Early predictors of renal outcome in patients with proliferative lupus nephritis: a 36-months cohort study

Attainment of EULAR/ERA-EDTA targets of therapy with current immunosuppressive regimens and adjustments in treatment: a multicentre, real-life observational study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate real-life European Alliance of Associations for Rheumatology (EULAR)/European Renal Association (ERA)-European Dialysis and Transplantation Association (EDTA) response rates and predictors for no response in patients with lupus nephritis (LN) managed with conventional immunosuppressive therapies.

METHODS

Ambidirectional cohort study of patients with new-onset LN (period 2014-to date). Response rates in the first year were calculated, and all treatment modifications were recorded. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed to assess determinants of failure to respond at 12 months.

RESULTS

140 patients were included (81.4% women, median (IQR) age at LN diagnosis 38 (22) years). Among them, 32.1% presented with nephrotic range proteinuria, 28.6% with glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min, 76.6% had proliferative and 19.7% class V LN. Initial treatment consisted of cyclophosphamide in 51.4% of patients (84.7% high-dose, 15.3% low-dose) and mycophenolate in 32.1%. 120 patients had available data at 12 months. EULAR/ERA-EDTA renal response rates at 3, 6 and 12 months were achieved by 72.6%, 78.5% % and 69.2% of patients, respectively. In multivariate analysis, increased Chronicity Index at baseline was associated with failure to achieve either complete or partial response at 12 months (OR 2.26, 95% CI 1.35 to 3.77). Notably, 20% of patients required treatment modifications due to suboptimal response during the first 12 months, with the addition of or switch to a different immunosuppressive drug in seven and nine patients, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

More than two-thirds of patients with LN attain EULAR/ERA-EDTA response rates by 12 months, but 20% require therapy modifications within this time period. Patients with increased chronicity in baseline biopsy, when combined with histological activity, are at higher risk for a lack of clinical response.

Clinical and Immunological Factors Associated with the Progression of Lupus Nephritis in a Population from the Colombian Caribbean

Lupus nephritis represents a significant immune-mediated glomerulonephritis, constituting the most important organ involvement induced by systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), with variable epidemiology and clinical presentation among populations.

OBJECTIVE

to identify clinical and immunological factors associated with the progression of lupus nephritis in a population from the Colombian Caribbean.

METHODS

we evaluated 401 patients diagnosed with SLE and lupus nephritis, treated at a reference center in the Colombian Caribbean, gathering data recorded in medical records.

RESULTS

A proportion of 87% were female, with a median age of 42 years. Most patients presented with proliferative classes (90%), with class IV being the most common (70%). A proportion of 52% of patients did not respond to treatment, which is described as the lack of complete or partial response, while 28% had a complete response. A significant decrease in hemoglobin, glomerular filtration rate, and proteinuria was identified by the third follow-up (p < 0.001), along with an increase in creatinine, urea, and hematuria (p < 0.001). Patients with initial proteinuria > 2 g/day were found to be 27 times more likely to be non-responders (p < 0.001). Mortality was associated with the presence of serum creatinine >1.5 mg/dL (p = 0.01) (OR: 1.61 CI 95% 0.75-3.75) and thrombocytopenia (p = 0.01) (OR: 0.36; CI 95% 0.12-0.81).

CONCLUSIONS

identifying factors of progression, non-response, and mortality provides an opportunity for more targeted and personalized intervention, thereby improving care and outcomes for patients with lupus nephritis.

TLR7 activation of age-associated B cells mediates disease in a mouse model of primary Sjögren's disease

Primary Sjögren's disease (pSD) (also referred to as Sjögren's syndrome) is an autoimmune disease that primarily occurs in women. In addition to exocrine gland dysfunction, pSD patients exhibit B cell hyperactivity. B cell-intrinsic TLR7 activation is integral to the pathogenesis of systemic lupus erythematosus, a disease that shares similarities with pSD. The role of TLR7-mediated B cell activation in pSD, however, remains poorly understood. We hypothesized that age-associated B cells (ABCs) were expanded in pSD and that TLR7-stimulated ABCs exhibited pathogenic features characteristic of disease. Our data revealed that ABC expansion and TLR7 expression were enhanced in a pSD mouse model in a Myd88-dependent manner. Splenocytes from pSD mice showed enhanced sensitivity to TLR7 agonism as compared with those derived from control animals. Sort-purified marginal zone B cells and ABCs from pSD mice showed enhanced inflammatory cytokine secretion and were enriched for antinuclear autoantibodies following TLR7 agonism. Finally, IgG from pSD patient sera showed elevated antinuclear autoantibodies, many of which were secreted preferentially by TLR7-stimulated murine marginal zone B cells and ABCs. These data indicate that pSD B cells are hyperresponsive to TLR7 agonism and that TLR7-activated B cells contribute to pSD through cytokine and autoantibody production. Thus, therapeutics that target TLR7 signaling cascades in B cells may have utility in pSD patients.

