Mortality in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD) compared to national data in Germany: results from a validation study

Prognostic impact of disease-related complications in asymptomatic mitral regurgitation: a health insurance claims analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The impact of mitral regurgitation (MR) in asymptomatic patients is not well defined. We aimed to determine the prevalence of MR-related complications and their association with 10-year survival in a large unselected asymptomatic MR cohort.

METHODS

Health insurance claims data from Germany's second largest health insurance fund, BARMER, which maintains longitudinal data on 8.7 million German residents, were retrospectively analyzed. All patients with an outpatient diagnosis of MR in a minimum of two quarters during a calendar year and first recorded diagnosis between 2008 and 2011 were included. Patients with any complication attributable to MR or mitral valve intervention at index were excluded. Outcomes were compared between study group and age- and sex-matched controls (i.e., without known cardiac disease). MR-related complications of interest were new congestive heart failure, new-onset atrial fibrillation, pulmonary hypertension, or cardiac decompensation.

RESULTS

A total of 56,577 individuals (median age 68 years, 67% female) with asymptomatic MR were identified. At 10 years, MR-related complications were more frequent in the study group vs. control group (46.5% vs. 20.8%, OR 3.31, P < 0.0001). Furthermore, MR-related complications were more common in male vs. female patients with an asymptomatic MR (OR 2.65, P < 0.0001). The occurrence of at least one MR-related complication was associated with a reduced 10-year survival (OR 1.80, P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSIONS

Almost half of patients with asymptomatic MR experience complications during a 10 year follow-up which result in impaired survival. These results imply the necessity of long-term disease management program. Furthermore, decision-making process and timing for mitral valve intervention in asymptomatic patients should be reevaluated.

Long-Term Safety of Roflumilast in Patients with Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease, a Multinational Observational Database Cohort Study

Purpose

This study evaluated the long-term safety of roflumilast in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or chronic bronchitis using electronic healthcare databases from Germany, Norway, Sweden, and the United States (US).

Patients and Methods

The study population consisted of patients aged ≥40 years who had been exposed to roflumilast and a matched cohort unexposed to roflumilast. The matching was based on sex, age, calendar year of cohort entry date (2010-2011, 2012, or 2013), and a propensity score that included variables such as demographics, markers of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) severity and morbidity, and comorbidities. In comparison to the unexposed matched cohort (never use), three exposure definitions were used for the exposed matched cohort: ever use, use status (current, recent, past use), and cumulative duration of use. The main outcome was 5-year all-cause mortality. Cox regression models were used to estimate crude and adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI).

Results

112,541 unexposed and 23,239 exposed patients across countries were included. Some variables remained unbalanced after matching, indicating higher COPD disease severity among the exposed patients. Adjusted HRs of 5-year all-cause mortality for "ever use" of roflumilast, compared to "never use", were 1.12 (95% CI, 1.08-1.17) in Germany, 1.00 (95% CI, 0.92-1.08) in Norway, 0.98 (95% CI, 0.92-1.04) in Sweden, and 1.16 (95% CI, 1.12-1.20) in the US. Compared to never users, there was a decrease in 5-year mortality risk observed among "current users" in Germany (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.88-0.98), Norway (HR: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.67-0.87), and Sweden (HR: 0.80, 95% CI: 0.73-0.88).

Conclusion

There was no observed increase in 5-year mortality risk with the use of roflumilast in Sweden or Norway. A small increase in 5-year mortality risk was observed in Germany and the US in the ever versus never comparison, likely due to residual confounding by indication.

Validation of Algorithms to Identify Acute Myocardial Infarction, Stroke, and Cardiovascular Death in German Health Insurance Data

Purpose

Validation of outcomes allows measurement of and correction for potential misclassification and targeted adjustment of algorithms for case definition. The purpose of our study was to validate algorithms for identifying cases of acute myocardial infarction (AMI), stroke, and cardiovascular (CV) death using patient profiles, ie, chronological tabular summaries of relevant available information on a patient, extracted from pseudonymized German claims data.

Patients and Methods

Based on the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD), 250 cases were randomly selected (50% males) for each outcome between 2016 and 2017 based on the inclusion criteria age ≥50 years and continuous insurance ≥1 year and applying the following algorithms: hospitalization with a main diagnosis of AMI (ICD-10-GM codes I21.- and I22.-) or stroke (I63, I61, I64) or death with a hospitalization in the 60 days before with a main diagnosis of CV disease. Patient profiles were built including (i) age and sex, (ii) hospitalizations incl. diagnoses, procedures, discharge reasons, (iii) outpatient diagnoses incl. diagnostic certainty, physician specialty, (iv) outpatient encounters, and (v) outpatient dispensings. Using adjudication criteria based on clinical guidelines and risk factors, two trained physicians independently classified cases as “certain”, “probable”, “unlikely” or “not assessable”. Positive predictive values (PPVs) were calculated as percentage of confirmed cases among all assessable cases.

Results

For AMI, the overall PPV was 97.6% [95% confidence interval 94.8–99.1]. The PPV for any stroke was 94.8% [91.3–97.2] and higher for ischemic (98.3% [95.0–99.6]) than for hemorrhagic stroke (86.5% [76.5–93.3]). The PPV for CV death was 79.9% [74.4–84.4]. It increased to 91.7% [87.2–95.0] after excluding 32 cases with data insufficient for a decision.

Conclusion

Algorithms based on hospital diagnoses can identify AMI, stroke, and CV death from German claims data with high PPV. This was the first study to show that German claims data contain information suitable for outcome validation.

