Clinical relevance of abnormal neuroimaging findings and long-term risk of stroke recurrence

Correlation between plasma lipoprotein-associated phospholipase A2 levels and risk of ischaemic stroke recurrence by gender in the Chinese population

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the correlation between gender differences in plasma lipoprotein phospholipase A2 (Lp-PLA2) levels and the risk of recurrent stroke in patients with acute ischaemic stroke in China.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective follow-up study that included baselineLp-PLA2 levels and NIH Stroke Scale (NIHSS) scores in patients with ischaemic stroke upon admission. The diagnostic efficacy of the baseline Lp-PLA2 level for stroke recurrence was evaluated. And Kaplan‒Meier method was used to analyse the difference in the risk of recurrent stroke between these two groups among males and females. A paired t test was used to analyse the difference in Lp-PLA2 levels in male and female patients after follow-up.

RESULTS

Baseline plasma Lp-PLA2 was higher in men and women with recurrent stroke than in those without recurrent stroke. The correlation between baseline Lp-PLA2 and neurological impairment was higher in female than male stroke patients (R = 0.338 and 0.253, respectively). Although weakly correlated with neurological impairment, baseline Lp-PLA2 was more effective in predicting recurrent stroke (AUC = 0.705 in men, 0.788 in women). A Cox model was used to compare the risk of stroke between the high- and low-Lp-PLA2 groups (OR = 3.98 in men, 2.61 in women). According to the follow-up time of 6 months as the node, Lp-PLA2 will give different risk indicators.

CONCLUSION

Elevated plasma Lp-PLA2 is an independent risk factor for recurrent ischaemic stroke but is not strongly associated with the degree of cerebral damage. The predictive value of baseline Lp-PLA2 for stroke recurrence risk was higher in females than in males.

The effect of previous strokes on the relationship between ankle-brachial index determinations and incident strokes: A population-based, longitudinal prospective study in older adults

OBJECTIVE

Abnormal ankle-brachial index (ABI) determinations may be associated with an increased risk of incident strokes. However, the impact of previous strokes in this relationship is unknown. We estimated the role of previous strokes on the association between abnormal ABI determinations and incident stroke risk in community-dwelling older adults.

METHODS

Atahualpa residents aged ≥60 years received ABI determinations, cardiovascular risk factors assessment, and brain MRIs. ABIs were classified as abnormal if ≤0.9 or ≥1.4. Incident strokes were diagnosed by a certified neurologist with the aid of a post-event MRI. Poisson regression models were fitted to estimate stroke incidence rate ratio (IRR) according to categories of ABI.

RESULTS

Analysis included 389 participants (mean age: 68.2 ± 8.1 years). Eighty-six persons (22%) had abnormal ABI determinations. Incident strokes occurred in 38 (9.8%) individuals after a mean follow-up of 6.1 ± 1.9 years. Abnormal ABIs were associated with incident strokes in unadjusted analyses (p = 0.002) as well as in a Poisson regression model adjusted for demographics and clinical covariates (IRR: 2.57; 95% C.I.: 1.29-5.13), but not when the model was adjusted for neuroimaging covariates (IRR: 1.46; 95% C.I.: 0.67-3.20). Interaction models showed that having both abnormal ABI and non-lacunar strokes at baseline made the individual 9.7 times more likely to have an incident stroke (95% C.I.: 3.87-24.4). The risk was reduced to 2.2 (95% C.I.: 0.96-5.13) for those who only had an abnormal ABI.

CONCLUSIONS

An abnormal ABI is associated with a doubling the risk of incident strokes, but its importance is superseded by history of non-lacunar strokes.

Development and external validation of a nomogram for predicting postoperative pneumonia in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage

Background

Postoperative pneumonia (POP) is a common complication after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) associated with increased mortality rates, prolonged hospitalization, and high medical costs. It is currently understood that identifying pneumonia early and implementing aggressive treatment can significantly improve patients' outcomes. The primary objective of this study was to explore risk factors and develop a logistic regression model that assesses the risks of POP.

