Sensitivity and sensitisation in relation to pain severity in knee osteoarthritis: trait or state?

Vortioxetine reduces the development of pain-related behaviour in a knee osteoarthritis model in rats: Involvement of nerve growth factor (NGF) down-regulation

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Vortioxetine, a multimodal-acting antidepressant, has recently shown analgesic properties. We aimed to investigate its prophylactic effect in the osteoarthritis (OA) model and gain insights into the underlying molecular mechanisms. Duloxetine was studied as a reference.

EXPERIMENTAL APPROACH

In the monoiodoacetate (MIA)-induced rat model of knee OA, pain-related behaviour was assessed in weight-bearing and Von Frey tests. Antidepressants were administered orally once daily for 28 days. Gene expression of pain-related mediators (Ngf, Il-1β, Tnf-α, Bdnf, and Tac1 encoding substance P) and oxidative stress parameters were determined after completion of the treatment/behavioural testing protocol.

KEY RESULTS

Vortioxetine and duloxetine dose dependently reduced weight-bearing asymmetry and mechanical hyperalgesia of the paw ipsilateral to the MIA-injected knee. Vortioxetine reduced the increased Ngf mRNA expression in the MIA-injected knees to the level in sham-injected counterparts. It reduced oxidative stress parameters in the affected knees, more effectively in females than males. Duloxetine showed no effect on Ngf mRNA expression and oxidative stress. Both antidepressants decreased mRNA expression of pain-related mediators in the lumbar L3-L5 ipsilateral DRGs and spinal cords, which were up-regulated in MIA-injected rats. This effect was male-specific.

CONCLUSION AND IMPLICATIONS

Vortioxetine may be effective against the development of chronic pain in OA. Its antihyperalgesic effect may be mediated, at least in part, by normalization of NGF expression in the affected joint. Decrease of localized oxidative stress and of expression of pain-related mediators that contribute to central sensitization are also involved in vortioxetine's antihyperalgesic effect, in a sex-specific pattern.

Diminished vibration perception and greater pressure pain sensitivity are associated with worse knee osteoarthritis outcomes across sex and race

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations of vibration sensitivity and pressure pain sensitivity with knee osteoarthritis (OA) outcomes across sex and race, which may relate to known sex and race disparities in clinical outcomes.

DESIGN

Data were from the 2013-2015 visit of the Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project. Exposures were vibration perception threshold (VPT) measured at the bilateral medial femoral condyle (MFC) and first metatarsophalangeal joint (MTP), and pressure pain threshold (PPT) measured at the bilateral upper trapezius. Outcomes were knee pain severity and presence of knee symptoms, radiographic knee OA, and symptomatic knee OA in each knee. Cross-sectional associations of the exposures with the outcomes were examined using logistic regression models, overall and separately by sex and race.

RESULTS

In the VPT and PPT analyses, 851 and 862 participants (mean age 71 years, 68% female, 33% Black, body mass index 31 kg/m2) and 1585 and 1660 knees were included, respectively. Higher VPT (lower vibration sensitivity) at the MFC and first MTP joint was associated with all outcomes. Lower PPT (greater pressure pain sensitivity) was associated with greater knee pain severity. Associations of VPT and PPT with all outcomes were similar among females and males and Black and White individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

Diminished vibration perception and greater pressure pain sensitivity were cross-sectionally associated with worse knee OA outcomes. Despite differences in VPT and PPT among females and males and Black and White adults, associations with knee OA outcomes did not differ by sex or race, suggesting neurophysiological differences do not relate to established disparities.

Associations of pain sensitivity and conditioned pain modulation with physical activity: findings from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST)

OBJECTIVE

Individuals with chronic pain due to knee osteoarthritis (OA) are insufficiently physically active, and alterations of facilitatory and inhibitory nociceptive signaling are common in this population. Our objective was to examine the association of these alterations in nociceptive signaling with objective accelerometer-based measures of physical activity in a large observational cohort.

DESIGN

We used data from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study. Measures of peripheral and central pain sensitivity included pressure pain threshold at the knee and mechanical temporal summation at the wrist, respectively. The presence of descending pain inhibition was assessed by conditioned pain modulation (CPM). Physical activity was quantitatively assessed over 7 days using a lower back-worn activity monitor. Summary metrics included steps/day, activity intensity, and sedentary time. Linear regression analyses were used to evaluate the association of pain sensitivity and the presence of descending pain inhibition with physical activity measures.

RESULTS

Data from 1873 participants was analyzed (55.9% female, age = 62.8 ± 10.0 years). People having greater peripheral and central sensitivity showed lower step counts. CPM was not significantly related to any of the physical activity measures, and none of the exposures were significantly related to sedentary time.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort, greater peripheral and central sensitivity were associated with reduced levels of objectively-assessed daily step counts. Further research may investigate ways to modify or treat heightened pain sensitivity as a means to increase physical activity in older adults with knee OA.

Clinical prediction models for knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To identify and describe existing models for predicting knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis.

METHODS

The electronic databases PubMed, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, and Cochrane Library were searched from their inception to May 2023 for any studies to develop and validate a prediction model for predicting knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis. Two reviewers independently screened titles, abstracts, and full-text qualifications, and extracted data. Risk of bias was assessed using the PROBAST. Data extraction of eligible articles was extracted by a data extraction form based on CHARMS. The quality of evidence was graded according to GRADE. The results were summarized with descriptive statistics.

RESULTS

The search identified 2693 records. Sixteen articles reporting on 26 prediction models were included targeting occurrence (n = 9), others (n = 7), progression (n = 5), persistent (n = 2), incident (n = 1), frequent (n = 1), and flares (n = 1) of knee pain. Most of the studies (94%) were at high risk of bias. Model discrimination was assessed by the AUROC ranging from 0.62 to 0.81. The most common predictors were age, BMI, gender, baseline pain, and joint space width. Only frequent knee pain had a moderate quality of evidence; all other types of knee pain had a low quality of evidence.

CONCLUSION

There are many prediction models for knee pain in patients with knee osteoarthritis that do show promise. However, the clinical extensibility, applicability, and interpretability of predictive tools should be considered during model development.

Clinical Assessment of Osteoarthritis Pain: Contemporary Scenario, Challenges, and Future Perspectives

The multifaceted nature of osteoarthritis (OA) pain presents a challenge in understanding and managing the condition. The diverse pain experiences, progression rates, individual responses to treatments, and complex disease mechanisms contribute to heterogeneity in the clinical studies outcomes. The lack of a standardized methodology for assessing and classifying OA pain challenges healthcare practitioners. This complicates the establishment of universally applicable protocols or standardized guidelines for treatment. This article explores the heterogeneity observed in clinical studies evaluating OA pain treatments, highlighting the necessity for refined methodologies, personalized patient categorization, and consistent outcome measures. It discusses the role of the multidimensional nature of OA pain, underlying pain mechanisms, and other contributing factors to the heterogeneity in outcome measures. Addressing these variations is crucial to establishing a more consistent framework for evidence-based treatments and advancing care of the patient with OA pain.

EEG-Based Cortical Alterations in Individuals With Chronic Knee Pain Secondary to Osteoarthritis: A Cross-sectional Investigation

Chronic painful knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a disabling physical health condition. Alterations in brain responses to arthritic changes in the knee may explain persistent pain. This study investigated source localized, resting-state electroencephalography activity and functional connectivity in people with knee OA, compared to healthy controls. Adults aged 44 to 85 years with knee OA (n = 37) and healthy control (n = 39) were recruited. Resting-state electroencephalography was collected for 10 minutes and decomposed into infraslow frequency (ISF) to gamma frequency bands. Standard low-resolution electromagnetic brain tomography statistical nonparametric maps were conducted, current densities of regions of interest were compared between groups and correlation analyses were performed between electroencephalography (EEG) measures and clinical pain and functional outcomes in the knee OA group. Standard low-resolution electromagnetic brain tomography nonparametric maps revealed higher (P = .006) gamma band activity over the right insula (RIns) in the knee OA group. A significant (P < .0001) reduction in ISF band activity at the pregenual anterior cingulate cortex, whereas higher theta, alpha, beta, and gamma band activity at the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex, pregenual anterior cingulate cortex, the somatosensory cortex, and RIns in the knee OA group were identified. ISF activity of the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex was positively correlated with pain measures and psychological distress scores. Theta and alpha activity of RIns were negatively correlated with pain interference. In conclusion, aberrations in infraslow and faster frequency EEG oscillations at sensory discriminative, motivational-affective, and descending inhibitory cortical regions were demonstrated in people with chronic painful knee OA. Moreover, EEG oscillations were correlated with pain and functional outcome measures. PERSPECTIVE: This study confirms alterations in the rsEEG oscillations and its relationship with pain experience in people with knee OA. The study provides potential cortical targets and the EEG frequency bands for neuromodulatory interventions for managing chronic pain experience in knee OA.

Molecular pathogenesis of OA pain: Past, present, and future

OBJECTIVE

To provide a historical perspective and narrative review on research into the molecular pathogenesis of osteoarthritis pain.

DESIGN

PubMed databases were searched for combinations of "osteoarthritis", "pain" and "animal models" for papers that represented key phases in the history of osteoarthritis pain discovery research including epidemiology, pathology, imaging, preclinical modeling and clinical trials.