Inequalities by Income in the Prevalence of Cardiovascular Disease and Its Risk Factors in the Adult Population of Catalonia

Background Understanding the magnitude of cardiovascular disease (CVD) inequalities is the first step toward addressing them. The linkage of socioeconomic and clinical data in universal health care settings provides critical information to characterize CVD inequalities. Methods and Results We employed a prospective cohort design using electronic health records data from all residents of Catalonia aged 18+ between January and December of 2019 (N=6 332 228). We calculated age-adjusted sex-specific prevalence of 5 CVD risk factors (diabetes, hypertension, hyperlipidemia, obesity, and smoking), and 4 CVDs (coronary heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, atrial fibrillation, and heart failure). We categorized income into high, moderate, low, and very low according to individual income (tied to prescription copayments) and receipt of welfare support. We found large inequalities in CVD and CVD risk factors among men and women. CVD risk factors with the largest inequalities were diabetes, smoking, and obesity, with prevalence rates 2- or 3-fold higher for those with very low (versus high) income. CVDs with the largest inequalities were cerebrovascular disease and heart failure, with prevalence rates 2 to 4 times higher for men and women with very low (versus high) income. Inequalities varied by age, peaking at midlife (30-50 years) for most diseases, while decreasing gradually with age for smoking. Conclusions We found wide and heterogeneous inequalities by income in 5 CVD risk factors and 4 CVD. Our findings in a region with a high-quality public health care system and universal coverage stress that strong equity-promoting policies are necessary to reduce disparities in CVD.

Is treatment in certified cancer centers related to better survival in patients with pancreatic cancer? Evidence from a large German cohort study

BACKGROUND

Treatment of cancer patients in certified cancer centers, that meet specific quality standards in term of structures and procedures of medical care, is a national treatment goal in Germany. However, convincing evidence that treatment in certified cancer centers is associated with better outcomes in patients with pancreatic cancer is still missing.

METHODS

We used patient-specific information (demographic characteristics, diagnoses, treatments) from German statutory health insurance data covering the period 2009-2017 and hospital characteristics from the German Standardized Quality Reports. We investigated differences in survival between patients treated in hospitals with and without pancreatic cancer center certification by the German Cancer Society (GCS) using the Kaplan-Meier estimator and Cox regression with shared frailty.

RESULTS

The final sample included 45,318 patients with pancreatic cancer treated in 1,051 hospitals (96 GCS-certified, 955 not GCS-certified). 5,426 (12.0%) of the patients were treated in GCS-certified pancreatic cancer centers. Patients treated in certified and non-certified hospitals had similar distributions of age, sex, and comorbidities. Median survival was 8.0 months in GCS-certified pancreatic cancer centers and 4.4 months in non-certified hospitals. Cox regression adjusting for multiple patient and hospital characteristics yielded a significantly lower hazard of long-term, all-cause mortality in patients treated in GCS-certified pancreatic centers (Hazard ratio = 0.89; 95%-CI = 0.85-0.93). This result remained robust in multiple sensitivity analyses, including stratified estimations for subgroups of patients and hospitals.

CONCLUSION

This robust observational evidence suggests that patients with pancreatic cancer benefit from treatment in a certified cancer center in terms of survival. Therefore, the certification of hospitals appears to be a powerful strategy to improve patient outcomes in pancreatic cancer care.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov ( NCT04334239 ).

Second dose of measles-mumps-rubella-varicella vaccine (MMRV) and the risk of febrile convulsions

INTRODUCTION

Studies have shown an increased risk of febrile convulsions (FC) after first immunization with the quadrivalent measles-mumps-rubella-varicella vaccine (MMRV) compared to a first dose of measles-mumps-rubella vaccine (MMR) only or in combination with separately administered varicella vaccine (MMR + V). Therefore, it is recommended to give MMR + V at first dose and MMRV or MMR + V at second dose. Little is known on the risk of FC after MMRV at second dose, especially whether the risk depends on age, sex, history of FC or type of first dose vaccine.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study using claims data from the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research database (GePaRD) was performed in children born between January 1st, 2004 and October 31st, 2015 who received two doses of MMRV, MMR + V or MMR. Cases were defined as hospitalization with a diagnosis of FC without neurological conditions coded as main discharge diagnosis. Unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intevals (CIs) were calculated to compare the risk of FC. Stratified analyses were performed to examine potential effect modification by age, sex, history of FC or type of first dose vaccine.

RESULTS

In the first 30 days after second dose vaccination, 464 FCs were observed in a cohort of 528,639 children with a median age of 17 months. After adjustment for potential confounders, the adjusted OR for FC in the 30 days after vaccination was 1.25 (95% CI 0.67-2.30) for MMRV compared to MMR + V and 1.04 (0.82-1.32) for MMRV compared to MMR. History of FC was the most important risk factor with an OR of 36.26 (29.30-44.89). We found no effect modification by age, sex, history of FC, or type of first dose vaccine.

CONCLUSION

Use of MMRV at second dose is not associated with an increased risk of FC compared to MMR + V or MMR, irrespective of age, sex, history of FC, or type of first dose vaccine.

Is there an unmet medical need for palliative care services in Germany? Incidence, prevalence, and 1-year all-cause mortality of palliative care sensitive conditions: real-world evidence based on German claims data

Aim

To characterize palliative care patients, to estimate the incidence, prevalence, and 1-year all-cause mortality in patients in Germany who received palliative care treatment.

Subject and methods

The study analyzed the InGef Research Database, which covers 4 million people insured in German statutory health insurance companies. Specific outpatient and inpatient reimbursement codes were used to capture cases with palliative conditions. The prevalence was ascertained for the year 2015. The incidence was calculated for patients without documented palliative care services in the year before the observation period. The Kaplan–Meier method was used to analyze the 1-year all-cause mortality.