Methods

An internal cohort of 613 inpatients with aSAH who underwent surgery at the Neurosurgical Department of First Affiliated Hospital of Wenzhou Medical University was retrospectively analyzed to develop a nomogram for predicting POP. We assessed the discriminative power, accuracy, and clinical validity of the predictions by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the calibration curve, and decision curve analysis (DCA). The final model was validated using an external validation set of 97 samples from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care IV (MIMIC-IV) database.

Results

Among patients in our internal cohort, 15.66% (n = 96/613) of patients had POP. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis identified the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS), mechanical ventilation time (MVT), albumin, C-reactive protein (CRP), smoking, and delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) as potential predictors of POP. We then used multivariable logistic regression analysis to evaluate the effects of these predictors and create a final model. Eighty percentage of patients in the internal cohort were randomly assigned to the training set for model development, while the remaining 20% of patients were allocated to the internal validation set. The AUC values for the training, internal, and external validation sets were 0.914, 0.856, and 0.851, and the corresponding Brier scores were 0.084, 0.098, and 0.143, respectively.

Conclusion

We found that GCS, MVT, albumin, CRP, smoking, and DCI are independent predictors for the development of POP in patients with aSAH. Overall, our nomogram represents a reliable and convenient approach to predict POP in the patient population.

Leukoaraiosis as a Promising Biomarker of Stroke Recurrence among Stroke Survivors: A Systematic Review

Stroke is the leading cause of functional disability worldwide, with increasing prevalence in adults. Given the considerable negative impact on patients' quality of life and the financial burden on their families and society, it is essential to provide stroke survivors with a timely and reliable prognosis of stroke recurrence. Leukoaraiosis (LA) is a common neuroimaging feature of cerebral small-vessel disease. By researching the literature of two different databases (MEDLINE and Scopus), the present study aims to review all relevant studies from the last decade, dealing with the clinical utility of pre-existing LA as a prognostic factor for stroke recurrence in stroke survivors. Nineteen full-text articles published in English were identified and included in the present review, with data collected from a total of 34,546 stroke patients. A higher rate of extended LA was strongly associated with stroke recurrence in all stroke subtypes, even after adjustment for clinical risk factors. In particular, patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack with advanced LA had a significantly higher risk of future ischemic stroke, whereas patients with previous intracerebral hemorrhage and severe LA had a more than 2.5-fold increased risk of recurrent ischemic stroke and a more than 30-fold increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke. Finally, in patients receiving anticoagulant treatment for AF, the presence of LA was associated with an increased risk of recurrent ischemic stroke and intracranial hemorrhage. Because of this valuable predictive information, evaluating LA could significantly expand our knowledge of stroke patients and thereby improve overall stroke care.

Thirteen-year trends in risk scores predictive values for subsequent stroke in patients with acute ischemic event

INTRODUCTION

A high residual risk of subsequent stroke suggested that the predictive ability of Stroke Prognosis Instrument-II (SPI-II) and Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS) may have changed over the years.

AIM

To explore the predictive values of the SPI-II and ESRS for 1-year subsequent stroke risk in a pooled analysis of three consecutive national cohorts in China over 13 years.

RESULTS

In the China National Stroke Registries (CNSRs), 10.7% (5297/50,374) of the patients had a subsequent stroke within 1 year; area under the curve (AUC) of SPI-II and ESRS was .60 (95% confidence interval [CI]: .59-.61) and .58 (95% CI: .57-.59), respectively. For SPI-II, the AUC was .60 (95% CI: .59-.62) in CNSR-I, .60 (95% CI: .59-.62) in CNSR-II, and .58 (95% CI: .56-.59) in CNSR-III over the past 13 years. The declining trend was also found in ESRS scale (CNSR-I: .60 [95% CI: .59-.61]; CNSR-II: .60 [95% CI: .59-.62]; and CNSR-III: .56 [95% CI: .55-.58]).

CONCLUSIONS

The predictive power of the traditional risk scores SPI-II and ESRS was limited and gradually decreased over the past 13 years, thus the scales may not be useful for current clinical practice. Further derivation of risk scales with additional imaging features and biomarkers may be warranted.

