Leucocyte ratios are biomarkers of mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure

Non-selective beta-blocker is associated with reduced mortality in critically ill patients with cirrhosis: A real-world study

BACKGROUND

Apart from direct portal pressure reduction, non-selective beta-blockers (NSBB) modulate inflammatory response, which could be beneficial in patients with acute decompensation (AD). We therefore aimed to evaluate the effect of NSBB on 28-day mortality and markers of systemic inflammation in a propensity score-matched (PSM) cohort of AD patients requiring intensive care unit (ICU) admission.

METHODS

Patients were recruited from registry of AD patients requiring ICU admission. Out of total 445 patients, 108 patients on NSBB before admission (NSBB use group) were PSM for age, gender, pre-admission Child-Turcotte-Pugh score and history of previous decompensation to 108 patients not on NSBB (non-NSBB use group) which served as the control group. ICU parameters, markers of systemic inflammation and 28-day mortality were compared by standard statistical tests.

RESULTS

After PSM, no difference was observed in aetiology of cirrhosis, or precipitating event for AD between the groups. Pre-admission creatinine, bilirubin, international normalised ratio and haemoglobin were similar between the groups, whereas pre-admission white cell count (WCC) and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was lower in NSBB-group. On admission to ICU, NSBB group had lower heart rate (p = 0.006), platelets (p = 0.012), WCC (p = 0.006), NLR (p = 0.039) and C-reactive protein (p = 0.007). Significantly more community acquired bacterial infections (p = 0.006), renal failure (p = 0.033) and higher grades of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF; p = 0.012) were observed in non-NSBB group. Significantly lower 28-day (p = 0.001) and 90-day (p = 0.002) mortality was seen in NSBB group. Univariate and multivariable analysis for 28-day mortality showed that while ACLF at presentation and community acquired bacterial infection were independent negative predictors, prior NSBB use was positive predictors of survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Prior use of NSBB is associated with improved 28- and 90-day mortality in critically ill cirrhosis patients with AD which is mediated probably by blunting of the inflammatory response.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in end-stage liver disease: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is commonly utilized as a prognostic indicator in end-stage liver disease (ESLD), encompassing conditions like liver failure and decompensated cirrhosis. Nevertheless, some studies have contested the prognostic value of NLR in ESLD.

AIM

To investigate the ability of NLR to predict ESLD.

METHODS

Databases, such as Embase, PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Weipu, and Wanfang, were comprehensively searched to identify studies published before October 2022 assessing the prognostic ability of NLR to predict mortality in patients with ESLD. Effect sizes were calculated using comprehensive meta-analysis software and SATAT 15.1.

RESULTS

A total of thirty studies involving patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) were included in the evaluation. Among the pooled results of eight studies, it was observed that the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) was significantly higher in non-survivors compared to survivors (random-effects model: standardized mean difference = 1.02, 95% confidence interval = 0.67-1.37). Additionally, twenty-seven studies examined the associations between NLR and mortality in ESLD patients, reporting either hazard ratios (HR) or odds ratios (OR). The combined findings indicated a link between NLR and ESLD mortality (random-effects model; univariate HR = 1.07, 95%CI = 1.05-1.09; multivariate HR = 1.07, 95%CI = 1.07-1.09; univariate OR = 1.29, 95%CI = 1.18-1.39; multivariate OR = 1.29, 95%CI = 1.09-1.49). Furthermore, subgroup and meta-regression analyses revealed regional variations in the impact of NLR on ESLD mortality, with Asian studies demonstrating a more pronounced effect.

CONCLUSION

Increased NLR in patients with ESLD is associated with a higher risk of mortality, particularly in Asian patients. NLR is a useful prognostic biomarker in patients with ESLD.

The challenges and potential in developing microRNA associated with regeneration as biomarkers to improve prognostication for liver failure syndromes and hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Determining the need for liver transplantation remains critical in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver failure syndromes (including acute liver failure and decompensated cirrhosis states). Conventional prognostic models utilize biomarkers of liver and non-liver failure and have limitations in their application. Novel biomarkers which predict regeneration may fulfil this niche. microRNA are implicated in health and disease and are present in abundance in the circulation. Despite this, they have not translated into mainstream clinical biomarkers.

AREAS COVERED

We will discuss current challenges in the prognostication of patients with liver failure syndromes as well as for patients with HCC. We will discuss biomarkers implicated with liver regeneration. We then provide an overview of the challenges in developing microRNA into clinically tractable biomarkers. Finally, we will provide a scoping review of microRNA which may have potential as prognostic biomarkers in liver failure syndromes and HCC.