EULAR recommendations for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus: 2023 update

OBJECTIVES

To update the EULAR recommendations for the management of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) based on emerging new evidence.

METHODS

An international Task Force formed the questions for the systematic literature reviews (January 2018-December 2022), followed by formulation and finalisation of the statements after a series of meetings. A predefined voting process was applied to each overarching principle and recommendation. Levels of evidence and strengths of recommendation were assigned, and participants finally provided their level of agreement with each item.

RESULTS

The Task Force agreed on 5 overarching principles and 13 recommendations, concerning the use of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ), glucocorticoids (GC), immunosuppressive drugs (ISDs) (including methotrexate, mycophenolate, azathioprine, cyclophosphamide (CYC)), calcineurin inhibitors (CNIs, cyclosporine, tacrolimus, voclosporin) and biologics (belimumab, anifrolumab, rituximab). Advice is also provided on treatment strategies and targets of therapy, assessment of response, combination and sequential therapies, and tapering of therapy. HCQ is recommended for all patients with lupus at a target dose 5 mg/kg real body weight/day, considering the individual's risk for flares and retinal toxicity. GC are used as 'bridging therapy' during periods of disease activity; for maintenance treatment, they should be minimised to equal or less than 5 mg/day (prednisone equivalent) and, when possible, withdrawn. Prompt initiation of ISDs (methotrexate, azathioprine, mycophenolate) and/or biological agents (anifrolumab, belimumab) should be considered to control the disease and facilitate GC tapering/discontinuation. CYC and rituximab should be considered in organ-threatening and refractory disease, respectively. For active lupus nephritis, GC, mycophenolate or low-dose intravenous CYC are recommended as anchor drugs, and add-on therapy with belimumab or CNIs (voclosporin or tacrolimus) should be considered. Updated specific recommendations are also provided for cutaneous, neuropsychiatric and haematological disease, SLE-associated antiphospholipid syndrome, kidney protection, as well as preventative measures for infections, osteoporosis, cardiovascular disease.

CONCLUSION

The updated recommendations provide consensus guidance on the management of SLE, combining evidence and expert opinion.

Treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus: new therapeutic options

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a systemic autoimmune inflammatory disease of unknown cause, with heterogeneity in its clinical presentation, as well as variability in its clinical course and prognosis. The current goal of treatment is to achieve disease remission or a state of low activity, and thereby improve the patient's quality of life. Biological therapy in lupus, unlike other entities, although it has not been fully established, in recent years it has burst onto the scene with important therapeutic novelties. This review aims to update the therapeutic tools for the treatment of SLE focusing on the new molecules that have achieved the objectives of their clinical trials.

Predictors of flare in SLE patients fulfilling lupus low disease activity state: a cohort study of 292 patients with 36-month follow-up

OBJECTIVES

The treatment target in SLE should be maintained stable by preventing flares. The objectives were to identify predictors of flare in patients attaining lupus low disease activity state (LLDAS), and to assess whether remission with no glucocorticoids is associated with lower risk of flares.

METHODS

This was a cohort study of SLE patients followed in a referral centre over 3 years. Baseline was the first visit where each patient attained LLDAS. Flares up to 36 months' follow-up were identified by three instruments: revised Safety of Estrogen in Lupus Erythematosus National Assessment (SELENA) Flare Index (r-SFI), SLEDAI-2000 (SLEDAI-2K) and SLE Disease Activity Score (SLE-DAS). Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters at baseline were evaluated as predictors of flare, with distinct models for each flare instrument, using survival analysis with univariate followed by multivariate Cox regression. Hazard ratios (HR) were determined with 95% CI.

