Multiscale cancer modeling

Agent-based modeling in cancer biomedicine: applications and tools for calibration and validation

Computational models are not just appealing because they can simulate and predict the development of biological phenomena across multiple spatial and temporal scales, but also because they can integrate information from well-established in vitro and in vivo models and test new hypotheses in cancer biomedicine. Agent-based models and simulations are especially interesting candidates among computational modeling procedures in cancer research due to the capability to, for instance, recapitulate the dynamics of neoplasia and tumor - host interactions. Yet, the absence of methods to validate the consistency of the results across scales can hinder adoption by turning fine-tuned models into black boxes. This review compiles relevant literature that explores strategies to leverage high-fidelity simulations of multi-scale, or multi-level, cancer models with a focus on verification approached as simulation calibration. We consolidate our review with an outline of modern approaches for agent-based models' validation and provide an ambitious outlook toward rigorous and reliable calibration.

Modeling tumors as complex ecosystems

Many cancers resist therapeutic intervention. This is fundamentally related to intratumor heterogeneity: multiple cell populations, each with different phenotypic signatures, coexist within a tumor and its metastases. Like species in an ecosystem, cancer populations are intertwined in a complex network of ecological interactions. Most mathematical models of tumor ecology, however, cannot account for such phenotypic diversity or predict its consequences. Here, we propose that the generalized Lotka-Volterra model (GLV), a standard tool to describe species-rich ecological communities, provides a suitable framework to model the ecology of heterogeneous tumors. We develop a GLV model of tumor growth and discuss how its emerging properties provide a new understanding of the disease. We discuss potential extensions of the model and their application to phenotypic plasticity, cancer-immune interactions, and metastatic growth. Our work outlines a set of questions and a road map for further research in cancer ecology.

Next-generation chemotherapy treatments based on black hole algorithms: From cancer remission to chronic disease management

PROBLEM

Therapeutic planning strategies have been developed to enhance the effectiveness of cancer drugs. Nevertheless, their performance is highly limited by the inefficient biological representativeness of predictive tumor growth models, which hinders their translation to clinical practice.

OBJECTIVE

This study proposes a disruptive approach to oncology based on nature-inspired control using realistic Black Hole physical laws, in which tumor masses are trapped to experience attraction dynamics on their path to complete remission or to become a chronic disease. This control method is designed to operate independently of individual patient idiosyncrasies, including high tumor heterogeneities and highly uncertain tumor dynamics, making it a promising avenue for advancing beyond the limitations of the traditional survival probabilistic paradigm.

DESIGN

Here, we provide a multifaceted study of chemotherapy therapeutic planning that includes: (1) the design of a pioneering controller algorithm based on physical laws found in the Black Holes; (2) investigation of the ability of this controller algorithm to ensure stable equilibrium treatments; and (3) simulation tests concerning tumor volume dynamics using drugs with significantly different pharmacokinetics (Cyclophosphamide and Atezolizumab), tumor volumes (200 mm3 and 12 732 mm3) and modeling characterizations (Gompertzian and Logistic tumor growth models).

RESULTS

Our results highlight the ability of this new astrophysical-inspired control algorithm to perform effective chemotherapy treatments for multiple tumor-treatment scenarios, including tumor resistance to chemotherapy, clinical scenarios modelled by time-dependent parameters, and highly uncertain tumor dynamics.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings provide strong evidence that cancer therapy inspired by phenomena found in black holes can emerge as a disruptive paradigm. This opens new high-impacting research directions, exploring synergies between astrophysical-inspired control algorithms and Artificial Intelligence applied to advanced personalized cancer therapeutics.

Drug-loaded nanoparticles for cancer therapy: a high-throughput multicellular agent-based modeling study

Interactions between biological systems and engineered nanomaterials have become an important area of study due to the application of nanomaterials in medicine. In particular, the application of nanomaterials for cancer diagnosis or treatment presents a challenging opportunity due to the complex biology of this disease spanning multiple time and spatial scales. A system-level analysis would benefit from mathematical modeling and computational simulation to explore the interactions between anticancer drug-loaded nanoparticles (NPs), cells, and tissues, and the associated parameters driving this system and a patient's overall response. Although a number of models have explored these interactions in the past, few have focused on simulating individual cell-NP interactions. This study develops a multicellular agent-based model of cancer nanotherapy that simulates NP internalization, drug release within the cell cytoplasm, "inheritance" of NPs by daughter cells at cell division, cell pharmacodynamic response to the intracellular drug, and overall drug effect on tumor dynamics. A large-scale parallel computational framework is used to investigate the impact of pharmacokinetic design parameters (NP internalization rate, NP decay rate, anticancer drug release rate) and therapeutic strategies (NP doses and injection frequency) on the tumor dynamics. In particular, through the exploration of NP "inheritance" at cell division, the results indicate that cancer treatment may be improved when NPs are inherited at cell division for cytotoxic chemotherapy. Moreover, smaller dosage of cytostatic chemotherapy may also improve inhibition of tumor growth when cell division is not completely inhibited. This work suggests that slow delivery by "heritable" NPs can drive new dimensions of nanotherapy design for more sustained therapeutic response.

Modeling free tumor growth: Discrete, continuum, and hybrid approaches to interpreting cancer development

Tumor growth dynamics serve as a critical aspect of understanding cancer progression and treatment response to mitigate one of the most pressing challenges in healthcare. The in silico approach to understanding tumor behavior computationally provides an efficient, cost-effective alternative to wet-lab examinations and are adaptable to different environmental conditions, time scales, and unique patient parameters. As a result, this paper explored modeling of free tumor growth in cancer, surveying contemporary literature on continuum, discrete, and hybrid approaches. Factors like predictive power and high-resolution simulation competed against drawbacks like simulation load and parameter feasibility in these models. Understanding tumor behavior in different scenarios and contexts became the first step in advancing cancer research and revolutionizing clinical outcomes.

