Evaluation of gingival bleeding following 4 types of periodontal therapy

Defining and predicting outcomes of non-surgical periodontal treatment: a 1-yr follow-up study

This study reports on 1-yr outcomes of non-surgical periodontal therapy and compares predictive models resulting from different definitions of treatment success. A total of 149 participants, 30-70 yr of age, provided clinical periodontal data and data on sociodemographic status, health status, symptoms, and oral health-care behaviors at baseline. One week later, clinical attachment level and probing pocket depth were recorded again in 148 patients. Participants underwent non-surgical periodontal therapy, including scaling and root planing, during three to four clinical sessions. Three and 12 months later, clinical attachment level, probing pocket depth, and bleeding on probing (BOP) were recorded in 141 and 137 participants, respectively. Using test-retest data, patients were classified as having 'downhill', 'stable', or 'improved' results on three clinical attachment level and three probing pocket depth outcomes, and their classification was found to vary considerably according to outcome. Although the predictors of treatment outcome varied depending on the variable chosen to represent the treatment outcome, some predictors were more commonly noted as predicting improvement, namely a high baseline percentage of sites with subgingival calculus and the presence of suppuration at baseline. The latter was, however, also predictive for tooth loss during the study. Our findings underline the need for uniformity in defining the outcomes in trials of periodontal therapy.

Potential association between prediabetic conditions and gingival and/or periodontal inflammation

AIMS/INTRODUCTION

Prediabetic conditions, which include impaired fasting glucose (IFG) and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), might be associated with chronic gingival and/or periodontal inflammation. However, the occurrence of this oral inflammation in prediabetic conditions is poorly understood. The present study aimed to assess the association between prediabetes and gingival and/or periodontal inflammation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A total of 94 Puerto Rican men and women aged 40-65 years, who were residents of San Juan, Puerto Rico, and free of diabetes, were included in the study. All participants had at least one tooth site with clinical attachment loss ≥3 mm. Fasting and 2-h plasma glucose were collected. Gingival/periodontal inflammation was assessed by bleeding on gentle probing of the sulcus at six sites per tooth.

RESULTS

Participants with the percentage of teeth with bleeding on probing (BOP) equal to or greater than the median were compared with those with the percentage of teeth with BOP less than median. Participants with high BOP tended to present higher IFG (odds ratio [OR] 5.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.2-25.3) and/or prediabetic condition (OR 3.6, 95% CI 1.0-13.2) than those with a low percentage of BOP, adjusting for age, sex, smoking, alcohol consumption, waist circumference and number of missing teeth. Using the continuous form of the outcome, the corresponding adjusted least squares means of percentage of BOP were 26.8 (standard error of the mean [SEM] 2.3) and 43.8 (SEM 6.0) in normal and IFG, respectively (P = 0.01), and 27.0 (SEM 2.4) and 39.0 (SEM 5.3) among healthy and prediabetic individuals, respectively (P = 0.05).

CONCLUSION

IFG and/or prediabetes are strongly associated with BOP, a marker of chronic gingival/periodontal inflammation.

Periodontal healing after non-surgical therapy with a new ultrasonic device: a randomized controlled clinical trial

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the clinical and microbiological healing outcomes following non-surgical periodontal therapy using the new Vector ultrasonic system versus scaling and root planing (S/RP) with Gracey curettes.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study comprised 20 chronic periodontitis patients. Using a split-mouth design, both treatment modalities were randomly applied to one quadrant of the upper and the lower jaws each. Clinical and microbiological parameters were assessed at baseline, 4 weeks, and 6 months after treatment. Furthermore, post-operative hypersensitivity was assessed. The Wilcoxon signed rank test (alpha=0.05) was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Both therapies provided statistically significant clinical and microbiological improvements of periodontal conditions after 4 weeks and 6 months. Hypersensitive teeth were found only 4 weeks after S/RP. Besides a significantly better bleeding on probing reduction in deep S/RP sites, no other clinical and microbiological parameters revealed significant differences between the sites treated with the Vector system or S/RP.

CONCLUSION

Both the Vector system and S/RP provided favourable periodontal healing results, although in deep pockets S/RP appeared to achieve a better resolution of inflammation.

