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Chitre SD, Crews CM, Tessema MT, Plėštytė-Būtienė I, Coffee M, Richardson ET. The impact of anthropogenic climate change on pediatric viral diseases. Pediatr Res 2024; 95:496-507. [PMID: 38057578 PMCID: PMC10872406 DOI: 10.1038/s41390-023-02929-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/06/2023] [Revised: 10/12/2023] [Accepted: 11/16/2023] [Indexed: 12/08/2023]
Abstract
The adverse effects of climate change on human health are unfolding in real time. Environmental fragmentation is amplifying spillover of viruses from wildlife to humans. Increasing temperatures are expanding mosquito and tick habitats, introducing vector-borne viruses into immunologically susceptible populations. More frequent flooding is spreading water-borne viral pathogens, while prolonged droughts reduce regional capacity to prevent and respond to disease outbreaks with adequate water, sanitation, and hygiene resources. Worsening air quality and altered transmission seasons due to an increasingly volatile climate may exacerbate the impacts of respiratory viruses. Furthermore, both extreme weather events and long-term climate variation are causing the destruction of health systems and large-scale migrations, reshaping health care delivery in the face of an evolving global burden of viral disease. Because of their immunological immaturity, differences in physiology (e.g., size), dependence on caregivers, and behavioral traits, children are particularly vulnerable to climate change. This investigation into the unique pediatric viral threats posed by an increasingly inhospitable world elucidates potential avenues of targeted programming and uncovers future research questions to effect equitable, actionable change. IMPACT: A review of the effects of climate change on viral threats to pediatric health, including zoonotic, vector-borne, water-borne, and respiratory viruses, as well as distal threats related to climate-induced migration and health systems. A unique focus on viruses offers a more in-depth look at the effect of climate change on vector competence, viral particle survival, co-morbidities, and host behavior. An examination of children as a particularly vulnerable population provokes programming tailored to their unique set of vulnerabilities and encourages reflection on equitable climate adaptation frameworks.
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Affiliation(s)
- Smit D Chitre
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Cecilia M Crews
- Heilbrunn Department of Population & Family Health, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA
| | - Mesfin Teklu Tessema
- Heilbrunn Department of Population & Family Health, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA.
- International Rescue Committee, New York, NY, USA.
| | | | - Megan Coffee
- Heilbrunn Department of Population & Family Health, Columbia University Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY, USA
- International Rescue Committee, New York, NY, USA
- New York University Grossman School of Medicine, New York, NY, USA
| | - Eugene T Richardson
- Department of Global Health and Social Medicine, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA
- Department of Medicine, Brigham and Women's Hospital, Boston, MA, USA
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2
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Yates TA, Karat AS, Bozzani F, McCreesh N, MacGregor H, Beckwith PG, Govender I, Colvin CJ, Kielmann K, Grant AD. Time to change the way we think about tuberculosis infection prevention and control in health facilities: insights from recent research. ANTIMICROBIAL STEWARDSHIP & HEALTHCARE EPIDEMIOLOGY : ASHE 2023; 3:e117. [PMID: 37502244 PMCID: PMC10369445 DOI: 10.1017/ash.2023.192] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/17/2023] [Revised: 05/25/2023] [Accepted: 05/26/2023] [Indexed: 07/29/2023]
Abstract
In clinical settings where airborne pathogens, such as Mycobacterium tuberculosis, are prevalent, they constitute an important threat to health workers and people accessing healthcare. We report key insights from a 3-year project conducted in primary healthcare clinics in South Africa, alongside other recent tuberculosis infection prevention and control (TB-IPC) research. We discuss the fragmentation of TB-IPC policies and budgets; the characteristics of individuals attending clinics with prevalent pulmonary tuberculosis; clinic congestion and patient flow; clinic design and natural ventilation; and the facility-level determinants of the implementation (or not) of TB-IPC interventions. We present modeling studies that describe the contribution of M. tuberculosis transmission in clinics to the community tuberculosis burden and economic evaluations showing that TB-IPC interventions are highly cost-effective. We argue for a set of changes to TB-IPC, including better coordination of policymaking, clinic decongestion, changes to clinic design and building regulations, and budgeting for enablers to sustain implementation of TB-IPC interventions. Additional research is needed to find the most effective means of improving the implementation of TB-IPC interventions; to develop approaches to screening for prevalent pulmonary tuberculosis that do not rely on symptoms; and to identify groups of patients that can be seen in clinic less frequently.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tom A. Yates
- Division of Infection and Immunity, Faculty of Medicine, University College London, London, UK
| | - Aaron S. Karat
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- The Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University, Musselburgh, UK
| | | | - Nicky McCreesh
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Hayley MacGregor
- The Institute of Development Studies, University of Sussex, Brighton, UK
| | - Peter G. Beckwith
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa
| | - Indira Govender
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Christopher J. Colvin
- Division of Social and Behavioural Sciences, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Karina Kielmann
- The Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University, Musselburgh, UK