RESULTS

A total of 292 patients fulfilling LLDAS were included. Over follow-up, 28.4%, 24.7% and 13.4% of the patients developed one or more flare, according to r-SFI, SLE-DAS and SLEDAI-2K definitions, respectively. After multivariate analysis, the predictors of SLE-DAS flares were presence of anti-U1-ribonucleoprotein (anti-U1RNP) (HR = 2.16, 95% CI 1.30, 3.59), SLE-DAS score at baseline (HR = 1.27, 95% CI 1.04, 1.54) and immunosuppressants (HR = 2.43, 95% CI 1.43, 4.09). These predictors were equally significant for r-SFI and SLEDAI-2K flares. Remitted patients with no glucocorticoids presented a lower risk of SLE-DAS flares (HR = 0.60, 95% CI 0.37, 0.98).

CONCLUSION

In patients with LLDAS, anti-U1RNP, disease activity scored by SLE-DAS and SLE requiring maintenance immunosuppressants predict higher risk of flare. Remission with no glucocorticoids is associated with lower risk of flares.

Flares in Lupus Nephritis: Risk Factors and Strategies for Their Prevention

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Discuss the prognostic significance of kidney flares in patients with lupus nephritis, associated risk factors, and possible preventative strategies.

RECENT FINDINGS

Recently performed clinical trials and observational cohort studies underscore the high frequency of relapses of kidney disease, following initial response, in patients with proliferative and/or membranous lupus nephritis. Analysis of hard disease outcomes such as progression to chronic kidney disease or end-stage kidney disease, coupled with histological findings from repeat kidney biopsy studies, have drawn attention to the importance of renal function preservation that should be pursued as early as lupus nephritis is diagnosed. In this respect, non-randomized and randomized evidence have suggested a number of factors associated with reduced risk of renal flares such as attaining a very low level of proteinuria (< 700-800 mg/24 h by 12 months), using mycophenolate over azathioprine, adding belimumab to standard therapy, maintaining immunosuppressive/biological treatment for at least 3 to 5 years, and using hydroxychloroquine. Other factors that warrant further clarification include serological activity and the use of repeat kidney biopsy to guide the intensity and duration of treatment in selected cases. The results from ongoing innovative studies integrating kidney histological and clinical outcomes, together with an expanding spectrum of therapies in lupus nephritis, are expected to facilitate individual medical care and long-term disease and patient prognosis.

Multidisciplinary approach to lupus nephritis: Clinical pearls, pitfalls, and positioning of newly-approved agents

Lupus nephritis (LN) is a major course of morbidity and mortality in patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), best managed by a multidisciplinary group. To this end, we gathered a group of rheumatologists, nephrologists and a nephropathologist to review current evidence regarding diagnosis and management of LN. In this consensus paper, we summarize the key points from this meeting and provide practice guidelines for the management of kidney involvement in SLE, in view of emerging new data concerning novel agents approved recently. Renal biopsy is indispensable for the management of LN. Yet, important pearls and pitfalls need to be considered regarding indications and interpretation, which are summarized in informative tables. In new-onset LN, experts agreed that, although belimumab may be added from disease onset, patients with moderate to severe proliferative nephritis (defined as: NIH activity index > 5 plus ≥ 1 of the following: (i) NIH chronicity index > 2, (ii) proteinuria > 3 g/24 h, and (iii) increase in serum creatinine > 20%) may be more likely to benefit the most. In all other patients who have already started standard-of-care treatment with either mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) or cyclophosphamide (CY), belimumab could be considered in cases with an inadequate clinical response by 3 months, or in cases that experience a nephritic flare following initial response, or have an inability to reduce the dose of glucocorticoids. In all circumstances, the drug should be given as add-on therapy, that is, in combination with a standard-of-care therapy (MMF or CY). Voclosporin could be considered for up to 3 years, in combination with MMF, in patients with heavy proteinuria (well above the nephrotic range), wherein a quick reduction of protein loss in urine is desirable to avoid the complications of the nephrotic syndrome, either as part of the initial regimen, or in cases of inadequate reduction of proteinuria with MMF. In view of the potential scarring effects, long-term administration beyond the first year requires further documentation.

Baseline Proteinuria and Serum Creatinine Concentration as Clinical Predictors of Complete Renal Response in Patients with Lupus Nephritis: A Single-Center Experience

The aim of the study was to identify robust predictors of complete renal response (CRR), within 36 months, in a single-center cohort of lupus nephritis (LN) patients. Patients with biopsy-confirmed LN who underwent kidney biopsy between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2020 were included and followed up for at least 6 months. CRR was defined as a reduction of urinary protein-to-creatinine ratio (UPCR) below 0.50 g/g. We evaluated baseline demographic, laboratory, and biopsy characteristics as potential predictors of CRR, and selected the variables further evaluated with Kaplan−Meier curves and log-rank tests. The traits with a p-value < 0.1 were later tested with both uni- and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Our sample consisted of 57 patients (84% females, median age 32 years), out of which 63.2% reached CRR within 36 months. The initial UPCR and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were the only variables in multivariable Cox regression model, which were selected through backward elimination, with a significance threshold <0.05 (HR = 0.77, p = 0.01 and HR = 1.02, p = 0.001). Our results confirmed the role of initial UPCR and serum creatinine concentration (sCr) as predictors of CRR in LN.