Patient-Specific, Mechanistic Models of Tumor Growth Incorporating Artificial Intelligence and Big Data

Despite the remarkable advances in cancer diagnosis, treatment, and management over the past decade, malignant tumors remain a major public health problem. Further progress in combating cancer may be enabled by personalizing the delivery of therapies according to the predicted response for each individual patient. The design of personalized therapies requires the integration of patient-specific information with an appropriate mathematical model of tumor response. A fundamental barrier to realizing this paradigm is the current lack of a rigorous yet practical mathematical theory of tumor initiation, development, invasion, and response to therapy. We begin this review with an overview of different approaches to modeling tumor growth and treatment, including mechanistic as well as data-driven models based on big data and artificial intelligence. We then present illustrative examples of mathematical models manifesting their utility and discuss the limitations of stand-alone mechanistic and data-driven models. We then discuss the potential of mechanistic models for not only predicting but also optimizing response to therapy on a patient-specific basis. We describe current efforts and future possibilities to integrate mechanistic and data-driven models. We conclude by proposing five fundamental challenges that must be addressed to fully realize personalized care for cancer patients driven by computational models.

Morphological Stability for in silico Models of Avascular Tumors

The landscape of computational modeling in cancer systems biology is diverse, offering a spectrum of models and frameworks, each with its own trade-offs and advantages. Ideally, models are meant to be useful in refining hypotheses, to sharpen experimental procedures and, in the longer run, even for applications in personalized medicine. One of the greatest challenges is to balance model realism and detail with experimental data to eventually produce useful data-driven models. We contribute to this quest by developing a transparent, highly parsimonious, first principle in silico model of a growing avascular tumor. We initially formulate the physiological considerations and the specific model within a stochastic cell-based framework. We next formulate a corresponding mean-field model using partial differential equations which is amenable to mathematical analysis. Despite a few notable differences between the two models, we are in this way able to successfully detail the impact of all parameters in the stability of the growth process and on the eventual tumor fate of the stochastic model. This facilitates the deduction of Bayesian priors for a given situation, but also provides important insights into the underlying mechanism of tumor growth and progression. Although the resulting model framework is relatively simple and transparent, it can still reproduce the full range of known emergent behavior. We identify a novel model instability arising from nutrient starvation and we also discuss additional insight concerning possible model additions and the effects of those. Thanks to the framework's flexibility, such additions can be readily included whenever the relevant data become available.

Modeling tumors as species-rich ecological communities

Many advanced cancers resist therapeutic intervention. This process is fundamentally related to intra-tumor heterogeneity: multiple cell populations, each with different mutational and phenotypic signatures, coexist within a tumor and its metastatic nodes. Like species in an ecosystem, many cancer cell populations are intertwined in a complex network of ecological interactions. Most mathematical models of tumor ecology, however, cannot account for such phenotypic diversity nor are able to predict its consequences. Here we propose that the Generalized Lotka-Volterra model (GLV), a standard tool to describe complex, species-rich ecological communities, provides a suitable framework to describe the ecology of heterogeneous tumors. We develop a GLV model of tumor growth and discuss how its emerging properties, such as outgrowth and multistability, provide a new understanding of the disease. Additionally, we discuss potential extensions of the model and their application to three active areas of cancer research, namely phenotypic plasticity, the cancer-immune interplay and the resistance of metastatic tumors to treatment. Our work outlines a set of questions and a tentative road map for further research in cancer ecology.

Stochastic biological system-of-systems modelling for iPSC culture

Large-scale manufacturing of induced pluripotent stem cells (iPSCs) is essential for cell therapies and regenerative medicines. Yet, iPSCs form large cell aggregates in suspension bioreactors, resulting in insufficient nutrient supply and extra metabolic waste build-up for the cells located at the core. Since subtle changes in micro-environment can lead to a heterogeneous cell population, a novel Biological System-of-Systems (Bio-SoS) framework is proposed to model cell-to-cell interactions, spatial and metabolic heterogeneity, and cell response to micro-environmental variation. Building on stochastic metabolic reaction network, aggregation kinetics, and reaction-diffusion mechanisms, the Bio-SoS model characterizes causal interdependencies at individual cell, aggregate, and cell population levels. It has a modular design that enables data integration and improves predictions for different monolayer and aggregate culture processes. In addition, a variance decomposition analysis is derived to quantify the impact of factors (i.e., aggregate size) on cell product health and quality heterogeneity.

Agent-based approach for elucidating the release from collective arrest of cell motion in corneal epithelial cell sheet

Changes in cell fluidity have been observed in various cellular tissues and are strongly linked to biological phenomena such as self-organization. Recent studies suggested variety of mechanisms and factors, which are still being investigated. This study aimed to investigate changes in cell fluidity in multi-layered cell sheets, by exploring the collective arrest of cell motion and its release in cultures of corneal epithelial cells. We constructed mathematical models to simulate the behaviors of individual cells, including cell differentiation and time-dependent changes in cell-cell connections, which are defined by stochastic or kinetic rules. Changes in cell fluidity and cell sheet structures were expressed by simulating autonomous cell behaviors and interactions in tissues using an agent-based model. A single-cell level spatiotemporal analysis of cell state transition between migratable and non-migratable states revealed that the release from collective arrest of cell motion was initially triggered by a decreased ability to form cell-cell connections in the suprabasal layers, and was propagated by chain migration. Notably, the disruption of cell-cell connections and stratification occurred in the region of migratable state cells. Hence, a modeling approach that considers time-dependent changes in cell properties and behavior, and spatiotemporal analysis at the single-cell level can effectively delineate emergent phenomena arising from the complex interplay of cells.

An in silico model of the capturing of magnetic nanoparticles in tumour spheroids in the presence of flow

One of the main challenges in improving the efficacy of conventional chemotherapeutic drugs is that they do not reach the cancer cells at sufficiently high doses while at the same time affecting healthy tissue and causing significant side effects and suffering in cancer patients. To overcome this deficiency, magnetic nanoparticles as transporter systems have emerged as a promising approach to achieve more specific tumour targeting. Drug-loaded magnetic nanoparticles can be directed to the target tissue by applying an external magnetic field. However, the magnetic forces exerted on the nanoparticles fall off rapidly with distance, making the tumour targeting challenging, even more so in the presence of flowing blood or interstitial fluid. We therefore present a computational model of the capturing of magnetic nanoparticles in a test setup: our model includes the flow around the tumour, the magnetic forces that guide the nanoparticles, and the transport within the tumour. We show how a model for the transport of magnetic nanoparticles in an external magnetic field can be integrated with a multiphase tumour model based on the theory of porous media. Our approach based on the underlying physical mechanisms can provide crucial insights into mechanisms that cannot be studied conclusively in experimental research alone. Such a computational model enables an efficient and systematic exploration of the nanoparticle design space, first in a controlled test setup and then in more complex in vivo scenarios. As an effective tool for minimising costly trial-and-error design methods, it expedites translation into clinical practice to improve therapeutic outcomes and limit adverse effects for cancer patients.