Periodontal healing after non-surgical therapy with a modified sonic scaler: a controlled clinical trial

AIM

The aim of this study was to compare the clinical and microbiological healing outcomes following non-surgical periodontal therapy using a modified sonic scaler system versus scaling and root planing (S/RP) with hand instruments.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

The study comprised 20 chronic periodontitis patients. Using a split-mouth design, both treatment modalities were randomly applied to one quadrant of the upper and lower jaws. Clinical and microbiological parameters were assessed at baseline, 4 weeks, and 6 months after treatment. Furthermore, post-operative hypersensitivity was investigated. The Wilcoxon signed-rank test (alpha = 0.05) was used for statistical analysis.

RESULTS

With both therapy methods, periodontal conditions showed statistically significant clinical and microbiological improvements after 4 weeks and 6 months. Hypersensitive teeth were found only 4 weeks after S/RP. Besides a significantly better bleeding on probing reduction in deep S/RP sites and less time required for root instrumentation by the sonic scaler, no other clinical and microbiological parameters revealed significant differences between sites treated with the sonic scaler or S/RP.

CONCLUSION

The sonic scaler system and S/RP seem to provide similarly favourable periodontal healing results, although in deep pockets S/RP appeared to achieve a better resolution of inflammation.

A systematic review of professional mechanical plaque removal for prevention of periodontal diseases

AIM

To investigate the effect of professional mechanical plaque removal (PMPR) on the prevention of periodontal diseases.

METHODS

We searched for randomized controlled trials, controlled clinical trials and cohort studies from 1950 to October 2004. Screening and data abstraction were conducted independently and in duplicate. Critical appraisal of studies was based on objective criteria and evidence tables were constructed.

RESULTS

From 2179 titles and abstracts, 132 full-text articles were screened and 32 studies were relevant. Evidence exists that PMPR in adults, particularly in combination with oral hygiene instruction (OHI), may be more effective than no treatment judged by surrogate measures. The evidence for a benefit of PMPR+OHI over OHI alone is less clear. The optimum frequency of PMPR has not been investigated although more frequent PMPR is associated with improved markers of health. The strength of evidence for these results ranges from weak to moderate due to risk of bias, inconsistent results, lack of appropriate statistics and small sample size.

CONCLUSIONS

There appears to be little value in providing PMPR without OHI. In fact, repeated OHI might have a similar effect as PMPR. Some forms of PMPR might achieve greater patient satisfaction. There is little difference in beneficial or adverse effects of different methods of PMPR.

A systematic review of the effect of surgical debridement vs non-surgical debridement for the treatment of chronic periodontitis

OBJECTIVE

To systematically review the evidence of effectiveness of surgical vs. non-surgical therapy for the treatment of chronic periodontal disease.

METHODS

A search was conducted for randomized controlled trials of at least 12 months duration comparing surgical with non-surgical treatment of chronic periodontal disease. Data sources included the National Library of Medicine computerised bibliographic database MEDLINE, and the Cochrane Oral Health Group (COHG) Specialist Trials Register. Screening, data abstraction and quality assessment were conducted independently by multiple reviewers (L.H., F.H., L.T.). The primary outcome measures evaluated were gain in clinical attachment level (CAL) and reduction in probing pocket depth (PPD).

RESULTS

The search provided 589 abstracts of which six randomized controlled trials were included. Meta-analysis evaluation of these studies indicated that 12 months following treatment, surgical therapy resulted in 0.6 mm more PPD reduction (WMD 0.58 mm; 95% CI 0.38, 0.79) and 0.2 mm more CAL gain (WMD 0.19 mm; 95% CI 0.04, 0.35) than non-surgical therapy in deep pockets (>6 mm). In 4-6 mm pockets scaling and root planing resulted in 0.4 mm more attachment gain (WMD -0.37 mm; 95% CI -0.49, -0.26) and 0.4 mm less probing depth reduction (WMD 0.35 mm; 95% CI 0.23, 0.47) than surgical therapy. In shallow pockets (1-3 mm) non-surgical therapy resulted in 0.5 mm less attachment loss (WMD -0.51 mm; 95% CI -0.74, -0.29) than surgical therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Both scaling and root planing alone and scaling and root planing combined with flap procedure are effective methods for the treatment of chronic periodontitis in terms of attachment level gain and reduction in gingival inflammation. In the treatment of deep pockets open flap debridement results in greater PPD reduction and clinical attachment gain.

