Mathematical modelling as a proof of concept for MPNs as a human inflammation model for cancer development

Dynamically adjusted cell fate decisions and resilience to mutant invasion during steady-state hematopoiesis revealed by an experimentally parameterized mathematical model

A major next step in hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) biology is to enhance our quantitative understanding of cellular and evolutionary dynamics involved in undisturbed hematopoiesis. Mathematical models have been and continue to be key in this respect, and are most powerful when parameterized experimentally and containing sufficient biological complexity. In this paper, we use data from label propagation experiments in mice to parameterize a mathematical model of hematopoiesis that includes homeostatic control mechanisms as well as clonal evolution. We find that nonlinear feedback control can drastically change the interpretation of kinetic estimates at homeostasis. This suggests that short-term HSC and multipotent progenitors can dynamically adjust to sustain themselves temporarily in the absence of long-term HSCs, even if they differentiate more often than they self-renew in undisturbed homeostasis. Additionally, the presence of feedback control in the model renders the system resilient against mutant invasion. Invasion barriers, however, can be overcome by a combination of age-related changes in stem cell differentiation and evolutionary niche construction dynamics based on a mutant-associated inflammatory environment. This helps us understand the evolution of e.g., TET2 or DNMT3A mutants, and how to potentially reduce mutant burden.

Mathematical modelling of stem and progenitor cell dynamics during ruxolitinib treatment of patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms

Introduction

The Philadelphia chromosome-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms are a group of slowly progressing haematological malignancies primarily characterised by an overproduction of myeloid blood cells. Patients are treated with various drugs, including the JAK1/2 inhibitor ruxolitinib. Mathematical modelling can help propose and test hypotheses of how the treatment works.

Materials and methods

We present an extension of the Cancitis model, which describes the development of myeloproliferative neoplasms and their interactions with inflammation, that explicitly models progenitor cells and can account for treatment with ruxolitinib through effects on the malignant stem cell response to cytokine signalling and the death rate of malignant progenitor cells. The model has been fitted to individual patients' data for the JAK2 V617F variant allele frequency from the COMFORT-II and RESPONSE studies for patients who had substantial reductions (20 percentage points or 90% of the baseline value) in their JAK2 V617F variant allele frequency (n = 24 in total).

Results

The model fits very well to the patient data with an average root mean square error of 0.0249 (2.49%) when allowing ruxolitinib treatment to affect both malignant stem and progenitor cells. This average root mean square error is much lower than if allowing ruxolitinib treatment to affect only malignant stem or only malignant progenitor cells (average root mean square errors of 0.138 (13.8%) and 0.0874 (8.74%), respectively).

Discussion

Systematic simulation studies and fitting of the model to the patient data suggest that an initial reduction of the malignant cell burden followed by a monotonic increase can be recapitulated by the model assuming that ruxolitinib affects only the death rate of malignant progenitor cells. For patients exhibiting a long-term reduction of the malignant cells, the model predicts that ruxolitinib also affects stem cell parameters, such as the malignant stem cells' response to cytokine signalling.

Mathematical modelling of clonal reduction therapeutic strategies in acute myeloid leukemia

Over the years, the overall survival of older patients diagnosed with acute myeloid leukemia (AML) has not significantly increased. Although standard cytotoxic therapies that rapidly eliminate dividing myeloblasts are used to induce remission, relapse can occur due to surviving therapy-resistant leukemic stem cells (LSCs). Hence, anti-LSC strategies have become a key target to cure AML. We have recently shown that previously approved cardiac glycosides and glucocorticoids target LSC-enriched CD34+ cells in the primary human AML 8227 model with more efficacy than normal hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs). To translate these in vitro findings into humans, we developed a mathematical model of stem cell dynamics that describes the stochastic evolution of LSCs in AML post-standard-of-care. To this, we integrated population pharmacokinetic-pharmacodynamic (PKPD) models to investigate the clonal reduction potential of several promising candidate drugs in comparison to cytarabine, which is commonly used in high doses for consolidation therapy in AML patients. Our results suggest that cardiac glycosides (proscillaridin A, digoxin and ouabain) and glucocorticoids (budesonide and mometasone) reduce the expansion of LSCs through a decrease in their viability. While our model predicts that effective doses of cardiac glycosides are potentially too toxic to use in patients, simulations show the possibility of mometasone to prevent relapse through the glucocorticoid's ability to drastically reduce LSC population size. This work therefore highlights the prospect of these treatments for anti-LSC strategies and underlines the use of quantitative approaches to preclinical drug translation in AML.

Computational modeling reveals key factors driving treatment-free remission in chronic myeloid leukemia patients

Patients with chronic myeloid leukemia (CML) who receive tyrosine kinase inhibitors (TKIs) have been known to achieve treatment-free remission (TFR) upon discontinuing treatment. However, the underlying mechanisms of this phenomenon remain incompletely understood. This study aims to elucidate the mechanism of TFR in CML patients, focusing on the feedback interaction between leukemia stem cells and the bone marrow microenvironment. We have developed a mathematical model to explore the interplay between leukemia stem cells and the bone marrow microenvironment, allowing for the simulation of CML progression dynamics. Our proposed model reveals a dichotomous response following TKI discontinuation, with two distinct patient groups emerging: one prone to early molecular relapse and the other capable of achieving long-term TFR after treatment cessation. This finding aligns with clinical observations and underscores the essential role of feedback interaction between leukemic cells and the tumor microenvironment in sustaining TFR. Notably, we have shown that the ratio of leukemia cells in peripheral blood (PBLC) and the tumor microenvironment (TME) index can be a valuable predictive tool for identifying patients likely to achieve TFR after discontinuing treatment. This study provides fresh insights into the mechanism of TFR in CML patients and underscores the significance of microenvironmental control in achieving TFR.

Investigation of Serum Albumin as a Dynamic Treatment-Specific Surrogate for Outcomes in Patients With Myelofibrosis Treated With Ruxolitinib

PURPOSE

Ruxolitinib improves splenomegaly and disease-related symptoms in most patients with myelofibrosis (MF), and it has been associated with a survival benefit in higher-risk patients with splenomegaly. Spleen volume reduction has been associated with a survival benefit in ruxolitinib-treated patients; however, its use as a surrogate is limited. We hypothesized that an anti-inflammatory response to ruxolitinib would correlate with improved patient outcomes.

METHODS

We interrogated serum albumin, an acute phase reactant and marker of nutritional status in 590 patients with MF and analyzed differential trajectories of albumin on the basis of ruxolitinib treatment. Additionally, we assessed the prognostic role of baseline albumin and change in albumin.

RESULTS

We found that serum albumin levels tend to decrease in patients with MF; however, this tendency is abrogated by ruxolitinib treatment. To that end, baseline serum albumin level correlates with overall survival (OS) in patients with MF, independent of the variables that comprise the dynamic international prognostic scoring system; however, this correlation is limited to ruxolitinib-naïve patients. In ruxolitinib-treated patients, the change in serum albumin after ruxolitinib treatment, rather than the baseline value, is associated with improved OS, a finding not seen in ruxolitinib-naïve patients.

CONCLUSION

These findings suggest that serum albumin, a ubiquitously available laboratory value, has specific relevance in patients with MF and reflects therapeutic response to ruxolitinib.

