two academic/teaching emergency departments. Males presented more than females (53.6% vs 46.4%) and the median age was 5 years. Pediatric presentations to the three categories of emergency departments had mostly similar characteristics; however, urban and academic/teaching emergency departments had more severe triage scores and academic/teaching emergency departments had higher admissions. Across all emergency departments, the medians of the metrics for time to physician initial assessment, length of stay for discharges and for admission were 1h11min, 2h21min, and 6h29min, respectively. Generally, regional hospitals had shorter times than urban and academic/teaching hospitals.

CONCLUSIONS

Pediatric presentations to high volume emergency departments in this province suggest similar delays to see providers; however, length of stay for discharges and admissions were shorter in regional emergency departments. Crowding is more common in urban and especially academic emergency departments and the impact of crowding on patient outcomes requires further study.

The "two-step four-level+ " pediatric triage method in a medical center in Southern China

PURPOSE

Because the quality of medical resources is extremely uneven across China, it is nearly impossible to implement a unified emergency triage program. The aim of the study is to examine triage using the "two-step four-level⁺ " triage model in a hospital in Southern China, with an emphasis on hand, foot, and mouth disease.

DESIGN AND METHODS

This was a retrospective study of all patients seen in the pediatric emergency room (ER) between January 1, 2012 and December 31, 2018, at the Guangzhou Women and Children's Medical Center. The "two-step and four-level⁺ " was manually implemented in 2012, and an electronic triage system was developed and applied since 2015. Emergency quality control indicators were analyzed.

RESULTS

There were 645,473 patients triaged at the pediatric ER between January 1, 2015 and December 31, 2018. After the first step, 17,444 patients were classified as unstable, including 6546 (1.01%) Level I patients, 10,898 (1.69%) Level II patients, 210,368 (32.5%) Level III patients, and 417,661 (64.8%) Level IV patients. After triage implementation, the stay time of the patient in the pediatric ER decreased each year (all p < .05) and shortened to 20.3 ± 2.2 h in 2018. Compared with 2012-2014, the mortality of 2015-2018 decreased by 21.1%, the rate of unexpected resuscitation was 0%, and the complaints of overcrowding decreased (all p < .05).

PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS

This "two-step four-level⁺ " triage method can improve the medical care quality of pediatric ER in China.

The impact of pediatric emergency department crowding on patient and health care system outcomes: a multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Emergency department overcrowding has been associated with increased odds of hospital admission and mortality after discharge from the emergency department in predominantly adult cohorts. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between crowding and the odds of several adverse outcomes among children seen at a pediatric emergency department.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving all children visiting 8 Canadian pediatric emergency departments across 4 provinces between 2010 and 2014. We analyzed the association between mean departmental length of stay for each index visit and hospital admission within 7 days or death within 14 days of emergency department discharge, as well as hospital admission at index visit and return visits within 7 days, using mixed-effects logistic regression modelling.

RESULTS

A total of 1 931 465 index visits occurred across study sites over the 5-year period, with little variation in index visit hospital admission or median length of stay. Hospital admission within 7 days of discharge and 14-day mortality were low across provinces (0.8%-1.5% and < 10 per 100 000 visits, respectively), and their association with mean departmental length of stay varied by triage categories and across sites but was not significant. There were increased odds of hospital admission at the index visit with increasing departmental crowding among visits triaged to Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS) score 1-2 (odds ratios [ORs] ranged from 1.01 to 1.08) and return visits among patients with a CTAS score of 4-5 discharged at the index visit at some sites (ORs ranged from 1.00 to 1.06).

INTERPRETATION

Emergency department crowding was not significantly associated with hospital admission within 7 days of the emergency department visit or mortality in children. However, it was associated with increased hospital admission at the index visit for the sickest children, and with return visits to the emergency department for those less sick.