EXPERT OPINION

Novel biomarkers are needed to improve prognostic models in liver failure syndromes and HCC. Biomarkers associated with liver regeneration are currently lacking and may fulfil this niche. microRNA have the potential to be developed into clinically tractable biomarkers but a consensus on standardizing methodology and reporting is required prior to large-scale studies.

A novel laboratory-based nomogram for assessing infection presence risk in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

Accurate assessment of infection presence risk level, timely diagnosis, and effective control are critical for decreasing mortality of Acute‑on‑chronic liver failure (ACLF). We aimed to develop and validate a novel diagnostic model to accurately assess infection presence risk level in ACLF patients. 185 ACLF patients with/without infection were enrolled, and their demographic, physical findings, immune-inflammatory, hepatic function, metabolism, and coagulation-fibrinolysis indicators were analyzed. Regression analysis was performed to identify the independent diagnostic parameters, which were further used to establish diagnostic models with a nomogram for visual. An area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), calibration plots, clinical impact curves, decision curve analysis, and net reclassification index were used to evaluate and identify the best model. An external validating cohort was introduced to verify the diagnostic accuracy. We screened out white blood cell (WBC) count, LYM%, blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and D-dimer for assessing infection presence risk levels in ACLF patients. WBD (WBC + BUN + D-dimer) was established and proposed as a novel diagnostic model for infection presence risk levels assessment in ACLF patients with an AUROC of 0.803 (95%CI 0.723-0.883), 0.885 (95%CI 0.786-0.984) in training and external cohorts, respectively. In stratification analysis by ACLF etiology and stages, WBD achieved an AUROC of 0.791 (95%CI 0.691-0.891) and 0.873 (95%CI 0.78-0.966) in HBV-related and early-stage patients, respectively. Whereas a higher AUROC of 0.905 (95%CI 0.807-1.00) in the early-stage of HBV-related ACLF patients indicated its optimum application scope. WBD, a novel laboratory-based nomogram, can serve as a decision-making support tool for clinicians to assess infection presence risk levels in ACLF patients.

The Value of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio to Identify Bacterial Infection and Predict Short-Term Mortality in Patients with Acutely Decompensated Cirrhosis

Liver cirrhosis patients are highly susceptible to infections, affecting survival, but current parameters for detecting infection are not reliable enough in this population. We investigated the ability of white blood cell (WBC), ∆WBC, neutrophil and ∆neutrophil counts, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte (NLR) and ∆NLR ratios and C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT) levels to identify infection and predict short-term mortality in liver cirrhosis patients. We recruited 233 patients with liver cirrhosis hospitalized with acute decompensation (AD) who had an outpatient visit within 1 month (baseline laboratory data) and followed them for 90 days. Difference between laboratory values at baseline and the AD episode was defined as delta (∆) values of the parameters. Delta values did not increase the diagnostic and predictive ability of investigated parameters. The CRP level was found to be the best diagnostic marker for infection in patients with cirrhosis. However, NLR seems to be superior for short-term mortality prediction, better than the WBC count. Distinguishing inflammations of different origin is a remaining clinical challenge in acutely decompensated cirrhosis. Based on our results, NLR might be more suitable for predicting short-term mortality in patients with AD than the WBC count currently included in the CLIF-C AD score.

Lymphocyte-to-white blood cell ratio is associated with outcome in patients with hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

The lymphocyte-to-white blood cell ratio (LWR) is a blood marker of the systemic inflammatory response. The prognostic value of LWR in patients with hepatitis B virus-associated acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains unclear.

AIM

To explore whether LWR could stratify the risk of poor outcomes in HBV-ACLF patients.

METHODS

This study was conducted by recruiting 330 patients with HBV-ACLF at the Department of Gastroenterology in a large tertiary hospital. Patients were divided into survivor and non-survivor groups according to their 28-d prognosis. The independent risk factors for 28-d mortality were calculated by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses. Patients were divided into low- and high-LWR groups according to the cutoff values. Kaplan-Meier analysis was performed according to the level of LWR.

RESULTS

During the 28-d follow-up time, 135 patients died, and the mortality rate was 40.90%. The LWR level in non-surviving patients was significantly decreased compared to that in surviving patients. A lower LWR level was an independent risk factor for poor 28-d outcomes (hazard ratio = 0.052, 95% confidence interval: 0.005-0.535). The LWR level was significantly negatively correlated with the Child-Turcotte-Pugh, model for end-stage liver disease, and Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF II scores. In addition, the 28-d mortality was higher for patients with LWR < 0.11 than for those with LWR ≥ 0.11.

