Cost-effectiveness analysis of routine pneumococcal vaccination in the UK: a comparison of the PHiD-CV vaccine and the PCV-13 vaccine using a Markov model

Comparison of short- and long-term humoral immune responses to pneumococcal polysaccharide and glycoconjugate vaccines in an HIV-infected population

BACKGROUND

Immunization is recommended internationally to protect against pneumococcal infections in HIV-infected adults. However, vaccination schedule designs are mostly based on studies of initial rather than long-term antibody responses. This UK observational study investigated the short- and long-term antibody responses to polysaccharide and glycoconjugate pneumococcal vaccines in an adult HIV-infected cohort.

METHODS

We studied a subgroup of 152 of 839 participants from the AIR (Assessment of Immune Responses to Routine Immunisations in HIV-infected Adults, ISRCTN95588307) study, that had received pneumococcal vaccinations, and had blood samples collected pre- and post-vaccination, as well as at least annually for four subsequent calendar years. Patients received either Pneumovax-23 (PPV, N=89) or Prevenar-13 (PCV, N=63) as their primary vaccine, with immunity assessed by measuring IgG antibody concentrations for 12 pneumococcal polysaccharide serotypes (PnPS). The primary outcome was achieving IgG antibody concentrations above the recommended World Health Organisation (WHO) threshold of 0.35µg/ml for at least 8/12 of the PnPS assessed (WHO≥8/12PnPS). Patients who did not achieve WHO≥8/12PnPS after the primary vaccination were offered further vaccination with PCV; booster vaccinations with PCV were additionally offered to those where antibody levels subsequently fell below the WHO≥8/12PnPS threshold.

RESULTS

Patients receiving PCV as their primary pneumococcal vaccine were significantly more likely to achieve WHO≥8/12PnPS after a single vaccine dose than those receiving PPV (54% vs. 33%, p=0.012). This difference persisted following booster vaccination with PCV, with cumulative rates of WHO≥8/12PnPS in those receiving PCV vs. PPV as the primary vaccine of 88% vs. 67% and 100% vs. 85% after receiving up to one and two booster vaccinations, respectively. Where WHO≥8/12PnPS was achieved, this persisted significantly longer in those receiving PCV as their primary vaccine compared to PPV (median: 23.5 vs. 11.1 months; p=0.010).

CONCLUSIONS

Immunization with PCV resulted in quantitatively greater antibody responses than immunization with PPV in a cohort of HIV-infected UK adults. Individuals receiving PCV as their primary vaccine required fewer total pneumococcal vaccine doses to achieve WHO≥8/12PnPS and experienced greater duration of time above this threshold than those with PPV as the primary vaccine. However, the median longevity of both vaccine responses was relatively short, which supports the use of ongoing booster doses using high valency glycoconjugate vaccines to sustain WHO≥8/12PnPS threshold antibody levels.

Cost-effectiveness of sotagliflozin for the treatment of patients with diabetes and recent worsening heart failure

Aim: To assesses the cost-effectiveness of sotagliflozin for the treatment of patients hospitalized with heart failure and comorbid diabetes. Materials & methods: A de novo cost-effectiveness model with a Markov structure was created for patients hospitalized for heart failure with comorbid diabetes. Outcomes of interest included hospital readmissions, emergency department visits and all-cause mortality measured over a 30-year time horizon. Baseline event frequencies were derived from published real-world data studies; sotagliflozin's efficacy was estimated from SOLOIST-WHF. Health benefits were calculated quality-adjusted life years (QALYs). Costs included pharmaceutical costs, rehospitalization, emergency room visits and adverse events. Economic value was measured using the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results: Sotagliflozin use decreased annualized rehospitalization rates by 34.5% (0.228 vs 0.348, difference: -0.120), annualized emergency department visits by 40.0% (0.091 vs 0.153, difference: -0.061) and annualized mortality by 18.0% (0.298 vs 0.363, difference: -0.065) relative to standard of care, resulting in a net gain in QAYs of 0.425 for sotagliflozin versus standard of care. Incremental costs using sotagliflozin increased by $19,374 over a 30-year time horizon of the patient, driven largely by increased pharmaceutical cost. Estimated ICER for sotagliflozin relative to standard of care was $45,596 per QALY. Conclusion: Sotagliflozin is a cost-effective addition to standard of care for patients hospitalized with heart failure and comorbid diabetes.

Cost-Effectiveness of Pneumococcal Vaccination in Adults in Italy: Comparing New Alternatives and Exploring the Role of GMT Ratios in Informing Vaccine Effectiveness

In Italy, a sequential pneumococcal vaccination with conjugate vaccine (PCV) and polysaccharide vaccine (PPSV23) is recommended for individuals aged ≥ 65 years and those at risk for pneumococcal disease (PD) aged ≥ 6 years. The aim of this study was to assess the cost-effectiveness of the new vaccines, i.e., approved 15-valent and 20-valent PCVs. A published Markov model was adapted to evaluate the lifetime cost-effectiveness of vaccination with PCV15 + PPSV23 versus PCV13 + PPSV23, PCV20 alone, PCV20 + PPSV23, and No Vaccination. Simulated cohorts representing the Italian population, including individuals aged ≥ 65 years, those at risk aged 50-100 years, and those deemed high risk aged 18-100 years were assessed. Outcomes were accrued in terms of incremental PD cases, costs, quality-adjusted life years, life years, and the cost-utility ratio relative to PCV13 + PPSV23. The conservative base case analysis, including vaccine efficacy based on PCV13 data, showed that sequential vaccination with PCV15 or PCV20 in combination with PPSV23 is preferred over sequential vaccination with PCV13 + PPSV23. Especially in the high-risk group, PCV15 + PPSV23 sequential vaccination was dominant over No Vaccination and resulted in an ICUR of €3605 per QALY gained. Including PCV20 + PPSV23 into the comparison resulted in the domination of the PCV15 + PPSV23 and No Vaccination strategies. Additionally, explorative analysis, including the geometric mean titer (GMT) informed vaccine effectiveness (VE) was performed. In the low-risk and high-risk groups, the results of the GMT scenarios showed PCV15 + PPSV23 to be dominant over the other sequential vaccines. These findings suggest that if real-world studies would confirm a difference in vaccine effectiveness of PCV15 and PCV20 versus PCV13 based on GMT ratios, PCV15 + PPSV23 could prove a highly immunogenic and effective vaccination regime for the Italian adult population.

Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness of Switching to Higher-Valency Pediatric Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in the United Kingdom

Currently, the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is administered under a 1+1 (1 primary dose) pediatric schedule in the United Kingdom (UK). Higher-valency PCVs, 15-valent PCV (PCV15), or 20-valent PCV (PCV20) might be considered to expand serotype coverage. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of PCV20 or PCV15 using either a 2+1 (2 primary doses) or 1+1 schedule for pediatric immunization in the UK. Using a dynamic transmission model, we simulated future disease incidence and costs under PCV13 1+1, PCV20 2+1, PCV20 1+1, PCV15 2+1, and PCV15 1+1 schedules from the UK National Health Service perspective. We prospectively estimated disease cases, direct costs, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Scenario analyses were performed to estimate the impact of model assumptions and parameter uncertainty. Over a five-year period, PCV20 2+1 averted the most disease cases and gained the most additional QALYs. PCV20 2+1 and 1+1 were dominant (cost-saving and more QALYs gained) compared with PCV15 (2+1 or 1+1) and PCV13 1+1. PCV20 2+1 was cost-effective (GBP 8110/QALY) compared with PCV20 1+1. PCV20 was found cost-saving compared with PCV13 1+1, and PCV20 2+1 was cost-effective compared with PCV20 1+1. Policymakers should consider the reduction in disease cases with PCV20, which may offset vaccination costs.

Vaccine-Preventable Hospitalisations from Seasonal Respiratory Diseases: What Is Their True Value?

Hospitals in England experience extremely high levels of bed occupancy in the winter. In these circumstances, vaccine-preventable hospitalisations due to seasonal respiratory infections have a high cost because of the missed opportunity to treat other patients on the waiting list. This paper estimates the number of hospitalisations that current vaccines against influenza, pneumococcal disease (PD), COVID-19, and a hypothetical Respiratory Syncytial Virus (RSV) vaccine, could prevent in the winter among older adults in England. Their costs were quantified using a conventional reference costing method and a novel opportunity costing approach considering the net monetary benefit (NMB) obtained from alternative uses of the hospital beds freed-up by vaccines. The influenza, PD and RSV vaccines could collectively prevent 72,813 bed days and save over £45 million in hospitalisation costs. The COVID-19 vaccine could prevent over 2 million bed days and save £1.3 billion. However, the value of hospital beds freed up by vaccination is likely to be 1.1-2 times larger (£48-93 million for flu, PD and RSV; £1.4-2.8 billion for COVID-19) when quantified in opportunity cost terms. Considering opportunity costs is key to ensuring maximum value is obtained from preventative budgets, as reference costing may significantly underestimate the true value of vaccines.

Public health impact and cost-effectiveness of 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine use among the pediatric population of the United States

BACKGROUND

Although use of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) among children has reduced incidence of pneumococcal disease, a considerable burden of disease remains. PCV15 is a new vaccine that contains pneumococcal serotypes 22F and 33F in addition to serotypes contained in PCV13. To inform deliberations by the Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices on recommendations for PCV15 use among U.S. children, we estimated the health impact and cost-effectiveness of replacing PCV13 with PCV15 within the routine infant immunization program in the United States. We also assessed the impact and cost-effectiveness of a supplementary PCV15 dose among children aged 2-5 years who have already received a full PCV13 series.

METHODS

We estimated the incremental number of pneumococcal disease events and deaths averted, costs per quality adjusted life-year (QALY) gained, and costs per life-year gained under different vaccination strategies using a probabilistic model following a single birth cohort of 3.9 million individuals (based on 2020 U.S. birth cohort). We assumed that vaccine effectiveness (VE) of PCV15 against the two additional serotypes was the same as the VE of PCV13. The cost of PCV15 use among children was informed from costs of PCV15 use among adults and from discussions with the manufacturer.

RESULTS

Our base case results found that replacing PCV13 with PCV15 prevented 92,290 additional pneumococcal disease events and 22 associated deaths, while also saving $147 million in costs. A supplementary PCV15 dose among children aged 2-5 years who were fully vaccinated with PCV13 prevented further pneumococcal disease events and associated deaths but at a cost of more than $2.5 million per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

A further decrease in pneumococcal disease in conjunction with considerable societal cost savings could be expected from replacing PCV13 with PCV15 within the routine infant immunization program in the United States.

Accounting for Adverse Events Following Immunization in Economic Evaluation: Systematic Review of Economic Evaluations of Pediatric Vaccines Against Pneumococcus, Rotavirus, Human Papillomavirus, Meningococcus and Measles-Mumps-Rubella-Varicella

OBJECTIVES

Economic evaluations of vaccines should accurately represent all relevant economic and health consequences of vaccination, including losses due to adverse events following immunization (AEFI). We investigated to what extent economic evaluations of pediatric vaccines account for AEFI, which methods are used to do so and whether inclusion of AEFI is associated with study characteristics and the vaccine's safety profile.

METHODS

A systematic literature search (MEDLINE, EMBASE, Cochrane Systematic Reviews and Trials, Database of the Centre for Reviews and Dissemination of the University of York, EconPapers, Paediatric Economic Database Evaluation, Tufts New England Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Registry, Tufts New England Global Health CEA, International Network of Agencies for Health Technology Assessment Database) was performed for economic evaluations published between 2014 and 29 April 2021 (date of search) pertaining to the five groups of pediatric vaccines licensed in Europe and the United States since 1998: the human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccines, the meningococcal vaccines (MCV), the measles-mumps-rubella-varicella (MMRV) combination vaccines, the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) and the rotavirus vaccines (RV). Rates of accounting for AEFI were calculated, stratified by study characteristics (e.g., region, publication year, journal impact factor, level of industry involvement) and triangulated with the vaccine's safety profile (Advisory Committee on Immunization Practices [ACIP] recommendations and information on safety-related product label changes). The studies accounting for AEFI were analyzed in terms of the methods used to account for both cost and effect implications of AEFI.

RESULTS

We identified 112 economic evaluations, of which 28 (25%) accounted for AEFI. This proportion was significantly higher for MMRV (80%, four out of five evaluations), MCV (61%, 11 out of 18 evaluations) and RV (60%, nine out of 15 evaluations) compared to HPV (6%, three out of 53 evaluations) and PCV (5%, one out of 21 evaluations). No other study characteristics were associated with a study's likelihood of accounting for AEFI. Vaccines for which AEFI were more frequently accounted for also had a higher frequency of label changes and a higher level of attention to AEFI in ACIP recommendations. Nine studies accounted for both the cost and health implications of AEFI, 18 studies considered only costs and one only health outcomes. While the cost impact was usually estimated based on routine billing data, the adverse health impact of AEFI was usually estimated based on assumptions.

DISCUSSION

Although (mild) AEFI were demonstrated for all five studied vaccines, only a quarter of reviewed studies accounted for these, mostly in an incomplete and inaccurate manner. We provide guidance on which methods to use to better quantify the impact of AEFI on both costs and health outcomes. Policymakers should be aware that the impact of AEFI on cost-effectiveness is likely to be underestimated in the majority of economic evaluations.