RESULTS

The possible anatomical sources of osteoarthritis pain were identified over 50 years ago, but relatively slow progress has been made in understanding the apparent disconnect between structural changes captured by radiography and symptom severity. Translationally relevant animal models of osteoarthritis have aided in our understanding of the structural and molecular drivers of osteoarthritis pain, including molecules such as nerve growth factor and C-C motif chemokine ligand 2. Events leading to persistent osteoarthritis pain appear to involve a two-step process involving changes in joint innervation, including neo-innervation of the articular cartilage, as well as sensitization at the level of the joint, dorsal root ganglion and central nervous system.

CONCLUSIONS

There remains a great need for the development of treatments to reduce osteoarthritis pain in patients. Harnessing all that we have learned over the past several decades is helping us to appreciate the important interaction between structural disease and pain, and this is likely to facilitate development of new disease modifying therapies in the future.

Can we achieve pain stratification in musculoskeletal conditions? Implications for clinical practice

In the last few years there has been an increased appreciation that pain perception in rheumatic and musculoskeletal diseases (RMDs) has several mechanisms which include nociceptive, inflammatory, nociplastic and neuropathic components. Studies in specific patient groups have also demonstrated that the pain experienced by people with specific diagnoses can present with distinctive components over time. For example, the pain observed in rheumatoid arthritis has been widely accepted to be caused by the activation of nociceptors, potentiated by the release of inflammatory mediators, including prostaglandins, leukotrienes and cytokine networks in the joint environment. However, people with RA may also experience nociplastic and neuropathic pain components, particularly when treatments with disease modifying anti-rheumatic drugs (DMARDs) have been implemented and are insufficient to control pain symptoms. In other RMDs, the concept of pain sensitisation or nociplastic pain in driving ongoing pain symptoms e.g. osteoarthritis and fibromyalgia, is becoming increasingly recognised. In this review, we explore the hypothesis that pain has distinct modalities based on clinical, pathophysiological, imaging and genetic factors. The concept of pain stratification in RMD is explored and implications for future management are also discussed.

Practical approaches for clinicians in chronic pain management: Strategies and solutions

Effective management of chronic pain necessitates multidisciplinary approaches including medical treatment, physical therapy, lifestyle interventions, and behavioral or mental health therapy. Medical providers regularly report high levels of stress and challenge when treating patients with chronic pain, which recur in part due to improper education on contributors to pain and misalignment in patient and provider goals and expectations for treatment. The current paper reviews common challenges and misconceptions in the setting of chronic pain management as well as strategies for effective patient education and goal setting related to these issues. The paper also outlines key aspects of provider burnout, its relevance for medical providers in chronic pain management, and recommendations for burnout prevention in navigating issues of patient education and treatment planning.

Mediating Effect of Pain Sensitization on the Paradoxical Relation of Taking Opioids to Pain Severity in Knee Osteoarthritis: The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study

OBJECTIVE

One of the less understood adverse effects while taking opioids is the paradoxical increase in pain, known as opioid-induced hyperalgesia (OIH). We sought to determine whether pain sensitization mediates the relation of taking an opioid to pain severity in people with knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

We included participants in a National Institutes of Health-funded cohort study of people with or at risk of knee OA. Participants were categorized into opioid and nonopioid analgesic groups at baseline. Western Ontario McMaster Universities OA Index (WOMAC) pain two years later was assessed as the outcome. We used causal mediation analysis to assess the mediating role of pain sensitization, quantified by changes in pressure pain threshold (PPT) at the wrist and patella over two years, on the effect of taking an opioid on WOMAC pain two years later.

RESULTS

We included 296 participants who took opioids and 1,070 participants who took nonopioid analgesics. Compared with taking nonopioid analgesics, taking opioids was associated with greater pain two years later. This relation was mediated by 0.05- and 0.08-unit changes in wrist PPT (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.01-0.10) and patellar PPT (95% CI 0.02-0.14), respectively. When we assessed any worsening in WOMAC pain score over two years, taking opioids, compared with taking nonopioid analgesics, had 2% and 5% higher odds of experiencing any worsening pain mediated by changes in wrist PPT (95% CI 0.99-1.04) and patellar PPT (95% CI 1.01-1.09), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Pain sensitization had small mediating effects on the paradoxical phenomenon of OIH, suggesting that pain sensitization may not play a major role and/or that PPT is an inadequate tool to assess OIH.

Pain-phenotyping in osteoarthritis: Current concepts, evidence, and considerations towards a comprehensive framework for assessment and treatment

Objectives

Pain as central symptom of osteoarthritis (OA) needs to be addressed as part of successful treatment. The assessment of pain as feature of disease or outcome in clinical practice and drug development remains a challenge due to its multidimensionality and the plethora of confounders. This article aims at providing insights into our understanding of OA pain-phenotypes and suggests a framework for systematic and comprehensive assessments.

Methods

This narrative review is based on a search of current literature for various combinations of the search terms "pain-phenotype" and "knee OA" and summarizes current knowledge on OA pain-phenotypes, putting OA pain and its assessment into perspective of current research efforts.

Results

Pain is a complex phenomenon, not necessarily associated with tissue damage. Various pain-phenotypes have been described in knee OA. Among those, a phenotype with high pain levels not necessarily matching structural changes and a phenotype with low pain levels and impact are relatively consistent. Further subgroups can be differentiated based on patient reported outcome measures, assessments of comorbidities, anxiety and depression, sleep, activity and objective measures such as quantitative sensory testing.

Conclusions

The complexity of both OA as disease and pain in OA prompt the definition of a set of variables that facilitate assessments comparable across studies to maximize our understanding of pain, as central concern for the patient.

Self-regulation training for people with knee osteoarthritis: a protocol for a feasibility randomised control trial (MiNT trial)

Introduction

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic secondary musculoskeletal pain condition resulting in disability, reduced quality of life, and high societal costs. Pain associated with knee OA is linked to increased sensitivity in sensory, cognitive, and emotional areas of the brain. Self-regulation training targeting brain functioning related to pain experience could reduce pain and its associated disability. Self-regulatory treatments such as mindfulness meditation (MM) and electroencephalography neurofeedback (EEG-NF) training improve clinical outcomes in people with knee OA. A feasibility clinical trial can address factors that could inform the design of the full trial investigating the effectiveness of self-regulation training programmes in people with knee OA. This clinical trial will evaluate the feasibility, safety, acceptability, experience and perceptions of the self-regulatory training programmes.

Methods

The proposed feasibility trial is based on a double-blind (outcome assessor and investigators), three-arm (MM usual care, EEG-NF + usual care and usual care control group) randomised controlled parallel clinical trial. Participants with knee OA will be recruited from the community and healthcare practices. A research assistant (RA) will administer both interventions (20-min sessions, four sessions each week, and 12 sessions over three successive weeks). Feasibility measures (participant recruitment rate, adherence to interventions, retention rate), safety, and acceptability of interventions will be recorded. An RA blinded to the group allocation will record secondary outcomes at baseline, immediately post-intervention (4th week), and 3 months post-intervention. The quantitative outcome measures will be descriptively summarised. The qualitative interviews will evaluate the participants' experiences and perceptions regarding various aspects of the trial, which includes identifying the barriers and facilitators in participating in the trial, evaluating their opinions on the research procedures, such as their preferences for the study site, and determining the level of acceptability of the interventions as potential clinical treatments for managing knee OA. Māori participant perceptions of how assessment and training practices could be acceptable to a Māori worldview will be explored. The interviews will be audio-recorded and analysed thematically.

Discussion

This trial will provide evidence on the feasibility, safety, and acceptability of the MM and EEG-NF training in people with knee OA, thus informing the design of a full randomised clinical control trial.

Preoperative Temporal Summation is Associated with Impaired Recovery Following Hip Arthroscopy for Femoroacetabular Impingement Syndrome

Objectives

Chronic pain is a risk factor for worse outcomes following hip arthroscopy for femoroacetabular impingement syndrome (FAIS). Pain sensitization involves the central nervous system perceiving previously innocuous stimuli as noxious. Temporal summation can provide a surrogate measure of sensitization, and may be a clinical tool to identify patients at a higher risk for poor post-hip arthroscopy outcomes. Therefore, we aimed to 1) identify the prevalence of temporal summation in patients undergoing hip arthroscopy for FAIS, 2) determine if there a difference in postoperative improvement between individuals with and without preoperative temporal summation, and 3) examine preoperative predictors of poor postoperative recovery.

Methods

51 participants undergoing hip arthroscopy for FAIS underwent preoperative temporal summation testing. Three months postoperatively, 38 participants completed the 12-item International Hip Outcome Tool (iHOT-12) and reported their overall symptomatic improvement (0% to 100%, with 100% being normal). Participants were categorized on the presence ( Numeric Pain Rating Scale; NPRS   2) or absence (  NPRS < 2) of temporal summation. A Mann-Whitney U test was used to determine the difference in improvement between groups (temporal summation: temporal summation (TS), no temporal summation (NTS), and a linear regression was used to explore predictors of improvement.

Results

23 (45.1%) of 51 participants displayed preoperative temporal summation. In participants with postoperative data, those with temporal summation reported less improvement than those without (TS: 62.8%   29.7%; NTS: 82.7%   13.9%; p = 0.01; Cohen's d = -0.86). Temporal summation (Beta = -0.48; 95% CI -36.6, -8.7) and mental health disorder (Beta = -0.30; 95% CI -28.0, -0.48) predicted 28.1% of the variance in postoperative improvement (p = 0.002).

