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Wu F, Chen H, Liu Z, Ye D, Wang X, Zhou L, Xu Z, Wang D, Shen J, Zhan R, Zhu Y. Predicting postacute phase anaemia after aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage: nomogram development and validation. BMJ Open 2024; 14:e082799. [PMID: 39025815 PMCID: PMC11261674 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-082799] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2023] [Accepted: 07/07/2024] [Indexed: 07/20/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Anaemia is a severe and common complication in patients with aneurysmal subarachnoid haemorrhage (aSAH). Early intervention for at-risk patients before anaemia occurs is indicated as potentially beneficial, but no validated method synthesises patients' complicated clinical features into an instrument. The purpose of the current study was to develop and externally validate a nomogram that predicted postacute phase anaemia after aSAH. METHODS We developed a novel nomogram for aSAH patients to predict postacute phase anaemia (3 days after occurrence of aSAH, prior to discharge) on the basis of demographic information, imaging, type of treatment, aneurysm features, blood tests and clinical characteristics. We designed the model from a development cohort and tested the nomogram in external and prospective validation cohorts. We included 456 aSAH patients from The First Affiliated Hospital for the development, 220 from Sanmen People's Hospital for external validation and a prospective validation cohort that included 13 patients from Hangzhou Red Cross Hospital. We assessed the performance of the nomogram via concordance statistics and evaluated the calibration of predicted anaemia outcome with observed anaemia occurrence. RESULTS Variables included in the nomogram were age, treatment method (open surgery or endovascular therapy), baseline haemoglobin level, fasting blood glucose level, systemic inflammatory response syndrome score on admission, Glasgow Coma Scale score, aneurysm size, prothrombin time and heart rate. In the validation cohort, the model for prediction of postacute phase anaemia had a c-statistic of 0.910, with satisfactory calibration (judged by eye) for the predicted and reported anaemia outcome. Among forward-looking forecasts, our predictive model achieved an 84% success rate, which showed that it has some clinical practicability. CONCLUSIONS The developed and validated nomogram can be used to calculate individualised anaemia risk and has the potential to serve as a practical tool for clinicians in devising improved treatment strategies for aSAH.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fan Wu
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Huai Chen
- Hangzhou Red Cross Hospital, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China
| | - Zongchi Liu
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Di Ye
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Xiaoyi Wang
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Lihui Zhou
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Zihan Xu
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Duanbu Wang
- Department of Neurosurgery, Sanmen People’s Hospital, Sanmen, China
| | - Jian Shen
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Renya Zhan
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
| | - Yu Zhu
- Neurosurgery, Zhejiang University School of Medicine First Affiliated Hospital, Hangzhou, China
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Saigle V, Asad S, Presseau J, Chassé M, McIntyre L, English SW. Do patient-reported outcome measures for SAH include patient, family, and caregiver priorities? A scoping review. Neurology 2019; 92:281-295. [PMID: 30626652 DOI: 10.1212/wnl.0000000000006883] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2018] [Accepted: 10/03/2018] [Indexed: 11/15/2022] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVE To systematically describe literature that identified patient/family/caregiver priorities for subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH)-specific patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs), developed novel SAH PROMs by incorporating patient/family/caregiver perspectives, or involved patient/family/caregiver perspectives in evaluating existing SAH PROMs. METHODS We conducted a scoping review using Embase and Ovid MEDLINE from inception to February 6, 2018. Study eligibility and data extraction was performed independently and in duplicate. For each eligible citation, we abstracted information about study population, design, type of patient involvement, and outcome measures. We planned a descriptive summary of all included studies. RESULTS Our search yielded 4,961 citations, of which 15 met our eligibility criteria. Four of these included duplicate data, so our final sample consisted of 12 articles. There were 879 patients with SAH and 241 carers from the 11/12 articles that reported these data. One additional study involved 70 individuals but did not specify the number of carers or patients. We did not find any studies where SAH survivors or their families were directly involved in the full continuum of PROM outcome conceptualization from development to evaluation. We found 41 measures identified by patients with SAH. We identified only 2 PROMs developed with patients and only one that was a post hoc evaluation by patients. These 3 PROMs are subarachnoid hemorrhage outcome tool, Wessex Patient Carer Questionnaire, and Functional Status Examination, respectively. CONCLUSION We identified 3 PROMs that have involved patients in some way, but the extent to which they reflect patient priorities remains unclear. More work is needed to ensure SAH research is not overlooking outcomes that are important to patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Victoria Saigle
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada
| | - Sarah Asad
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada
| | - Justin Presseau
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada
| | - Michaël Chassé
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada
| | - Lauralyn McIntyre
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada
| | - Shane W English
- From the Clinical Epidemiology Program (Centre for Transfusion Research) (V.S., S.A., L.M., S.W.E.), Ottawa Hospital Research Institute (J.P.); School of Epidemiology and Public Health (J.P., S.W.E.) and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (S.W.E., L.M.), University of Ottawa; and Department of Medicine (Critical Care) (M.C.), University of Montreal Hospital, Canada.
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