Development and Analysis of Multiscale Models for Tuberculosis: From Molecules to Populations

Although infectious disease dynamics are often analyzed at the macro-scale, increasing numbers of drug-resistant infections highlight the importance of within-host modeling that simultaneously solves across multiple scales to effectively respond to epidemics. We review multiscale modeling approaches for complex, interconnected biological systems and discuss critical steps involved in building, analyzing, and applying such models within the discipline of model credibility. We also present our two tools: CaliPro, for calibrating multiscale models (MSMs) to datasets, and tunable resolution, for fine- and coarse-graining sub-models while retaining insights. We include as an example our work simulating infection with Mycobacterium tuberculosis to demonstrate modeling choices and how predictions are made to generate new insights and test interventions. We discuss some of the current challenges of incorporating novel datasets, rigorously training computational biologists, and increasing the reach of MSMs. We also offer several promising future research directions of incorporating within-host dynamics into applications ranging from combinatorial treatment to epidemic response.

Visualization of Self-Assembly and Hydration of a β-Hairpin through Integrated Small and Wide-Angle Neutron Scattering

Fundamental understanding of the structure and assembly of nanoscale building blocks is crucial for the development of novel biomaterials with defined architectures and function. However, accessing self-consistent structural information across multiple length scales is challenging. This limits opportunities to exploit atomic scale interactions to achieve emergent macroscale properties. In this work we present an integrative small- and wide-angle neutron scattering approach coupled with computational modeling to reveal the multiscale structure of hierarchically self-assembled β hairpins in aqueous solution across 4 orders of magnitude in length scale from 0.1 Å to 300 nm. Our results demonstrate the power of this self-consistent cross-length scale approach and allows us to model both the large-scale self-assembly and small-scale hairpin hydration of the model β hairpin CLN025. Using this combination of techniques, we map the hydrophobic/hydrophilic character of this model self-assembled biomolecular surface with atomic resolution. These results have important implications for the multiscale investigation of aqueous peptides and proteins, for the prediction of ligand binding and molecular associations for drug design, and for understanding the self-assembly of peptides and proteins for functional biomaterials.

Modelling Keloids Dynamics: A Brief Review and New Mathematical Perspectives

Keloids are fibroproliferative disorders described by excessive growth of fibrotic tissue, which also invades adjacent areas (beyond the original wound borders). Since these disorders are specific to humans (no other animal species naturally develop keloid-like tissue), experimental in vivo/in vitro research has not led to significant advances in this field. One possible approach could be to combine in vitro human models with calibrated in silico mathematical approaches (i.e., models and simulations) to generate new testable biological hypotheses related to biological mechanisms and improved treatments. Because these combined approaches do not really exist for keloid disorders, in this brief review we start by summarising the biology of these disorders, then present various types of mathematical and computational approaches used for related disorders (i.e., wound healing and solid tumours), followed by a discussion of the very few mathematical and computational models published so far to study various inflammatory and mechanical aspects of keloids. We conclude this review by discussing some open problems and mathematical opportunities offered in the context of keloid disorders by such combined in vitro/in silico approaches, and the need for multi-disciplinary research to enable clinical progress.

Multiscale model of the different modes of cancer cell invasion

MOTIVATION

Mathematical models of biological processes altered in cancer are built using the knowledge of complex networks of signaling pathways, detailing the molecular regulations inside different cell types, such as tumor cells, immune and other stromal cells. If these models mainly focus on intracellular information, they often omit a description of the spatial organization among cells and their interactions, and with the tumoral microenvironment.

RESULTS

We present here a model of tumor cell invasion simulated with PhysiBoSS, a multiscale framework, which combines agent-based modeling and continuous time Markov processes applied on Boolean network models. With this model, we aim to study the different modes of cell migration and to predict means to block it by considering not only spatial information obtained from the agent-based simulation but also intracellular regulation obtained from the Boolean model.

Our multiscale model integrates the impact of gene mutations with the perturbation of the environmental conditions and allows the visualization of the results with 2D and 3D representations. The model successfully reproduces single and collective migration processes and is validated on published experiments on cell invasion. In silico experiments are suggested to search for possible targets that can block the more invasive tumoral phenotypes.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

https://github.com/sysbio-curie/Invasion_model_PhysiBoSS.

An Inflection Point in Cancer Protein Biomarkers: What Was and What's Next

Biomarkers remain the highest value proposition in cancer medicine today - especially protein biomarkers. Yet despite decades of evolving regulatory frameworks to facilitate the review of emerging technologies, biomarkers have been mostly about promise with very little to show for improvements in human health. Cancer is an emergent property of a complex system and deconvoluting the integrative and dynamic nature of the overall system through biomarkers is a daunting proposition. The last two decades have seen an explosion of multi-omics profiling and a range of advanced technologies for precision medicine, including the emergence of liquid biopsy, exciting advances in single cell analysis, artificial intelligence (machine and deep learning) for data analysis and many other advanced technologies that promise to transform biomarker discovery. Combining multiple omics modalities to acquire a more comprehensive landscape of the disease state, we are increasingly developing biomarkers to support therapy selection and patient monitoring. Furthering precision medicine, especially in oncology, necessitates moving away from the lens of reductionist thinking towards viewing and understanding that complex diseases are, in fact, complex adaptive systems. As such, we believe it is necessary to re-define biomarkers as representations of biological system states at different hierarchical levels of biological order. This definition could include traditional molecular, histologic, radiographic, or physiological characteristics, as well as emerging classes of digital markers and complex algorithms. To succeed in the future, we must move past purely observational individual studies and instead start building a mechanistic framework to enable integrative analysis of new studies within the context of prior studies. Identifying information in complex systems and applying theoretical constructs, such as information theory, to study cancer as a disease of dysregulated communication could prove to be "game changing" for the clinical outcome of cancer patients.

