The relative importance of households as a source of variation in child malnutrition: a multilevel analysis in India

Eco-geographic patterns of child malnutrition in India and its association with cereal cultivation: An analysis using demographic health survey and agriculture datasets

Background: High prevalence of maternal malnutrition, low birth-weight and child malnutrition in India contribute substantially to the global malnutrition burden. Rural India has disproportionately higher levels of child malnutrition. Stunting and wasting are the primary determinants of child malnutrition and their district-level distribution shows clustering in different geographies and regions. Cereals, particularly millets, constitute the bulk of protein intake among the poor, especially in rural areas in India where high prevalence of wasting persists. Methods: The previous round of National Family Health Survey (NFHS4) has disaggregated data by district, enabling a more fine-scale characterisation of the prevalence of markers of malnutrition. We used data from NFHS4 and agricultural statistics datasets to analyse relationship of prevalence of malnutrition at the district level and area under cereal cultivation. We analysed malnutrition through data on under-5 stunting and wasting by district.  Results: Stunting and wasting patterns across districts show a distinct geographical and age distribution; districts with higher wasting showed relatively higher prevalence at six months of age. Wasting prevalence at district level was associated with higher cultivation of millets, with a stronger association seen for jowar and other millets (Kodo millet, little millet, proso millet, barnyard millet and foxtail millet). District level stunting was associated with higher district level cultivation of wheat. In multivariable analysis, wasting was positively associated with women's body mass index and stunting with women's short stature. Conclusions: Well-designed intervention studies will be required to confirm causal pathways contributing to ecogeographic patterns of child malnutrition. The cultivation of other millets has a strong association with prevalence of wasting. State-of-the-art studies that improve our understanding of bio-availability of amino acids and other nutrients from the prevalent dietary matrices of rural poor communities will be needed to confirm causal pathways contributing to potential eco-geographic patterns.

Predicting child anaemia in the North-Eastern states of India: a machine learning approach

Child anaemia is a serious global health issue and India is one of the highest contributors among the developing nations. Researchers identify many harmful effects of anaemia, which include psychomotor retardation, which in turn decreases the learning ability and causes low intelligence among pre-school children. The effects also include behavioural delays, low immunity, and susceptibility to frequent infections, increased mortality, and disability. The present study aims to predict anaemia among children in North-East India by applying Machine Learning (ML) algorithms to latest available National Family Health Survey (NFHS)-4 data. Out of the total 29,312 eligible children (6–59 months) in North-East India, a total of 21,000 children with demographic variables without any missing observations, wherein 10,460 are anaemic, is considered for this study. Machine learning (ML) algorithms have been applied through 3 different types of penalized regression methods—ridge, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator, and elastic net for predicting anaemia. A systematic assessment of algorithms is performed in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, F1-Score, and Cohen’s \documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$k$$\end{document} k -Statistics. Having achieved the receiver operating characteristic value of over 70% in training and accuracy of above 64% while testing, it can be safely asserted that factors like mother’s anaemic status, age of the child, social status, mother’s age, mother’s education, religion are important in identifying the child as anaemic.