Tradeoffs in Introduction Policies for the Anti-Tuberculosis Drug Bedaquiline: A Model-Based Analysis

Bedaquiline: what might the future hold?

Tuberculosis drug development has stagnated for decades, so the recent availability of bedaquiline is welcome. Bedaquiline-containing regimens, now the first-line therapy recommended by WHO, have transformed the treatment of drug-resistant tuberculosis, offering safer and more effective oral treatment options. However, key obstacles need to be overcome to ensure global access and prevent the rapid development of resistance against this promising class of drugs. In this Personal View, building on an international workshop held in 2023, we evaluate the current evidence and suggest possible ways forward, recognising the tension between increasing use and slowing the rise of resistance. We also discuss problems in accessing bedaquiline-containing regimens, the potential widening of their use beyond drug-resistant tuberculosis, and lessons for utilising new drugs as they are developed.

Clinical research progress of novel antituberculosis drugs on multidrug-resistant tuberculosis

Multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) has become a critical challenge to public health, and the prevention and treatment of MDR-TB are of great significance in reducing the global burden of tuberculosis. How to improve the effectiveness and safety of chemotherapy for MDR-TB is a pressing issue that needs to be addressed in tuberculosis control efforts. This article provides a comprehensive review of the clinical application of new antituberculosis drugs in MDR-TB, aiming to provide a scientific basis for the prevention and treatment strategy of MDR-TB.

Baseline and treatment-emergent bedaquiline resistance in drug-resistant tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Bedaquiline resistance is a major threat to drug-resistant tuberculosis control strategies. This analysis found a pooled prevalence of baseline bedaquiline resistance of 2.4% and a pooled prevalence of treatment-emergent bedaquiline resistance of 2.1%. https://bit.ly/3FC6yio

OUP accepted manuscript

Background

Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) is considered to be a public health threat and is difficult to cure, requiring a lengthy treatment with potent, potentially toxic drugs. The novel antimicrobial agent bedaquiline has shown promising results for patients with DR-TB, improving the rate of culture conversion and reducing TB-related mortality. However, increasing numbers of cases with acquired bedaquiline resistance (ABR) have been reported in recent years.

Methods

This systematic review aimed to assess the frequency of ABR and characteristics of patients acquiring it. Studies showing data on sequential bedaquiline drug-susceptibility testing in patients treated with a bedaquiline-containing regimen were included. The databases CENTRAL, PubMed and Embase were manually searched, and 866 unique records identified, eventually leading to the inclusion of 13 studies. Phenotypic ABR was assessed based on predefined MIC thresholds and genotypic ABR based on the emergence of resistance-associated variants.

Results

The median (IQR) frequency of phenotypic ABR was 2.2% (1.1%–4.6%) and 4.4% (1.8%–5.8%) for genotypic ABR. Among the studies reporting individual data of patients with ABR, the median number of likely effective drugs in a treatment regimen was five, in accordance with WHO recommendations. In regard to the utilization of important companion drugs with high and early bactericidal activity, linezolid was included in the regimen of most ABR patients, whereas the usage of other group A (fluoroquinolones) and former group B drugs (second-line injectable drugs) was rare.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest a relevant frequency of ABR, urging for a better protection against it. Therefore, treatment regimens should include drugs with high resistance-preventing capacity through high and early bactericidal activity.

Estimating the impact of a novel drug regimen for treatment of tuberculosis: a modeling analysis of projected patient outcomes and epidemiological considerations

BACKGROUND

Regimens that could treat both rifampin-resistant (RR) and rifampin-susceptible tuberculosis (TB) while shortening the treatment duration have reached late-stage clinical trials. Decisions about whether and how to implement such regimens will require an understanding of their likely clinical impact and how this impact depends on local epidemiology and implementation strategy.

METHODS

A Markov state-transition model of 100,000 representative South African adults with TB was used to simulate implementation of the regimen BPaMZ (bedaquiline, pretomanid, moxifloxacin, and pyrazinamide), either for RR-TB only or universally for all patients. Patient outcomes, including cure rates, time with active TB, and time on treatment, were compared to outcomes under current care. Sensitivity analyses varied the drug-resistance epidemiology, rifampin susceptibility testing practices, and regimen efficacy.