Inherited polygenic effects on common hematological traits influence clonal selection on JAK2V617F and the development of myeloproliferative neoplasms

Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are chronic cancers characterized by overproduction of mature blood cells. Their causative somatic mutations, for example, JAK2V617F, are common in the population, yet only a minority of carriers develop MPN. Here we show that the inherited polygenic loci that underlie common hematological traits influence JAK2V617F clonal expansion. We identify polygenic risk scores (PGSs) for monocyte count and plateletcrit as new risk factors for JAK2V617F positivity. PGSs for several hematological traits influenced the risk of different MPN subtypes, with low PGSs for two platelet traits also showing protective effects in JAK2V617F carriers, making them two to three times less likely to have essential thrombocythemia than carriers with high PGSs. We observed that extreme hematological PGSs may contribute to an MPN diagnosis in the absence of somatic driver mutations. Our study showcases how polygenic backgrounds underlying common hematological traits influence both clonal selection on somatic mutations and the subsequent phenotype of cancer.

Whole blood transcriptional profiling reveals highly deregulated atherosclerosis genes in Philadelphia-chromosome negative myeloproliferative neoplasms

BACKGROUND

The Philadelphia-negative chronic myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are associated with a huge comorbidity burden, including an increased risk of cardiovascular diseases. Recently, chronic inflammation has been suggested to be the driving force for clonal evolution and disease progression in MPN but also potentially having an impact upon the development of accelerated (premature) atherosclerosis.

OBJECTIVES

Since chronic inflammation, atherosclerosis, and atherothrombosis are prevalent in MPNs and we have previously shown oxidative stress genes to be markedly upregulated in MPNs, we hypothesized that genes linked to development of atherosclerosis might be highly deregulated as well.

METHODS

Using whole blood gene expression profiling in patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET; n = 19), polycythemia vera (PV; n = 41), or primary myelofibrosis (PMF; n = 9), we herein for the first time report aberrant expression of several atherosclerosis genes.

RESULTS

Of 84 atherosclerosis genes, 45, 56, and 46 genes were deregulated in patients with ET, PV, or PMF, respectively. Furthermore, BCL2L1, MMP1, PDGFA, PTGS1, and THBS4 were progressively significantly upregulated and BCL2 progressively significantly downregulated from ET over PV to PMF (all FDR <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

We have for the first time shown massive deregulation of atherosclerosis genes in MPNs, likely reflecting the inflammatory state in MPNs in association with in vivo activation of leukocytes, platelets, and endothelial cells being deeply involved in the atherosclerotic process.

Inflammation propagation modeled as a reaction-diffusion wave

Inflammation is a physiological process aimed to protect the organism in various diseases and injuries. This work presents a generic inflammation model based on the reaction-diffusion equations for the concentrations of uninflamed cells, inflamed cells, immune cells and the inflammatory cytokines. The analysis of the model shows the existence of three different regimes of inflammation progression depending on the value of a parameter R called the inflammation number. If R>1, then inflammation propagates in cell culture or tissue as a reaction-diffusion wave due to diffusion of inflammatory cytokines produced by inflamed cells. If 0 Collapse

Key Words

• Cytokine storm
• Inflammation
• Inflammation propagation
• Reaction–diffusion equations
• Wave speed

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MESH Headings

• Inflammation/immunology
• Humans
• Cytokines/metabolism
• Cytokines/immunology
• Models, Biological
• Animals

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Affiliation(s)

W El Hajj Institut Camille Jordan, UMR 5208 CNRS, University Lyon 1, 69622 Villeurbanne, France
N El Khatib Department of Computer Science and Mathematics, Lebanese American University, P.O. Box 36, Byblos, Lebanon.
V Volpert Institut Camille Jordan, UMR 5208 CNRS, University Lyon 1, 69622 Villeurbanne, France; Peoples' Friendship University of Russia (RUDN University), 6 Miklukho-Maklaya St, Moscow 117198, Russian Federation

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Contributions of bone marrow monocytes/macrophages in myeloproliferative neoplasms with JAK2V617F mutation

The classic BCR-ABL1-negative myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN) is a highly heterogeneous hematologic tumor that includes three subtypes, namely polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocytosis (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF). Despite having the same JAK2^V617F mutation, the clinical manifestations of these three subtypes of MPN differ significantly, which suggests that the bone marrow (BM) immune microenvironment may also play an important role. In recent years, several studies have shown that peripheral blood monocytes play an important role in promoting MPN. However, to date, the role of BM monocytes/macrophages in MPN and their transcriptomic alterations remain incompletely understood. The purpose of this study was to clarify the role of BM monocytes/macrophages in MPN patients with the JAK2^V617F mutation. MPN patients with the JAK2^V617F mutation were enrolled in this study. We investigated the roles of monocytes/macrophages in the BM of MPN patients, using flow cytometry, monocyte/macrophage enrichment sorting, cytospins and Giemsa-Wright staining, and RNA-seq. Pearson correlation coefficient analysis was also used to detect the correlation between BM monocytes/macrophages and the MPN phenotype. In the present study, the proportion of CD163⁺ monocytes/macrophages increased significantly in all three subtypes of MPN. Interestingly, the percentages of CD163⁺ monocytes/macrophages are positively correlated with HGB in PV patients and PLT in ET patients. In contrast, the percentages of CD163⁺ monocytes/macrophages are negatively correlated with HGB and PLT in PMF patients. It was also found that CD14⁺CD16⁺ monocytes/macrophages increased and correlated with MPN clinical phenotypes. RNA-seq analyses demonstrated that the transcriptional expressions of monocytes/macrophages in MPN patients are relatively distinct. Gene expression profiles of BM monocytes/macrophages suggest a specialized function in support of megakaryopoiesis in ET patients. In contrast, BM monocytes/macrophages yielded a heterogeneous status in the support or inhibition of erythropoiesis. Significantly, BM monocytes/macrophages shaped an inflammatory microenvironment, which, in turn, promotes myelofibrosis. Thus, we characterized the roles of increased monocytes/macrophages in the occurrence and progression of MPNs. Our findings of the comprehensive transcriptomic characterization of BM monocytes/macrophages provide important resources to serve as a basis for future studies and future targets for the treatment of MPN patients.

Mutations, inflammation and phenotype of myeloproliferative neoplasms

Knowledge on the myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) - polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET), primary myelofibrosis (PMF) - has accumulated since the discovery of the JAK/STAT-activating mutations associated with MPNs: JAK2V617F, observed in PV, ET and PMF; and the MPL and CALR mutations, found in ET and PMF. The intriguing lack of disease specificity of these mutations, and of the chronic inflammation associated with MPNs, triggered a quest for finding what precisely determines that MPN patients develop a PV, ET or PMF phenoptype. The mechanisms of action of MPN-driving mutations, and concomitant mutations (ASXL1, DNMT3A, TET2, others), have been extensively studied, as well as the role played by these mutations in inflammation, and several pathogenic models have been proposed. In parallel, different types of drugs have been tested in MPNs (JAK inhibitors, interferons, hydroxyurea, anagrelide, azacytidine, combinations of those), some acting on both JAK2 and inflammation. Yet MPNs remain incurable diseases. This review aims to present current, detailed knowledge on the pathogenic mechanisms specifically associated with PV, ET or PMF that may pave the way for the development of novel, curative therapies.