Pneumococcal Vaccination in Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Cost-Effectiveness Studies

OBJECTIVES

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have significantly reduced disease burden caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae, a leading cause of childhood morbidity and mortality globally. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to assess the incremental net benefit (INB) of the 13-valent PCV (PCV13) and 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in children.

METHODS

We performed a comprehensive search in several databases published before May 2022. Studies were included if they were cost-effectiveness or cost-utility analyses of PCV13 or PCV10 compared with no vaccination or with each other in children. Various monetary units were converted to purchasing power parity, adjusted to 2021 US dollars. The INBs were calculated and then pooled across studies stratified by country income level, perspective, and consideration of herd effects, using a random-effect model.

RESULTS

Seventy studies were included. When herd effects were considered, PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 from the payer perspective in both high-income countries (HICs) (INB, $103.94; 95% confidence interval, $75.28-$132.60) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) (INB, $53.49; 95% confidence interval, $30.42-$76.55) with statistical significance. These findings were robust across a series of sensitivity analyses. PCV13 was cost-effective compared with no vaccination across perspectives and consideration of herd effects in both HICs and LMICs, whereas findings were less consistent for PCV10.

CONCLUSION

PCVs were generally cost-effective compared with no vaccination in HICs and LMICs. Our study found that PCV13 was cost-effective compared with PCV10 when herd effects were considered from the payer perspective in both HICs and LMICs. The results are sensitive to the consideration of herd effects.

Reanalysis of the Clinical and Economic Burden of Pneumococcal Disease Due to Serotypes Contained in Current and Investigational Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Children < 5 Age: A Societal Perspective

INTRODUCTION

Studies that estimate the economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease often only report direct medical costs and omit indirect non-medical costs. Given these indirect costs are not included in most calculations, the full economic burden attributable to pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) serotypes is often underestimated. This study seeks to quantify the full broader economic burden of pediatric pneumococcal disease associated with PCV serotypes.

METHODS

We conducted a reanalysis of a previous study where non-medical costs associated with caregiving for a child with pneumococcal disease are considered. The annual indirect non-medical economic burden attributed to PCV serotypes was subsequently calculated for 13 countries. We included five countries with 10-valent (PCV10) national immunization programs (NIPs) (Austria, Finland, The Netherlands, New Zealand, and Sweden) and eight countries with 13-valent (PCV13) NIPs (Australia, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, South Korea, Spain, and the UK). Input parameters were derived from published literature. Indirect costs were inflated to 2021 values in US dollars (USD).

RESULTS

The total annual indirect economic burden associated with pediatric pneumococcal diseases attributable to PCV10, PCV13, the 15-valent (PCV15), and the 20-valent (PCV20) serotypes were $46.51 million, $158.95 million, $223.00 million, and $413.97 million, respectively. The five countries with PCV10 NIPs bear a greater societal burden associated with PCV13 serotypes, whereas the residual societal burden in the eight countries with PCV13 NIPs was primarily attributable to non-PCV13 serotypes.

CONCLUSION

The inclusion of non-medical costs nearly tripled the total economic burden compared with only including direct medical costs estimated from a previous study. The results from this reanalysis can help inform decision-makers on the broader economic societal burden associated with PCV serotypes and the need for higher-valent PCVs.

Cost-effectiveness of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared to the 10-valent vaccine in children: predictive analysis in the Ecuadorian context

Objective

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and economic impact of changing childhood vaccination from the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV10) to the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) in the context of the Ecuadorian health system.

Methods

A Markov model was developed based on a hypothetical cohort of children &lt;1 year old with a 2 + 1 vaccination schedule. The model incorporates the most impactful chronic sequelae of invasive pneumococcal disease: bilateral hearing loss, spasticity, neurological deficit, hydrocephalus and epilepsy. At the end of each annual Markov cycle, the children heal with/without sequelae or die. A time horizon of 5 years was considered. The analysis was done from the perspective of the Ministry of Health.

Key findings

Vaccination with PCV13 is cost-saving (US$ −2940/QALY) in relation to PCV10 considering indirect effects (‘herd effect’) of childhood vaccination over adult population (&gt;65 years). So, PCV13 reduces incident cases of IPD in this adult population by 27.8% compared to PCV10. Simulation of the model in a cohort of 100 000 children &lt;1 year old showed an incidence of 25 cases of IPD with PCV13 versus 40 cases with PCV10, that is, a reduction of 37.5%. A reduction compared to PCV10 in the incidence of pneumonia and meningitis of 30.2 and 57.1%, respectively, was demonstrated. PCV13 decreased mortality by 32% compared to PCV10.

Conclusions

Vaccination with PCV13 is cost-saving in the Ecuadorian health context and significantly reduces morbidity and mortality in children &lt;5 years and in adults &gt;65 years due to the herd effect. The probabilistic analysis showed consistency in the results.

Retaining the structural integrity of disulfide bonds in diphtheria toxoid carrier protein is crucial for the effectiveness of glycoconjugate vaccine candidates

The introduction of glycoconjugate vaccines marks an important point in the fight against various infectious diseases. The covalent conjugation of relevant polysaccharide antigens to immunogenic carrier proteins enables the induction of a long-lasting and robust IgG antibody response, which is not observed for pure polysaccharide vaccines. Although there has been remarkable progress in the development of glycoconjugate vaccines, many crucial parameters remain poorly understood. In particular, the influence of the conjugation site and strategy on the immunogenic properties of the final glycoconjugate vaccine is the focus of intense research. Here, we present a comparison of two cysteine selective conjugation strategies, elucidating the impact of both modifications on the structural integrity of the carrier protein, as well as on the immunogenic properties of the resulting glycoconjugate vaccine candidates. Our work suggests that conjugation chemistries impairing structurally relevant elements of the protein carrier, such as disulfide bonds, can have a dramatic effect on protein immunogenicity.

The broader impacts of otitis media and sequelae for informing economic evaluations of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines

INTRODUCTION

Otitis media (OM) is a common childhood infection. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) prevent OM episodes, thereby reducing short- and long-term clinical, economic, humanistic, and societal consequences. Most economic evaluations of PCVs focus on direct health gains and cost savings from prevented acute episodes but do not fully account for the broader societal impacts of OM prevention.

AREAS COVERED

This review explores the broader burden of OM on children, caregivers, and society to better inform future economic evaluations of PCVs.