Clinical versus statistical significance as they relate to the efficacy of periodontal therapy

BACKGROUND

The author discusses the shortcomings of using statistical significance testing as a method to infer that results of periodontal clinical trials are clinically meaningful. To compensate for these deficiencies, he also identifies criteria and periodontal parameters that can be used to reflect clinically significant outcomes.

TYPES OF STUDIES REVIEWED

The author searched the medical and dental literature to identify commentaries that addressed the problems associated with interpreting statistical significance testing, or hypothesis testing, and defining clinical significance.

RESULTS

The limitations of statistical significance testing related to identifying clinically significant changes include failure to indicate if the detected differences between variables in test and control groups are large or important. After reviewing various definitions of the term "clinical significance," the author reviews and proposes a comprehensive working definition of it. Regarding the efficacy of periodontal therapy, he delineates the advantages and limitations of specific criteria (such as absolute values, cut points) that can be used to define clinical significance.

CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

The author suggests that clinically significant results should be defined before initiating a study and statistical significance testing should be used to validate that findings did not occur by chance. This would help place the importance of clinical data into perspective, and it would enhance clinicians' ability to select the most appropriate therapies for particular sites in periodontal patients.

Clinical significance of non-surgical periodontal therapy: an evidence-based perspective of scaling and root planing

Analysis of Egyptian hieroglyphics and medical papyri indicate that non-surgical periodontal treatment was common 3000-4000 years ago. Even today, scaling and root planing (SRP) remains an essential part of successful periodontal therapy. The collective evidence from numerous clinical trials reveals a consistency of clinical response in the treatment of chronic periodontitis by SRP using manual, sonic, or ultrasonic instrumentation. Thus, SRP remains the 'gold standard' to which more recently developed therapeutic modalities must be compared. Inherent to the clinical evaluation of SRP are such concerns as manual versus sonic and ultrasonic instrumentation, control of sub-gingival bacterial populations, removal of calculus, root smoothness and changes in various clinical parameters, e.g. probing depth, attachment levels, bleeding on probing and gingival inflammation. Lastly, an abbreviated discussion is presented on a relatively new paradigm of complete mouth 'disinfection' in a compressed time-frame that includes SRP as a significant component of the treatment regimen.

Longitudinal comparison of the periodontal status of patients with moderate to severe periodontal disease receiving no treatment, non-surgical treatment, and surgical treatment utilizing individual sites for analysis

BACKGROUND

The progression of periodontal disease without treatment and the response of existing periodontal disease to various types of treatment have been studied extensively. Many past studies have used the mean of the patient's probing depths or attachment levels to evaluate disease progression as opposed to following changes in individual sites or teeth. The purpose of the current study was to evaluate the response of individual teeth to treatment or non-treatment.

METHODS

The records from a private periodontal practice were reviewed to find patients with complete periodontal examinations that were recorded at least 1 year apart. Patients who fit these criteria were divided into those who had none of the recommended treatment (untreated, n = 30); those who had only non-surgical treatment (partially treated, n = 20); and a control group who had completed all recommended treatment (surgically treated, n = 41). The data for each tooth of each patient were placed in a database and analyzed using the method of generalized estimating equations (GEE) to test for associations between increase or decrease in probing depths and various initial clinical parameters while adjusting for significant confounders.

RESULTS

Teeth that received no treatment or non-surgical treatment showed significant increases in probing depths, worsening of prognosis, worsening of furcation involvement, and increases in mobility when compared to surgically treated teeth. Teeth that received surgical treatment showed significant decreases in probing depths. No significant difference was noted between teeth that had no treatment and teeth that had non-surgical treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

When individual teeth are used as the basis for analysis, teeth that receive no treatment or non-surgical treatment show a significant worsening of probing depths, furcations, mobility, and prognosis when compared to teeth that receive surgical treatment, while surgically treated teeth show significant improvement in probing depths.