CONCLUSION

LWR may serve as a simple and useful tool for stratifying the risk of poor 28-d outcomes in HBV-ACLF patients.

Nitric Oxide, Neutrophil/Lymphocyte, and Platelet/Lymphocyte Ratios as Promising Inflammatory Biomarkers in Complicated Crohn's Disease: Outcomes of Corticosteroids and Anti-TNF-α Therapies

Crohn's disease (CD) is a relapsing-remitting inflammatory bowel disease with a progressive course. The aim of our study was to evaluate the relationship between nitric oxide (NO), pro-inflammatory cytokines, and blood count-based ratios in patients with complicated Crohn's disease as well as the outcome of corticosteroid or anti-TNF-α therapy. In this context, we evaluated the NLR as the ratio of neutrophils count to lymphocytes count, PLR as the ratio of platelets count to lymphocytes count, and MLR as the ratio of monocytes count to lymphocytes count in patients and controls. Furthermore, we assessed NO production by the Griess method in plasma along with iNOS and NF-κB expression by immunofluorescence method in intestinal tissues of patients and controls. In the same way, we evaluated plasma TNF-α, IL-17A, and IL-10 levels using ELISA. Our results indicate that blood count-based ratios NLR, PLR, and MLR were significantly higher in patients compared to controls. In addition, increased systemic levels of NO, TNF-α, and IL-17A and colonic expression of iNOS and NF-κB were observed in the same patients. Interestingly, the high ratio of NLR and MLR as well as NO production were significantly decreased in treated patients. Collectively, our findings suggest that nitric oxide as well as the blood count-based ratios (NLR, PLR, MLR) could constitute useful biomarkers in complicated Crohn's disease, predicting the response to treatments.

Plasma human neutrophil peptides as biomarkers of disease severity and mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Human neutrophil peptides (HNP)-1, -2 and -3 are the most abundant proteins in neutrophil azurophilic granules and are rapidly released via neutrophil degranulation upon activation. The aims of our study were to assess the role of HNP1-3 as biomarkers of disease severity in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and their value in predicting short-term mortality.

METHODS

In this study, 451 patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis (AD) were enrolled at the two medical centres. Overall, 281 patients were enrolled as the training cohort from October 2015 to April 2019, and 170 patients were enrolled as the validation cohort from June 2020 to February 2021. Plasma HNP1-3 levels were measured using enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA).

RESULTS

Plasma HNP1-3 increased stepwise with disease severity (compensated cirrhosis: 0.3 (0.2-0.4); AD without acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF): 1.9 (1.3-4.8); ACLF-1: 2.3 (1.8-6.1); ACLF-2: 5.6 (2.9-12.3); ACLF-3: 10.3 (5.7-17.2) ng/ml). From the multivariate Cox regression analysis, HNP1-3 emerged as independent predictors of mortality at 30 and 90 days. Similar results were observed in the subgroup analysis. On ROC analysis, plasma HNP1-3 showed better predictive accuracy for 30- and 90-day mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.850 and 0.885, respectively) than the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and similar accuracy as end-stage liver disease (MELD: 0.881 and 0.874) and chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure (CLIF-SOFA: 0.887 and 0.878).

CONCLUSIONS

Plasma HNP1-3 levels were closely associated with disease severity and might be used to identify patients with AD at high risk of short-term mortality.

Elevated lactate/albumin ratio as a novel predictor of in-hospital mortality in hospitalized cirrhotics

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Novel predictors of prognosis in cirrhotic patients have been emerging in recent years and studies show that the lactate/albumin ratio can serve as an early prognostic marker in different patient groups. We aimed to uncover the clinical significance of the lactate/albumin ratio in hospitalized patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A retrospective single-center cohort study was conducted in a tertiary medical center. Subjects included had an established diagnosis of liver cirrhosis and were admitted to the ICU or the Internal Medicine department with a clinical picture of acute-on-chronic liver failure between the years 2010 and 2021. The primary outcome was to assess the utility of the lactate/albumin ratio as a prognostic marker to predict mortality in hospitalized cirrhotic patients with acute-on-chronic hepatic failure.

RESULTS

Two hundred seventy-nine patients were included in this study. Univariate analysis revealed that mean WBC count, platelet/creatinine ratio, aspartate transaminase (AST), lactate, and MELD score were all significantly associated with the primary outcome. Multivariate analysis showed that the lactate/albumin ratio was the strongest statistically significant (p < 0.001) predictor of death during hospitalization - OR 13.196 (95% CI 3.6-48.3), followed by mean WBC count, MELD score, and serum lactate levels. A ROC curve was constructed, which resulted in an area under the curve (AUC) equal to 0.77. Crosstabs from the ROC showed a sensitivity of 66.7% and a specificity of 76.2% when the lactate/albumin ratio chosen as a cutoff was 0.9061 CONCLUSIONS: Elevated lactate/albumin ratio predicts in-hospital mortality in hospitalized cirrhotics with acute-on-chronic hepatic failure.