Conclusion

The presence of preoperative temporal summation is common and related to worse postoperative recovery after hip arthroscopy for FAIS.

Modifiable physical and behavioural factors associated with widespread pain in older adults with radiographic evidence of knee osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To identify modifiable physical and behavioural factors associated with widespread pain (WSP) in older adults with radiographic evidence of knee osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

Cross-sectional initial visit data of participants with radiographic knee OA (Kellgren-Lawrence grade of ≥2) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative Study were analysed. WSP was defined as pain on both sides of the body, above and below the waist, and in the axial skeleton. Time (hrs/d) spent participating in sitting and moderate-strenuous physical activities were calculated from the Physical Activity Scale for the Elderly questionnaire. Physical function was quantified using gait speed and the chair stand test. Restless sleep was assessed using an item on the CES-D Scale. Logistic regression models were constructed to examine the strength of the associations between primary exposures and WSP in unadjusted and adjusted analyses.

RESULTS

Among the 2637 participants (mean age 62.6 years, 58.6% female), 16.8% met the criteria for WSP. All primary measures of interest were related to WSP in unadjusted analyses. In adjusted multivariable analysis, slow gait speed (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.43; 95% CI 1.01, 2.02), lower chair stand rate (aOR 0.98; 95% CI 0.97-0.99), and restless sleep (aOR 1.61; 95% CI 1.25-2.08) maintained significant associations with WSP.

CONCLUSION

Poor sleep behaviours and low physical function capacity are associated with WSP in adults with radiographic knee OA. These findings highlight the importance of assessing sleep, physical function, and pain distribution in this population. Interventions to improve physical function and sleep behaviours should be investigated as potential strategies to mitigate WSP.

Association of mechanical temporal summation of pain with muscle co-contraction during walking in people with knee osteoarthritis

BACKGROUND

People with knee osteoarthritis walk with excessive muscle co-contraction that can accelerate disease progression. Central pain sensitization is common in people with knee osteoarthritis and may be related to walking patterns. The objective of this study was to examine the relation of central pain sensitization with muscle co-contraction during walking in people with knee osteoarthritis.

METHODS

This study reports secondary analysis from baseline data of two clinical trials (n = 90 participants with knee osteoarthritis). The presence of central pain sensitization was measured by mechanical temporal summation at the patella and the wrist. Quadriceps and hamstrings activation was assessed using surface electromyography during walking at self-selected and fast paces. Muscle co-contraction indices for vastus medialis-medial hamstrings and vastus lateralis-lateral hamstrings muscle pairs were calculated during stance phases. Co-contraction outcomes were compared between people with and without mechanical temporal summation at each site, adjusting for age, sex, and body mass index.

FINDINGS

People with mechanical temporal summation at the knee had greater vastus lateralis-lateral hamstrings co-contraction while walking at a fast pace (P = 0.04). None of the other differences was statistically significant, but the overall trends and effect sizes indicated greater co-contraction in people with temporal summation at the knee irrespective of gait phase, walking speed, or muscle pairs.

INTERPRETATION

Central pain sensitization, assessed as mechanical temporal summation at the knee, is related to greater knee muscle co-contraction during fast walking in people with knee osteoarthritis. Thus, mitigating central sensitization may be an interventional target to reduce muscle co-contraction for people with knee osteoarthritis.

Pain Informed Movement for people with knee osteoarthritis: Protocol for a pilot randomized controlled trial

Objective

Conservative pain management strategies for knee osteoarthritis (KOA) have limited effectiveness and do not employ a pain-mechanism informed approach. Pain Informed Movement is a novel intervention combining mind-body techniques with neuromuscular exercise and pain neuroscience education (PNE), aimed at improving endogenous pain modulation. While the feasibility and acceptability of this program has been previously established, it now requires further evaluation in comparison to standard KOA care.

Design

This protocol describes the design of a pilot two-arm randomized controlled trial (RCT) with an embedded qualitative component. The primary outcome is complete follow-up rate. With an allocation ratio of 1:1, 66 participants (33/arm) (age ≥40 years, KOA diagnosis or meeting KOA NICE criteria, and pain intensity ≥3/10), will be randomly allocated to two groups that will both receive 8 weeks of twice weekly in-person exercise sessions. Those randomized to Pain Informed Movement will receive PNE and mind-body technique instruction provided initially as videos and integrated into exercise sessions. The control arm will receive neuromuscular exercise and standard OA education. Assessment will include clinical questionnaires, physical and psychophysical tests, and blood draws at baseline and program completion. Secondary outcomes are program acceptability, burden, rate of recruitment, compliance and adherence, and adverse events. Participants will be invited to an online focus group at program completion.

Conclusion

The results of this pilot RCT will serve as the basis for a larger multi-site RCT aimed at determining the program's effectiveness with the primary outcome of assessing the mediating effects of descending modulation on changes in pain.

Impact of central sensitization on pain, disability and psychological distress in patients with knee osteoarthritis and chronic low back pain

BACKGROUND

Central sensitization (CS) is becoming increasingly recognized as a significant factor in many chronic pain conditions, including knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and chronic low back pain (CLBP). Yet it presently remains unclear how strong is the involvement of CS in KOA and CLBP and which factors are involved in CS in these two chronic disabling diseases.

METHODS

This is a cross-sectional study in which included a total of 178 patients with KOA and 118 patients with CLBP. Inclusion criteria for eligible participants for the KOA group were a confirmed diagnosis of KOA according to the American College of Rheumatology criteria, and for the CLBP group a chronic low back pain for more than 3 months. Subjects were excluded if they presented with a diagnosed psychiatric disorder or if they lacked the capacity to provide informed consent, understand study questionnaires or perform physical performance tests. In each group, were assessed; CS-related symptoms using the Central Sentization Inventory (CSI); demographic and clinical characteristics such as disease duration, pain intensity on a visual analog scale, self-reported function using the Lequesne index for KOA patients and the Oswestry Disability index for CLBP patients, and physical performance with the 6 minutes' walk test; as well as psychosocial risk factors using the Patient Health Questionnaire for depression (PHQ-9), the Generalized Anxiety Disorder (GAD-7) and the Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS).

RESULTS

CSI scores significantly correlated with pain intensity and disability in KOA and CLBP patients, and were highly correlated with self-reported symptoms of depression, anxiety and pain catastrophizing. Depression significantly predicted the CSI score in both groups.

CONCLUSION

These findings provide further evidence for the impact of CS on pain, function and physical performance in KOA and CLBP patients. Psychosocial symptoms such as pain catastrophizing, anxiety and depression should also be considered as they are also associated with CS.

Associations between pain sensitization and measures of physical function in people with hand osteoarthritis: Results from the Nor-Hand study

OBJECTIVE

To examine whether pain sensitization is associated with hand and lower extremity function in people with hand osteoarthritis (OA) in the Nor-Hand study.

DESIGN

Pain sensitization was assessed by pressure pain thresholds (PPTs) and temporal summation (TS). Hand function was assessed by Australian/Canadian Osteoarthritis Hand Index (AUSCAN) (range: 0-36), grip strength and Moberg pick-up test, and lower extremity function was assessed by Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (range: 0-68), 30-s chair stand test, and 40-m walk test. We examined whether sex-standardized PPT and TS values were cross-sectionally associated with measures of physical function using linear regression analyses. Beta coefficients were presented per sex-specific standard deviation of PPT and TS. The mediating effect of pain was examined by causal-inference based mediation analysis.

RESULTS

In 206 participants, higher PPTs at/near the hand, indicative of less peripheral and/or central pain sensitization, were associated with greater grip strength and better self-reported hand function (beta for PPT at finger joint on AUSCAN function: -1.41, 95% CI -2.40, -0.42). Higher PPTs at/near the hand, near the knee and at trapezius were associated with lower extremity function, although not statistically significant for all outcomes. Self-reported pain severity mediated the effect of PPT on self-reported function. TS was not associated with hand or lower extremity function.

CONCLUSION

Peripheral sensitization, and possibly central sensitization, was associated with impaired function. Effects of PPTs on self-reported function were mediated by self-reported pain, whereas there might be a direct effect of sensitization or effects through other mediators on performance-based function.

Negative correlation between central sensitization and forgotten joint score-12 after total hip arthroplasty

BACKGROUND

Central sensitization is a condition in which even mild stimuli cause pain due to increased neuronal reactivity in the dorsal horn of the spinal cord. It is one of factors of chronic pain in patients with osteoarthritis. However, it is unknown whether central sensitization relates to clinical outcomes after total hip arthroplasty (THA). This study aimed to clarify whether preoperative central sensitization relates to the forgotten joint score-12 (FJS) after THA. Moreover, the secondary outcome was to identify which items in the FJS were most related by central sensitization.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included 263 hips (263 patients; 51 males and 212 females) that underwent primary THA in our institute and were available for evaluation one year postoperatively. The average patient age was 64.8 ± 11.9 years. The Central Sensitization Inventory (CSI) part A, which is a patient-reported outcome, was used to measure preoperative central sensitization. The correlation between preoperative CSI and postoperative FJS and the association between postoperative FJS and preoperative CSI severity were determined. Moreover, difference in each FJS item was evaluated by CSI severity.