EXPERT OPINION

OM causes a substantial burden to society through long-term sequelae, productivity losses, reduced quality of life for children and caregivers, and contribution to antimicrobial resistance from inappropriate antibiotic use. The effect of PCVs on acute OM has been recognized globally, yet the broader impact has not been consistently quantified, studied, or communicated. Economic evaluations of PCVs must evolve to include broader effects for patients, caregivers, and society from OM prevention. Future PCVs with broader coverage may further reduce OM incidence and antimicrobial resistance, but optimal uptake will depend on increasing the recognition and use of novel frameworks that include broader benefits. Communicating the full value of PCVs to decision makers may result in wider access and positive societal returns.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of domestic 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine for children under 5 years of age in mainland China

Background: The first Chinese domestic 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (WoAnxin®, PCV-13) is available for children aged 2 months to 5 years and is more economical than import vaccine with equal safety and immunogenicity. However, the cost-effectiveness of this new PCV-13 for children <5 years in mainland China is not clear. Methods: In the present study, we developed a Markov model under societal perspective to evaluate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of five birth cohorts of 100,000 Chinese infants across four alternative vaccination programs:1) no vaccination; 2) vaccinate 4 doses of new PCV-13 for children aged 2 to 6 months; 3) vaccinate 3 doses of new PCV-13 for children aged 7 to 11 months; 4) vaccinate 2 doses of new PCV-13 for children aged 12 to 23 months; 5) vaccinate 1 dose of new PCV-13 for children aged 2 to 5 years. We conducted one-way and probability sensitivity analysis to determine the uncertainty of the model findings. Results: We found that with awillingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of three-times Chinese per-capita gross domestic product (GDP) all vaccination programs were cost-effective compared to no vaccination and children aged 2 to 5 years received 1 dose of new PCV-13 would incur the lowest additional cost of US$2417 per quality-adjusted-life-years (QALYs) compare with other vaccination programs ($15394/QALYs for 4 doses program, $9292/QALYs for 3 doses program, $4445/QALYs for 2 doses program). Conclusions: According to our results, China should give priority to incorporating new PCV-13 into its national immunization program.

Mathematical assessment of the impact of cohort vaccination on pneumococcal carriage and serotype replacement

Although pneumococcal vaccines are quite effective in reducing disease burden, factors such as imperfect vaccine efficacy and serotype replacement present an important challenge against realizing direct and herd protection benefits of the vaccines. In this study, a novel mathematical model is designed and used to describe the dynamics of two Streptococcus pneumoniae (SP) serotypes, in response to the introduction of a cohort vaccination program which targets one of the two serotypes. The model is fitted to a pediatric SP carriage prevalence data from Atlanta, GA. The model, which is rigorously analysed to investigate the existence and asymptotic stability properties of the associated equilibria (in addition to exploring conditions for competitive exclusion), is simulated to assess the impact of vaccination under different levels of serotype-specific competition and illustrate the phenomenon of serotype replacement. The calibrated model is used to forecast the carriage prevalence in the pediatric cohort over 30 years.

Constrained Optimization for Pneumococcal Vaccination in Brazil

OBJECTIVES

To identify the most cost-efficient combination of pneumococcal vaccines in infants and aging adults for a 10-year period in Brazil.

METHODS

Constrained optimization (CO) prioritized 9 pneumococcal vaccine regimens according to their gain in quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) and their related costs over a prespecified time horizon with defined constraints for 2 age groups, infants and aging adults. The analysis starts from the current universal infant vaccination of pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV), 2 primary and 1 booster dose at 2, 4, and 12 months, respectively. Key constraints are the fixed annual vaccine budget increase and the relative return on investment (ROI_R) per regimen, which must be > 1, the reference intervention being the current vaccination strategy in infants and the most cost-efficient one in aging adults.

RESULTS

The CO analysis including all the constraints indicates that over 10 years the maximum extra health gain is 126 194 QALYs for an extra budget of $974 million Brazilian reals (ROI_R = 1.15). Results could be improved with a higher proportion of the at-risk population in aging adults, less herd effect, and better QALY scores.

CONCLUSION

The study shows that with 4 constraints on budget, time horizon, vaccine coverage, and cost efficiency, a CO analysis could identify the most cost-efficient overall pneumococcal vaccination strategy for Brazil, allowing for limited vaccine budget increase while obtaining appropriate health gain.

A systematic literature review of economic evaluations of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines in east and southeast Asia (2006-2019)

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcal infections can lead to serious invasive diseases such as meningitis, septicemia and pneumonia, as well as milder but more common illnesses such as sinusitis and otitis media. The World Health Organization (WHO) recommends the inclusion of pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) in infant National Immunization Program (NIP) programs worldwide. Decision-makers in Asian countries planning to introduce PCVs in their respective NIP will need a comprehensive evidence of effectiveness of PCVs at the population level and economic evidence including cost-effectiveness.

AREAS COVERED

A systematic literature review (from 1/1/2016 to 10/11/2019) of PCVs in East and Southeast Asia to understand (1) the contributing factors to cost-effectiveness results of PCVs and (2) whether gaps in evidence exist suggesting why the region may have yet to implement full NIPs.

EXPERT OPINION

In East and Southeast Asia, vaccination with PCVs was found to significantly reduce the mortality and morbidity of pneumococcal diseases and was cost-effective compared to no vaccination. Study assumptions, specifically vaccine local acquisition, the inclusion or exclusion of indirect effects (serotype replacement and herd effect), cross-protection, and protection against nontypeable haemophilus influenzae and serotype 3, were the main drivers of cost-effectiveness.

The influence of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 on nasal colonisation in a controlled human infection model of pneumococcal carriage in Malawi: a double-blinded randomised controlled trial protocol

Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality due to community acquired pneumonia, bacterial meningitis and bacteraemia worldwide. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines protect against invasive disease, but are expensive to manufacture, limited in serotype coverage, associated with serotype replacement, and demonstrate reduced effectiveness against mucosal colonisation.  For Malawi, nasopharyngeal carriage of vaccine-type pneumococci is common in vaccinated children despite national roll-out of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) since 2011. Our team has safely transferred an established experimental human pneumococcal carriage method from Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine to the Malawi-Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Malawi. This study will determine potential immunological mechanisms for the differential effects of PCV13 on nasal carriage between healthy Malawian and UK populations. We will conduct a double-blinded randomised controlled trial to vaccinate (1:1) participants with either PCV13 or control (normal saline). After a period of one month, participants will be inoculated with S. pneumoniae serotype 6B to experimentally induce nasal carriage using the EHPC method. Subsequently, participants will be invited for a second inoculation after one year to determine longer-term vaccine-induced immunological effects. Primary endpoint: detection of inoculated pneumococci by classical culture from nasal wash recovered from the participants after pneumococcal challenge. Secondary endpoints: local and systemic innate, humoral and cellular responses to PCV-13 with and without pneumococcal nasal carriage The primary objective of this controlled human infection model study is to determine if PCV-13 vaccination is protective against pneumococcal carriage in healthy adult Malawian volunteers. This study will help us to understand the observed differences in PCV-13 efficacy between populations and inform the design of future vaccines relevant to the Malawian population. Trial Registration: Pan African Clinical Trial Registry (REF: PACTR202008503507113).