B Cell Kinetics upon Therapy Commencement for Active Extrarenal Systemic Lupus Erythematosus in Relation to Development of Renal Flares: Results from Three Phase III Clinical Trials of Belimumab

Renal flares constitute major determinants of poor prognosis in people living with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). The aim of the present study was to investigate changes in B cell subsets in relation to renal flares upon initiation of standard therapy (ST) plus belimumab or placebo in patients with SLE. Using data from the BLISS-76, BLISS-SC, and BLISS Northeast Asia trials, we investigated associations of relative to baseline rapid (through week 8) and early (through week 24) percentage changes in circulating CD19⁺ B cell subsets characterised through flow cytometry, anti-dsDNA antibodies, and complement levels with the occurrence of renal flares over one year. Patients who developed renal flares showed more prominent rapid decreases in CD19⁺CD20⁺CD138⁺ short-lived plasma cells (-50.4% vs. -16.7%; p = 0.019) and CD19⁺CD20^-CD27^bright plasmablasts (-50.0% vs. -29.9%; p = 0.020) compared to non-flaring patients, followed by a subsequent return. Less prominent rapid reductions in CD19⁺CD27^-CD24^brightCD38^bright transitional B cells (-42.9% vs. -75.0%; p = 0.038) and CD19⁺CD20^-CD138⁺ peripheral long-lived plasma cells (-11.3% vs. -29.2%; p = 0.019) were seen in belimumab-treated-but not placebo-treated-patients who developed renal flares compared to belimumab-treated patients who did not. Rapid and early changes in anti-dsDNA or complement levels showed no clear association with renal flares. In summary, a rapid drop followed by a subsequent return in circulating short-lived plasma cells and plasmablasts upon treatment for active extra-renal SLE portended renal flares, indicating a need for therapeutic adjustments in patients showing such B cell patterns. Rapid decreases in transitional B cells and peripheral long-lived plasma cells upon belimumab therapy commencement may signify a greater protection against renal flares. B cell kinetics may prove useful in early drug evaluation.

Predictive Factors for Renal Response in Lupus Nephritis: A Single-center Prospective Cohort Study

Objective

To identify the predictive factors for renal response in patients with lupus nephritis (LN).

Methods

Patients and data were extracted from a prospective systemic lupus erythematosus cohort in Korea, in which clinical data were collected at 0, 3, 6, and 12 months after induction therapy. Treatment response of LN were evaluated as a complete response (CR), partial response (PR), or non-response (NR) at 3, 6, and 12 months, respectively. Predictive factors for CR at 6 months were evaluated using multivariable Poisson regression analysis.

Results

A total of 75 patients with LN who underwent biopsy was enrolled. The mean age at diagnosis of LN was 28.9±9.7 years, and 68 (90.7%) were female. The frequencies of classes III, IV, III+V, IV+V, and V were 20.0%, 44.0%, 16.0%, 12.0%, and 8.0%, respectively. Compared to relapsed LN, new-onset LN showed a lower percentage of glomerulosclerosis (45.5% vs. 76.2%, p=0.013). The overall proportions of CR, PR, and NR at 6 and 12 months were 52.0%, 26.7%, 21.3% and 50.7%, 24.0%, 25.3%, respectively. In multivariate analysis, age at enrollment (odds ratio [OR]=1.02, p=0.022), relapsed LN (OR=0.71, p=0.037), anti-Ro antibody (OR=0.67, p=0.014), and class III LN (OR=1.48, p=0.001) were associated with CR at 6 months.

Conclusion

In our prospective cohort, class III LN was a good predictive factor for CR at 6 months in patients with LN, whereas younger age, relapsed LN, and anti-Ro antibody were poor predictive factors.

