Prognostic Factors of Mortality among Adult Patients on Antiretroviral Therapy in India: A Hospital Based Retrospective Cohort Study

Highly active antiretroviral therapy is necessary but not sufficient. A systematic review and meta-analysis of mortality incidence rates and predictors among HIV-infected adults receiving treatment in Ethiopia, a surrogate study for resource-poor settings

BACKGROUND

Owing to the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), the trajectory of mortality and morbidity associated with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection has significantly decreased in developed countries. However, this remains a formidable public health challenge for people living with HIV in resource-poor settings. This study was undertaken to determine the pooled person-time incidence rate of mortality, analyze the trend, and identify predictors of survival among HIV-infected adults receiving HAART.

METHODS

Quantitative studies were searched in PubMed, Embase, Scopus, Google Scholar, African Journals Online, and Web of Science. The Joana Briggs Institute critical appraisal tool was used to assess the quality of the included articles. The data were analyzed using the random-effects Dersimonian-Laird model.

RESULTS

Data abstracted from 35 articles involving 39,988 subjects were analyzed. The pooled person-time incidence rate of mortality (all-cause) was 4.25 ([95% uncertainty interval (UI), 3.65 to 4.85]) per 100 person-years of observations. Predictors of mortality were patients aged ≥ 45 years (hazard ratio (HR), 1.70 [95% UI,1.10 to 2.63]), being female (HR, 0.82 [95% UI, 0.70 to 0.96]), history of substance use (HR, 3.10 [95% UI, 1.31 to 7.32]), HIV positive status non disclosure (HR, 3.10 [95% UI,1.31 to 7.32]), cluster of differentiation 4 + T cell - count < 200 cells/mm3 (HR, 3.23 [95% UI, [2.29 to 4.75]), anemia (HR, 2.63 [95% UI, 1.32 to 5.22]), World Health Organisation classified HIV clinical stages III and IV (HR, 3.02 [95% UI, 2.29 to 3.99]), undernutrition (HR, 2.24 [95% UI, 1.61 to 3.12]), opportunistic infections (HR, 1.89 [95% UI, 1.23 to 2.91]), tuberculosis coinfection (HR, 3.34 [95% UI, 2.33 to 4.81]),bedridden or ambulatory (HR,3.30 [95% UI, 2.29 to 4.75]), poor treatment adherence (HR, 3.37 [95% UI,1.83 to 6.22]), and antiretroviral drug toxicity (HR, 2.60 [95% UI, 1.82 to 3.71]).

CONCLUSION

Despite the early introduction of HAART in Ethiopia, since 2003, the mortality rate has remained high. Therefore, guideline-directed intervention of identified risk factors should be in place to improve overall prognosis and increase quality-adjusted life years.

Statistical analysis on the incidence and predictors of death among second-line ART patients in public hospitals of North Wollo and Waghemira Zones, Ethiopia, 2021

Acquired immune deficiency virus, caused by the human immunodeficiency virus, is a significant global health concern. Sub-Saharan Africa particularly Ethiopia faces a high prevalence of human immunodeficiency virus. In low-income settings like Ethiopia, early mortality rates are elevated due to severe opportunistic infections and advanced disease at Anti-retroviral treatment initiation. Despite available treatments, delayed treatment initiation among Human Immunodeficiency Virus -infected individuals in Africa, including Ethiopia, leads to disease progression and increased mortality risk. This study aimed to identify the factors contributing to the death of HIV patients under treatment at second line regimen in public hospitals of North Wollo and Waghemira Zones. A retrospective cohort study with 474 patients was conducted in selected hospitals of North Wollo and Waghemira Zones. A parametric Weibull regression model was employed, and the adjusted hazard ratio served as the measure of association. Variables significantly affected the outcome of the study was determined at a p-value < 0.05, along with a 95% confidence interval for the variables. The patients were within the average age of 38.6(standard deviation ± 12.5) years and majority (45.57%) had no formal education. The overall death incidence rate among second-line anti-retroviral treatment patients was 1.98 per 100-person years [95% CI 1.4-2.9%]. Poor adherence to antiretroviral treatment, male gender, and being underweight significantly increased the hazard of death. Conversely, increased anti-retroviral treatment duration had a significant and negative impact, reducing the hazard of death among patients. The study reveals a high incidence of death among second line anti-retroviral treatment users. Independent predictors include poor adherence, male gender, and underweight status, all significantly increasing the risk of death. On the positive side, the hazard of death decreases with longer anti-retroviral treatment duration. A critical concern and counseling should be given for better ART adherence, to change their nutritional status and for males.