Research progress on short-term prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure

INTRODUCTION

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome characterized as a severe condition with rapid progression, poor therapeutic response and poor prognosis. Early and timely evaluation of the prognosis is helpful for providing appropriate clinical intervention and prolonging patient survival.

AREAS COVERED

Currently, there are no specific dynamic and comprehensive approaches to assess the prognosis of patients with ACLF. This article reviews the progress in evaluating the short-term prognosis of ACLF to provide future directions for more dynamic prospective large-scale multicenter studies and a basis for individualized and precise treatment for ACLF patients. We searched PubMed and Web of Science with the term 'acute on chronic liver failure' and 'prognosis.' There was no date or language restriction, and our final search was on 26 October 2022.

EXPERT OPINION

ACLF is a dynamic process, and the best prognostic marker is the clinical evolution of organ failure over time. New prognostic markers are developing not only in the fields of genetics and histology but also toward diversification combined with imaging. Determining which patients will benefit from continued advanced life support is a formidable challenge, and accurate short-term prognostic assessments of ACLF are a good approach to addressing this issue.

Assessment of neutrophil subsets and immune checkpoint inhibitor expressions on T lymphocytes in liver transplantation: A preliminary study beyond the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio

Background: Advanced stages of cirrhosis are characterized by the occurrence of progressive immune alterations known as CAID (Cirrhosis Associated Immune Dysfunction). In advanced cirrhosis, liver transplantation (LT) remains the only curative treatment. Sepsis, shares many similarities with decompensated cirrhosis in terms of immuno-inflammatory response. In both conditions, the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is associated with poor outcomes. Based on alterations in sepsis, we hypothesized that we could observe in cirrhotic and LT patients more detailed neutrophil and lymphocyte phenotypes. To this end, along with leukocyte count, we assessed immature neutrophils, LOX-1⁺ MDSC and PD-1 and TIM-3 lymphocyte expressions in cirrhotic patients before transplantation in association with liver disease severity and during the first month after transplantation. Methods: We conducted a prospective monocentric study including cirrhotic patients registered on LT waiting-list. Blood samples were collected at enrolment before LT and for 1 month post-LT. In addition to NLR, we assessed by whole blood flow cytometry the absolute count of immature neutrophils and LOX-1⁺ MDSC as well as the expressions of immune checkpoint receptors PD-1 and TIM-3 on T lymphocytes. Results: We included 15 healthy volunteers (HV) and 28 patients. LT was performed for 13 patients. Pre-LT patients presented with a higher NLR compared to HV and NLR was associated with cirrhosis severity. Increased immature neutrophils and LOX-1⁺ MDSC counts were observed in the most severe patients. These alterations were mainly associated with acute decompensation of cirrhosis. PD-1 and TIM-3 expressions on T lymphocytes were not different between patients and HV. Post-LT immune alterations were dominated by a transitory but tremendous increase of NLR and immature neutrophils during the first days post-LT. Then, immune checkpoint receptors and LOX-1⁺ MDSC tended to be overexpressed by the second week after surgery. Conclusion: The present study showed that NLR, immature neutrophils and LOX-1⁺ MDSC counts along with T lymphocyte count and checkpoint inhibitor expression were altered in cirrhotic patients before and after LT. These data illustrate the potential interest of immune monitoring of cirrhotic patients in the context of LT in order to better define risk of sepsis. For this purpose, larger cohorts of patients are now necessary in order to move forward a more personalised care of LT patients.

Early Diagnosis and Prevention of Infections in Cirrhosis

Strategies to prevent infection and improve outcomes in patients with cirrhosis. HAV, hepatitis A virus; HBV, hepatitis B virus; COVID-19, novel coronavirus disease 2019; NSBB, nonselective β-blocker; PPI, proton pump inhibitors.Cirrhosis is a risk factor for infections. Majority of hospital admissions in patients with cirrhosis are due to infections. Sepsis is an immunological response to an infectious process that leads to end-organ dysfunction and death. Preventing infections may avoid the downstream complications, and early diagnosis of infections may improve the outcomes. In this review, we discuss the pathogenesis, diagnosis, and biomarkers of infection; the incremental preventive strategies for infections and sepsi; and the consequent organ failures in cirrhosis. Strategies for primary prevention include reducing gut translocation by selective intestinal decontamination, avoiding unnecessary proton pump inhibitors' use, appropriate use of β-blockers, and vaccinations for viral diseases including novel coronavirus disease 2019. Secondary prevention includes early diagnosis and a timely and judicious use of antibiotics to prevent organ dysfunction. Organ failure support constitutes tertiary intervention in cirrhosis. In conclusion, infections in cirrhosis are potentially preventable with appropriate care strategies to then enable improved outcomes.