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Alison D. Grant
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Africa Health Research Institute, Durban, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
- School of Laboratory Medicine and Medical Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, DurbanSouth Africa
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Du M, Zhu H, Yin X, Ke T, Gu Y, Li S, Li Y, Zheng G. Exploration of influenza incidence prediction model based on meteorological factors in Lanzhou, China, 2014-2017. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0277045. [PMID: 36520836 PMCID: PMC9754291 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0277045] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/24/2021] [Accepted: 10/19/2022] [Indexed: 12/23/2022] Open
Abstract
Humans are susceptible to influenza. The influenza virus spreads quickly and behave seasonally. The seasonality and spread of influenza are often associated with meteorological factors and have spatio-temporal differences. Based on the influenza cases and daily average meteorological factors in Lanzhou from 2014 to 2017, this study firstly aimed to analyze the characteristics of influenza incidence in Lanzhou and the impact of meteorological factors on influenza activities. Then, SARIMA(X) models for the prediction were established. The influenza cases in Lanzhou from 2014 to 2017 was more male than female, and the younger the age, the higher the susceptibility; the epidemic characteristics showed that there is a peak in winter, a secondary peak in spring, and a trough in summer and autumn. The influenza cases in Lanzhou increased with increasing daily pressure, decreasing precipitation, average relative humidity, hours of sunshine, average daily temperature and average daily wind speed. Low temperature was a significant driving factor for the increase of transmission intensity of seasonal influenza. The SARIMAX (1,0,0)(1,0,1)[12] multivariable model with average temperature has better prediction performance than the university model. This model is helpful to establish an early warning system, and provide important evidence for the development of influenza control policies and public health interventions.
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Affiliation(s)
- Meixia Du
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- Gansu Provincial Cancer Hospital, Gansu Lanzhou, China
| | - Hai Zhu
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
| | - Xiaochun Yin
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- The Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control by Chinese Medicine on Disease Related Northwestern Environment and Nutrition, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- * E-mail: (XY); (SL)
| | - Ting Ke
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
| | - Yonge Gu
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- The Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control by Chinese Medicine on Disease Related Northwestern Environment and Nutrition, Gansu Lanzhou, China
| | - Sheng Li
- First People’s Hospital of Lanzhou City, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- * E-mail: (XY); (SL)
| | - Yongjun Li
- Gansu Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Gansu Lanzhou, China
| | - Guisen Zheng
- School of Public Health, Gansu University of Chinese Medicine, Gansu Lanzhou, China
- The Collaborative Innovation Center for Prevention and Control by Chinese Medicine on Disease Related Northwestern Environment and Nutrition, Gansu Lanzhou, China
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Beckwith PG, Karat AS, Govender I, Deol AK, McCreesh N, Kielmann K, Baisley K, Grant AD, Yates TA. Direct estimates of absolute ventilation and estimated Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission risk in clinics in South Africa. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 2:e0000603. [PMID: 36962521 PMCID: PMC10021606 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000603] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/26/2022] [Accepted: 10/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
Healthcare facilities are important sites for the transmission of pathogens spread via bioaerosols, such as Mycobacterium tuberculosis. Natural ventilation can play an important role in reducing this transmission. We aimed to measure rates of natural ventilation in clinics in KwaZulu-Natal and Western Cape provinces, South Africa, then use these measurements to estimate Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission risk. We measured ventilation in clinic spaces using a tracer-gas release method. In spaces where this was not possible, we estimated ventilation using data on indoor and outdoor carbon dioxide levels. Ventilation was measured i) under usual conditions and ii) with all windows and doors fully open. Under various assumptions about infectiousness and duration of exposure, measured absolute ventilation rates were related to risk of Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission using the Wells-Riley Equation. In 2019, we obtained ventilation measurements in 33 clinical spaces in 10 clinics: 13 consultation rooms, 16 waiting areas and 4 other clinical spaces. Under usual conditions, the absolute ventilation rate was much higher in waiting rooms (median 1769 m3/hr, range 338-4815 m3/hr) than in consultation rooms (median 197 m3/hr, range 0-1451 m3/hr). When compared with usual conditions, fully opening existing doors and windows resulted in a median two-fold increase in ventilation. Using standard assumptions about infectiousness, we estimated that a health worker would have a 24.8% annual risk of becoming infected with Mycobacterium tuberculosis, and that a patient would have an 0.1% risk of becoming infected per visit. Opening existing doors and windows and rearranging patient pathways to preferentially use better ventilated clinic spaces result in important reductions in Mycobacterium tuberculosis transmission risk. However, unless combined with other tuberculosis infection prevention and control interventions, these changes are insufficient to reduce risk to health workers, and other highly exposed individuals, to acceptable levels.