The multidisciplinary approach to eosinophilia

Eosinophilic granulocytes are normally present in low numbers in the bloodstream. Patients with an increased number of eosinophilic granulocytes in the differential count (eosinophilia) are common and can pose a clinical challenge because conditions with eosinophilia occur in all medical specialties. The diagnostic approach must be guided by a thorough medical history, supported by specific tests to guide individualized treatment. Neoplastic (primary) eosinophilia is identified by one of several unique acquired genetic causes. In contrast, reactive (secondary) eosinophilia is associated with a cytokine stimulus in a specific disease, while idiopathic eosinophilia is a diagnosis by exclusion. Rational treatment is disease-directed in secondary cases and has paved the way for targeted treatment against the driver in primary eosinophilia, whereas idiopathic cases are treated as needed by principles in eosinophilia originating from clonal drivers. The vast majority of patients are diagnosed with secondary eosinophilia and are managed by the relevant specialty-e.g., rheumatology, allergy, dermatology, gastroenterology, pulmonary medicine, hematology, or infectious disease. The overlap in symptoms and the risk of irreversible organ involvement in eosinophilia, irrespective of the cause, warrants that patients without a diagnostic clarification or who do not respond to adequate treatment should be referred to a multidisciplinary function anchored in a hematology department for evaluation. This review presents the pathophysiology, manifestations, differential diagnosis, diagnostic workup, and management of (adult) patients with eosinophilia. The purpose is to place eosinophilia in a clinical context, and therefore justify and inspire the establishment of a multidisciplinary team of experts from diagnostic and clinical specialties at the regional level to support the second opinion. The target patient population requires highly specialized laboratory analysis and therapy and occasionally has severe eosinophil-induced organ dysfunction. An added value of a centralized, clinical function is to serve as a platform for education and research to further improve the management of patients with eosinophilia. Primary and idiopathic eosinophilia are key topics in the review, which also address current research and discusses outstanding issues in the field.

HSC Niche Dynamics in Regeneration, Pre-malignancy, and Cancer: Insights From Mathematical Modeling

The hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) niche is a crucial driver of regeneration and malignancy. Its interaction with hematopoietic and malignant stem cells is highly complex and direct experimental observations are challenging. We here develop a mathematical model which helps relate processes in the niche to measurable changes of stem and non-stem cell counts. HSC attached to the niche are assumed to be quiescent. After detachment HSC become activated and divide or differentiate. To maintain their stemness, the progeny originating from division must reattach to the niche. We use mouse data from literature to parametrize the model. By combining mathematical analysis and computer simulations, we systematically investigate the impact of stem cell proliferation, differentiation, niche attachment, and detachment on clinically relevant scenarios. These include bone marrow transplantation, clonal competition, and eradication of malignant cells. According to our model, sampling of blood or bulk marrow provides only limited information about cellular interactions in the niche and the clonal composition of the stem cell population. Furthermore, we investigate how interference with processes in the stem cell niche could help to increase the effect of low-dose chemotherapy or to improve the homing of genetically engineered cells.

Serum levels of IL-4, IL-13 and IL-33 in patients with age-related macular degeneration and myeloproliferative neoplasms

Immune responses play a key role in the pathogenesis and progression of myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) and age-related macular degeneration (AMD). Recent studies suggested using MPNs as a "Human Inflammation Model" of drusen development and previous results showed interleukin-4 (IL-4) dysregulation in MPN and AMD. IL-4, IL-13 and IL-33 are all cytokines involved in the type 2 inflammatory response. This study investigated the cytokine levels of IL-4, IL-13 and IL-33 in serum of MPN and AMD patients. This cross-sectional study included 35 patients with MPN with drusen (MPNd) and 27 with MPN and normal retinas (MPNn), 28 patients with intermediate AMD (iAMD) and 29 with neovascular AMD (nAMD). With immunoassays, we quantified and compared levels of IL-4, IL-13 and IL-33 in serum between the groups. The study was conducted at Zealand University Hospital, Roskilde, Denmark, between July 2018 and November 2020. The serum levels of IL-4 were significantly higher in the MPNd group than in the MPNn group (p = 0.003). In regard to IL-33, the difference between MPNd and MPNn was not significant (p = 0.069), however, when subdivided into subgroups, a significant difference was found between polycythemia vera patients with drusen and those without drusen (p = 0.005). We found no IL-13 difference between the MPNd and MPNn groups. Our data didn't show any significant IL-4 or IL-13 serum level difference between the MPNd and iAMD groups but in regard to IL-33, data recorded a significant serum level difference between the two groups. There was no statistically significant difference between the MPNn, iAMD and nAMD groups in levels of IL-4, IL-13 and IL-33. These findings suggested that the serum levels of IL-4 and IL-33 might play a role in drusen development in MPN patients. The results might represent the type 2 inflammatory arm of the disease. The findings support the association between chronic inflammation and drusen.

Understanding Hematopoietic Stem Cell Dynamics—Insights from Mathematical Modelling

Purpose of review

Hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) drive blood-cell production (hematopoiesis). Out-competition of HSCs by malignant cells occurs in many hematologic malignancies like acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Through mathematical modelling, HSC dynamics and their impact on healthy blood cell formation can be studied, using mathematical analysis and computer simulations. We review important work within this field and discuss mathematical modelling as a tool for attaining biological insight.

Recent findings

Various mechanism-based models of HSC dynamics have been proposed in recent years. Key properties of such models agree with observations and medical knowledge and suggest relations between stem cell properties, e.g., rates of division and the temporal evolution of the HSC population. This has made it possible to study how HSC properties shape clinically relevant processes, including engraftment following an HSC transplantation and the response to different treatment.

Summary

Understanding how properties of HSCs affect hematopoiesis is important for efficient treatment of diseases. Mathematical modelling can contribute significantly to these efforts.

Recombinant Interferon-β in the Treatment of Polycythemia Vera and Related Neoplasms: Rationales and Perspectives

About 30 years ago, the first clinical trials of the safety and efficacy of recombinant interferon-α2 (rIFN-α2) were performed. Since then, several single-arm studies have shown rIFN-α2 to be a highly potent anticancer agent against several cancer types. Unfortunately, however, a high toxicity profile in early studies with rIFN-α2 -among other reasons likely due to the high dosages being used-disqualified rIFN-α2, which was accordingly replaced with competitive drugs that might at first glance look more attractive to clinicians. Later, pegylated IFN-α2a (Pegasys) and pegylated IFN-α2b (PegIntron) were introduced, which have since been reported to be better tolerated due to reduced toxicity. Today, treatment with rIFN-α2 is virtually outdated in non-hematological cancers, where other immunotherapies-e.g., immune-checkpoint inhibitors-are routinely used in several cancer types and are being intensively investigated in others, either as monotherapy or in combination with immunomodulatory agents, although only rarely in combination with rIFN-α2. Within the hematological malignancies, rIFN-α2 has been used off-label for decades in patients with Philadelphia-negative chronic myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs)-i.e., essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera, and myelofibrosis-and in recent years rIFN-α2 has been revived with the marketing of ropeginterferon-α2b (Besremi) for the treatment of polycythemia vera patients. Additionally, rIFN-α2 has been revived for the treatment of chronic myelogenous leukemia in combination with tyrosine kinase inhibitors. Another rIFN formulation-recombinant interferon-β (rIFN-β)-has been used for decades in the treatment of multiple sclerosis but has never been studied as a potential agent to be used in patients with MPNs, although several studies and reviews have repeatedly described rIFN-β as an effective anticancer agent as well. In this paper, we describe the rationales and perspectives for launching studies on the safety and efficacy of rIFN-β in patients with MPNs.