Data-driven spatio-temporal modelling of glioblastoma

Mathematical oncology provides unique and invaluable insights into tumour growth on both the microscopic and macroscopic levels. This review presents state-of-the-art modelling techniques and focuses on their role in understanding glioblastoma, a malignant form of brain cancer. For each approach, we summarize the scope, drawbacks and assets. We highlight the potential clinical applications of each modelling technique and discuss the connections between the mathematical models and the molecular and imaging data used to inform them. By doing so, we aim to prime cancer researchers with current and emerging computational tools for understanding tumour progression. By providing an in-depth picture of the different modelling techniques, we also aim to assist researchers who seek to build and develop their own models and the associated inference frameworks. Our article thus strikes a unique balance. On the one hand, we provide a comprehensive overview of the available modelling techniques and their applications, including key mathematical expressions. On the other hand, the content is accessible to mathematicians and biomedical scientists alike to accommodate the interdisciplinary nature of cancer research.

Mathematical modeling of cancer immunotherapy for personalized clinical translation

Encouraging advances are being made in cancer immunotherapy modeling, especially in the key areas of developing personalized treatment strategies based on individual patient parameters, predicting treatment outcomes and optimizing immunotherapy synergy when used in combination with other treatment approaches. Here we present a focused review of the most recent mathematical modeling work on cancer immunotherapy with a focus on clinical translatability. It can be seen that this field is transitioning from pure basic science to applications that can make impactful differences in patients' lives. We discuss how researchers are integrating experimental and clinical data to fully inform models so that they can be applied for clinical predictions, and present the challenges that remain to be overcome if widespread clinical adaptation is to be realized. Lastly, we discuss the most promising future applications and areas that are expected to be the focus of extensive upcoming modeling studies.

Highly accurate response prediction in high-risk early breast cancer patients using a biophysical simulation platform

PURPOSE

Pathologic complete response (pCR) to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in early breast cancer (EBC) is largely dependent on breast cancer subtype, but no clinical-grade model exists to predict response and guide selection of treatment. A biophysical simulation of response to NAC has the potential to address this unmet need.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective evaluation of a biophysical simulation model as a predictor of pCR. Patients who received standard NAC at the University of Chicago for EBC between January 1st, 2010 and March 31st, 2020 were included. Response was predicted using baseline breast MRI, clinicopathologic features, and treatment regimen by investigators who were blinded to patient outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 144 tumors from 141 patients were included; 59 were triple-negative, 49 HER2-positive, and 36 hormone-receptor positive/HER2 negative. Lymph node disease was present in half of patients, and most were treated with an anthracycline-based regimen (58.3%). Sensitivity and specificity of the biophysical simulation for pCR were 88.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 75.7 - 95.5) and 89.4% (95% CI 81.3 - 94.8), respectively, with robust results regardless of subtype. In patients with predicted pCR, 5-year event-free survival was 98%, versus 79% with predicted residual disease (log-rank p = 0.01, HR 4.57, 95% CI 1.36 - 15.34). At a median follow-up of 5.4 years, no patients with predicted pCR experienced disease recurrence.

CONCLUSION

A biophysical simulation model accurately predicts pCR and long-term outcomes from baseline MRI and clinical data, and is a promising tool to guide escalation/de-escalation of NAC.

Multiscale modeling of collective cell migration elucidates the mechanism underlying tumor-stromal interactions in different spatiotemporal scales

Metastasis is the pathogenic spread of cancer cells from a primary tumor to a secondary site which happens at the late stages of cancer. It is caused by a variety of biological, chemical, and physical processes, such as molecular interactions, intercellular communications, and tissue-level activities. Complex interactions of cancer cells with their microenvironment components such as cancer associated fibroblasts (CAFs) and extracellular matrix (ECM) cause them to adopt an invasive phenotype that promotes tumor growth and migration. This paper presents a multiscale model for integrating a wide range of time and space interactions at the molecular, cellular, and tissue levels in a three-dimensional domain. The modeling procedure starts with presenting nonlinear dynamics of cancer cells and CAFs using ordinary differential equations based on TGFβ, CXCL12, and LIF signaling pathways. Unknown kinetic parameters in these models are estimated using hybrid unscented Kalman filter and the models are validated using experimental data. Then, the principal role of CAFs on metastasis is revealed by spatial-temporal modeling of circulating signals throughout the TME. At this stage, the model has evolved into a coupled ODE-PDE system that is capable of determining cancer cells' status in one of the quiescent, proliferating or migratory conditions due to certain metastasis factors and ECM characteristics. At the tissue level, we consider a force-based framework to model the cancer cell proliferation and migration as the final step towards cancer cell metastasis. The ability of the multiscale model to depict cancer cells' behavior in different levels of modeling is confirmed by comparing its outputs with the results of RT PCR and wound scratch assay techniques. Performance evaluation of the model indicates that the proposed multiscale model can pave the way for improving the efficiency of therapeutic methods in metastasis prevention.

Combining Mechanisms of Growth Arrest in Solid Tumours: A Mathematical Investigation

The processes underpinning solid tumour growth involve the interactions between various healthy and tumour tissue components and the vasculature, and can be affected in different ways by cancer treatment. In particular, the growth-limiting mechanisms at play may influence tumour responses to treatment. In this paper, we propose a simple ordinary differential equation model of solid tumour growth to investigate how tumour-specific mechanisms of growth arrest may affect tumour response to different combination cancer therapies. We consider the interactions of tumour cells with the physical space in which they proliferate and a nutrient supplied by the tumour vasculature, with the aim of representing two distinct growth arrest mechanisms. More specifically, we wish to consider growth arrest due to (1) nutrient deficiency, which corresponds to balancing cell proliferation and death rates, and (2) competition for space, which corresponds to cessation of proliferation without cell death. We perform numerical simulations of the model and a steady-state analysis to determine the possible tumour growth scenarios described by the model. We find that there are three distinct growth regimes: the nutrient- and spatially limited regimes and a bi-stable regime, in which both growth arrest mechanisms are simultaneously active. Thus, the proposed model has the features required to investigate and distinguish tumour responses to different cancer treatments.