Predictors of Mortality Among Adult HIV-Infected Patients Taking Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) in Harari Hospitals, Ethiopia

Introduction

Despite the world has made efforts, the reduction of acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) related mortality by giving antiretroviral therapy (ART), still HIV/AIDS is killing people while they are on ART. However, the current progress and associated factors of mortality among ART-taking patients are hardly available. Therefore, this study was aimed to determine predictors of mortality among HIV-infected adult patients after starting antiretroviral therapy in Harar Hospitals, Harari region, Ethiopia.

Methods

A facility-based retrospective cohort study was employed with randomly selected 610 medical records of HIV patients on antiretroviral therapy (ART). Adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was used to identify predictors of mortality using multivariate Cox proportional hazard model.

Results

Among 610 medical records analyzed with a total of 1410.7 follow-up years, 67 (11%) deaths were found giving an overall mortality rate of 4.75 per 100 person-years. The independent predictor of mortality identified was ambulatory/bedridden functional status (AHR=2.48; 95% CI: 1.43-4.28), taking other than Tenofovir-based regimen (AHR=2.5,95% CI; 1.04-5.94), not taking isoniazid preventive therapy (IPT) (AHR=2.8; 95% CI: 1.61,4.71), hemoglobin <11g/dl (AHR=3.33,95% CI 1.94-5.69), and poor adherence to ART (AHR= 3.62, 95% CI: 1.87-7.0).

Conclusion

This study demonstrated that poor ART adherence, not taking IPT, and initiating ART with a non-Tenofovir-based regimen and low hemoglobin count were significantly associated with the risk of death. For this reason, addressing these all significant predictors is essential to prevent early death.

High HIV prevalence among decedents received by two high-volume mortuaries in Kisumu, western Kenya, 2019

Background

Accurate data on HIV-related mortality are necessary to evaluate the impact of HIV interventions. In low- and middle-income countries (LMIC), mortality data obtained through civil registration are often of poor quality. Though not commonly conducted, mortuary surveillance is a potential complementary source of data on HIV-associated mortality.

Methods

During April-July 2019, we assessed HIV prevalence, the attributable fraction among the exposed, and the population attributable fraction among decedents received by two high-volume mortuaries in Kisumu County, Kenya, where HIV prevalence in the adult population was estimated at 18% in 2019 with high ART coverage (76%). Stillbirths were excluded. The two mortuaries receive 70% of deaths notified to the Kisumu East civil death registry; this registry captures 45% of deaths notified in Kisumu County. We conducted hospital chart reviews to determine the HIV status of decedents. Decedents without documented HIV status, including those dead on arrival, were tested using HIV antibody tests or polymerase chain reaction (PCR) consistent with national HIV testing guidelines. Decedents aged less than 15 years were defined as children. We estimated annual county deaths by applying weights that incorporated the study period, coverage of deaths, and mortality rates observed in the study.

Results

The two mortuaries received a total of 1,004 decedents during the study period, of which 95.1% (955/1004) were available for study; 89.1% (851/955) of available decedents were enrolled of whom 99.4% (846/851) had their HIV status available from medical records and post-mortem testing. The overall population-based, age- and sex-adjusted mortality rate was 12.4 per 1,000 population. The unadjusted HIV prevalence among decedents was 28.5% (95% confidence interval (CI): 25.5–31.6). The age- and sex-adjusted mortality rate in the HIV-infected population (40.7/1000 population) was four times higher than in the HIV-uninfected population (10.2/1000 population). Overall, the attributable fraction among the HIV-exposed was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.66–0.76) while the HIV population attributable fraction was 0.17 (95% CI: 0.14–0.20). In children the attributable fraction among the exposed and population attributable fraction were 0.92 (95% CI: 0.89–0.94) and 0.11 (95% CI: 0.08–0.15), respectively.

Conclusions

Over one quarter (28.5%) of decedents received by high-volume mortuaries in western Kenya were HIV-positive; overall, HIV was considered the cause of death in 17% of the population (19% of adults and 11% of children). Despite substantial scale-up of HIV services, HIV disease remains a leading cause of death in western Kenya. Despite progress, increased efforts remain necessary to prevent and treat HIV infection and disease.