High Neutrophil-to-Albumin Ratio Predicts Postoperative Pneumonia in Aneurysmal Subarachnoid Hemorrhage

Background and Aim

There is still an absence of objective and easily accessible biomarkers despite the variety of risk factors associated with postoperative pneumonia (POP) in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH). In the present study, we have thus evaluated the relationship between the neutrophil-to-albumin ratio (NAR) and POP in patients with aSAH.

Methods

Several consecutive patients (n = 395) who had undergone clipping or coiling of the aneurism were retrospectively assessed, of which we were able to analyze the existing population data and the related baseline variables. The patients were divided into POP and revealed not to occur. To identify independent predictors, we used the recipient operation feature (receiver operating characteristic, ROC) curve and a logic regression analysis.

Results

This cohort was based on POP that occurred in 78 out of the 395 patients (19.7%), and these revealed a significantly higher NAR than those without (0.31 [0.25–0.39] vs. 0.23 [0.18–0.28]; p < 0.001). On the other hand, a multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that NAR (odds ratio = 1.907; 95% confidence interval, 1.232–2.953; p = 0.004) was independently associated with a POP after due adjustment for confounders. Moreover, the predictive performances of NAR for POP were also significant (area under the ROC curve [95% CI] 0.775 [0.717–0.832]; p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The elevation of NAR at admission in patients with aSAH might help predict POP.

Validation of CSR model to predict stroke risk after transient ischemic attack

It is essential to identify high risk transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients. The previous study reported that the CSR (comprehensive stroke recurrence) model, a neuroimaging model, had a high predictive ability of recurrent stroke. The aims of this study were to validate the predictive value of CSR model in TIA patients and compare the predictive ability with ABCD³-I score. Data were analyzed from the prospective hospital-based database of patients with TIA which defined by the World Health Organization time-based criteria. The predictive outcome was stroke occurrence at 90 days. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the C statistics were calculated as a measure of predictive ability. Among 1186 eligible patients, the mean age was 57.28 ± 12.17 years, and 474 (40.0%) patients had positive diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). There were 118 (9.9%) patients who had stroke within 90 days. In 1186 TIA patients, The C statistic of CSR model (0.754; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.729–0.778) was similar with that of ABCD³-I score (0.717; 95% CI 0.691–0.743; Z = 1.400; P = 0.1616). In 474 TIA patients with positive DWI, C statistic of CSR model (0.725; 95% CI 0.683–0.765) was statistically higher than that of ABCD³-I score (0.626; 95% CI 0.581–0.670; Z = 2.294; P = 0.0245). The CSR model had good predictive value for assessing stroke risk after TIA, and it had a higher predictive value than ABCD³-I score for assessing stroke risk for TIA patients with positive DWI.

Dysbiosis of Gut Microbiota Is an Independent Risk Factor of Stroke-Associated Pneumonia: A Chinese Pilot Study

Background and Purpose

Identifying risks of stroke-associated pneumonia (SAP) is important for clinical management. We aimed to evaluate the association between gut microbiome composition and SAP in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS).

Methods

A prospective observational study was conducted, and 188 AIS patients were enrolled as the training cohort. Fecal and serum samples were collected at admission. SAP was diagnosed by specialized physicians, and disease severity scores were recorded. Fecal samples were subjected to 16S rRNA V4 tag sequencing and analysed with QIIME and LEfSe. Associations between the most relevant taxa and SAP were analysed and validated with an independent cohort. Fecal short-chain fatty acid (SCFA), serum D-lactate (D-LA), intestinal fatty acid-binding protein (iFABP) and lipopolysaccharide binding protein (LBP) levels were measured.

Results

Overall, 52 patients (27.7%) had SAP in the training cohort. The gut microbiome differed between SAP and non-SAP patients; specifically, Roseburia depletion and opportunistic pathogen enrichment were noted in SAP patients, as confirmed in the validation cohort (n=144, 28 SAP [19.4%]). Based on multivariate analysis, Roseburia was identified as a protective factor against SAP in both cohorts (training, aOR 0.52; 95% CI, 0.30-0.90; validation, aOR 0.44; 95% CI, 0.23-0.85). The combination of these taxa into a microbial dysbiosis index (MDI) revealed that dysbiosis increased nearly 2 times risk of SAP (training, aOR 1.95; 95% CI, 1.19-3.20; validation, aOR 2.22; 95% CI, 1.15-4.26). Lower fecal SCFA levels and higher serum D-LA levels were observed in SAP patients. Furthermore, SAP was an independent risk factor of 30-day death and 90-day unfavorable outcome.