The influence of pneumococcal conjugate vaccine-13 on nasal colonisation in a controlled human infection model of pneumococcal carriage in Malawi: a double-blinded randomised controlled trial protocol

Streptococcus pneumoniae is the leading cause of morbidity and mortality due to community acquired pneumonia, bacterial meningitis and bacteraemia worldwide. Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines protect against invasive disease, but are expensive to manufacture, limited in serotype coverage, associated with serotype replacement, and demonstrate reduced effectiveness against mucosal colonisation.  For Malawi, nasopharyngeal carriage of vaccine-type pneumococci is common in vaccinated children despite national roll-out of 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) since 2011. Our team has safely transferred an established experimental human pneumococcal carriage method from Liverpool School of Tropical Medicine to the Malawi-Liverpool Wellcome Trust Clinical Research Programme, Malawi. This study will determine potential immunological mechanisms for the differential effects of PCV13 on nasal carriage between healthy Malawian and UK populations. We will conduct a double-blinded randomised controlled trial to vaccinate (1:1) participants with either PCV13 or control (normal saline). After a period of one month, participants will be inoculated with S. pneumoniae serotype 6B to experimentally induce nasal carriage using the EHPC method. Subsequently, participants will be invited for a second inoculation after one year to determine longer-term vaccine-induced immunological effects. Primary endpoint: detection of inoculated pneumococci by classical culture from nasal wash recovered from the participants after pneumococcal challenge. Secondary endpoints: local and systemic innate, humoral and cellular responses to PCV-13 with and without pneumococcal nasal carriage The primary objective of this controlled human infection model study is to determine if PCV-13 vaccination is protective against pneumococcal carriage in healthy adult Malawian volunteers. This study will help us to understand the observed differences in PCV-13 efficacy between populations and inform the design of future vaccines relevant to the Malawian population. Trial Registration: Pan African Clinical Trial Registry (REF: PACTR202008503507113).

Health and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in children across eight European countries

AIMS

V114, a 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV15) currently approved in adults in the US, contains the 13 S. pneumoniae serotypes in PCV13 and two additional serotypes, 22 F and 33 F, which are important contributors to residual PD. This study quantified the health and economic burden of pediatric invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) associated with V114 serotypes in eight countries in Europe.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model estimated V114-type IPD cases and costs in hypothetical unvaccinated birth cohorts from Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, Norway, Spain, Switzerland, and the UK over 20 years. Inputs were obtained from published literature. IPD cases and costs were calculated for three time periods using time-specific epidemiological data: (a) pre-PCV7; (b) pre-PCV13; and (c) post-PCV13. Costs were estimated from a societal perspective (2018 Euros) and discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

The model estimated that 4,649 IPD cases in the pre-PCV7 period, 3,248 cases in the pre-PCV13 period, and 958 cases in the post-PCV13 period were attributable to V114 serotypes. Total discounted costs associated with V114 serotypes were €109.1 million (pre-PCV7 period), €65.7 million (pre-PCV13 period), and €18.7 million (post-PCV13 period).

LIMITATIONS

Post-meningitis sequelae, acute otitis media, and non-bacteremic pneumonia were not considered. Direct non-medical costs were not included. Conclusions on effectiveness of V114 or added value over existing infant vaccination programs cannot be drawn.

CONCLUSIONS

IPD cases and costs were estimated in hypothetical birth cohorts in eight European countries followed for 20 years during three time periods. Serotypes included in V114 were associated with significant morbidity and costs in pre-PCV7, pre-PCV13, and post-PCV13 periods. Future pediatric pneumococcal vaccines should maintain protection against serotypes in licensed vaccines while extending coverage to additional serotypes to ensure reductions in IPD burden are maintained.

Study Protocol for Preventing Early-Onset Pneumonia in Young Children Through Maternal Immunisation: A Multi-Centre Randomised Controlled Trial (PneuMatters)

Background: Preventing and/or reducing acute lower respiratory infections (ALRIs) in young children will lead to substantial short and long-term clinical benefits. While immunisation with pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCV) reduces paediatric ALRIs, its efficacy for reducing infant ALRIs following maternal immunisation has not been studied. Compared to other PCVs, the 10-valent pneumococcal-Haemophilus influenzae Protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV) is unique as it includes target antigens from two common lower airway pathogens, pneumococcal capsular polysaccharides and protein D, which is a conserved H. influenzae outer membrane lipoprotein. Aims: The primary aim of this randomised controlled trial (RCT) is to determine whether vaccinating pregnant women with PHiD-CV (compared to controls) reduces ALRIs in their infants' first year of life. Our secondary aims are to evaluate the impact of maternal PHiD-CV vaccination on different ALRI definitions and, in a subgroup, the infants' nasopharyngeal carriage of pneumococci and H. influenzae, and their immune responses to pneumococcal vaccine type serotypes and protein D. Methods: We are undertaking a parallel, multicentre, superiority RCT (1:1 allocation) at four sites across two countries (Australia, Malaysia). Healthy pregnant Australian First Nation or Malaysian women aged 17-40 years with singleton pregnancies between 27⁺⁶ and 34⁺⁶ weeks gestation are randomly assigned to receive either a single dose of PHiD-CV or usual care. Treatment allocation is concealed. Study outcome assessors are blinded to treatment arms. Our primary outcome is the rate of medically attended ALRIs by 12-months of age. Blood and nasopharyngeal swabs are collected from infants at birth, and at ages 6- and 12-months (in a subset). Our planned sample size (n = 292) provides 88% power (includes 10% anticipated loss to follow-up). Discussion: Results from this RCT potentially leads to prevention of early and recurrent ALRIs and thus preservation of lung health during the infant's vulnerable period when lung growth is maximum. The multicentre nature of our study increases the generalisability of its future findings and is complemented by assessing the microbiological and immunological outcomes in a subset of infants. Clinical Trial Registration: https://www.anzctr.org.au/Trial/Registration/TrialReview.aspx?id=374381, identifier: ACTRN12618000150246.

Health and economic burden associated with 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine serotypes in children in the United States

AIMS

V114 is an investigational 15-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) containing the 13 Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes in 13-valent PCV (PCV13) plus two additional serotypes. This study quantified the health and economic burden of invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) and acute otitis media (AOM) caused by V114 types among children in the United States.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

A Markov model estimated the number of V114-type IPD and AOM cases and costs in a hypothetical, unvaccinated US birth cohort over 20 years. Three time periods were analyzed using time-specific epidemiological data to determine the number of IPD and AOM cases associated with all 15 serotypes in V114. The time periods were: (1) pre-PCV7 (1999); (2) pre-PCV13 (2009); (3) post-PCV13 (2017). Costs were estimated from a societal perspective (2018 US dollars) and discounted at 3%.