Interferon-alpha2 treatment of patients with polycythemia vera and related neoplasms favorably impacts deregulation of oxidative stress genes and antioxidative defense mechanisms

Chronic inflammation is considered a major driving force for clonal expansion and evolution in the Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms, which include essential thrombocythemia, polycythemia vera and primary myelofibrosis (MPNs). One of the key mutation drivers is the JAK2V617F mutation, which has been shown to induce the generation of reactive oxygen species (ROS). Using whole blood gene expression profiling, deregulation of several oxidative stress and anti-oxidative defense genes has been identified in MPNs, including significant downregulation of TP53, the NFE2L2 or NRF2 genes. These genes have a major role for maintaining genomic stability, regulation of the oxidative stress response and in modulating migration or retention of hematopoietic stem cells. Therefore, their deregulation might give rise to increasing genomic instability, increased chronic inflammation and disease progression with egress of hematopoietic stem cells from the bone marrow to seed in the spleen, liver and elsewhere. Interferon-alpha2 (rIFNα) is increasingly being recognized as the drug of choice for the treatment of patients with MPNs. Herein, we report the first gene expression profiling study on the impact of rIFNα upon oxidative stress and antioxidative defense genes in patients with MPNs (n = 33), showing that rIFNα downregulates several upregulated oxidative stress genes and upregulates downregulated antioxidative defense genes. Treatment with rIFNα induced upregulation of 19 genes in ET and 29 genes in PV including CXCR4 and TP53. In conclusion, this rIFNα- mediated dampening of genotoxic damage to hematopoietic cells may ultimately diminish the risk of additional mutations and accordingly clonal evolution and disease progression towards myelofibrotic and leukemic transformation.

PD-1/PD-L1, MDSC Pathways, and Checkpoint Inhibitor Therapy in Ph(-) Myeloproliferative Neoplasm: A Review

There has been significant progress in immune checkpoint inhibitor (CPI) therapy in many solid tumor types. However, only a single failed study has been published in treating Ph(-) myeloproliferative neoplasm (MPN). To make progress in CPI studies on this disease, herein, we review and summarize the mechanisms of activation of the PD-L1 promoter, which are as follows: (a) the extrinsic mechanism, which is activated by interferon gamma (IFN γ) by tumor infiltration lymphocytes (TIL) and NK cells; (b) the intrinsic mechanism of EGFR or PTEN loss resulting in the activation of the MAPK and AKT pathways and then stat 1 and 3 activation; and (c) 9p24 amplicon amplification, resulting in PD-L1 and Jak2 activation. We also review the literature and postulate that many of the failures of CPI therapy in MPN are likely due to excessive MDSC activities. We list all of the anti-MDSC agents, especially those with ruxolitinib, IMID compounds, and BTK inhibitors, which may be combined with CPI therapy in the future as part of clinical trials applying CPI therapy to Ph(-) MPN.

The roles of sex and genetics in the MPN

The Philadelphia chromosome negative myeloproliferative neoplasms(MPNs), polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF) are acquired hematopoietic stem cell disorders driven by activating mutations of intracellular signal transduction pathways that control the production of circulating blood cells. The MPN are characterized clinically by marked variation in degrees of vascular risk, familial clustering, and evolution to myelofibrosis and acute leukemia. MPN disease presentations and outcomes are highly variable, and are markedly influenced by both sex and germline genetic variation. This chapter will focus on the evidence of sex and germline genetic background as modifiers of MPN development and outcomes. Large population genome wide association studies in both clonal hematopoiesis and MPN have revealed novel mechanisms, including inflammatory pathways and genomic instability, which further our understanding of how sex and genetic background mediate MPN risk. Recent advances in our understanding of clonal hematopoiesis and MPN development in various contexts informs the mechanisms by which sex, inflammation, exposures and genetics influence MPN incidence and outcomes, and provide opportunities to develop new strategies for prognostics and therapeutics in the MPN.

Neutrophil Death in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Shedding More Light on Neutrophils as a Pathogenic Link to Chronic Inflammation

Neutrophils are an essential component of the innate immune response, but their prolonged activation can lead to chronic inflammation. Consequently, neutrophil homeostasis is tightly regulated through balance between granulopoiesis and clearance of dying cells. The bone marrow is both a site of neutrophil production and the place they return to and die. Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) are clonal hematopoietic disorders characterized by the mutations in three types of molecular markers, with emphasis on Janus kinase 2 gene mutation (JAK2V617F). The MPN bone marrow stem cell niche is a site of chronic inflammation, with commonly increased cells of myeloid lineage, including neutrophils. The MPN neutrophils are characterized by the upregulation of JAK target genes. Additionally, MPN neutrophils display malignant nature, they are in a state of activation, and with deregulated apoptotic machinery. In other words, neutrophils deserve to be placed in the midst of major events in MPN. Our crucial interest in this review is better understanding of how neutrophils die in MPN mirrored by defects in apoptosis and to what possible extent they can contribute to MPN pathophysiology. We tend to expect that reduced neutrophil apoptosis will establish a pathogenic link to chronic inflammation in MPN.

Patients with MPNs and retinal drusen show signs of complement system dysregulation and a high degree of chronic low-grade inflammation

BACKGROUND

The hematopoietic stem cell disorders, myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs), are characterised by chronic low-grade inflammation (CLI). Recently, we showed that patients with MPNs have an increased prevalence of drusen and age-related macular degeneration (AMD), and drusen prevalence seemed associated with higher CLI. Studying MPNs may reveal more about drusen pathophysiology. This study investigated CLI further by measuring cytokine levels and complement system markers, comparing these between patients with MPNs and AMD.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study, between July 2018 and November 2020 conducted at Zealand University Hospital (ZUH) - Roskilde, Denmark, included 29 patients with neovascular AMD (nAMD), 28 with intermediate-stage AMD (iAMD), 62 with MPNs (35 with drusen - MPNd and 27 with healthy retinas - MPNn). With flow cytometry, we measured complement-regulatory-proteins (Cregs). With immunoassays, we investigated cytokine levels combined into a summary-inflammation-score (SIS).

FINDINGS

The MPNd and nAMD groups had similar SIS, significantly higher than the MPNn and iAMD groups. Additionally, we found SIS to increase over the MPN biological continuum from early cancer stage, essential thrombocytaemia (ET), over polycythaemia vera (PV) to the late-stage primary myelofibrosis (PMF). MPNs showed signs of complement dysregulation, with Cregs expression lower in PV than ET and PMF and even lower in PV patients with drusen.

INTERPRETATION

This study suggests that MPNd have a higher CLI than MPNn and may indicate systemic CLI to play a greater part in, and even initiate drusen formation. We suggest using MPNs as a "Human Inflammation Model" of drusen development. The CLI in MPNs elicits drusen formation, triggering more CLI creating a vicious cycle, increasing the risk of developing AMD.

FUNDING

Fight for Sight, Denmark, and Region Zealand's research promotion fund.