Conclusion

We demonstrate that a microbial community with depleted Roseburia and enriched opportunistic pathogens is associated with increased risk of SAP among AIS patients. Gut microbiota screening might be useful for identifying patients at high risk for SAP and provide clues for stroke treatment.

Emerging role of white matter lesions in cerebrovascular disease

White matter lesions have been implicated in the setting of stroke, dementia, intracerebral haemorrhage, several other cerebrovascular conditions, migraine, various neuroimmunological diseases like multiple sclerosis, disorders of metabolism, mitochondrial diseases and others. While much is understood vis a vis neuroimmunological conditions, our knowledge of the pathophysiology of these lesions, and their role in, and implications to, management of cerebrovascular diseases or stroke, especially in the elderly, are limited. Several clinical assessment tools are available for delineating white matter lesions in clinical practice. However, their incorporation into clinical decision-making and specifically prognosis and management of patients is suboptimal for use in standards of care. This article sought to provide an overview of the current knowledge and recent advances on pathophysiology, as well as clinical and radiological assessment, of white matter lesions with a focus on its development, progression and clinical implications in cerebrovascular diseases. Key indications for clinical practice and recommendations on future areas of research are also discussed. Finally, a conceptual proposal on putative mechanisms underlying pathogenesis of white matter lesions in cerebrovascular disease has been presented. Understanding of pathophysiology of white matter lesions and how they mediate outcomes is important to develop therapeutic strategies.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio is a prognosis factor for post-operative pneumonia in aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage patients

Background:

Although a variety of risk factors of pneumonia after clipping or coiling of the aneurysm (post-operative pneumonia [POP]) in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) have been studied, the predictive model of POP after aSAH has still not been well established. Thus, the aim of this study was to assess the feasibility of using admission neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) to predict the occurrence of POP in aSAH patients.

Methods:

We evaluated 711 aSAH patients who were enrolled in a prospective observational study and collected admission blood cell counts data. We analyzed available demographics and baseline variables for these patients and analyzed the correlation of these factors with POP using Cox regression. After screening out the prognosis-related factors, the predictive value of these factors for POP was further assessed.

Results:

POP occurred in 219 patients (30.4%) in this cohort. Patients with POP had significantly higher NLR than those without (14.11 ± 8.90 vs. 8.80 ± 5.82, P < 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that NLR remained a significant factor independently associated with POP following aSAH after adjusting for possible confounding factors, including the age, World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS) grade, endovascular treatment, and ventilator use. And the predictive value of NLR was significantly increased after WFNS grade was combined with NLR (NLR vs. WFNS grade × NLR, P = 0.011).

Conclusions:

Regardless of good or poor WNFS grade, patients having NLR >10 had significantly worse POP survival rate than patients having NLR ≤10. NLR at admission might be helpful as a predictor of POP in aSAH patients.

A score to predict one-year risk of recurrence after acute ischemic stroke

BACKGROUND

An acute ischemic stroke carries a substantial risk of further recurrences. We aimed at developing and validating a prognostic tool to predict one-year stroke recurrence after acute ischemic stroke.