Health inequities in unscheduled healthcare for children with intellectual disabilities in Ireland: a study protocol

Background: Health inequities for children with intellectual disabilities (ID) are prevalent within different health systems, and children with ID have shorter life expectancies than the general population, higher mortality rates before the age of 17 and have a greater risk of potentially preventable hospitalisations. A health systems approach to research in this area provides a useful means through which research can inform policy and practice to ensure people with ID receive equitable healthcare; however, there is a paucity of evidence regarding how to address differences that have been described in the literature to date. The overall aim of this research is to establish the extent of health inequities for children with ID in Ireland compared to children without ID with respect to their utilisation of primary care and rates of hospitalisation, and to gain a better understanding of what influences utilisation of primary care and ED services in this population. Methods and analysis: The design of this research adopts a mixed-methods approach: statistical analysis of health data to determine the extent of health inequities in relation to healthcare utilisation; discrete choice experiments to explore General Practitioners' decision making and parental preferences for optimal care; and concept mapping to develop consensus between stakeholders on how to address current healthcare inequities. Discussion: By applying a systems lens to the issue of health inequities for children with ID, the research hopes to gain a thorough understanding of the varying components that can contribute to the maintenance of such healthcare inequities. A key output from the research will be a set of feasible solutions and interventions that can address health inequities for this population.

Effect of Population Lockdown on Pediatric Emergency Room Demands in the Era of COVID-19

Objectives: The aim of this study was to assess the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and population lockdown on pediatric ED consultations. Methods: A cross-sectional study on pediatric emergency department consultations before and during the current COVID-19 pandemic (March-May 2019 vs. March-May 2020) was performed in two hospitals in the Campania region (Southern Italy) [i.e., Salerno University Hospital (Salerno) and Pediatric Regional Referral Emergency Hub "AORN Santobono-Pausillipon" (Naples)]. Results: 29,368 consecutive ED pediatric patients (13,430 females; mean age ± SD = 5.4 ± 4.7 years) were seen in March-May 2019 and 9,133 (4,494 females; mean age ± SD = 5.9 ± 4.2 years) in March-May 2020. Resuscitation/emergency and urgent care pediatric ED consultations were 1,388 (4.7%, 95% CI 4.5-4.9) in the 2019 trimester, while they were 648 (7.1%, 95% CI 6.6-7.6) in the 2020 trimester (p < 0.01). Mean pediatric ED daily consultations were 326.3 (95% CI 299.9-352.7) in the considered period of 2019 and 101.4 (95%CI 77.9-124.9) in the same period of 2020 (p < 0.001). COVID-19 nasal swabs were performed for 385 children; of those, six resulted positive and four of them were hospitalized. Conclusions: This work provides a unique snapshot of the pediatric EDs demands in the era of COVID-19. We witnessed a significant reduction of non-urgent health care demands during the pandemic but an increase of more severe urgent cases. The COVID-19 pandemic and the following lockdown unveiled the inappropriateness of the majority of pediatric ED consultations. Nevertheless, the current scenario highlighted the need for appropriate and timely clinical evaluations in the pediatric primary care to tackle late and more severe diagnoses in EDs.

Impact of wait time during a first pediatric emergency room visit on likelihood of revisit in the next year

OBJECTIVE

Pediatric emergency departments (ED) develop strategies to decrease wait time. Yet, lowering wait times may incite patients to come back, and increase patient volume. We aim to determine if wait time in a first visit influenced the likelihood of a revisit to the same setting.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study of children with a first visit to a single pediatric ED between November 1st 2016, and October 31st 2017. First visit was defined as no visit in the same ED in the previous 12 months. The primary outcome was the occurrence of a revisit at the same ED within 12 months of the first visit. Our main predictor was the wait time at the first visit for primary evaluation by a physician. We used multivariable logistic regression models to adjust for potential risk factors (age, triage level, day of visit and disposition).

RESULTS

Among 85,844 ED visits during the study period, 36,844 were first visits and fulfilled inclusion/exclusion criteria. Median wait time was 101 min (interquartile range: 56-177 min). Among those with a first visit, 11,351 (30.8%) had a revisit within 12 months. In multivariable analysis, each one hour increase in wait time was associated with a lower probability of revisit (OR: 0.92; 95% CI: 0.91-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Shorter wait time was associated with higher likelihood of a revisit to the same ED in the following 12 months. Strategies to reduce wait times should take into consideration possible concomitant increase in patient volume.