RESULTS

Twenty-six patients (9.9%) had central sensitization preoperatively. Preoperative CSI scores and postoperative FJS were negatively correlated (r =  - 0.331, p < 0.0001). The postoperative FJS was significantly lower in patients with moderate or higher preoperative CSI severity than that in patients with subclinical or mild preoperative CSI severity (p < 0.05). FJS items with movement of daily life were significantly worse in the moderate or higher CSI severity compared with subclinical group (p < 0.05 or p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

Central sensitization prior to THA negatively related to postoperative FJS. In particular, the relationship of central sensitization was found to be significant in FJS items with movement, which would lead to lower patient satisfaction after THA. To get better postoperative outcomes in patients with preoperative central sensitization, improving central sensitization would be important.

The relationship between inadequate response to physical therapy and central sensitization in patients with knee osteoarthritis: A prospective cohort study

Objectives: This study aims to investigate the relationship between physical therapy response and the presence of central sensitization (CS) in patients with painful knee osteoarthritis (OA). Patients and methods: Between May 2019 and March 2020, a total of 84 patients with knee OA (12 males, 72 females; mean age: 60.7±7.7 years; range 50 to 74 years) and 30 age and sex-matched controls (6 males, 24 females; mean age: 59.2±8.9 years; range 50 to 75 years) were included in this study. Knee pain and functional status were evaluated by Visual Analog Scale (VAS) and Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC). Structural damage was assessed by knee radiography. The Central Sensitization Inventory (CSI), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Insomnia Severity Index (ISI), Pain Catastrophizing Scale (PCS), and PainDETECT Questionnaire (PDQ) were applied at baseline. Pain pressure thresholds (PPTs) of the patients were measured and compared with the control group. All patients underwent a total of 15 sessions of physical therapy program for five sessions/weekly. After treatment, the patients were divided into two groups as responders and non-responders according to the Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI) criteria. Results: The CSI score of the patients in non-responder group was significantly higher compared to the responder group (p=0.004). Using a cut-off value of ≥40, the proportion of patients with CSI scores of ≥40 was significantly lower in the responder group compared to non-responder group (p=0.021). The PPT measurement values were significantly lower in the non-responder group compared to the responder and control groups (p <0.01). There was a significant difference in the frequency of hyperalgesia between the groups (p=0.021). Central sensitization and depression were the most significant predictors of non-response to physical therapy (p=0.045 and p=0.024, respectively). Conclusion: Our study results suggest the presence of CS and depression may result in an inadequate response to physical therapy in patients with knee OA. Clinicians should consider the findings of CS and depression in treatment planning.

Predicting chronic postsurgical pain: current evidence and a novel program to develop predictive biomarker signatures

ABSTRACT

Chronic pain affects more than 50 million Americans. Treatments remain inadequate, in large part, because the pathophysiological mechanisms underlying the development of chronic pain remain poorly understood. Pain biomarkers could potentially identify and measure biological pathways and phenotypical expressions that are altered by pain, provide insight into biological treatment targets, and help identify at-risk patients who might benefit from early intervention. Biomarkers are used to diagnose, track, and treat other diseases, but no validated clinical biomarkers exist yet for chronic pain. To address this problem, the National Institutes of Health Common Fund launched the Acute to Chronic Pain Signatures (A2CPS) program to evaluate candidate biomarkers, develop them into biosignatures, and discover novel biomarkers for chronification of pain after surgery. This article discusses candidate biomarkers identified by A2CPS for evaluation, including genomic, proteomic, metabolomic, lipidomic, neuroimaging, psychophysical, psychological, and behavioral measures. Acute to Chronic Pain Signatures will provide the most comprehensive investigation of biomarkers for the transition to chronic postsurgical pain undertaken to date. Data and analytic resources generatedby A2CPS will be shared with the scientific community in hopes that other investigators will extract valuable insights beyond A2CPS's initial findings. This article will review the identified biomarkers and rationale for including them, the current state of the science on biomarkers of the transition from acute to chronic pain, gaps in the literature, and how A2CPS will address these gaps.

Comorbidities in people with hand OA and their associations with pain severity and sensitization: Data from the longitudinal Nor-Hand study

Objective

To determine whether the comorbidity burden and co-existing comorbidities are cross-sectionally and/or longitudinally associated with pain and pain sensitization in a cohort study of people with hand OA.

Design

We examined whether comorbidity burden and individual comorbidities based on the self-administered Comorbidity Index (range: 0-42) at baseline were associated with pain outcomes at baseline and 3 years follow-up. Pain outcomes included hand and overall bodily pain (range: 0-10) as well as pressure pain thresholds at the tibialis anterior muscle (kg/cm²) and temporal summation (distal radioulnar joint) as measures of central pain sensitization. We performed linear regression analyses adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, physical exercise and education.

Results

We included 300 and 196 participants in cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, respectively. Using baseline data, the burden of comorbidities was associated with greater pain in hands (beta ​= ​0.61, 95% CI 0.37, 0.85) and overall body (beta ​= ​0.60, 95% CI 0.37, 0.87). Similar strength of associations was found between comorbidity burden (baseline) and follow-up pain. Among the individual comorbidities, back pain and depression were associated with nearly one unit higher pain score in hands and overall body at both baseline and follow-up. Only back pain was related to lower pressure pain thresholds at follow up (beta ​= ​-0.24, 95% CI -0.50, -0.001).

Conclusion

People with hand OA and greater comorbidity burden, co-existing back pain or depression reported greater pain severity than their counterparts, also 3 years later. These results acknowledge the relevance of accounting for comorbidities in the pain experience in people with hand OA.

Relationship between Motor Corticospinal System, Endogenous Pain Modulation Mechanisms and Clinical Symptoms in Patients with Knee Osteoarthritis: New Perspectives on an Old Disease

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a painful condition characterized by joint and bone changes. A growing number of studies suggest that these changes only partially explain the pain experienced by individuals with OA. The purpose of the current study was to evaluate if corticospinal and bulbospinal projection measurements were interrelated in patients with knee OA, and to explore the relationship between these neurophysiological measures and temporal summation (excitatory mechanisms of pain) on one hand, and clinical symptoms on the other. Twenty-eight (28) patients with knee OA were recruited. Corticospinal projections were measured using transcranial magnetic stimulation, while bulbospinal projections were evaluated with a conditioned pain modulation (CPM) protocol using a counter-irritation paradigm. Validated questionnaires were used to document clinical and psychological manifestations. All participants suffered from moderate to severe pain. There was a positive association between corticospinal excitability and the effectiveness of the CPM (rs = 0.67, p = 0.01, n = 13). There was also a positive relationship between pain intensity and corticospinal excitability (rs = 0.45, p = 0.03, n = 23), and between pain intensity and temporal summation (rs = 0.58, p = 0.01, n = 18). The results of this study highlight some of the central nervous system changes that could be involved in knee OA and underline the importance of interindividual variability to better understand and explain the semiology and pathophysiology of knee OA.

Association between chronic pain and risk of incident dementia: findings from a prospective cohort

BACKGROUND

Chronic musculoskeletal pain has been linked to dementia; however, chronic pain typically occurs in multiple sites; therefore, this study was to investigate whether greater number of chronic pain sites is associated with a higher risk of dementia and its subtypes.

METHODS

Participants (N = 356,383) in the UK Biobank who were dementia-free at baseline were included. Pain in the hip, knee, back, and neck/shoulder or 'all over the body' and its duration were assessed. Participants were categorised into six groups: no chronic pain; chronic pain in 1, 2, 3, and 4 sites, and 'all over the body'. All-cause dementia and its subtypes were ascertained using hospital inpatient and death registry records. Cox regression was used to investigate the associations between the number of chronic pain sites and the incidence of all-cause dementia and its subtypes.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 13 years, 4959 participants developed dementia. After adjustment for sociodemographic, lifestyle, comorbidities, pain medications, psychological problems, and sleep factors, greater number of chronic pain sites was associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.08 per 1 site increase, 95% CI 1.05-1.11) and Alzheimer's disease (AD) (HR = 1.09 per 1-site increase, 95% CI 1.04-1.13) in a dose-response manner but not vascular and frontotemporal dementia. No significant association was found between the number of chronic pain sites and the risk of incident all-cause dementia among a subsample that underwent a fluid intelligence test.

CONCLUSIONS

Greater number of chronic pain sites was associated with an increased risk of incident all-cause dementia and AD, suggesting that chronic pain in multiple sites may contribute to individuals' dementia risk and is an underestimated risk factor for dementia.

Multisite Pain and Myocardial Infarction and Stroke: A Prospective Cohort and Mendelian Randomization Analysis

Background

Whether individuals with multisite pain had a higher risk of cardiovascular diseases is unclear.

Objectives

The purpose of this study was to investigate the longitudinal association of pain in multiple sites with incident myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke, and to disentangle the genetic causality of these associations.

Methods

A total of 281,760 participants (mean age: 56.3 years) who had no MI and stroke at baseline from UK Biobank study were included. Data on pain in the hip, knee, back and neck/shoulder, or 'all over the body' were collected. Chronic pain was defined if pain had lasted for ≥3 months. MI and stroke events were determined from hospital admission records and death registries. Cox regression and 2-sample Mendelian randomization were used for the analyses.