Results

The incidence rate of palliative conditions was 41.3 and 34.9 per 10,000 persons in women and men, respectively. The prevalence per 10,000 persons was 61.3 in women and 51.1 in men. The 1-year all-cause mortality among patients receiving their first palliative care treatment was 67.5%. Mortality was lower in patients receiving general outpatient palliative care treatment (AAPV; 60.8%) compared to patients receiving specialized outpatient palliative care treatment (SAPV; 86.1%) or inpatient palliative care treatment (90.6%). Within the first 30 days, mortality was particularly high (~43.0%).

Conclusions

In Germany, more than 400,000 patients per year receive palliative care treatment, which is lower compared to estimates of the number of persons with a potential need for palliative care. This gap was observed particularly in younger to middle-aged individuals. The findings indicate a demand for methodologically sound studies to investigate the public health burden and to quantify the unmet need for palliative care in Germany.

Dispensation Patterns of Glucose-Lowering Drugs in Newly Diagnosed Type 2 Diabetes: Routine Data Analysis of Insurance Claims in Germany

AIMS

To describe dispensation patterns of glucose-lowering drugs in newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes in Germany.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Based on claims data from four statutory health insurances (German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database,>25 million insurants), all individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes were identified. Eligible patients had a first diagnosis for type 2 diabetes between January 2012 and December 2016. We analyzed the dispensation patterns of first-line glucose-lowering therapies initiated in the year after diabetes diagnosis and patterns of second-line therapies dispensed one year after first-line treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 356,647 individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes were included (average age [SD]: 63.5 [13.4] years; 49.3% males). Of the 31.6% of individuals who were pharmacologically treated in the year after diagnosis, metformin monotherapy was most frequently dispensed (73.1%), followed by dual therapy of metformin and dipeptidyl peptidase-4 inhibitors (DPP-4is) (6.4%), and monotherapy with DPP-4is (2.9%). From 2012 through 2016, sulfonylurea dispensations were reduced by more than 50%. Dispensations for combination therapies with DPP-4is increased up to 10.6%. Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists and sodium-glucose co-transporter-2 inhibitors contributed to 2% of all treatments. After a median of 5 months, 20.0% of individuals on pharmacological therapy initiated second-line glucose-lowering treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Data from German statutory health insurances (2012 to 2016) showed that most individuals with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes were dispensed metformin monotherapy in line with diabetes care guidelines. A substantial decrease in the use of sulfonylureas was observed after the introduction of DPP-4i and GLP-1 receptor agonists.

Sex Disparities in Long-Term Mortality after Paclitaxel Exposure in Patients with Peripheral Artery Disease: A Nationwide Claims-Based Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Randomized controlled trials have reported excess mortality in patients treated with paclitaxel-coated devices versus uncoated devices, while observational studies have reported the opposite. This study aims to determine the underlying factors and cohort differences that may explain these opposite results, with specific focus on sex differences in treatment and outcomes.

METHODS

Multicenter health insurance claims data from a large insurance fund, BARMER, were studied. A homogeneous sample of patients with an index of endovascular revascularization for symptomatic peripheral arterial occlusive disease between 2013 and 2017 was included. Adjusted logistic regression and Cox regression models were used to determine the factors predicting allocation to paclitaxel-coated devices and sex-specific 5-year all-cause mortality, respectively.

RESULTS

In total, 13,204 patients (54% females, mean age 74 ± 11 years) were followed for a median of 3.5 years. Females were older (77 vs. 71 years), and had less frequent coronary artery disease (23% vs. 33%), dyslipidemia (44% vs. 50%), and diabetes (29% vs. 41%), as well as being less likely to have a history of smoking (10% vs. 15%) compared with males. Mortality differences were mostly attributable to the female subgroup who were revascularized above the knee (hazard ratio, HR 0.78, 95% CI: 0.64-0.95), while no statistically significant differences were observed in males.

CONCLUSIONS

This study found that females treated above the knee benefited from paclitaxel-coated devices, while no differences were found in males. Ongoing and future registries and trials should take sex disparities into account.

A health insurance claims analysis on the effect of female sex on long-term outcomes after peripheral endovascular interventions for symptomatic peripheral arterial occlusive disease

OBJECTIVE

Several reports have addressed sex disparities in peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD) treatment with inconclusive or even conflicting results. However, most previous studies have neither been sufficiently stratified nor used matching or weighting methods to address severe confounding. In the present study, we aimed to determine the disparities between sexes after percutaneous endovascular revascularization (ER) for symptomatic PAOD.

METHODS

Health insurance claims data from the second-largest insurance fund in Germany, BARMER, were used. A large cohort of patients who had undergone index percutaneous ER of symptomatic PAOD from January 1, 2010 to December 31, 2018 were included in the present study. The study cohort was stratified by the presence of intermittent claudication, ischemic rest pain, and wound healing disorders. Propensity score matching was used to adjust for confounding through differences in age, treated vessel region, comorbidities, and pharmacologic treatment. Sex-related differences regarding cardiovascular event-free survival, amputation-free survival, and overall survival within 5 years of surgery were determined using Kaplan-Meier time-to-event curves, log-rank test, and Cox regression analysis.

RESULTS

In the present study, 50,051 patients (47.2% women) were identified and used to compose a matched cohort of 35,232 patients. Among all strata, female patients exhibited lower mortality (hazard ratio [HR], 0.69-0.90), fewer amputations or death (HR, 0.70-0.89), and fewer cardiovascular events or death (HR, 0.78-0.91). The association between female sex and improved long-term outcomes was most pronounced for the patients with intermittent claudication.