Plasticity of monocytes and macrophages in cirrhosis of the liver

Cirrhosis of the liver is a systemic condition with raising prevalence worldwide. Patients with cirrhosis are highly susceptible to develop bacterial infections leading to acute decompensation and acute-on-chronic liver failure both associated with a high morbidity and mortality and sparse therapeutic options other than transplantation. Mononuclear phagocytes play a central role in innate immune responses and represent a first line of defence against pathogens. Their function includes phagocytosis, killing of bacteria, antigen presentation, cytokine production as well as recruitment and activation of immune effector cells. Liver injury and development of cirrhosis induces activation of liver resident Kupffer cells and recruitment of monocytes to the liver. Damage- and pathogen-associated molecular patterns promote systemic inflammation which involves multiple compartments besides the liver, such as the circulation, gut, peritoneal cavity and others. The function of circulating monocytes and tissue macrophages is severely impaired and worsens along with cirrhosis progression. The underlying mechanisms are complex and incompletely understood. Recent 'omics' technologies help to transform our understanding of cellular diversity and function in health and disease. In this review we point out the current state of knowledge on phenotypical and functional changes of monocytes and macrophages during cirrhosis evolution in different compartments and their role in disease progression. We also discuss the value of potential prognostic markers for cirrhosis-associated immuneparesis, and future immunotherapeutic strategies that may reduce the need for transplantation and death.

Determinants of Short- and Long-Term Outcomes of an Australian Cohort of Patients Admitted with Alcoholic Hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Alcoholic hepatitis is a common condition with high mortality. This study aimed to firstly describe the presentation, treatment, and short- and long-term outcomes of an Australian cohort of patients admitted to hospital with alcoholic hepatitis and secondly to validate existing prognostic models.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of consecutive patients admitted with alcoholic hepatitis to a major academic liver center in Melbourne, Australia, between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2019. Cases were identified through appropriate International Classification of Diseases version 10 coding as well as review of non-coded patients with compatible biochemistry. Baseline demographic data, alcohol consumption, laboratory values, treatment, and outcomes at 30 days, 90 days, and 12 months post-diagnosis were collected from electronic medical records. Mortality data were extracted from an independent state government death registry.

RESULTS

In total, 126 patients (72 males [57%], median age 51 years) were included in the final analysis. Ninety-five (75%) were cirrhotic at diagnosis, 81 (64%) met criteria for severe alcoholic hepatitis, and 41 (33%) had an infection during their index admission. 54% of eligible patients were treated with corticosteroids. 30-day and 12-month mortality rates were 8.7% and 27.1%, respectively, with hepatic encephalopathy (hazard ratio 5.45) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (hazard ratio 1.09) independent markers for 12-month mortality on Cox regression analysis. Glasgow alcoholic hepatitis score outperformed other major prognostic models for short-term mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

The 12-month mortality rate of 27% following alcoholic hepatitis is lower than previously reported studies, with hepatic encephalopathy and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio predictive of long-term outcome.

Animal models applied to acute-on-chronic liver failure: Are new models required to understand the human condition?

The liver is a multifaceted organ; its location and detoxifying function expose this organ to countless injuries. Acute-on-chronic failure liver (ACLF) is a severe syndrome that affects the liver due to acute decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease. An infection environment, ascites, increased liver enzymes and prothrombin time, encephalopathy and fast-evolving multiorgan failure, leading to death, usually accompany this. The pathophysiology remains poorly understand. In this context, animal models become a very useful tool in this regard, as understanding; the disease may be helpful in developing novel therapeutic methodologies for ACLF. However, although animal models display several similarities to the human condition, they do not represent all ACLF manifestations, resulting in significant challenges. An initial liver cirrhosis framework followed by the induction of an acute decompensation by administering lipopolysaccharide and D-GaIN, potentiating liver damage supports the methodologies applied to induce experimental ACLF. The entire methodology has been described mostly for rats. Nevertheless, a quick PubMed database search indicates about 30 studies concerning ACFL models and over 1000 regarding acute liver failure models. These findings demonstrate the clear need to establish easily reproducible ACFL models to elucidate questions about this quickly established and often fatal syndrome.