Results

During a median follow-up of 11.9 years, 4,854 had a first MI and 2,827 had a first stroke. In multivariable analyses, greater number of painful sites was dose-responsively associated with higher risks of incident MI and stroke, with a higher risk among participants with pain 'all over the body' (MI: HR: 1.65, 95% CI: 1.32-2.07; stroke: HR: 1.44, 95% CI: 1.13-1.85). Similar trends and associations were observed in those with chronic pain. Two-sample Mendelian randomization results supported a causal effect of multisite pain on MI risk, but not vice versa. No causal association was found between multisite pain and stroke risk.

Conclusions

Pain in multiple sites causally increases the risk of MI, highlighting that pain should be considered when assessing individuals' MI risk, and pain treatment and management may prevent MI risk.

Post-surgical contributors to persistent knee pain following knee replacement: The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST)

Objective

Pain persistence following knee replacement (KR) occurs in ∼20-30% of patients. Although several studies have identified preoperative risk factors for persistent post-KR pain, few have focused on post-KR contributing factors. We sought to determine whether altered nociceptive signaling and other peripheral nociceptive drivers present post-operatively contribute to post-KR pain.

Design

We included participants from the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study who were evaluated ∼12 months after KR. We evaluated the relation of measures of pain sensitivity [pressure pain threshold (PPT), temporal summation (TS), and conditioned pain modulation (CPM)] and the number of painful body sites to post-KR WOMAC knee pain, and of the number of painful sites to altered nociceptive signaling using linear or logistic regression models, as appropriate.

Results

171 participants (mean age 69 years, 62% female) were included. TS was associated with worse WOMAC pain post-KR (β ​= ​0.77 95% CI:0.19-1.35) and reduced odds of achieving patient acceptable symptom state (aOR ​= ​0.54 95%CI:0.34-0.88). Inefficient CPM was also associated with worse WOMAC pain post-KR (β ​= ​1.43 95% CI:0.15-2.71). In contrast, PPT was not associated with these outcomes. The number of painful body sites present post-KR was associated with TS (β ​= ​0.05, 95% CI:0.01, 0.05).

Conclusions

Post-KR presence of central sensitization and inefficient descending pain modulation was associated with post-KR pain. We also noted that presence of other painful body sites contributes to altered nociceptive signaling, and this may thus also contribute to the experience of knee pain post-KR. Our findings provide novel insights into central pain mechanisms and other peripheral pain sources contributing to post-KR persistent knee pain.

Predictors of persistent post-surgical pain intensity and interference at 1 year after breast cancer surgery: assessing central sensitization, central sensitivity symptoms, and psychological factors

BACKGROUND

Persistent post-surgical pain (PPSP) is associated with upper limb dysfunction and decreased quality of life and causes long-term suffering for breast cancer survivors after surgery. However, the predictors of PPSP remain unclear. The purpose of this study was to examine predictors of PPSP intensity and interference at 1 year postoperatively, focusing on treatment-related factors, pre- and postoperative central sensitization (CS), CS-related symptoms (e.g., muscle stiffness, fatigue, sleep disturbances), and psychological factors.

METHODS

Eighty-eight women with planned unilateral breast cancer surgery were included in this longitudinal study. CS, CS-related symptoms, and psychological factors were assessed preoperatively, 1 month postoperatively, and 1 year postoperatively. Analysis of covariance was used to compare the groups with and without PPSP, accounting for treatment-related factors. Multiple regression analysis was performed to identify predictors of PPSP intensity and interference at 1 year postoperatively.

RESULTS

Even after adjusting for covariates, preoperative and 1-month postoperative Central Sensitization Inventory scores in the PPSP group were significantly higher than scores in the group without PPSP. Multiple regression analysis showed that axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) and 1-month postoperative CS-related symptoms were independent predictors of PPSP intensity and interference at 1 year postoperatively (p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

We found that ALND and 1-month postoperative CS-related symptoms were predictors of PPSP intensity and interference at 1 year postoperatively.

Targeting macrophage polarization as a promising therapeutic strategy for the treatment of osteoarthritis

Osteoarthritis (OA) is a chronic osteoarthropathy characterized by the progressive degeneration of articular cartilage and synovial inflammation. Early OA clinical treatments involve intra-articular injection of glucocorticoids, oral acetaminophen and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs), which are used for anti-inflammation and pain relief. However, long-term use of these agents will lead to inevitable side effects, even aggravate cartilage loss. At present, there are no disease-modifying OA drugs (DMOADs) yet approved by regulatory agencies. Polarization regulation of synovial macrophages is a new target for OA treatment. Inhibiting M1 polarization and promoting M2 polarization of synovial macrophages can alleviate synovial inflammation, relieve joint pain and inhibit articular cartilage degradation, which is a promising strategy for OA treatment. In this study, we describe the molecular mechanisms of macrophage polarization and its key role in the development of OA. Subsequently, we summarize the latest progress of strategies for OA treatment through macrophage reprogramming, including small molecule compounds (conventional western medicine and synthetic compounds, monomer compounds of traditional Chinese medicine), biomacromolecules, metal/metal oxides, cells, and cell derivatives, and interprets the molecular mechanisms, hoping to provide some information for DMOADs development.

Activity-related pain predicts pain and functional outcomes in people with knee osteoarthritis: A longitudinal study

Knee Osteoarthritis (OA) is a prevalent musculoskeletal condition, commonly resulting in pain and disability. However, pain and disability in this population are poorly related with the degree of structural joint damage. Underlying pain mechanisms, including activity-related pain and sensitization assessed via Quantitative Sensory Testing (QST), may better predict pain and functional outcomes of those with knee OA. Therefore, the aim of this study was to explore whether activity-related pain and sensitization assessed via QST predict future pain, function, fatigue, physical performance and quality of life outcomes in those living in the community with knee OA. Eighty-six participants with knee OA were recruited in Dunedin, New Zealand. Those eligible to participate underwent baseline testing including QST as well as measures of activity-related pain including Movement-evoked Pain (MEP) and Sensitivity to Physical Activity (SPA). Outcome measures exploring pain, function, fatigue and quality of life outcomes were collected at baseline, and two follow-up periods (two and nine weeks). Univariable linear regression models were developed followed by multivariable linear regression models for each prognostic marker adjusting for age, gender, BMI, OA duration, baseline pain intensity and socioeconomic status. Activity-related measures of pain, including MEP and SPA, demonstrated predictive associations with pain and functional outcomes prospectively in those with knee OA. Therefore, those demonstrating activity-related pain are at future risk of greater pain, disability and reduced quality of life. Larger, externally validated longitudinal studies are required which include individuals with more severe knee OA.

Automated machine learning-based prediction of the progression of knee pain, functional decline, and incidence of knee osteoarthritis in individuals at high risk of knee osteoarthritis: Data from the osteoarthritis initiative study

Objective

This study aimed to examine the performance of machine learning models in predicting the progression of knee pain, functional decline, and incidence of knee osteoarthritis (OA) in high-risk individuals, with automated machine learning (AutoML) being used to automate the prediction process.

Design

There were four stages in the process of our AutoML-integrated prediction. Stage 1-Data preparation: The data of 3200 eligible individuals in the Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) study who were considered at high risk of knee OA at the baseline visit were extracted and used. Specifically, 1094 variables from the OAI study were used to predict the changes in knee pain, physical function, and incidence of knee OA (i.e. the first occurrence of frequent knee symptoms and definite tibial osteophytes (Kellgren and Lawrence grade ≥2)) over a 9-year period. Stage 2-Model training: The AutoML approach was used to automatically train nine widely used machine learning (ML) models. Stage 3-Model testing: The AutoML approach was used to automatically test the performance of the ML models. Stage 4-Selection of important input variables: The AutoML approach automated the process of computing the importance scores of all input variables and identifying the most important ones, using the technique of permutation feature importance.

Results

Using the AutoML approach, the weighted ensemble model and the CatBoost model showed the best performance among all nine ML models. For the prediction of each outcome in each year, the five most important input variables were identified, most of which were obtained from self-reported questionnaire surveys and radiographic imaging reports.

Conclusion

The AutoML approach has shown potential in automating the process of using ML models to predict long-term changes in knee OA-related outcomes. Its use could support the deployment of ML solutions, facilitating the provision of personalized interventions to prevent the deterioration of knee health and incident knee OA.

Spinal pain processing in arthritis: Neuron and glia (inter)actions

Diseases of joints are among the most frequent causes of chronic pain. In the course of joint diseases, the peripheral and the central nociceptive system develop persistent hyperexcitability (peripheral and central sensitization). This review addresses the mechanisms of spinal sensitization evoked by arthritis. Electrophysiological recordings in anesthetized rats from spinal cord neurons with knee input in a model of acute arthritis showed that acute spinal sensitization is dependent on spinal glutamate receptors (AMPA, NMDA, and metabotropic glutamate receptors) and supported by spinal actions of neuropeptides such as neurokinins and CGRP, by prostaglandins, and by proinflammatory cytokines. In several chronic arthritis models (including immune-mediated arthritis and osteoarthritis) spinal glia activation was observed to be coincident with behavioral mechanical hyperalgesia which was attenuated or prevented by intrathecal application of minocycline, fluorocitrate, and pentoxyfylline. Some studies identified specific pathways of micro- and astroglia activation such as the purinoceptor- (P2 X7 -) cathepsin S/CX3 CR1 pathway, the mobility group box-1 protein (HMGB1), and toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4) activation, spinal NFκB/p65 activation and others. The spinal cytokines TNF, interleukin-6, interleukin-1β, and others form a functional spinal network characterized by an interaction between neurons and glia cells which is required for spinal sensitization. Neutralization of spinal cytokines by intrathecal interventions attenuates mechanical hyperalgesia. This effect may in part result from local suppression of spinal sensitization and in part from efferent effects which attenuate the inflammatory process in the joint. In summary, arthritis evokes significant spinal hyperexcitability which is likely to contribute to the phenotype of arthritis pain in patients.