CONCLUSIONS

In the present propensity score-matched analysis of health insurance claims, we observed superior cardiovascular event-free survival, amputation-free survival, and overall survival during 5 years of follow-up after percutaneous ER in women with symptomatic PAOD. Future studies should address sex disparities in the open surgical treatment of PAOD to illuminate whether the conflicting data from previous reports might have resulted from insufficient stratification of the studies.

Editor's Choice - The GermanVasc Score: A Pragmatic Risk Score Predicts Five Year Amputation Free Survival in Patients with Peripheral Arterial Occlusive Disease

OBJECTIVE

Patients with peripheral arterial occlusive disease (PAOD) face an increased risk of both lower limb amputation and death. To date, it has been challenging to predict the long term outcomes for PAOD. The aim was to develop a risk score to predict worse five year amputation free survival (AFS).

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis of claims data, symptomatic PAOD patients were split into training and validation sets. Variables in the model were patient age and sex, Elixhauser comorbidities, and the 190 most common secondary diagnoses. Penalised Cox regression (least absolute shrinkage and selection operator [LASSO]) with tenfold cross validation for variable selection was performed and patients were categorised into five risk groups using the ten most important variables. All analyses were stratified by intermittent claudication (IC) and chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI).

RESULTS

In total, 87 293 patients with PAOD (female 45.3%, mean age 71.4 ± 11.1 years) were included in the analysis. The most important variable predicting worse five year AFS was patient age >80 years. The GermanVasc score exhibited good predictive accuracy both for IC (c statistic = 0.70, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.69-0.71) and CLTI (c statistic = 0.69, 95% CI 0.68-0.70) with adequate calibration due largely to alignment of observed and expected risk. Depending on the cumulative point score, the five year risk of amputation or death ranged from 9% (low risk) to 48% (high risk) for IC, and from 25% to 88% for CLTI.

CONCLUSION

The GermanVasc score predicts worse five year AFS stratified for inpatients suffering from IC and CLTI, with good predictive accuracy. By separating low from high risk patients, the GermanVasc score may support patient centred consent.

Sex Disparities in Long Term Outcomes After Open Surgery for Chronic Limb Threatening Ischaemia: A Propensity Score Matched Analysis of Health Insurance Claims

OBJECTIVE

Several studies suggest a disadvantage for women in peri-operative morbidity and mortality after open surgery in peripheral arterial occlusive disease. In addition to their heterogeneity regarding design and analysed cohorts, long term data are mostly missing. This study aimed to determine sex disparities in outcomes after open revascularisation in chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI).

METHODS

Using health insurance claims data of the second largest insurance fund in Germany, BARMER, a large cohort of patients was sampled consecutively for analysis including index open surgical revascularisations of CLTI performed between 1 January 2010, and 31 December 2018. Propensity score matching was used to adjust for confounding. Sex related differences regarding overall survival, amputation free survival (AFS), and cardiovascular event free survival (CVEFS) during the five years after surgery were determined using Kaplan-Meier time to event curves, log rank test, logistic, and Cox regression.

RESULTS

Among 9 526 patients (49.5% women) in the entire cohort, 6 502 patients were matched. Before matching, women were older at presentation (78.0 vs. 71.8 years, p < .001) and suffered more often from multiple comorbidities (van Walraven score > 9, 55.5% vs. 50.6%, p < .001). During the hospital stay, there were 692 (7.3%) deaths, while 4 631 deaths (48.6%) occurred during the follow up. In the matched cohort, the median follow up was 746 days for women and 871 days for men. In the matched analyses, female sex was significantly associated with better overall survival (hazard ratio, HR, 0.80, log rank p < .001), AFS (HR 0.81, log rank p < .0001), and CVEFS (HR 0.84, log rank p < .001) five years after the index treatment.

CONCLUSION

In this largest propensity score matched analysis of health insurance claims to date from Germany, evidence was found for better long term outcomes in women after open surgical revascularisations for chronic limb threatening ischaemia. Future guidelines and studies should address the impact of sex on patient selection practice and outcomes to determine the underlying reasons for existing disparities.

Long-Term Effectiveness and Safety of Initiating Statin Therapy After Index Revascularization In Patients With Peripheral Arterial Occlusive Disease

Background An increasing number of patients with a peripheral arterial occlusive disease were put on statins during the past years. This study assessed whether statin therapy was effective and safe for these new users. Methods and Results Using health insurance claims data from Germany's second-largest insurance fund, BARMER, we identified patients with peripheral arterial occlusive disease who had index revascularization between 2008 and 2018 without prior statin therapy. We compared patients with and without statin therapy in addition to antithrombotics during the first quarter after discharge (new users versus nonusers). Outcomes were all-cause mortality, cardiovascular events, and incident major amputation for effectiveness and incident diabetes mellitus and incident myopathy for safety. Propensity score matching was used to balance the study groups. All analyses were stratified into patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia and intermittent claudication. A total of 22 208 patients (mean age 71.1 years and 50.3% women) were included in the study. In 10 922 matched patients, statin initiation was associated with lower all-cause mortality (chronic limb-threatening ischemia: hazard ratio [HR], 0.75 [95% CI, 0.68-0.84]; intermittent claudication: HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.70-0.92]), lower risk of major amputation in patients with chronic limb-threatening ischemia (HR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.58-0.93) and lower risk of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio, 0.80; 95% CI, 0.70-0.92) in patients with intermittent claudication during 5 years of follow-up. Safety outcomes did not differ among the study groups. Conclusions Initiating statin therapy in patients with peripheral arterial occlusive disease after index revascularization is efficient and safe with an effect size comparable to earlier studies. Awareness campaigns for evidence-based optimal pharmacological treatment among patients are recommended.