RESULTS

The model estimated 18,983 IPD cases and 5.4 million AOM cases associated with V114 serotypes pre-PCV7, 4,697 IPD cases and 3.0 million AOM cases pre-PCV13, and 948 IPD cases and 0.2 million AOM cases post-PCV13. Total discounted costs associated with V114 serotypes were $1.7 billion pre-PCV7, $730 million pre-PCV13, and $75 million US dollars post-PCV13.

LIMITATIONS

Post-meningitis sequelae, cases of non-bacteremic pneumonia, and direct non-medical costs were not included.

CONCLUSIONS

IPD and AOM cases and costs were estimated in a hypothetical US birth cohort followed for 20 years at three time periods. In all three periods, the serotypes targeted by V114 contributed to significant morbidity and costs. New pediatric pneumococcal vaccines must continue to retain serotypes in licensed vaccines to maintain disease reduction while extending coverage to non-vaccine serotypes.

Cost-effectiveness of a national immunization program with the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine compared with the 10-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine in South Korea

Introduction

Globally, pneumococcal disease represents a significant burden. South Korea implemented the 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7) in 2003, replaced with the 10-valent (PCV10) and 13-valent (PCV13) vaccine in 2010. In 2014, both vaccines were introduced in the national immunization program (NIP) for infants with 3 primary doses and one booster dose We performed a cost-effectiveness evaluation to elucidate which vaccine may be expected to provide greater impact if included in a NIP.

Methodology

Using an established model, we estimated the impact of introducing either PCV13 or PCV10 into the South Korean NIP in 2015. Vaccine impact was based on historic observed impact of PCV13 from 2010 to 2015 in Korea given high uptake of PCV13, and PCV10 impact was estimated based on experiences in countries using PCV10. Incidence and costs for all ages and including invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media were derived from the literature and Health Insurance Review and Assessment database.

Results

In the base-case, over 5-years PCV13 was estimated to avert 550,000 more cases of pneumococcal disease compared to PCV10, driven by broader serotype coverage and less replacement due to serotypes 3 and 19A. This translated to a cost-savings of $47.4 million USD despite PCV13’s higher cost. Sensitivity analysis found incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) ranged from cost-saving to $7,300 USD per quality-adjusted life year (QALY).

Conclusion

A NIP using PCV13 was estimated to have a more substantial public health impact and be cost-saving compared to a program with PCV10 due to broader serotype coverage.

Estimating the Impact of Switching from a Lower to Higher Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine in Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Widespread use of ten-valent (Synflorix™, GSK) or 13-valent (Prevenar 13™; Pfizer) conjugate vaccination programs has effectively reduced invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) globally. However, IPD caused by serotypes not contained within the respective vaccines continues to increase, notably serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A in countries using lower-valent vaccines. Our objective was to estimate the clinical and economic benefit of replacing PCV10 with PCV13 in Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands.

METHODS

Country-specific databases, supplemented with published and unpublished data, informed the historical incidence of pneumococcal disease as well as direct and indirect medical costs. A decision-analytic forecasting model was applied, and both costs and outcomes were discounted. The observed invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) trends from each country were used to forecast the future number of IPD cases given a PCV13 or PCV10 program.

RESULTS

Over a 5-year time horizon, a switch to a PCV13 program was estimated to reduce overall IPD among 0-2 year olds by an incremental - 37.6% in Colombia, - 32.9% in Finland, and - 26% in The Netherlands, respectively, over PCV10. Adults > 65 years experienced a comparable incremental decrease in overall IPD in Colombia (- 32.2%), Finland (- 15%), and The Netherlands (- 3.7%). Serotypes 3, 6A, and 19A drove the incremental decrease in disease for PCV13 over PCV10 in both age groups. A PCV13 program was dominant in Colombia and Finland and cost-effective in The Netherlands at 1 × GDP per capita (€34,054/QALY).

CONCLUSION

In Colombia, Finland, and The Netherlands, countries with diverse epidemiologic and population distributions, switching from a PCV10 to PCV13 program would significantly reduce the burden of IPD in all three countries in as few as 5 years.

Cost-Effectiveness Comparison of Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccines in Turkish Children

BACKGROUND

The 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13) is used for universal infant vaccination in Turkey.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost effectiveness of replacing PCV13 with pneumococcal nontypeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV).

METHODS

A Markov cohort model with monthly cycles following 1 cohort of infants over a 10-year time horizon was used. Local input parameters were obtained from published sources and expert consultation whenever possible. The model was adapted to estimate the health benefits and economic impact of each vaccine on invasive pneumococcal disease, pneumonia, and acute otitis media (AOM). An annual discount rate of 3% was used for benefits and costs (2016 euros).

RESULTS

Under base-case assumptions, vaccinating 1 birth cohort of 1 325 783 infants with PHiD-CV instead of PCV13 was predicted to have the same impact on meningitis and pneumonia, a similar impact on bacteremia (+30 cases), but greater reductions in AOM-related general practitioner visits (-34 955) and hospitalizations (-624). Assuming equal vaccine prices, PHiD-CV was predicted to be dominant over PCV13 (176 additional quality-adjusted life-years while saving €635 330 [discounted]). One-way sensitivity analysis indicated that varying the vaccine price differential had the largest effect on the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio, and then AOM parameters. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis predicted PHiD-CV to be dominant over PCV13 in 92.4% of simulations.

CONCLUSIONS

Any difference in price between PHiD-CV and PCV13 is expected to be the key driver of vaccine choice for preventing childhood pneumococcal disease in Turkey. At price parity, PHiD-CV use is likely to be a dominant strategy over the use of PCV13.

Safety and Efficacy of Pneumococcal Vaccination in Pediatric Nephrotic Syndrome

Nephrotic syndrome affects both children and adults. Idiopathic nephrotic syndrome is reported to be one of the most frequent renal pathologies in childhood. Nephrotic children are at high risk for severe pneumococcal infections as one of the life-threatening complications of nephrotic syndrome due to involvement of the immunosuppressive regimen and the acquired immune deficiency induced by nephrotic syndrome including decreased plasma IgG and low complement system components. Aiming to prevent pneumococcal infection is of paramount importance especially in this era of ever-increasing pneumococcal resistance to penicillins and cephalosporins. The pneumococcal vaccines currently available are inactivated vaccines-the two main forms in use are polysaccharide vaccines and conjugated vaccines. However, the data supporting the use of these vaccines and to guide the timing and dosage recommendations is still limited for nephrotic children. Thus, this review discusses the evidences of immunogenicity and safety profile of both vaccinations on nephrotic patients as well as the effect of nephrotic syndrome treatment on vaccine seroresponses.