Predictors of Early Response, Flares, and Long-Term Adverse Renal Outcomes in Proliferative Lupus Nephritis: A 100-Month Median Follow-Up of an Inception Cohort

Objective: To define predictors of response, time to response, flares, and long-term renal outcome in an inception cohort of proliferative lupus nephritis (PLN). Methods: We included 100 patients (80% female; mean age 31 ± 13 years) with biopsy-proven PLN (III, IV, III/IV + V). Clinical, laboratory, histological and therapeutical parameters were recorded at baseline, 6, 9, 12, 18, 24, 36, 72 months, time of flare, and last follow-up visit. Logistic and Cox-regression models were applied. Results: After induction treatment (69% received cyclophosphamide (CYC) and 27% mycophenolic acid (MPA)), partial (PR) or complete (CR) response was achieved in 59% (26% CR, 33% PR) and 67% (43% CR, 24% PR) of patients at 3 and 6 months, respectively; median time to PR was 3 months (IQR 5) and median time to CR was 6 months (IQR 9). Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day correlated with a shorter time to CR (HR 1.77) and with CR at 3, 6, and 9 months (OR 9.4, OR 5.3 and OR 3.7, respectively). During 100-month median follow-up, 33% of patients had ≥1 renal flares (median time: 38 months). Proteinuria >0.8 g/day at 12 months was associated with a higher risk of flares (OR 4.12), while MPA and mixed classes with lower risk (OR 0.14 and OR 0.13, respectively). Baseline proteinuria >2 g/day and 12-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with a shorter time to flare (HR 2.56 and HR 2.57, respectively). At the end of follow-up, 10% developed stage 3–4 chronic kidney disease (CKD), and 12% end-stage renal disease (ESRD). Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day (OR 10.8) and interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25% (OR 7.7) predicted CKD or ESRD at last visit. Conclusions: Baseline proteinuria <1.5 g/day predicted time to CR. Twelve-month proteinuria >0.8 g/day correlated with flares (ever) and time to flare and, along with baseline interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy >25%, predicted CKD or ESRD at the last visit.

Renal response and its predictive factors of lupus nephritis: a 2-year real-world study of 56 hospital-based patients

OBJECTIVES

Our aim was to evaluate the renal response rate of patients with lupus nephritis (LN) undergoing standard treatment during a 2-year follow-up and to investigate its predictive factors.

METHODS

A prospective cohort study that enrolled 56 clinically diagnosed LN patients with urinary protein positivity was carried out. All patients underwent standard treatment. All patients were followed up at 6-month intervals for 2 years. Data on renal response and clinical characteristics were collected and analyzed.

RESULTS

Among 56 patients, 27 (48.2%) and 13 (23.2%) patients achieved complete renal response (CR) and partial renal response (PR) at 6 months after induction therapy, respectively, and 42 (75.0%) and 4 (7.1%) patients developed CR and PR at 2 years. Among patients who achieved PR at 6 months, 90.0% achieved CR at 24 months, while only 37.5% of the patients who were unresponsive at 6 months achieved CR. In the multivariable Cox proportional-hazards model, female (OR 6.51, 95% CI 1.23-34.52, p = 0.028), disease duration (OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.73-0.98, p = 0.021), achieving PR within 6 months (OR 8.09, 95% CI 2.06-31.73, p = 0.003), and urine protein/creatinine ratio (UPCR) (OR 0.998, 95% CI 0.996-1.000, p = 0.025) were found to be predictive factors of CR.

CONCLUSION

A total of 48.2% of patients achieved CR at 6 months of induction therapy, and the response rates gradually increased to 60.7%, 64.3%, and 75.0% at 12, 18, and 24 months. Besides, female, disease duration, partial response within 6 months, and UPCR were predictive factors for a complete renal response. Key Points • We evaluate the renal response rates in Chinese patients with lupus nephritis in the real world for 2 years. • A total of 48.2% and 75.0% of patients achieved a complete response after standard treatment for 6 months and 2 years. • Female, disease duration, partial response within 6 months, and UPCR are predictors of complete renal response.

Proliferative Lupusnephritis: Welche Parameter sagen renale Prognose voraus?

Bis zu 60% der Patientinnen und Patienten mit einem systemischen Lupus erythematodes (SLE) leiden an einer Lupusnephritis. Die ungünstigste Prognose hat dabei die proliferative Verlaufsform. Ein Forscherteam aus Portugal und den Niederlanden ging nun im Rahmen einer retrospektiven Studie der Frage nach, anhand welcher Faktoren die renale Prognose der Betroffenen vorhergesagt werden kann.