Quality of care in surgical/interventional vascular medicine: what can routinely collected data from the insurance companies achieve?

The complexity and diversity of surgical/interventional vascular medicine necessitate innovative and pragmatic solutions for the valid measurement of the quality of care in the long term. The secondary utilization of routinely collected data from social insurance institutions has increasingly become the focus of interdisciplinary medicine over the years. Owing to their longitudinal linkage and pan-sector generation, routinely collected data make it possible to answer important questions and can complement quality development projects with primary registry data. Various guidelines exist for their usage, linkage, and reporting. Studies have shown good validity, especially for endpoints with major clinical relevance. The numerous advantages of routinely collected data face several challenges that require thorough plausibility and validity procedures and distinctive methodological expertise. This review presents a discussion of these advantages and challenges and provides recommendations for starting to use this increasingly important source of data.

Temporal trends in the presentation of cardiovascular and cerebrovascular emergencies during the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany: an analysis of health insurance claims

Aims

The first reports of declining hospital admissions for major cardiovascular emergencies during the COVID-19 pandemic attracted public attention. However, systematic evidence on this subject is sparse. We aimed to investigate the rate of emergent hospital admissions, subsequent invasive treatments and comorbidities during the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany.

Methods and results

This was a retrospective analysis of health insurance claims data from the second largest insurance fund in Germany, BARMER. Patients hospitalized for acute myocardial infarction, acute limb ischemia, aortic rupture, stroke or transient ischemic attack (TIA) between January 1, 2019, and May 31, 2020, were included. Admission rates per 100,000 insured, invasive treatments and comorbidities were compared from January–May 2019 (pre-COVID) to January–May 2020 (COVID). A total of 115,720 hospitalizations were included in the current analysis (51.3% females, mean age 72.9 years). Monthly admission rates declined from 78.6/100,000 insured (pre-COVID) to 70.6/100,000 (COVID). The lowest admission rate was observed in April 2020 (61.6/100,000). Administration rates for ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (7.3–6.6), non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (16.8–14.6), acute limb ischemia (5.1–4.6), stroke (35.0–32.5) and TIA (13.7–11.9) decreased from pre-COVID to COVID. Baseline comorbidities and the percentage of these patients treated with interventional or open-surgical procedures remained similar over time across all entities. In-hospital mortality in hospitalizations for stroke increased from pre-COVID to COVID (8.5–9.8%).

Conclusions

Admission rates for cardiovascular and cerebrovascular emergencies declined during the pandemic in Germany, while patients’ comorbidities and treatment allocations remained unchanged. Further investigation is warranted to identify underlying reasons and potential implications on patients’ outcomes.

Graphic abstract

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1007/s00392-020-01723-9) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Incidence, predictors, and outcomes of spinal cord ischemia in elective complex endovascular aortic repair: An analysis of health insurance claims

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to determine predictors and outcomes associated with spinal cord ischemia (SCI) after elective fenestrated or branched endovascular aneurysm repair (F/BEVAR) of thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysm (TAAA), abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA), or aortic dissection.

METHODS

Health insurance claims data of Germany's third largest insurance provider, DAK-Gesundheit, were used to investigate SCI in elective F/BEVAR performed between 2008 and 2017. The International Classification of Diseases and German Operation and Procedure Classification System were used. We stratified the results into F/BEVAR with one or two (AAA) vs three or more (TAAA) fenestrations or branches.

RESULTS

A total of 877 patients (18.9% female; 5.8% with SCI) matching the inclusion criteria were identified during the study period. SCI occurred more often after F/BEVAR of TAAA vs AAA (10.7% vs 3.0%; P < .001). SCI was associated with female sex in the AAA group (odds ratio, 3.87; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-11.15; P = .014) and with cardiac arrhythmias in the TAAA group (odds ratio, 2.98; 95% CI, 1.24-7.06; P = .013). Compared with patients without SCI, SCI patients were more likely to suffer from drug use disorders (eg, opioids, cannabinoids, sedatives) in the TAAA group (17.6% vs 2.1%; P < .05). After F/BEVAR of TAAA, the occurrence of SCI was associated with higher 90-day mortality (14.7% vs 1.1%; P < .05), longer postoperative hospital stay (22 vs 9 days; P < .05), and severe adverse events, such as acute respiratory insufficiency (44.1% vs 12.7%), acute renal failure (35.3% vs 11.3%), and pneumonia (29.4% vs 4.9%; all P < .05). In adjusted analyses, SCI was associated with worse long-term survival after F/BEVAR for TAAA (hazard ratio, 2.54; 95% CI, 1.37-4.73; P < .003).

CONCLUSIONS

Female AAA patients and TAAA patients with cardiac arrhythmias are at highest risk for development of SCI after F/BEVAR. The occurrence of this event was strongly associated with higher major complication rates and worse short-term and long-term survival. This emphasizes a need to further illuminate the value of spinal cord protection protocols in F/BEVAR.

Editor's Choice - Long Term Survival after Femoropopliteal Artery Revascularisation with Paclitaxel Coated Devices: A Propensity Score Matched Cohort Analysis

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the survival of patients after use of paclitaxel coated devices (PCX), as a recent meta-analysis of randomised trials reported higher mortality in patients treated with PCX balloons and stents METHODS: A retrospective health insurance claims analysis of patients covered by the second largest insurance fund in Germany, BARMER, was used to identify index femoropopliteal arterial interventions between 1 January 2010 and 31 December 2018. To ensure first PCX exposure, patients with prior deployment of PCX were excluded. The study cohort was stratified into patients with chronic limb threatening ischaemia (CLTI) and intermittent claudication (IC), then into balloons vs. stents cohorts. Within each stratum PCX were compared with uncoated devices. Propensity score matching was used to balance the study groups. Survival was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method and Cox regression.