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Affiliation(s)
- Peter G. Beckwith
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Aaron S. Karat
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- The Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
| | - Indira Govender
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Africa Health Research Institute, School of Laboratory Medicine & Medical Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Arminder K. Deol
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Nicky McCreesh
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Karina Kielmann
- The Institute for Global Health and Development, Queen Margaret University, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
- Institute of Tropical Medicine, Antwerp, Belgium
| | - Kathy Baisley
- Department of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, The London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
| | - Alison D. Grant
- TB Centre, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom
- Africa Health Research Institute, School of Laboratory Medicine & Medical Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
- School of Laboratory Medicine and Medical Sciences, College of Health Sciences, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Tom A. Yates
- Division of Infection and Immunity, Faculty of Medicine, University College London, London, United Kingdom
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Tatsuno I, Niimi Y, Tomita M, Terashima H, Hasegawa T, Matsumoto T. Mechanism of transient photothermal inactivation of bacteria using a wavelength-tunable nanosecond pulsed laser. Sci Rep 2021; 11:22310. [PMID: 34785646 PMCID: PMC8595719 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-01543-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/11/2021] [Accepted: 10/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
There is a great demand for novel disinfection technologies to inactivate various pathogenic viruses and bacteria. In this situation, ultraviolet (UVC) disinfection technologies seem to be promising because biocontaminated air and surfaces are the major media for disease transmission. However, UVC is strongly absorbed by human cells and protein components; therefore, there are concerns about damaging plasma components and causing dermatitis and skin cancer. To avoid these concerns, in this study, we demonstrate that the efficient inactivation of bacteria is achieved by visible pulsed light irradiation. The principle of inactivation is based on transient photothermal heating. First, we provide experimental confirmation that extremely high temperatures above 1000 K can be achieved by pulsed laser irradiation. Evidence of this high temperature is directly confirmed by melting gold nanoparticles (GNPs). Inorganic GNPs are used because of their well-established thermophysical properties. Second, we show inactivation behaviour by pulsed laser irradiation. This inactivation behaviour cannot be explained by a simple optical absorption effect. We experimentally and theoretically clarify this inactivation mechanism based on both optical absorption and scattering effects. We find that scattering and absorption play an important role in inactivation because the input irradiation is inherently scattered by the bacteria; therefore, the dose that bacteria feel is reduced. This scattering effect can be clearly shown by a technique that combines stained Escherichia coli and site selective irradiation obtained by a wavelength tunable pulsed laser. By measuring Live/Dead fluorescence microscopy images, we show that the inactivation attained by the transient photothermal heating is possible to instantaneously and selectively kill microorganisms such as Escherichia coli bacteria. Thus, this method is promising for the site selective inactivation of various pathogenic viruses and bacteria in a safe and simple manner.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ichiro Tatsuno
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 467-8601, Japan
| | - Yuna Niimi
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 467-8601, Japan
| | - Makoto Tomita
- Department of Physics, Faculty of Science, Shizuoka University, Shizuoka, 422-8529, Japan
| | - Hiroshi Terashima
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 467-8601, Japan
| | - Tadao Hasegawa
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 467-8601, Japan
| | - Takahiro Matsumoto
- Graduate School of Medical Sciences, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 467-8601, Japan.
- Graduate School of Design and Architecture, Nagoya City University, Nagoya, 464-0083, Japan.