Incidence and predictors of mortality within the first year of antiretroviral therapy initiation at Debre-Markos Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia: A retrospective follow up study

BACKGROUND

Acquired Immunodeficiency Syndrome (AIDS) is one of the most fatal infectious diseases in the world, especially in Sub-Saharan Africa, including Ethiopia. Even though Antiretroviral therapy (ART) significantly decreases mortality overall, death rates are still highest especially in the first year of ART initiation.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the incidence and predictors of mortality within the first year of ART initiation among adults on ART at Debre-Markos Referral Hospital, Northwest Ethiopia.

METHODS

A retrospective follow-up study was conducted among 514 newly enrolled adults to ART from 2014 to 2018 at Debre-Markos Referral Hospital. Patients' chart number was selected from the computer using a simple random sampling technique. Data were entered into EPI- INFO 7.2.2.6 and analyzed using Stata 14.0. The mortality rate within the first year was computed and described using frequency tables. Both bivariable and multivariable Cox-proportional hazard models were fitted to show predictors of early mortality.

RESULTS

Out of 494 patient records included in the analysis, a total of 54 deaths were recorded within one year follow-up period. The overall mortality rate within 398.37 person years (PY) was 13.56 deaths/100 PY with the higher rate observed within the first three months. After adjustment, rural residence (Adjusted Hazard Ratio (AHR) = 1.97; 95% CI: 1.05-3.71), ≥ 6 months pre-ART duration (AHR = 2.17; 95% CI: 1.24-3.79), ambulatory or bedridden functional status at enrolment (AHR = 2.18; 95% CI: 1.01-4.74), and didn't take Cotrimoxazole preventive therapy (CPT) during follow-up (AHR = 1.88; 95% CI: 1.04-3.41) were associated with early mortality of adults on ART.

CONCLUSION

Mortality within the first year of ART initiation was high and rural residence, longer pre-Art duration, ambulatory or bedridden functional status and didn't take CPT during follow-up were found to be independent predictors. Hence, giving special attention for patients from rural area and provision of CPT is crucial to reduce mortality.

Factors associated with survival in adult people living with HIV/AIDS (PLHAs) in Mumbai, India (2004-2019): A retrospective cohort study

Background:

Knowledge of factors that affect survival in People living with HIV/AIDS (PLHAs) on anti-retroviral therapy (ART) will help us develop and implement interventions to improve the clinical outcomes and survival in these individuals. The aim of this study was to estimate the survival in PLHAs on ART in the government ART programme in Mumbai, and the factors associated with survival in these individuals.

Methods:

It is a retrospective survival analysis of 28,345 adult PLHAs from 18 government ART centres in Mumbai (registration period 2004–2019). We estimated the mortality rates and their 95% confidence intervals [CIs], plotted the Kaplan Meier Survival curves, estimated incidence rate ratios (IRR) and hazard ratios (HR). There were done for the whole cohort and according to various demographic and clinical characteristics.

Results:

The mortality in PLHAs on ART was 9.04 per 1000 person years. The HR was significantly for those aged 50 years and more at the time of registration (HR: 3.01, 95% CI: 2.37, 3.83; P < 0.001), in those with baseline CD4 count of less than 200 higher hazard (HR: 1.83, 95% CI: 1.47, 2.27; P < 0.001), those with an adherence of 80–95% (HR; 5.58, 95% CI: 4.61, 6.75; P < 0.001) and adherence of <80% (HR: 9.37, 95% CI: 7.74, 11.33; P < 0.001). Furthermore, the hazard was significantly higher in those with TB compared those without TB (HR: 3.28, 95% CI: 2.87, 3.75; P < 0.001). Time from diagnosis (per month increase) to initiation of ART was not significantly associated with mortality.

Conclusions:

Increasing awareness about HIV testing and early detection of HIV in those who have high-risk behaviours, prompt diagnosis and management of TB among those infected, and developing and implementing strategies (such as enhanced counselling, telephone-based applications, messages, or reminders) to ensure ART adherence of more than 95% in those on ART will potentially help improve survival in PLHAs in India.

Survival and Predictors of Mortality Among Adult HIV/AIDS Patients Initiating Highly Active Antiretroviral Therapy in Debre-Berhan Referral Hospital, Amhara, Ethiopia: A Retrospective Study

Background

Acquired immune deficiency syndrome is one of the most destructive epidemics the world has ever witnessed. An estimated 36.9 million people were living with HIV in 2017. HIV/AIDS is the major contributing factor for morbidity and mortality in low- and middle-income countries. Although different studies on survival and predictors of mortality among HIV/AIDS patients after initiation of antiretroviral therapy were conducted, there are inconsistencies in the findings of those studies. Furthermore, to the authors’ knowledge, there was a dearth of studies conducted in this study area.