RESULTS

There were 37 914 patients (mean age 73.3 years; 48.8% female) included in the study. The annual proportion of PCX use increased from 3% to 39% during the study period for CLTI and from 4% to 48% for IC (both p < .001). Paclitaxel coated balloons and stents were associated with improved overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] 0.83, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.77-0.90), amputation free survival (HR 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.91), and freedom from major cardiovascular events (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.77-0.89) vs. uncoated devices at five years for CLTI. In IC cohort, mortality was significantly lower after using drug coated balloons (DCB) (HR 0.87, 95% CI 0.76-0.99) or combined DCB and drug eluting stents (HR 0.88, 95% CI 0.80-0.98).

CONCLUSION

In this large health insurance claims analysis, rapid adoption of PCX, higher long term survival, better amputation free survival, and lower rates of major cardiovascular events were seen after their use for the treatment of CLTI.

Validity of hospital ICD-10-GM codes to identify acute liver injury in Germany

PURPOSE

Acute liver injury (ALI) is an important adverse drug reaction. We estimated the positive predictive values (PPVs) of ICD-10-GM codes of ALI used in an international postauthorisation safety study (PASS).

METHODS

Analyses used routine data (2007 to 2016, adults) from a German academic hospital in a cross-sectional design. Two algorithms from the PASS were applied to extract potential cases from the hospital information system: specific end point (A) (discharge diagnosis of liver disease-specific codes) and less specific end point (B) (discharge and outpatient-specific and nonspecific codes suggestive of liver injury). ALI cases were confirmed on the basis of plasma liver enzyme activity elevation. Secondary analysis was performed following exclusion of cases with known cancer, chronic liver, biliary and pancreatic disease, heart failure, and alcohol-related disorders, as applied in the PASS.

RESULTS

On the basis of ICD codes: outcome A, 154 cases (143 with case notes and lab data for case verification); outcome B, 485 cases (357 with case notes and lab data). ALI was confirmed in 71 outcome A cases, PPV of 49.7% (95% confidence interval [CI], 41.2%-58.1%), and 100 outcome B cases, PPV of 28.0% (95% CI, 23.4%-33.0%). Applying exclusion criteria increased PPV (95% CI) to 62.7% (50.0%-74.2%) for outcome A and 45.7% (37.2%-54.3%) for outcome B.

CONCLUSIONS

In safety studies on hepatotoxicity based on routine data using ICD-10-GM discharge codes and when validation of potential cases is not feasible, only the more specific codes should be used to describe ALI, and competing diagnoses for liver injury should be excluded to avoid substantial misclassification.

Implementation of an algorithm for the identification of breast cancer deaths in German health insurance claims data: a validation study based on a record linkage with administrative mortality data

OBJECTIVE

To adapt a Canadian algorithm for the identification of female cases of breast cancer (BC) deaths to German health insurance claims data and to test and validate the algorithm by comparing results with official cause of death (CoD) data on the individual and the population level.

DESIGN

Validation study, secondary data, medical claims.

SETTING

Claims data of two statutory health insurance providers (SHIs) for inpatient and outpatient care, CoD added via record linkage with epidemiological cancer registry (ECR).ParticipantsAll women insured with the two SHIs and who deceased in the period 2006-2013, were residents of North Rhine Westphalia (NRW) and were linked with ECR data: n=22 413.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Based on inpatient and outpatient diagnoses in the year before death, six algorithms were derived and the accordance of the algorithm-based CoD with the official CoD was evaluated calculating specificity, sensitivity, negative and positive predictive values (NPV, PPV). Furthermore, algorithm-based age-specific BC mortality rates covering several calendar years were calculated for the entire insured female population and compared with official national rates.

RESULTS

Our final algorithm, derived from the NRW subsample, comprised codes indicating the presence of BC, metastases, a terminal illness phase and the absence of codes for other tumours. Overall, specificity, sensitivity, NPV and PPV of this algorithm were 97.4%, 91.3%, 98.9% and 81.7%, respectively. In the age range 40-80 years, sensitivity and PPV slightly decreased with increasing age. Algorithm-based age-specific BC mortality rates agreed well with official rates except for the age group 85 years and older.

CONCLUSIONS

The algorithm-based identification of BC deaths in German claims data is feasible and valid, except for higher ages. The algorithm to ascertain BC mortality rates in an epidemiological study seems applicable when information on the official CoD is not available in the original database.

Individual mortality information in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD): a validation study using a record linkage with a large cancer registry

OBJECTIVE

Claims data need to be validated to assess their use for epidemiological research. This study aimed to examine the validity of mortality information in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD).

DESIGN

Validation study, secondary data, medical claims.

SETTING

Claims data of two German nationwide acting statutory health insurance providers (SHIs) contributing data for GePaRD; record linkage with epidemiological cancer registry providing individual official mortality information.

PARTICIPANTS

All women insured with the two SHIs whose insurance coverage ended in the period 2006-2013 and who were residents of North Rhine Westphalia.

MEASURES

Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the performance of the linkage procedure. Further, we calculated measures of agreement between the official and the GePaRD-based vital status and assessed differences between the official and the GePaRD-based date of death.

RESULTS

Of the 256 111 women of the linkage sample, 25 528 were classified as 'deceased' in GePaRD and the others as 'alive'. Compared with the official data, the GePaRD-based vital status showed a sensitivity of 95.9% and a specificity of 99.4%. The negative predictive value was 99.6% and the positive predictive value 94.3%. The date of death agreed in 96.3% between both data sources.

