Risk factors for febrile seizures in the People's Republic of China: a case control study

Risk factors and predictors of recurrence of febrile seizures in children in Nantong, China: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Although most children with febrile seizures (FS) have a favorable prognosis, some experience recurrence within 1-3 years. Age, peak temperature, and family history are now recognized as important risk factors for FS recurrence, yet studies in this area are lacking in China. This study aimed to investigate the risk factors for FS recurrence in children in Nantong, China, and to develop a prediction model.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study analyzed 463 children diagnosed with febrile seizures (FS) who presented to the Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University between January 2015 and June 2020. Basic information, disease characteristics, and laboratory and imaging data were collected. A follow-up survey was conducted one year post-discharge to assess the recurrence status of FS in children. Univariate logistic regression and random forest models were used to identify and rank the predictive ability of risk factors for recurrence.

RESULTS

Of the 463 children with FS, 70 experienced recurrences within 1 year of discharge, resulting in a one-year recurrence rate of 15%. Age (OR = 0.61, 95% CI: 0.46, 0.80, P < 0.001), duration of the first episode (OR = 1.03, 95% CI: 1.00, 1.06, P = 0.040), and peak temperature (OR = 0.68, 95% CI: 0.47, 0.98, P = 0.036) were identified as independent risk factors for FS recurrence. Age had the highest relative importance in predicting FS recurrence, followed by the duration of the first episode, with an area under the ROC curve of 0.717.

CONCLUSION

Young age and duration of the first seizure are important independent risk factors for FS recurrence and are key considerations for predicting recurrence. Further research is needed to confirm the potential use of Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a predictor of FS recurrence.

Profile and clinical characterization of seizures in hospitalized children

INTRODUCTION

Seizure is the commonest pediatric neurological disorder, which is frightening to caretakers. The current study aims to determine profile, clinical spectrum and analyze the commonest etiology of seizures in children admitted to a tertiary hospital in Central China.

METHODS

This was a hospital based retrospective study carried out in Zhongnan Hospital of Wuhan University, China. Computerized data was collected from January 2012 to May 2015. Variables collected were demographics, clinical presentations and laboratory tests; brain imaging studies, electroencephalography, diagnosis, prognosis, outcome and duration of hospitalization.

RESULTS

A total of 200 patients were admitted with seizures. There were 109 (54.5%) males and 91 (45.5%) females. Among these patients, 193 (96.5%) were aged 1 month to 5 years and 182 (91.0%) presented with seizures and fever. Generalized tonic-clonic seizure was the most common seizure type in 196 (98.0%) children. Febrile seizure was the leading etiology of seizure in 175 (87.5%) children followed by epilepsy in 11 (5.5%) children. There were only 3 (2%) children with central nervous system infections. Abnormal brain images were noted in 10 (20%) out of 50 patients. Among 193 children tested for different infections, 49 (25.4%) had positive results. Viral infections were commonest infections by 49.0%, atypical bacterial 34.7% and 16.3% coinfections.

CONCLUSION

Seizure was the commonest neurological condition of children admitted in our hospital, febrile seizures being the commonest etiology. The prognosis and outcomes were good but there were prolonged days of hospitalization. Children with unprovoked seizures require brain-imaging studies for better understanding of seizure etiology.

Infantile colic associated with childhood migraine: A prospective cohort study

Purpose

To explore the association between infantile colic and adolescent migraine.

Method

In a randomized general population sample, families expecting their first child were prospectively followed for infantile colic and adolescent migraine.

Results

Colic was diagnosed in 160 (13%) of 1267 infants until the age of 3 months. Migraine was ascertained in 129 (16%) of 787 adolescents at age 18 years. History of infantile colic was identified in 96 (12%) of 787 adolescents and no such history in 658 (88%) of 787 adolescents. Migraine was present in 22 (23%)/96 adolescents who had a history of infantile colic, but in only 74 (11%)/658 ones who had no such history. Of the 22 adolescents, 14 (64%) had migraine without aura and eight (36%) had migraine with aura. Infants with colic had an almost three-fold risk (risk ratio 2.8, 95% confidence interval 1.2–6.5) for adolescent migraine without aura, but no increased risk for migraine with aura (0.8, 0.3–2.2).

Discussion and conclusions

Infantile colic seems to be associated with an increased risk for migraine without aura, but not for migraine with aura. Whether infantile colic per se is a type of infantile migraine or an antecedent of future migraine remains to be answered by further research.

Febrile seizures in southern Chinese children: incidence and recurrence

This study investigates the incidence, recurrence, and risk factors of febrile seizures in southern Chinese children. A retrospective study of a 5-year period (March 1998 through February 2003) was conducted for all children admitted with first febrile seizure to a university teaching hospital of Hong Kong, serving a population of 31,700 under 6 years. A total of 565 Chinese children (329 males, 236 females) were identified with mean age of 2.1 +/- 1.1 years. The annual incidence was 0.35%. Among them 16% (91/565) had complex febrile seizures. Family history of febrile and afebrile seizures was present in 17.5% and 2.7% respectively. The mean follow-up period was 2.33 +/- 1.69 years. Altogether 103 children (18%) had recurrence, and the cumulative rates by 1, 2, and 3 years were 12.7%, 18.7%, and 20.5% respectively. Three significant factors were identified for higher risk of recurrence: early age of onset, family history of febrile seizure, and complex febrile seizure. The incidence of first febrile seizure in Chinese children is low compared with the Western world and relatively similar to mainland China. Recurrence is also lower despite similarities in the predictive factors. Further epidemiologic and genetic studies will be necessary to confirm and explain this interethnic variation.

Risk factors for a first febrile convulsion in children: a population study in southern Taiwan

PURPOSE

To identify risk factors for a first febrile convulsion among 3-year-old children by a matched case-control population study.

METHODS

All 11,714 neonatal survivors born in Tainan City between October 1989 and September 1991 were enrolled. At age 3, 10,460 children were available for telephone survey for febrile convulsions, and were confirmed by home visit interviews. Those without history of seizure were randomly matched to each febrile convulsion case by age, gender, and residence district.

RESULTS

Two hundred fifty six children had febrile convulsions, and 218 of them and their matched controls were available for analysis. The febrile convulsion cases had significantly more febrile episodes (four or more) per year (33.0 vs. 22.5%; p = 0.021), and cases had a higher percentage of developmental delay (3.7 vs. 0.4%; p = 0.046) and a higher percentage of febrile convulsions in their siblings (12 vs. 0.4%; p = 0.011) than controls. The other sociodemographic, environmental, and biologic variables showed no differences between cases and controls. Step-wise logistic regression showed a highly significant independent association between febrile convulsions and history of febrile convulsions in the siblings, and a moderate one between febrile convulsions and the number of febrile episodes per year.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of febrile convulsions in the siblings and the number of fever episodes per year were the independent and significant predictors of febrile convulsion for an individual case in our population-based sample.