A global method for fast simulations of molecular dynamics in multiscale agent-based models of biological tissues

Agent-based models (ABMs) are a natural platform for capturing the multiple time and spatial scales in biological processes. However, these models are computationally expensive, especially when including molecular-level effects. The traditional approach to simulating this type of multiscale ABM is to solve a system of ordinary differential equations for the molecular events per cell. This significantly adds to the computational cost of simulations as the number of agents grows, which contributes to many ABMs being limited to around10 5 cells. We propose an approach that requires the same computational time independent of the number of agents. This speeds up the entire simulation by orders of magnitude, allowing for more thorough explorations of ABMs with even larger numbers of agents. We use two systems to show that the new method strongly agrees with the traditionally used approach. This computational strategy can be applied to a wide range of biological investigations.

Hybrid modelling of biological systems: current progress and future prospects

Integrated modelling of biological systems is becoming a necessity for constructing models containing the major biochemical processes of such systems in order to obtain a holistic understanding of their dynamics and to elucidate emergent behaviours. Hybrid modelling methods are crucial to achieve integrated modelling of biological systems. This paper reviews currently popular hybrid modelling methods, developed for systems biology, mainly revealing why they are proposed, how they are formed from single modelling formalisms and how to simulate them. By doing this, we identify future research requirements regarding hybrid approaches for further promoting integrated modelling of biological systems.

Intrinsically Disordered Proteins: Critical Components of the Wetware

Despite the wealth of knowledge gained about intrinsically disordered proteins (IDPs) since their discovery, there are several aspects that remain unexplored and, hence, poorly understood. A living cell is a complex adaptive system that can be described as a wetware─a metaphor used to describe the cell as a computer comprising both hardware and software and attuned to logic gates─capable of "making" decisions. In this focused Review, we discuss how IDPs, as critical components of the wetware, influence cell-fate decisions by wiring protein interaction networks to keep them minimally frustrated. Because IDPs lie between order and chaos, we explore the possibility that they can be modeled as attractors. Further, we discuss how the conformational dynamics of IDPs manifests itself as conformational noise, which can potentially amplify transcriptional noise to stochastically switch cellular phenotypes. Finally, we explore the potential role of IDPs in prebiotic evolution, in forming proteinaceous membrane-less organelles, in the origin of multicellularity, and in protein conformation-based transgenerational inheritance of acquired characteristics. Together, these ideas provide a new conceptual framework to discern how IDPs may perform critical biological functions despite their lack of structure.

Inverse problem approaches for mutation laws in heterogeneous tumours with local and nonlocal dynamics

Cancer cell mutations occur when cells undergo multiple cell divisions, and these mutations can be spontaneous or environmentally-induced. The mechanisms that promote and sustain these mutations are still not fully understood. This study deals with the identification (or reconstruction) of the usually unknown cancer cell mutation law, which lead to the transformation of a primary tumour cell population into a secondary, more aggressive cell population. We focus on local and nonlocal mathematical models for cell dynamics and movement, and identify these mutation laws from macroscopic tumour snapshot data collected at some later stage in the tumour evolution. In a local cancer invasion model, we first reconstruct the mutation law when we assume that the mutations depend only on the surrounding cancer cells (i.e., the ECM plays no role in mutations). Second, we assume that the mutations depend on the ECM only, and we reconstruct the mutation law in this case. Third, we reconstruct the mutation when we assume that there is no prior knowledge about the mutations. Finally, for the nonlocal cancer invasion model, we reconstruct the mutation law that depends on the cancer cells and on the ECM. For these numerical reconstructions, our approximations are based on the finite difference method combined with the finite elements method. As the inverse problem is ill-posed, we use the Tikhonov regularisation technique in order to regularise the solution. Stability of the solution is examined by adding additive noise into the measurements.

A hybrid stochastic-deterministic approach to explore multiple infection and evolution in HIV

To study viral evolutionary processes within patients, mathematical models have been instrumental. Yet, the need for stochastic simulations of minority mutant dynamics can pose computational challenges, especially in heterogeneous systems where very large and very small sub-populations coexist. Here, we describe a hybrid stochastic-deterministic algorithm to simulate mutant evolution in large viral populations, such as acute HIV-1 infection, and further include the multiple infection of cells. We demonstrate that the hybrid method can approximate the fully stochastic dynamics with sufficient accuracy at a fraction of the computational time, and quantify evolutionary end points that cannot be expressed by deterministic models, such as the mutant distribution or the probability of mutant existence at a given infected cell population size. We apply this method to study the role of multiple infection and intracellular interactions among different virus strains (such as complementation and interference) for mutant evolution. Multiple infection is predicted to increase the number of mutants at a given infected cell population size, due to a larger number of infection events. We further find that viral complementation can significantly enhance the spread of disadvantageous mutants, but only in select circumstances: it requires the occurrence of direct cell-to-cell transmission through virological synapses, as well as a substantial fitness disadvantage of the mutant, most likely corresponding to defective virus particles. This, however, likely has strong biological consequences because defective viruses can carry genetic diversity that can be incorporated into functional virus genomes via recombination. Through this mechanism, synaptic transmission in HIV might promote virus evolvability.

The evolution of human immunodeficiency virus within patients is an important part of the disease process. In particular, the presence of mutants that are resistant against anti-viral drugs can result in challenges to the long-term control of the infection. To study disease progression, computer simulations have been useful. However, in some cases these simulations can be difficult because of the complexity of the model. Here, we use a computational complexity reducing algorithm to simulate mutant dynamics in large populations, which can approximate the full model at a fraction of the time. The use of this algorithm allows us to study different transmission methods, viral processes that occur between virus strains within individual cells, and important quantities such as the mutant distribution or the probability of mutant existence at a given infected cell population size. We find that the direct synaptic cell-to-cell transmission of the virus through virological synapses can have strong biological consequences because it can promote potentially defective viruses that carry genetic diversity which can be incorporated into functional virus genomes during infection. Through this process, synaptic transmission in human immunodeficiency virus might promote virus evolvability.

