Identifying optimal indicators and purposes of population segmentation through engagement of key stakeholders: a qualitative study

Supporting professionals to implement integrated, person-centered care for people with chronic conditions: the TARGET pilot study

OBJECTIVE

The TARGET program for integrated, person-centered care for people with chronic conditions offers primary care (PC) professionals a set of tools and trainings to actively engage in population segmentation and person-centered needs assessments (PCNAs). A pilot study was conducted to gain insight into the program's feasibility and acceptability, and identify preconditions for successful implementation.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Seven Dutch PC practices participated in a half-year pilot study starting in August 2020. We performed a review of the population segmentation tool, observed four training sessions and 15 PCNAs, and interviewed 15 professionals and 12 patients.

RESULTS

Regarding feasibility and acceptability, we found that the tools and trainings provided professionals with skills to use the segmentation tool and take a more coaching role in the well-appreciated PCNAs. Concerning implementation preconditions, we found that team commitment and network connections need improvement, although work pleasure increased and professionals generally wanted the program to continue.

CONCLUSIONS

While the content of the TARGET program is supported by its users, the implementation process, for instance team commitment to the program, needs more attention in future upscaling efforts.

Construction and validation of an aging-related gene signature predicting the prognosis of pancreatic cancer

Background: Pancreatic cancer is a malignancy with a high mortality rate and worse prognosis. Recently, public databases and bioinformatics tools make it easy to develop the prognostic risk model of pancreatic cancer, but the aging-related risk signature has not been reported. The present study aimed to identify an aging-related risk signature with potential prognostic value for pancreatic cancer patients. Method: Gene expression profiling and human clinical information of pancreatic cancer were derived from The Cancer Genome Atlas database (TCGA). Aging-related gene sets were downloaded from The Molecular Signatures Database and aging-related genes were obtained from the Human Ageing Genomic Resources database. Firstly, Gene set enrichment analysis was carried out to investigate the role of aging process in pancreatic cancer. Secondly, differentially expressed genes and aging-related prognostic genes were screened on the basis of the overall survival information. Then, univariate COX and LASSO analysis were performed to establish an aging-related risk signature of pancreatic cancer patients. To facilitate clinical application, a nomogram was established to predict the survival rates of PCa patients. The correlations of risk score with clinical features and immune status were evaluated. Finally, potential therapeutic drugs were screened based on the connectivity map (Cmap) database and verified by molecular docking. For further validation, the protein levels of aging-related genes in normal and tumor tissues were detected in the Human Protein Atlas (HPA) database. Result: The genes of pancreatic cancer were markedly enriched in several aging-associated signaling pathways. We identified 14 key aging-related genes related to prognosis from 9,020 differentially expressed genes and establish an aging-related risk signature. This risk model indicated a strong prognostic capability both in the training set of TCGA cohort and the validation set of PACA-CA cohort and GSE62452 cohort. A nomogram combining risk score and clinical variables was built, and calibration curve and Decision curve analysis (DCA) have proved that it has a good predictive value. Additionally, the risk score was tightly linked with tumor immune microenvironment, immune checkpoints and proinflammatory factors. Moreover, a candidate drug, BRD-A47144777, was screened and verified by molecular docking, indicating this drug has the potential to treat PCa. The protein expression levels of GSK3B, SERPINE1, TOP2A, FEN1 and HIC1 were consistent with our predicted results. Conclusion: In conclusion, we identified an aging-related signature and nomogram with high prediction performance of survival and immune cell infiltration for pancreatic cancer. This signature might potentially help in providing personalized immunotherapy for patients with pancreatic cancer.

Patterns of healthcare utilisation in children and young people: a retrospective cohort study using routinely collected healthcare data in Northwest London

OBJECTIVES

With a growing role for health services in managing population health, there is a need for early identification of populations with high need. Segmentation approaches partition the population based on demographics, long-term conditions (LTCs) or healthcare utilisation but have mostly been applied to adults. Our study uses segmentation methods to distinguish patterns of healthcare utilisation in children and young people (CYP) and to explore predictors of segment membership.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Routinely collected primary and secondary healthcare data in Northwest London from the Discover database.

PARTICIPANTS

378 309 CYP aged 0-15 years registered to a general practice in Northwest London with 1 full year of follow-up.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Assignment of each participant to a segment defined by seven healthcare variables representing primary and secondary care attendances, and description of utilisation patterns by segment. Predictors of segment membership described by age, sex, ethnicity, deprivation and LTCs.

RESULTS

Participants were grouped into six segments based on healthcare utilisation. Three segments predominantly used primary care, two moderate utilisation segments differed in use of emergency or elective care, and a high utilisation segment, representing 16 632 (4.4%) children accounted for the highest mean presentations across all service types. The two smallest segments, representing 13.3% of the population, accounted for 62.5% of total costs. Younger age, residence in areas of higher deprivation and the presence of one or more LTCs were associated with membership of higher utilisation segments, but 75.0% of those in the highest utilisation segment had no LTC.

CONCLUSIONS

This article identifies six segments of healthcare utilisation in CYP and predictors of segment membership. Demographics and LTCs may not explain utilisation patterns as strongly as in adults, which may limit the use of routine data in predicting utilisation and suggest children have less well-defined trajectories of service use than adults.