Predictive Value of Pain Sensitization Associated with Response to Exercise Therapy in Patients with Knee Osteoarthritis: A Prospective Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Knee osteoarthritis (KOA) is a degenerative disease with inflammation, becoming persistent as it progresses, resulting in reduced quality of life. Exercise is the recommended treatment for KOA; however, the extent of pain reduction with exercise is heterogeneous and the prognostic implications of baseline factors in patients undergoing exercise are still unknown. This study examined the association between the response to exercise therapy and clinical outcomes, radiologic severity, and pain sensitization, and investigated the optimal predictive value for the effectiveness of exercise.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Demographics, radiologic severity, pressure pain threshold (PPT), and temporal summation of pain (TSP) at the knee, tibia, and forearm were assessed at baseline. The pain numeric rating scale (NRS) was assessed before and after 12 weeks of exercise. Patients were divided into responder/non-responder groups according to recommended criteria: responder, ≥30% reduction in pain; non-responder, <30% reduction in pain, and each variable was compared between the groups. The area under the curve (AUC) and cutoff points were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis.

RESULTS

Sixty-five patients were categorized as responders and 26 as non-responders. In the non-responder group, baseline NRS (P<0.01), pain duration (P<0.01), and TSP at the knee (P<0.001) and tibia (P<0.05) were significantly higher, and PPT at the knee (P<0.001), tibia (P<0.001), and forearm (P<0.001) were significantly lower, than those in the responder group; however, no significant differences between groups were found in other demographics and radiologic severity. The variables that showed moderate or better predictive ability (AUC≥0.7) were PPT at the knee (cutoff points: 241.5 kPa), tibia (307.5 kPa), forearm (318.5 kPa), and TSP at the knee (15.5 mm).

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that pain sensitization is associated with the response to exercise therapy. Furthermore, we provide clinically predictive values for PPT and TSP in predicting the outcome to exercise in KOA.

Preoperative Predictors of Complex Regional Pain Syndrome Outcomes in the 6 Months Following Total Knee Arthroplasty

This prospective observational study evaluated preoperative predictors of complex regional pain syndrome (CRPS) outcomes in the 6 months following total knee arthroplasty (TKA). Participants were n = 110 osteoarthritis patients (64.5% female) undergoing unilateral TKA with no prior CRPS history. Domains of negative affect (depression, anxiety, catastrophizing), pain (intensity, widespread pain, temporal summation of pain [TSP]), pain interference, sleep disturbance, and pro-inflammatory status (tumor necrosis factor-alpha [TNF-a]) were assessed preoperatively. CRPS outcomes at 6-week and 6-month follow-up included the continuous CRPS Severity Score (CSS) and dichotomous CRPS diagnoses (2012 IASP criteria). At 6 months, 12.7% of participants met CRPS criteria, exhibiting a "warm CRPS" phenotype. Six-week CSS scores were predicted by greater preoperative depression, anxiety, catastrophizing, TSP, pain intensity, sleep disturbance, and TNF-a (P's < .05). Provisional CRPS diagnosis at 6 weeks was predicted by higher preoperative TSP, sleep disturbance, and TNF-a (P's < .05). CSS scores at 6 months were predicted by more widespread and intense preoperative pain, and higher preoperative TSP, pain interference, and TNF-a (P's < .01). CRPS diagnosis at 6 months was predicted only by more widespread and intense pain preoperatively (P's < .05). Risk for CRPS following TKA appears to involve preoperative central sensitization and inflammatory mechanisms. Preoperative negative affect is unlikely to directly influence long-term CRPS risk. PERSPECTIVE: This article identifies preoperative predictors of CRPS features at 6 months following total knee arthroplasty, including more widespread pain and higher pain intensity, temporal summation of pain, pain interference, and tumor necrosis factor-alpha levels. Findings suggest the importance of central sensitization and inflammatory mechanisms in CRPS risk following tissue trauma.

Correlation of Fibromyalgia Survey Questionnaire and Quantitative Sensory Testing Among Patients With Active Rheumatoid Arthritis

OBJECTIVE

Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) commonly demonstrate disordered pain processing associated with high pain sensitization. Pain sensitization is often assessed using quantitative sensory testing (QST), which is burdensome to patients. The self-administered Fibromyalgia Survey Questionnaire (FSQ) has been proposed as a low-burden, surrogate measure of central pain sensitization. We examined the correlation between FSQ and QST in patients with active RA.

METHODS

Participants in the Central Pain in Rheumatoid Arthritis (CPIRA) cohort underwent FSQ and QST evaluation at enrollment. QST measures included pressure pain threshold (PPT) at the thumb, trapezius, wrist, and knee; temporal summation (TS) at the wrist and arm; and conditioned pain modulation (CPM). Partial Spearman correlation between FSQ and each QST measure was assessed, adjusted for demographic factors, study site, disease characteristics, and pain catastrophizing. Sensitivity analyses included (1) stratified analysis by sex and (2) evaluation of how each component of FSQ associates with the QST measures.

RESULTS

Among 285 participants with active RA, FSQ was weakly but statistically significantly correlated with PPT (r range = -0.31 to -0.21), and TS (r range = 0.13-0.15) at all sites in unadjusted analyses. After adjustment, statistically significant correlations persisted for TS at the wrist and PPT at all sites (except the thumb). Sensitivity analyses did not identify differences in association based on sex or with individual FSQ components.

CONCLUSION

FSQ and QST were correlated among participants with active RA, but the strength of association was weak. QST and FSQ are not interchangeable measures of pain sensitization.

Association of Biomarkers with Individual and Multiple Body Sites of Pain: The Johnston County Osteoarthritis Project

Introduction

Biochemical biomarkers may provide insight into musculoskeletal pain reported at individual or multiple body sites. The purpose of this study was to determine if biomarkers or pressure-pain threshold (PPT) were associated with individual or multiple sites of pain.

Methods

This cross-sectional analysis included 689 community-based participants. Self-reported symptoms (ie, pain, aching, or stiffness) were ascertained about the neck, upper back/thoracic, low back, shoulders, elbows, wrist, hands, hips, knees, ankles, and feet. Measured analytes included CXCL-6, RANTES, HA, IL-6, BDNF, OPG and NPY. A standard dolorimeter measured PPT. Logistic regression was used determine the association between biomarkers and PPT with individual and summed sites of pain.

Results

Increased IL-6 and HA were associated with knee pain (OR=1.30, 95% CI 1.03, 1.64) and (OR=1.32, 95% CI 1.01, 1.73) respectively; HA was also associated with elbow/wrist/hand pain (OR=1.60, 95% CI 1.22, 2.09). Those with increased NPY levels were less likely to have shoulder pain (OR=0.56, 95% CI 0.33, 0.93). Biomarkers HA (OR=1.50, 95% CI 1.07, 2.10), OPG (OR=1.74, 95% CI 1.00, 3.03), CXCL-6 (OR=1.75, 95% CI 1.02, 3.01) and decreased PPT (OR=3.97, 95% CI 2.22, 7.12) were associated with multiple compared to no sites of pain. Biomarker HA (OR=1.57, 95% CI 1.06, 2.32) and decreased PPT (OR=3.53, 95% CI 1.81, 6.88) were associated with multiple compared to a single site of pain.

Conclusion

Biomarkers of inflammation (HA, OPG, IL-6 and CXCL-6), pain (NPY) and PPT may help to understand the etiology of single and multiple pain sites.

Association between chronic pain with presarcopenia and central sensitization in Japanese community-dwelling older adults: A cross-sectional study

Older people with chronic pain are at higher risk of developing sarcopenia. Central sensitization (CS) has been implicated in chronic pain among community-dwelling older adults. However, a relationship between CS and chronic pain with sarcopenia has not been established. This cross-sectional study aimed to clarify the relationship between chronic pain with sarcopenia or presarcopenia and CS among community-dwelling older adults. We assessed chronic pain and sarcopenia in 104 older adults participating in community health checks. We defined sarcopenia using the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) consensus recommendations based on the following outcomes: low muscle mass, low muscle strength, and slow gait speed. Pain-related assessments included pain intensity, the Pain Catastrophizing Scale, the CS Inventory-9, the pressure pain threshold, the Tampa Scale of Kinesiophobia-11, and the EuroQol 5-dimension 5-level (EQ5D-5L). Chronic pain was defined by related symptoms within the month prior to the health check that had continued for ≥ 3 months and corresponded to a numerical rating scale score of ≥ 1 at the site of maximum pain. The prevalence of chronic pain was 43.3%. In addition, the prevalence of chronic pain with sarcopenia or presarcopenia was 29.8%. A logistic regression analysis revealed that the pressure pain threshold (odds ratio: 0.82, 95% CI: 0.95-1.02) and the EQ5D-5L (odds ratio: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.36-0.76) were significantly associated with the presence of chronic pain with sarcopenia or presarcopenia. Chronic pain with sarcopenia or presarcopenia was affected by central sensitization. Therefore, CS should be evaluated in the elderly.