CONCLUSIONS

The vital status recorded in GePaRD was of high accuracy and discrepancies between dates of death in GePaRD and official dates were rare. This underlines the potential of the database for conducting large cohort studies with mortality as the endpoint.

Antidepressants and the risk of death in older patients with depression: A population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Antidepressants are frequently used in older patients with depression, but little is known about the comparative safety of individual agents. The objective of the study was to determine the comparative risk of death of antidepressants in older patients with depression.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We carried out a cohort study from 2004 to 2015 utilizing the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database, a population-based database supplied by statutory health insurance providers covering approximately 17% of the general population and all geographical regions. We included 376,846 patients aged 65+ years with a diagnosis of depression who initiated treatment with one of 13 antidepressants (ADs). In total 27,019 patients died during follow-up corresponding to a rate of 119.7 per 1,000 person years. We used proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the risk of death for twelve ADs compared to citalopram. In the primary analysis, we found an increased risk of death associated with the use of amitriptyline (HR 1.15, 95%CI: 1.10-1.20). However, opipramol, trimipramine, doxepin, mirtazapine, fluoxetine, paroxetine, duloxetine, venlafaxine, and St. John's wort were found to be associated with a lower risk of death. The increased risk of amitriptyline diminished after exclusion of patients with a history of cancer (HR 0.88, 95%CI: 0.82-0.94) and after high-dimensional propensity score (HdPS) adjustment (HR 1.04, 95%CI: 0.95-1.14). In older patients and in those with dementia, differences in risk between most individual ADs and citalopram were smaller. After adjustment by HdPS, the decreased risks for fluoxetine, paroxetine, venlafaxine and mirtazapine compared to citalopram disappeared.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that ADs recommended as first-line treatment in patients with depression have a similar safety profile with regard to the risk of death, especially in very old patients and in those with dementia. Further research is needed to investigate the risk of death for individual ADs in specific subgroups such as patients with cancer or cardiovascular disease.

Potential Explanations for Increasing Methylphenidate Use in Children and Adolescents With Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in Germany From 2004 to 2013

BACKGROUND

Despite a decreasing population of children and adolescents, the cumulative total amount of dispensed methylphenidate (MPH), the first-choice treatment of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) in this age group, has increased dramatically in Germany. We investigated potential reasons for this increase such as changes in the ADHD prevalence over time and other potential explanations including the cumulative amount of dispensed MPH per person.

METHODS

Based on German claims data, we calculated standardized annual ADHD prevalence rates, proportions of ADHD cases treated with MPH and/or psychotherapy, and mean cumulative defined daily doses of ADHD drugs for 3- to 17-year-old children and adolescents from 2004 to 2013.

RESULTS

The ADHD prevalence increased continuously from 2004 to 2011 and remained stable thereafter. In ADHD cases, there was little variation in the proportion of individuals treated with drugs and in the frequency of psychotherapeutic treatment during the whole study period. The annual cumulative mean amount of MPH defined daily doses increased by approximately 30% from 2004 to 2008.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses suggest that the increase in MPH use in Germany was mainly influenced by an increasing ADHD prevalence and increasing amounts of dispensed MPH per person.

A cohort study of mammography screening finds that comorbidity measures are insufficient for controlling selection bias

OBJECTIVE

To examine the potential of claims-based comorbidity measures for controlling selection bias in observational studies of mammography screening.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

Based on claims data of a large German Statutory Health Insurance fund, the single comorbidities considered by the Charlson, Elixhauser, Multipurpose Australian Comorbidity Scoring System, and M3 comorbidity measures were identified for mammography screening participants and nonparticipants. Total death rates within 4 years after screening invitation were compared. Cox proportional hazards regressions were performed unadjusted and adjusted for age, federal state of residence, and comorbidity.

RESULTS

Among 1,247,919 insured women aged 50-68 years (56.2% participants), 10,311 participants (death rate 375.8/100,000 person-years) and 18,113 nonparticipants (death rate 854.8/100,000 person-years) died from any cause during the follow-up. The unadjusted hazard ratio (HR) for death from any cause for participants vs. nonparticipants was 0.44 (99.9% confidence interval 0.42-0.46). Adjustments attenuated the HR to a maximum of 0.52 (0.50-0.54).

CONCLUSION

The lower short-term all-cause mortality among participants cannot be explained by mammography screening effects and should be interpreted as selection bias. Adjusting for comorbidities only slightly attenuated this bias. Future studies should examine whether claims data include further information that is beneficial to adequately control selection bias in observational studies of mammography screening.

The Risk of Hospitalizations with Injury Diagnoses in a Matched Cohort of Children and Adolescents with and without Attention Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder in Germany: A Database Study

BACKGROUND

Attention deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) is a common neuropsychiatric disorder in children and adolescents worldwide, and children with ADHD have elevated risk of injuries. Our aim was to assess the risk of hospitalizations with injury diagnoses and their various subtypes in children and adolescents with newly diagnosed ADHD compared to those without ADHD, as well as to study sex effects on this risk in the setting of the German health care system.

METHODS

The German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database, in which 20 million insured from four statutory health insurances in Germany are included, was used to set up a matched cohort study of 3- to 17-year-old children and adolescents with and without ADHD. We calculated age-specific incidence rates and used Cox regression to obtain hazard ratios (HRs) for hospitalizations with injury diagnoses. We used the injury mortality diagnosis matrix for classification of injuries.