Factors that influence family and parental preferences and decision making for unscheduled paediatric healthcare: a systematic review protocol

There is a plethora of factors that dictate where parents and families choose to seek unscheduled healthcare for their child; and the complexity of these decisions can present a challenge for policy makers and healthcare planners as these behaviours can have a significant impact on resources in the health system. The systematic review will seek to identify the factors that influence parents’ and families’ preferences and decision making when seeking unscheduled paediatric healthcare.  Five databases will be searched for published studies (CINAHL, PubMed, SCOPUS, PsycInfo, EconLit) and grey literature will also be searched. Inclusion and exclusion criteria will be applied and articles assessed for quality. A narrative approach will be used to synthesise the evidence that emerges from the review. By collating the factors that influence decision-making and attendance at these services, the review can inform future health policies and strategies seeking to expand primary care to support the provision of accessible and responsive care. The systematic review will also inform the design of a discrete choice experiment (DCE) which will seek to determine parental and family preferences for unscheduled paediatric healthcare. Policies that seek to expand primary care and reduce hospital admissions from emergency departments need to be cognisant of the nuanced and complex factors that govern patients’ behaviour.

Factors that influence family and parental preferences and decision making for unscheduled paediatric healthcare: a systematic review protocol

There is a plethora of factors that dictate where parents and families choose to seek unscheduled healthcare for their child; and the complexity of these decisions can present a challenge for policy makers and healthcare planners as these behaviours can have a significant impact on resources in the health system. The systematic review will seek to identify the factors that influence parents’ and families’ preferences and decision making when seeking unscheduled paediatric healthcare.  Five databases will be searched for published studies (CINAHL, PubMed, SCOPUS, PsycInfo, EconLit) and grey literature will also be searched. Inclusion and exclusion criteria will be applied and articles assessed for quality. A narrative approach will be used to synthesise the evidence that emerges from the review. By collating the factors that influence decision-making and attendance at these services, the review can inform future health policies and strategies seeking to expand primary care to support the provision of accessible and responsive care. The systematic review will also inform the design of a discrete choice experiment (DCE) which will seek to determine parental and family preferences for unscheduled paediatric healthcare. Policies such as Sláintecare that seek to expand primary care and reduce hospital admissions from emergency departments need to be cognisant of the nuanced and complex factors that govern patients’ behaviour.

The impact of pediatric emergency department crowding on patient and health care system outcomes: a multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Emergency department overcrowding has been associated with increased odds of hospital admission and mortality after discharge from the emergency department in predominantly adult cohorts. The objective of this study was to evaluate the association between crowding and the odds of several adverse outcomes among children seen at a pediatric emergency department.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective cohort study involving all children visiting 8 Canadian pediatric emergency departments across 4 provinces between 2010 and 2014. We analyzed the association between mean departmental length of stay for each index visit and hospital admission within 7 days or death within 14 days of emergency department discharge, as well as hospital admission at index visit and return visits within 7 days, using mixed-effects logistic regression modelling.

RESULTS

A total of 1 931 465 index visits occurred across study sites over the 5-year period, with little variation in index visit hospital admission or median length of stay. Hospital admission within 7 days of discharge and 14-day mortality were low across provinces (0.8%-1.5% and < 10 per 100 000 visits, respectively), and their association with mean departmental length of stay varied by triage categories and across sites but was not significant. There were increased odds of hospital admission at the index visit with increasing departmental crowding among visits triaged to Canadian Triage and Acuity Scale (CTAS) score 1-2 (odds ratios [ORs] ranged from 1.01 to 1.08) and return visits among patients with a CTAS score of 4-5 discharged at the index visit at some sites (ORs ranged from 1.00 to 1.06).

INTERPRETATION

Emergency department crowding was not significantly associated with hospital admission within 7 days of the emergency department visit or mortality in children. However, it was associated with increased hospital admission at the index visit for the sickest children, and with return visits to the emergency department for those less sick.