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Nardell EA. Air Disinfection for Airborne Infection Control with a Focus on COVID-19: Why Germicidal UV is Essential †. Photochem Photobiol 2021; 97:493-497. [PMID: 33759191 PMCID: PMC8251047 DOI: 10.1111/php.13421] [Citation(s) in RCA: 27] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/07/2021] [Accepted: 03/16/2021] [Indexed: 01/03/2023]
Abstract
Aerosol transmission is now widely accepted as the principal way that COVID-19 is spread, as has the importance of ventilation-natural and mechanical. But in other than healthcare facilities, mechanical ventilation is designed for comfort, not airborne infection control, and cannot achieve the 6 to 12 room air changes per hour recommended for airborne infection control. More efficient air filters have been recommended in ventilation ducts despite a lack of convincing evidence that SARS-CoV-2 virus spreads through ventilation systems. Most transmission appears to occur in rooms where both an infectious source COVID-19 case and other susceptible occupants share the same air. Only two established room-based technologies are available to supplement mechanical ventilation: portable room air cleaners and upper room germicidal UV air disinfection. Portable room air cleaners can be effective, but performance is limited by their clean air delivery rate relative to room volume. SARS-CoV-2 is highly susceptible to GUV, an 80-year-old technology that has been shown to safely, quietly, effectively and economically produce the equivalent of 10 to 20 or more air changes per hour under real life conditions. For these reasons, upper room GUV is the essential engineering intervention for reducing COVID-19 spread.
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Affiliation(s)
- Edward A. Nardell
- Division of Global Health EquityBrigham & Women’s HospitalHarvard Medical SchoolBostonMAUSA
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Gerchman Y, Mamane H, Friedman N, Mandelboim M. UV-LED disinfection of Coronavirus: Wavelength effect. JOURNAL OF PHOTOCHEMISTRY AND PHOTOBIOLOGY. B, BIOLOGY 2020; 212:112044. [PMID: 33022467 PMCID: PMC7521879 DOI: 10.1016/j.jphotobiol.2020.112044] [Citation(s) in RCA: 35] [Impact Index Per Article: 8.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/28/2020] [Revised: 09/03/2020] [Accepted: 09/10/2020] [Indexed: 11/12/2022]
Abstract
UV light-emitting diodes (UV LEDs) are an emerging technology and a UV source for pathogen inactivation, however low UV-LED wavelengths are costly and have low fluence rate. Our results suggest that the sensitivity of human Coronavirus (HCoV-OC43 used as SARS-CoV-2 surrogate) was wavelength dependent with 267 nm ~ 279 nm > 286 nm > 297 nm. Other viruses showed similar results, suggesting UV LED with peak emission at ~286 nm could serve as an effective tool in the fight against human Coronaviruses.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yoram Gerchman
- Department of Biology and Environment, Faculty of Natural Science, University of Haifa and Oranim College, Tivon 3600600, Israel.
| | - Hadas Mamane
- School of Mechanical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering, Tel Aviv University, Tel Aviv 69978, Israel
| | - Nehemya Friedman
- Central Virology Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Ramat-Gan, Israel; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Tel-Aviv University, Israel
| | - Michal Mandelboim
- Central Virology Laboratory, Ministry of Health, Chaim Sheba Medical Center, Tel-Hashomer, Ramat-Gan, Israel; Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, School of Public Health, Tel-Aviv University, Israel
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An Opportunity to END TB: Using the Sustainable Development Goals for Action on Socio-Economic Determinants of TB in High Burden Countries in WHO South-East Asia and the Western Pacific Regions. Trop Med Infect Dis 2020; 5:tropicalmed5020101. [PMID: 32570828 PMCID: PMC7345698 DOI: 10.3390/tropicalmed5020101] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/12/2020] [Revised: 06/11/2020] [Accepted: 06/12/2020] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
The progress towards ending tuberculosis (TB) by 2035 is less than expected in 11 high TB burden countries in the World Health Organization South-East Asia and Western Pacific regions. Along with enhancing measures aimed at achieving universal access to quality-assured diagnosis, treatment and prevention services, massive efforts are needed to mitigate the prevalence of health-related risk factors, preferably through broader actions on the determinants of the "exposure-infection-disease-adverse outcome" spectrum. The aim of this manuscript is to describe the major socio-economic determinants of TB and to discuss how there are opportunities to address these determinants in an englobing manner under the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) framework. The national TB programs must identify stakeholders working on the other SDGs, develop mechanisms to collaborate with them and facilitate action on social-economic determinants in high TB burden geographical areas. Research (to determine the optimal mechanisms and impact of such collaborations) must be an integral part of this effort. We call upon stakeholders involved in achieving the SDGs and End TB targets to recognize that all goals are highly interlinked, and they need to combine and complement each other's efforts to end TB and the determinants behind this disease.
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