Factors Associated with Intermittent, Constant, and Mixed Pain in People with Knee Osteoarthritis

Purpose: To explore factors associated with intermittent, constant, and mixed pain in people with knee osteoarthritis. Method: We conducted a secondary analysis of a cross-sectional multicentre study with adults ≥ 40 years with knee osteoarthritis. Participants completed questionnaires on personal (e.g., demographics, comorbidities), physical (e.g., physical function), psychological (e.g., depressive symptoms), pain (e.g., qualities), and tests for physical performance and nervous system sensitivity. We qualified patients' pain as intermittent, constant, or mixed using the Modified painDETECT Questionnaire and assessed associations with the variables using multinomial logistic regression. Results: The 279 participants had an average age of 63.8 years (SD 9.6), BMI of 31.5 kg/m2 (SD 8.7), and 58.6% were female. Older age (odds ratio [OR] 0.95; 95% CI: 0.90, 1.00) and higher self-reported physical function (OR 0.94; 95% CI: 0.91, 0.98) were associated with a lower likelihood of mixed pain compared with intermittent pain. Higher pain intensity (OR 1.25; 95% CI: 1.07, 1.47) was related to a 25% higher likelihood of mixed pain compared with intermittent pain. Conclusions: This study provides initial data for associations of personal, pain, and physical function factors with different pain patterns. Awareness of these factors can help clinicians develop targeted strategies for managing patients' pain.

Osteoarthritis - Insights From Recent Research

Osteoarthritis (OA) is the most common form of arthritis and is a growing public health concern in the aging society. In rapidly aging societies such as in Korea, the increasing prevalence of OA may present serious new health issues. There is no treatment for OA that can either prevent or slow the progression of joint damage. For the development of effective therapeutics, precise understating of its pathogenesis is important. In this review, the current evidence of etiopathogenesis of OA is discussed. First, while epidemiologic study of OA are still dominated by reports from Western countries, findings from Korean epidemiologic studies are highlighted. Then, recent progresses in genetics, especially in the field of genome wide association study and mendelian randomization studies, are reviewed with focus on Asian population. Lastly, sex difference in pain etopathogenesis is reviewed. Studies of OA pathogenesis including epidemiology, genetics, animal model and pain signaling will aid in progress towards treatment of OA.

Validity of the Central Sensitization Inventory (CSI) through Rasch analysis in patients with knee osteoarthritis

INTRODUCTION/OBJECTIVE

Central sensitization (CS) is a known contributor to chronic pain in people with knee osteoarthritis (KOA) and is commonly measured by psychophysical testing or patient-reported methods such as the Central Sensitization Inventory (CSI). However, previous studies have shown a weak association between the two. We therefore sought to evaluate the validity of the CSI through Rasch analysis in patients with KOA.

METHOD

We performed a secondary analysis of a multicenter cohort study with patients with KOA consulting orthopedic surgeons. Rasch analysis was conducted considering person factors of age, sex, BMI, pain intensity, pain catastrophizing, and quantitative sensory test findings using pressure pain thresholds and temporal summation to assess how the CSI fits to the Rasch model (supporting validity). We used RUMM2030 software to model fit estimates, making adjustments as required to achieve model fit (P > 0.05).

RESULTS

Data from 293 patients were included (58.7% female, mean age 63.6 years, 49.1% obese) Initial evaluation with Rasch modelling indicated misfit. Eleven of 25 items on the CSI displayed disordered thresholds which were rescored by collapsing response categories until the thresholds demonstrated sequential progression. Reanalysis demonstrated persistent model misfit so a subtest was developed to address local dependency of 6 items. Thereafter, model fit was achieved (P = 0.071, indicating not differing from Rasch model) and acceptable unidimensionality (P = 0.068 with 95% CI 0.043-0.093).

CONCLUSIONS

The CSI was able to be fit to the Rasch model after rescoring while retaining all 25 items. The unidimensionality validates CS as measured by the CSI as a singular construct. Key Points • The Central Sensitization Inventory (CSI) was able to be fit to the Rasch model after rescoring while retaining all 25 items. • The unidimensionality of the CSI validates CS as a singular construct. • Our results suggest rescoring of the CSI for people with KOA, but it should be confirmed and replicated in larger samples prior to clinical use.

Associations between joint pathologies and central sensitization in persons with hand osteoarthritis: results from the Nor-Hand study

OBJECTIVE

Pain sensitization is associated with pain severity in persons with hand OA. What contributes to pain sensitization is unclear. This study explores whether hand OA pathologies and symptom duration are related to central sensitization.

METHOD

Participants with hand OA in the Nor-Hand study underwent bilateral hand radiography and US examination. Central sensitization was assessed with pressure pain thresholds (PPT) at remote sites (wrist, trapezius and tibialis anterior muscles) and temporal summation. We examined whether hand OA pathologies, independent of each other, including structural severity (Kellgren-Lawrence sum score, presence of erosive hand OA), inflammatory severity (greyscale synovitis and power Doppler activity sum scores) and symptom duration, were related to central sensitization, adjusting for age, sex, BMI, comorbidities and OA-severity of knee/hip.

RESULTS

In 291 participants (88% women, median age 61 years, interquartile range 57-66 years) Kellgren-Lawrence, greyscale synovitis and power Doppler activity sum scores were not associated with lower PPTs at remote sites. Persons with erosive hand OA had lower PPTs at the wrist (adjusted beta -0.75, 95% CI -1.32, -0.19) and tibialis anterior (adjusted beta -0.82, 95% CI -1.54, -0.09) and had greater temporal summation (adjusted beta 0.56, 95% CI 0.12, 1.01) compared with persons with non-erosive disease. No associations were found for symptom duration.

CONCLUSIONS

A person's overall amount of structural or inflammatory hand OA pathologies was not associated with central sensitization. Although persons with erosive hand OA showed greater signs of central sensitization, the small differences suggest that central sensitization is mainly explained by factors other than joint pathologies.

Detection of altered pain facilitatory and inhibitory mechanisms in patients with knee osteoarthritis by using a simple bedside tool kit (QuantiPain)

Supplemental Digital Content is Available in the Text.

A simple bedside quantitative sensory testing tool kit demonstrated acceptable reliability and assessment validity for detecting altered pain facilitatory and inhibitory mechanisms in patients with painful osteoarthritis.

Purpose:

Altered pain facilitatory and inhibitory mechanisms have been recognized as an important manifestation in patients with chronic pain, and quantitative sensory testing (QST) can act as a proxy for this process. We have recently developed a simple bedside QST tool kit (QuantiPain) for more clinical use. The purpose of this study was to investigate its test–retest reliability and to evaluate its validity compared with the laboratory-based QST protocols in patients with knee osteoarthritis (OA).

Methods:

QuantiPain consists of 3 items: “pressure algometer” (for pressure pain thresholds [PPTs]), “pinprick” (for temporal summation of pain [TSP]), and “conditioning clamp” (for conditioned pain modulation [CPM]). In experiment-A, intrarater and interrater test–retest reliabilities were investigated in 21 young healthy subjects by using interclass correlation coefficient (ICC). In experiment-B, 40 unilateral painful patients with OA and 40 age-matched, healthy control subjects were included to compare the bedside tool kit against the computerized pressure algometry.

Results:

In experiment-A, excellent to moderate intrarater and interrater reliabilities were achieved in PPT and TSP (ICC: 0.60–0.92) while the agreements of CPM were good to poor (ICC: 0.37–0.80). In experiment-B, localized and widespread decrease of PPT, facilitated TSP, and impaired CPM was found by using the bedside tool kit in patients with OA compared with controls (P < 0.05). The data were significantly correlated with the established laboratory-based tools (R = 0.281–0.848, P < 0.05).

Conclusion:

QuantiPain demonstrated acceptable test–retest reliability and assessment validity with the sensitivity to separate patients with painful OA from controls, which has a potential to create more practical approach for quantifying altered pain mechanisms in clinical settings.

Multi-Site Observational Study to Assess Biomarkers for Susceptibility or Resilience to Chronic Pain: The Acute to Chronic Pain Signatures (A2CPS) Study Protocol

Chronic pain has become a global health problem contributing to years lived with disability and reduced quality of life. Advances in the clinical management of chronic pain have been limited due to incomplete understanding of the multiple risk factors and molecular mechanisms that contribute to the development of chronic pain. The Acute to Chronic Pain Signatures (A2CPS) Program aims to characterize the predictive nature of biomarkers (brain imaging, high-throughput molecular screening techniques, or "omics," quantitative sensory testing, patient-reported outcome assessments and functional assessments) to identify individuals who will develop chronic pain following surgical intervention. The A2CPS is a multisite observational study investigating biomarkers and collective biosignatures (a combination of several individual biomarkers) that predict susceptibility or resilience to the development of chronic pain following knee arthroplasty and thoracic surgery. This manuscript provides an overview of data collection methods and procedures designed to standardize data collection across multiple clinical sites and institutions. Pain-related biomarkers are evaluated before surgery and up to 3 months after surgery for use as predictors of patient reported outcomes 6 months after surgery. The dataset from this prospective observational study will be available for researchers internal and external to the A2CPS Consortium to advance understanding of the transition from acute to chronic postsurgical pain.

Does weight-bearing versus non-weight-bearing pain reflect different pain mechanisms in knee osteoarthritis?: the Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST)

OBJECTIVE

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is predominantly characterized by pain with weight-bearing activities. Pain at rest also occurs but the mechanisms for this are not clear. We evaluated the relations of nociceptive signal alterations to weight-bearing and non-weight-bearing pain in knee OA.