Potential targets for next generation antimicrobial glycoconjugate vaccines

Cell surface carbohydrates have been proven optimal targets for vaccine development. Conjugation of polysaccharides to a carrier protein triggers a T-cell-dependent immune response to the glycan moiety. Licensed glycoconjugate vaccines are produced by chemical conjugation of capsular polysaccharides to prevent meningitis caused by meningococcus, pneumococcus and Haemophilus influenzae type b. However, other classes of carbohydrates (O-antigens, exopolysaccharides, wall/teichoic acids) represent attractive targets for developing vaccines. Recent analysis from WHO/CHO underpins alarming concern toward antibiotic-resistant bacteria, such as the so called ESKAPE pathogens (Enterococcus faecium, Staphylococcus aureus, Klebsiella pneumoniae, Acinetobacter baumannii, Pseudomonas aeruginosa and Enterobacter spp.) and additional pathogens such as Clostridium difficile and Group A Streptococcus. Fungal infections are also becoming increasingly invasive for immunocompromised patients or hospitalized individuals. Other emergencies could derive from bacteria which spread during environmental calamities (Vibrio cholerae) or with potential as bioterrorism weapons (Burkholderia pseudomallei and mallei, Francisella tularensis). Vaccination could aid reducing the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics and provide protection by herd immunity also to individuals who are not vaccinated.

This review analyzes structural and functional differences of the polysaccharides exposed on the surface of emerging pathogenic bacteria, combined with medical need and technological feasibility of corresponding glycoconjugate vaccines.

Clinical and Economic Impact of a Potential Switch from 13-Valent to 10-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Infant Vaccination in Canada

INTRODUCTION

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have been available in Canada since 2001, with 13-valent PCV (PCV13) added to the infant routine immunization program throughout all Canadian provinces by 2011. The use of PCVs has dramatically reduced the burden of pneumococcal disease in Canada. As a result, decision-makers may consider switching from a more costly, higher-valent vaccine to a lower-cost, lower-valent vaccine in an attempt to allocate funds for other vaccine programs. We assessed the health and economic impact of switching the infant vaccination program from PCV13 to 10-valent PCV (PCV10) in the context of the Canadian health care system.

METHODS

We performed a review of Canadian databases supplemented with published and unpublished data to obtain the historical incidence of pneumococcal disease and direct and indirect medical costs. Observed invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) trends from surveillance data were used as a basis to forecast the future number of cases of IPD, pneumococcal pneumonia, and acute otitis media given a PCV13- or PCV10-based program. Costs and outcomes over 10 years were then estimated and presented in 2017 Canadian dollars discounted at 3% per year.

RESULTS

Switching from PCV13 to PCV10 would result in an additional 762,531 cases of pneumococcal disease over 10 years. Although PCV13 has a higher acquisition cost, switching to PCV10 would increase overall costs by over $500 million. Forecasted overall disease incidence was estimated substantially higher with PCV10 than with PCV13 primarily because of the potential reemergence of serotypes 3 and 19A. PCV13 was also cost saving compared with PCV10, even within a 5-year time horizon. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that a PCV13-based program remained cost saving in all simulations.

CONCLUSION

Although switching to a PCV10-based infant vaccination program in Canada might result in lower acquisition costs, it would also result in higher public health cost and burden because of serotype reemergence.

FUNDING

Pfizer Inc.

Best practice assessment of disease modelling for infectious disease outbreaks

During emerging disease outbreaks, public health, emergency management officials and decision-makers increasingly rely on epidemiological models to forecast outbreak progression and determine the best response to health crisis needs. Outbreak response strategies derived from such modelling may include pharmaceutical distribution, immunisation campaigns, social distancing, prophylactic pharmaceuticals, medical care, bed surge, security and other requirements. Infectious disease modelling estimates are unavoidably subject to multiple interpretations, and full understanding of a model's limitations may be lost when provided from the disease modeller to public health practitioner to government policymaker. We review epidemiological models created for diseases which are of greatest concern for public health protection. Such diseases, whether transmitted from person-to-person (Ebola, influenza, smallpox), via direct exposure (anthrax), or food and waterborne exposure (cholera, typhoid) may cause severe illness and death in a large population. We examine disease-specific models to determine best practices characterising infectious disease outbreaks and facilitating emergency response and implementation of public health policy and disease control measures.

Text message intervention to reduce frequency of binge drinking among disadvantaged men: the TRAM RCT

Background

Socially disadvantaged men are more likely to binge drink frequently and to experience high levels of alcohol-related harm.

Objectives

To test the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a text message intervention in reducing the frequency of binge drinking among disadvantaged men.

Study design

A four-centre, parallel-group, pragmatic, individually randomised controlled trial was conducted. Randomisation was carried out using a secure remote web-based system. It was stratified by participating centre and recruitment method and restricted using block sizes of randomly varying lengths.

Setting

The study was conducted in the community. Members of the public helped to develop the study methods.

Participants

Participants were men aged 25–44 years who had ≥ 2 episodes of binge drinking (> 8 units of alcohol in a single session) in the preceding 28 days. Men were recruited from areas of high deprivation.

Interventions

An empirically and theoretically based text message intervention was delivered by 112 interactive text messages over a 12-week period. The control group received an attentional control comprising 89 text messages on general health.

Primary outcome measure

The primary outcome measure was the proportion of men consuming > 8 units of alcohol on ≥ 3 occasions (in the previous 28 days) at 12 months post intervention.

Results

The recruitment target of 798 was exceeded and 825 men were randomised. Retention was high and similar in the intervention (84.9%) and control (86.5%) groups. Most men in the intervention group engaged enthusiastically with the text messages: almost all (92%) replied to text messages and over two-thirds (67%) replied more than 10 times. The intervention was estimated to have had a modest, statistically non-significant effect on the primary outcome at the 12-month follow-up [odds ratio 0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.57 to 1.08]. This corresponds to a net reduction of 5.7% in regular binge drinking. Five secondary outcomes showed small non-significant and inconsistent effects on alcohol consumption, with one suggesting a positive effect and four suggesting an adverse effect. Both the short- and the long-term cost per quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) analysis suggested that the brief intervention was dominated by a ‘do-nothing’ option. The intervention’s impacts on patterns of alcohol consumption, QALYs and downstream costs were inconsistent and uncertain.

Limitations

The study used an active control that, combined with the recruitment procedures and baseline assessments, could have biased the treatment effect towards the null. The measurement of alcohol consumption relied on self-reported drinking.