Lupus Nephritis: Improving Treatment Options

Despite improvements in patient and renal death rates following the introduction of potent immunosuppressive drugs in earlier decades, a sizeable fraction of patients with lupus nephritis is burdened with suboptimal or delayed responses, relapses, chronic use of glucocorticoids and accrual of renal (chronic renal insufficiency) and extra-renal organ damage. The recently approved combinatory treatments comprising belimumab or voclosporin added to conventional agents, especially mycophenolate, hold promise for further improving disease outcomes and enabling a faster steroid tapering, thus being relevant to the treat-to-target context. However, it remains uncertain whether these dual regimens should become the first-line choice for all patients or instead be prioritized to certain subgroups. In the present article, we summarize the existing lupus nephritis management recommendations, followed by a critical appraisal of the randomized trials of belimumab and voclosporin, as well as the available data on obinutuzumab and other novel compounds under development. We conclude that pending the identification of accurate clinical, histological, or translational predictors for guiding personalized decisions, it is of utmost importance that lupus nephritis patients are monitored closely with appropriate treatment adjustments aiming at a prompt, deep response to ensure long-term preservation of kidney function.

Glycosphingolipid Levels in Urine Extracellular Vesicles Enhance Prediction of Therapeutic Response in Lupus Nephritis

The development of nephritis increases the risk of morbidity and mortality in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. While standard induction therapies, such as mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) induce clinical remission (i.e., complete response) in approximately 50% of SLE patients with nephritis, many patients fail to respond. Therapeutic response is often not assessed until 6-12 months after beginning treatment. Those patients that fail to respond to treatment continue to accumulate organ damage, thus, there is a critical need to predict which patients will fail therapy before beginning treatment, allowing physicians to optimize therapy. Our previous studies demonstrated elevated urine, but not serum, glycosphingolipids (GSLs) in SLE patients with nephritis compared to SLE patients without nephritis, suggesting the urine GSLs were derived from the kidney. In this study, we measured the GSLs hexosylceramide and lactosylceramide in extracellular vesicles isolated from longitudinal urine samples of LN patients that were treated with MMF for 12 months. GSL levels were significantly elevated in the baseline samples (prior to treatment) of non-responders compared to complete responders. While a few other proteins measured in the whole urine were higher in non-responders at baseline, only GSLs demonstrated a significant ability to discriminate treatment response in lupus nephritis patients.

Antimalarial treatment and minimizing prednisolone are associated with lower risk of infection in SLE: a 24-month prospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVES

Infections are a major cause of morbidity and death in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). Perfecting the understanding of contributors to infection burden in SLE is pivotal to improve management and outcomes. This study aims to identify clinical predictors of infection in SLE.

METHOD

We conducted a prospective cohort study at a referral SLE clinic. Infections were identified at each visit and categorized as (a) any type, (b) serious, (c) non-serious, and (d) bacterial. Survival analysis followed by multivariate Cox regression with an estimation of hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) was performed.

RESULTS

We included 259 patients during a mean follow-up of 23.3 ± 5.7 months. The incidence rate of infection of any type was 59.3 cases per 100 patient-years. Multivariate Cox models showed that (a) prednisolone ≥ 7.5 mg/day (HR = 1.95, 95%CI 1.26-3.03) and female gender (HR = 2.08, 95%CI 1.12-3.86) were associated with higher risk of infection of any type; (b) prednisolone ≥ 10 mg/day was associated with higher (HR = 4.32, 95%CI 1.39-13.40), and antimalarials with lower risk (HR = 0.18, 95%CI 0.06-0.51) of serious infection; (c) female gender (HR = 1.92, 95%CI 1.04-3.57) and prednisolone ≥ 7.5 mg/day (HR = 1.89, 95%CI 1.21-2.96) were associated with higher risk of non-serious infection; (d) antimalarials were associated with lower (HR = 0.49, 95%CI 0.26-0.93) and female gender (HR = 5.12; 95%CI 1.62-16.18) with higher risk of bacterial infection.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of infection was higher in females in this young, well-controlled, low-comorbidity SLE cohort. Antimalarials were associated with lower and prednisolone ≥ 7.5 mg with higher risk of infection. Key Points • Lupus patients treated with prednisolone ≥ 7.5 mg/day were 89% more likely to present infections. • Lupus patients receiving prednisolone ≥ 10 mg/day were four times more likely to present serious infections. • Lupus patients receiving antimalarials were 82% less likely to present serious infections.