Modeling the Pancreatic Cancer Microenvironment in Search of Control Targets

Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma is among the leading causes of cancer-related deaths globally due to its extreme difficulty to detect and treat. Recently, research focus has shifted to analyzing the microenvironment of pancreatic cancer to better understand its key molecular mechanisms. This microenvironment can be represented with a multi-scale model consisting of pancreatic cancer cells (PCCs) and pancreatic stellate cells (PSCs), as well as cytokines and growth factors which are responsible for intercellular communication between the PCCs and PSCs. We have built a stochastic Boolean network (BN) model, validated by literature and clinical data, in which we probed for intervention strategies that force this gene regulatory network (GRN) from a diseased state to a healthy state. To do so, we implemented methods from phenotype control theory to determine a procedure for regulating specific genes within the microenvironment. We identified target genes and molecules, such that the application of their control drives the GRN to the desired state by suppression (or expression) and disruption of specific signaling pathways that may eventually lead to the eradication of the cancer cells. After applying well-studied control methods such as stable motifs, feedback vertex sets, and computational algebra, we discovered that each produces a different set of control targets that are not necessarily minimal nor unique. Yet, we were able to gain more insight about the performance of each process and the overlap of targets discovered. Nearly every control set contains cytokines, KRas, and HER2/neu, which suggests they are key players in the system's dynamics. To that end, this model can be used to produce further insight into the complex biological system of pancreatic cancer with hopes of finding new potential targets.

Multi-scale network targeting: A holistic systems-biology approach to cancer treatment

The vulnerabilities of cancer at the cellular and, recently, with the introduction of immunotherapy, at the tissue level, have been exploited with variable success. Evaluating the cancer system vulnerabilities at the organismic level through analysis of network topology and network dynamics can potentially predict novel anti-cancer drug targets directed at the macroscopic cancer networks. Theoretical work analyzing the properties and the vulnerabilities of the multi-scale network of cancer needs to go hand-in-hand with experimental research that uncovers the biological nature of the relevant networks and reveals new targetable vulnerabilities. It is our hope that attacking cancer on different spatial scales, in a concerted integrated approach, may present opportunities for novel ways to prevent treatment resistance.

Mathematical simulation and prediction of tumor volume using RBF artificial neural network at different circumstances in the tumor microenvironment

Uncontrolled proliferation of cells in a tissue caused by genetic mutations inside a cell is referred to as a tumor. A tumor which grows rapidly encounters a barrier when it grows to a certain size in presence of preexisting vasculature. This is the time when it has to find a way to go on the growth. The tumor starts to secrete tumor angiogenic factors (TAFs) and stimulate preexisting vessels to grow new sprouts. These new sprouts will find their way to the tumor in the extracellular matrix (ECM) by the gradient of TAF. As these new capillaries anastomose and reach tumor, fresh oxygen is available for the tumor and it will reinitiate the growth. Number of initial sprouts, distance of initial tumor cells from the vessel(s) and initial density of the tumor at the time of sprout formation are questions which are to be investigated. In the present study, the aim is to find the response of tumor cells and vessels to the reciprocal effects of each other in different circumstances in the tissue. Together with a mathematical formulation, a radial basis function (RBF) neural network is established to predict the number of tumor cells at different circumstances including size and distance of initial tumors from the parent vessel. A final formulation is given for the final number of tumor cells as a function of initial tumor size and distance between a parent vessel and a tumor. Results of this simulation demonstrate that, increasing the distance between a tumor and a parent vessel decreases the number of final tumor cells. Specially, this decrement becomes faster beyond a certain distance. Moreover, initial tumors in bigger domains must become much bigger before inducing angiogenesis which makes it harder for them to survive.

In-Silico Modeling of Tumor Spheroid Formation and Growth

Mathematical modeling has significant potential for understanding of biological models of cancer and to accelerate the progress in cross-disciplinary approaches of cancer treatment. In mathematical biology, solid tumor spheroids are often studied as preliminary in vitro models of avascular tumors. The size of spheroids and their cell number are easy to track, making them a simple in vitro model to investigate tumor behavior, quantitatively. The growth of solid tumors is comprised of three main stages: transient formation, monotonic growth and a plateau phase. The last two stages are extensively studied. However, the initial transient formation phase is typically missing from the literature. This stage is important in the early dynamics of growth, formation of clonal sub-populations, etc. In the current work, this transient formation is modeled by a reaction–diffusion partial differential equation (PDE) for cell concentration, coupled with an ordinary differential equation (ODE) for the spheroid radius. Analytical and numerical solutions of the coupled equations were obtained for the change in the radius of tumor spheroids over time. Human glioblastoma (hGB) cancer cells (U251 and U87) were spheroid cultured to validate the model prediction. Results of this study provide insight into the mechanism of development of solid tumors at their early stage of formation.

Biologically-Based Mathematical Modeling of Tumor Vasculature and Angiogenesis via Time-Resolved Imaging Data

Tumor-associated vasculature is responsible for the delivery of nutrients, removal of waste, and allowing growth beyond 2-3 mm3. Additionally, the vascular network, which is changing in both space and time, fundamentally influences tumor response to both systemic and radiation therapy. Thus, a robust understanding of vascular dynamics is necessary to accurately predict tumor growth, as well as establish optimal treatment protocols to achieve optimal tumor control. Such a goal requires the intimate integration of both theory and experiment. Quantitative and time-resolved imaging methods have emerged as technologies able to visualize and characterize tumor vascular properties before and during therapy at the tissue and cell scale. Parallel to, but separate from those developments, mathematical modeling techniques have been developed to enable in silico investigations into theoretical tumor and vascular dynamics. In particular, recent efforts have sought to integrate both theory and experiment to enable data-driven mathematical modeling. Such mathematical models are calibrated by data obtained from individual tumor-vascular systems to predict future vascular growth, delivery of systemic agents, and response to radiotherapy. In this review, we discuss experimental techniques for visualizing and quantifying vascular dynamics including magnetic resonance imaging, microfluidic devices, and confocal microscopy. We then focus on the integration of these experimental measures with biologically based mathematical models to generate testable predictions.