Animal models applied to acute-on-chronic liver failure: Are new models required to understand the human condition?

The liver is a multifaceted organ; its location and detoxifying function expose this organ to countless injuries. Acute-on-chronic failure liver (ACLF) is a severe syndrome that affects the liver due to acute decompensation in patients with chronic liver disease. An infection environment, ascites, increased liver enzymes and prothrombin time, encephalopathy and fast-evolving multiorgan failure, leading to death, usually accompany this. The pathophysiology remains poorly understand. In this context, animal models become a very useful tool in this regard, as understanding; the disease may be helpful in developing novel therapeutic methodologies for ACLF. However, although animal models display several similarities to the human condition, they do not represent all ACLF manifestations, resulting in significant challenges. An initial liver cirrhosis framework followed by the induction of an acute decompensation by administering lipopolysaccharide and D-GaIN, potentiating liver damage supports the methodologies applied to induce experimental ACLF. The entire methodology has been described mostly for rats. Nevertheless, a quick PubMed database search indicates about 30 studies concerning ACFL models and over 1000 regarding acute liver failure models. These findings demonstrate the clear need to establish easily reproducible ACFL models to elucidate questions about this quickly established and often fatal syndrome.

Evaluation of prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure or severe liver injury from chronic HBV infection

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with bacterial infection and poor outcome. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to assess bacterial infection and immune dysfunction in numerous diseases. We aimed to evaluate NLR as a prognostic biomarker and to explore its combination with accepted prognostic models in ACLF patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included patients with ACLF or severe liver injury from chronic HBV infection admitted to three tertiary academic hospitals in China from 2013 to 2019. Baseline NLR was correlated with ACLF grade, bacterial infection, survival and accepted ACLF scores.

RESULTS

Baseline NLR values were significantly increased in nonsurvivors and patients with bacterial infection at or after admission and were unaffected by cirrhotic status in 412 transplant-free patients included in three cohorts. Compared with accepted scores, NLR showed moderate accuracy in predicting 28-day mortality and high accuracy in predicting 90-day mortality. Three levels of mortality risk were graded on the basis of NLR values (<3.10, 3.10-4.79 and >4.79), and NLR >4.79 was associated with 53.2-60.0% 28-day and 75.0-80.0% 90-day mortality in these cohorts. Multivariate analyses indicated that NLR retained statistical significance independently of CLIF consortium organ failure score (CLIF-C OFs). NLR-based CLIF-C ACLF score was primarily developed and showed excellent performance in predicting 28/90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

NLR is a dependable biomarker for bacterial infection assessment and short-term mortality prediction in ACLF patients and can be used jointly with CLIF-C OFs to improve the accuracy of mortality prediction in patients with the disease. NLR-based CLIF-C ACLF model needs further validation.

Derivation and validation of prognostic models for predicting survival outcomes in Acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a syndrome characterized by acute decompensation of chronic liver disease associated with high bacterial infection (BI) and short-term mortality. However, many ACLF prognostic predictive modelsare complicated. The aim of this study is to develop prognostic models for ACLF patients to predict BI and mortality. We retrospective recruited 263 patients with ACLF from Shandong Provincial Hospital and Taizhou Enze Medical Center (Group) Enze Hospital. ACLF was defined according to the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) criteria. Multivariable logistic regression was used to derive prediction models for occurring BI and 28-day mortality in ACLF patients. Ninety seven of 263 patients (37%) occurred BI and 41 of 155 (26%) died within 28 days of admission. C-reactive protein (CRP), glucose, and albumin were the independent predictors for occurring BI during the hospital stay. We also found that hepatic encephalopathy (HE), prothrombin time, activated partial thromboplastin time (APRI), and glucose were the independent predictors of 28-day mortality of ACLF patients. Using logistic regression model, we generated a new modified MELD model (M-MELD) by incorporating HE, APRI, and glucose. AUC of M-MELD model was 0.871, which were significantly higher than MELD score (AUC:0.734), MELD-Na score (AUC:0.742), and integrated MELD score (iMELD) (AUC:0.761). HE, MELD score, APRI, and blood glucose were independent risk factors for 28-day mortality of ACLF patients. The modified MELD model (M-MELD) by incorporating HE, APRI, and glucose has better discriminative performances compared with MELD in predicting 28-day mortality.

A neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio-based prognostic model to predict mortality in patients with HBV-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background

Although the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) research consortium (AARC) ACLF score is easy to use in patients with hepatitis b virus-related ACLF (HBV-ACLF), serum lactate is not routinely tested in primary hospitals, and its value may be affected by some interference factors. Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is used to assess the status of bacterial infection (BI) or outcomes in patients with various diseases. We developed an NLR-based AARC ACLF score and compared it with the existing model.

Methods

A total of 494 HBV-ACLF patients, enrolled in four tertiary academic hospitals in China with 90-day follow-up, were analysed. Prognostic performance of baseline NLR and lactate were compared between cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic subgroups via the receiver operating curve and Kaplan–Meier analyses. A modified AARC ACLF (mAARC ACLF) score using NLR as a replacement for lactate was developed (n = 290) and validated (n = 204).

Results

There were significantly higher baseline values of NLR in non-survivors, patients with admission BI, and those with higher grades of ACLF compared with the control groups. Compared with lactate, NLR better reflected BI status in the cirrhotic subgroup, and was more significantly correlated with CTP, MELD, MELD-Na, and the AARC score. NLR was an independent predictor of 90-day mortality, and was categorized into three risk grades (< 3.10, 3.10–4.78, and > 4.78) with 90-day cumulative mortalities of 8%, 21.2%, and 77.5% in the derivation cohort, respectively. The mAARC ACLF score, using the three grades of NLR instead of corresponding levels of lactate, was superior to the other four scores in predicting 90-day mortality in the derivation (AUROC 0.906, 95% CI 0.872–0.940, average P < 0.001) and validation cohorts (AUROC 0.913, 95% CI 0.876–0.950, average P < 0.01), with a considerable performance in predicting 28-day mortality in the two cohorts.

Conclusions

The prognostic value of NLR is superior to that of lactate in predicting short-term mortality risk in cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients with HBV-ACLF. NLR can be incorporated into the AARC ACLF scoring system for improving its prognostic accuracy and facilitating the management guidance in patients with HBV-ACLF in primary hospitals.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12876-021-02007-w.

Prediction and Risk Factors for Prognosis of Cirrhotic Patients with Hepatic Encephalopathy

Background and Aims

Hepatic encephalopathy (HE) is characterized by recurrence and poor quality of life. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) mainly occurs in patients with chronic liver diseases and often presents with HE. Several predictive models have been proposed to predict the outcomes of these patients. Our study is aimed at identifying associated risk factors and the prognostic accuracies of predictive models in HE patients with or without ACLF.

Methods

Patients with liver cirrhosis were retrospectively enrolled. Risk factors were evaluated by multivariate regression analyses. The predictive capabilities of models were calculated using the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses and compared by the DeLong tests. Outcomes were defined as in-hospital mortality, HE severity, and ACLF occurrence.

Results

In multivariate regression analyses, serum biomarkers neutrophil and total bilirubin (TBIL) were independently correlated with in-hospital death. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and blood urea nitrogen (BUN) were independent serum biomarkers associated with HE severity. Hemoglobin, TBIL, BUN, and international normalized ratio (INR) were significant indicators associated with ACLF incidence. For prediction of in-hospital mortality, Child-Pugh was superior to the others in the whole patients, while NLR showed the best capability in the ACLF group.

Conclusion

In cirrhotic patients present with HE, BUN is a risk factor associated with HE severity and ACLF incidence. Child-Pugh and NLR scores may be effective prognosticators in patients with HE.

Inflammatory signature in acute-on-chronic liver failure includes increased expression of granulocyte genes ELANE, MPO and CD177

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (ACLF) is associated with innate immune dysfunction and high short-term mortality. Neutrophils have been identified to influence prognosis in ACLF. Neutrophil biology is under-evaluated in ACLF. Therefore, we investigated neutrophil-specific genes and their association with ACLF outcomes. This is an observational study. Enriched granulocytes, containing neutrophils, isolated from study participants in three groups- ACLF(n = 10), chronic liver disease (CLD, n = 4) and healthy controls (HC, n = 4), were analysed by microarray. Differentially expressed genes were identified and validated by qRT-PCR in an independent cohort of ACLF, CLD and HC (n = 30, 15 and 15 respectively). The association of confirmed overexpressed genes with ACLF 28-day non-survivors was investigated. The protein expression of selected neutrophil genes was confirmed using flow cytometry and IHC. Differential gene expression analysis showed 1140 downregulated and 928 upregulated genes for ACLF versus CLD and 2086 downregulated and 1091 upregulated genes for ACLF versus HC. Significant upregulation of neutrophilic inflammatory signatures were found in ACLF compared to CLD and HC. Neutrophil enriched genes ELANE, MPO and CD177 were highly upregulated in ACLF and their expression was higher in ACLF 28-day non-survivors. Elevated expression of CD177 protein on neutrophil surface in ACLF was confirmed by flow cytometry. IHC analysis in archival post mortem liver biopsies showed the presence of CD177+ neutrophils in the liver tissue of ACLF patients. Granulocyte genes ELANE, MPO and CD177 are highly overexpressed in ACLF neutrophils as compared to CLD or HC. Further, this three-gene signature is highly overexpressed in ACLF 28-day non-survivors.