METHODS

An integer score was derived by Cox regression analysis on a hospital-referred cohort of 3246 acute ischemic stroke patients from Switzerland, and tested for external validity in three similar independent cohorts from Athens (n = 2495), Milan (n = 1279), and Helsinki (n = 714) by means of calibration and discrimination.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, the recurrence rate was 7% (n = 228/3246). We developed a nine-point score comprising: previous stroke or transient ischemic attack (1-point), stroke mechanism (small vessel disease and unknown mechanism: 0-points; rare stroke mechanism: 3-points; other mechanisms: 1-point), pre-stroke antiplatelets (1-point), active malignancy (2-points), chronic cerebrovascular lesions on imaging (1-point) and absence of early ischemic changes on first imaging (1-point). In the derivation cohort, the one-year risk of re-stroke was 3.0% (95%CI 1.9-4.1) in 932 (29%) patients with a score 0-1, 7.2% (6.1-8.3) in 2038 (63%) with a score 2-4, and 19.2% (14.6-23.9) in 276 (8%) with a score ≥ 5. The score calibrated well in the Athens (recurrences = 208/2495), but not in the Helsinki (recurrences = 15/714) or Milan (recurrences = 65/1279) cohorts. The AUC was 0.67 in the derivation cohort, and 0.56, 0.70, and 0.63 in the Athens, Helsinki, and Milan cohorts, respectively.

CONCLUSION

We developed a score to predict one-year stroke recurrence risk in patients with acute ischemic stroke. Since the score was not completely validated when applied to external datasets where it displayed poor to fair calibration and discrimination, additional efforts are required to ameliorate our accuracy for predicting stroke recurrence, by better refining this prognostic tool or developing new ones. Clinical and radiological markers of established cerebrovascular disease and stroke etiology were better predictors than the usual demographic vascular risk factors.

Prediction of long-term recurrent ischemic stroke: the added value of non-contrast CT, CT perfusion, and CT angiography

Purpose

The aim of this study was to evaluate whether the addition of brain CT imaging data to a model incorporating clinical risk factors improves prediction of ischemic stroke recurrence over 5 years of follow-up.

Methods

A total of 638 patients with ischemic stroke from three centers were selected from the Dutch acute stroke study (DUST). CT-derived candidate predictors included findings on non-contrast CT, CT perfusion, and CT angiography. Five-year follow-up data were extracted from medical records. We developed a multivariable Cox regression model containing clinical predictors and an extended model including CT-derived predictors by applying backward elimination. We calculated net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices. Discrimination was evaluated with the optimism-corrected c-statistic and calibration with a calibration plot.

Results

During 5 years of follow-up, 56 patients (9%) had a recurrence. The c-statistic of the clinical model, which contained male sex, history of hyperlipidemia, and history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, was 0.61. Compared with the clinical model, the extended model, which contained previous cerebral infarcts on non-contrast CT and Alberta Stroke Program Early CT score greater than 7 on mean transit time maps derived from CT perfusion, had higher discriminative performance (c-statistic 0.65, P = 0.01). Inclusion of these CT variables led to a significant improvement in reclassification measures, by using the net reclassification improvement and integrated discrimination improvement indices.

Conclusion

Data from CT imaging significantly improved the discriminatory performance and reclassification in predicting ischemic stroke recurrence beyond a model incorporating clinical risk factors only.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00234-020-02526-5) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Left ventricular ejection fraction is associated with small vessel disease in ischaemic stroke patients

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

The purpose was to evaluate the association between the left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) and cerebral small vessel disease (cSVD) in ischaemic stroke patients.

METHODS

Consecutive first-ever ischaemic stroke patients between 2010 and 2013 were included. White matter hyperintensity (WMH) volumes were rated using both the Fazekas score and quantitative methods on fluid-attenuated inversion recovery images. As spectra of cSVD, lacunes, cerebral microbleeds (CMBs) and enlarged perivascular spaces (EPVSs) were also evaluated. To assess the dose-response relationship between LVEF and cSVD, the burdens of each radiological marker and the total cSVD score were rated.

RESULTS

A total of 841 patients were included [median WMH volume 2.98 (1.22-10.50) ml; the frequencies of lacunes, CMBs and moderate to severe EPVSs were 38%, 31% and 35%, respectively]. In the multivariate analysis about predictors of WMH volumes, the LVEF (B = -0.052, P < 0.001) remained significant after adjusting for confounders. LVEF was also a predictor of lacunes [adjusted odds ratio (aOR) 0.978, P = 0.012], CMBs (aOR = 0.96, P < 0.001) and moderate to severe EPVSs (aOR = 0.94, P < 0.001) after adjusting for their confounders. The LVEF values were negatively correlated with the burdens of lacunes (P = 0.026), CMBs (P < 0.001) and EPVSs (P = 0.002). The total cSVD score also showed a negative association with LVEF in a dose-response manner (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

The burden of cSVD is negatively correlated with the LVEF in a dose-response manner. Our results suggest clues for further studies about determining the pathophysiology of cSVD.