A systematic approach to the scale separation problem in the development of multiscale models

Throughout engineering there are problems where it is required to predict a quantity based on the measurement of another, but where the two quantities possess characteristic variations over vastly different ranges of time and space. Among the many challenges posed by such 'multiscale' problems, that of defining a 'scale' remains poorly addressed. This fundamental problem has led to much confusion in the field of biomedical engineering in particular. The present study proposes a definition of scale based on measurement limitations of existing instruments, available computational power, and on the ranges of time and space over which quantities of interest vary characteristically. The definition is used to construct a multiscale modelling methodology from start to finish, beginning with a description of the system (portion of reality of interest) and ending with an algorithmic orchestration of mathematical models at different scales within the system. The methodology is illustrated for a specific but well-researched problem. The concept of scale and the multiscale modelling approach introduced are shown to be easily adaptable to other closely related problems. Although out of the scope of this paper, we believe that the proposed methodology can be applied widely throughout engineering.

Regenerative medicine meets mathematical modelling: developing symbiotic relationships

Successful progression from bench to bedside for regenerative medicine products is challenging and requires a multidisciplinary approach. What has not yet been fully recognised is the potential for quantitative data analysis and mathematical modelling approaches to support this process. In this review, we highlight the wealth of opportunities for embedding mathematical and computational approaches within all stages of the regenerative medicine pipeline. We explore how exploiting quantitative mathematical and computational approaches, alongside state-of-the-art regenerative medicine research, can lead to therapies that potentially can be more rapidly translated into the clinic.

Amphibian regeneration and mammalian cancer: Similarities and contrasts from an evolutionary biology perspective: Comparing the regenerative potential of mammalian embryos and urodeles to develop effective strategies against human cancer

Here we review and discuss the link between regeneration capacity and tumor suppression comparing mammals (embryos versus adults) with highly regenerative vertebrates. Similar to mammal embryo morphogenesis, in amphibians (essentially newts and salamanders) the reparative process relies on a precise molecular and cellular machinery capable of sensing abnormal signals and actively reprograming or eliminating them. As the embryo's evil twin, tumor also retains common functional attributes. The immune system plays a pivotal role in maintaining a physiological balance to provide surveillance against tumor initiation or to support its initiation and progression. We speculate that susceptibility to cancer development in adult mammals may be determined by the loss of an advanced regenerative capability during evolution and believe that gaining mechanistic insights into how regenerative capacity linked to tumor suppression is postnatally lost in mammals might illuminate an as yet unrecognized route to cancer treatment.

Hybrid models of chemotaxis with application to leukocyte migration

Many chemical and biological systems involve reacting species with vastly different numbers of molecules/agents. Hybrid simulations model such phenomena by combining discrete (e.g., agent-based) and continuous (e.g., partial differential equation- or PDE-based) descriptors of the dynamics of reactants with small and large numbers of molecules/agents, respectively. We present a stochastic hybrid algorithm to model a stage of the immune response to inflammation, during which leukocytes reach a pathogen via chemotaxis. While large numbers of chemoattractant molecules justify the use of a PDE-based model to describe the spatiotemporal evolution of its concentration, relatively small numbers of leukocytes and bacteria involved in the process undermine the veracity of their continuum treatment by masking the effects of stochasticity and have to be treated discretely. Motility and interactions between leukocytes and bacteria are modeled via random walk and a stochastic simulation algorithm, respectively. Since the latter assumes the reacting species to be well mixed, the discrete component of our hybrid algorithm deploys stochastic operator splitting, in which the sequence of the diffusion and reaction operations is determined autonomously during each simulation step. We conduct a series of numerical experiments to ascertain the accuracy and computational efficiency of our hybrid simulations and, then, to demonstrate the importance of randomness for predicting leukocyte migration and fate during the immune response to inflammation.

A mesoscopic simulator to uncover heterogeneity and evolutionary dynamics in tumors

Increasingly complex in silico modeling approaches offer a way to simultaneously access cancerous processes at different spatio-temporal scales. High-level models, such as those based on partial differential equations, are computationally affordable and allow large tumor sizes and long temporal windows to be studied, but miss the discrete nature of many key underlying cellular processes. Individual-based approaches provide a much more detailed description of tumors, but have difficulties when trying to handle full-sized real cancers. Thus, there exists a trade-off between the integration of macroscopic and microscopic information, now widely available, and the ability to attain clinical tumor sizes. In this paper we put forward a stochastic mesoscopic simulation framework that incorporates key cellular processes during tumor progression while keeping computational costs to a minimum. Our framework captures a physical scale that allows both the incorporation of microscopic information, tracking the spatio-temporal emergence of tumor heterogeneity and the underlying evolutionary dynamics, and the reconstruction of clinically sized tumors from high-resolution medical imaging data, with the additional benefit of low computational cost. We illustrate the functionality of our modeling approach for the case of glioblastoma, a paradigm of tumor heterogeneity that remains extremely challenging in the clinical setting.

Control Theory and Cancer Chemotherapy: How They Interact

Control theory arises in most modern real-life applications, not least in biological and medical applications. In particular, in biological and medical contexts, the role of control theory began to take shape in the early 1980s when the first works appeared on the application of control theory in models of pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics for antitumor therapies. Forty years after those first works, the theory of control continues to be considered a mathematical analysis tool of extreme importance and usefulness, but the challenges it must overcome in order to manage the complexity of biological processes are in fact not yet overcome. In this article, we introduce the reader to the basic ideas of control theory, its aims and its mathematical formalization, and we review its use in cell phase-specific models for cancer chemotherapy. We discuss strengths and limitations of the control theory approach to the analysis pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics models, and we will see that most of them are strongly related to data availability and mathematical form of the model. We propose some future research directions that could prove useful in overcoming the these limitations and we indicate the crucial steps preliminary to a useful and informative application of control theory to cancer chemotherapy modeling.

A mathematical model for the quantification of a patient's sensitivity to checkpoint inhibitors and long-term tumour burden

A large proportion of patients with cancer are unresponsive to treatment with immune checkpoint blockade and other immunotherapies. Here, we report a mathematical model of the time-course of tumour responses to immune-checkpoint inhibitors. The model takes into account intrinsic tumour-growth rates, the rates of immune activation and of tumour–immune-cell interactions, and the efficacy of immune-mediated tumour killing. For 124 patients, four cancer types and two immunotherapy agents, the model reliably described the immune responses and final tumour burden across all different cancers and drug combinations examined. In validation cohorts from four clinical trials of checkpoint inhibitors (with a total of 177 patients), the model accurately stratified the patients according to reduced or increased long-term tumour burden. We also provide model-derived quantitative measures of treatment sensitivity for specific drug–cancer combinations. The model can be used to predict responses to therapy and to quantify specific drug–cancer sensitivities in individual patients.