Baseline Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Is Independently Associated With 90-Day Transplant-Free Mortality in Patients With Cirrhosis

Background: Patients with cirrhosis have an increased risk of short-term mortality, however, few studies quantify the association between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and 90-day transplant-free mortality in cirrhotic patients.

Methods: We prospectively analyzed 3,970 patients with chronic liver diseases from two multicenter cohorts in China (January 2015 to December 2016 and July 2018 to January 2019). Restricted cubic splines (RCS) were used to analyze the relation of NLR and all-causes 90-day transplant-free mortality in cirrhosis.

Results: A total of 2,583 cirrhotic patients were enrolled in our study. Restricted cubic splines showed that the odds ratio (OR) of all causes 90-day transplant-free mortality started to increase rapidly until around NLR 6.5, and then was relatively flat (p for non-linearity <0.001). The risk of 90-day transplant-free mortality in cirrhotic patients with NLR < 6.5 increased with an increment of 23% for every unit increase in NLR (p < 0.001). The patients with NLR < 4.5 had the highest risk (OR: 2.34, 95% CI 1.66–3.28). In multivariable-adjusted stratified analyses, the increase in the incidence of 90-day transplant-free mortality with NLR increasing was consistent (OR >1.0) across all major prespecified subgroups, including infection group (OR: 1.04, 95% CI 1.00–1.09) and non-infection (OR: 1.06, 95% CI 1.02–1.11) group. The trends for NLR and numbers of patients with organ failure varied synchronously and were significantly increased with time from day 7 to day 28.

Conclusions: We found a non-linear association between baseline NLR and the adjusted probability of 90-day transplant-free mortality. A certain range of NLR is closely associated with poor short-term prognosis in patients with cirrhosis.

Pathophysiology of decompensated cirrhosis: Portal hypertension, circulatory dysfunction, inflammation, metabolism and mitochondrial dysfunction

Patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis have a dismal prognosis and frequently progress to acute-on-chronic liver failure, which is characterised by hepatic and extrahepatic organ failure(s). The pathomechanisms involved in decompensation and disease progression are still not well understood, and as specific disease-modifying treatments do not exist, research to identify novel therapeutic targets is of the utmost importance. This review amalgamates the latest knowledge on disease mechanisms that lead to tissue injury and extrahepatic organ failure - such as systemic inflammation, mitochondrial dysfunction, oxidative stress and metabolic changes - and marries these with the classical paradigms of acute decompensation to form a single paradigm. With this detailed breakdown of pathomechanisms, we identify areas for future research. Novel disease-modifying strategies that break the vicious cycle are urgently required to improve patient outcomes.

Blood-based prognostic biomarkers in Crohn's Disease patients on biologics: a promising tool to predict endoscopic outcomes

OBJECTIVE

There is a growing need for biomarkers to predict therapeutic outcome in Crohn's disease (CD).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The aim was to evaluate whether NLR (neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), PLR (platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio), ELR (eosinophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), and ENLR (eosinophil*neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio), could be prognostic biomarkers of endoscopic response (ER) when starting biologics.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Patients with CD who started biologics were enrolled. Multivariate analysis was used to evaluate whether NLR, PLR, ELR and ENLR at baseline and at w12 could predict ER (Simple Endoscopic Score for Crohn's disease [SES-CD] ≤2 or SES-CD≤2 and Rutgeerts i0-i1) after 52 weeks of treatment. Area under the curve (AUC) was calculated to find the cutoffs.

RESULTS

107 patients were included. Patients who achieved ER had significantly lower baseline NLR (p = 0.025), ELR (p = 0.013), and ENLR (p = 0.020) compared with those without ER; results after 12 weeks of treatment for ELR (p = 0.006) and ENLR (p = 0.003). AUC was 0.64 (p = 0.003), 0.67 (p = 0.006) and 0.65 (p = 0.014) for NLR, ELR and ENLR.

CONCLUSIONS

Low NLR, ELR and ENLR can predict ER and could be used in clinical practice for a better management of CD patients.