Contemporary interpretation of probing depth assessments: diagnostic and therapeutic implications. A literature review

This paper addresses the diagnostic and therapeutic implications of increased probing depths. In general, in untreated and treated patients, when deep and shallow probing depths are compared, the data indicate that deep sites are associated with increased bleeding upon probing, elevated subgingival temperatures, higher levels of pathogens, more probing errors, a greater amount of infiltrated connective tissue, reduced ability to remove subgingival deposits with root planing, and diminished effectiveness of oral hygiene to alter the subgingival microbiota. Clinical trials demonstrate that probing depth is not a good predictor of future disease progression. However, deep sites are at greater risk of disease progression than shallow sites in untreated and treated patients. Furthermore, the deeper the probing depth, the greater the risk of future disease progression. Overall, the preponderance of evidence indicates that it is advantageous, but not always necessary, for patients to have shallow probing depths. With regards to surgical reduction of probing depths beyond that attained with non-surgical therapy, clinicians need to consider the advantages (e.g., ease of maintenance, reduced risk of disease progression) and disadvantages (e.g., root sensitivity, cosmetic defects) of treatment procedures. Since numerous variables require consideration (e.g., response to root planing, goals of therapy, acceptable level of risk for future disease progression), treatment decisions will vary depending on the patient and the desired clinical outcome at specific sites.

Adjunctive controlled topical application of tetracycline HCl in the treatment of localized persistent or recurrent periodontitis. Effects on clinical parameters and elastase-alpha1-proteinase inhibitor in gingival crevicular fluid

35 patients receiving regular supportive periodontal therapy (SPT) and showing signs of localized persistent or recurrent periodontitis were enrolled in the study. Within 1 week after SPT, each patient had a tetracycline HCl loaded ethylene vinyl acetate co-polymer fiber placed into the periodontal pocket of 1 randomly selected tooth with persistent or recurrent periodontitis (test); the fiber was removed after 9.5+/-2.0 days. A non-adjacent tooth with persistent or recurrent periodontitis in a separate quadrant, which received no further treatment, served as a control. A total of 28 patients completed the 6-month study. Compared to control teeth, in test teeth at 6 months significantly (p<0.01) lower scores were found for gingival index, pocket probing depths, and PMN elastase-alpha1-proteinase inhibitor concentrations in gingival crevicular fluid. With the exception of plaque index scores, test teeth demonstrated significant reductions from baseline to 6 months in all parameters (p<0.05). Conversely, all parameter measurements in control teeth, except bleeding on probing, showed no significant difference between baseline and 6-month values. The results suggest that the use of controlled topical application of tetracycline HCl may improve periodontal health and reduce the risk of disease progression in localized persistent or recurrent periodontitis. Moreover, the effects of this application appear to be sustained for at least 6 months.

Long-term evaluation of periodontal therapy: I. Response to 4 therapeutic modalities

Eighty-two periodontal patients were treated in a split mouth design with coronal scaling (CS), root planing (RP), modified Widman surgery (MW), and flap with osseous resection surgery (FO) which were randomly assigned to various quadrants in the dentition. Therapy was performed in 3 phases: non-surgical, surgical, and supportive periodontal treatment (SPT) < or = 7 years. Clinical data consisted of probing depth (PD), clinical attachment level (CAL), gingival recession (REC), bleeding on probing (BOP), suppuration (SUP), and supragingival plaque (PL). Because of the necessity to exit many CS treated sites due to breakdown, data for CS were reported only up to 2 years. All therapies produced mean PD reduction with FO > MW > RP > CS following the surgical phase for all probing depth severities. By the end of year 2 there were no differences between the therapies in the 1 to 4 mm sites. There were no differences in PD reduction between MW and RP treated sites by the end of year 3 in the 5 to 6 mm sites and by the end of year 5 in the > or = 7 mm sites. FO produced greater PD reduction in > or = 5 mm sites through year 7 of SPT. Following the surgical phase, FO produced a mean CAL loss and CS and RP produced a slight gain in 1-4 mm sites. RP and MW produced a greater gain of CAL than CS and FO following the surgical phase in 5 to 6 mm sites, but the magnitude of difference decreased during SPT. Similar CAL gains were produced by RP, MW, and FO in sites > or = 7 mm. These gains were greater than that produced by CS and were sustained during SPT. Recession was produced with FO > MW > RP > CS. This relationship was maintained throughout SPT. The prevalences of BOP, SUP, and PL were greatly reduced throughout the study and were comparable between sites treated by RP, MW, and FO while the CS sites had more BOP and SUP.