RESULTS

Using BPaMZ exclusively for RR-TB increased the proportion of all RR-TB that was cured by initial treatment from 60 ± 1% to 67 ± 1%. Expanding use of BPaMZ to all patients increased cure of RR-TB to 89 ± 1% and cure of all TB from 87.3 ± 0.1% to 89.5 ± 0.1%, while shortening treatment by 1.9 months/person. In sensitivity analyses, reducing the coverage of rifampin susceptibility testing resulted in lower projected proportions of patients cured under all regimen scenarios (current care, RR-only BPaMZ, and universal BPaMZ), compared to the proportions projected using South Africa's high coverage; however, this reduced coverage resulted in greater expected incremental benefits of universal BPaMZ implementation, both when compared to RR-only BPaMZ implementation and when compared to to current care under the same low rifampin susceptibility testing coverage. In settings with higher RR-TB prevalence, the benefits of BPaMZ were magnified both for RR-specific and universal BPaMZ implementation.

CONCLUSIONS

Novel regimens such as BPaMZ could improve RR-TB outcomes and shorten treatment for all patients, particularly with universal use. Decision-makers weighing early options for implementing such regimens at scale will want to consider the expected impact on patient outcomes and on the burden of treatment in their local context.

Emerging Challenges and Opportunities in Infectious Disease Epidemiology

Much of the intellectual tradition of modern epidemiology stems from efforts to understand and combat chronic diseases persisting through the 20th century epidemiologic transition of countries such as the United States and United Kingdom. After decades of relative obscurity, infectious disease epidemiology has undergone an intellectual rebirth in recent years amid increasing recognition of the threat posed by both new and familiar pathogens. Here, we review the emerging coalescence of infectious disease epidemiology around a core set of study designs and statistical methods bearing little resemblance to the chronic disease epidemiology toolkit. We offer our outlook on challenges and opportunities facing the field, including the integration of novel molecular and digital information sources into disease surveillance, the assimilation of such data into models of pathogen spread, and the increasing contribution of models to public health practice. We next consider emerging paradigms in causal inference for infectious diseases, ranging from approaches to evaluating vaccines and antimicrobial therapies to the task of ascribing clinical syndromes to etiologic microorganisms, an age-old problem transformed by our increasing ability to characterize human-associated microbiota. These areas represent an increasingly important component of epidemiology training programs for future generations of researchers and practitioners.

Bedaquiline- versus injectable-containing drug-resistant tuberculosis regimens: a cost-effectiveness analysis

BACKGROUND

Drug-resistant tuberculosis (DR-TB) continues to be a major public health challenge with suboptimal treatment outcomes including well-documented treatment-related toxicities. We compared the cost-effectiveness of bedaquiline (BDQ) containing regimens with injectable containing regimens (short-course regimen [SCR] and long-course regiman [LCR]) in India, Russia, and South Africa.

METHODS

The analysis evaluated the direct costs of DR-TB treatment which included drugs, hospitalization, injectable-related adverse event costs, and other costs. Scenarios altered regimen costs, SCR/LCR ratio, and substitution rate between regimens (whether BDQ or injectable containing).

RESULTS

BDQ containing regimens are more cost effective based on cost per treatment success compared with injectable containing regimens, reducing these in SCR by 18-20% and in LCR by 49-54%. Average cost effectiveness ratios (ACERs) of BDQ containing regimens are lower. The incremental cost effectiveness ratio (ICER) is negative. Exclusive use of BDQ containing regimens results in approximately 61,000 more patients treated successfully over 5 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Across all countries, BDQ containing regimens are dominant compared to injectable containing regimens, entailing lower treatment costs to achieve better clinical outcomes. This analysis can provide insight and support to local and global decision-makers and public health organizations to allocate efficiently resources improving patient and public health outcomes.