Retinal drusen in patients with chronic myeloproliferative blood cancers are associated with an increased proportion of senescent T cells and signs of an aging immune system

The cause of age-related macular degeneration (AMD) is unknown, but evidence indicates that both innate and adaptive immunity play a role in the pathogenesis. Our recent work has investigated AMD in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) since they have increased drusen and AMD prevalence. We have previously found increased levels of chronic low-grade inflammation (CLI) in MPN patients with drusen (MPNd) compared to MPN patients with normal retinas (MPNn). CLI and AMD are both associated with aging, and we, therefore, wanted to study immunosenescence markers in MPNd, MPNn, and AMD. The purpose was to identify differences between MPNd and MPNn, which might reveal novel information relevant to drusen pathophysiology and thereby the AMD pathogenesis. Our results suggest that MPNd have a T cell differentiation profile resembling AMD and more effector memory T cells than MPNn. The senescence-associated-secretory-phenotype (SASP) is associated with effector T cells. SASP is thought to play a role in driving CLI seen with advancing age. Senescent cells with SASP may damage healthy tissue, including the eye tissues affected in AMD. The finding of increased effector cells in MPNd could implicate a role for adaptive immunity and senescent T cells together with increased CLI in drusen pathophysiology.

Data-driven analysis of the kinetics of the JAK2V617F allele burden and blood cell counts during hydroxyurea treatment of patients with polycythemia vera, essential thrombocythemia, and primary myelofibrosis

BACKGROUND

Hydroxyurea (HU) treatment of patients with essential thrombocythemia (ET), polycythemia vera (PV), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF) (MPNs) normalizes elevated blood cell counts within weeks in the large majority of patients. Studies on the impact of HU upon the kinetics of the JAK2V617F allele burden, leukocyte, and platelet counts over time are scarce.

PURPOSE

Using data-driven analysis as a novel tool to model the kinetics of the JAK2V617F allele burden and blood cell counts over time during treatment with HU.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Using serial measurements of JAK2V617F and correlation analysis of routine hematological values (the Hb-concentration, leukocyte count, platelet count, and lactic dehydrogenase), we present a detailed description and analysis of the kinetics of the JAK2V617F, leukocyte, and platelet counts and lactic dehydrogenase in 27 patients (PV = 18; ET = 7; PMF = 2), who were followed in the Danish randomized trial (DALIAH). To further analyze the JAK2V617F kinetics, we use a machine learning clustering algorithm to group the response patterns.

RESULTS

Response patterns were highly heterogeneous, with clustering resulting in 3 groups and 3 outliers. In the large majority of patients, HU treatment was initially associated with a modest decline in the JAK2V617F allele burden in concert with a decline in leukocyte and platelet counts. However, HU did not induce a sustained and continuous decrease in the JAK2V617F allele burden.

CONCLUSION

Using data-driven analysis of the JAK2V617F allele burden, leukocyte, and platelet kinetics during treatment with HU, we have shown that HU does not induce a sustained decrease in the JAK2V617F allele burden and neither induces sustained normalization of elevated cell counts in MPN patients. Our results may explain why MPN patients during treatment with HU still have a substantially increased risk of thrombosis.

Potential of Immunotherapies in Treating Hematological Cancer-Infection Comorbidities-A Mathematical Modelling Approach

BACKGROUND

The immune system attacks threats like an emerging cancer or infections like COVID-19 but it also plays a role in dealing with autoimmune disease, e.g., inflammatory bowel diseases, and aging. Malignant cells may tend to be eradicated, to appraoch a dormant state or escape the immune system resulting in uncontrolled growth leading to cancer progression. If the immune system is busy fighting a cancer, a severe infection on top of it may compromise the immunoediting and the comorbidity may be too taxing for the immune system to control.

METHOD

A novel mechanism based computational model coupling a cancer-infection development to the adaptive immune system is presented and analyzed. The model maps the outcome to the underlying physiological mechanisms and agree with numerous evidence based medical observations.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

Progression of a cancer and the effect of treatments depend on the cancer size, the level of infection, and on the efficiency of the adaptive immune system. The model exhibits bi-stability, i.e., virtual patient trajectories gravitate towards one of two stable steady states: a dormant state or a full-blown cancer-infection disease state. An infectious threshold curve exists and if infection exceed this separatrix for sufficiently long time the cancer escapes. Thus, early treatment is vital for remission and severe infections may instigate cancer progression. CAR T-cell Immunotherapy may sufficiently control cancer progression back into a dormant state but the therapy significantly gains efficiency in combination with antibiotics or immunomodulation.

Inflammatory Microenvironment and Specific T Cells in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Immunopathogenesis and Novel Immunotherapies

The Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are malignancies of the hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) arising as a consequence of clonal proliferation driven by somatically acquired driver mutations in discrete genes (JAK2, CALR, MPL). In recent years, along with the advances in molecular characterization, the role of immune dysregulation has been achieving increasing relevance in the pathogenesis and evolution of MPNs. In particular, a growing number of studies have shown that MPNs are often associated with detrimental cytokine milieu, expansion of the monocyte/macrophage compartment and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, as well as altered functions of T cells, dendritic cells and NK cells. Moreover, akin to solid tumors and other hematological malignancies, MPNs are able to evade T cell immune surveillance by engaging the PD-1/PD-L1 axis, whose pharmacological blockade with checkpoint inhibitors can successfully restore effective antitumor responses. A further interesting cue is provided by the recent discovery of the high immunogenic potential of JAK2V617F and CALR exon 9 mutations, that could be harnessed as intriguing targets for innovative adoptive immunotherapies. This review focuses on the recent insights in the immunological dysfunctions contributing to the pathogenesis of MPNs and outlines the potential impact of related immunotherapeutic approaches.

Inflammatory Microenvironment and Specific T Cells in Myeloproliferative Neoplasms: Immunopathogenesis and Novel Immunotherapies

The Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are malignancies of the hematopoietic stem cell (HSC) arising as a consequence of clonal proliferation driven by somatically acquired driver mutations in discrete genes (JAK2, CALR, MPL). In recent years, along with the advances in molecular characterization, the role of immune dysregulation has been achieving increasing relevance in the pathogenesis and evolution of MPNs. In particular, a growing number of studies have shown that MPNs are often associated with detrimental cytokine milieu, expansion of the monocyte/macrophage compartment and myeloid-derived suppressor cells, as well as altered functions of T cells, dendritic cells and NK cells. Moreover, akin to solid tumors and other hematological malignancies, MPNs are able to evade T cell immune surveillance by engaging the PD-1/PD-L1 axis, whose pharmacological blockade with checkpoint inhibitors can successfully restore effective antitumor responses. A further interesting cue is provided by the recent discovery of the high immunogenic potential of JAK2V617F and CALR exon 9 mutations, that could be harnessed as intriguing targets for innovative adoptive immunotherapies. This review focuses on the recent insights in the immunological dysfunctions contributing to the pathogenesis of MPNs and outlines the potential impact of related immunotherapeutic approaches.