Integrating Quantitative Assays with Biologically Based Mathematical Modeling for Predictive Oncology

We provide an overview on the use of biological assays to calibrate and initialize mechanism-based models of cancer phenomena. Although artificial intelligence methods currently dominate the landscape in computational oncology, mathematical models that seek to explicitly incorporate biological mechanisms into their formalism are of increasing interest. These models can guide experimental design and provide insights into the underlying mechanisms of cancer progression. Historically, these models have included a myriad of parameters that have been difficult to quantify in biologically relevant systems, limiting their practical insights. Recently, however, there has been much interest calibrating biologically based models with the quantitative measurements available from (for example) RNA sequencing, time-resolved microscopy, and in vivo imaging. In this contribution, we summarize how a variety of experimental methods quantify tumor characteristics from the molecular to tissue scales and describe how such data can be directly integrated with mechanism-based models to improve predictions of tumor growth and treatment response.

Directionality of Macrophages Movement in Tumour Invasion: A Multiscale Moving-Boundary Approach

Invasion of the surrounding tissue is one of the recognised hallmarks of cancer (Hanahan and Weinberg in Cell 100: 57–70, 2000. 10.1016/S0092-8674(00)81683-9), which is accomplished through a complex heterotypic multiscale dynamics involving tissue-scale random and directed movement of the population of both cancer cells and other accompanying cells (including here, the family of tumour-associated macrophages) as well as the emerging cell-scale activity of both the matrix-degrading enzymes and the rearrangement of the cell-scale constituents of the extracellular matrix (ECM) fibres. The involved processes include not only the presence of cell proliferation and cell adhesion (to other cells and to the extracellular matrix), but also the secretion of matrix-degrading enzymes. This is as a result of cancer cells as well as macrophages, which are one of the most abundant types of immune cells in the tumour micro-environment. In large tumours, these tumour-associated macrophages (TAMs) have a tumour-promoting phenotype, contributing to tumour proliferation and spread. In this paper, we extend a previous multiscale moving-boundary mathematical model for cancer invasion, by considering also the multiscale effects of TAMs, with special focus on the influence that their directional movement exerts on the overall tumour progression. Numerical investigation of this new model shows the importance of the interactions between pro-tumour TAMs and the fibrous ECM, highlighting the impact of the fibres on the spatial structure of solid tumour.

Investigating the Effect of Aging on the Pharmacokinetics and Tumor Delivery of Nanomaterials using Mathematical Modeling

The application of nanomedicine for diagnosis and treatment of cancer has immense potential, but has witnessed only limited clinical success, in part due to insufficient understanding of the role of nanomaterial properties and physiological variables in governing nanoparticle (NP) pharmacology. Here, we present a multiscale mathematical model to examine the effects of physiological changes associated with patient age on the pharmacokinetics and tumor delivery efficiency of NPs. We show that physiological changes due to aging prolong the residence of NPs in the systemic circulation, thereby improving passive accumulation of NPs in tumors.Clinical Relevance - Understanding the effect of inter-individual variability on the pharmacological behavior of nanomaterials will improve their clinical translatability.

Modeling of Nanotherapy Response as a Function of the Tumor Microenvironment: Focus on Liver Metastasis

The tumor microenvironment (TME) presents a challenging barrier for effective nanotherapy-mediated drug delivery to solid tumors. In particular for tumors less vascularized than the surrounding normal tissue, as in liver metastases, the structure of the organ itself conjures with cancer-specific behavior to impair drug transport and uptake by cancer cells. Cells and elements in the TME of hypovascularized tumors play a key role in the process of delivery and retention of anti-cancer therapeutics by nanocarriers. This brief review describes the drug transport challenges and how they are being addressed with advanced in vitro 3D tissue models as well as with in silico mathematical modeling. This modeling complements network-oriented techniques, which seek to interpret intra-cellular relevant pathways and signal transduction within cells and with their surrounding microenvironment. With a concerted effort integrating experimental observations with computational analyses spanning from the molecular- to the tissue-scale, the goal of effective nanotherapy customized to patient tumor-specific conditions may be finally realized.

Tumor Growth Dynamic Modeling in Oncology Drug Development and Regulatory Approval: Past, Present, and Future Opportunities

Model-informed drug development (MIDD) approaches have rapidly advanced in drug development in recent years. Additionally, the Prescription Drug User Fee Act (PDUFA) VI has specific commitments to further enhance MIDD. Tumor growth dynamic (TGD) modeling, as one of the commonly utilized MIDD approaches in oncology, fulfills the purposes to accelerate the drug development, to support new drug and biologics license applications, and to guide the market access. Increasing knowledge of TGD modeling methodologies, encouraging applications in clinical setting for patients' survival, and complementing assessment of regulatory review for submissions, together fueled promising potentials for imminent enhancement of TGD in oncology. This review is to comprehensively summarize the history of TGD, and present case examples of the recent advance of TGD modeling (mixture model and joint model), as well as the TGD impact on regulatory decisions, thus illustrating challenges and opportunities. Additionally, this review presents the future perspectives for TGD approach.

Cancer systems immunology

Tumor immunology is undergoing a renaissance due to the recent profound clinical successes of tumor immunotherapy. These advances have coincided with an exponential growth in the development of -omics technologies. Armed with these technologies and their associated computational and modeling toolsets, systems biologists have turned their attention to tumor immunology in an effort to understand the precise nature and consequences of interactions between tumors and the immune system. Such interactions are inherently multivariate, spanning multiple time and size scales, cell types, and organ systems, rendering systems biology approaches particularly amenable to their interrogation. While in its infancy, the field of 'Cancer Systems Immunology' has already influenced our understanding of tumor immunology and immunotherapy. As the field matures, studies will move beyond descriptive characterizations toward functional investigations of the emergent behavior that govern tumor-immune responses. Thus, Cancer Systems Immunology holds incredible promise to advance our ability to fight this disease.