Assessment of cerebrovascular reserve impairment using the breath-holding index in patients with leukoaraiosis

Many studies have demonstrated that leukoaraiosis is associated with impaired cerebrovascular reserve function. However, the definitive hemodynamic changes that occur in leukoaraiosis are not clear, and there are many controversies. This study aimed to investigate hemodynamic changes in symptomatic leukoaraiosis using transcranial Doppler ultrasonography and the breath-holding test in a Chinese Han population, from northern China. A total of 203 patients who were diagnosed with ischemic stroke or clinical chronic progressive ischemic symptoms were enrolled in this study, including 97 males and 106 females, with an age range of 43–93 years. The severity of leukoaraiosis was evaluated according to the Fazekas grading scale, and patients were divided into four groups accordingly. Grade 0 was no leukoaraiosis, and grades I, II, and III were mild, moderate, and severe leukoaraiosis, respectively, with 44, 79, 44, and 36 cases in each group. Transcranial Doppler ultrasonography and the breath-holding test were performed. The mean blood flow velocity of the bilateral middle cerebral artery was measured and the breath-holding index was calculated. The breath holding index was correlated with leukoaraiosis severity and cognitive impairment. Patients with a low breath holding index presented poor performance in the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) and executive function tests. That is, the lower the breath holding index, the lower the scores for the MoCA and the higher for the trail-making test Parts A and B. These results indicate that the breath-holding index is a useful parameter for the evaluation of cerebrovascular reserve impairment in patients with leukoaraiosis. In addition, the breath-holding index can reflect cognitive dysfunction, providing a new insight into the pathophysiology of leukoaraiosis. This study was approved by the Ethics Committee of the Fifth People’s Hospital of Shenyang, China (approval No. 20160301) and registered in the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry (registration number: ChiCTR1800014421).

Clinical and Imaging Predictors of Recurrent Ischemic Stroke: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Predictors of recurrent ischemic stroke are less well known in patients with a recent ischemic stroke than in patients with transient ischemic attack (TIA). We identified clinical and radiological factors for predicting recurrent ischemic stroke in patients with recent ischemic stroke.

METHODS

A systematic search in PubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, and CINAHL was performed with the terms "ischemic stroke," "predictors/determinants," and "recurrence." Quality assessment of the articles was performed and the level of evidence was graded for the articles included for the meta-analysis. Pooled risk ratios (RR) and heterogeneity (I2) were calculated using inverse variance random effects models.

RESULTS

Ten articles with high-quality results were identified for meta-analysis. Past medical history of stroke or TIA was a predictor of recurrent ischemic stroke (pooled RR 2.5, 95% CI 2.1-3.1). Small vessel strokes were associated with a lower risk of recurrence than large vessel strokes (pooled RR 0.3, 95% CI 0.1-0.7). Patients with stroke of an undetermined cause had a lower risk of recurrence than patients with large artery atherosclerosis (pooled RR 0.5, 95% CI 0.2-1.1). We found no studies using CT or ultrasound for the prediction of recurrent ischemic stroke. The following MRI findings were predictors of recurrent ischemic stroke: multiple lesions (pooled RR 1.7, 95% CI 1.5-2.0), multiple stage lesions (pooled RR 4.1, 95% CI 3.1-5.5), multiple territory lesions (pooled RR 2.9, 95% CI 2.0-4.2), chronic infarcts (pooled RR 1.5, 95% CI 1.2-1.9), and isolated cortical lesions (pooled RR 2.2, 95% CI 1.5-3.2).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with a recent ischemic stroke, a history of stroke or TIA and the subtype large artery atherosclerosis are associated with an increased risk of recurrent ischemic stroke. Predictors evaluated with MRI include multiple ischemic changes and isolated cortical lesions. Predictors of recurrent ischemic stroke concerning CT or ultrasound have not been published.