Mathematical modelling of the hematopoietic stem cell-niche system: Clonal dominance based on stem cell fitness

Human blood cell production is maintained by hematopoietic stem cells (HSC) which give rise to all types of mature blood cells. Experimental observation of HSC in their physiologic bone-marrow microenvironment, the so-called stem cell niche, is challenging. Therefore, the details of HSC dynamics and the cellular interactions in the stem cell niche remain elusive. Mutations that lead to a competitive advantage are the cause of clinical challenges when treating HSC-derived malignancies such as acute myeloid leukemia or the myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). To investigate the significance of the interaction between the HSC and the stem cell niche in these malignancies, we propose and analyse a mechanism-based mathematical model of HSC dynamics within the bone-marrow microenvironment. The model is based on the central hypothesis that HSC self-renewal depends on the niche. In the model, the interaction of HSC with specific niches located in the bone marrow are key to the indefinite HSC renewal necessary for long-term maintenance of blood cell production. We formulate a general model of n distinct clones that differ with respect to cell properties. We identify an attractive trapping region and compute and classify all steady states. A concept of HSC fitness naturally arises from the model analysis. HSC fitness is found to determine the asymptotic behaviour of the model, as the HSC clone with the highest fitness is related to the unique locally stable steady state. Based on biological assumptions about HSC, we propose two reduced models of different complexity. A thorough mathematical analysis reveals that both reduced models have the same asymptotic behaviour as the full model. We compare the simpler of the two models, a logistic equation of the disease burden, to clinical data of MPN-patients. The reduced model is found to agree well with data and suggests a simple interpretation and possible prediction of patient prognosis. The proposed mathematical model and the reduced forms have the potential to provide insights into the regulation of HSC dynamics and blood cell formation, and ultimately for future advances in treatment of hematologic malignancies.

Applied genomics in MPN presentation

Polycythemia vera, essential thrombocytosis (ET), and primary myelofibrosis (PMF) are grouped together as myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) because of shared clinical, pathologic, and molecular features. The 2005 discovery of the driver mutation JAK2V617F, found in more than 70% of individuals with MPNs and 98% of those with PV, has transformed the diagnosis and management of MPNs. Although PV is the most common phenotype associated with JAK2V617F, roughly 60% of individuals with ET or PMF also have the mutation, and JAK2V617F is now recognized as a common lesion in clonal hematopoiesis (CH). JAK2V617F+ CH and MPN are indolent disorders that evolve over time, with transitions to different disease phases, transformation to bone marrow failure or leukemia, and high thrombosis rates. Genomic assessment has taken center stage as an important tool to define disease phenotype, disease burden, prognosis, and even thrombosis risk of MPNs. Genomics has also unveiled the causes and factors that modify the risk of acquiring and expanding CH and MPNs and points to new pathways for targeted therapies to treat and ultimately prevent them. Genomic assessment of patients with MPNs, like other cancers, enables the clinician to capitalize on large population data sets to inform the individual patient of risk, identify treatment, and improve outcomes.

Highly increased risk of fracture in patients with myeloproliferative neoplasm

The risk for hip and vertebral fracture was determined in 10,752 patients diagnosed with myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPN) in Sweden 1995-2015. The mean follow-up time were 6.34 years. Five percent developed hip fracture and 1.3% a vertebral fracture. There was a significant increased risk for fracture among the MPN patients compared with the Swedish population. The ratio of observed (obs) and expected (exp) number of hip fracture in all MPN patients, polycythemia vera (PV), essential thrombocythemia and MPN undetermined (MPNu) was 1.20 (95% confidence interval (CI): 1.10-1.31), 1.37 (95% CI: 1.19-1.58), 1.02 (95% CI: 0.87-1.19), and 1.28 (95% CI: 1.07-1.52), respectively. Corresponding figures for vertebral fractures were 1.94 (95% CI: 1.64-2.29), 2.09 (95% CI: 1.56-2.75), 1.50 (95% CI: 1.06-2.07) and 2.47 (95% CI: 1.77-3.35), respectively. Patients with MPN had an increased risk of hip and vertebral fracture, especially patients with PV and MPNu in comparison with the entire Swedish population.

Patients with myeloproliferative neoplasms and high levels of systemic inflammation develop age-related macular degeneration

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological data show that myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are associated with increased risk of neovascular age-related macular degeneration (AMD). However, knowledge about the retinal findings in these patients is lacking. This study was conducted to examine retinal ageing and the prevalence of a hallmark of AMD; drusen, in patients with MPNs. Further, we examine the role of chronic systemic inflammation, considered central in both AMD and MPNs.

METHODS

In this single-centre cross-sectional study, we consecutively enrolled 200 patients with MPNs. The study was divided into three substudies. Firstly, we obtained colour fundus photographs from all patients to evaluate and compare the prevalence of drusen with the published estimates from three large population-based studies. Secondly, to evaluate age-related changes in the various retinal layers, optical coherence tomography images were obtained from 150 of the patients and compared to a healthy control group, from a previous study. Thirdly, venous blood was sampled from 63 patients to determine the JAK2V617F allele burden and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a marker of systemic inflammation, in MPN patients with and without drusen.

FINDINGS

Patients with MPNs had an increased risk of having large drusen compared to the three population-based studies OR 5·7 (95%CI, 4·1-8·0), OR 6·0 (95%CI, 4·2-8·4) and OR 7·0 (95%CI, 5·0-9·7). Also, we found that the retinal site of drusen accumulation - the Bruch's-membrane-retinal-pigment-epithelium-complex was thicker compared to healthy controls, 0·43μm (95%CI 0·17-0·71, p = 0·0014), but there was no sign of accelerated retinal ageing in terms of thinning of the neuroretina. Further, we found that MPN patients with drusen had a higher level of systemic inflammation than MPN patients with no drusen (p = 0·0383).

INTERPRETATION

Patients with MPNs suffer from accelerated accumulation of subretinal drusen and therefore AMD from an earlier age than healthy individuals. We find that the retinal changes are located only between the neuroretina and the choroidal bloodstream. Further, we find that the drusen accumulation is associated with a higher JAK2V617F allele burden and a higher NLR, suggesting that low-grade chronic inflammation is a part of the pathogenesis of drusen formation and AMD.

FUNDING

Fight for Sight, Denmark and Region Zealand's research promotion fund.

Mathematical Modeling of MPNs Offers Understanding and Decision Support for Personalized Treatment

(1) Background: myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are slowly developing hematological cancers characterized by few driver mutations, with JAK2V617F being the most prevalent. (2) Methods: using mechanism-based mathematical modeling (MM) of hematopoietic stem cells, mutated hematopoietic stem cells, differentiated blood cells, and immune response along with longitudinal data from the randomized Danish DALIAH trial, we investigate the effect of the treatment of MPNs with interferon-α2 on disease progression. (3) Results: At the population level, the JAK2V617F allele burden is halved every 25 months. At the individual level, MM describes and predicts the JAK2V617F kinetics and leukocyte- and thrombocyte counts over time. The model estimates the patient-specific treatment duration, relapse time, and threshold dose for achieving a good response to treatment. (4) Conclusions: MM in concert with clinical data is an important supplement to understand and predict the disease progression and impact of interventions at the individual level.