The results of 1328 periodontal pockets treated with the argon laser: selective pocket thermolysis

A study of 30 randomly selected cases of type II-IV periodontitis was done from a group of 130 patients who had been treated with argon laser pocket thermolysis and root planing between January 1993 and April 1994. The group consisted of 12 males and 18 females with a mean age of 47. No antibiotics were taken 6 months prior or during the treatment. A pocket charting and bleeding index was done at a mean of 4.6 months after treatment. A total of 1328 pockets were treated using a 300-microns fiber in contact at 0.4 W for 20-30 sec per pocket with coaxial irrigation. The 4-5 mm pockets were reduced by 1.62 mm, 6-7 mm pockets by 2.85 mm, and 8-9 mm by 3.30 mm. The bleeding of probing was reduced by 75%. The mean postoperative pain medication was 400 mg/day of ibuprofen for 1-2 days. Laser pocket thermolysis with subgingival thermodynamic debridement may eliminate or greatly reduce the need for additional treatment. There is a great need for further investigation.

Gingival fluid IL-1 and IL-6 levels in refractory periodontitis

Selected gingival bacteria and cytokine profiles associated with patients who did not respond to conventional periodontal therapy (refractory) were evaluated. 10 subjects with a high incidence of post-active treatment clinical attachment loss (> 2% sites/year lost > or = 3 mm) were compared to 10 age-, race-, and supragingival plaque-matched patients with low post-treatment clinical attachment loss (< 0.5% sites/year) relative to the following parameters at 2 sites/patient with the deepest probing depths: (1) presence of 3 selected periodontal pathogens (Actinobacillus actinomycetemcomitans, Porphyromonas gingivalis, Eikenella corrodens) in subgingival plaque as determined by selective culturing, and (2) gingival crevicular fluid (GCF) levels of 3 cytokines associated with bone resorption (IL-1 alpha, IL-1 beta, IL-6) as determined by two-site ELISA. Results indicated no significant differences in any clinical measurement (except incidence of clinical attachment loss), in the presence of any bacterial pathogen, or in GCF cytokine levels between refractory subject sites versus stable subject sites. However, when sites producing the greatest total GCF cytokine/patient were compared, sites from refractory patient produced significantly more IL-6 (30.1 +/- 4.0 versus 15.4 +/- 2.8 nM, p < 0.01). The subgingival presence of each of the 3 bacterial pathogens was associated with elevated GCF IL-1 concentrations. These data suggest that gingival IL-1 and IL-6 production is different in response to local and systemic factors associated with periodontitis, and that IL-6 may play a role in the identification and mechanisms of refractory periodontitis.

Relationship of "bleeding on probing" and "gingival index bleeding" as clinical parameters of gingival inflammation

Bleeding on probing (BOP) and the gingival index have been used to clinically characterize the degree of gingival inflammation. It is, however, unclear to what extent these parameters correlate to each other and to probing pocket depth (PD). The purpose of this clinical study was to evaluate the association between BOP and GI bleeding (scores of 2 and 3), as well as the relationship of these variables to PD, in a group of patients presenting with naturally-occurring gingivitis. Based on screening examinations of 125 subjects with at least 20 teeth, no more than 4 sites with PD over 6 mm, a BOP frequency of 30% or greater, and no systemic condition that would influence the inflammatory response, were selected. 2 weeks after screening they were examined at 6 sites per tooth for plaque index, GI, PD and BOP. A standardized pressure sensitive probe (Florida Probe) with 20 g probing force was used for BOP and PD measurements. In this population, means of 40.9% (S.E. = 1.36) BOP sites and 35.3% (S.E. = 1.81) GI bleeding sites per patient were found. A total of 20,008 sites ranging in PD up to 5.9 mm were evaluated; however, the majority of sites (19,723, 98.6%) presented with < 4 mm PD. When sites were evaluated, BOP demonstrated a positive correlation with PD, whereas GI bleeding correlated with PD. For sites characterized by the absence of BOP as well as the absence of GI bleeding (scores 0 and 1), the highest % of agreement between the 2 indices (77.7%) was found in shallow sites (0.1-2 mm).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Patient preference regarding 4 types of periodontal therapy following 3 years of maintenance follow-up

It has been shown that certain types of periodontal therapy result in greater post-therapy gingival recession. It has been suggested that this recession may lead to maintenance complications for patients. This study evaluated patient perceptions 3 years following the completion of 4 types of periodontal therapy (coronal scaling (CS), root planing (RP), modified Widman surgery (MW), and flap with osseous resectional surgery (FO)). 75 individuals completed split-mouth therapy and 3 years of maintenance follow-up. An interview survey of all patients categorized their perception for each treatment of their mouth concerning difficulty in cleaning, sensitivity to temperature, general "feeling" of the region, prevalence of localized symptoms, food retention, comfort of oral examination, and attitude toward repeating therapy. Responses to questions showed no statistically significant differences between treatment regions. Patterns demonstrated that FO-treated regions were perceived to have less food retention, but were more difficult to clean. It was generally found that at the end of 3 years of maintenance, patients felt their mouths were "normal", they experienced few localized symptoms, and were very willing to repeat any of the treatment regimens if necessary.