Purpose

The purpose of this study was to assess the survival and predictors of mortality among adult patients starting highly active antiretroviral therapy at Debre Berhan Referral Hospital, North Showa, Amhara, Ethiopia.

Patients and Methods

An institution-based retrospective study was conducted among the medical records of 447 study subjects’ selected using simple random sampling from January 1t, 2013 to December 30, 2018. The data was collected using a structured data abstraction checklist and analyzed using Kaplan–Meier statistics and Cox regression models.

Results

Among 447 adult patients, 54 patients (12.1%) had died, giving a crude death rate of 4.18 per 100 person years (95% CI=3.20–5.45). The overall estimated survival rate after initiation of antiretroviral therapy was 81.7% (95% CI=75.36–86.54%) at 72 months of follow-up. The independent predictors of mortality were clinical stage IV (HR=15.6, 95% CI=6.609–36.948), baseline opportunistic infections (HR=1.86, 95% CI=1.048–3.330), baseline Hgb<10 mg/dL (HR=4.655, 95% CI=2.253–9.619), baseline CD4<200 cells/µL (HR=4.71, 95% CI=2.275–9.751), the presence of comorbidity (HR=2.56 95% CI=1.391–4.740), being widowed (HR=3.475, 95% CI=1.412–8.550), and bedridden functional status (HR=3.069, 95% CI=1.111–8.480).

Conclusion

Patients with opportunistic infections, advanced clinical stage disease, bedridden functional status, baseline Hgb<10 mg/dL, baseline CD4<200 cells/µL, and comorbidity should be given special care.

Low mortality rates at two years in HIV-infected individuals undergoing systematic tuberculosis testing with rapid assays at initiation of antiretroviral treatment in Mozambique

BACKGROUND

Few studies have evaluated the mortality rate in individuals with HIV initiating antiretroviral therapy (ART), undergoing screening with combined or repeated rapid tests for tuberculosis (TB).

METHODS

All individuals with HIV starting ART, irrespective of the presence of TB-related symptoms, received two consecutive Xpert tests plus a rapid test for the detection of mycobacterial lipoarabinomannan in urine (LAM). Mortality was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier analysis using the log-rank test in univariate analyses and Cox regression models with time-dependent covariates in multivariate analyses.

RESULTS

Among 972 individuals screened with combined tests, 98 (10.1%) tested positive for TB with Xpert, LAM, or both. At the end of the study, 780 (80.2%) had completed 2 years of follow-up, 39 (4.0%) had died, and 153 (15.7%) were lost to follow-up. In the multivariate analyses, the factors significantly associated with mortality were missed ART (hazard ratio (HR) 7.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.33-21.35), symptomatic HIV disease (WHO-HIV stage >1) (HR 3.31, 95% CI 1.28-8.54), and low CD4 count (<200/mm³) (HR 2.72, 95% CI 1.21-6.13), with no significant effect of TB status. In the subgroup of the 98 TB-positive individuals, only missed ART (HR 4.12, 95% CI 1.03-16.46) and missed anti-TB treatment (HR 9.25, 95% CI 2.65-32.28) were significantly associated with mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

A low mortality rate was observed among individuals with HIV undergoing systematic testing for TB at initiation of ART. After adjusting for confounders, mortality was significantly associated with missed ART, advanced disease, and missed anti-TB treatment. These findings reinforce the need to promote early diagnosis of HIV and the adoption of screening strategies for TB that prevent presentation with severe disease.

Review on the Alteration of Gut Microbiota: The Role of HIV Infection and Old Age

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection results in gut microbiota alteration and this is associated with immune activation and chronic inflammation. The gastrointestinal tract is a primary site of viral replication and thus HIV-induced loss of T-helper (Th) cells in the gut causes impairments in intestinal barriers, resulting in disruptions in intestinal immunity and precipitating into gut dysbiosis. Here, we show that late HIV diagnosis can negatively affect the immunological, virological, and clinical prognosis of the patients with its higher implication at an older age. Further, the review indicates that antiretroviral therapy affects the gut microbiota. We discussed the use of probiotics and prebiotics that have been indicated to play a promising role in reversing gut microbiota alteration in HIV patients. Though there are several studies reported with regard to such alterations in gut microbiota regarding HIV infection, there is a need to provide comprehensive updates. It is, therefore, the objective of this review to present most recently available evidence on the alteration of gut microbiota among HIV patients.