Clonal Hematopoiesis and Mutations of Myeloproliferative Neoplasms

Myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs) are associated with the fewest number of mutations among known cancers. The mutations propelling these malignancies are phenotypic drivers providing an important implement for diagnosis, treatment response monitoring, and gaining insight into the disease biology. The phenotypic drivers of Philadelphia chromosome negative MPN include mutations in JAK2, CALR, and MPL. The most prevalent driver mutation JAK2V617F can cause disease entities such as essential thrombocythemia (ET) and polycythemia vera (PV). The divergent development is considered to be influenced by the acquisition order of the phenotypic driver mutation relative to other MPN-related mutations such as TET2 and DNMT3A. Advances in molecular biology revealed emergence of clonal hematopoiesis (CH) to be inevitable with aging and associated with risk factors beyond the development of blood cancers. In addition to its well-established role in thrombosis, the JAK2V617F mutation is particularly connected to the risk of developing cardiovascular disease (CVD), a pertinent issue, as deep molecular screening has revealed the prevalence of the mutation to be much higher in the background population than previously anticipated. Recent findings suggest a profound under-diagnosis of MPNs, and considering the impact of CVD on society, this calls for early detection of phenotypic driver mutations and clinical intervention.

Global dynamics of healthy and cancer cells competing in the hematopoietic system

Stem cells in the bone marrow differentiate to ultimately become mature, functioning blood cells through a tightly regulated process (hematopoiesis) including a stem cell niche interaction and feedback through the immune system. Mutations in a hematopoietic stem cell can create a cancer stem cell leading to a less controlled production of malfunctioning cells in the hematopoietic system. This was mathematically modelled by Andersen et al. (2017) including the dynamic variables: healthy and cancer stem cells and mature cells, dead cells and an immune system response. Here, we apply a quasi steady state approximation to this model to construct a two dimensional model with four algebraic equations denoted the simple cancitis model. The two dynamic variables are the clinically available quantities JAK2V617F allele burden and the number of white blood cells. The simple cancitis model represents the original model very well. Complete phase space analysis of the simple cancitis model is performed, including proving the existence and location of globally attracting steady states. Hence, parameter values from compartments of stem cells, mature cells and immune cells are directly linked to disease and treatment prognosis, showing the crucial importance of early intervention. The simple cancitis model allows for a complete analysis of the long term evolution of trajectories. In particular, the value of the self renewal of the hematopoietic stem cells divided by the self renewal of the cancer stem cells is found to be an important diagnostic marker and perturbing this parameter value at intervention allows the model to reproduce clinical data. Treatment at low cancer cell numbers allows returning to healthy blood production while the same intervention at a later disease stage can lead to eradication of healthy blood producing cells. Assuming the total number of white blood cells is constant in the early cancer phase while the allele burden increases, a one dimensional model is suggested and explicitly solved, including parameters from all original compartments. The solution explicitly shows that exogenous inflammation promotes blood cancer when cancer stem cells reproduce more efficiently than hematopoietic stem cells.

Loss-of-function polymorphism in IL6R reduces risk of JAK2V617F somatic mutation and myeloproliferative neoplasm: A Mendelian randomization study

BACKGROUND

Whether inflammation is independently associated with development of JAK2V617F mutation and myeloproliferative neoplasm is not clear. We tested the hypothesis that a loss-of-function polymorphism in IL6R (marked by rs4537545) reduces risk of JAK2V617F mutation and myeloproliferative neoplasm in a Mendelian randomization study.

METHODS

We genotyped 107,969 Danes from the Copenhagen General Population Study for the IL6R rs4537545 genotype, where the T-allele is associated with impaired interleukin-6 receptor signaling and reduced inflammation. JAK2V617F was examined in a subset of 49,143 individuals. We investigated the association between IL6R rs4537545 and risk of JAK2V617F using logistic regression and myeloproliferative neoplasm using Cox regression.

FINDINGS

36,871 were non-carriers, 52,500 heterozygotes, and 18,598 homozygotes for the T-allele of the IL6R rs4537545 genotype. Among 107,969 individuals, 352 were diagnosed with myeloproliferative neoplasm, and among 49,143 individuals, 62 were JAK2V617F-positive (of these 62 individuals, 46 had myeloproliferative neoplasm diagnosed). Compared to non-carriers, age- and sex-adjusted odds ratios for risk of JAK2V617F were 0·55(95%CI:0·32-0·94) in heterozygotes, 0·51(0·24-1·12) in homozygotes, 0·54(0·33-0·89) in carriers, and 0·66(0·45-0·96) per T-allele. Compared to non-carriers, age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratios for risk of myeloproliferative neoplasm were 0·82(95% CI: 0·65-1·02) in heterozygotes, 0·65(0·47-0·91) in homozygotes, 0·77(0·63-0·96) in carriers, and 0·81(0·70-0·94) per T-allele. Associations were primarily observed for polycythaemia vera and myelofibrosis, and for JAK2V617F-positive myeloproliferative neoplasm.

INTERPRETATION

A loss-of-function polymorphism in IL6R reduces risk of JAK2V617F mutation and myeloproliferative neoplasm. This finding supports inflammation as an independent risk factor for JAK2V617F mutation and myeloproliferative neoplasm and indicates that therapeutics designed to block interleukin-6 receptor signaling might prevent or retard progression of myeloproliferative neoplasm.

FUNDING

Karen Elise Jensen Foundation.

Age-related macular degeneration: A two-level model hypothesis

Age-related diseases, including age-related macular degeneration (AMD), are of growing importance in a world where population ageing has become a dominant global trend. Although a wide variety of risk factors for AMD have been identified, age itself remains by far the most important risk factor, making it an urgent priority to understand the connections between underlying ageing mechanisms and pathophysiology of AMD. Ageing is both multicausal and variable, so that differences between individuals in biological ageing processes are the focus of a growing number of pathophysiological studies seeking to explain how ageing contributes to chronic, age-related conditions. The aim of this review is to integrate the available knowledge on the pathophysiology of AMD within the framework of the biology of ageing. One highly significant feature of biological ageing is systemic inflammation, which arises as a second-level response to a first level of molecular damage involving oxidative stress, mutations etc. Combining these insights, the various co-existing pathophysiological explanations in AMD arrange themselves according to a two-level hypothesis. Accordingly, we describe how AMD can be considered the consequence of age-related random accumulation of molecular damage at the ocular level and the subsequent systemic inflammatory host response thereof. We summarize evidence and provide original data to enlighten where evidence is lacking. Finally, we discuss how this two-level hypothesis provides a foundation for thoughts and future studies in prevention, prognosis, and intervention.

Investigation of solid tumor progression with account of proliferation/migration dichotomy via Darwinian mathematical model

A new continuous spatially-distributed model of solid tumor growth and progression is presented. The model explicitly accounts for mutations/epimutations of tumor cells which take place upon their division. The tumor grows in normal tissue and its progression is driven only by competition between populations of malignant cells for limited nutrient supply. Two reasons for the motion of tumor cells in space are taken into consideration, i.e., their intrinsic motility and convective fluxes, which arise due to proliferation of tumor cells. The model is applied to investigation of solid tumor progression under phenotypic alterations that inversely affect cell proliferation rate and cell motility by increasing the value of one of the parameters at the expense of another.It is demonstrated that the crucial feature that gives evolutionary advantage to a cell population is the speed of its intergrowth into surrounding normal tissue. Of note, increase in tumor intergrowth speed in not always associated with increase in motility of tumor cells. Depending on the parameters of functions, that describe phenotypic alterations, tumor cellular composition may evolve towards: (1) maximization of cell proliferation rate, (2) maximization of cell motility, (3) non-extremum values of cell proliferation rate and motility. Scenarios are found, where after initial tendency for maximization of cell proliferation rate, the direction of tumor progression sharply switches to maximization of cell motility, which is accompanied by decrease in total speed of tumor growth.