Specific statistical considerations relevant to the design and analysis of gingivitis trials demonstrating product superiority or equivalence

Simulation studies were conducted to address specific statistical issues which arise in the design and analysis of gingivitis studies whose principal aim is the demonstration of superiority or equivalence of one product to another. The effects of measurement scale, using differences or ratios of group means, particular statistical test produces and specific rules demonstrating superiority or equivalence were investigated. An alternative concept to equivalence--denoted "least as good"--was also defined and evaluated. For a wide class of possible distributions of gingivitis scores, characterized by specific gamma distributions, the student-t test applied to means of subject GI gingivitis scores proved to be the most powerful of the test produces considered, having statistical properties quite similar to the randomization or permutation test procedure. Transformations of subject GI mean gingivitis scores did not produce an advantage in demonstrating either superiority or equivalence, and in some cases made it more difficult. Little difference was observed in test results when using the difference in group means as compared with using the ratio of group means for demonstrating either equivalence or superiority. The clinically significant rule produced the lowest false-positive rates for products slightly better than the active control, and similar false-positive and -negative rates as the statistically significant rule for products clearly superior to the active control. Demonstration of product equivalence will require more subjects per group than demonstrating product superiority, the size of this difference being a function of the definition of superiority that is accepted. Showing that the 90% confidence interval for 100*R is completely contained within the [90%, 110%] interval is the preferred method of demonstrating equivalence today, although much more research needs to be done to improve methods for demonstrating product equivalence. The "least as good" alternative to "equivalence" makes it easier to demonstrate "equivalence" for products slightly better than the active control product, but both experience great difficulty in demonstrating equivalence for test products not quite as good as the active control.

Issues in the evaluation of clinical trials of periodontitis: a clinical perspective

The goals of clinical trials designed to establish claims for equivalency or superiority of treatment for periodontitis must be clearly stated and defined in terms of measurable and meaningful response variables. It is suggested that these clinical trials use designs that compare new treatment methods to basic periodontal therapy which consists of thorough scaling and root planing, oral hygiene instruction, and regular maintenance care. The primary response variable should be clinical attachment level. It is important to document changes in probing depth since this is a meaningful measure to many clinicians. Gingival inflammation and bleeding should be used as secondary response variables because these are not necessarily indicative of progressive periodontal destruction. Radiographic measures of disease may be useful as primary response variables if safe, reproducible and valid methods of measuring change are utilized. Microbiological monitoring should be a secondary response variable because of numerous questions concerning sampling methodology, quantitative expression of data, and meaningful interpretation in terms of relevance to disease activity. The length of periodontitis trials should be set at a minimum of 9 months if claims of superiority or equivalency are made compared to basic periodontal therapy. Calibration trials should be included and measurement error should be expressed in terms that are meaningful to the clinician while retaining statistical validity. Statistical methods for determining change should take into account site and subject heterogeneity, bursts of change and gradual change over time. It is important that statistical techniques be used that detect change as early as possible and that appropriate consideration be given to the clinical implications of the type, magnitude and duration of change in outcome variables.

Relationship of gingival bleeding, gingival suppuration, and supragingival plaque to attachment loss

This study evaluated the relationship between the presence of gingival bleeding, gingival suppuration, and supragingival plaque at 3 month appointments to the incidence of probing attachment loss during a 2-year period of maintenance therapy. The data included in this report were taken during the second and third year of maintenance from 75 periodontal patients who had previously received active therapy in an ongoing longitudinal study. The diagnostic sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values were calculated for different frequencies of positive responses for each clinical parameter in relation to sites demonstrating greater than or equal to 2 mm probing attachment loss. Gingival bleeding and plaque were not prognosticators and gingival suppuration was a weak prognosticator of attachment loss during a 2 year maintenance period.