DESIGN

We used data from a NIH-funded longitudinal cohort of older adults with or at risk of knee OA. We evaluated quantitative sensory testing (QST) measures (pressure pain threshold (PPT) at patellae and the wrist; mechanical temporal summation (TS); conditioned pain modulation (CPM)). Each WOMAC pain question was dichotomized as having at least moderate pain, and we further categorized them as weight-bearing pain and non-weight-bearing pain. We evaluated the relation of QST measures to each pain outcome using logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

2,749 participants (5,479 knees) were included (mean age 64 ± 11, 57% female). Each SD unit decrease in patellar PPT was associated with greater odds of both weight-bearing pain (OR 1.51 (95% CI 1.27, 1.79)) and non-weight-bearing pain (OR 1.46 (1.20-1.77)), while wrist PPT was associated with greater odds of weight-bearing pain (OR 1.27 (1.15, 1.39)) but only with pain during sitting/lying (OR 1.20 (1.01, 1.43)). TS was significantly associated with greater odds of pain with walking and stairs (OR 1.11 (1.01, 1.23), 1.11 (1.03, 1.20), respectively). CPM was not associated with any pain outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings challenge the hypothesis that non-weight-bearing pain may reflect greater pain sensitization and/or inefficient CPM than weight-bearing pain in knee OA, suggesting other mechanisms are likely responsible.

High Prevalence of Pain Sensitization in Knee Osteoarthritis: A Meta-Analysis with Meta-Regression

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this meta-analysis was to study the evidence on pain sensitization in knee osteoarthritis (OA), providing a quantitative synthesis of its prevalence and impact. Factors associated with pain sensitization were also investigated.

METHODS

Meta-analysis; PubMed (MEDLINE), Cochrane Central Register (CENTRAL), and Web of Science were searched on February 2021. Level I to level IV studies evaluating the presence of pain sensitization in patients with symptomatic knee OA, documented through a validated method (questionnaires or quantitative sensory testing), were included. The primary outcome was the prevalence of pain sensitization. Factors influencing the prevalence were also evaluated, as well as differences in terms of pain thresholds between knee OA patients and healthy controls.

RESULTS

Fifty-three articles including 7,117 patients were included. The meta-analysis of proportion documented a prevalence of pain sensitization of 20% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 16%-26%) with a significant heterogeneity of results (I² = 89%, P < 0.001). The diagnostic tool used was the main factor influencing the documented prevalence of pain sensitization (P = 0.01). Knee OA patients presented higher pain sensitivity compared with healthy controls, both in terms of local pressure pain threshold (standardized mean difference [SMD] = -1.00, 95% CI = -1.67 to -0.32, P = 0.007) and distant pressure pain threshold (SMD = -0.54, 95% CI = -0.76 to -0.31, P < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Knee OA pain presents features that are consistent with a significant degree of pain sensitization. There is a high heterogeneity in the reported results, mainly based on the diagnostic tool used. The identification of the best methods to detect pain sensitization is warranted to correctly evaluate and manage symptoms of patients affected by knee OA.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42019123347.

Use of IMMPACT Recommendations to Explore Pain Phenotypes in People with Knee Osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

Knee osteoarthritis (OA) is a disease of multiple phenotypes of which a chronic pain phenotype (PP) is known. Previous PP studies have focused on one domain of pain and included heterogenous variables. We sought to identify multidimensional PPs using the IMMPACT recommendations and their relationship to clinical outcomes.

METHODS

Participants >40 years of age with knee OA having a first-time orthopaedic consultation at five university affiliated hospitals in Montreal, Quebec and Hamilton (Canada) were recruited. Latent profile analysis was used to determine PPs (classes) using variables recommended by IMMPACT. This included pain variability, intensity and qualities, somatization, anxiodepressive symptoms, sleep, fatigue, pain catastrophizing, neuropathic pain, and quantitative sensory tests. We used MANOVA and Chi-square tests to assess differences in participant characteristics across the classes and linear and Poisson regression to evaluate the association of classes to outcomes of physical performance tests, self-reported function and provincial healthcare data.

RESULTS

343 participants were included (mean age 64 years, 64% female). Three classes were identified with increasing pain burden (class3 > class1), characterized by significant differences across most self-report measures and temporal summation, and differed in terms of female sex, younger age, lower optimism and pain self-efficacy. Participants in class2 and class3 had significantly worse self-reported function, stair climb and 40m walk tests, and higher rates of healthcare usage compared to those in class1.

CONCLUSIONS

Three distinct PPs guided by IMMPACT recommendations were identified, predominated by self-report measures and temporal summation. Using this standardized approach may improve PP study variability and comparison.

Pain descriptors and determinants of pain sensitivity in knee osteoarthritis: a community-based cross-sectional study

Objectives

To explore pain characteristics in individuals with knee osteoarthritis (KOA), to compare pain sensitivity across individuals with KOA, chronic back pain (CBP) and pain-free individuals (NP), and to examine the relationship between clinical and pain characteristics with pain sensitivity in KOA.

Methods

Cross-sectional, community-based online survey. Two datasets were combined comprising Dutch individuals of ≥ 40 years of age, experiencing chronic knee pain (KOA, N = 445), chronic back pain (CBP, N = 504), or no pain (NP, N = 256). Demographic and clinical characteristics, global health, physical activity/exercise, and pain characteristics including intensity, spreading, duration, quality (SF-MPQ), and sensitivity (PSQ) were assessed. Differences between (sub)groups were examined using analyses of variance or Chi-square tests. Regression analyses were performed to examine determinants of pain sensitivity in the KOA group.

Results

Quality of pain was most commonly described as aching, tender, and tiring-exhausting. Overall, the KOA group had higher levels of pain sensitivity compared to NP group, but lower levels than the CBP group. Univariately, pain intensity, its variability and spreading, global health, exercise, and having comorbidities were weakly related to pain sensitivity (standardized betas: 0.12-0.27). Symptom duration was not related to pain sensitivity. Older age, higher levels of continuous pain, lower levels of global health, and exercise uniquely contributed, albeit modest, to pain sensitivity (P&lt;0.05).

Conclusion

Continuous pain such as aching and tenderness in combination with decreased physical activity may be indicative for a subgroup of individuals at risk for pain sensitivity and, ultimately, poor treatment outcomes.

Ultrasonographic Changes of the Knee Joint Reflect Symptoms of Early Knee Osteoarthritis in General Population; The Nagahama Study

OBJECTIVE

Radiographic changes in knee osteoarthritis (OA) are not always associated with symptoms, especially in its early stages. Ultrasonography (US) can detect early changes in the knee joint, but the changes that reflect symptoms have not been fully elucidated. This study aimed to identify US-detectable changes in the knee that are often associated with knee symptoms and demonstrate the feasibility of early diagnosis in symptomatic knee OA using US.

DESIGN

In this cross-sectional community-based study, 1,667 participants aged ≥60 years (1,103 women [66%]) were included. All participants concurrently underwent US and radiography of the knee and completed the Knee Society Knee Scoring System (KSS) questionnaire. Simple and multiple regression analyses were used to examine the associations between US findings and KSS symptom subscales.

RESULTS

Among all participants, medial meniscus protrusion and medial osteophytes, age, and body mass index showed significant associations with KSS symptom scores. Among 894 participants with Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade ≤1, medial osteophytes and age were significantly associated with KSS symptom score. US measures were more related to KSS symptoms than KL grades.

CONCLUSIONS

Among the knee US-detectable changes, medial osteophytes were strongly associated with knee symptoms. Osteophytes are reliable predictors of symptomatic early knee OA, even in participants with few radiographic OA changes.

Deep learning approach to predict pain progression in knee osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To develop and evaluate deep learning (DL) risk assessment models for predicting pain progression in subjects with or at risk of knee osteoarthritis (OA).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The incidence and progression cohorts of the Osteoarthritis Initiative, a multi-center longitudinal study involving 9348 knees in 4674 subjects with or at risk of knee OA that began in 2004 and is ongoing, were used to conduct this retrospective analysis. A subset of knees without and with pain progression (defined as a 9-point or greater increase in pain score between baseline and two or more follow-up time points over the first 48 months) was randomly stratified into training (4200 knees with a mean age of 61.0 years and 60% female) and hold-out testing (500 knees with a mean age of 60.8 years and 60% female) datasets. A DL model was developed to predict pain progression using baseline knee radiographs. An artificial neural network was used to develop a traditional risk assessment model to predict pain progression using demographic, clinical, and radiographic risk factors. A combined model was developed to combine demographic, clinical, and radiographic risk factors with DL analysis of baseline knee radiographs. Area under the curve (AUC) analysis was performed using the hold-out testing dataset to evaluate model performance.

RESULTS

The traditional model had an AUC of 0.692 (66.9% sensitivity and 64.1% specificity). The DL model had an AUC of 0.770 (76.7% sensitivity and 70.5% specificity), which was significantly higher (p < 0.001) than the traditional model. The combined model had an AUC of 0.807 (72.3% sensitivity and 80.9% specificity), which was significantly higher (p < 0.05) than the traditional and DL models.

CONCLUSIONS

DL models using baseline knee radiographs had higher diagnostic performance for predicting pain progression than traditional models using demographic, clinical, and radiographic risk factors.