RESULTS

The matched cohort comprised a total of 75,300 children. The age-specific incidence rates for hospitalization with injury diagnosis for males with ADHD displayed a u-shaped form with highest incidences in the in the age groups 3-6 years [26.2 per 1,000 person-years; 95% confidence interval (CI) 20.5-33.0] and 18-21 years (28.6; 22.4-36.0). Girls with ADHD were less affected in younger age-groups, but the incidence rate for 18-21 year olds was similar to boys with ADHD (26.4; 17.4-38.4). The adjusted HR for children with ADHD was 1.40 (95% CI 1.30-1.49) compared to non-affected children. With respect to nature of injury, ADHD was associated with hospitalization with injury diagnoses of the internal organs, open wounds, and contusions but not with other injuries. With respect to body regions, children with ADHD were more prone to hospitalizations with injuries of the abdomen, traumatic brain injuries, other head injuries, and system-wide injuries such as poisoning and intoxication. No significant associations were seen for the other body regions. Differences between sexes were only seen for system-wide injuries.

CONCLUSION

Children and adolescents with ADHD are at an increased risk for hospitalizations with diagnoses of injuries compared to non-affected children. Despite differences in health-care systems, the risk increase is at a similar level in Germany as in other countries.

Risk of Stroke after Herpes Zoster - Evidence from a German Self-Controlled Case-Series Study

Background

Herpes zoster (HZ) is caused by reactivation of the latent varicella-zoster virus (VZV). A severe complication of HZ is VZV vasculopathy which can result in ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke. The aims of our study were to assess the risk of stroke after the onset of HZ and to investigate the roles of stroke subtype, HZ location and the time interval between HZ onset and stroke.

Methods

A self-controlled case-series study was performed on a cohort of patients with incident stroke recorded in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD), which covers about 20 million persons throughout Germany. We estimated adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRR) by comparing the rate of stroke in risk periods (i.e., periods following HZ) with the rate of stroke in control periods (i.e., periods without HZ) in the same individuals, controlling for both time-invariant and major potentially time-variant confounders.

Results

The cohort included 124,462 stroke patients, of whom 6,035 (5%) had at least one HZ diagnosis identified in GePaRD either as main hospital discharge diagnosis or as HZ treated with antivirals. The risk of stroke was about 1.3 times higher in the risk periods 3 months after HZ onset, than in the control periods (IRR: 1.29; 95% confidence interval: 1.16–1.44). An elevated risk of similar magnitude was observed for ischemic and unspecified stroke, but a 1.5-fold higher risk was observed for hemorrhagic stroke. A slightly stronger effect on the risk of stroke was also observed during the 3 months after HZ ophthalmicus (HZO) onset (1.59; 1.10–2.32). The risk was highest 3 and 4 weeks after HZ onset and decreased thereafter.

Conclusions

Our study corroborates an increased risk of stroke after HZ, which is highest 3 to 4 weeks after HZ onset. The results suggest that the risk is more pronounced after HZO and is numerically higher for hemorrhagic than for ischemic stroke.

Comparative risk of death in older adults treated with antipsychotics: A population-based cohort study

Although the use of antipsychotics has been associated with an increased risk of death, data on the safety of individual substances is scarce. We thus aimed to compare the risk of death in new users of individual antipsychotics aged =>65 years and conducted a cohort study in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database between 2005 and 2011. Patients were followed from initiation of treatment until death, 90 days after cohort entry, end of insurance or the end of the study period. Multivariable cox regression was used to estimate confounder adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) of death for 14 individual antipsychotics compared to risperidone. In sensitivity analyses, we also applied high-dimensional propensity score (HDPS) methods to explore possible unmeasured confounding. In a cohort of 137,713 new users of antipsychotics, a higher risk of death was found for haloperidol (aHR: 1.45; 95% confidence interval: 1.35-1.55), levomepromazine (aHR: 1.34; 1.16-1.54), zuclopenthixol (aHR: 1.32; 1.02-1.72) and to a lesser extent for melperone (aHR: 1.13; 1.07-1.19) compared to risperidone. Lower risks were observed for quetiapine, prothipendyl, olanzapine, tiapride, clozapine, perazine and flupentixol. In subgroup analyses, levomepromazine and chlorprothixene were only associated with a higher risk of death in patients aged =>80 years and with dementia. The application of HDPS methods did not substantially change the results. In conclusion, our study suggests that initiation of haloperidol, levomepromazine, zuclopenthixol and chlorprothixene treatment is associated with an increased risk of death compared to risperidone and should be avoided in older patients except in palliative care when treatment alternatives are available.

Validating mortality in the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD) against a mortality registry

PURPOSE

The study aimed at validating the status and date of death of a large electronic health insurance database against data of a mortality registry, using a probabilistic record linkage.

METHODS

Data were obtained from one local health insurance company contributing to the German Pharmacoepidemiological Research Database (GePaRD). Furthermore, data of the Bremen Mortality Index (BreMI) containing all information from death certificates were used as reference information. Both data sources were probabilistically linked. The study sample consisted of insurants dying in 2005 or 2006.

RESULTS

Of 3245 deaths in GePaRD, 83.7% were successfully linked to BreMI records. The linkage success did not differ between men and women, age groups or insurance status groups. Date of death was accurate in 97.1% of all linked deaths.

CONCLUSIONS

The accuracy of the status of death in GePaRD is likely to be underestimated in this study because of factors related to the record linkage procedure leading to failure of the probabilistic record linkage approach and the limited completeness of BreMI. A previous validation study comparing aggregate mortality information in GePaRD with German national statistics did not indicate an overreporting of deaths in GePaRD. Thus, a higher accuracy of the status of death in GePaRD than estimated here can be assumed. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.