Roles of JAK2 in Aging, Inflammation, Hematopoiesis and Malignant Transformation

Clonal alterations in hematopoietic cells occur during aging and are often associated with the establishment of a subclinical inflammatory environment. Several age-related conditions and diseases may be initiated or promoted by these alterations. JAK2 mutations are among the most frequently mutated genes in blood cells during aging. The most common mutation within the JAK2 gene is JAK2-V617F that leads to constitutive activation of the kinase and thereby aberrant engagement of downstream signaling pathways. JAK2 mutations can act as central drivers of myeloproliferative neoplasia, a pre-leukemic and age-related malignancy. Likewise, hyperactive JAK-signaling is a hallmark of immune diseases and critically influences inflammation, coagulation and thrombosis. In this review we aim to summarize the current knowledge on JAK2 in clonal hematopoiesis during aging, the role of JAK-signaling in inflammation and lymphocyte biology and JAK2 function in age-related diseases and malignant transformation.

Prevalence and phenotypes of JAK2 V617F and calreticulin mutations in a Danish general population

The JAK2 V617F and calreticulin mutations (CALR) are frequent within myeloproliferative neoplasms (MPNs). JAK2 V617F has been detected in the general population, but no studies have previously investigated the CALR prevalence. Thus, we aimed to determine the CALR and JAK2 V617F population prevalence and assess the biochemical profile and lifestyle factors in mutation-positive individuals with and without MPN. 19 958 eligible participants, enrolled from 2010-2013, from the Danish General Suburban Population Study were screened for JAK2 V617F and CALR by droplet digital polymerase chain reaction with (3.2%) mutation positives of which 16 (2.5%) had MPN at baseline. Of 645 participants, 613 were JAK2 V617F positive, and 32 were CALR positive, corresponding to a population prevalence of 3.1% (confidence interval [CI], 2.8-3.3) and 0.16% (CI, 0.11-0.23), respectively. Increasing age, smoking, and alcohol were risk factors for the mutations. JAK2 V617F positives with and without MPN presented elevated odds for prevalent venous thromboembolism. The odds ratio for a diagnosis of MPN per percentage allele burden was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.09-1.18; P = 1.6 × 10−10). Mutation positives displayed higher blood cell counts than nonmutated participants, and 42% of mutation positives without MPN presented elevation of ≥1 blood cell counts; 80 (13%) even presented blood cell counts in accordance with current MPN diagnostic criteria. In conclusion, we present a novel population prevalence of CALR and a JAK2 V617F prevalence that is 3 to 30 times higher compared with less sensitive methods. Mutation-positive non-MPNs with elevated blood cell counts raise concerns of MPN underdiagnosis in the population.

Bridging blood cancers and inflammation: The reduced Cancitis model

A novel mechanism-based model - the Cancitis model - describing the interaction of blood cancer and the inflammatory system is proposed, analyzed and validated. The immune response is divided into two components, one where the elimination rate of malignant stem cells is independent of the level of the blood cancer and one where the elimination rate depends on the level of the blood cancer. A dimensional analysis shows that the full 6-dimensional system of nonlinear ordinary differential equations may be reduced to a 2-dimensional system - the reduced Cancitis model - using Fenichel theory. The original 18 parameters appear in the reduced model in 8 groups of parameters. The reduced model is analyzed. Especially the steady states and their dependence on the exogenous inflammatory stimuli are analyzed. A semi-analytic investigation reveals the stability properties of the steady states. Finally, positivity of the system and the existence of an attracting trapping region in the positive octahedron guaranteeing global existence and uniqueness of solutions are proved. The possible topologies of the dynamical system are completely determined as having a Janus structure, where two qualitatively different topologies appear for different sets of parameters. To classify this Janus structure we propose a novel concept in blood cancer - a reproduction ratio R. It determines the topological structure depending on whether it is larger or smaller than a threshold value. Furthermore, it follows that inflammation, affected by the exogenous inflammatory stimulation, may determine the onset and development of blood cancers. The body may manage initial blood cancer as long as the self-renewal rate is not too high, but fails to manage it if an inflammation appears. Thus, inflammation may trigger and drive blood cancers. Finally, the mathematical analysis suggests novel treatment strategies and it is used to discuss the in silico effect of existing treatment, e.g. interferon-α or T-cell therapy, and the impact of malignant cells becoming resistant.

Perspectives on interferon-alpha in the treatment of polycythemia vera and related myeloproliferative neoplasms: minimal residual disease and cure?

The first clinical trials of the safety and efficacy of interferon-alpha2 (IFN-alpha2) were performed about 30 years ago. Since then, several single-arm studies have convincingly demonstrated that IFN-alpha2 is a highly potent anti-cancer agent in several cancer types but unfortunately not being explored sufficiently due to a high toxicity profile when using non-pegylated IFN-alpha2 or high dosages or due to competitive drugs, that for clinicians at first glance might look more attractive. Within the hematological malignancies, IFN-alpha2 has only recently been revived in patients with the Philadelphia-negative myeloproliferative neoplasms-essential thrombocytosis, polycythemia vera, and myelofibrosis (MPNs)-and in patients with chronic myelogenous leukemia (CML) in combination with tyrosine kinase inhibitors. In this review, we tell the IFN story in MPNs from the very beginning in the 1980s up to 2018 and describe the perspectives for IFN-alpha2 treatment of MPNs in the future. The mechanisms of actions are discussed and the impact of chronic inflammation as the driving force for clonal expansion and disease progression in MPNs is discussed in the context of combination therapies with potent anti-inflammatory agents, such as the JAK1-2 inhibitors (licensed only ruxolitinib) and statins as well. Interferon-alpha2 being the cornerstone treatment in MPNs and having the potential of inducing minimal residual disease (MRD) with normalization of the bone marrow and low-JAK2V617F allele burden, we believe that combination therapy with ruxolitinib may be even more efficacious and hopefully revert disease progression in many more patients to enter the path towards MRD. In patients with advanced and transforming disease towards leukemic transformation or having transformed to acute myeloid leukemia, "triple therapy" is proposed as a novel treatment modality to be tested in clinical trials combining IFN-alpha2, DNA-hypomethylator, and ruxolitinib. The rationale for this "triple therapy" is given, including the fact that even in AML, IFN-alpha2 as monotherapy may revert disease progression. We envisage a new and bright future with many more patients with MPNs obtaining MRD on the above therapies. From this stage-and even before-vaccination strategies may open a new horizon with cure being the goal for some patients.

The Critical Role of Inflammation in the Pathogenesis and Progression of Myeloid Malignancies

Hematopoietic stem cells (HSCs) maintain an organism's immune system for a lifetime, and derangements in HSC proliferation and differentiation result in hematologic malignancies. Chronic inflammation plays a contributory if not causal role in HSC dysfunction. Inflammation induces HSC exhaustion, which promotes the emergence of mutant clones that may be resistant to an inflammatory microenvironment; this likely promotes the onset of a myeloid hematologic malignancy. Inflammatory cytokines are characteristically high in patients with myeloid malignancies and are linked to disease initiation, symptom burden, disease progression, and worsened prognostic survival. This review will cover our current understanding of the role of inflammation in the initiation, progression, and complications of myeloid hematologic malignancies, drawing from clinical studies as well as murine models. We will also highlight inflammation as a therapeutic target in hematologic malignancies.