Conclusions

The trial has demonstrated that it is possible to recruit and retain large numbers of socially disadvantaged men in a research study. The text messages delivered a complex theoretically and empirically based intervention that fostered enthusiastic engagement with the key components of the behaviour change sequence. The intervention produced a modest, statistically non-significant effect on the primary outcome, with wide CIs. Further research is needed to reduce uncertainty about the treatment effect. The methods developed for this study provide a platform for the design and testing of interventions to reduce inequalities in health.

Future work

A future trial could reduce the uncertainty around the treatment effect of the intervention.

Trial registration

Current Controlled Trials ISRCTN07695192.

Funding

This study was funded by the National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) Public Health Research programme and will be published in full in Public Health Research; Vol. 6, No. 6. See NIHR Journals Library website for further information.

A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of the 10-Valent Pneumococcal Non-Typeable Haemophilus influenzae Protein D Conjugate Vaccine (PHiD-CV) Compared to the 13-Valent Pneumococcal Conjugate Vaccine (PCV13) for Universal Mass Vaccination Implementation in New Zealand

OBJECTIVES

Invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD), pneumonia and acute otitis media (AOM) still represent a significant medical burden in children < 5 years of age in New Zealand (NZ), with marked disparities across socio-economic and ethnic groups. This cost-effectiveness evaluation aims to compare the potential impact of two childhood universal immunisation strategies: vaccination with a 3 + 1 schedule of the 10-valent pneumococcal non-typeable Haemophilus influenzae protein D conjugate vaccine (PHiD-CV, Synflorix, GSK) and the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV13, Prevenar 13, Pfizer).

METHODS

A static Markov-process cohort model was used to simulate the epidemiological and economic burden of pneumococcal diseases on a single-birth cohort over its lifetime. Costs and outcomes were discounted annually at 3.5%. Epidemiological and cost inputs were extracted from the most recently available NZ data, or derived from the most relevant reference countries' sources. The most updated evidence on the efficacies of the corresponding vaccines were used, particularly the significant effectiveness for PHiD-CV against IPD caused by serotype 19A.

RESULTS

The model estimated that both vaccines have a broadly comparable impact on IPD-related diseases and pneumonia. Due to the additional benefits possible through broader impact on AOM, PHiD-CV is estimated to potentially provide additional discounted cost offsets of approximately NZD 0.8 million over the lifetime of the birth cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

To ensure health equity in children, given the substantial burden of pneumonia and AOM, decision-makers should also take into account the impact of PCVs on these diseases for decisions relating to routine infant immunization.

GSK STUDY IDENTIFIER

HO-15-16775.

Cost-effectiveness analysis of routine 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccinations in Chinese infants

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of the 13-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV-13) compared to a no vaccination strategy in Chinese infants.

METHODS

A Markov process model was developed to examine the outcomes of PCV-13 against a no vaccination strategy using data and assumptions adapted for relevance to China. Outcomes over a lifetime horizon are presented. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to determine the uncertainty.

RESULTS

Compared to no vaccination, a PCV-13 vaccination program would provide a gain of 0.009 additional quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) per subject. From the health care and societal perspectives, the incremental costs per QALY were $20,709 and 18,483, respectively. When herd effect was included, the cost effectiveness of the PCV-13 vaccination strategy was notably improved. The lower price of PCV-13 will improve the cost-effectiveness.

CONCLUSIONS

The PCV-13 vaccination is likely to be cost-effective at the current Chinese prices and ceiling threshold ($8,382).

Cost-effectiveness of the Haemophilus influenzae type b vaccine for infants in mainland China

OBJECTIVE

The aims of this study were to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) vaccine for the prevention of childhood pneumonia, meningitis and other vaccine-preventable diseases in mainland China from a societal perspective and to provide information about the addition of the Hib vaccine to Chinese immunization programs.

METHODS

A decision tree and the Markov model were used to estimate the costs and effectiveness of the Hib vaccine versus no Hib vaccine for a birth cohort of 100,000 children in 2016. The disease burden was estimated from the literature, statistical yearbooks and field surveys. Vaccine costs were calculated from government reports and the United Nations International Children's Emergency Fund (UNICEF) website. The WHO cost-effectiveness thresholds were used to evaluate the Hib vaccine intervention. A one-way sensitivity analysis and probabilistic sensitivity analysis were performed to evaluate the parameter uncertainties.

RESULTS

Within the hypothetical cohort, under a vaccination coverage of 90%, the Hib vaccine could reduce 91.4% of Hib pneumonia and 88.3% of Hib meningitis; the Hib vaccine could also prevent 25 deaths, 24 meningitis sequelae cases and 9 hearing loss cases caused by Hib infection. From a societal perspective, the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of the Hib vaccine compared with no vaccination was US$ 13,640.1 at the market price, which was less than 3 times the GDP per capita of China in 2016. The ICER of the Hib vaccine was US$ -59,122.9 at the UNICEF price, indicating a cost savings. The largest portion of the uncertainty in the result was caused by the annual incidence of all-cause pneumonia, proportion of pneumonia caused by Hi, vaccine costs per dose, annual incidence of Hib meningitis and costs per episode of meningitis. The models were robust considering parameter uncertainties.

CONCLUSION

The Hib vaccine is a cost-effective intervention among children in mainland China. The cost of Hib vaccine should be reduced, and it should be introduced into Chinese immunization programs.

Streptococcus pneumoniae Otitis Media Pathogenesis and How It Informs Our Understanding of Vaccine Strategies

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

This study aimed to review the literature regarding the mechanisms of transition from asymptomatic colonization to induction of otitis media and how the insight into the pathogenesis of otitis media has the potential to help design future otitis media-directed vaccines.

RECENT FINDINGS

Respiratory viruses have long been shown to predispose individuals to bacterial respiratory infections, such as otitis media. Recent information suggests that Streptococcus pneumoniae, which colonize the nasopharynx asymptomatically, can sense potentially "threatening" changes in the nasopharyngeal environment caused by virus infection by upregulating specific sets of genes involved in biofilm release, dissemination from the nasopharynx to other sites, and protection against the host immune system. Furthermore, an understanding of the transcriptional and proteomic changes occurring in bacteria during transition to infection has led to identification of novel vaccine targets that are disease-specific and will not affect asymptomatic colonization. This approach will avoid major changes in the delicate balance of microorganisms in the respiratory tract microbiome due to elimination of S. pneumoniae.

SUMMARY

Our recent findings are reviewed in the context of the current literature on the epidemiology and pathogenesis of otitis media. We also discuss how other otopathogens, such as Haemophilus influenzae and Moraxella catarrhalis, as well as the normal respiratory microbiome, can modulate the ability of pneumococci to cause infection. Furthermore, the unsatisfactory protection offered by the pneumococcal conjugate vaccines is highlighted and we review potential future strategies emerging to confer a more specific protection against otitis media.